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Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong 2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual Constituency Kowloon WestFrequency Tables Appendix II-1 Part 1 Detailed Breakdown of Contact Information of the Survey and Calculation of Overall Response Rate Table 1 Calculation of overall response rate Overall Response Rate = Successful cases Successful cases + Incomplete cases + Refusal cases by eligible respondents ^ + Refusal cases by prorated-eligible respondents* = 1,009 1,009 + 42 +12 +562[(1,009 + 42 + 12) / (1,009+ 42 + 12 + 658)] = 71.6% ^ Including “household-level refusal” and “known respondent refusal”. *Figure obtained by prorata. Table 2 Detailed breakdown of contact information of the survey Frequency Percentage Respondents’ ineligibility confirmed 2,078 36.1 Fax/ data line 113 2.0 Invalid number 852 14.8 Call-forwarding/ mobile/ pager number 26 0.5 Non-residential number 175 3.0 Special technological difficulties 254 4.4 No eligible respondents 658 11.4 Respondents’ eligibility not confirmed 1,846 32.0 Line busy 92 1.6 No answer 915 15.9 Answering device 21 0.4 Call-blocking 128 2.2 Language problem 124 2.1 Interview terminated before the screening question 562 9.7 Others 4 0.1 Respondents’ eligibility confirmed, but failed to complete the interview 836 14.6 Household-level refusal 4 0.1 Known respondent refusal 8 0.1 Appointment date beyond the fieldwork period 767 13.3 Partial interview 42 0.8 Miscellaneous 15 0.3 Successful cases 1,009 17.5 Total 5,769 100.0
Transcript
Page 1: Part 1 Detailed Breakdown of Contact Information of the Survey … · Call-forwarding/ mobile/ pager number 26 0.5 Non-residential number 175 3.0 Special technological difficulties

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong 2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual Constituency【Kowloon West】 Frequency Tables

Appendix II-1

Part 1 Detailed Breakdown of Contact Information of the Survey and Calculation of Overall Response Rate

Table 1 Calculation of overall response rate

Overall Response Rate = Successful cases Successful cases + Incomplete cases + Refusal cases by eligible

respondents ^ + Refusal cases by prorated-eligible respondents*

= 1,009 1,009 + 42 +12 +562[(1,009 + 42 + 12) / (1,009+ 42 + 12 + 658)]

= 71.6%

^ Including “household-level refusal” and “known respondent refusal”. *Figure obtained by prorata. Table 2 Detailed breakdown of contact information of the survey

Frequency PercentageRespondents’ ineligibility confirmed 2,078 36.1

Fax/ data line 113 2.0 Invalid number 852 14.8 Call-forwarding/ mobile/ pager number 26 0.5 Non-residential number 175 3.0 Special technological difficulties 254 4.4 No eligible respondents 658 11.4

Respondents’ eligibility not confirmed 1,846 32.0

Line busy 92 1.6 No answer 915 15.9 Answering device 21 0.4 Call-blocking 128 2.2 Language problem 124 2.1 Interview terminated before the screening question 562 9.7 Others 4 0.1

Respondents’ eligibility confirmed, but failed to complete the interview 836 14.6

Household-level refusal 4 0.1 Known respondent refusal 8 0.1 Appointment date beyond the fieldwork period 767 13.3 Partial interview 42 0.8 Miscellaneous 15 0.3

Successful cases 1,009 17.5

Total 5,769 100.0

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Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong 2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual Constituency【Kowloon West】 Frequency Tables

Appendix II-2

Part 2 General Questions Table 3a If the Legislative Council elections were to be held tomorrow, and you had the right to vote, which candidate or list would you vote for?(Interviewers read out the names of

candidates who would stand for elections, A11 and A12. The random order of the names would be displayed on the computer. Only one answer is allowed. )

Frequency Percentage

James To of DP 86 17.2 Frederick Fung of ADPL 54 11.0 Selina Chow of LP 48 9.6 Jasper Tsang of DAB 45 9.1 Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU 43 8.7 Any list from the pro-democracy camp 34 6.8 Cyd Ho of CA 30 6.0 Any list from the pro-china camp 5 1.0 Chung Kong Mo of DAB 4 0.9 Bruce Liu of ADPL 4 0.8 Eric Wong of DP 2 0.5 Depend on the overall team-up and will not vote

for a specific candidate 3

0.6

Cast blank votes / Elect nobody 20 4.1 Won’t vote 20 4.1

Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 98 19.7 Total 497 100.0

Missing 5

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Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong 2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual Constituency【Kowloon West】 Frequency Tables

Appendix II-3

Table 3b 【Excluding those respondents answered “Depend on the overall team-up and will not

vote for a specific candidate”, “Cast blank votes / Elect nobody” and “Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say”】 If the Legislative Council elections were to be held tomorrow, and you had the right to vote, which candidate or list would you vote for?(Interviewers read out the names of

candidates who would stand for elections, A11 and A12. The random order of the names would be displayed on the computer. Only one answer is allowed. )

Frequency Percentage

James To of DP 86 24.1 Frederick Fung of ADPL 54 15.3 Selina Chow of LP 48 13.4 Jasper Tsang of DAB 45 12.7 Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU 43 12.1 Any list from the pro-democracy camp 34 9.5 Cyd Ho of CA 30 8.3 Any list from the pro-China camp 5 1.4 Chung Kong Mo of DAB 4 1.3 Bruce Liu of ADPL 4 1.2 Eric Wong of DP 2 0.7

Total 355 100.0

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Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong 2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual Constituency【Kowloon West】 Frequency Tables

Appendix II-4

Table 4 Hypothetical joint vote share (1st choice) attained by potential candidates after teaming up any two.

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM APD APC

JT 24.8% 32.4% 39.4% 25.3% 36.2% 37.5% 24.1% 36.8% 25.4% 33.6% 25.5% EW 24.8% 9.0% 16.0% 1.9% 12.8% 14.1% 0.7% 13.4% 2.0% 10.2% 2.1% CH 32.4% 9.0% 23.6% 9.5% 20.4% 21.7% 8.3% 21.0% 9.6% 17.8% 9.7% FF 39.4% 16.0% 23.6% 16.5% 27.4% 28.7% 15.3% 28.0% 16.6% 24.8% 16.7% BL 25.3% 1.9% 9.5% 16.5% 13.3% 14.6% 1.2% 13.9% 2.5% 10.7% 2.6%

LCS 36.2% 12.8% 20.4% 27.4% 13.3% 25.5% 12.1% 24.8% 13.4% 21.6% 13.5% SC 37.5% 14.1% 21.7% 28.7% 14.6% 25.5% 13.4% 26.1% 14.7% 22.9% 14.8% JW 24.1% 0.7% 8.3% 15.3% 1.2% 12.1% 13.4% 12.7% 1.3% 9.5% 1.4% JTS 36.8% 13.4% 21.0% 28.0% 13.9% 24.8% 26.1% 12.7% 14.0% 22.2% 14.1%

CKM 25.4% 2.0% 9.6% 16.6% 2.5% 13.4% 14.7% 1.3% 14.0% 10.8% 2.7% APD 33.6% 10.2% 17.8% 24.8% 10.7% 21.6% 22.9% 9.5% 22.2% 10.8% 10.9%

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APC 25.5% 2.1% 9.7% 16.7% 2.6% 13.5% 14.8% 1.4% 14.1% 2.7% 10.9% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

* This table is for rough reference only. It must be stated that, the calculation of the joint vote share was based on a mere summation of individual

vote shares obtained by each candidate or list within a team. In real-life situations, some of the team-ups may be quite unlikely. Also, while people’s voting behaviours are highly unpredictable, the summation of individual vote shares obtained by each candidate or list within a team may not necessarily reflect the joint vote shares of those candidates or lists after the team-ups.

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Appendix II-5

Table 5 Vote share obtained by each candidate if the respondents’ first choice dropped out from elections.

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT 24.2% 27.0% 29.1% 24.4% 28.8% 26.2% 24.2% 25.1% 24.3% EW 4.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% CH 15.3% 8.5% 9.9% 8.5% 9.8% 11.0% 8.5% 8.6% 8.5% FF 19.3% 15.2% 17.5% 15.6% 17.6% 17.2% 15.2% 15.7% 15.3% BL 2.0% 1.1% 1.1% 3.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1%

LCS 16.5% 12.4% 14.1% 14.5% 12.2% 15.1% 12.1% 12.9% 12.1% SC 14.5% 13.5% 14.1% 16.0% 13.9% 15.6% 13.5% 18.3% 13.8% JW 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% JTS 13.1% 12.7% 13.5% 13.4% 12.7% 13.3% 15.1% 12.7% 13.0%

CKM 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 6.3% APD 12.8% 9.6% 9.6% 10.5% 9.6% 10.4% 10.5% 9.6% 9.7% 9.9%

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APC 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

* Reading method: This table’s horizontal-axis and vertical-axis indicate the respondents’ first choices and second choices respectively, while the shaded area indicates the

absence of a specific candidate or a list. In other words, the first column of this table shows the vote shares obtained by other candidates if James To dropped out. (For example, Eric Wong would obtain 4% of vote share and Cyd Ho would obtain 15% of vote share, etc.).

First choice Second choice

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Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong 2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual Constituency【Kowloon West】 Frequency Tables

Appendix II-6

Table 6 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (James To and another one dropped out).

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT EW 5.2% 5.8% 4.5% 5.3% 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% CH 17.7% 21.4% 17.4% 23.4% 21.2% 17.3% 17.5% 17.3% FF 22.6% 28.1% 22.9% 27.7% 25.2% 21.7% 23.1% 21.8% BL 2.3% 2.3% 5.1% 2.3% 2.6% 2.2% 2.6% 2.2%

LCS 20.0% 24.5% 24.1% 18.7% 22.8% 18.5% 19.8% 18.6% SC 17.1% 19.0% 21.0% 16.8% 19.1% 16.3% 21.8% 16.7% JW 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% JTS 14.8% 16.0% 15.9% 14.8% 16.5% 17.5% 14.7% 15.1%

CKM 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 7.1% APD 3.9% 3.6% 5.1% 3.5% 4.3% 4.3% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8%

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APC 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

* Reading method: The table’s shaded area indicates the absence of a specific candidate or a list. For example, the second column of this table shows the vote shares obtained by

other candidates if both James To and Eric Wong dropped out. (For example, Cyd Ho would obtain 17.7% of vote share and Frederick Fung would obtain 22.6% of vote share, etc.).

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Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong 2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual Constituency【Kowloon West】 Frequency Tables

Appendix II-7

Table 7 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Eric Wong and another one dropped out).

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT 30.4% 32.8% 27.4% 32.9% 29.5% 27.2% 28.3% 27.3% EW CH 17.7% 11.1% 9.6% 11.1% 12.5% 9.5% 9.6% 9.5% FF 22.6% 19.6% 17.5% 19.9% 19.3% 17.4% 17.7% 17.1% BL 2.3% 1.3% 3.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3%

LCS 20.0% 16.1% 16.7% 14.0% 17.4% 13.9% 14.8% 14.0% SC 17.1% 15.8% 18.0% 15.6% 17.6% 15.2% 20.6% 15.6% JW 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% JTS 14.8% 15.2% 15.1% 14.3% 15.0% 17.0% 14.2% 14.6%

CKM 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 7.1% APD 3.9% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%

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APC 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

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Appendix II-8

Table 8 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Cyd Ho and another one dropped out).

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT 30.4% 38.3% 30.6% 37.0% 33.2% 30.4% 31.7% 30.5% EW 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% CH 5.2% FF 19.6% 20.1% 23.9% 23.4% 19.6% 20.4% 19.7% BL 28.1% 1.3% 3.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3%

LCS 2.3% 16.1% 19.1% 15.9% 20.1% 15.8% 16.8% 15.9% SC 24.5% 15.8% 19.1% 16.2% 18.4% 15.8% 21.4% 16.2% JW 19.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% JTS 0.0% 15.2% 16.2% 15.3% 16.1% 18.1% 15.2% 15.6%

CKM 16.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 7.4% APD 1.3% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%

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APC 3.6% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

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Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong 2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual Constituency【Kowloon West】 Frequency Tables

Appendix II-9

Table 9 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Frederick Fung and another one dropped out).

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT 32.8% 38.3% 33.8% 40.6% 36.4% 32.8% 34.2% 32.9% EW 5.8% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% CH 21.4% 11.1% 11.6% 13.5% 14.6% 11.1% 11.4% 11.2% FF BL 5.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 3.6% 4.0% 3.6%

LCS 24.1% 16.7% 19.1% 16.9% 21.1% 16.4% 17.4% 16.4% SC 21.0% 18.0% 19.1% 19.2% 21.5% 18.0% 23.8% 18.4% JW 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% JTS 15.9% 15.1% 16.2% 15.2% 16.3% 19.0% 15.1% 15.5%

CKM 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 7.4% APD 5.1% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0%

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APC 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

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Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong 2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual Constituency【Kowloon West】 Frequency Tables

Appendix II-10

Table 10 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Bruce Liu and another one dropped out).

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT 27.4% 30.6% 33.8% 32.7% 29.8% 27.4% 28.6% 27.5% EW 4.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% CH 17.4% 9.6% 11.6% 11.1% 12.6% 9.6% 9.7% 9.6% FF 22.9% 17.5% 20.1% 20.3% 19.9% 17.5% 18.2% 17.6% BL

LCS 18.7% 14.0% 15.9% 16.9% 17.2% 13.7% 14.6% 13.7% SC 16.8% 15.6% 16.2% 19.2% 18.0% 15.6% 21.1% 16.0% JW 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% JTS 14.8% 14.3% 15.3% 15.2% 15.0% 17.2% 14.3% 14.7%

CKM 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 7.1% APD 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%

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APC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

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Appendix II-11

Table 11 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Lau Chin Shek and another one dropped out).

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT 32.9% 37.0% 40.6% 32.7% 36.2% 32.5% 33.8% 32.6% EW 5.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% CH 23.4% 11.1% 13.5% 11.1% 15.0% 11.0% 11.3% 11.1% FF 27.7% 19.9% 23.9% 20.3% 23.5% 19.8% 20.9% 19.9% BL 2.3% 1.3% 1.3% 3.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.3%

LCS SC 19.1% 17.6% 18.4% 21.5% 18.0% 17.5% 23.2% 17.9% JW 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% JTS 16.5% 15.0% 16.1% 16.3% 15.0% 18.8% 14.9% 15.3%

CKM 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 7.6% APD 4.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 0.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0%

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APC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

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Appendix II-12

Table 12 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Selina Chow and another one dropped out).

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT 29.5% 33.2% 36.4% 29.8% 36.2% 29.5% 32.6% 29.6% EW 4.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% CH 21.2% 12.5% 14.6% 12.6% 15.0% 12.5% 13.2% 12.5% FF 25.2% 19.3% 23.4% 19.9% 23.5% 19.3% 21.2% 19.7% BL 2.6% 1.6% 1.6% 4.4% 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% 1.6%

LCS 22.8% 17.4% 20.1% 21.1% 17.2% 17.4% 19.1% 17.1% SC JW 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 0.3% JTS 17.5% 17.0% 18.1% 19.0% 17.2% 18.8% 17.0% 17.4%

CKM 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 8.0% APD 4.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 0.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0%

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APC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

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Appendix II-13

Table 13 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (John Wong and another one dropped out).

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT 27.2% 30.4% 32.8% 27.4% 32.5% 29.5% 28.3% 27.3% EW 4.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% CH 17.3% 9.5% 11.1% 9.6% 11.0% 12.5% 9.6% 9.5% FF 21.7% 17.4% 19.6% 17.5% 19.8% 19.3% 17.7% 17.1% BL 2.2% 1.3% 1.3% 3.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3%

LCS 18.5% 13.9% 15.8% 16.4% 13.7% 17.4% 14.5% 13.7% SC 16.3% 15.2% 15.8% 18.0% 15.6% 17.5% 20.6% 15.6% JW JTS 14.7% 14.2% 15.2% 15.1% 14.3% 14.9% 17.0% 14.6%

CKM 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 7.1% APD 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.3%

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APC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

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Appendix II-14

Table 14 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Jasper Tsang and another one dropped out).

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT 28.3% 31.7% 34.2% 28.6% 33.8% 32.6% 28.3% 29.3% EW 4.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% CH 17.5% 9.6% 11.4% 9.7% 11.3% 13.2% 9.6% 10.0% FF 23.1% 17.7% 20.4% 18.2% 20.9% 21.2% 17.7% 19.0% BL 2.6% 1.6% 1.6% 4.0% 1.7% 2.8% 1.6% 1.7%

LCS 19.8% 14.8% 16.8% 17.4% 14.6% 19.1% 14.5% 15.0% SC 21.8% 20.6% 21.4% 23.8% 21.1% 23.2% 20.6% 23.3% JW 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% JTS

CKM 7.1% 7.1% 7.4% 7.4% 7.1% 7.6% 8.0% 7.1% APD 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.3%

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APC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

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Appendix II-15

Table 15 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Chung Kong Mo and another one dropped out).

Candidate / List JT EW CH FF BL LCS SC JW JTS CKM

JT 27.3% 30.5% 32.9% 27.5% 32.6% 29.6% 27.3% 29.3% EW 4.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% CH 17.3% 9.5% 11.2% 9.6% 11.1% 12.5% 9.5% 10.0% FF 21.8% 17.1% 19.7% 17.6% 19.9% 19.7% 17.1% 19.0% BL 2.2% 1.3% 1.3% 3.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 1.7%

LCS 18.6% 14.0% 15.9% 16.4% 13.7% 17.1% 13.7% 15.0% SC 16.7% 15.6% 16.2% 18.4% 16.0% 17.9% 15.6% 23.3% JW 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% JTS 15.1% 14.6% 15.6% 15.5% 14.7% 15.3% 17.4% 14.6%

CKM APD 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.3%

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APC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% Initials:

[A1] James To of DP JT [A2] Eric Wong of DP EW [A3] Cyd Ho of CA CH [A4] Frederick Fung of ADPL FF [A5] Bruce Liu of ADPL BL [A6] Lau Chin Shek of HKCTU LCS [A7] Selina Chow of LP SC [A8] John Wong of LP JW [A9] Jasper Tsang of DAB JTS [A10] Chung Kong Mo of DAB CKM [A11] Any list from the pro-democracy camp APD [A12] Any list from the pro-China camp APC

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Appendix II-16

Table 16 If [choice in Q1] dropped out from elections, which one of them above would you vote for?(Interviewer can remind the respondents of names of remaining candidates or parties. Only

one answer is allowed.)

Frequency

Percentage of respondents (Base=316)

Percentage of total sample (Base=502)

James To of DP 43 13.5 8.5 Lau Chin-shek of HKCTU 41 13.0 8.2 Cyd Ho of CA 41 12.9 8.1 Selina Chow of LP 37 11.7 7.4 Frederick Fung of ADPL 37 11.6 7.3 Chung Kong Mo of DAB 18 5.6 3.5 Any list from the pro-democracy camp 17 5.5 3.5 Bruce Liu of ADPL 13 4.1 2.6 Jasper Tsang of DAB 13 4.1 2.6 Eric Wong of DP 12 3.9 2.4 John Wong of LP 2 0.8 0.5 Any list from the pro-China camp 1 0.3 0.2 Depend on the overall team-up and will not

vote for a specific candidate 1 0.2

0.1

Cast blank votes/Elect nobody 6 1.9 1.2 Won’t vote 12 3.6 2.3 Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 13 7.2 4.5

Total 316 100.0 Missing 16

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Appendix II-17

Table 17 If [choice in Q2] dropped out from elections, which one of them above would you vote for?(Interviewer can remind the respondents of names of remaining candidates or parties. Only

one answer is allowed.)

Frequency

Percentage of respondents (Base=256)

Percentage of total sample (Base=502)

Frederick Fung of ADPL 44 17.1 8.7 Lau Chin-shek of HKCTU 30 11.9 6.1 Cyd Ho of CA 26 10.1 5.2 James To of DP 22 8.7 4.5 Selina Chow of LP 21 8.4 4.3 Any list from the pro-democracy camp 9 3.6 1.8 Jasper Tsang of DAB 8 3.0 1.5 John Wong of LP 7 2.7 1.4 Eric Wong of DP 6 2.2 1.1 Any list from the pro-China camp 5 2.1 1.1 Bruce Liu of ADPL 3 1.3 0.7 Chung Kong Mo of DAB 3 1.1 0.6 Depend on the overall team-up and will not

vote for a specific candidate 2 0.6

0.3

Cast blank votes/Elect nobody 14 5.5 2.8 Won’t vote 32 12.6 6.4 Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 23 9.2 4.7

Total 256 100.0 Missing 10

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Appendix II-18

Table 18 If [Interviewer to read out the first six choices ascendingly] and some independent candidates took part in the election in your district, which parties or candidates you would never support? (Multiple answers are allowed, interviewers to probe if there are any other answers)

Frequency

Percentage of responses (Base: 555 responses out

of 492 respondents)

Percentage of respondents (Base=492)

DAB 164 29.6 33.4 DP 87 15.7 17.7 LP 26 4.7 5.3 HKCTU 17 3.0 3.4 ADPL 15 2.7 3.1 CA 11 2.0 2.3 No party affiliation / Independent 17 3.1 3.5 Support nobody 20 3.6 4.0 Not yet decide / Don’t know / Hard to say 164 29.5 33.2 Won’t answer hypothetical question /

Actual situation is different 33 6.0 6.8

Total 555 100.0

Missing 10

Table 19 [Only ask those who supported Democratic Party or pro-democracy camp in Q1-Q3] If Democratic Party and pro-democracy camp took part in the election in one list, would you vote for this list?

Frequency

Percentage of respondents (Base=296)

Percentage of total sample (Base=502)

Yes 161 54.6 32.2 No 66 22.4 13.2

Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 68 23.0 13.5 Total 296 100.0

Missing 2

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Appendix II-19

Table 20 Will you vote for a list, no matter you like or dislike the candidates on the list, for the purpose of supporting the camp which appeals to you?

Frequency Percentage

Yes 98 39.5 No 135 54.3 Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 15 6.2

Total 248 100.0

Missing 48 Table 21 If the camp you support gave out some instructions to the electorates on the allocation of votes, such as casting your vote to another list belonging to the same camp according to your ID card number or birthday, would you follow?

Frequency Percentage

Yes 37 14.9 No 185 75.4 Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 24 9.7

Total 246 100.0

Missing 48 Table 22 Are you a registered voter?

Frequency Percentage

Yes (including those who have just registered) 385 77.0 No 115 23.0

Total 501 100.0 Missing 1

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Appendix II-20

Table 23 【Only for registered voters】 When did you register as a voter?【Deduced from the year, input exact number】

Frequency

Percentage of respondents (Base=385)

Percentage of total sample (Base=502)

This year, 2004, which means no more than 1 year

33 ) 8.6 ) 6.6 )

Last year, 2003, which means no more than 2 years

20 ) 5.1 ) 3.9 )

No more than 3 years 18 ) 4.7 ) 3.6 ) No more than 4 years 14 ) 85 3.7 ) 22.2 2.9 ) 17.0 4 years or above 107 27.9 21.3

Forgotten 192 50.0 38.3 Total 385 100.0

Missing 0

Table 24 【Only for registered voters】Did you vote in the District Council Election last

November?

Frequency

Percentage of respondents (Base=385)

Percentage of total sample (Base=502)

Yes 229 59.5 45.6 No: because the councillors were

automatically elected 12 ) 3.1 ) 2.4 )

No: can vote but has not voted 97 ) 25.3 ) 19.4 ) No: not yet registered at that time 37 ) 146 9.6 ) 38.0 7.4 ) 29.2

Forgotten 10 2.5 1.9 Total 385 100.0

Missing 0

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Appendix II-21

Table 25 【Only for registered voters】Have you ever voted in the past Council elections in different tiers?

Frequency

Percentage of respondents (Base= 383)

Percentage of total sample (Base=502)

Yes 317 82.7 63.1 No: not yet registered at that time 41 ) 10.7 ) 8.1 ) No: can vote but has not voted 22 ) 63 5.8 ) 16.5 4.5 ) 12.6

Forgotten 3 0.8 0.6 Total 383 100.0

Missing 2

Table 26 【Only for registered voters】 Will you vote in the coming Legislative Council Election in September?

Frequency

Percentage of respondents (Base=385)

Percentage of total sample (Base=502)

Definitely yes 200 ) 51.9 ) 39.9 ) Most likely yes 97 ) 297 25.3 ) 77.2 19.4 ) 59.3

Most likely no 8 ) 2.1 ) 1.6 ) Definitely no 7 ) 15 1.8 ) 3.9 1.4 ) 3.0

Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say

73 18.9 14.5

Total 385 100.0 Miss 0

Table 27 Did you participate in the July 1 rally last year?

Frequency Percentage

Yes 79 15.8 No 420 84.2

Total 498 100.0 Missing 4

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Appendix II-22

Table 28 Did you participate in the January 1 rally?

Frequency Percentage

Yes 20 3.9 No 476 95.3 Don’t know / Forgotten 4 0.8

Total 499 100.0 Missing 3


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