Policy Update & VA David Corke, AoC

Inspection Summary & Feedback

Headline Summary

1 2 3 4 Total

All Providers 66 184 63 17 330

1 2 3 4 Total

General FE College 30 118 51 16 215

Sixth Form College 32 46 10 1 89

Specialist College 4 20 2 0 26

All ProvidersCategory Grade

Provider TypeCategory Grade

1 2 3 4 Total

All Providers 20% 56% 19% 5% 100%

1 2 3 4 Total

General FE College 14% 55% 24% 7% 100%

Sixth Form College 36% 52% 11% 1% 100%

Specialist College 15% 77% 8% 0% 100%

All ProvidersCategory Grade

Provider TypeCategory Grade

Ofsted Trendlines

HMCI (ex) view – annual report

• Thoughts on what is behind the trend?

% of L3 learners vs achievement rates

By grade

DfE publications

English and maths achievement data

Mides ILR achievement data - colleges

GCSE English 18% (16% GFE)

IGCSE English 40%

GCSE & IGCSE English combined

24%

GCSE maths 22% (20% GFE)

DfE achievement data – all providers

GCSE English 22.8%

IGCSE English 42.9%

GCSE maths 22.4%

English and maths achievement data

English and maths progression

• https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/584124/SFR05_2017__A_level_and_other16-18_results_in_England_SFR_revised.pdf

Value added

New for 2016 Methodology

• Level 3 VA Measures (academic, A Levels and Applied General) exclude Tech Level qualifications;

• For the academic VA measure, key stage 4 prior attainment is based on GCSEs only;

• For the Applied General VA, key stage 4 prior attainment is based on all students results;

• Predicted grades used for value added calculation are based on a new model with 20 key stage 4 prior attainment bands (for each qualification all learners taking the qualification are assigned to one of 20 key stage 4 prior attainment bands. National average Level 3 attainments are then calculated for each band).

Subject Chart Example

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0 20 40 60

Ou

tco

me

att

ain

me

nt

(new

A le

vel p

oin

ts)

Prior attainment (GCSE points)

BTEC Diploma Level 3 Health Studies (size 3)

National line Your students

Level 3 Value Added Score (in grades) = xxx

National Prediction

Line

X Your Students

Learner VA = predicted -

actual

Overall VA for qualification is average of all

learner VA scores

expressed as a grade

Other Changes

• The value added score for a provider only includes courses taken at that provider;

• Shrinkage factor removed for small school sixth forms;

• Level 3 qualification points scores re-based to remove large difference between lowest points score and fail.

Headline Scores

A level

Value Added score 0.54

Lower confidence limit -0.39

Upper confidence limit 1.47

Number of A Level entries 11

Academic

Value Added score 0.54

Lower confidence limit -0.39

Upper confidence limit 1.47

Number of A Level entries 11

Applied General

Value Added score -0.06

Lower confidence limit -0.11

Upper confidence limit -0.02

Number of A Level entries 472

Minimum Standards

• Level 3 Value Added forms the basis of minimum standards thresholds for academic and Applied General qualifications;

• The thresholds* for the 2015/16 academic year are:

• -0.50 Academic

• -0.75 Applied General

*Both upper and lower confidence intervals need to be below zero

Academic Value Added Scores

Average Grade/ Points Score = C+ (32.11 points)

GFE

SFC Community School

Academy All

Well above national average

0% 1% 1% 3% 5%

Above national average

4% 29% 10% 16% 13%

Average 56% 30% 62% 56% 57%

Below national average

35% 40% 22% 22% 20%

Well below national average

5% 0% 5% 2% 4%

Academic Value Added Scores

Provider Type Number of Entries Value Added ScoreLower Confidence

Limit

Upper Confidence

Limit

Academy - converter mainstream 451,397 -0.00 -0.01 0.00

Academy 16-19 converter 2,502 0.12 0.07 0.17

Agriculture and Horticulture College 990 -0.03 -0.12 0.06

City technology college 1,307 -0.03 -0.09 0.03

Community school 91,116 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02

Foundation school 44,909 -0.06 -0.07 -0.05

Free school - 16-19 3,826 0.15 0.10 0.19

Free school - mainstream 2,204 -0.24 -0.30 -0.18

Free school - UTC 2,404 -0.36 -0.42 -0.29

General Further Education College 92,877 -0.11 -0.12 -0.10

Independent school 130,522 0.12 0.12 0.13

Sixth Form Centre/ Consortium 20,039 -0.02 -0.04 -0.00

Sixth Form College 229,737 0.00 -0.00 0.01

Sponsored academy 61,305 -0.05 -0.06 -0.04

Voluntary aided school 60,508 -0.02 -0.03 -0.01

Voluntary controlled school 9,525 -0.03 -0.06 -0.00

Academic Value Added Scores

0%

20%

40%

<= -1.2 >-1.2 and

<=-1

>-1 and

<=-0.8

>-0.8 and

<=-0.6

>-0.6 and

<=-0.4

>-0.4 and

<=-0.2

>-0.2 and

<=0

>0 and

<=0.2

>0.2 and

<=0.4

>0.4 and

<=0.6

>0.6 and

<=0.8

>0.8 and

<=1

> 1

All

Academy - convertermainstream

Community school

Sixth Form College

General Further EducationCollege

Academic L3 VA v. Region

Academic L3 VA v. Ofsted Grade

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

OutstandingGoodRequiresImprovement

Inadequate

Av

era

ge

Pro

vid

er

Lev

el 3

Va

lue

Ad

de

d S

core

Applied General Value Added Scores

Average Grade/ Points Score = Distinction (34.69 points)

GFE

SFC Community School

Academy All

Well above national average

0% 2% 6% 5% 4%

Above national average

11% 48% 31% 32% 30%

Average 15% 28% 48% 49% 44%

Below national average

69% 22% 10% 11% 18%

Well below national average

5% 0% 5% 3% 4%

Applied General Value Added Scores

Provider Type Number of Entries Value Added ScoreLower Confidence

Limit

Upper Confidence

Limit

Academy - converter mainstream 28,001 0.20 0.19 0.22

Academy 16-19 converter 414 0.26 0.21 0.31

Agriculture and Horticulture College 1,673 -0.15 -0.17 -0.12

Art, Design and Performing Arts College 202 -0.02 -0.09 0.05

City technology college 420 0.44 0.39 0.50

Community school 10,126 0.21 0.19 0.23

Foundation school 5,389 0.25 0.22 0.27

Free school - 16-19 385 -0.02 -0.09 0.04

Free school - mainstream 177 -0.24 -0.38 -0.10

Free school - studio school 401 -0.17 -0.24 -0.09

Free school - UTC 399 -0.37 -0.49 -0.24

General Further Education College 49,541 -0.24 -0.24 -0.23

Independent school 794 0.10 0.03 0.17

Sixth Form Centre/ Consortium 1,978 0.31 0.27 0.34

Sixth Form College 22,757 0.18 0.17 0.19

Sponsored academy 15,598 0.20 0.18 0.21

Voluntary aided school 5,005 0.30 0.27 0.33

Voluntary controlled school 742 0.23 0.15 0.31

Change in VA Score 2015 to 2016

0.04

0.07

0.11

-0.10

0.04

0.12

-0.15 -0.10 -0.05 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15

Sponsored academy Sixth Form College

General Further Education College Foundation school

Community school Academy - converter mainstream

Vocational to Applied General (removal of Tech Level)

Applied General Value Added Scores

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

<= -1.2 >-1.2 and<=-1

>-1 and <=-0.8

>-0.8 and<=-0.6

>-0.6 and<=-0.4

>-0.4 and<=-0.2

>-0.2 and<=0

>0 and<=0.2

>0.2 and<=0.4

>0.4 and<=0.6

>0.6 and<=0.8

>0.8 and<=1

> 1

All

Academy - converter mainstream

Community school

Sixth Form College

General Further Education College

VA Scores by Selected BTEC Diplomas

Subsidiary 90-Credit Diploma Extended

Applied General L3 VA v. Deprivation

Applied General VA v. English/Maths

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Lev

el 3

Va

lue

Ad

de

d S

core

% of Student with Neither GCSE English or Maths at Grade C or above

Applied General L3 VA v. Region

Applied General L3 VA v. Ofsted Grade

-0.4

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

OutstandingGoodRequiresImprovement

Inadequate

Av

era

ge

Pro

vid

er

Lev

el 3

Va

lue

Ad

de

d S

core

Functional Skils/GCSE maths and english by main qualification (16-18)

GCSE Maths: Progress from Grade D by Subject

-1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5

Construction, Planning and the Built Environment

Retail and Commercial Enterprise

Preparation for Life and Work

Engineering and Manufacturing Technologies

Leisure, Travel and Tourism

Arts, Media and Publishing

Agriculture, Horticulture and Animal Care

Health, Public Services and Care

Business, Administration and Law

Information and Communication Technology

Science and Mathematics

A-Level

Grade Progress

GCSE English Progress from D by Subject

-1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5

Construction, Planning and the Built Environment

Preparation for Life and Work

Retail and Commercial Enterprise

Engineering and Manufacturing Technologies

Leisure, Travel and Tourism

Agriculture, Horticulture and Animal Care

Arts, Media and Publishing

Health, Public Services and Care

Information and Communication Technology

Business, Administration and Law

Languages, Literature and Culture

Science and Mathematics

A-Level

Maths FS by SSA

English FS by SSA

Questions?

OTLA

The Outstanding Teaching, Learning and Assessment (OTLA) programme, is an Education and Training Foundation (ETF) programme which aims to promote and enhance the quality of teaching, learning and assessment in post-16 education and training.

The project will run throughout 2017 and see 20 projects across England receive funding. It will focus on supporting the development of teaching practice and stronger links with employers with the aim of working towards outstanding provision in the sector for all students on technical routes.

ETF's programme in outstanding teaching, learning and assessment aims to progress the provision of post-16 training towards outstanding. It brings practitioners and managers together from across different providers to offer a powerful opportunity for shared learning and development.

Post-16 providers across the country will be able to access the funding, which is being delivered under contract by AoC on behalf of ETF. AoC is working in partnership with AoC London and emfec.

The project will run throughout 2017 and see 20 projects across England receive up to £70,000 funding.

Visit the OTLA website for more information - https://www.aoc.co.uk/outstanding-teaching-learning-and-assessment-project

OTLA

Outstanding Teaching, Learning and Assessment Technical Skills National

Programme

Overall task and approach

20 development

projects

• CPD sessions

• Support

documents

• Employer

engagement

• Case studies

• TKSE

networks

• Final report

(including data

comparisons)

• National

Conference

• Full sector

dissemination

Programme

Steering Group

Programme

Management Group

Excellence and Peer

Advisors

The task: Develop a programme parallel to ETF’s OTLA activities that continues to grow the brand and impact of OTLA

Involve, on average, per project:

• 15 direct staff, with 50 indirect staff across the sector, impacting on

300 learners

• 7 education and training providers

• 3-5 partners, including 2 employers.

Example. Providers and employers collaborate in developing new

approaches to using assistive technologies in the health and social

care sector increasing take-up of adult learning loans to secure

sustainable investment models.

Development Projects

Excellence and Peer Advisors

• 1 day a month support from Peer Advisor per project, likely to be

front loaded, with access to virtual network, to facilitate

collaborative approach

• Each Peer Advisor will have 2 projects

• Each Excellence Advisor will support 5 Peer Advisors

Programme Manager to provide contractual, budgetary support and

monitoring

Support and guidance for development projects

Key dates and milestones

Activity Deadline

Programme launched 27 January 2017

ITT for development projects launched 3 February 2017

ITT deadline 24 February 2017

Recruit Peer Advisors 3 March 2017

Assess and select development projects 9 March 2017

Development projects to begin 31 March 2017

Completion of projects 30 November 2017

CPD events and communication activities 31 December 2017

Evaluation of Programme 31 December 2017