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PowerPoint · PDF file- NBA mean/median: 51%/53% . Defense: (3) Total TO Forced Per Chance -...

Date post: 30-Mar-2018
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Defense: (1) Contest+ (2) Keep in Front % (3) Total TO Forced Per Chance (4) Pressure Rate (5) Points Allowed Per Screen (6) Points Allowed Per Help/Double (7) Close Out Points Allowed

Offense: (1) Points Per Chance (2) Contest+ FG% (3) Touches Per Chance (4) Assist+ (5) True Facilitation (6) Received Screen Outcome Efficiency (7) Set Screen Points Per Chance (8) OReb+ (9) Blockout Rate

Defense: (1) Contest+

- Percentage of shots defended where player

blocks, alters or contests shot

Defense: (2) Keep in Front %

- Percentage of drive attempts where player

keeps himself between the basket and the offensive player

- NBA mean/median: 51%/53%

Defense: (3) Total TO Forced Per Chance

- Number of forced turnovers including steals, deflections to steal, defensive loose balls possessed, offensive fouls taken, pressures to turnover and blocks to possession

Defense: (4) Pressure Rate

- Number of pressures applied per 100

defensive chances

- NBA mean/median: 3.3/2.9

Defense: (5) Points Allowed Per Screen

- Number of points allowed per screen

defended

Defense: (6) Points Allowed Per Help/Double

- Number of points allowed per help attempt and number of points allowed per double team attempt

Defense: (7) Close Out Points Allowed

- Number of points allowed per close out opportunity

Offense: (1) Points Per Chance

- Scoring efficiency number normalized by the amount of offensive “chances” - Isolates positive/negative effect of rebounding on PPP

Offense: (2) Contest+ FG%

- NBA mean - 31.1% - NBA median – 34.2%

Tony Allen – 26.7% Kemba Walker – 28% Tim Duncan – 45.5% Al Jefferson – 45.5%

Using the Building Blocks to Determine Optimal Shot Time/Defense

Offense: (3) Touches Per Chance

- Number of times player touches ball per offensive chance

Offense: (4) Assist+

- Assists, passes to missed non-contested

shots, passes to shooting fouls, crucial passes leading to Assist, missed open or crucial pass

- Solves problem of narrow definition of Assist

Offense: (5) True Facilitation

- Passes to non-contested shots (made or missed)

- Solves problem of expansive definition of

Assist

Using the Building Blocks to Evaluate Facilitators

Assist Numbers for Michael Carter-Williams, Trey Burke, and Phil Pressey: Michael Carter-Williams: 7.3 Phil Pressey: 7.1 Trey Burke: 6.7

Assist+ Per 100 Chances

Phil Pressey: 14.2 Michael Carter-Williams: 11.5 Trey Burke: 11.1

True Facilitation

Trey Burke: 3.05 (#1 in TF) Phil Pressey: 2.2 (#2 in TF) Michael Carter-Williams: .738 (#23 in TF)

Offense: (6) Received Screen Outcome Efficiency - Percentage of screens received where player produces “positive” outcome (score, assist+, shooting foul)

Offense: (7) Set Screen Points Per Chance - Number of points per chance from set

screens

Analysis using a Bootstrapped Regression verified that screens are significant predictors of Offensive Efficiency (present in at least 70% of models built). Across the models they were presented with a relative importance as follows: Set Screens Points Per Chance - .92 Screens Received Per Chance - .82

Offense: (8) OReb+

- Includes rebounds, tips to possession and fouls drawn while attempting rebound - Normalized per chance or per rebound opportunity

Offense: (9) Blockout Rate - Number of blockouts per 100 defensive reb opportunities

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