Date post: | 27-Dec-2015 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | edward-marsh |
View: | 214 times |
Download: | 0 times |
Aim of the Study
• Informing all involved stakeholders
• Fostering the debate about electoral systems
• Informing public on electoral systems
• Identifying motives for various political preferences by political parties
Which electoral systems
• Single Member Plurality (SMP)
• Alternative Vote (AV)
• Single Transferable Vote (STV)
Debate on Electoral System in Kosovo during 2001
• Disagreements between Kosovar and International representatives.
• Exclusion of this topic from the talks on Constitutional Framework for PISG.
Which systems were discussed in 2001?
• LDK and PDK representatives wanted SMP with the support of some Western countries
• OSCE insisted and prevailed on PR with reserved seats
Strengths and Weaknesses of the SMPSMP
STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES
Simplicity Disproportionality
Direct representation of voters in districts Majority of votes are lost-go in vain
Stable government Opportunities for political dialogue are reduced
Voters know for which policies they will vote More ideology is ingrained in politics and political
tensions can be higher
Reduces number of parties Damages smaller parties and reduces political
options
Method for creation of districts
• Ten districts were created in muniicpalities with less than 1% of voters
• Remaining 110 districts were distributed proportionally
• One municipality – One District
Trends
• Domination of bigger parties• Less opportunity for ethnic parties• Opportunity for disaggregation of the minority
votes• De-motivates ethnic voting• Larger parties may reach out more to minority
voters
Trends
• Parties with string geographic base have good chances with SMP (AAK)
• SMP may, however, change the situation.
Trends
• Same trends like in Peja – geographic base
• Gjakova supports the claim that SMP can foster changes because fo the importance of the candidate
Trends
• Parties that do good in PR because of their wide spread of vote, will not do well in SMP if they do not have geographical base (VV)
Alternative Vote
ALTERNATIVE VOTING ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES
EENABLES THE CHOICE AMONG MANY CANDIDATES AND ALLOWS PREFERENCES
ENABLES AGREEMENTS BETWEEN PARTIES/CANDIDATES AND TACTICAK VOTING NOT ALWAYS INSTIGATED INA MODERATE WAY
DIRECT REPRESENTATION A CONSIDERABLE NUMBER OF ITIAL VOTES MAY BE LOST
HAS A MODERATING EFECT THE NUMBER OF MINORITIES IN KOSOVO IS TOO SMALL FOR THIS SISTEM
How does AV works
• Alternative vote is very much recommended in multi-ethnic countries
• Alternative vote can moderate ethnic leaders• It can be voted for first, second …preference• Candidate that in the first round has more
votes, but lacks 50% + 1 will not achieve to be elected because he lacks the preferential votes
Single Transferable Vote (STV)STV
STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES Direct vote for the candidate Voting process is complex Direct representation of voters and gives chance to all parties
Counting is even more complex
Has moderating effects There can be agreements between parties for tactical voting
As a result of fostering tactical voting, may facilitate easier coalition formation
STV generates PR, but may confuse policies
STV characteristics
• Multi-member districts
• 3 – 5 candidates per district
• Voters may vote for more than one candidate and party according to their preferences
STV Characteristics
• Optional preference Vote for one, up to many preferences
• Mandatory prefence More than one and up to all candidates in the
list.
STV functioning
• Kuota Droop = {Total number of valid votes/Total number of seats+1} + 1.
• 1+(1,000/5+1)=167, 67
STV example from a district in Ireland
• Valid votes: 33,404 • Candidates: 5• Seats: 3
• Quota Droop: 33,404 / 4 = 8.351+1 = 8,352
Counting of votes in STV• First round – First preferences
• Second round – second preferences of eliminated candidate
• Third round – Left over from the elected candidate as second preferences, or from the third preferences of the eliminated candidate until the next candidate(s) reaches the Droop Quota
Main conclusions related to Kosovo
SMP• Convenient because of the
scale of ethnic homogeneity• Problem of accommodation
of parties• Huge political turn around
due to evolution according to PR
• Minority representation is a problem, but can be solved
Two-round system• Not convenient for
assembly elections• Convenient for presidential
and mayoral elections• The last mayoral elections
have proven the ability of two-round system to generate change
Main conclusions related to Kosovo
Alternative vote• Generates moderation• Small number of minorities• Counting can be
problematic
Single Transferable Vote• The most realistic
alternative• Attractive• May generate moderation
and change• Increases accountability of
MP-s• Counting can be
problematic