Poultry Pocketbook – 2018 - AHDB Pork · Table 2.2 UK chick and poultry placings 6 Chapter 3 –...

Poultry Pocketbook – 2018

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1

Chapter 1 – Marketing chain 3Table 1.1 UK poultry meat supply balance 3Table 1.2 UK eggs supply balance 3Table 1.3 EU poultry meat supply balance 4Table 1.4 EU egg supply balance 5

Chapter 2 – Poultry numbers 6Table 2.1 UK poultry numbers, June survey 6Table 2.2 UK chick and poultry placings 6

Chapter 3 – Slaughterings and production 7Table 3.1 UK poultry slaughterings 7Table 3.2 UK poultry meat production 7Figure 3.1 UK broiler meat production 8Figure 3.2 Average liveweight of broilers, England and Wales 8Table 3.3 UK egg packing station throughput 9Table 3.4 UK production of egg products by processors 9Figure 3.3 EU egg production for human consumption, 2017 10

Chapter 4 – Poultry and egg prices 11Table 4.1 Average UK egg packer price paid to producers 11Figure 4.1 Quarterly average UK egg packer price paid to producers 11Figure 4.2 EU and UK broiler meat wholesale market price 12Figure 4.3 EU and UK egg (large and medium) wholesale market price 12Figure 4.4 Average poultry compound feed price, GB 13

Contents - Poultry Pocketbook

2

Chapter 5 – Imports and exports 14Table 5.1 UK egg trade by volume 14Table 5.2 Volume and value of UK poultry meat imports 14Table 5.3 Volume and value of UK poultry meat exports 15Table 5.4 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat imports by source 15Table 5.5 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat exports by destination 16Table 5.6 UK processed poultry meat imports by source 16Figure 5.1 Map of UK fresh frozen poultry meat exports by destination 17Table 5.7 UK processed poultry meat exports by destination 18Table 5.8 EU exports of fresh/frozen poultry meat by destination 18

Chapter 6 – Consumption 19Table 6.1 UK per capita consumption of major meats 19Table 6.2 GB retail chicken and egg value by type of outlet 19Figure 6.1 Trends in GB household chicken purchases by volume 20Figure 6.2 Trends in GB household egg purchases by volume 20Figure 6.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of chicken by product, 2017 21Figure 6.4 GB volume sales of chicken by product, 2017 21Figure 6.5 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of eggs, 2017 22Figure 6.6 GB volume sales of eggs, 2017 22Figure 6.7 Average GB retail price of chicken cuts, 2017 23Figure 6.8 Average GB retail price of eggs, 2017 23Figure 6.9 Proportion of chicken products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets 24Figure 6.10 Proportion of eggs sold on promotion in GB retail outlets 24

Contents

3

Chapter 1 – Marketing chain

‘000 tonnes 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production 1,661 1,646 1,731 1,794 1,807

Imports(b) 824 872 942 1,014 977

Exports(b) 382 388 323 335 386

Total consumption* 2,103 2,129 2,349 2,474 2,399

Self sufficiency (%)** 79.0 77.3 73.7 72.5 75.3

Domestic used production as a % of consumption 60.8 59.1 59.9 59.0 59.3

Million dozen 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*

Production (for human consumption) 797 829 839 866 899

sold in shell 654 695 695 729 758

processed 143 134 144 137 140

Imports(a) 163 153 158 175 171

Exports(a) 19 23 11 9 11

Table 1.1 UK poultry meat supply balance(a)

Table 1.2 UK eggs supply balance

a = Includes poultry offalsb = Includes trade in salted and processed poultry meat*Total consumption is a balance calculation based upon total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports – exports**Self-sufficiency (%) = production/consumption (where consumption is production + imports – exports)All data is carcase weight equivalentSource: Defra, IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC, AHDB

Table continued overleaf

4

Marketing chain

‘000 tonnes 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017(e)

Indigenous production 12,793 13,271 13,790 14,477 14,669

Imports 793 823 856 884 831

Exports 1,322 1,372 1,381 1,495 1,486

Total consumption* 12,264 12,721 13,266 13,866 14,013

Self-sufficiency (%)** 104.3 104.3 104.0 104.4 104.7

Table 1.3 EU poultry meat supply balance(a)

a = Includes poultry offalse = Estimate*Total consumption is a balance calculation based upon total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports - exports**Self-sufficiency (%) = Production/consumption (where consumption is production + imports – exports)All data is carcase weight equivalent Source: EU Commission

*Provisionala = Includes shell egg equivalent of whole (dried, frozen and liquid) egg, egg yolk and albumen**Total consumption is a balance calculation based upon total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports – exports***Self-sufficiency (%) = production/consumption (where consumption is production + imports – exports)All data is carcase weight equivalentSource: Defra

Million dozen 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*

Total consumption** 941 959 986 1,032 1,059

Self-sufficiency (%)*** 84.7 86.5 85.1 83.9 84.9

Domestic used production as a % of consumption 82.7 84.1 84.0 83.1 83.9

Table 1.2 UK eggs supply balance continued

5

Marketing chain

'000 tonnes 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017(e)

Production* 7,321 7,376 7,574 7,742 7,704

Imports 20 14 19 17 16

Exports 220 233 281 247 233

Total use** 7,121 7,157 7,312 7,512 7,487

Self-sufficiency (%)*** 102.8 103.1 103.6 103.1 102.9

Table 1.4 EU egg supply balance

All data are in whole egg equivalentse = Estimate*Includes eggs for consumption and hatching eggs**Total use is a balance calculation based upon total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports - exports***Self-sufficiency (%) = production/consumption (where consumption is production + imports – exports)Source: EU Commission

6

Chapter 2 – Poultry numbers

Million head(a) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Total poultry 163 170 168 173 182

Total breeding and laying fowl 47 48 50 51 53

Hens and pullets laying eggs for eating 36 37 37 38 40

Total breeding flock 11 11 13 13 13

Table chickens (broilers) 105 110 107 111 118

Other poultry 11 11 11 11 11

Turkeys 4 4 4 4 4

Table 2.1 UK poultry numbers, June survey

a = Production cycles mean that subgroups within the poultry population are often volatile because of the ‘point in time’ nature of the June survey can lead to large variations in the numbers in each categorySource: Defra

Million head 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017

Commercial broilers 943 937 972 1,013 1,047

Commercial layers 34 35 36 38 38

Turkeys(a) 17 16 16 16 15

Female broiler breeders(b) 7 8 9 9 8

Table 2.2 UK chick and poultry placings

*53-week statistical yeara = Including female breeder poultsb = Female parents only; excludes grandparent chicks and ‘by-product’ chicks; includes imported female parent chicks Source: Defra

7

Chapter 3 – Slaughterings and production

Million head Broilers Boiling fowl** Turkeys

2000 760 38 27

2005 827 38 19

2010* 863 41 16

2015 953 45 17

2016* 993 57 16

2017 1,037 53 14

‘000 tonnes Broilers Boiling fowl Turkey Ducks Total

2000 1,163 52 264 41 1,519

2005 1,282 51 192 37 1,564

2010* 1,323 53 162 30 1,568

2015 1,456 65 181 29 1,731

2016* 1,518 82 165 30 1,794

2017 1,553 77 147 31 1,807

Table 3.1 UK poultry slaughterings

Table 3.2 UK poultry meat production(a)

*53-week statistical year**Boiling fowl includes spent hens and spent breedersSource: Defra

a = Excludes other bird types, eg geese*53-week statistical yearAll data is carcase weight equivalentSource: Defra

8

Slaughterings and production

Figure 3.1 UK broiler meat production

Figure 3.2 Average liveweight of broilers, England and Wales

*53-week statistical yearAll data is carcase weight equivalentSource: Defra

*53-week statistical yearSource: Defra

1,163

1,2821,323

1,4561,518

1,553

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

2000 2005 2010* 2015 2016* 2017

Weight ('000 tonnes)

1,800

2.21

2.24

2.21

2.232.22 2.21

2.10

2.12

2.14

2.16

2.18

2.20

2.22

2.24

2.26

2000 2005 2010* 2014 2015 2016*

Weight (kg)

2.21

2017

9


'000 cases Total Enriched cage Barn Free range Organic

2000 22,460 16,187 1,675 4,598 n/a

2005 24,584 15,558 1,564 7,462 n/a

2010 27,067 13,522 1,334 11,283 928

2015 27,834 14,213 661 12,301 658

2016 28,812 14,353 621 13,144 695

2017 29,951 14,368 383 14,491 709

Tonnes Liquid egg Hard boiled* Other* Total

2000 75,022 n/a 16,756 91,778

2005 78,066 28,649 13,630 120,345

2010 64,459 33,188 n/a 97,648

2015 67,624 31,850 n/a 99,474

2016 68,201 32,267 n/a 100,469

2017 60,613 30,375 n/a 90,988

Table 3.3 UK egg packing station throughput

Table 3.4 UK production of egg products by processors

1 case = 360 eggsn/a = not availableSource: Defra

Combined from 2010 onwardsn/a = not availableSource: Defra

10


Figure 3.3 EU egg production for human consumption, 2017

Source: EU Commission

914820

792724 692

590 523

300

1,042

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Oth

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King

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11

Chapter 4 - Poultry and egg prices

Pence per dozen All Enriched

cage Barn Free range Organic

2000 39.69 32.33 48.64 62.34 n/a

2005 45.66 34.40 51.96 67.90 n/a

2010 70.13 53.59 72.18 84.38 135.48

2015 82.05 64.13 c 98.83 c

2016 70.45 54.52 c 84.27 c

2017 93.36 71.44 c 110.06 c

Table 4.1 Average UK egg packer price paid to producers

Figure 4.1 Quarterly average UK egg packer price paid to producers

n/a = not available c = confidential Data covers all Class A eggs passed over a grader, including seconds Prices include bonus payments from 2012From 2006 the average UK “All” types price includes organic eggs Source: Defra

Source: Defra

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Price (p/dozen)

All types Enriched cage Free range2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1

12

Poultry and egg prices

Figure 4.2 EU and UK broiler meat wholesale market price

Figure 4.3 EU and UK egg (large and medium) wholesale market price

Source: EU Commission, London Wholesale Market

Source: EU Commission

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

Price (p/kg)

EUUKJan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17 Jul 17 Jan 18

Price (p/kg)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18UK EU

13

262

238229

250 246254 257

244

100

150

200

250

300

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4

Price (£/tonne)

2017

298

Poultry and egg prices

Figure 4.4 Average poultry compound feed price, GB

Source: Defra

Figure 4.3 EU and UK egg (large and medium) wholesale market price

14

Chapter 5 – Imports and exports

Table 5.1 UK egg trade by volume

Table 5.2 Volume and value of UK poultry meat imports

'000 cases 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017(e)

ImportsShell eggs 1,718 1,851 1,571 1,482 1,691Egg products 3,382 3,413 4,265 4,216 3,812Total 5,099 5,263 5,836 5,698 5,503

ExportsShell eggs 280 243 181 262 295Egg products 145 140 111 113 121Total 425 383 293 375 416

Tonnes, product weight 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Fresh/frozen poultry (inc. offals) 383,812 407,833 440,022 479,889 456,122

Salted poultry 49,610 56,098 60,390 60,100 44,840

Processed poultry 291,197 305,893 336,802 368,609 366,462

Total 724,619 769,824 837,214 908,598 867,425

£’000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Fresh/frozen poultry (inc. offals) 956,793 1,020,954 1,035,501 1,123,387 1,125,778

Salted poultry 103,090 113,318 112,304 107,910 86,397

Processed poultry 848,425 888,716 913,962 982,948 1,040,761

Total 1,908,308 2,022,987 2,061,766 2,214,245 2,252,935

1 case = 360 eggs e = Estimate All data are converted to shell egg equivalentsSource: Defra

Data as at February 2018Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC

15

Imports and exports

Table 5.3 Volume and value of UK poultry meat exports

Table 5.4 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat imports by source(a)


a = Includes offals Data as at February 2018Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC



Salted poultry 2,433 3,411 3,571 3,741 2,937


Total 387,180 402,986 347,755 338,232 396,122

£’000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017


Salted poultry 5,466 8,593 6,665 6,321 4,818


Total 461,577 440,385 356,793 349,907 396,242


Total 383,812 407,833 440,022 479,889 456,122

Netherlands 178,619 178,496 192,340 202,962 181,705

Poland 51,874 55,873 65,610 78,586 94,539

Ireland 25,456 35,154 38,133 48,138 45,220

Belgium 25,887 30,786 30,609 35,307 32,844

Germany 26,331 30,133 31,760 31,316 30,024

Italy 12,449 10,587 15,781 17,653 12,292

France 13,224 13,476 10,724 12,249 10,293

Spain 3,647 6,005 8,198 11,094 9,790

Romania 7,052 6,901 10,579 13,277 9,738

16

Imports and exports

Table 5.5 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat exports by destination(a)

Table 5.6 UK processed poultry meat imports by source

a = includes offals Data as at February 2018Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC



Total 291,197 305,893 336,802 368,609 366,462EU 28 134,143 132,495 159,544 174,238 180,975

Netherlands 31,370 32,312 39,872 49,986 42,387Ireland 33,300 29,970 31,483 31,582 31,522Poland 14,633 16,478 25,678 28,917 31,371Germany 14,665 14,324 25,645 23,078 26,213France 11,411 11,375 11,994 17,086 23,949Belgium 5,028 8,683 7,496 7,552 8,095

Thailand 116,651 124,650 127,223 141,360 138,182Brazil 29,008 40,414 42,229 47,154 40,684China 8,963 7,223 6,894 5,110 6,002


Total 342,161 351,058 299,515 295,909 344,850EU 28 249,115 244,619 230,889 199,365 268,523

Netherlands 100,521 107,917 94,544 66,103 101,126Ireland 46,437 45,877 41,843 35,201 32,781France 21,073 21,911 22,538 26,141 28,195Germany 19,339 22,702 24,102 22,834 26,526Belgium 14,822 11,569 6,930 7,509 21,840Spain 16,020 12,454 17,083 12,963 19,729Poland 6,021 2,716 2,007 6,165 8,087

Hong Kong 20,876 25,811 17,688 16,853 24,372South Africa 38,341 43,013 18,157 43,488 1,699

17

Imports and exports

Figure 5.1 Map of UK fresh/frozen poultry exports by destination

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Imports and exports

Table 5.7 UK processed poultry meat exports by destination

Table 5.8 EU exports of fresh/frozen poultry meat by destination




Total 42,586 48,517 44,669 38,582 48,335

Ireland 22,159 22,124 20,435 18,907 20,109

Netherlands 5,642 9,299 8,666 6,681 15,010

Germany 6,724 5,705 5,425 3,326 2,624


Total 1,231,484 1,294,614 1,301,891 1,412,332 1,451,639

Ghana 72,953 56,116 67,074 75,981 133,007

Hong Kong 101,565 120,083 87,024 107,091 130,332

Ukraine 54,672 57,774 66,125 82,584 118,551

Benin 137,103 162,840 137,556 115,194 105,710

Saudi Arabia 153,514 121,817 141,375 120,853 98,032

Philippines 26,707 43,794 72,688 93,296 92,187

South Africa 150,993 195,084 209,648 259,914 74,309

Congo Dem. Rep. 27,340 32,496 34,247 43,552 61,068

Vietnam 11,651 18,038 24,394 34,599 50,571

Gabon 24,494 28,788 36,432 31,157 47,885

Liberia 13,394 12,656 20,826 24,345 40,321

Congo 22,108 26,299 33,561 30,875 33,203

Macedonia 30,143 28,188 26,639 26,853 29,474

Malaysia 26,939 25,149 24,629 30,692 22,184

Guinea 6,635 6,305 8,970 12,157 21,120

Switzerland 17,887 18,196 18,429 19,293 18,947

19

Chapter 6 – Consumption

Source: Kantar WorldPanel

Table 6.1 UK per capita consumption of major meats(a)

kg/person/year Poultry meat Pig meat Beef & veal Total meat2000 30.5 23.6 18.5 79.22005 31.8 24.7 20.7 83.42006 31.2 24.9 20.9 83.22007 30.0 25.7 20.9 82.82008 29.5 24.5 20.0 80.02009 29.9 24.3 18.2 77.92010 31.8 24.1 18.6 79.42011 32.7 24.6 18.1 80.02012 32.8 24.6 18.0 79.72013 32.8 23.9 17.3 78.62014 33.0 24.4 17.8 79.82015 36.1 25.1 18.2 84.32016 37.7 26.1 18.2 86.82017 36.3 25.9 18.2 84.9

a = Per capita consumption is a calculation based on total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports – exports, divided by the mid-year population estimateAll data is carcase weight equivalent Source: AHDB; calculations based on data from Defra, HMRC and the ONS

Table 6.2 GB retail chicken and egg value sales by type of outlet

Data covers 52 weeks ending late December the same year/early January the next year Source: Kantar WorldPanel

% Multiples Freezer centres Butchers OtherChicken

2014 86.9 4.4 3.5 5.22015 86.7 4.5 3.2 5.62016 85.8 4.3 3.3 6.62017 85.5 4.3 3.2 7.0

Eggs2014 90.6 5.4 1.5 2.52015 91.7 5.1 1.2 2.02016 92.0 4.5 1.1 2.42017 92.5 4.1 1.0 2.4

20

Consumption

Figure 6.1 Trends in GB household chicken purchases by volume

Figure 6.2 Trends in GB household egg purchases by volume

Volume (tonnes)

540,000

560,000

580,000

600,000

620,000

640,000

660,000

680,000

2015 2016 2017

29Jan

26Feb

28Mar

24Apr

21May

18Jun

16Jul

13Aug

10Sep

08Oct

05Nov

03Dec

31Dec

Figures include ‘ready to cook’ and ‘chilled main meal accompaniment’ productsSource: Kantar WorldPanel


Number ('000 eggs)

4,800,000

5,000,000

5,200,000

5,400,000

5,600,000

5,800,000

6,000,000

6,200,000

6,400,000

2015 2016 2017

29Jan

26Feb

28Mar

24Apr

21May

18Jun

16Jul

13Aug

10Sep

08Oct

05Nov

03Dec

31Dec

52 weeks ending

52 weeks ending

21

Consumption

Figure 6.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of chicken by product, 2017

Figure 6.4 GB volume sales of chicken by product, 2017

Data covers 52 weeks ending in late December the same year/early January the next yearSource: Kantar WorldPanel

Data covers 52 weeks ending 31 December 2017Source: Kantar WorldPanel

FreshBreast

FreshWhole

FreshLeg

FreshRoll/Roast

FrozenBreast

FrozenWhole

FrozenLeg

FrozenRoll/Roast

SlicedCooked

Year on year % change

Volume Value

4.8 2.78.3

-8.5

-0.8

15.8

-33.8

16.4

-3.0

3.5

-1.3

5.5

-8.2

-2.2

14.5

-35.5

23.0

-1.1

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000Volume (tonnes)

159,381

226,142

96,083

3,207

42,741

5,578 1,320 5,23122,031

FreshBreast

FreshWhole

FreshLeg

FreshRoll/

Roasts

FrozenBreast

FrozenWhole

FrozenLeg

FrozenRoll/

Roast

SlicedCooked

22

Consumption

Figure 6.5 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of eggs, 2017

Figure 6.6 GB volume sales of eggs, 2017

Data covers 52 weeks ending in late December the same year/early January the next yearSource: Kantar WorldPanel

Data covers 52 weeks ending 31 December 2017Source: Kantar WorldPanel

Barn Free Range Non-organic

Free Range Organic Non-free Range

Year on year % change

Volume Value

-5.9

9.1

-7.0

-1.2-1.5

8.8

-8.9

0.9

-12

-9

-6

-3

0

3

6

9

12

Barn Free Range Non-organic

Free Range Organic

Non-free Range

Number ('000 eggs)

106,232

3,608,535

75,775

2,353,821

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

23

Consumption

Figure 6.7 Average GB retail price of chicken cuts, 2017

Figure 6.8 Average GB retail price of eggs, 2017

Data cover 52 weeks, ending 31 December 2017Source: Kantar WorldPanel

Data cover 52 weeks, ending 31 December 2017 Source: Kantar WorldPanel

Price per kilogram (£/kg)

6.40

2.572.96

8.02

3.74

4.76

2.17 2.11

6.90

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

FreshBreast

FreshWhole

FreshLeg

FreshRoll/Roast

FrozenBreast

FrozenWhole

FrozenLeg

FrozenRoll/Roast

SlicedCooked

11.0

17.0

32.0

9.0

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Barn Free RangeNon-organic

Free RangeOrganic

Non-free Range

Price (p/egg)

24

Consumption

Figure 6.9 Proportion of chicken products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets

Figure 6.10 Proportion of eggs sold on promotion in GB retail outlets

30.2

45.4

28.6

42.8

32.327.4

20.8

43.7

24.921.1

37.9

22.5

38.4

31.4

39.4

30.0

48.1

19.2

0

10

20

30

40

50% of total volume

52 w/e 01 Jan 17 52 w/e 31 Dec 17

FreshBreast

FreshWhole

FreshLeg

FreshRoll/Roast

FrozenBreast

FrozenWhole

FrozenLeg

FrozenRoll/Roast

SlicedCooked



Barn Free RangeNon-organic

Free RangeOrganic

Non-free Range

% of total volume

52 w/e 01 Jan 17 52 w/e 31 Dec 17

3.3

18.816.0

21.5

1.4

16.017.7

10.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

25

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