Intelligence Analysts’ pivotal role
in ILP
“The security environment has undergone theequivalent of a shift in tectonic plate, with theresult that only shifts of an equivalent magnitude inthe way we think about this environment andanalyse the new security threats will provide anadequate basis for good intelligence and sounddecision-making in the first few decades of the 21st
century.”
Prof Phil Williams
Challenges for Intelligence Analysis in LE
• Ignorance of what IA can do and best practice from IC
• Increasing intelligence blind spots
• Creating a niche in fast & connected world
• Silo functioning despite pleas for info & know-how sharing across boundaries
• Synergising operational and strategic analysis
• Adapting management style & organizational culture
The role of intelligence analysts: Decision-support
Support operations
Explain problems & issues
Promote situational awareness
Guide use of
resources
The role of the analyst
• Environmental
scanning
• Indicator
development
• Synergise threat
perception with
priorities
• ID clients
• ID information
gaps
• Collection
planning
• Recommend
targets/problem
Plan
• Select
appropriate
collection
method
• Collect
OSINT
• Build
relationships
• Evaluate
sources of
information
• Answer 5W’s
& H
• Answer “So
what?”
• Use various
tools &
methods
• Informed
insight about
the past,
present and
future
• ID strategies
for action
• Trends
• Threats /
Risk /
opportunity
assessment
• Policy
implications
• Target
profiles,
operational
reports etc
Collect Analyse Produce
Stra
tegi
cO
pe
rati
on
alP
roce
ss
Prerequisites for successful intelligence
• There is an identifiable decision-making system to support
• There is a will to think ahead in both intelligence
and the decision-making system
• There is a will to apply results in both intelligence and the decision-making system
Neil Quarmby, 2004
IALEIA Background
• Founded in 1980 in the US
• Now: more than 1600 members in over 50 countries in 6 continents
• The purpose of IALEIA is to advance the intelligence analysis profession in ALL disciplines locally, nationally and internationally
How does IALEIA do that?
• Influence decision-making
• Advise on analysis issues
• Forge partnerships
• Promote research & publishing
• Provide networking platform/space
IALEIA: Training & Education
• Increasing tertiary programmes in intelligence and/or intelligence analysis in US & UK
• Membership: Academic institution & student
• Scholarship: Grantham University, US (distance learning)
• Members involved with International Association for Intelligence Educators (IAFIE)
• Certification of professional training
Publications
• Intelligence Models and Best Practices
• Intelligence Led Policing: Getting Started
• Guidelines for starting an Analytical Unit
• LE Analytical Standards• Successful LE using analytical
methods• Continuing Professional
Development Workbook & Portfolio
Recognition & Awards
• To the organization making the most significant progress utilizing intelligence analytical techniques to support law enforcement objectives on national/international, province/state, local/city
• To individuals for outstanding contributions as intelligence analysts to the achievement of law enforcement objectives
• To a law enforcement executive for outstanding support and recognition of the intelligence analysis function
Professional Certification
Society of
Certified
Criminal Analysts
Why IALEIA?
Strategic level:
– Speaking with one voice
– Influencing decision makers on analysis issues
– Building professionalism
– Applying standards and common rules
– Growing awareness of analysis
Why IALEIA?
Tactical level:
– Share know-how
– Build relationships across boundaries
– Improve analysis capacity
Situation in Africa
Limited understanding and use of intelligence as decision support
All 3 prerequisites absent Limited international visibility &
recognition International Past 3 years: an awakening across
disciplines 4Knowledge only certified training
provider…analysts from … countries