Photo Credit: Dianne Arrigoni COLLABORATION: SEA-LEVEL MARIN ADAPTATION RESPONSE TEAM (C-SMART) Stakeholder Advisory Committee (SAC) Meeting #1 July 10, 2014 Community Development Agency 3501 Civic Center Drive, Suite 308 San Rafael, CA 94903 415 473 6269 T / 415 473 7880 F
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Slide 1
Photo Credit: Dianne Arrigoni C OLLABORATION : S EA - LEVEL M
ARIN A DAPTATION R ESPONSE T EAM (C-SMART) Stakeholder Advisory
Committee (SAC) Meeting #1 July 10, 2014 Community Development
Agency 3501 Civic Center Drive, Suite 308 San Rafael, CA 94903 415
473 6269 T / 415 473 7880 F marinslr.org
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Time Period North of Cape Mendocino 3 South of Cape Mendocino
2000 - 2030 -4 to 23 cm (-1.6 to 9.1 in) 4 to 30 cm (1.56 to 11.8
in) 2000 2050 -3 to 48 cm (-1.2 to 18.9 in) 12 to 61 cm (4.7 to 24
in) 2000 2100 10 to 143 cm (3.9 to 56.3 in) 42 to 167 cm (16.5 to
65.7 in) Sea-Level Rise Projections using 2000 as the Baseline
National Academy of Sciences: Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of
California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future, 2012
Annual Mean Sea Level, San Francisco Tide Gauge
www.psmsl.org/data/obtaining/stations/10.php Our Coast, Our Future
website data.prbo.org/apps/ocof/
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Identifying Future Risk with CoSMoS 1. Global forcing using the
latest climate models 3. Scaled down to local hazards projections
2. Drives global and regional wave models
June 2014 April 2015 March 2015 January 2016 March 2015
February 2016 Sensitivit y Exposure Local SLR Projection s Asset
Mapping Potential Impact Adaptive Capacity Vulnerabilit y Adaptatio
n Strategies Action Plan C-SMART Process
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A SSET M APPING & I NVENTORYING Mapping people;
livelihoods; environmental services and resources; infrastructure;
or economic, social, or cultural assets Agricultural land Protected
areas Public beaches and parks Dunes River & streams Wetland
areas Habitat areas Oyster beds Sandspits Shorebirds Roads and
transportation Trails Buildings Residential development Commercial
buildings School Elderly/mobility limited facilities Hotels/Motels
Harbors and marinas Fishing, aquaculture facilities Utilities &
services Septic leach fields Water Supply wells Archeological/
Paleontological sites Historic sites
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A DAPTIVE C APACITY The ability or potential of a system or
asset to respond successfully to climate variability and change
(IPCC, 2007).
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P OTENTIAL I MPACT The types of effects on human and natural
systems could experience. Storm Scenario Frequency NoneAnnual20
Year100 Year Year 2010 XXXX 2030 XXXX 2050 XXXX 2100 XXXX
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5)Living Shorelines The Bay Institute Horizontal Levees Oyster
Beds
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Photo Credit: Dianne Arrigoni October 13, 2014 Community
Development Agency 3501 Civic Center Drive, Suite 308 San Rafael,
CA 94903 415 473 6269 T / 415 473 7880 F marinslr.org
WWW.MARINSLR.ORG