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1The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Planning and Starting
A Successful SoftwareCompany
Professor Ronald M. Baecker University of Toronto
Founder and CEO, Expresto SoftwareCorp.
19 September 1998, Vancouver, BritishColumbia
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2The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
How to Contact Me
Ronald M. Baecker
Department of Computer Science
University of Toronto
10 Kings College Road
Toronto Ontario M5S 3G4 Canada
+1 (416) 978-6983 (phone)+1 (416) 978-5184 (fax)
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3The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Introduction
Ronald M. Baecker
Objectives
Methods
Course Themes
Guest Entrepreneurs
Strategic Issue Session Seminar Schedule
Any Questions?
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4The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Ronald M. Baecker
Founder and CEO, Expresto SoftwareCorp.
Professor of Computer Science, Elec.and Comp. Eng., and Management,University of Toronto
Founder (1996) and Director, Knowledge
Media Design Institute, University ofToronto
Past Visiting Prof. or Research Scientistat M.I.T. Media Lab, Univ. of British
Columbia, Univ. of Maryland, AppleComputer, Xerox PARC
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5The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Ronald M. Baecker
(contd)
Founder (1976) and CEO, Human
Computing Resources Corp. (HCR), soldin 1990 to SCO
Adviser and consultant to a number ofstart-up software firms
Taught this in Toronto, Ottawa,Vancouver, Los Angeles, Buenos Aires(Arg.), Santiago (Chile)
B.Sc., M.Sc., Ph.D., M.I.T.
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6The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Objectives
To understand the high-technology,computer, and especially the software
business environment
To learn principles for defining andcrafting a healthy profitable growingsoftware business (entrepreneurial or
intrapraneurial) To convey a healthy appreciation of how
difficult this is
To hone one's skills in thinking about
strategic software business issues To join and help to create a communityof software entrepreneurs andintrapreneurs
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7The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Methods
Lecture and discussion of 4 themes (seenext slide) and 60 principles for success
Elaborations and illustrations, especiallyfrom guest entrepreneurs, past andpresent, through both second-hand andfirst-hand accounts (live and on video)
Exercises for students Discussion of student questions and
issues in strategic issue session
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8The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Course Themes
I. Innovation in the Software Industry
II. Focus and Objectives Defining andPlanning the Business
III. Opportunity and Timing Marketand Product Planning
IV. Writing the Business Plan
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9The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Other principles forsuccess
Organized into the following categories:
Marketing and Distribution of SoftwareServices and Products
Cash Financial Management andAcquisition of Financing
Leadership Team Building andManagement
Partnerships Strategic Alliances,Mergers, and Acquisitions
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10The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Guest Entrepreneurs
Characteristics
Experienced entrepreneurs
Successful entrepreneurs
Products and service companies
Information technology in a broadsense
20-25 minute presentations
35-40 minutes of question-and-answer,based on your participation!!!
Discussion and critique
Guest Entrepreneur List
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11The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Strategic Issue Session
Discussion of actual strategic issuesfaced by seminar participants
These could deal with, for example,
Innovation, business definition,markets, or technology; or,
Marketing or sales; or
Finance, financing, leadership, orcorporate organization
Please fill out and hand in ParticipantInformation Forms by the close of lunch
time.
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12The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Schedule Day One
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13The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Any Questions?
Lets make it interactive!!!
Now please introduce yourselves....
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15The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
I. Innovation in The
Software Industry
Data on the Canadian Software ProductsIndustry
Data on the U.S. Software ProductsIndustry 1
Data on the U.S. Software ProductsIndustry 2
The Multi-Faceted Business of Software
Many Kinds of Software
Hardware-enabled Software Paradigms
Druckers Sources of Innovative
Opportunity
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16The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Data on the Canadian
Software ProductsIndustry
Growth of the Canadian SoftwareProducts and Computer Services
Industry
Year Rev. Employ. S'ware Prod. Rev.
1990 $5.8B 64K $0.8B1991 $6.1B 64K $0.9B
1992 $6.5B 67K $1.0B1993 $8.2B 71K $1.3B1994 $9.3B 76K $1.6B (est)
Excludes the 25% who are self-employed
S'ware products compound annualgrowth of 20%
55% of total revenue generated by the1% of the companies with sales > $10M
Net profit margin of 6.2% for sample of30 software products firms
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17The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Data on the U.S.
Software ProductsIndustry 1
Growth of the U.S. Packaged SoftwareIndustry
Year Revenue Income before tax1987 $ 5.7B $0.5B1988 $ 7.3B $0.7B1989 $ 9.0B $1.3B1990 $11.7B $1.4B
1991 $13.0B $1.2B1992 $14.4B $1.7B1993 $16.6B -------
Average annual growth rate of revenue =20.4% over that period
Source: WEFA Group (via SPA), August1994
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18The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Data on the U.S.
Software ProductsIndustry 2
Relationship to other industriesYear Print/pub. PCs/WSs Films S'ware
pub.1987 $137B $10B $14B $6B1988 $144B $13B $14B $7B1989 $150B $15B $17B $9B1990 $157B $16B $19B $12B
1991 $157B $16B $18B $13B1992 $160B $19B $21B $14B1993 $163B $24B $23B $17B
Annual growth rate3.0% 16.7% 9.0% 19.6%
Source: WEFA Group (via SPA), August1994
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19The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
The Multi-faceted
Business of Software
Remember, as you search for sources of
entrepreneurial opportunity, that the
business of software includes not only
software development and marketing,
but activities as diverse as market
analysis, customer training, and
information publishing. Thus softwareinnovation need not consist of new
paradigms or proprietary algorithms, but
can instead be based on other
innovations, such as the novel coupling
of technology to an application, or a newapproach to distribution, training, or
support. (#1)
Varieties of software-related business
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20The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Varieties of software-
related business
Consulting
Contract software development
Systems integration
Software products development
Software products publishing andmarketing
Software distribution
Value added reselling
Technical documentation
Industry analysis and publishing Training and customer support
Electronic publishing, CD/ROM,multimedia
On-line and Internet-basedinformation services
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21The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Many Kinds of Software Systems software
Operating systems
Languages, programming utilities
Software engineering, CASE
Networking and communications Applications software
Industrial automation, computer-aideddesign
Business software Personal productivity software
Media and information
Games, multimedia, educational
software Electronic mail, conferencing,
groupware
Information access and resource
discovery
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22The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Hardware-enabled
Software Paradigms
Scan technology trends carefully looking
for new hardware paradigms that could
open up and enable new software
paradigms and applications. New
software paradigms, such as the
spreadsheet, object-oriented
programming, CASE, hypertext, neuralnets, or groupware open up new
domains for vigorous entrepreneurial
activity. (#2)
Examples
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23The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Examples
IBM Mainfr. Capacity planning Best 1
HP minis RDBMS+4GL
PowerHouse PC PC software develop. Basic
Apple II Spreadsheet Visicalc
IBM PC Integrat. productivity Lotus 1-2-3
IBM PC PC tax software TaxPrep
Mac Desktop publishing PageMaker
SGI Workst Sensual 3D design Alias Rsrch
Networks Network file systems NetWare
Networks Groupware LotusNotes
The Internet Global comm+inform. Netscape
Hand-held... Pen-centric software GoPenpoint
Wireless ??? ???
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24The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Drucker's Sources of
InnovativeOpportunity
Search for sources of innovation
systematically, as Drucker asserts is
possible, looking at (#3):
New knowledge
The Unexpected
Process need
Changes in industry or marketstructure
Demographics
Incongruities
Changes in perception, mood ormeaning.
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25The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
New knowledge
New hardware paradigms
New software paradigms and proprietaryalgorithms
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26The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
New hardware
paradigms
RISC architectures enabling newapplications for workstations
Highly parallel machines enabling newapproaches to weather forecasting,exploration, information retrieval, etc.
VLSI graphics chips enabling new
applications in computer animation,simulation, virtual reality, etc.
Multi-media technology enabling newapplications in entertainment, education,
etc. Ubiquitous computing enabling newapplications in both office and home
Global networking via the Internetenabling new applications for
communications, information access
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27The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
New softwareparadigms & proprietary
algorithms
The spreadsheet
The relational database managementsystem
Windowing environments
Object-oriented programming
Hypertext
Neural nets
Performance modelling algorithms
Speech recognition algorithms
Handwriting recognition algorithms Groupware
Information resource discovery engines
Intelligent agents
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28The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
The unexpected
Use of scientific computers for
business
Success of the personal computer
Use of Lotus macro languages andHyperTalk by non-programmers
Penetration of PCs in the home
Success of the Internet
Licensing of the Macintosh operatingsystem
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Process need
Interfaces between systems andstandards
Software to emulate one environment inanother environment
Compilers to replace interpreters, e.g.,DBase-Clipper
More generally, performanceenhancements
Novel coupling of technology toapplication, e.g., Aldus PageMaker
Network design and management tools Software metering tools
Virus immunization and other computersecurity software and services
Universal mailbox software Email filtering software
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30The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Changes in industry or
market structure
Innovations in promotion, e.g., Lotus
Innovations in pricing, e.g., Borland
Innovations in distribution, e.g.,shareware
Innovations in packaging, e.g., softwaresuites
Decentralization/communicationsreplacing travel, hence the need forelectronic mail
Merging of computing and telecom
opens opportunities for groupware Opening up of Eastern Europe provides
new markets for technology and software
Increasing use of multimedia for
entertainment, education, advertising New publishing and distribution options
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31The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Demographics
Increasing amounts of home-basedbusiness
Increasing amounts of telecommuting
Increasing numbers of female executives
Increasing levels of illiteracy
Increasing numbers of elderly people
Increasing expectations and progress indeveloping countries
Increasing numbers of skilled peoplewho have been downsized
Increasing numbers of people connectedto the Net, and who have their own homepages
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32The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Incongruities
Discrepancies between reality as itactually is and reality as it is assumed tobe or as it ought to be, e.g.....
High-level languages not very high-level, hence the need for 4GLs
VARs not self-sufficient hence
Genamation becomes a super-VAR,providing assistance with businessplanning and development, salessupport, training, and marketing
Voice mail is just electronic answeringmachine technology hencestraightforward; not true, hence voice
mail surgeons needed
Everything you want to know is on the
Net, yet you can't find it, hence searchengines needed
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33The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Changes in perception,
mood, or meaning.
I'm mad as hell and I'm not going to take
it anymore leads to the computer for
the rest of us and increasing emphasison ergonomics and user friendliness
Success of the Apple Macintosh
Computer as a gateway to
communications and information ratherthan a stand-alone device
Growth of the Internet
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35The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
II. Focus and Objectives
Defining andPlanning the Business
An Equation for Entrepreneurial Success
The Entrepreneurial Spirit
Focus and Objectives
Self Knowledge
Competitive Edge
Distinctive Competence
Proprietary Technology
Barriers to Entry
Other Sources of Competitive Edge
The Business Plan
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36The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
An Equation for
EntrepreneurialSuccess
To succeed, according to Silver's Law of
Venture Capital, you must identify a
major problem, devise an elegant
solution to the problem, and assemble
an outstanding entrepreneurial team
capable of turning the problem and the
solution into a successful business. Ifany of the three factors is lacking, all is
for naught. (#4)
Silvers Law of Venture Capital
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37The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Silver's Law of Venture
Capital
If V = Valuation
P = Problem size (i.e., market)
S = Solution elegance (e.g.,technology)
E = Entrepreneurial team quality
Then V = P X S X E.
The goal of entrepreneurship is to
create value (V) by formulating a bigproblem (P), creating an elegant solution(S) that solves the problem, and forming
a capable entrepreneurial team (E) tocreate a unique system for delivering Sto P.
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38The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
The Entrepreneurial
Spirit
Don't start a business unless you
possess an entrepreneurial spiritsturdy
self-confidence, serious drive and
energy, unflappable commitment, a
willingness to take risks, the ability to
venture into the unknown, and the
courage to make decisions despiteuncertainty. You must also possess
expertise a distinctive competence,
and qualities of leadership. (#5)
Motivations for entrepreneurship
Wealth
Independence, must be your ownboss
Building something
An idea that cannot be denied, mustbe done
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39The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
What is
entrepreneurship? Entrepreneurship is the dynamic processof creating incremental wealth. The wealthis created by individuals who assume themajor risks, in terms of equity, time, and/or
career commitment, of providing value forsomeproduct or service. The product orservice may or may not be new or unique,but value must somehow be infused by theentrepreneur by securing and allocatingthe necessary skills and resources.
(Ronstadt, 1984, p. 28)
Entrepreneurship is a little like coming to
a traffic light which is red and not
necessarily stopping..... The job of an entrepreneur in our
'competitive' economy is to create anunfair advantage.....
I can smell the Ferrari.
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40The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Focus and Objectives
Choose your focus carefully, and keep it
narrow and relatively constrained.
Define precise objectives, both short-
term and long-term, dealing with
technology to be developed or obtained,
the market to be served and captured,
and the financial results to be achieved.Make precise who on your team is to do
what by when. (#6)
Mission statement
Example, Alias Research: Our
mission is to be the world leader in 3Dcomputer graphics software forcreative design.
Dimensions of focus: technology and
market Dangers of too diffuse focus
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41The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Dimensions of focus:
technology and market
BGS Systems
Computer systems performancemodelling for large IBM mainframesystem managers
Geac
Transaction processing systems for
vertical markets, e.g., libraries,financial, hotels
HCR
UNIX operating systems programming
for hardware manufacturers withoutUNIX expertise needing speed toUNIX market
Wainman+Kydd
Tax calculations and tax planning forthe Canadian accounting profession
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Dangers of too diffuse a
focus
Causes
Opportunity strikes
The temptation of incremental effort
Financial pressures due toundercapitalization
Lack of adequate planning
Failure to define one's focus andgoals
Arrogance and inflated egos
Dangers
Not achieving excellence in oneendeavour
Undercapitalization intensifies
Management and staff overload,
thrashing
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43The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
A lesson in defining
objectives
Writing the world's best electronic mailpackage versus achieving, by 1997, 20%
market share for PC-compatibleelectronic mail software used byphysicians and hospitals
Achieving a reputation for service
excellence versus achieving a 95%renewal rate on service contracts andlogging 10 new sales per month fromcustomers who switch to you from acompetitor's product because of your
reputation for service excellence Having a high-quality efficient bug-free
product versus completing a 3-monthbeta test period at 20 sites having found
no fatal errors and no more than 3serious errors
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44The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Self Knowledge
Know who you are, and what your
strengths and weaknesses are, and use
this knowledge intelligently in chosing
your focus and objectives. (#7)
Example: Lanpar Technologies
Example: HCR
Example: Alias Research
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Competitive Edge
To succeed, you must have a
competitive edge, such as a distinctive
competence, proprietary technology, or
barriers to entry hindering the
competiton. (#8)
Also called sustainable competitive
advantage Varieties of competitive edge
Introduction follows, deeper discussion inPart IV
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46The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Varieties of competitive
edge
The distinctive competence
Proprietary technology
Barriers to entry
Other sources of competitive edge
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47The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Distinctive Competence
One of the most potent forms of
competitive edge is to have a distinctive
competence expertise which is
unique, difficult to attain, and not
possessed by your competitors. (#9)
Examples of distinctive competence
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Examples of distinctive
competence
Adobe Warnock and Geschke
Page description languages (Xerox)
Aldus (now part of Adobe) Brainerd etal.
Electronic publishing (papers, Atex)
BGS Systems Buzen Goldberg andSchenk
Comp. syst. perform. model. (Harv.,H'well)
Object Technology International
Thomas Object-oriented toolkits and systems
implementation methodology
SoftArc Welch and partners
Email systems (BNR) Wainman+K dd TaxPre Wainman
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49The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
Proprietary Technology
Another powerful competitive edge is the
ownership of proprietary technology
algorithms, software, tools, or
methodologies which allow you to solve
a problem that cannot be handled as well
or at all by competing technologies.
(#10) Examples
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Examples
Algorithmics Formal math. model to derive synthetic
securities in a uniform way
Apple Operating system, user interface, etc.
BGS Syst.
Comp. syst. capacity plan. algorithm Borland
Techniques for high-speed compilation
Fulcrum
Full-text storage, indexing, retrievalalgorithms (also Open Text)
Netron Technology of adaptable reusable code
components
Visicorp Spreadsheet implementation...not enough!!!
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Barriers to Entry
Established companies can hold their
positions because they gain a powerful
advantage through barriers to entry,
which may result from cumulative
investment and lead time, market and
customer knowledge, or access to
distribution channels and shelf space inretail outlets. New companies need to
devise a plan to counter this advantage.
(#11)
Varieties of barriers to entry
How to combat barriers to entry
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Varieties of barriers to
entry
Cumulative investment and lead time,e.g, Lotus with Notes
Proprietary technology, e.g., FulcrumTechnologies with FulText
Market knowledge and customerknowledge, e.g., Wainman+Kydd w.r.t.
the accounting profession Customer loyalty, e.g., IBM (in the past?)
Customer access, e.g., Microsoft Fortune 500
Brand name recognition, e.g., Microsoft,Lotus
Reputation for quality, e.g., HewlettPackard
Saturated distribution channels
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Saturated distribution
channels
Also no shelf space in retail outlets
Closed to all but established softwareand multimedia vendors
The example of multimedia
One vendor estimate only 4 ofroughly 10,000 titles really successful
Another vendor estimate
20 titles generated 90% of therevenues despite 20,000 new titlesin 1995
From 1994 to 1995, titlesincreased by 95% while shelfspace increased by 23%
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How to combat barriers
to entry
Be better, exploit a distinctivecompetence, develop proprietary
technology
Look for a market niche (Part III)
Look for a market window (Part III)
Move quickly to exploit new paradigms,
open new markets, e.g., Netscape
Have a hit, e.g., Myst
Look for distribution channels that arenot saturated, e.g., Internet distribution
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Other Sources of
Competitive Edge
Getting there first (e.g., Corel, Netscape)
Price (high or low) (e.g., Borland)
Ease of use (e.g., Apple)
Market presence & market share (e.g.,Microsoft)
Marketing knowledge and skill (e.g.,W+K)
Brand name recognition (e.g., RandMcNally, world's leading commercialcartographer, for its TripMaker and
StreetFinder CD/ROMs) Geography (e.g., W+K, Altamont
Computers)
Spanish language (in Latin America)
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The Business Plan
Develop and refine periodically a
business plan to serve as a management
tool, a reality check, an environment for
exploring possible alternative futures,
and a vehicle for raising funds. (#12)
Substance of a typical plan
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Substance of a typical
plan
Executive summary
Concept and objectives
The market
The product and the technology
Marketing and sales strategy
Competition and competitive edge The company
Financial forecasts and projections
Investment proposal
Possible appendices
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Executive summary
The highlights of the plan
Focus on the problem
Focus on the solution
Focus on the entrepreneurial team
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Concept and objectives
Background
The concept
The key idea
The business focus
The business objectives short term,long term
The mission statement
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The market
Market identification and characteristics
Market segmentation
Market sizing
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The product and the
technology
Services or products to be offered
Proprietary technology and itsadvantages
Prior investment
Required R&D, development plan, timeand cost
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Marketing and sales
strategy
Basic strategy
Positioning
Distribution
Pricing
Advertising and promotion
Sales organization and strategy
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Competition and
competitive edge
User benefit compared to status quo,payback period
Major competitors competitivepositions, market shares, strengths andweaknesses
Competitive edge vis a vis the
competition Barriers to entry for new competitors
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The company
Management managementmanagement!!!
Corporate organization key players,credentials and distinctive competences
Growth plans access to additional keyand skilled personnel
Competition schemes, including profitsharing and stock ownership
Current legal status and organization
Background and history
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Financial forecasts and
projections
Short term (1-2 year monthly forecasts)
Medium term (2-3 year quarterlyforecasts)
Revenue and P&L, cash flow, balancesheet
Assumptions
Sensitivity analysis, worst case
scenario
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Investment proposal
Funds required and their purpose
Equity offered
Return on invesment
Liquidity, exit plan
Sources, timing for future investment
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Possible appendices
Detailed financial forecasts
Resumes
Market survey data
Company profile, product literature
Testimonials from customers
Literature from competition Risk factors
Names of references
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III. Opportunity and
Timing Market andProduct Planning
Market Definition
Customer Identification Market Segmentation and Sizing
Competitive Analysis and ProductDifferentiation
Market Niche Market Share
Market Window
Business Redefinition and Corporate
Agility
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Market Definition
Define your market by positioning
yourself in a multi-dimensional
marketplace space that includes
technology, market, service, and pricing
factors. You must find a niche that can
be defined with some precision, that has
customers who are accessible, that isgrowing fast enough, and that is not
owned by one established vendor.
(#13)
Criteria for well-chosen markets
Examples of well-chosen markets
Characteristics of poorly chosen markets
Examples of poorly chosen markets
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Criteria for well chosen
markets
Can be defined with some precision, aniche (see below)
Well timed, within market window (seebelow)
Customers accessible
Growing fast enough
Not owned by one established vendor
Expansion paths to other niches
Well suited to your strengths
Also need vision, guts, and luck
Example: I.P. Sharp with APL in the70s
Example: John Lowry with electronicchildren's books in the early 90s
Example: Lee Stein, Einar Stefferud,et al. with electronic commerce in the
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Examples of well
chosen markets
Capacity planning software for IBMmainframe installations in the late 70s
Cost accounting software on personalcomputers for large farms in the centralCalifornia valley in the late 70s
UNIX porting services in the late 70s and
early 80s Tax packages on IBM PCs for Canadian
accountants in the early to mid 80s
Desktop publishing software on the
Macintosh for the graphic arts industry inthe mid 80s
Groupware for large corporations in theearly 90s
World Wide Web servers, browsers, andauthoring tools in the mid 90s
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Characteristics of
poorly chosen markets
Vague
Too large
Premature, or too late
No clear way to reach customers
Static or declining
Already owned by others Not suited to your strengths
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Examples of poorly
chosen markets
Software for the doctor (too vague)
The word processing market (too large)
The office automation market (too vagueand too large)
Accounting software for time-sharedcomputers in the 80s (too late,
declining)
Integrated productivity tools market onthe IBM PC in the late 80s (alreadyowned)
Fourth-generation languages for HCR(not suited to the company's strengths)
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Customer Identification
and Characterization
Identify your customers in terms of who
they are, what they do, how you can find
them, and why and how they will use
your products or services. (#14)
Dimensions characterizing customers
Key concept is user benefit
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Dimensions
characterizingcustomers
Business or profession, e.g., oilexploration
Kind of user, e.g., accountant
Activity for use of the software, financialplanning
Size of the target business
Geographic location
Machine and/or software environment
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Market Segmentation
and Sizing
Segment your market appropriately, and
then attempt to size it in a number of
different ways by working top-down in
terms of percentages of some larger
population, by working sideways through
comparisons with your competitors, and
by working bottom-up in terms ofspecifically identified potential customers
or classes of customers. (#15)
Market segmentation: multimedia titles
Market sizing: the U.S. K-12 schoolmarketplace
Market sizing: tax packages foraccountants
Market segmentation exercise: the
Internet marketplace
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Market segmentation:
multimedia titles
Games
Adventure, role playing
Simulation
Strategy
Sports
Business Personal/reference/finance
Education
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Market sizing: the U.S.
K-12 schoolmarketplace
14,000+ school districts
100,000+ schools
2.8M educators
48M students
34M families
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Market sizing: the U.S.
K-12 schoolmarketplace
Technology for school administrators
Technology labs (e.g., Writing to Readlabs) 100K labs
Classroom computers 2.8Mclassrooms
PCs for teachers 3.3M teachers and
administrators
Student home computers 46Mstudents, 30M families
Early childhood market
Private school market 15K schools,5.5M students
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Market sizing: tax
packages foraccountants
Tax packages (personal and corporate)for Canada on the IBM PC in the early to
mid 80s
Top-down analysis
Market is roughly 10,000 accountants
Sideways analysis
Enumerate the competition, thenumber of accountants using servicebureau packages or the number ofclient returns being processed by
service bureaus Bottom-up analysis
Enumerate target accounts:A number of big 8 firms XA number of offices per firm XA number of accountants per office
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Market segmentation
exercise: the Internetmarketplace
One segmentation of the WWW market
Corporate publishing and advertisingmarket (Yellow pages)
Personal Web pages (White pages)
Internal corporate communications,
Intranets Class exercise (individual or group)
Develop a more comprehensivesegmentation
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Competitive Analysis
and ProductDifferentiation
Carry out a thorough competitive
analysis, investigating the strengths and
weaknesses of both the products and the
companies from which they originate.
Then decide on how you will position
yourself and differentiate yourself from
these competitors. (#16) Competitive analysis
Product differentiation Choosing aproduct position such that ones product
is distinguished favourably from allothers
Examples of product positioning
Product differentiation via a positioningdiagram
Product definition to be discussed later
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Competitive analysis Identify the competitors Formulate and ask questions with goals in
mind
Gather the data: commercial intelligence
Read trade papers, magazines,industry market reports, etc. for reviewsof other products
Read literature and look at demos of
other products
Talk to customers of other products
If need be, buy the other products
Organize the data
Analyze the data
Identify strengths and weaknesses
Present the data, e.g., via product-featurematrix
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Examples of product
positioning
A position in terms of...
The intended customer, e.g., the Mac,the computer for the rest of us
Price, e.g., Borland in the mid 80s
Market dominance, e.g., Lotus 1-2-3in the mid 80s
Talking the customer's language, e.g.,Wainman+Kydd
Features, e.g., WordPerfect
Standards, e.g., UNIX System V
Ease of use, e.g., Claris
Customer support, e.g., WordPerfect
Perceived quality, e.g., HewlettPackard
Technological leadership. e.g.,Microsoft
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Product differentiation
via a positioningdiagram
Example: Alias Research's positioningvis a vis other computer graphics
vendors
2D
Analytical Creative
3D
Alias
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+ + +
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Market Niche
You must find a market niche a
position in a corner or along an edge of a
marketplace where it is reasonable to
expect to have competitive advantage
and to expect to garner a significant
market share. (#17)
Characteristics of market niches Examples of market niches
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Characteristics of
market niches
Ideal size of a market niche
Large enough or potentially largeenough for growth and profitability
Small enough to be affordable and todiscourage competition
The niche and barriers to entry
Unique distinctive competence
Proprietary technology
Creation of a default standard
Specialized market knowledge
Lack of interest because of small size
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Examples of market
niches
Altamont Computers Cost accountingsystems for large farms in the central
California valley
BGS Systems Capacity planningsoftware for IBM mainframes
Fulcrum Technologies Full-text
storage, indexing, and retrieval softwarefor OEMs
Mortice Kern Sys.UNIX toolkits underDOS
SoftQuad Enhanced UNIX TROFF Interactive document editors for SGML,WWW
InContext SGML, WWW creation,mgmt.
Waterloo Computer ProductsHigh-
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Market Share
You must garner a significant market
share, a substantial percentage of a
marketplace. The best way to do this is
to create a new market, rather than
trying to carve share away from existing
players in a market. (#18)
Advantages associated with marketshare
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Advantages associated
with market share
Advantages of having market share
Large customer base
Referrals and reference accounts
Potential for repeat business
Profitability (correlates with marketshare, PIMS study, Harvard, 1970s)
Disadvantages of not having marketshare
Price vulnerability
Media inattention
Shelf space unavailability
Market creation, not market sharing!!!(McKenna)
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Market Window
You must enter a marketplace during the
market window the time period when
there is opportunity to dominate an
emerging market niche or at least to
capture significant market share. (#19)
Examples of market windows
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Examples of market
windows
Late 70s Spreadsheets
Mid 80s UNIX relational data basemanagement systems
Mid 80s Networking software
Late 80s CASE software
90s Groupware
90s Software for global informationand communication systems via theInternet and the World Wide Web
90s Multimedia
90s Software for pen-basedcomputers?
90s Software for environmentalconcerns, e.g., WK Information Systems
Greenware
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Business Redefinition
and Corporate Agility
Because market evolve and change, and
windows open and close, it may be
necessary to reinvent the business
frequently, perhaps every 4-6 years. In
fact, reinvention may be necessary
from the outset as one searches for a
winning product and market. Don't beafraid to experiment. (#20)
Examples of business redefinition
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Examples of business
redefinition
Dataline
Time sharing --> applications software--> services for industry segments -->stock quotation services
Corel
Desktop publishing systems
integration
PC-compatible graphics software
Desktop publishing software(acquisition of Ventura)
Desktop videoconferencing Multimedia products
Office productivity suites (acquisitionof WordPerfect)
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The business plan
Proprietary Technology and Capability
Marketing and Distribution
Cash
Leadership
Partnerships
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Proprietary Technology
and Capability
Consider carefully the advantages and
disadvantages of selling a service,
packaging and marketing a product, or
various ways of providing a combined
product and service. (#21)
Clients contract for consulting and
software-related services because theydo not want to hire permanently or
cannot find critically needed skills; your
success as a consultant/contractor is
based on the degree to which you can
professionally, skillfully, and consistentlydeliver high quality and knowledgeable
service such as advice, management
assistance, software development, or
training. (#22)
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Proprietary Technology
and Capability
Software development, whether carried
out for clients or internally for purposes
of product development, is notoriously
prone to cost overruns. You must
therefore estimate carefully, monitor
progress, and re-estimate assiduously,
using methods such as divide andconquer, Delphi, and post mortem.
(#23)
Always remember Brookss Law: Adding
more manpower to a late project makes
it later. (#24) Use exploratory programming and
software prototyping to experiment withnew product ideas, including both
functionality and interface; then employmore rigorous processes of software
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Proprietary Technology
and Capability
Develop software specifications afterprototyping but before carrying out
product development; these mustinclude:
metaphors and mental modelsthrough which the user will
comprehend the product required functionality
the look-and-feel of the interface
processor, memory, and other
hardware requirements performance requirements. (#26)
A critical component of any piece ofsoftware is its user interface, whichdetermines how it looks and feels to itsusers; effective interfaces are designed
-
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Proprietary Technology
and Capability
Software product quality must be
systematically tested to guarantee that it
meets desired standards; this includes
alpha testing within one's own
organization and beta testing at carefully
selected customer sites. (#28)
To remain competitive, convincecustomers that the company is
innovative, and provide an additional
source of revenue, software must be
continually improved through a carefully
managed process of enhancement,testing, and new releases. Yet what one
omits from new releases is even more
important than what one includes. (#29)
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Proprietary Technology
and Capability
Competent and responsive customersupport is essential in today's software
marketplace, and serves as an additionaprovider of revenue, a necessarycomponent of effective sales tocustomers who are not computer
specialists, a method of corporate andproduct differentiation, and a source ofintelligence about the strengths andweaknesses of your product and those ofyour competitors. (#30)
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Proprietary Technology
and Capability
Functionality and complexity of software
seems to grow at least as fast as its
alleged user friendliness, hencecustomer training is essential and can
serve as an additional source of
revenue. Corporate training skills can
also be applied to the professionaldevelopment and internal training of
one's own employees, which is an
essential component of honing and
sharpening one's competitive edge.
(#31) Although the intellectual property of
software should be protected, with the
help of a knowledgeable attorney,
through trade secret, copyright, patent,
trademark, and contract law, speed and
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Marketing and
Distribution
Carefully design your product name,
logo, and literature to assert forcefully
and consistently who you are and what
you do and make. (#33)
Specify your product in terms of what a
customer wants and needs, and what the
user benefit will be, rather than in termsof what its features are. (#34)
Think about software pricing in terms of
value to your customer, what the
customer will pay, what your competitors
are charging, and your cost structure;
ideally, these methods will result in
similar recommendations and help you
set your pricing. Then, pay attention to
the marketplace and be willing to makechanges. (#35)
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Marketing and
Distribution
There are many ways to distribute
products and reach customers.
Considering your company's strengths
and weaknesses, the nature of your
customers and how they can be
reached, and the nature and price of the
product, pick methods that are mostappropriate from among (#36):
Direct sales
Use of sales representatives
Original equipment manufacturers
(OEMs)
Distributors
Value added resellers (VARs)
Dealers and retail outlets
Mail order via magazine and catalog
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Marketing and
Distribution
Consider carefully various methods of
promoting your company and product
and reaching your customer, including
but not limited to (#37):
Advertising
Direct mail
Trade shows
Seminars
Articles and reviews
Industry participation
Public relations
Relationship building and word-of-
mouth
Uses of the Internet
Example: In FY95, Corel spent 49% ofrevenue on marketin sales G&A
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Marketing and
Distribution
Use the trade show not only as an
efficient method for reaching your
potential customers and talking to your
customers, but for building strategic
alliances, carrying out corporate
intelligence, and building morale and
customer awareness within yourcompany. Effective use of trade shows
requires careful planning before the
show, skillful execution at the show, and
systematic follow-up after the show.
(#38) The best publicity is that which spreads
by word of mouth from satisfied
customers and respected industry
participants. (#39)
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Marketing and
Distribution
The sales process must be structured
and managed consider it as a funnel
in which leads are systematically and
steadily culled and promoted through
stages which may be termed suspects,
prospects, targets for closing, and
customers. (#40) View your relationship with your
customer, in Levitt's words, as a
marriage, not as a one-night stand.
Thoughtful and attentive concern for your
customers' well being will often lead tothe most desirable goals of repeat
business and good word of mouth. (#41)
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Marketing and
Distribution
Pay careful attention to the management
of sales personnel and sales managers;
structure thoughtfully a system of
financial incentives and rewards keyed to
agreed-upon performance objectives,
backed up by an infrastructure of
effective administration, sales training,and technical support. (#42)
Understand the Technology Adoption
Life Cycle; do not overvalue early sales
success or underestimate the difficulty of
crossing the chasm between earlyadopters and the early majority. (#43)
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Cash
Central to your business plan must be a
financial forecasting model which
provides a reality check, allows the
exploration of options, assists the
establishing of expectations and
standards of financial performance, and
aids the intelligent management ofbusiness downturns. (#44)
Use your financial statements and
models in tandem initialize the model
with actual data from the statement, and
transfer the results of the model into thestatements as budgets. (#45)
Conserve and protect cash as you would
your life. And, don't forget, you can only
neglect profitability for so long. (#46)
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Cash
Establish a set of key indicators
financial measurements which can be
used to track and evaluate financial
performance and business health.
Properly attribute costs in various
projects, products, and services, so that
you can determine the profitability ofeach one. (#47)
Budgets are projected sets of desired
lower bounds on revenues and upper
bounds on expenditures. They force
planning, and facilitate understanding,thoughtful management, and control.
They must be negotiated in a top-down,
bottom-up manner by all those who will
be responsible and accountable. (#48)
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Cash
Bank financing for start-up software
ventures is for all practical purposes
impossible unless backed by security
and personal loan guarantees. (#49)
Venture financing for start-up software
ventures is possible, but usually only
after initial software development iscomplete and a few early sales have
been made. Look for venture funding
that results in advice and connections as
well as cash. Venture firms will look
primarily at management quality, and willseek outstanding potential returns as
well as a path to liquidity. (#50)
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Leadership and
Management
Leadership is vision, knowledge, drive,
confidence, optimism, openness,
humanity, and caring. It is direction and
guidance that inspires dedication,
confidence, and achievement. It is
required to inspire and bring out the best
in people, and to give them the courageto survive the tough times. Effective
leadership sets and molds the corporate
culture. (#52)
It is essential to have a management
team of compatible and versatileindividuals who have complementary
skills and shared values; one-person
bands will not succeed. (#51)
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Leadership and
Management
You must delegate responsibility and
accountability for a task to be
accomplished, and authority the tools
with which to carry out the task;
otherwise there will be no ownership,
and hence litte commitment, little
striving, and little achievement. Adesirable goal is collective responsibility
shared by members of a committed
team. (#53)
Hire only the best people; use every
avenue at your disposal, includingmultiple interviews and careful reference
checks, to ensure that this happens.
(#54)
Compensation should be significantlybased on success and the achievement
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Leadership and
Management
Employees need and resonate to praise;
be generous in recognizing,
acknowledging, and rewarding
achievement. (#56)
Be courageous, decisive, and clear in
recognizing and openly confronting non-
achievement, defining andcommunication necessary behaviours,
and documenting discussions, plans,
and progress or lack thereof, and in firing
those that despite these efforts do not
perform. (#57)
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Partnerships Do not be committed to developing yourown technology, but consider
dispassionately the make-or-buy decision.
Speed to market can be enhanced by
taking advantage of the opportunities forlicensing technology from government,
universities, customers, or other
companies, both competing and non-
competing. (#58)
The software industry is becoming moreand more competitive, with established
firms wielding more and more power; one
weapon for a new or existing company is a
strategic alliance with one or more other
companies. (#59)
Be open to merger and acquisition
possibilities, but be particularly sensitive to
the mesh of corporate cultures. (#60)
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Course Wrapup
8 themes
21 key principles for success
Good books to read
More books to read
And even more books
And finally...
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8 themes
Innovation in the Software Industry
Focus and Objectives
Opportunity and Timing
Proprietary Technology and Capability
Marketing and Distribution
Finance and Financing Leadership
Partnerships
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21 key principles for
success
#2 Software paradigms
#3 Purposeful software innovation
#4 Entrepreneurial success factors
#6 Focus and objectives
#7 Self knowledge
#8 Competitive edge #16 Positioning and differentiation
#17 Market niche
#19 Market window
#20 Business redefinition and agility
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21 key principles for
success (cont.)
#23 Software project managememt
#28 Software product quality
#30 Customer support
#32 Intellectual property protection
#34 User benefit
#36 Distribution channels #39 Word of mouth
#46 Cash
#51 Management team
#52 Leadership #59 Strategic alliances
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Good books to read
Bell, C.G. with McNamara, J.E. (1991). High-TechVentures: The Guide for Entrepreneurial Success.
Addison Wesley. Brandt, S. (1982). Entrepreneuring: The Ten
Commandments for Building a Growth Company.Mentor.
Cusumano, M.A. and Selby, R.W. (1995). MicrosoftSecrets: How the World's Most Powerful Software
Company Creates Technology, Shapes Markets, andManages People. The Free Press.
Doyle, D. J. (1990). Making Technology Happen.Available from Doyletech Corporation, 60 QueenStreet, Suite 1202, Ottawa Ontario Canada K1P 5Y7.(613)567-7540.
Drucker, P.F. (1985). Innovation andEntrepreneurship: Practice and Principles. Harper andRow.
Gumpert, D.E. (1984). Growing Concerns: Buildingand Managing the Smaller Business. HarvardBusiness Review. John Wiley and Sons.
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More books to read
Manes, S. and Andrews, P. (1993). Gates: HowMicrosoft's Mogul Reinvented an Industry and Made
Himself the Richest Man in America. Doubleday. McKenna, R. (1985). The Regis Touch: Million-Dollar
Advice from America's Top Marketing Consultant.Addison-Wesley.
Moore, G.A. (1991). Crossing the Chasm: Marketingand Selling Technology Products to Mainstream
Customers. Harper Business. Rich, S.R. and Gumpert, D.E. (1985). Business Plans
That Win $$$: Lessons from the MIT EnterpriseForum. Harper & Row.
Roberts, E.B. (Ed.) (1987). Generating TechnologicalInnovation. Oxford University Press.
Roberts, E.B. (Ed.) (1991). Entrepreneurs in HighTechnology: Lessons from MIT and Beyond. OxfordUniversity Press.
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123The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker
And even more books
Brandt, Steven C. (1986). Entrepreneurship inEstablished Companies: Managing Toward the Year
2000, New Americal Library. Jelinek, Mariann and Schoonhoven, Claudia Bird
(1990). Innovation Marathan: Lessons from HighTechnology Firms, Blackwell.
Kanter, Rosabeth Moss, (1983). The Change MastersInnovation and Entrepreneurship in the American
Corporation, Simon and Schuster.
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And, finally...
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