Paying for Health Care
Intensive SeminarHarvard Business School
January 16, 2019
Mary Witkowski, M.D., M.B.A. Fellow at Harvard Business SchoolHarry Wolberg, M.P.P. Research Associate at Harvard Business School
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter2
Move to Value-Based Payment Models
Capitation/Population Based Payments
Bundled Payment
Pay for care for a life
Pay for care for conditions(acute, chronic) and primary care segments
• Both approaches create positive incentives for reducing costs and separating payment from performing particular services
• Capitation at the hospital or system level can coexist with bundle payment at the condition level
Fee for Service
Global Budgets
Volume Value
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
• A single risk-adjusted payment for the overall care for a life
Value-Based “Capitated” Payment Models
ACO Capitation Bundled Payment
• Responsible for all needed care in the broad covered population
• Accountable for population level quality metrics
• Providers take disease incidence risk, not just execution/outlier risk
• A single risk adjusted payment for the overall care for a condition or specific patient population
• Covers the full set of services needed over an acute care cycle, or a defined time period for chronic care or primary care
• Contingent on condition-specificoutcomes patient by patient− Including responsibility for avoidable
complications
• At risk for the execution on the bundle of care
3
− Leads to focus on generic high cost areas across the population
− Avoid “leakage”
− Accurate risk adjustment is highly challenging
• Primary Care Physician led independent ACOs have better results
• Primary Care Bundle for a population segment
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Primary Care: Capitation versus Bundled PaymentGlobal Capitation
$55 per person per month
Bundles for Primary Care
$25
$45
$105
$30 $35
$90
Healthy Adult
Chronic Mental Health Population
Healthy Pediatrics
Poor & Frail Elderly
Women's’ healthChinese-speaking community
>2 Severe Co-Morbidities
End of Life$140
$110
• Segmenting patients by primary and chronic care condition encourages multi-disciplinary practice groups to form and deliver better, more integrated and comprehensive care for that condition/sub-population.
• By measuring costs and outcomes for patients within each segment, we can offer a bundled, outcome-contingent, and risk-adjusted payment appropriate for that condition/sub-population.
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter5
Setting the Design of the Bundled Payment
6 Key Design Elements
1. Define the medical condition and cycle of care
2. Assign the accountable entity
3. Define the patient population
4. Set condition-specific outcomes
5. Define and manage risk
6. Determine the price
PayerProvider
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Transparency
6
• Almost all hospitals could tell you their parking prices, but almost none could provide the cost of a health care service
• Even when available, prices are worthless if they are unintelligible• “HC PTC CLOS PAT DUCT ART” for $42,596• “2-D ECHO TTE COMP NO CONTRST” for $2,283
• Outcomes measures are also often incomprehensible to patients
• There are currently 27 AHRQ Patient Safety Indicators including: • Decubitus ulcer; Iatrogenic pneumothorax
Informed consent – cannot happen without outcomes and cost impact to the patient• Barriers: health plans hold this information hostage, providers refuse
to measure outcomes, PCP who refer based on their friends
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter7
Adoption of Bundled Payments
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Moving to Bundled PricingCommon Concerns
1. Providers will cherry pick, treating only younger, healthier patients while avoiding high risk patients
8
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Moving to Bundled PricingCommon Concerns
• Bundles are risk-adjusted (e.g., Swedish spine bundle) which will mitigate cherry picking and encourage treatment of sicker patients
9
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter10
Moving to Bundled PricingCommon Concerns
1. Providers will cherry pick, treating only younger, healthier patients while avoiding high risk patients
2. Procedure based bundles will foster more procedures
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter11
Appropriate Care is Critical for Value
Two types of appropriate use questions:
1. Is this the correct diagnosis (over or under diagnosing)?
2. Is this the correct treatment given the patient’s condition?
There are three requirements that are necessary & sufficient for addressing appropriate use:
1. Broadening bundled payment definitions to encompass the decision and outcomes of alternative treatment paths
2. Utilizing evidence-based guidelines for Appropriate Use Criteria (AUC)
3. Outcome measurement (baseline and result)
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter12
Moving to Bundled PricingCommon Concerns
1. Providers will cherry pick, treating only younger, healthier patients while avoiding high risk patients
2. Procedure based bundles will foster more procedures
3. Physicians are accountable for outcomes even when they do not controlother clinicians
Rotator Cuff Tear Bundle
Fosters collaboration among involved providers and drives integrated care
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Management Control 101, The Controllability Principle: Responsibility and Accountability
Narrow Wide
FewResources
ManyResources
What Resources do I Control?
What Measures Am I Accountable For?
Few Measures
Many Measures
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Bundled Payments will Stimulate Innovative, Entrepreneurial Behavior
Entrepreneurs pursue opportunities — internally and externally —without regard to the resources they currently control
Stevenson and Jarillo,Harvard Business School definition of Entrepreneurs
Narrow Wide
FewResources
ManyResources
Span of Control
Span of Accountability
Few Measures
Many Measures
The Entrepreneurial Gap
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
1. Providers will cherry pick, treating only younger, healthier patients while avoiding high risk patients
2. Procedure based bundles can lead the number of procedures to increase
3. Physicians are accountable for outcomes even when they do not control all aspects of the care cycle
4. Bundles are practical for surgery with a highly standardized care cycle, but not for medicine-based conditions, chronic conditions, and primary care
Moving to Bundled PricingOvercoming Obstacles
Moving to Bundled PricingCommon Concerns
• Bundles can be developed for non-surgical care, chronic conditions, and primary care population segments (e.g., healthy adults, adults with Type 2 diabetes, frail elderly with multiple co-morbidities).
15
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter16
Integrating Population and Condition Value Base Payments
Fee forService
Capitation/ Population
Based Payments
Condition Based
Bundled Payments
Pay for care for primarycare segments andconditions (acute,
chronic) with innovative partnership relationships
Both approaches create positive incentives for reducing costs and detaching payment from performing particular services
GlobalBudgets
Primary Care Bundle or ACO for
specific population
Condition Based
Bundled Payments
Capitation at the hospital or system level can coexist with bundle payment at the condition level
Shift to Value
Umbrella Model Partnership Model
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Employer Sponsored Insurance represents over one-third of the U.S. Healthcare Market
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Private Health Insurance – Traditional Business Model
Health Benefits PlanProviders
• Build networks• Negotiate prices• Claims Processing
• Payment processing• Utilization review & prior authorization• Set premiums• Manage Benefits (customer service, bill pay, etc.)
Employer
• Health care premiums for large employers are ~ 5% of total operating expenses.
• Employers receive little to no information about employee outcomes from their health benefits plans
• Experience rating => Employers ultimately bear the full risk for claims cost
Charge 15-20% (above claims) for “insurance,” administrative expenses and profits
18
Premium Growth vs Wage & Inflation
Copyright 2017 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Costs to Employers of Poor Health
• Absenteeismo Cost of wage of replacement workero Administrative cost of managing absent
worker & finding coverageo Morale of overworked employees who
have to “make up for those absent”o Quality impact of replacement /
temporary staff
• Presenteeismo Lack of productivityo Decreased quality
Can be >2x out-of-pocket costs
20
2121© Michael Porter and Robert Kaplan, 2017
Thank you