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•   Mobile Number:

 –  +92 334

 8372341

•   Email Address: hansari007@gmail.com

•   Twitter: @Hammad_Ansari

•   LinkedIn: htt s://www.linkedin.com/in/hammadansari

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•   Population: –    Population of  an area is the total number of  all individuals alive 

in a

 particular

 point

 in

 time.

 (Thomas

 Frejka,

 1973)

•   Birth Rate is the total number of  births per 1000 of  a 

population each year.

•   Mortality Rate is the total Number of  deaths per 1000 

individual per year.

•   Total fertility rate (TFR) is the average number of  children 

that would be born to a woman over her lifetime. 

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of  Pakistan (NGO)

 in

 early

 1950s.

•   The National Health Policy (1990, 1997, 2001)

•   Population Policy

 2002

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Population Growth =

Birthda 

rate +

 Immi ration

  – Mortalit

 +

 Emi ration

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Comparison of  Population Comparison of  Population 

Growth 

Trends 

WorldwideGrowth 

Trends 

Worldwide

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 –  Japan is the 1st South East Asian Country to 

x   u v   v   w   w 

replacement level fertility by 1960.

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 –  Campaign and Policies set ambitious targets and 

strictly 

enforced 

at 

all 

levels 

of  

administration 

to 

.

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 –  Individual decision making to restrict fertility

 – 

 Provision of 

 Family

 Planning

 information

 –  Subsidized services

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The 

structure 

of  

a 

population 

can 

have 

a 

big 

impact on the wealth and economy of  a 

country.

•   Young Dependents ‐ Those under 22 years •   Young Dependents ‐ Those under 22 years 

‐

•   Elderly Dependents ‐ 60/65 and over

  ‐

•   Elderly Dependents ‐ 60/65 and over

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What impact can population growth 

rate 

ave on

 uture

 econom c

 

develo ment?

Let’s brainstorm

 some

 ideas

Too High Growth Rate   Too Low Growth Rate

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•   School/College and University enrollments 

must be multiplied in numbers

•   Even if  we don’t create  jobs for them, they will 

end up

 somewhere

 in

 globe;

 ultimately

 

benefiting Pakistan.

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Hi her population 

and other socio 

institutional‐economic

 

Higher demand 

for goods and 

services

eman   ‐

induced 

inventions 

(market pull)

 and innovations

Higher Supplyand  higher 

Productivity 

factors 

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•

  No 

relation 

between 

Population 

Growth 

Rate and Economic Development. 

•   Population control policies/laws 

survival chance. 

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•   ropose   quest ons to  e answere   n  uture 

academic research.

.  

Growth and Economic Growth be modeled?

2. What should

 be

 the

 optimal

 population

 growth

 rate

 

for Pakistan?

3. What is the impact of  such interdependences on 

, resources

 optimally

 under

 weak

 versus

 strong

 

interdependences?

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http://www.indexmundi.com/pakistan/age_structure.html

. e  o a  a y  ust,  p  ongman   ttp: nyt .ms v q a

2. No Babies? http://nyti.ms/Tc2MmI

3. The coming population bust http://nyti.ms/1ncz8YK

4. The Comin   Demo ra hic Crisis htt ://hvr.co/1zhHOA1

5. Population Bomb? So Wrong ‐ How electricity, development, and TV reduce 

fertility http://bit.ly/S79fy6

6. More 

people, 

greater 

wealth, 

more 

resources, 

healthier 

environment, 

Julian 

Simon htt : bit.l 1aoVXH5

7. China’s Achilles heel http://www.economist.com/node/21553056

8. Pakistan’s Population Growth, Policy, and Comparison with Countries in SEAR 

http://www.jimdc.org.pk/Volumes/3‐

2 Pakistan's%20Po ulation%20Growth %20Polic %20and%20Com arison%20wi

th%20Countries%20in%20SEAR.pdf 9. 2‐child norm for local bodies hurts sex ratio 

http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/twochild‐norm‐for‐local‐bodies‐hurts‐

sex‐ratio/article6388785.ece?homepage=true

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.  

Working‐Age

 Population

 Now

 Declining

 

‐ ‐. .

29/china‐hits‐key‐demographic‐ceiling‐

‐ ‐ ‐ ‐

11. China's labor force shrinking 

. . .  ‐

01/22/content_34625754.htm