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Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

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Past, present and future risk of disasters: Key drivers of future disaster risk 2016-2020 And Beyond The Global Disaster Hotspots map for disaster mortality risk.
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Page 1: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

Past, present and future riskof disasters:

Key drivers of future disaster risk

2016-2020 And Beyond

The Global Disaster Hotspots map for disaster mortality risk.

Page 2: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

MARCH 15, 2015: THE SECONDWORLD CONFERENCE ON

DISASTER RISK REDUCTIONCONVENED IN SENDAI, JAPAN

WILL RE-INVIGORATE THEHISTORIC GLOBAL ENDEAVOR

STARTED IN 1990 BY THE UNITEDNATIONS

Page 3: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

FACT:THE WORLD CONFERENCECALLED FOR RENEWED ACTION

• Each country isinvited to play amajor role in thepost-conferencecall for a “GlobalTsunami ofAction”

Page 4: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

FACT: THE GOAL IS CLEAR ANDSTILL THE SAME:

REDUCTION OF GLOBALVULNERABILITIES AND

ACCELERATION OF DISASTER RISKREDUCTION

THROUGH IMPLEMENTATION OF“THE BEST POLICIES AND BEST

PRACTICES”

Page 5: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

A DISASTER is still------ the set of failures that occur whenthe continuums of: 1) people, 2)community (i.e., a set of habitats,livelihoods, and social constructs),and 3) recurring events (e.g., floods,earthquakes, ...,) intersect at a point inspace and time, when and where thepeople and community are not ready.

Page 6: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

FACT:NATURAL HAZARDS STILLCAUSE MEGA-DISASTERS

• FLOODS• SEVERE

WINDSTORMS• EARTHQUAKES• DROUGHTS• VOLCANIC

ERUPTIONS• ETC.

Page 7: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

FACT:THE PEOPLE CONTINUUM ISGROWING WITH TIME

• 7 + BILLIONdistributedthroughout theworld; many invulnerable,high-risk com-munities

Page 8: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

FACT:MANY COMMUNITIES ARE PARA-LYZED BY FOUR WEAKNESSES

• IGNORANCE• APATHY• DISCIPLINARY

BOUNDARIES• LACK OF CAPACITY

Page 9: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

INTERSECTION OF THESECONTINUUMS IS INEVITABLE

MOST FUTUREINTERSECTIONS WILL CAUSE

A DISASTER, OR A MEGA-DISASTER, UNLESS - - -

Page 10: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IS THE WAY FORWARDDISASTER RISK REDUCTION IS THE WAY FORWARD

200 NATIONS AND 7+

BILLION PEOPLE

200 NATIONS AND 7+

BILLION PEOPLE

NORTHAMERICANORTH

AMERICA

CARIBBEANBASIN

CARIBBEANBASIN

SUB-SAHARAAFRICA

SUB-SAHARAAFRICA

MEDITER-RANEAN

MEDITER-RANEAN

ISLANDNATIONSISLAND

NATIONSASIAASIA

SOUTHAMERICASOUTH

AMERICA

EUROPEEUROPE

Page 11: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

FACT: EVERY COMMUNITY CAN REDUCEVULNERABILITIES IN NEW/EXISTING - - -

• GOVERNMENTCENTERS

• DWELLINGS• SCHOOLS• HEALTH CARE

FACILITIES• BUSINESSES• INFRA-STRUCTURE• ETC

Page 12: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

LIKE A CHAIN: A COMMUNITY HASWEAK LINKS TO STRENGTHEN

Page 13: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

THE GOAL: ADOPTBEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES

INNOVATIVE ACTIONS: CREATE, ADJUST,AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS ANDPEOPLE UNTIL YOU HAVE CREATED THEPARADIGM SHIFTS THAT ARE NEEDED TOMOVE AWAY FROM FAILED POLICIES ANDPRACTICES TOWARDS PROVEN DISASTERRISK REDUCTION ONES

Page 14: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

YOURCOMMUNITY

YOURCOMMUNITYDATA BASES

AND INFORMATIONDATA BASESAND INFORMATION

HAZARDS:GROUND SHAKINGGROUND FAILURESURFACE FAULTINGTECTONIC DEFORMATIONTSUNAMI RUN UPAFTERSHOCKS

•FLOODS•SEVERE WINDSTORMS•EARTHQUAKES…ETC

A DISASTER

CAUSESFAILURES IN POLICIES

FAILURES IN PRACTICES

BEST POLICIES ANDPRACTICES

• ADOPTION•IMPLEMENTATION

DISASTER RISKREDUCTION

Page 15: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

BEST POLICIES AND PRACTICES FORDISASTER RISK REDUCTION

Anticipatory PreparednessAdoption and Implementation of ModernEngineering Building Codes & Standards

Timely Early Warning and EvacuationTimely Emergency Response (including

Emergency Medical Services)Cost-Effective Recovery/Reconstruction

Page 16: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk
Page 17: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk
Page 18: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

LIKE AN INFINITE SERIES: A CONTINUUMOF INNOVATION NEVER ENDS

Page 19: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

BEST POLICIES AND BESTPRACTICES

WILL IDENTIFY/CLOSEKNOWLEDGE DIVIDES AND GAPS,

ANDIDENTIFY/FIX WEAK LINKS IN THE

PEOPLE/COMMUNITYCONTINUUMS

Page 20: Past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: Key drivers of future disaster risk

BEST POLICIES AND BESTPRACTICES WILL

CALL FOR STRATEGICPLANNING AND

INNOVATIVE USE OFTECHNOLOGY

BEST POLICIES AND BESTPRACTICES WILL

CALL FOR STRATEGICPLANNING AND

INNOVATIVE USE OFTECHNOLOGY


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