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    1The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Planning and Starting

    A Successful SoftwareCompany

    Professor Ronald M. Baecker University of Toronto

    Founder and CEO, Expresto SoftwareCorp.

    19 September 1998, Vancouver, BritishColumbia

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    2The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    How to Contact Me

    Ronald M. Baecker

    Department of Computer Science

    University of Toronto

    10 Kings College Road

    Toronto Ontario M5S 3G4 Canada

    +1 (416) 978-6983 (phone)+1 (416) 978-5184 (fax)

    [email protected]

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    3The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Introduction

    Ronald M. Baecker

    Objectives

    Methods

    Course Themes

    Guest Entrepreneurs

    Strategic Issue Session Seminar Schedule

    Any Questions?

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    4The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Ronald M. Baecker

    Founder and CEO, Expresto SoftwareCorp.

    Professor of Computer Science, Elec.and Comp. Eng., and Management,University of Toronto

    Founder (1996) and Director, Knowledge

    Media Design Institute, University ofToronto

    Past Visiting Prof. or Research Scientistat M.I.T. Media Lab, Univ. of British

    Columbia, Univ. of Maryland, AppleComputer, Xerox PARC

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    5The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Ronald M. Baecker

    (contd)

    Founder (1976) and CEO, Human

    Computing Resources Corp. (HCR), soldin 1990 to SCO

    Adviser and consultant to a number ofstart-up software firms

    Taught this in Toronto, Ottawa,Vancouver, Los Angeles, Buenos Aires(Arg.), Santiago (Chile)

    B.Sc., M.Sc., Ph.D., M.I.T.

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    6The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Objectives

    To understand the high-technology,computer, and especially the software

    business environment

    To learn principles for defining andcrafting a healthy profitable growingsoftware business (entrepreneurial or

    intrapraneurial) To convey a healthy appreciation of how

    difficult this is

    To hone one's skills in thinking about

    strategic software business issues To join and help to create a communityof software entrepreneurs andintrapreneurs

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    7The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Methods

    Lecture and discussion of 4 themes (seenext slide) and 60 principles for success

    Elaborations and illustrations, especiallyfrom guest entrepreneurs, past andpresent, through both second-hand andfirst-hand accounts (live and on video)

    Exercises for students Discussion of student questions and

    issues in strategic issue session

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    8The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Course Themes

    I. Innovation in the Software Industry

    II. Focus and Objectives Defining andPlanning the Business

    III. Opportunity and Timing Marketand Product Planning

    IV. Writing the Business Plan

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    9The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Other principles forsuccess

    Organized into the following categories:

    Marketing and Distribution of SoftwareServices and Products

    Cash Financial Management andAcquisition of Financing

    Leadership Team Building andManagement

    Partnerships Strategic Alliances,Mergers, and Acquisitions

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    10The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Guest Entrepreneurs

    Characteristics

    Experienced entrepreneurs

    Successful entrepreneurs

    Products and service companies

    Information technology in a broadsense

    20-25 minute presentations

    35-40 minutes of question-and-answer,based on your participation!!!

    Discussion and critique

    Guest Entrepreneur List

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    11The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Strategic Issue Session

    Discussion of actual strategic issuesfaced by seminar participants

    These could deal with, for example,

    Innovation, business definition,markets, or technology; or,

    Marketing or sales; or

    Finance, financing, leadership, orcorporate organization

    Please fill out and hand in ParticipantInformation Forms by the close of lunch

    time.

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    12The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Schedule Day One

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    13The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Any Questions?

    Lets make it interactive!!!

    Now please introduce yourselves....

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    14The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

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    15The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    I. Innovation in The

    Software Industry

    Data on the Canadian Software ProductsIndustry

    Data on the U.S. Software ProductsIndustry 1

    Data on the U.S. Software ProductsIndustry 2

    The Multi-Faceted Business of Software

    Many Kinds of Software

    Hardware-enabled Software Paradigms

    Druckers Sources of Innovative

    Opportunity

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    16The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Data on the Canadian

    Software ProductsIndustry

    Growth of the Canadian SoftwareProducts and Computer Services

    Industry

    Year Rev. Employ. S'ware Prod. Rev.

    1990 $5.8B 64K $0.8B1991 $6.1B 64K $0.9B

    1992 $6.5B 67K $1.0B1993 $8.2B 71K $1.3B1994 $9.3B 76K $1.6B (est)

    Excludes the 25% who are self-employed

    S'ware products compound annualgrowth of 20%

    55% of total revenue generated by the1% of the companies with sales > $10M

    Net profit margin of 6.2% for sample of30 software products firms

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    17The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Data on the U.S.

    Software ProductsIndustry 1

    Growth of the U.S. Packaged SoftwareIndustry

    Year Revenue Income before tax1987 $ 5.7B $0.5B1988 $ 7.3B $0.7B1989 $ 9.0B $1.3B1990 $11.7B $1.4B

    1991 $13.0B $1.2B1992 $14.4B $1.7B1993 $16.6B -------

    Average annual growth rate of revenue =20.4% over that period

    Source: WEFA Group (via SPA), August1994

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    18The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Data on the U.S.

    Software ProductsIndustry 2

    Relationship to other industriesYear Print/pub. PCs/WSs Films S'ware

    pub.1987 $137B $10B $14B $6B1988 $144B $13B $14B $7B1989 $150B $15B $17B $9B1990 $157B $16B $19B $12B

    1991 $157B $16B $18B $13B1992 $160B $19B $21B $14B1993 $163B $24B $23B $17B

    Annual growth rate3.0% 16.7% 9.0% 19.6%

    Source: WEFA Group (via SPA), August1994

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    19The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    The Multi-faceted

    Business of Software

    Remember, as you search for sources of

    entrepreneurial opportunity, that the

    business of software includes not only

    software development and marketing,

    but activities as diverse as market

    analysis, customer training, and

    information publishing. Thus softwareinnovation need not consist of new

    paradigms or proprietary algorithms, but

    can instead be based on other

    innovations, such as the novel coupling

    of technology to an application, or a newapproach to distribution, training, or

    support. (#1)

    Varieties of software-related business

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    20The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Varieties of software-

    related business

    Consulting

    Contract software development

    Systems integration

    Software products development

    Software products publishing andmarketing

    Software distribution

    Value added reselling

    Technical documentation

    Industry analysis and publishing Training and customer support

    Electronic publishing, CD/ROM,multimedia

    On-line and Internet-basedinformation services

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    21The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Many Kinds of Software Systems software

    Operating systems

    Languages, programming utilities

    Software engineering, CASE

    Networking and communications Applications software

    Industrial automation, computer-aideddesign

    Business software Personal productivity software

    Media and information

    Games, multimedia, educational

    software Electronic mail, conferencing,

    groupware

    Information access and resource

    discovery

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    22The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Hardware-enabled

    Software Paradigms

    Scan technology trends carefully looking

    for new hardware paradigms that could

    open up and enable new software

    paradigms and applications. New

    software paradigms, such as the

    spreadsheet, object-oriented

    programming, CASE, hypertext, neuralnets, or groupware open up new

    domains for vigorous entrepreneurial

    activity. (#2)

    Examples

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    23The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Examples

    IBM Mainfr. Capacity planning Best 1

    HP minis RDBMS+4GL

    PowerHouse PC PC software develop. Basic

    Apple II Spreadsheet Visicalc

    IBM PC Integrat. productivity Lotus 1-2-3

    IBM PC PC tax software TaxPrep

    Mac Desktop publishing PageMaker

    SGI Workst Sensual 3D design Alias Rsrch

    Networks Network file systems NetWare

    Networks Groupware LotusNotes

    The Internet Global comm+inform. Netscape

    Hand-held... Pen-centric software GoPenpoint

    Wireless ??? ???

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    24The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Drucker's Sources of

    InnovativeOpportunity

    Search for sources of innovation

    systematically, as Drucker asserts is

    possible, looking at (#3):

    New knowledge

    The Unexpected

    Process need

    Changes in industry or marketstructure

    Demographics

    Incongruities

    Changes in perception, mood ormeaning.

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    25The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    New knowledge

    New hardware paradigms

    New software paradigms and proprietaryalgorithms

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    26The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    New hardware

    paradigms

    RISC architectures enabling newapplications for workstations

    Highly parallel machines enabling newapproaches to weather forecasting,exploration, information retrieval, etc.

    VLSI graphics chips enabling new

    applications in computer animation,simulation, virtual reality, etc.

    Multi-media technology enabling newapplications in entertainment, education,

    etc. Ubiquitous computing enabling newapplications in both office and home

    Global networking via the Internetenabling new applications for

    communications, information access

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    27The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    New softwareparadigms & proprietary

    algorithms

    The spreadsheet

    The relational database managementsystem

    Windowing environments

    Object-oriented programming

    Hypertext

    Neural nets

    Performance modelling algorithms

    Speech recognition algorithms

    Handwriting recognition algorithms Groupware

    Information resource discovery engines

    Intelligent agents

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    28The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    The unexpected

    Use of scientific computers for

    business

    Success of the personal computer

    Use of Lotus macro languages andHyperTalk by non-programmers

    Penetration of PCs in the home

    Success of the Internet

    Licensing of the Macintosh operatingsystem

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    29The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Process need

    Interfaces between systems andstandards

    Software to emulate one environment inanother environment

    Compilers to replace interpreters, e.g.,DBase-Clipper

    More generally, performanceenhancements

    Novel coupling of technology toapplication, e.g., Aldus PageMaker

    Network design and management tools Software metering tools

    Virus immunization and other computersecurity software and services

    Universal mailbox software Email filtering software

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    30The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Changes in industry or

    market structure

    Innovations in promotion, e.g., Lotus

    Innovations in pricing, e.g., Borland

    Innovations in distribution, e.g.,shareware

    Innovations in packaging, e.g., softwaresuites

    Decentralization/communicationsreplacing travel, hence the need forelectronic mail

    Merging of computing and telecom

    opens opportunities for groupware Opening up of Eastern Europe provides

    new markets for technology and software

    Increasing use of multimedia for

    entertainment, education, advertising New publishing and distribution options

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    31The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Demographics

    Increasing amounts of home-basedbusiness

    Increasing amounts of telecommuting

    Increasing numbers of female executives

    Increasing levels of illiteracy

    Increasing numbers of elderly people

    Increasing expectations and progress indeveloping countries

    Increasing numbers of skilled peoplewho have been downsized

    Increasing numbers of people connectedto the Net, and who have their own homepages

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    32The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Incongruities

    Discrepancies between reality as itactually is and reality as it is assumed tobe or as it ought to be, e.g.....

    High-level languages not very high-level, hence the need for 4GLs

    VARs not self-sufficient hence

    Genamation becomes a super-VAR,providing assistance with businessplanning and development, salessupport, training, and marketing

    Voice mail is just electronic answeringmachine technology hencestraightforward; not true, hence voice

    mail surgeons needed

    Everything you want to know is on the

    Net, yet you can't find it, hence searchengines needed

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    33The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Changes in perception,

    mood, or meaning.

    I'm mad as hell and I'm not going to take

    it anymore leads to the computer for

    the rest of us and increasing emphasison ergonomics and user friendliness

    Success of the Apple Macintosh

    Computer as a gateway to

    communications and information ratherthan a stand-alone device

    Growth of the Internet

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    35The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    II. Focus and Objectives

    Defining andPlanning the Business

    An Equation for Entrepreneurial Success

    The Entrepreneurial Spirit

    Focus and Objectives

    Self Knowledge

    Competitive Edge

    Distinctive Competence

    Proprietary Technology

    Barriers to Entry

    Other Sources of Competitive Edge

    The Business Plan

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    36The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    An Equation for

    EntrepreneurialSuccess

    To succeed, according to Silver's Law of

    Venture Capital, you must identify a

    major problem, devise an elegant

    solution to the problem, and assemble

    an outstanding entrepreneurial team

    capable of turning the problem and the

    solution into a successful business. Ifany of the three factors is lacking, all is

    for naught. (#4)

    Silvers Law of Venture Capital

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    37The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Silver's Law of Venture

    Capital

    If V = Valuation

    P = Problem size (i.e., market)

    S = Solution elegance (e.g.,technology)

    E = Entrepreneurial team quality

    Then V = P X S X E.

    The goal of entrepreneurship is to

    create value (V) by formulating a bigproblem (P), creating an elegant solution(S) that solves the problem, and forming

    a capable entrepreneurial team (E) tocreate a unique system for delivering Sto P.

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    38The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    The Entrepreneurial

    Spirit

    Don't start a business unless you

    possess an entrepreneurial spiritsturdy

    self-confidence, serious drive and

    energy, unflappable commitment, a

    willingness to take risks, the ability to

    venture into the unknown, and the

    courage to make decisions despiteuncertainty. You must also possess

    expertise a distinctive competence,

    and qualities of leadership. (#5)

    Motivations for entrepreneurship

    Wealth

    Independence, must be your ownboss

    Building something

    An idea that cannot be denied, mustbe done

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    39The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    What is

    entrepreneurship? Entrepreneurship is the dynamic processof creating incremental wealth. The wealthis created by individuals who assume themajor risks, in terms of equity, time, and/or

    career commitment, of providing value forsomeproduct or service. The product orservice may or may not be new or unique,but value must somehow be infused by theentrepreneur by securing and allocatingthe necessary skills and resources.

    (Ronstadt, 1984, p. 28)

    Entrepreneurship is a little like coming to

    a traffic light which is red and not

    necessarily stopping..... The job of an entrepreneur in our

    'competitive' economy is to create anunfair advantage.....

    I can smell the Ferrari.

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    40The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Focus and Objectives

    Choose your focus carefully, and keep it

    narrow and relatively constrained.

    Define precise objectives, both short-

    term and long-term, dealing with

    technology to be developed or obtained,

    the market to be served and captured,

    and the financial results to be achieved.Make precise who on your team is to do

    what by when. (#6)

    Mission statement

    Example, Alias Research: Our

    mission is to be the world leader in 3Dcomputer graphics software forcreative design.

    Dimensions of focus: technology and

    market Dangers of too diffuse focus

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    41The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Dimensions of focus:

    technology and market

    BGS Systems

    Computer systems performancemodelling for large IBM mainframesystem managers

    Geac

    Transaction processing systems for

    vertical markets, e.g., libraries,financial, hotels

    HCR

    UNIX operating systems programming

    for hardware manufacturers withoutUNIX expertise needing speed toUNIX market

    Wainman+Kydd

    Tax calculations and tax planning forthe Canadian accounting profession

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    42The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Dangers of too diffuse a

    focus

    Causes

    Opportunity strikes

    The temptation of incremental effort

    Financial pressures due toundercapitalization

    Lack of adequate planning

    Failure to define one's focus andgoals

    Arrogance and inflated egos

    Dangers

    Not achieving excellence in oneendeavour

    Undercapitalization intensifies

    Management and staff overload,

    thrashing

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    43The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    A lesson in defining

    objectives

    Writing the world's best electronic mailpackage versus achieving, by 1997, 20%

    market share for PC-compatibleelectronic mail software used byphysicians and hospitals

    Achieving a reputation for service

    excellence versus achieving a 95%renewal rate on service contracts andlogging 10 new sales per month fromcustomers who switch to you from acompetitor's product because of your

    reputation for service excellence Having a high-quality efficient bug-free

    product versus completing a 3-monthbeta test period at 20 sites having found

    no fatal errors and no more than 3serious errors

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    44The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Self Knowledge

    Know who you are, and what your

    strengths and weaknesses are, and use

    this knowledge intelligently in chosing

    your focus and objectives. (#7)

    Example: Lanpar Technologies

    Example: HCR

    Example: Alias Research

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    45The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Competitive Edge

    To succeed, you must have a

    competitive edge, such as a distinctive

    competence, proprietary technology, or

    barriers to entry hindering the

    competiton. (#8)

    Also called sustainable competitive

    advantage Varieties of competitive edge

    Introduction follows, deeper discussion inPart IV

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    46The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Varieties of competitive

    edge

    The distinctive competence

    Proprietary technology

    Barriers to entry

    Other sources of competitive edge

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    47The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Distinctive Competence

    One of the most potent forms of

    competitive edge is to have a distinctive

    competence expertise which is

    unique, difficult to attain, and not

    possessed by your competitors. (#9)

    Examples of distinctive competence

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    48The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Examples of distinctive

    competence

    Adobe Warnock and Geschke

    Page description languages (Xerox)

    Aldus (now part of Adobe) Brainerd etal.

    Electronic publishing (papers, Atex)

    BGS Systems Buzen Goldberg andSchenk

    Comp. syst. perform. model. (Harv.,H'well)

    Object Technology International

    Thomas Object-oriented toolkits and systems

    implementation methodology

    SoftArc Welch and partners

    Email systems (BNR) Wainman+K dd TaxPre Wainman

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    49The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Proprietary Technology

    Another powerful competitive edge is the

    ownership of proprietary technology

    algorithms, software, tools, or

    methodologies which allow you to solve

    a problem that cannot be handled as well

    or at all by competing technologies.

    (#10) Examples

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    50The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Examples

    Algorithmics Formal math. model to derive synthetic

    securities in a uniform way

    Apple Operating system, user interface, etc.

    BGS Syst.

    Comp. syst. capacity plan. algorithm Borland

    Techniques for high-speed compilation

    Fulcrum

    Full-text storage, indexing, retrievalalgorithms (also Open Text)

    Netron Technology of adaptable reusable code

    components

    Visicorp Spreadsheet implementation...not enough!!!

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    51The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Barriers to Entry

    Established companies can hold their

    positions because they gain a powerful

    advantage through barriers to entry,

    which may result from cumulative

    investment and lead time, market and

    customer knowledge, or access to

    distribution channels and shelf space inretail outlets. New companies need to

    devise a plan to counter this advantage.

    (#11)

    Varieties of barriers to entry

    How to combat barriers to entry

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    52The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Varieties of barriers to

    entry

    Cumulative investment and lead time,e.g, Lotus with Notes

    Proprietary technology, e.g., FulcrumTechnologies with FulText

    Market knowledge and customerknowledge, e.g., Wainman+Kydd w.r.t.

    the accounting profession Customer loyalty, e.g., IBM (in the past?)

    Customer access, e.g., Microsoft Fortune 500

    Brand name recognition, e.g., Microsoft,Lotus

    Reputation for quality, e.g., HewlettPackard

    Saturated distribution channels

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    53The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Saturated distribution

    channels

    Also no shelf space in retail outlets

    Closed to all but established softwareand multimedia vendors

    The example of multimedia

    One vendor estimate only 4 ofroughly 10,000 titles really successful

    Another vendor estimate

    20 titles generated 90% of therevenues despite 20,000 new titlesin 1995

    From 1994 to 1995, titlesincreased by 95% while shelfspace increased by 23%

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    54The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    How to combat barriers

    to entry

    Be better, exploit a distinctivecompetence, develop proprietary

    technology

    Look for a market niche (Part III)

    Look for a market window (Part III)

    Move quickly to exploit new paradigms,

    open new markets, e.g., Netscape

    Have a hit, e.g., Myst

    Look for distribution channels that arenot saturated, e.g., Internet distribution

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    55The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Other Sources of

    Competitive Edge

    Getting there first (e.g., Corel, Netscape)

    Price (high or low) (e.g., Borland)

    Ease of use (e.g., Apple)

    Market presence & market share (e.g.,Microsoft)

    Marketing knowledge and skill (e.g.,W+K)

    Brand name recognition (e.g., RandMcNally, world's leading commercialcartographer, for its TripMaker and

    StreetFinder CD/ROMs) Geography (e.g., W+K, Altamont

    Computers)

    Spanish language (in Latin America)

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    56The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    The Business Plan

    Develop and refine periodically a

    business plan to serve as a management

    tool, a reality check, an environment for

    exploring possible alternative futures,

    and a vehicle for raising funds. (#12)

    Substance of a typical plan

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    Substance of a typical

    plan

    Executive summary

    Concept and objectives

    The market

    The product and the technology

    Marketing and sales strategy

    Competition and competitive edge The company

    Financial forecasts and projections

    Investment proposal

    Possible appendices

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    Executive summary

    The highlights of the plan

    Focus on the problem

    Focus on the solution

    Focus on the entrepreneurial team

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    Concept and objectives

    Background

    The concept

    The key idea

    The business focus

    The business objectives short term,long term

    The mission statement

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    The market

    Market identification and characteristics

    Market segmentation

    Market sizing

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    The product and the

    technology

    Services or products to be offered

    Proprietary technology and itsadvantages

    Prior investment

    Required R&D, development plan, timeand cost

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    Marketing and sales

    strategy

    Basic strategy

    Positioning

    Distribution

    Pricing

    Advertising and promotion

    Sales organization and strategy

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    Competition and

    competitive edge

    User benefit compared to status quo,payback period

    Major competitors competitivepositions, market shares, strengths andweaknesses

    Competitive edge vis a vis the

    competition Barriers to entry for new competitors

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    The company

    Management managementmanagement!!!

    Corporate organization key players,credentials and distinctive competences

    Growth plans access to additional keyand skilled personnel

    Competition schemes, including profitsharing and stock ownership

    Current legal status and organization

    Background and history

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    Financial forecasts and

    projections

    Short term (1-2 year monthly forecasts)

    Medium term (2-3 year quarterlyforecasts)

    Revenue and P&L, cash flow, balancesheet

    Assumptions

    Sensitivity analysis, worst case

    scenario

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    Investment proposal

    Funds required and their purpose

    Equity offered

    Return on invesment

    Liquidity, exit plan

    Sources, timing for future investment

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    Possible appendices

    Detailed financial forecasts

    Resumes

    Market survey data

    Company profile, product literature

    Testimonials from customers

    Literature from competition Risk factors

    Names of references

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    69The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    III. Opportunity and

    Timing Market andProduct Planning

    Market Definition

    Customer Identification Market Segmentation and Sizing

    Competitive Analysis and ProductDifferentiation

    Market Niche Market Share

    Market Window

    Business Redefinition and Corporate

    Agility

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    Market Definition

    Define your market by positioning

    yourself in a multi-dimensional

    marketplace space that includes

    technology, market, service, and pricing

    factors. You must find a niche that can

    be defined with some precision, that has

    customers who are accessible, that isgrowing fast enough, and that is not

    owned by one established vendor.

    (#13)

    Criteria for well-chosen markets

    Examples of well-chosen markets

    Characteristics of poorly chosen markets

    Examples of poorly chosen markets

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    Criteria for well chosen

    markets

    Can be defined with some precision, aniche (see below)

    Well timed, within market window (seebelow)

    Customers accessible

    Growing fast enough

    Not owned by one established vendor

    Expansion paths to other niches

    Well suited to your strengths

    Also need vision, guts, and luck

    Example: I.P. Sharp with APL in the70s

    Example: John Lowry with electronicchildren's books in the early 90s

    Example: Lee Stein, Einar Stefferud,et al. with electronic commerce in the

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    72The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Examples of well

    chosen markets

    Capacity planning software for IBMmainframe installations in the late 70s

    Cost accounting software on personalcomputers for large farms in the centralCalifornia valley in the late 70s

    UNIX porting services in the late 70s and

    early 80s Tax packages on IBM PCs for Canadian

    accountants in the early to mid 80s

    Desktop publishing software on the

    Macintosh for the graphic arts industry inthe mid 80s

    Groupware for large corporations in theearly 90s

    World Wide Web servers, browsers, andauthoring tools in the mid 90s

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    73The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Characteristics of

    poorly chosen markets

    Vague

    Too large

    Premature, or too late

    No clear way to reach customers

    Static or declining

    Already owned by others Not suited to your strengths

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    Examples of poorly

    chosen markets

    Software for the doctor (too vague)

    The word processing market (too large)

    The office automation market (too vagueand too large)

    Accounting software for time-sharedcomputers in the 80s (too late,

    declining)

    Integrated productivity tools market onthe IBM PC in the late 80s (alreadyowned)

    Fourth-generation languages for HCR(not suited to the company's strengths)

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    75The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Customer Identification

    and Characterization

    Identify your customers in terms of who

    they are, what they do, how you can find

    them, and why and how they will use

    your products or services. (#14)

    Dimensions characterizing customers

    Key concept is user benefit

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    Dimensions

    characterizingcustomers

    Business or profession, e.g., oilexploration

    Kind of user, e.g., accountant

    Activity for use of the software, financialplanning

    Size of the target business

    Geographic location

    Machine and/or software environment

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    77The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Market Segmentation

    and Sizing

    Segment your market appropriately, and

    then attempt to size it in a number of

    different ways by working top-down in

    terms of percentages of some larger

    population, by working sideways through

    comparisons with your competitors, and

    by working bottom-up in terms ofspecifically identified potential customers

    or classes of customers. (#15)

    Market segmentation: multimedia titles

    Market sizing: the U.S. K-12 schoolmarketplace

    Market sizing: tax packages foraccountants

    Market segmentation exercise: the

    Internet marketplace

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    Market segmentation:

    multimedia titles

    Games

    Adventure, role playing

    Simulation

    Strategy

    Sports

    Business Personal/reference/finance

    Education

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    79The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Market sizing: the U.S.

    K-12 schoolmarketplace

    14,000+ school districts

    100,000+ schools

    2.8M educators

    48M students

    34M families

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    Market sizing: the U.S.

    K-12 schoolmarketplace

    Technology for school administrators

    Technology labs (e.g., Writing to Readlabs) 100K labs

    Classroom computers 2.8Mclassrooms

    PCs for teachers 3.3M teachers and

    administrators

    Student home computers 46Mstudents, 30M families

    Early childhood market

    Private school market 15K schools,5.5M students

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    Market sizing: tax

    packages foraccountants

    Tax packages (personal and corporate)for Canada on the IBM PC in the early to

    mid 80s

    Top-down analysis

    Market is roughly 10,000 accountants

    Sideways analysis

    Enumerate the competition, thenumber of accountants using servicebureau packages or the number ofclient returns being processed by

    service bureaus Bottom-up analysis

    Enumerate target accounts:A number of big 8 firms XA number of offices per firm XA number of accountants per office

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    Market segmentation

    exercise: the Internetmarketplace

    One segmentation of the WWW market

    Corporate publishing and advertisingmarket (Yellow pages)

    Personal Web pages (White pages)

    Internal corporate communications,

    Intranets Class exercise (individual or group)

    Develop a more comprehensivesegmentation

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    83The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Competitive Analysis

    and ProductDifferentiation

    Carry out a thorough competitive

    analysis, investigating the strengths and

    weaknesses of both the products and the

    companies from which they originate.

    Then decide on how you will position

    yourself and differentiate yourself from

    these competitors. (#16) Competitive analysis

    Product differentiation Choosing aproduct position such that ones product

    is distinguished favourably from allothers

    Examples of product positioning

    Product differentiation via a positioningdiagram

    Product definition to be discussed later

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    Competitive analysis Identify the competitors Formulate and ask questions with goals in

    mind

    Gather the data: commercial intelligence

    Read trade papers, magazines,industry market reports, etc. for reviewsof other products

    Read literature and look at demos of

    other products

    Talk to customers of other products

    If need be, buy the other products

    Organize the data

    Analyze the data

    Identify strengths and weaknesses

    Present the data, e.g., via product-featurematrix

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    Examples of product

    positioning

    A position in terms of...

    The intended customer, e.g., the Mac,the computer for the rest of us

    Price, e.g., Borland in the mid 80s

    Market dominance, e.g., Lotus 1-2-3in the mid 80s

    Talking the customer's language, e.g.,Wainman+Kydd

    Features, e.g., WordPerfect

    Standards, e.g., UNIX System V

    Ease of use, e.g., Claris

    Customer support, e.g., WordPerfect

    Perceived quality, e.g., HewlettPackard

    Technological leadership. e.g.,Microsoft

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    Product differentiation

    via a positioningdiagram

    Example: Alias Research's positioningvis a vis other computer graphics

    vendors

    2D

    Analytical Creative

    3D

    Alias

    +

    +

    +

    +

    +

    +

    +

    + + +

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    Market Niche

    You must find a market niche a

    position in a corner or along an edge of a

    marketplace where it is reasonable to

    expect to have competitive advantage

    and to expect to garner a significant

    market share. (#17)

    Characteristics of market niches Examples of market niches

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    Characteristics of

    market niches

    Ideal size of a market niche

    Large enough or potentially largeenough for growth and profitability

    Small enough to be affordable and todiscourage competition

    The niche and barriers to entry

    Unique distinctive competence

    Proprietary technology

    Creation of a default standard

    Specialized market knowledge

    Lack of interest because of small size

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    89The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Examples of market

    niches

    Altamont Computers Cost accountingsystems for large farms in the central

    California valley

    BGS Systems Capacity planningsoftware for IBM mainframes

    Fulcrum Technologies Full-text

    storage, indexing, and retrieval softwarefor OEMs

    Mortice Kern Sys.UNIX toolkits underDOS

    SoftQuad Enhanced UNIX TROFF Interactive document editors for SGML,WWW

    InContext SGML, WWW creation,mgmt.

    Waterloo Computer ProductsHigh-

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    Market Share

    You must garner a significant market

    share, a substantial percentage of a

    marketplace. The best way to do this is

    to create a new market, rather than

    trying to carve share away from existing

    players in a market. (#18)

    Advantages associated with marketshare

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    Advantages associated

    with market share

    Advantages of having market share

    Large customer base

    Referrals and reference accounts

    Potential for repeat business

    Profitability (correlates with marketshare, PIMS study, Harvard, 1970s)

    Disadvantages of not having marketshare

    Price vulnerability

    Media inattention

    Shelf space unavailability

    Market creation, not market sharing!!!(McKenna)

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    Market Window

    You must enter a marketplace during the

    market window the time period when

    there is opportunity to dominate an

    emerging market niche or at least to

    capture significant market share. (#19)

    Examples of market windows

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    93The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Examples of market

    windows

    Late 70s Spreadsheets

    Mid 80s UNIX relational data basemanagement systems

    Mid 80s Networking software

    Late 80s CASE software

    90s Groupware

    90s Software for global informationand communication systems via theInternet and the World Wide Web

    90s Multimedia

    90s Software for pen-basedcomputers?

    90s Software for environmentalconcerns, e.g., WK Information Systems

    Greenware

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    Business Redefinition

    and Corporate Agility

    Because market evolve and change, and

    windows open and close, it may be

    necessary to reinvent the business

    frequently, perhaps every 4-6 years. In

    fact, reinvention may be necessary

    from the outset as one searches for a

    winning product and market. Don't beafraid to experiment. (#20)

    Examples of business redefinition

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    Examples of business

    redefinition

    Dataline

    Time sharing --> applications software--> services for industry segments -->stock quotation services

    Corel

    Desktop publishing systems

    integration

    PC-compatible graphics software

    Desktop publishing software(acquisition of Ventura)

    Desktop videoconferencing Multimedia products

    Office productivity suites (acquisitionof WordPerfect)

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    The business plan

    Proprietary Technology and Capability

    Marketing and Distribution

    Cash

    Leadership

    Partnerships

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    Proprietary Technology

    and Capability

    Consider carefully the advantages and

    disadvantages of selling a service,

    packaging and marketing a product, or

    various ways of providing a combined

    product and service. (#21)

    Clients contract for consulting and

    software-related services because theydo not want to hire permanently or

    cannot find critically needed skills; your

    success as a consultant/contractor is

    based on the degree to which you can

    professionally, skillfully, and consistentlydeliver high quality and knowledgeable

    service such as advice, management

    assistance, software development, or

    training. (#22)

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    Proprietary Technology

    and Capability

    Software development, whether carried

    out for clients or internally for purposes

    of product development, is notoriously

    prone to cost overruns. You must

    therefore estimate carefully, monitor

    progress, and re-estimate assiduously,

    using methods such as divide andconquer, Delphi, and post mortem.

    (#23)

    Always remember Brookss Law: Adding

    more manpower to a late project makes

    it later. (#24) Use exploratory programming and

    software prototyping to experiment withnew product ideas, including both

    functionality and interface; then employmore rigorous processes of software

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    Proprietary Technology

    and Capability

    Develop software specifications afterprototyping but before carrying out

    product development; these mustinclude:

    metaphors and mental modelsthrough which the user will

    comprehend the product required functionality

    the look-and-feel of the interface

    processor, memory, and other

    hardware requirements performance requirements. (#26)

    A critical component of any piece ofsoftware is its user interface, whichdetermines how it looks and feels to itsusers; effective interfaces are designed

    -

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    Proprietary Technology

    and Capability

    Software product quality must be

    systematically tested to guarantee that it

    meets desired standards; this includes

    alpha testing within one's own

    organization and beta testing at carefully

    selected customer sites. (#28)

    To remain competitive, convincecustomers that the company is

    innovative, and provide an additional

    source of revenue, software must be

    continually improved through a carefully

    managed process of enhancement,testing, and new releases. Yet what one

    omits from new releases is even more

    important than what one includes. (#29)

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    Proprietary Technology

    and Capability

    Competent and responsive customersupport is essential in today's software

    marketplace, and serves as an additionaprovider of revenue, a necessarycomponent of effective sales tocustomers who are not computer

    specialists, a method of corporate andproduct differentiation, and a source ofintelligence about the strengths andweaknesses of your product and those ofyour competitors. (#30)

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    Proprietary Technology

    and Capability

    Functionality and complexity of software

    seems to grow at least as fast as its

    alleged user friendliness, hencecustomer training is essential and can

    serve as an additional source of

    revenue. Corporate training skills can

    also be applied to the professionaldevelopment and internal training of

    one's own employees, which is an

    essential component of honing and

    sharpening one's competitive edge.

    (#31) Although the intellectual property of

    software should be protected, with the

    help of a knowledgeable attorney,

    through trade secret, copyright, patent,

    trademark, and contract law, speed and

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    Marketing and

    Distribution

    Carefully design your product name,

    logo, and literature to assert forcefully

    and consistently who you are and what

    you do and make. (#33)

    Specify your product in terms of what a

    customer wants and needs, and what the

    user benefit will be, rather than in termsof what its features are. (#34)

    Think about software pricing in terms of

    value to your customer, what the

    customer will pay, what your competitors

    are charging, and your cost structure;

    ideally, these methods will result in

    similar recommendations and help you

    set your pricing. Then, pay attention to

    the marketplace and be willing to makechanges. (#35)

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    Marketing and

    Distribution

    There are many ways to distribute

    products and reach customers.

    Considering your company's strengths

    and weaknesses, the nature of your

    customers and how they can be

    reached, and the nature and price of the

    product, pick methods that are mostappropriate from among (#36):

    Direct sales

    Use of sales representatives

    Original equipment manufacturers

    (OEMs)

    Distributors

    Value added resellers (VARs)

    Dealers and retail outlets

    Mail order via magazine and catalog

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    Marketing and

    Distribution

    Consider carefully various methods of

    promoting your company and product

    and reaching your customer, including

    but not limited to (#37):

    Advertising

    Direct mail

    Trade shows

    Seminars

    Articles and reviews

    Industry participation

    Public relations

    Relationship building and word-of-

    mouth

    Uses of the Internet

    Example: In FY95, Corel spent 49% ofrevenue on marketin sales G&A

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    Marketing and

    Distribution

    Use the trade show not only as an

    efficient method for reaching your

    potential customers and talking to your

    customers, but for building strategic

    alliances, carrying out corporate

    intelligence, and building morale and

    customer awareness within yourcompany. Effective use of trade shows

    requires careful planning before the

    show, skillful execution at the show, and

    systematic follow-up after the show.

    (#38) The best publicity is that which spreads

    by word of mouth from satisfied

    customers and respected industry

    participants. (#39)

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    Marketing and

    Distribution

    The sales process must be structured

    and managed consider it as a funnel

    in which leads are systematically and

    steadily culled and promoted through

    stages which may be termed suspects,

    prospects, targets for closing, and

    customers. (#40) View your relationship with your

    customer, in Levitt's words, as a

    marriage, not as a one-night stand.

    Thoughtful and attentive concern for your

    customers' well being will often lead tothe most desirable goals of repeat

    business and good word of mouth. (#41)

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    Marketing and

    Distribution

    Pay careful attention to the management

    of sales personnel and sales managers;

    structure thoughtfully a system of

    financial incentives and rewards keyed to

    agreed-upon performance objectives,

    backed up by an infrastructure of

    effective administration, sales training,and technical support. (#42)

    Understand the Technology Adoption

    Life Cycle; do not overvalue early sales

    success or underestimate the difficulty of

    crossing the chasm between earlyadopters and the early majority. (#43)

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    Cash

    Central to your business plan must be a

    financial forecasting model which

    provides a reality check, allows the

    exploration of options, assists the

    establishing of expectations and

    standards of financial performance, and

    aids the intelligent management ofbusiness downturns. (#44)

    Use your financial statements and

    models in tandem initialize the model

    with actual data from the statement, and

    transfer the results of the model into thestatements as budgets. (#45)

    Conserve and protect cash as you would

    your life. And, don't forget, you can only

    neglect profitability for so long. (#46)

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    Cash

    Establish a set of key indicators

    financial measurements which can be

    used to track and evaluate financial

    performance and business health.

    Properly attribute costs in various

    projects, products, and services, so that

    you can determine the profitability ofeach one. (#47)

    Budgets are projected sets of desired

    lower bounds on revenues and upper

    bounds on expenditures. They force

    planning, and facilitate understanding,thoughtful management, and control.

    They must be negotiated in a top-down,

    bottom-up manner by all those who will

    be responsible and accountable. (#48)

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    112The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Cash

    Bank financing for start-up software

    ventures is for all practical purposes

    impossible unless backed by security

    and personal loan guarantees. (#49)

    Venture financing for start-up software

    ventures is possible, but usually only

    after initial software development iscomplete and a few early sales have

    been made. Look for venture funding

    that results in advice and connections as

    well as cash. Venture firms will look

    primarily at management quality, and willseek outstanding potential returns as

    well as a path to liquidity. (#50)

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    113The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Leadership and

    Management

    Leadership is vision, knowledge, drive,

    confidence, optimism, openness,

    humanity, and caring. It is direction and

    guidance that inspires dedication,

    confidence, and achievement. It is

    required to inspire and bring out the best

    in people, and to give them the courageto survive the tough times. Effective

    leadership sets and molds the corporate

    culture. (#52)

    It is essential to have a management

    team of compatible and versatileindividuals who have complementary

    skills and shared values; one-person

    bands will not succeed. (#51)

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    114The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Leadership and

    Management

    You must delegate responsibility and

    accountability for a task to be

    accomplished, and authority the tools

    with which to carry out the task;

    otherwise there will be no ownership,

    and hence litte commitment, little

    striving, and little achievement. Adesirable goal is collective responsibility

    shared by members of a committed

    team. (#53)

    Hire only the best people; use every

    avenue at your disposal, includingmultiple interviews and careful reference

    checks, to ensure that this happens.

    (#54)

    Compensation should be significantlybased on success and the achievement

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    Leadership and

    Management

    Employees need and resonate to praise;

    be generous in recognizing,

    acknowledging, and rewarding

    achievement. (#56)

    Be courageous, decisive, and clear in

    recognizing and openly confronting non-

    achievement, defining andcommunication necessary behaviours,

    and documenting discussions, plans,

    and progress or lack thereof, and in firing

    those that despite these efforts do not

    perform. (#57)

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    116The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Partnerships Do not be committed to developing yourown technology, but consider

    dispassionately the make-or-buy decision.

    Speed to market can be enhanced by

    taking advantage of the opportunities forlicensing technology from government,

    universities, customers, or other

    companies, both competing and non-

    competing. (#58)

    The software industry is becoming moreand more competitive, with established

    firms wielding more and more power; one

    weapon for a new or existing company is a

    strategic alliance with one or more other

    companies. (#59)

    Be open to merger and acquisition

    possibilities, but be particularly sensitive to

    the mesh of corporate cultures. (#60)

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    117The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Course Wrapup

    8 themes

    21 key principles for success

    Good books to read

    More books to read

    And even more books

    And finally...

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    118The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    8 themes

    Innovation in the Software Industry

    Focus and Objectives

    Opportunity and Timing

    Proprietary Technology and Capability

    Marketing and Distribution

    Finance and Financing Leadership

    Partnerships

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    119The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    21 key principles for

    success

    #2 Software paradigms

    #3 Purposeful software innovation

    #4 Entrepreneurial success factors

    #6 Focus and objectives

    #7 Self knowledge

    #8 Competitive edge #16 Positioning and differentiation

    #17 Market niche

    #19 Market window

    #20 Business redefinition and agility

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    120The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    21 key principles for

    success (cont.)

    #23 Software project managememt

    #28 Software product quality

    #30 Customer support

    #32 Intellectual property protection

    #34 User benefit

    #36 Distribution channels #39 Word of mouth

    #46 Cash

    #51 Management team

    #52 Leadership #59 Strategic alliances

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    121The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    Good books to read

    Bell, C.G. with McNamara, J.E. (1991). High-TechVentures: The Guide for Entrepreneurial Success.

    Addison Wesley. Brandt, S. (1982). Entrepreneuring: The Ten

    Commandments for Building a Growth Company.Mentor.

    Cusumano, M.A. and Selby, R.W. (1995). MicrosoftSecrets: How the World's Most Powerful Software

    Company Creates Technology, Shapes Markets, andManages People. The Free Press.

    Doyle, D. J. (1990). Making Technology Happen.Available from Doyletech Corporation, 60 QueenStreet, Suite 1202, Ottawa Ontario Canada K1P 5Y7.(613)567-7540.

    Drucker, P.F. (1985). Innovation andEntrepreneurship: Practice and Principles. Harper andRow.

    Gumpert, D.E. (1984). Growing Concerns: Buildingand Managing the Smaller Business. HarvardBusiness Review. John Wiley and Sons.

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    122The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    More books to read

    Manes, S. and Andrews, P. (1993). Gates: HowMicrosoft's Mogul Reinvented an Industry and Made

    Himself the Richest Man in America. Doubleday. McKenna, R. (1985). The Regis Touch: Million-Dollar

    Advice from America's Top Marketing Consultant.Addison-Wesley.

    Moore, G.A. (1991). Crossing the Chasm: Marketingand Selling Technology Products to Mainstream

    Customers. Harper Business. Rich, S.R. and Gumpert, D.E. (1985). Business Plans

    That Win $$$: Lessons from the MIT EnterpriseForum. Harper & Row.

    Roberts, E.B. (Ed.) (1987). Generating TechnologicalInnovation. Oxford University Press.

    Roberts, E.B. (Ed.) (1991). Entrepreneurs in HighTechnology: Lessons from MIT and Beyond. OxfordUniversity Press.

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    123The Business of Software 1992-8 Ronald M. Baecker

    And even more books

    Brandt, Steven C. (1986). Entrepreneurship inEstablished Companies: Managing Toward the Year

    2000, New Americal Library. Jelinek, Mariann and Schoonhoven, Claudia Bird

    (1990). Innovation Marathan: Lessons from HighTechnology Firms, Blackwell.

    Kanter, Rosabeth Moss, (1983). The Change MastersInnovation and Entrepreneurship in the American

    Corporation, Simon and Schuster.

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    And, finally...

    Any more questions???

    Please fill out and return courseevaluation forms

    Thank you, and happy entrepreneuringand intrapreneuring!!!


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