Participation. collective intelligence & health h cist 10 nov 2017

Collective Intelligence & Health

huntingmammoths.com [email protected]


huntingmammoths.com

Josep Mª Monguet



Crowdfunding

Co-creation

Social netsMOOC’s

e-Democracy

Do it yourself

Collaborative

design

CrowdsourcingCollaborative

economy

Shared

knowledge

Prediction market

Livinglabs

Collective

action

Collective data



Management

Design

CommunicationEducation

Politics

Crowdfunding

Co-creation

Social netsMOOC’s

e-Democracy

TechnologyDo it yourself

Collaborative

design


economy

Shared

knowledge

Prediction market

Livinglabs

Collective

action

Collective data

New drivers of…



Management

Design

Education

Crowdfunding

Co-creation

Social netsMOOC’s

e-Democracy


Participation Collaborative

design


economy

Shared

knowledge

Prediction market

Livinglabs

Collective

action

Collective data

Communication

Politics



New mental framework

+ Participation+ Efficiency



0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

“Co-creation” GS

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

"Collective Intelligence" GS

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

“Health participation” GS

Domains of Participation



Participation

Marginality

Heath domain

Professional Patient



Participation

Marginality

It’s becoming a citizens right

New scale for the involvement in everyday personal lifeComplex & multidimensional


Heath domain



Participation

Marginality


Involvement in:- Decision making- Control of personal health

Innovation in - Professional practice - Service delivery

Heath domain



Participation

Marginality




Coproduction of services

Collaboration

Heath domain



Collaboration


Participation

Less dependencyMore results

Marginality




Heath domain



Collaboration


Participation

Involvement in the health system designFeeling of belonging and sense

Marginality



Professional Patient Less dependency

More results

Heath domain



Consensus

Diversity

Co-creation

Decision making

Prediction

Co-learning

Participation



CulturesWhich areas &sensitivities

covers the group?

ActivitiesWhich tools has the group to

perform as a group?Relationships

Which is the learning capacity of the group?

Building a collective intelligence environment

Participation

Consensus

DiversityCo-learning



SharingWhat’s going to happen?

ReasoningWhich one is the priority?

Acting How can we

work together?

Applying “participation engineering”

Participation

Co-creation

Decision making

Prediction




perform as a group?


Participation

Consensus




If the arithmetic mean was one of the

participants, it would always win.

Consensus

Value of the group



Condorcet’s jury theoremConsensus



The audience joker ¡Consensus

90 % of the times the

guess of the audience

is correct

Slumdog millionaire, 2006



Delphi methodConsensus

RAND Corp. 1959Olaf Helmer, Norman Dalkey & Nicholas Rescher.

We will share an

scenario of how the

third world war would

be…



Delphi methodConsensus

Capture experts opinion probability & intensity of enemy attacks.

Other experts anonymously giving feedback.

Process was repeated several times (Rounds) until a consensus emerged.

RAND Corp. 1959Olaf Helmer, Norman Dalkey & Nicholas Rescher.



Case/ Spine Surgery Aggressiveness Score

European Spine Study Group

Consensus



Consensus

Modifying factorsRevision surgeryImplant density Location (lumbar/thoracic)Surgeon experience

Surgical actionsSegment fusionDecompressionPosterior interbody fusionSPO (schwab type 2)PSO (schwab 3 and 4)VCR (schwab 5 and 6)Pelvic fixation Cement augmentation




Consensus

21.8

Actionsn of fused segments: 6n Decompressed segments: 0Pelvic fixation: no (0)…

FactorsImplant density: 1.54Surgical team: surgeon alone…




Consensus

60.4

Actionsn of fused segments: 10n Decompressed segments: 2Pelvic fixation: yes (1)…

FactorsImplant density: 1.9Surgical team: surgeon alone…




1

Consensus

Modifying factorsRevision surgeryImplant density Location (lumbar/thoracic)Surgeon experience

Surgical actionsSegment fusionDecompressionPosterior interbody fusionSPO (schwab type 2)PSO (schwab 3 and 4)VCR (schwab 5 and 6)Pelvic fixation Cement augmentation

4 - 40




Consensus




Consensus




Consensus

Case/ Critical laboratory results



Consensus




Consensus

Specialities




Consensus




CulturesWhich characteristics

has the group?

Consensus


Participation




IQ Score Classification> 145 Genius130–144 Gifted120–129 Superior110–119 Above Average90–109. Average80–89 Below Average70–79 Borderline impaired55–69 Mildly Impaired< 54 Moderately Impaired

What does it really matter in group intelligence?Diversity



IQ Score Classification> 145 Genius130–144 Gifted120–129 Superior110–119 Above Average90–109. Average80–89 Below Average70–79 Borderline impaired55–69 Mildly Impaired< 54 Moderately Impaired

Diversity

What does it really matter in group intelligence?



Diversity

Each 10% +in ethnical and racial

diversity in an executive

senior team

0,8% + Profits of the company




Levels of diversity

Optimal diversity =+ Creativity

+ Management of

cognitive conflicts

SuperficialGenderRace Age

ProfoundValues and believesPersonality profileAbilities

Diversity




Past

Control Centrality

Complexity Low

DiversityIt’s perceived as a problem

Participation Concession

Threat Change

DiversitySociodiversity increases knowledge, ideas & resilience.



Past Present

Control Centrality Majorities

Complexity Low Relevant


Accepted

Participation Concession Empowerment

Threat Change Artificial limitations

Diversity

+ Sociodiversity g + Knowledge, ideas & resilience



+ Sociodiversity g + Knowledge, ideas & resilience

Past Present Future

Control Centrality Majorities Collective intelligence

Complexity Low Relevant Growing non stop


Accepted A lot will be needed

Participation Concession Empowerment Science of citizens

Threat Change Artificial limitations Lack of values

Diversity



Case / How may be measured “team intelligence“?

Can you guess my

current emotion?

Diversity

Correlated with: • Average social sensitivity of group members• Equality in distribution of conversational turn-taking• Proportion of females in the group

Surprised ı Joking ı Happy ı Sure



Diversitat

http://team.onsanity.com

Individual profiles can be mixed to

see the profile of the group

http://onsanity.com/project-view/team-

equilibrium-management/

About Team equilibrium

Team equilibrium

Case/ How may be measured “team intelligence“?

http://team.onsanity.com/index.php

http://team.onsanity.com/index.php

http://team.onsanity.com/

http://onsanity.com/project-view/team-equilibrium-management/

http://onsanity.com/project-view/team-equilibrium-management/



RelationshipsWhich are the learning

capacity as a group


Participation

Consensus




Frequency of knowledge doubling?

co-Learning

1900 1950 2000

10025

1

Knowledge as a highly complex flux.




How this explosion

can be managed ?

co-Learning

Frequency of knowledge doubling?



co-Learning

Real time Big data: Unconscious consensus




• 10.000 enrolled per course*

• Free, low cost or paid.

• Teaching: Top world experts.

• Students contribution through

assessment activities.

* 2016. Approximate values: 60.000.000 student in 6.000 MOOC courses.

co-Learning

Case/ Massive-Online-Open-Courses.



co-Learning

Case/ Massive-Online-Open-Courses.

Consensus as a pedagogical resource



CulturesWhich characteristics

has the group?


perform as a group?Relationships

Which are the learning capacity as a group ?


Participation

Consensus






Acting How can we

work together?

Applying “participation engineering”

Participation

Co-creation

Decision making

Prediction



Applying participation engineering

Participation

Co-creation

Decision making

Prediction




Prediction

The past of the future

Joining visions, future can be partially seen.



Aggregate the opinion of

carefully selected experts to

identify credible scenarios

The future can be one of the diverse options that we can imagine, assess and debate.

Prediction




Prediction market

Investing money (simulated) in the probability that an event occurs is an incentive to make more accurate predictions.

Prediction






Participation

Co-creation

Decision making

Prediction



Shared leadership:

Decisions

If so, we have the right to participate

Are we affected by the decision?

+ Values and transparency- Power and status quo

Deciding the most convenient option



Ars electionis. Llull

Voting by coupelsBinary exhaustive comparisons

Couples = n*(n-1) / 2

Decisions




Selecting some ideas from thousands.

Decisions




Case/ Explosion of decisions in healthDecisions

Open

international

marketplace

for diagnosis

One error in

every two

decisions



Last Mile Health

patientslikeme.com

Decisions

Sant Joan de Déu

NHS

Case/ Explosion of decisions in health




Participation

Co-creation

Decision making

Prediction Acting

How can we work together?



co-Creation

Consumers: from YES or NO to Co-creation



“Los catalanes hacen cosas”*

I feel creative

1980 2010

20%

60%

co-Creation

2020

*”Catalans do things”




Purchase decisions based on

consensus among groups of

individuals with different roles.

Selling by consensus

co-Creation




Case/ New stakeholders landing in healthco-Creation

London Health Commission

hackingmedicine.mit.edu

Startup + Health



Management

Design

Education

DomainsCrowdfunding

Co-creation

Social netsMOOC’s

e-Democracy


Collaborative

design


economy

Shared

knowledge

Prediction market

Livinglabs

Collective

action

Collective data

Communication

Politics

Health



BarriersParticipation

Consensus

Diversity

Co-creation

Decision making

Prediction

Co-learning



BarriersParticipation

Consensus

Diversity

Co-creation

Decision making

Prediction

Co-learning

Are managers willing to share control?

Are users prepared and motivated?

Is society overcoming consumerism?

Are organizations

moving towards new

paradigms ?

Are we conscious

about other people's interests?

Does we actually

want to take control

of our future?



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Participation. collective intelligence & health h cist 10 nov 2017

Health & Medicine