Date post: | 14-Jul-2015 |
Category: |
Technology |
Upload: | mike-lee |
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Perspective on AARP.org 20th Anniversary
By Mike Lee
DSO All-Staff MeetingJanuary 22, 2015
Adoption rates of consumer technologies in the U.S.9 - 91% penetration vertical, years 1900-2074 horizontal, 2015 in red
Last 20 years of AARP.org in orange
Growth of internet added
Lifespan to date of AARP in yellow
S-curve of technology adoption
Adoption phases
InnovatorsEarly Adopters
Early Majority
Late Majority
Laggards
Stove, 1900-1958, 58 years
Phone, 1903-1976, 73 years
Electricity, 1908-1950, 42 years
Car, 1915-1990, 75 years
Radio, 1925-1948, 23 years
TV, 1951-1964, 13 years
Microwave, 1979-2006, 27 years
VCR, 1983-2003, 30 years
PC, 1985-2015, 30 years
Cellphone, 1993-2006, 13 years
Internet, 1993-2015, 22 years
Smartphone, 2007-2015, 8 years
Tablet, 2011-2015, 4 years
All examples
Human life expectancy overlay
Baby boomers (AARP grew to serve them)
Traced from my boomer birth year…
Mike’s expected lifespan based on 1961 birth: ~71 years
25% chance of making it past age 96 in 2056
Technology and human lifespans. What’s next?
The full Asymco chart.
Will send PowerPoint with your own editable lifespan.
Source of the chart:
http://www.asymco.com/2013/11/18/seeing-whats-next-2/
http://www.asymco.com/2013/11/19/a-way-to-measure-ones-life/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqgvpitlWJs
A life expectancy calculator:
http://time.com/3485579/when-will-i-die-life-expectancy-calculator/