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Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 1 / 16
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Page 1: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children

Marco Cosconati

Bank of Italy & IZA

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 1 / 16

Page 2: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionMotivation

The impact of parental home inputs on children’s outcomes has beenwidely studied by economists

The effectiveness of alternative parenting strategies in producingdesirable child outcomes has been investigated by researchers in childdevelopment and sociology

It is controversial if leaving discretion to children is a better approachto parenting than setting strict limits

It has been recently been suggested that the “Chinese” parentingmodel, as opposed to “Western” parenting, is the main source ofacademic success of Asian children with respect to their peers

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 2 / 16

Page 3: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionMotivation

The impact of parental home inputs on children’s outcomes has beenwidely studied by economists

The effectiveness of alternative parenting strategies in producingdesirable child outcomes has been investigated by researchers in childdevelopment and sociology

It is controversial if leaving discretion to children is a better approachto parenting than setting strict limits

It has been recently been suggested that the “Chinese” parentingmodel, as opposed to “Western” parenting, is the main source ofacademic success of Asian children with respect to their peers

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 2 / 16

Page 4: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionMotivation

The impact of parental home inputs on children’s outcomes has beenwidely studied by economists

The effectiveness of alternative parenting strategies in producingdesirable child outcomes has been investigated by researchers in childdevelopment and sociology

It is controversial if leaving discretion to children is a better approachto parenting than setting strict limits

It has been recently been suggested that the “Chinese” parentingmodel, as opposed to “Western” parenting, is the main source ofacademic success of Asian children with respect to their peers

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 2 / 16

Page 5: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionMotivation

The impact of parental home inputs on children’s outcomes has beenwidely studied by economists

The effectiveness of alternative parenting strategies in producingdesirable child outcomes has been investigated by researchers in childdevelopment and sociology

It is controversial if leaving discretion to children is a better approachto parenting than setting strict limits

It has been recently been suggested that the “Chinese” parentingmodel, as opposed to “Western” parenting, is the main source ofacademic success of Asian children with respect to their peers

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 2 / 16

Page 6: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionMotivation

Addressing this debate from an economic prospective:

1 enhances our understanding of the impact of parental inputs onchildren’s human capital

2 is consistent with recent evidence about the importance ofdiscipline/motivation for the formation of cognitive skills

3 has potentially important implications for public policies that easeparents’ monitoring cost by restricting children’s recreational activities

4 allows us to more closely look at parent-child interaction

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 3 / 16

Page 7: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionMotivation

Addressing this debate from an economic prospective:

1 enhances our understanding of the impact of parental inputs onchildren’s human capital

2 is consistent with recent evidence about the importance ofdiscipline/motivation for the formation of cognitive skills

3 has potentially important implications for public policies that easeparents’ monitoring cost by restricting children’s recreational activities

4 allows us to more closely look at parent-child interaction

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 3 / 16

Page 8: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionMotivation

Addressing this debate from an economic prospective:

1 enhances our understanding of the impact of parental inputs onchildren’s human capital

2 is consistent with recent evidence about the importance ofdiscipline/motivation for the formation of cognitive skills

3 has potentially important implications for public policies that easeparents’ monitoring cost by restricting children’s recreational activities

4 allows us to more closely look at parent-child interaction

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 3 / 16

Page 9: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionMotivation

Addressing this debate from an economic prospective:

1 enhances our understanding of the impact of parental inputs onchildren’s human capital

2 is consistent with recent evidence about the importance ofdiscipline/motivation for the formation of cognitive skills

3 has potentially important implications for public policies that easeparents’ monitoring cost by restricting children’s recreational activities

4 allows us to more closely look at parent-child interaction

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 3 / 16

Page 10: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 11: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 12: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 13: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 14: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 15: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 16: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 17: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 18: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 19: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 20: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionParenting in the Data

Data from the NLSY97 indicate that parental choices regarding limits varyacross households

The Autonomy/Parental control section contained in the NLSY97 YouthQuestionnaire asks, among others, the following questions: “Who sets the limitson...

: how late you stay out at night?”

: who you can hang out with?”

: what kinds of tv shows and movies you watch?”

Each questions has three mutually exclusive possible answers:

PARENT OR PARENTS SET LIMITS

PARENTS LET ME DECIDE

MY PARENTS AND I DECIDE JOINTLY

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 4 / 16

Page 21: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionStatistics on Parenting Styles

Table: Curfew Limit by Age

12-13 13-14 14-15

Parents 67.04 54.79 46.31Jointly/Child 32.96 45.21 53.69N 1341 1305 12741984 cohort

Table: Friends Limit by Age

12-13 13-14 14-15

Parents 22.09 11.67 9.08Jointly/Child 77.91 88.33 90.92N 1340 1302 12781984 cohort

Table: TV Limit by Age

12-13 13-14 14-15

Parents 35.94 19.23 14.01Jointly/Child 64.06 80.77 85.99N 1341 1305 12781984 cohort

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 5 / 16

Page 22: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionStatistics on Parenting Styles

Table: Curfew Limit by Age

12-13 13-14 14-15

Parents 67.04 54.79 46.31Jointly/Child 32.96 45.21 53.69N 1341 1305 12741984 cohort

Table: Friends Limit by Age

12-13 13-14 14-15

Parents 22.09 11.67 9.08Jointly/Child 77.91 88.33 90.92N 1340 1302 12781984 cohort

Table: TV Limit by Age

12-13 13-14 14-15

Parents 35.94 19.23 14.01Jointly/Child 64.06 80.77 85.99N 1341 1305 12781984 cohort

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 5 / 16

Page 23: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionStatistics on Parenting Styles

Table: Curfew Limit by Age

12-13 13-14 14-15

Parents 67.04 54.79 46.31Jointly/Child 32.96 45.21 53.69N 1341 1305 12741984 cohort

Table: Friends Limit by Age

12-13 13-14 14-15

Parents 22.09 11.67 9.08Jointly/Child 77.91 88.33 90.92N 1340 1302 12781984 cohort

Table: TV Limit by Age

12-13 13-14 14-15

Parents 35.94 19.23 14.01Jointly/Child 64.06 80.77 85.99N 1341 1305 12781984 cohort

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 5 / 16

Page 24: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionStatistics on Parental Limits

Table: Curfew by Race

Black Hispanic White

Parents 75.76 67.45 64.82Jointly/Child 24.24 32.55 35.18N 435 381 9011984 cohort, age:12-13

Table: Friends Limit by Race

Black Hispanic White

Parents 34.59 28.16 17.44Jointly/Child 65.41 71.84 82.56N 425 380 9001984 cohort, age:12-13

Table: TV Limit by Race

Black Hispanic White

Parents 35.53 35.96 37.36Jointly/Child 67.47 64.04 62.64N 435 381 9021984 cohort, age:12-13

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 6 / 16

Page 25: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionStatistics on Parental Limits

Table: Curfew by Race

Black Hispanic White

Parents 75.76 67.45 64.82Jointly/Child 24.24 32.55 35.18N 435 381 9011984 cohort, age:12-13

Table: Friends Limit by Race

Black Hispanic White

Parents 34.59 28.16 17.44Jointly/Child 65.41 71.84 82.56N 425 380 9001984 cohort, age:12-13

Table: TV Limit by Race

Black Hispanic White

Parents 35.53 35.96 37.36Jointly/Child 67.47 64.04 62.64N 435 381 9021984 cohort, age:12-13

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 6 / 16

Page 26: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

IntroductionStatistics on Parental Limits

Table: Curfew by Race

Black Hispanic White

Parents 75.76 67.45 64.82Jointly/Child 24.24 32.55 35.18N 435 381 9011984 cohort, age:12-13

Table: Friends Limit by Race

Black Hispanic White

Parents 34.59 28.16 17.44Jointly/Child 65.41 71.84 82.56N 425 380 9001984 cohort, age:12-13

Table: TV Limit by Race

Black Hispanic White

Parents 35.53 35.96 37.36Jointly/Child 67.47 64.04 62.64N 435 381 9021984 cohort, age:12-13

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 6 / 16

Page 27: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Goal of the Paper and Main Finding

Develop and estimate a model of parent-child interaction to betterunderstand the relationship between parenting styles and children’shuman capital

Use the estimated model to simulate the effects of “authoritarian”parenting on children’s behavior

Finding:

One size does not fit all: strict parenting in not the best policy for all typeof childrenImplication: a mandatory curfew law could have positive or negativeeffects on children’s cognitive skills (PIAT MATH test scores)

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 7 / 16

Page 28: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Goal of the Paper and Main Finding

Develop and estimate a model of parent-child interaction to betterunderstand the relationship between parenting styles and children’shuman capitalUse the estimated model to simulate the effects of “authoritarian”parenting on children’s behavior

Finding:

One size does not fit all: strict parenting in not the best policy for all typeof childrenImplication: a mandatory curfew law could have positive or negativeeffects on children’s cognitive skills (PIAT MATH test scores)

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 7 / 16

Page 29: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Goal of the Paper and Main Finding

Develop and estimate a model of parent-child interaction to betterunderstand the relationship between parenting styles and children’shuman capitalUse the estimated model to simulate the effects of “authoritarian”parenting on children’s behavior

Finding:

One size does not fit all: strict parenting in not the best policy for all typeof children

Implication: a mandatory curfew law could have positive or negativeeffects on children’s cognitive skills (PIAT MATH test scores)

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 7 / 16

Page 30: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Goal of the Paper and Main Finding

Develop and estimate a model of parent-child interaction to betterunderstand the relationship between parenting styles and children’shuman capitalUse the estimated model to simulate the effects of “authoritarian”parenting on children’s behavior

Finding:

One size does not fit all: strict parenting in not the best policy for all typeof childrenImplication: a mandatory curfew law could have positive or negativeeffects on children’s cognitive skills (PIAT MATH test scores)

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 7 / 16

Page 31: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

The gameInformation structure and order of moves

There are two forward looking players: the parent and the child

Two periods

Child’s effort is imperfectly monitored by parents (moral hazard)

Parents are uncertain about the child’s valuation of her human capital(adverse selection)

The order of moves in the stage game is as follows:

Conditional on the stock of human capital, Gt−1 and the beliefsabout the type of the child, pt−1, parents choose one of threeparenting styles: strict, neutral, permissive; Rt ∈ {s, n, p}The child chooses an effort level et ∈ [0, 1] (unobserved by parents)

A shock εt , unobserved by parents, is drawn

Child’s human capital realization, Gt , becomes public

Parents update their initial beliefs pt−1

The stage game is repeated

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 8 / 16

Page 32: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

The gameInformation structure and order of moves

There are two forward looking players: the parent and the child

Two periods

Child’s effort is imperfectly monitored by parents (moral hazard)

Parents are uncertain about the child’s valuation of her human capital(adverse selection)

The order of moves in the stage game is as follows:

Conditional on the stock of human capital, Gt−1 and the beliefsabout the type of the child, pt−1, parents choose one of threeparenting styles: strict, neutral, permissive; Rt ∈ {s, n, p}The child chooses an effort level et ∈ [0, 1] (unobserved by parents)

A shock εt , unobserved by parents, is drawn

Child’s human capital realization, Gt , becomes public

Parents update their initial beliefs pt−1

The stage game is repeated

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 8 / 16

Page 33: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

The gameInformation structure and order of moves

There are two forward looking players: the parent and the child

Two periods

Child’s effort is imperfectly monitored by parents (moral hazard)

Parents are uncertain about the child’s valuation of her human capital(adverse selection)

The order of moves in the stage game is as follows:

Conditional on the stock of human capital, Gt−1 and the beliefsabout the type of the child, pt−1, parents choose one of threeparenting styles: strict, neutral, permissive; Rt ∈ {s, n, p}The child chooses an effort level et ∈ [0, 1] (unobserved by parents)

A shock εt , unobserved by parents, is drawn

Child’s human capital realization, Gt , becomes public

Parents update their initial beliefs pt−1

The stage game is repeated

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 8 / 16

Page 34: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

The gameInformation structure and order of moves

There are two forward looking players: the parent and the child

Two periods

Child’s effort is imperfectly monitored by parents (moral hazard)

Parents are uncertain about the child’s valuation of her human capital(adverse selection)

The order of moves in the stage game is as follows:

Conditional on the stock of human capital, Gt−1 and the beliefsabout the type of the child, pt−1, parents choose one of threeparenting styles: strict, neutral, permissive; Rt ∈ {s, n, p}The child chooses an effort level et ∈ [0, 1] (unobserved by parents)

A shock εt , unobserved by parents, is drawn

Child’s human capital realization, Gt , becomes public

Parents update their initial beliefs pt−1

The stage game is repeated

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 8 / 16

Page 35: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

The gameInformation structure and order of moves

There are two forward looking players: the parent and the child

Two periods

Child’s effort is imperfectly monitored by parents (moral hazard)

Parents are uncertain about the child’s valuation of her human capital(adverse selection)

The order of moves in the stage game is as follows:

Conditional on the stock of human capital, Gt−1 and the beliefsabout the type of the child, pt−1, parents choose one of threeparenting styles: strict, neutral, permissive; Rt ∈ {s, n, p}

The child chooses an effort level et ∈ [0, 1] (unobserved by parents)

A shock εt , unobserved by parents, is drawn

Child’s human capital realization, Gt , becomes public

Parents update their initial beliefs pt−1

The stage game is repeated

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 8 / 16

Page 36: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

The gameInformation structure and order of moves

There are two forward looking players: the parent and the child

Two periods

Child’s effort is imperfectly monitored by parents (moral hazard)

Parents are uncertain about the child’s valuation of her human capital(adverse selection)

The order of moves in the stage game is as follows:

Conditional on the stock of human capital, Gt−1 and the beliefsabout the type of the child, pt−1, parents choose one of threeparenting styles: strict, neutral, permissive; Rt ∈ {s, n, p}The child chooses an effort level et ∈ [0, 1] (unobserved by parents)

A shock εt , unobserved by parents, is drawn

Child’s human capital realization, Gt , becomes public

Parents update their initial beliefs pt−1

The stage game is repeated

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 8 / 16

Page 37: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

The gameInformation structure and order of moves

There are two forward looking players: the parent and the child

Two periods

Child’s effort is imperfectly monitored by parents (moral hazard)

Parents are uncertain about the child’s valuation of her human capital(adverse selection)

The order of moves in the stage game is as follows:

Conditional on the stock of human capital, Gt−1 and the beliefsabout the type of the child, pt−1, parents choose one of threeparenting styles: strict, neutral, permissive; Rt ∈ {s, n, p}The child chooses an effort level et ∈ [0, 1] (unobserved by parents)

A shock εt , unobserved by parents, is drawn

Child’s human capital realization, Gt , becomes public

Parents update their initial beliefs pt−1

The stage game is repeated

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 8 / 16

Page 38: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

The gameInformation structure and order of moves

There are two forward looking players: the parent and the child

Two periods

Child’s effort is imperfectly monitored by parents (moral hazard)

Parents are uncertain about the child’s valuation of her human capital(adverse selection)

The order of moves in the stage game is as follows:

Conditional on the stock of human capital, Gt−1 and the beliefsabout the type of the child, pt−1, parents choose one of threeparenting styles: strict, neutral, permissive; Rt ∈ {s, n, p}The child chooses an effort level et ∈ [0, 1] (unobserved by parents)

A shock εt , unobserved by parents, is drawn

Child’s human capital realization, Gt , becomes public

Parents update their initial beliefs pt−1

The stage game is repeated

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 8 / 16

Page 39: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

The gameInformation structure and order of moves

There are two forward looking players: the parent and the child

Two periods

Child’s effort is imperfectly monitored by parents (moral hazard)

Parents are uncertain about the child’s valuation of her human capital(adverse selection)

The order of moves in the stage game is as follows:

Conditional on the stock of human capital, Gt−1 and the beliefsabout the type of the child, pt−1, parents choose one of threeparenting styles: strict, neutral, permissive; Rt ∈ {s, n, p}The child chooses an effort level et ∈ [0, 1] (unobserved by parents)

A shock εt , unobserved by parents, is drawn

Child’s human capital realization, Gt , becomes public

Parents update their initial beliefs pt−1

The stage game is repeated

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 8 / 16

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The gameInformation structure and order of moves

There are two forward looking players: the parent and the child

Two periods

Child’s effort is imperfectly monitored by parents (moral hazard)

Parents are uncertain about the child’s valuation of her human capital(adverse selection)

The order of moves in the stage game is as follows:

Conditional on the stock of human capital, Gt−1 and the beliefsabout the type of the child, pt−1, parents choose one of threeparenting styles: strict, neutral, permissive; Rt ∈ {s, n, p}The child chooses an effort level et ∈ [0, 1] (unobserved by parents)

A shock εt , unobserved by parents, is drawn

Child’s human capital realization, Gt , becomes public

Parents update their initial beliefs pt−1

The stage game is repeatedMarco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 8 / 16

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PrimitivesChild’s Preferences

Child:

cares about leisure and prefers loose limits

cares about her human capital

ut =

{(1− et)w(Rt) if t = 1, 2ωiG2 , i ∈ {L,H} when the game is over

where:

0 < ωL < ωH

w(Rt) = I [Rt = s] + I [Rt = n]µn + I [Rt = p]µp

µp > µn > µs = 1⇒ stricter limits diminish the value of recreationalactivities

parents have a prior p0 on the vector of types ω at the beginning ofthe first period

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 9 / 16

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PrimitivesChild’s Preferences

Child:

cares about leisure and prefers loose limits

cares about her human capital

ut =

{(1− et)w(Rt) if t = 1, 2ωiG2 , i ∈ {L,H} when the game is over

where:

0 < ωL < ωH

w(Rt) = I [Rt = s] + I [Rt = n]µn + I [Rt = p]µp

µp > µn > µs = 1⇒ stricter limits diminish the value of recreationalactivities

parents have a prior p0 on the vector of types ω at the beginning ofthe first period

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 9 / 16

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PrimitivesChild’s Preferences

Child:

cares about leisure and prefers loose limits

cares about her human capital

ut =

{(1− et)w(Rt) if t = 1, 2ωiG2 , i ∈ {L,H} when the game is over

where:

0 < ωL < ωH

w(Rt) = I [Rt = s] + I [Rt = n]µn + I [Rt = p]µp

µp > µn > µs = 1⇒ stricter limits diminish the value of recreationalactivities

parents have a prior p0 on the vector of types ω at the beginning ofthe first period

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 9 / 16

Page 44: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

PrimitivesChild’s Preferences

Child:

cares about leisure and prefers loose limits

cares about her human capital

ut =

{(1− et)w(Rt) if t = 1, 2ωiG2 , i ∈ {L,H} when the game is over

where:

0 < ωL < ωH

w(Rt) = I [Rt = s] + I [Rt = n]µn + I [Rt = p]µp

µp > µn > µs = 1⇒ stricter limits diminish the value of recreationalactivities

parents have a prior p0 on the vector of types ω at the beginning ofthe first period

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 9 / 16

Page 45: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

PrimitivesChild’s Preferences

Child:

cares about leisure and prefers loose limits

cares about her human capital

ut =

{(1− et)w(Rt) if t = 1, 2ωiG2 , i ∈ {L,H} when the game is over

where:

0 < ωL < ωH

w(Rt) = I [Rt = s] + I [Rt = n]µn + I [Rt = p]µp

µp > µn > µs = 1⇒ stricter limits diminish the value of recreationalactivities

parents have a prior p0 on the vector of types ω at the beginning ofthe first period

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 9 / 16

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PrimitivesParents’ Preferences

Parents

Care about the child’s human capital

Dislike strict parenting

Parents’ preferences are given by:

vt =

{y(Rt) if t = 1, 2log(G2) when the game is over.

with:

y(Rt) = −I [Rt = s]cs − I [Rt = n]cn

cs > cn > cp = 0⇒ stricter limits imply an higher monitoring cost

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 10 / 16

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PrimitivesParents’ Preferences

Parents

Care about the child’s human capital

Dislike strict parenting

Parents’ preferences are given by:

vt =

{y(Rt) if t = 1, 2log(G2) when the game is over.

with:

y(Rt) = −I [Rt = s]cs − I [Rt = n]cn

cs > cn > cp = 0⇒ stricter limits imply an higher monitoring cost

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 10 / 16

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PrimitivesParents’ Preferences

Parents

Care about the child’s human capital

Dislike strict parenting

Parents’ preferences are given by:

vt =

{y(Rt) if t = 1, 2log(G2) when the game is over.

with:

y(Rt) = −I [Rt = s]cs − I [Rt = n]cn

cs > cn > cp = 0⇒ stricter limits imply an higher monitoring cost

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 10 / 16

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PrimitivesParents’ Preferences

Parents

Care about the child’s human capital

Dislike strict parenting

Parents’ preferences are given by:

vt =

{y(Rt) if t = 1, 2log(G2) when the game is over.

with:

y(Rt) = −I [Rt = s]cs − I [Rt = n]cn

cs > cn > cp = 0⇒ stricter limits imply an higher monitoring cost

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 10 / 16

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PrimitivesParents’ Preferences

Parents

Care about the child’s human capital

Dislike strict parenting

Parents’ preferences are given by:

vt =

{y(Rt) if t = 1, 2log(G2) when the game is over.

with:

y(Rt) = −I [Rt = s]cs − I [Rt = n]cn

cs > cn > cp = 0⇒ stricter limits imply an higher monitoring cost

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 10 / 16

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PrimitivesHuman Capital Production Function

Human Capital Gt is produced according to the following production function:

Gt = F (et ,Gt−1; εt) = γ[eαt − αet ]G

βt−1εt

with G0 > 0, εt ∼ exp(λ), α ∈ (0, 1) and γ, β > 0. This implies that:

Gt ∈ [0,∞)

Bayes’ rule applies everywhere

MLRP property holds

In particular:

G0 incorporates initial differences in ability/motivation, quality of instruction

Gt is observable and measured by test scores

εt captures i.i.d. unobservable inputs

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 11 / 16

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PrimitivesHuman Capital Production Function

Human Capital Gt is produced according to the following production function:

Gt = F (et ,Gt−1; εt) = γ[eαt − αet ]G

βt−1εt

with G0 > 0, εt ∼ exp(λ), α ∈ (0, 1) and γ, β > 0. This implies that:

Gt ∈ [0,∞)

Bayes’ rule applies everywhere

MLRP property holds

In particular:

G0 incorporates initial differences in ability/motivation, quality of instruction

Gt is observable and measured by test scores

εt captures i.i.d. unobservable inputs

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 11 / 16

Page 53: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

PrimitivesHuman Capital Production Function

Human Capital Gt is produced according to the following production function:

Gt = F (et ,Gt−1; εt) = γ[eαt − αet ]G

βt−1εt

with G0 > 0, εt ∼ exp(λ), α ∈ (0, 1) and γ, β > 0. This implies that:

Gt ∈ [0,∞)

Bayes’ rule applies everywhere

MLRP property holds

In particular:

G0 incorporates initial differences in ability/motivation, quality of instruction

Gt is observable and measured by test scores

εt captures i.i.d. unobservable inputs

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 11 / 16

Page 54: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

PrimitivesHuman Capital Production Function

Human Capital Gt is produced according to the following production function:

Gt = F (et ,Gt−1; εt) = γ[eαt − αet ]G

βt−1εt

with G0 > 0, εt ∼ exp(λ), α ∈ (0, 1) and γ, β > 0. This implies that:

Gt ∈ [0,∞)

Bayes’ rule applies everywhere

MLRP property holds

In particular:

G0 incorporates initial differences in ability/motivation, quality of instruction

Gt is observable and measured by test scores

εt captures i.i.d. unobservable inputs

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 11 / 16

Page 55: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

PrimitivesHuman Capital Production Function

Human Capital Gt is produced according to the following production function:

Gt = F (et ,Gt−1; εt) = γ[eαt − αet ]G

βt−1εt

with G0 > 0, εt ∼ exp(λ), α ∈ (0, 1) and γ, β > 0. This implies that:

Gt ∈ [0,∞)

Bayes’ rule applies everywhere

MLRP property holds

In particular:

G0 incorporates initial differences in ability/motivation, quality of instruction

Gt is observable and measured by test scores

εt captures i.i.d. unobservable inputs

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 11 / 16

Page 56: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

PrimitivesHuman Capital Production Function

Human Capital Gt is produced according to the following production function:

Gt = F (et ,Gt−1; εt) = γ[eαt − αet ]G

βt−1εt

with G0 > 0, εt ∼ exp(λ), α ∈ (0, 1) and γ, β > 0. This implies that:

Gt ∈ [0,∞)

Bayes’ rule applies everywhere

MLRP property holds

In particular:

G0 incorporates initial differences in ability/motivation, quality of instruction

Gt is observable and measured by test scores

εt captures i.i.d. unobservable inputs

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 11 / 16

Page 57: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

PrimitivesHuman Capital Production Function

Human Capital Gt is produced according to the following production function:

Gt = F (et ,Gt−1; εt) = γ[eαt − αet ]G

βt−1εt

with G0 > 0, εt ∼ exp(λ), α ∈ (0, 1) and γ, β > 0. This implies that:

Gt ∈ [0,∞)

Bayes’ rule applies everywhere

MLRP property holds

In particular:

G0 incorporates initial differences in ability/motivation, quality of instruction

Gt is observable and measured by test scores

εt captures i.i.d. unobservable inputs

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 11 / 16

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Equilibrium

Solution concept: PBE

I focus my attention on the class of cut-off equilibria

Lemma: For any finite number of types, there exists a unique equilibrium inwhich :

1 the child plays a type monotonic strategy, i.e. children with higher ωi

choose more effort in both periods2 parents

play a cut-off strategy in the second period of the form:

R2 =

strict if 0 < G1 < G

neutral if G ≤ G1 < G

permissive otherwise.

where G ≥ G ≥ 0 are endogenously determined cut-offsThere exists a unique optimal action R1 ∈ {s, n, p} as function of the initialchild’s human capital and beliefs about her type

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 12 / 16

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Equilibrium

Solution concept: PBEI focus my attention on the class of cut-off equilibria

Lemma: For any finite number of types, there exists a unique equilibrium inwhich :

1 the child plays a type monotonic strategy, i.e. children with higher ωi

choose more effort in both periods2 parents

play a cut-off strategy in the second period of the form:

R2 =

strict if 0 < G1 < G

neutral if G ≤ G1 < G

permissive otherwise.

where G ≥ G ≥ 0 are endogenously determined cut-offsThere exists a unique optimal action R1 ∈ {s, n, p} as function of the initialchild’s human capital and beliefs about her type

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 12 / 16

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Equilibrium

Solution concept: PBEI focus my attention on the class of cut-off equilibria

Lemma: For any finite number of types, there exists a unique equilibrium inwhich :

1 the child plays a type monotonic strategy, i.e. children with higher ωi

choose more effort in both periods2 parents

play a cut-off strategy in the second period of the form:

R2 =

strict if 0 < G1 < G

neutral if G ≤ G1 < G

permissive otherwise.

where G ≥ G ≥ 0 are endogenously determined cut-offsThere exists a unique optimal action R1 ∈ {s, n, p} as function of the initialchild’s human capital and beliefs about her type

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 12 / 16

Page 61: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Equilibrium

Solution concept: PBEI focus my attention on the class of cut-off equilibria

Lemma: For any finite number of types, there exists a unique equilibrium inwhich :

1 the child plays a type monotonic strategy, i.e. children with higher ωi

choose more effort in both periods

2 parents

play a cut-off strategy in the second period of the form:

R2 =

strict if 0 < G1 < G

neutral if G ≤ G1 < G

permissive otherwise.

where G ≥ G ≥ 0 are endogenously determined cut-offsThere exists a unique optimal action R1 ∈ {s, n, p} as function of the initialchild’s human capital and beliefs about her type

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 12 / 16

Page 62: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Equilibrium

Solution concept: PBEI focus my attention on the class of cut-off equilibria

Lemma: For any finite number of types, there exists a unique equilibrium inwhich :

1 the child plays a type monotonic strategy, i.e. children with higher ωi

choose more effort in both periods2 parents

play a cut-off strategy in the second period of the form:

R2 =

strict if 0 < G1 < G

neutral if G ≤ G1 < G

permissive otherwise.

where G ≥ G ≥ 0 are endogenously determined cut-offsThere exists a unique optimal action R1 ∈ {s, n, p} as function of the initialchild’s human capital and beliefs about her type

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 12 / 16

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Empirical Implementation

The NLSY97 provides information about youths living in the UnitesStates born between 1980 and 1984

My sample consists of about 1500 children between the ages of 12and 13 in 1997 (1984 cohort)

I use the curfew variable as a proxy for parenting style

The PIAT Math test scores measure children’s cognitive skills

Self declared time spent doing homework proxy for effort

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 13 / 16

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Empirical Implementation

The NLSY97 provides information about youths living in the UnitesStates born between 1980 and 1984

My sample consists of about 1500 children between the ages of 12and 13 in 1997 (1984 cohort)

I use the curfew variable as a proxy for parenting style

The PIAT Math test scores measure children’s cognitive skills

Self declared time spent doing homework proxy for effort

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 13 / 16

Page 65: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Empirical Implementation

The NLSY97 provides information about youths living in the UnitesStates born between 1980 and 1984

My sample consists of about 1500 children between the ages of 12and 13 in 1997 (1984 cohort)

I use the curfew variable as a proxy for parenting style

The PIAT Math test scores measure children’s cognitive skills

Self declared time spent doing homework proxy for effort

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 13 / 16

Page 66: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Empirical Implementation

The NLSY97 provides information about youths living in the UnitesStates born between 1980 and 1984

My sample consists of about 1500 children between the ages of 12and 13 in 1997 (1984 cohort)

I use the curfew variable as a proxy for parenting style

The PIAT Math test scores measure children’s cognitive skills

Self declared time spent doing homework proxy for effort

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 13 / 16

Page 67: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Empirical Implementation

The NLSY97 provides information about youths living in the UnitesStates born between 1980 and 1984

My sample consists of about 1500 children between the ages of 12and 13 in 1997 (1984 cohort)

I use the curfew variable as a proxy for parenting style

The PIAT Math test scores measure children’s cognitive skills

Self declared time spent doing homework proxy for effort

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 13 / 16

Page 68: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Estimation and Fit

I estimate the parameters of model by SML, by iterating between thenumerical solution of the model, achieved through the solution of asystem on non-linear equations, and the calculation of the likelihoodfunction

Parental prior about a child’a type is allowed to differ across families

Children differ in terms of their “valuation” type and the initialhuman capital

The probability statements which constitute the likelihood areconstructed by using measurement error

The model can generate the age pattern of parenting styles andhuman capital observed in the data

The model overpredicts the probability of switching from one toanother parenting regime

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 14 / 16

Page 69: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Estimation and Fit

I estimate the parameters of model by SML, by iterating between thenumerical solution of the model, achieved through the solution of asystem on non-linear equations, and the calculation of the likelihoodfunction

Parental prior about a child’a type is allowed to differ across families

Children differ in terms of their “valuation” type and the initialhuman capital

The probability statements which constitute the likelihood areconstructed by using measurement error

The model can generate the age pattern of parenting styles andhuman capital observed in the data

The model overpredicts the probability of switching from one toanother parenting regime

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 14 / 16

Page 70: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Estimation and Fit

I estimate the parameters of model by SML, by iterating between thenumerical solution of the model, achieved through the solution of asystem on non-linear equations, and the calculation of the likelihoodfunction

Parental prior about a child’a type is allowed to differ across families

Children differ in terms of their “valuation” type and the initialhuman capital

The probability statements which constitute the likelihood areconstructed by using measurement error

The model can generate the age pattern of parenting styles andhuman capital observed in the data

The model overpredicts the probability of switching from one toanother parenting regime

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 14 / 16

Page 71: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Estimation and Fit

I estimate the parameters of model by SML, by iterating between thenumerical solution of the model, achieved through the solution of asystem on non-linear equations, and the calculation of the likelihoodfunction

Parental prior about a child’a type is allowed to differ across families

Children differ in terms of their “valuation” type and the initialhuman capital

The probability statements which constitute the likelihood areconstructed by using measurement error

The model can generate the age pattern of parenting styles andhuman capital observed in the data

The model overpredicts the probability of switching from one toanother parenting regime

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 14 / 16

Page 72: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Estimation and Fit

I estimate the parameters of model by SML, by iterating between thenumerical solution of the model, achieved through the solution of asystem on non-linear equations, and the calculation of the likelihoodfunction

Parental prior about a child’a type is allowed to differ across families

Children differ in terms of their “valuation” type and the initialhuman capital

The probability statements which constitute the likelihood areconstructed by using measurement error

The model can generate the age pattern of parenting styles andhuman capital observed in the data

The model overpredicts the probability of switching from one toanother parenting regime

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 14 / 16

Page 73: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Estimation and Fit

I estimate the parameters of model by SML, by iterating between thenumerical solution of the model, achieved through the solution of asystem on non-linear equations, and the calculation of the likelihoodfunction

Parental prior about a child’a type is allowed to differ across families

Children differ in terms of their “valuation” type and the initialhuman capital

The probability statements which constitute the likelihood areconstructed by using measurement error

The model can generate the age pattern of parenting styles andhuman capital observed in the data

The model overpredicts the probability of switching from one toanother parenting regime

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 14 / 16

Page 74: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Estimation and Fit

I estimate the parameters of model by SML, by iterating between thenumerical solution of the model, achieved through the solution of asystem on non-linear equations, and the calculation of the likelihoodfunction

Parental prior about a child’a type is allowed to differ across families

Children differ in terms of their “valuation” type and the initialhuman capital

The probability statements which constitute the likelihood areconstructed by using measurement error

The model can generate the age pattern of parenting styles andhuman capital observed in the data

The model overpredicts the probability of switching from one toanother parenting regime

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 14 / 16

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A Thought Experiment

I use the model to assess the impact of strict parenting: the child inleft no autonomy regardless of his performances

Under certain assumption this experiment can be thought as if thegovernment takes out of the hands of the parents the decision aboutthe curfew (mandatory curfew law)

The results indicate that the the average effect (ATE) of this publicpolicy would increase children’s human capital by about 3%

The distribution of the policy would be different depending on theinitial conditions

Table: Distribution of Level Effect

G1 G2 G3 G4 G5 G6 G7 G8 G9 G1024.99% 27.51% 15.86% 2.2% 8.57% 4.82% −5.78% −7.23% −4.98% −13.88%

Intuition: Because children like loose limits a curfew law restricts theinstruments available to parents to reward good performances

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 15 / 16

Page 76: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

A Thought Experiment

I use the model to assess the impact of strict parenting: the child inleft no autonomy regardless of his performances

Under certain assumption this experiment can be thought as if thegovernment takes out of the hands of the parents the decision aboutthe curfew (mandatory curfew law)

The results indicate that the the average effect (ATE) of this publicpolicy would increase children’s human capital by about 3%

The distribution of the policy would be different depending on theinitial conditions

Table: Distribution of Level Effect

G1 G2 G3 G4 G5 G6 G7 G8 G9 G1024.99% 27.51% 15.86% 2.2% 8.57% 4.82% −5.78% −7.23% −4.98% −13.88%

Intuition: Because children like loose limits a curfew law restricts theinstruments available to parents to reward good performances

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 15 / 16

Page 77: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

A Thought Experiment

I use the model to assess the impact of strict parenting: the child inleft no autonomy regardless of his performances

Under certain assumption this experiment can be thought as if thegovernment takes out of the hands of the parents the decision aboutthe curfew (mandatory curfew law)

The results indicate that the the average effect (ATE) of this publicpolicy would increase children’s human capital by about 3%

The distribution of the policy would be different depending on theinitial conditions

Table: Distribution of Level Effect

G1 G2 G3 G4 G5 G6 G7 G8 G9 G1024.99% 27.51% 15.86% 2.2% 8.57% 4.82% −5.78% −7.23% −4.98% −13.88%

Intuition: Because children like loose limits a curfew law restricts theinstruments available to parents to reward good performances

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 15 / 16

Page 78: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

A Thought Experiment

I use the model to assess the impact of strict parenting: the child inleft no autonomy regardless of his performances

Under certain assumption this experiment can be thought as if thegovernment takes out of the hands of the parents the decision aboutthe curfew (mandatory curfew law)

The results indicate that the the average effect (ATE) of this publicpolicy would increase children’s human capital by about 3%

The distribution of the policy would be different depending on theinitial conditions

Table: Distribution of Level Effect

G1 G2 G3 G4 G5 G6 G7 G8 G9 G1024.99% 27.51% 15.86% 2.2% 8.57% 4.82% −5.78% −7.23% −4.98% −13.88%

Intuition: Because children like loose limits a curfew law restricts theinstruments available to parents to reward good performances

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 15 / 16

Page 79: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

A Thought Experiment

I use the model to assess the impact of strict parenting: the child inleft no autonomy regardless of his performances

Under certain assumption this experiment can be thought as if thegovernment takes out of the hands of the parents the decision aboutthe curfew (mandatory curfew law)

The results indicate that the the average effect (ATE) of this publicpolicy would increase children’s human capital by about 3%

The distribution of the policy would be different depending on theinitial conditions

Table: Distribution of Level Effect

G1 G2 G3 G4 G5 G6 G7 G8 G9 G1024.99% 27.51% 15.86% 2.2% 8.57% 4.82% −5.78% −7.23% −4.98% −13.88%

Intuition: Because children like loose limits a curfew law restricts theinstruments available to parents to reward good performances

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 15 / 16

Page 80: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Conclusions

In this paper I addressed the issue of “optimal parenting” by providingan estimable model of parent-child interaction

The emphasis was on incorporating both dynamics and asymmetricinformation/moral hazard, consistently with the existing literature onparent-child interaction and recent empirical evidence

Some extensions are possible: multiple periods and the use ofdifferent types of limits

Parent-child interaction is still a black-box: more research in familyeconomics is needed to enrich the existing framework

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 16 / 16

Page 81: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Conclusions

In this paper I addressed the issue of “optimal parenting” by providingan estimable model of parent-child interaction

The emphasis was on incorporating both dynamics and asymmetricinformation/moral hazard, consistently with the existing literature onparent-child interaction and recent empirical evidence

Some extensions are possible: multiple periods and the use ofdifferent types of limits

Parent-child interaction is still a black-box: more research in familyeconomics is needed to enrich the existing framework

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 16 / 16

Page 82: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Conclusions

In this paper I addressed the issue of “optimal parenting” by providingan estimable model of parent-child interaction

The emphasis was on incorporating both dynamics and asymmetricinformation/moral hazard, consistently with the existing literature onparent-child interaction and recent empirical evidence

Some extensions are possible: multiple periods and the use ofdifferent types of limits

Parent-child interaction is still a black-box: more research in familyeconomics is needed to enrich the existing framework

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 16 / 16

Page 83: - Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in ...€¦ · Parenting Style and the Development of Human Capital in Children Marco Cosconati Bank of Italy & IZA Marco Cosconati

Conclusions

In this paper I addressed the issue of “optimal parenting” by providingan estimable model of parent-child interaction

The emphasis was on incorporating both dynamics and asymmetricinformation/moral hazard, consistently with the existing literature onparent-child interaction and recent empirical evidence

Some extensions are possible: multiple periods and the use ofdifferent types of limits

Parent-child interaction is still a black-box: more research in familyeconomics is needed to enrich the existing framework

Marco Cosconati (Bank of Italy & IZA) 16 / 16


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