Poverty Measurement in the Philippines1
Lisa Grace S. Bersales
Na;onal Sta;s;cian
Philippine Sta;s;cs Authority
1 presented at the Side Event on Mul;dimensional Poverty Measurement, 46th Session of the UN Sta;s;cal Commission
Official Poverty Sta;s;cs in the Philippines
• Highly an;cipated by many stakeholders • Income-‐based
• Compared with self-‐rated poverty sta;s;cs by a private group
• Need to capture other dimensions
• Technical CommiOee on Poverty Sta;s;cs provides guidance
23.4 22.9 22.3 19.1
57
48.5
53 50.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 2 3 4
poverty incide
nce(%)
Year
Poverty Incidence for Families Philippines
Official poverty incidence
self-‐rated poverty incidence
2006 2009 2012 2013
Study by Planning Minister
• Multidimensionality of poverty: No longer debatable “Multiple deprivations of different kinds… experienced simultaneously by the poor” “beyond growth much needs to be done to make development more inclusive “
• No one-for-one correspondence between income poverty & other deprivations • Increasing demand from policy makers • New methodologies exist • Alkire-Foster methodology>> dashboard of dimensions of poverty
Attainment dimensions
Attainment indicators
Deprivation matrix
Aggregate attainment
Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI)
Headcount (H)
Intensity (A)
Poverty cut-off
Dimension weights
Deprivation cut-off
Methodology
Source: Balisacan(2014) What has really happened to poverty in the Philippines? and Edillon(2014), Mul;dimensional Poverty
DATASET YEARS AVAILABLE
National Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS) 1993, 1998, 2003, 2008
Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES)
1988, 1991, 1994, 1997, 2000, 2003, 2006, 2009, 2012
Annual Poverty Indicator Survey (APIS)
1998, 2002, 2004, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2013*
*Unit record data not yet available at the 2me of study
Nationally representative surveys
Source: Balisacan(2014) What has really happened to poverty in the Philippines? and Edillon(2014), Mul;dimensional Poverty
Health Education Standard of Living
Weight 1/3 1/3 1/3
Components (equal weights, nested)
NDHS 2 (2) 2 4
FIES 2 (3) 2 5 (7)
APIS 2 (3) 2 4 (7)
Weights
Source: Balisacan(2014) What has really happened to poverty in the Philippines? and Edillon(2014), Mul;dimensional Poverty
NDHS FIES APIS HEALTH Child Mortality ✓ Water ✓ ✓ Sanitation ✓ ✓ Nutrition Food poverty ✓a ✓ ✓ EDUCATION Years of Schooling ✓ ✓ ✓ Child School Attendance ✓ ✓ Potential Schooling ✓ STANDARD OF LIVING Electricity ✓ ✓ ✓ Shelter Flooring ✓ Roof ✓ ✓ Wall ✓ ✓ Mobility Access to motor vehicles ✓ ✓ Access to national roads ✓ Asset ownership Household Assets ✓ ✓ ✓ Transport ✓ House tenure ✓ Other sources of income ✓ ✓
Achievement (Deprivation) Dimensions
Source: Balisacan(2014) What has really happened to poverty in the Philippines? and Edillon(2014), Mul;dimensional Poverty
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Hea
dcou
nt ra
tio
Hm (FIES)** Hm (APIS) Hm (NDHS) Hy*
Multidimensional Headcount (Hm) vs. Income Headcount (Hy)
*Uses official per capita food poverty threshold for 2009 (among families). **Note: Line indicates that before 2000 the FIES-‐generated MPI uses a different defini2on of assets.
Source: Balisacan(2014) What has really happened to poverty in the Philippines? and Edillon(2014), Mul;dimensional Poverty
Percent contribution to
MPI, 2012
Percentage of population who are MPI poor and deprived in each indicator
14.9%
8.1%
13.7%
5.6%
16.0%
5.2%
2.6%
3.9%
2.8%
13.7%
13.5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Water
Sanitation
Food poor
Years of schooling
Child school attendance
Electricity
Shelter (roof)
Shelter (walls)
Mobility
Income from other sources
Ownership of assets
Hea
lth
Educ
atio
n St
anda
rd o
f liv
ing
Percent of population FIES 2012 FIES 2000
Source: Balisacan(2014) What has really happened to poverty in the Philippines? and Edillon(2014), Mul;dimensional Poverty
Intensity & headcount of multidimensional poverty, by region, FIES 2012
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
C. Luzon
Bicol W. Visayas
C. Visayas
E. Visayas
Zamboanga
N. Minsanao
Davao
Socckskargen
NCR
CAR
ARMM
Caraga
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00
Aver
age
inte
nsity
of M
P (A
)
MP headcount ratio (%) Source: Balisacan(2014) What has really happened to poverty in the Philippines? and Edillon(2014), Mul;dimensional Poverty
Multidimensional headcount (Hm) vs. Income headcount (Hy), FIES 2012
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Hea
dcou
nt (%
)
Hm - Health dimension Hm - Standard of living dimension Hm - Education dimension Hy - Income headcount
Source: Balisacan(2014) What has really happened to poverty in the Philippines? and Edillon(2014), Mul;dimensional Poverty
Moving Forward
• Study to start in March 2015 on enhancing household surveys including development of an integrated household survey for a comprehensive framework for poverty measurement in the Philippines
• Need a communica;on plan for the comprehensive framework
• For review and endorsement of the technical commiOee