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Mining industry in the high north.. Voksenåsen conference 2012-11-15 Harald Martinsen CDO/Utviklingsdirektør Sydvaranger Gruve AS
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  • Mining industry in the high north.. Voksensen conference 2012-11-15

    Harald Martinsen

    CDO/Utviklingsdirektr

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS

  • Corporate overview

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS

  • 3 3

    100% owned by Northern Iron ltd.

    Operated from 1910 to 1997 (200Mt of ore mined)

    Listed on the ASX in Dec 2007

    Mining commenced in May and first ship in Nov 2009

    High quality magnetite concentrate

    Long term offtake contract with key European customer

    Long mine life expected even including expansion

    Sydvaranger project in Kirkenes

    3

  • 4

    Open Cut Mine min 25 Yr mine life

    8km Railway owner and sole user

    Concentrator high quality magnetite concentrate Port efficient and uncongested

  • Market Overview

    Market cap at ASX (Australia) ca. A$ 207m

    In NOK ca. 1,25 mrd

    Accummulated investments since restart: > 2 mrd

    Largest Shareholders

    Tschudi Mining: ~20 %

    OM Holdings Ltd: ~14 %

    Eley Griffiths Pty Ltd: ~8 %

    Strategic Review

    Process launched Nov 2011 - Goldman Sachs as advisor

    Terminated Nov 2012 with no outcome

    Owners recently injected AUD 50 million in new capital

    Corporate Overview

    5

  • 6

    Europe uses ca. 20% of the

    worlds mineral resources

    Europe produces ca. 3 % of

    the worlds mineral resources

    2012: 1,4 mill t

    To Europe

    2012: 0,8 mill t

    To China

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS

  • Market & Fundamentals

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS

  • Market dominated by 3 huge, global players China dominates the demand side, specially given

    the growth of the market In response to Chinese growth, we have seen the

    following; Many aggressive expansion plans Old mines are being re-opened or considered New areas considered for development

    The market have responded quick & dirty to Chinese growth

    Over supply when Chinese growth was reduced Strong pressure on prices

    8

  • 9

    Europe uses ca. 20% of the

    worlds mineral resources

    Europe produces ca. 3 % of

    the worlds mineral resources

  • 10

    RGP4

    RGP5

    RGP6

    Quantum 1

    Hope Downs Stg 2Mesa A

    Brockman 4

    Pilbara 330mt Stg 1

    Pilbara 330mt Stg 2

    Simandou

    Carajas

    Carajas

    Carajas Serra Sul

    Apolo

    Vargem Grande Itabiritos

    FMG - 55

    Sishen

    Sishen South

    Minas Rio - Phase 1

    Sudeste Phase 2

    Sudeste Phase 3 Namisa

    Casa de Piedra

    FMG - 95

    FMG - 155

    Hope Downs 4

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    mt

    RIO Vale FMG Anglo American MMX CSN Hope Downs 4

    SVG expanded

    Sydvaranger

    Source: Royal Bank of Canada Capital Markets

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS

  • Sydvaranger Gruve 11

    97,50 $US/tonne

    (13-09-12)

  • Also EU have done some important work

    A mineral strategy revealed that EU consumes 20% of worlds minerals and produce only 3%

    European countries encouraged to reconsider their mineral opportunities

    Look to the North

    All Nordic countries now working on mineral strategies

    Result is a large number of projects in the Barents region

    LKAB expansion, Northland, SVG, Rana and many more

    12

  • 13

    Europe uses ca. 20% of the

    worlds mineral resources

    Europe produces ca. 3 % of

    the worlds mineral resources

  • 41

    Kvannevann (Rana Gruber AS)

    Kiruna (LKAB)

    Malmberget

    (LKAB) Kaunisvaara

    (Northland Resources Ltd)

    Sydvaranger

    (Northern Iron Ltd)

    Dannemora

    (Dannemora Minerals AB)

    Port of Narvik

    Port of Lulea

    Mala

    Stockholm

    Norway

    Sweden

    Finland

    Oslo

    Hannukainen

    (Northland Resources Ltd)

    Tromso

    Grangesberg

    (Grangesberg Iron)

    Ludvika Mines

    (Nordic Iron Ore)

    Boliden District

    (Boliden AB)

    Gruvberget (LKAB)

    Kallak

    (Beowulf Mining plc)

    Kevitsa Project

    (International Finance

    Corporation)

    Kolari (Tertiary Minerals)

    Leveniemi (LKAB)Mertainen (LKAB)

    Ruoutevare (Beowulf Mining plc)

    Talvivaara

    (Talvivaara Mining

    Company PLC)

    Viscaria (Avalon Minerals Ltd.)

    Adak

    (Avalon Minerals Ltd.)

    Bidjovagge

    Sakatti

    Iron Ore/steel facility

    Zinc

    Nickel

    Copper/Gold

    Base Metals

    Kola MMC

    (MMC Norilsk)

    Olkon

    (Olenogorsk GOK)

    Kovdorsky

    (Eurochem)

    Karelsky Okatysh

    (Severstal)

    St. Petersburg

  • High quality iron ore concentrate

    Small operations (LKAB is exception)

    Mainly slig producers (- LKAB, Rana)

    High cost countries (less Russia)

    Challenging market position

    Maximize sales to European market

    The balance must be shipped to China (- LKAB)

    Freight disadvantage to China

    The Northern Sea Route

    15

  • Global Iron Ore Cost Curve

    16

    1. Source: AME

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400

    FO

    B C

    ost

    s (U

    S$/

    t)

    Cumulative Production (Mt)

    Sydvaranger Iron

  • The way forward - improvements

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS

  • 18

    NORTHERN IRON VALUE CREATION STRATEGY

    Double the concentrate production capacity to 5.6 Mtpa

    Change out the mining fleet with larger equipment

    Achieve a 2.8 Mtpa

    production rate

    during CY12 Achieve sub 5% silica

    from April 2012

    Achieve sub 4% silica

    for blast furnace pellet feed

    Achieve sub 2% silica for direct reduced iron (DRI) pellet feed

    Upgrade the port to handle cape size vessels

    Long life, cost competitive

    provider of high quality iron ore

    pellet feed to customers in

    Europe, the Middle East and Asia.

    Currently running

    at ~2.1 Mtpa < 4% silica content Iron at ~ 68%

    TODAY

    ACHIEVE

    NAMEPLATE

    OPTIMISE

    NAMEPLATE

    EXPAND

    PRODUCTION

    VISION

    Q4-12 Q1-13 2013-2014 2016

    Capital required USD m (expected to be satisfied from operating cash flows)

    16.0 16(already

    committed)

    280.0 50.0 60.0

    360.0

    Note: capital costs in 2013-2016 are at scoping study level

    of accuracy.

    Expansion capital costs vary based on

    tailings disposal option selected.

    Expected LOM operating costs (real) USD / dmt

    < 50 < 55 < 40

    Expected life of mine sales price FOB (% from base case)

    100% 120% 120%

  • 19

    Logistics Port upgrade & NSR

    Three main activities required to enable cape sized vessels to be loaded at Kirkenes: Upgrade the shiploader to fit cape size Dredging the berth to required depth Additional silo to take total storage capacity

    to approx. 240,000 dmt

    Current Status Basic engineering commenced Expected Capital Cost USD 30m Expected Commissing: 2014

    Benefits Lower shipping costs give higher FOB price

    realised, especially for Asian sales

    Northern Sea Route 40% saving on time, cost and CO2 Who gets the benefits..? Follow development closely Total infrastructure development

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS

  • 20

    HIGHER CONCENTRATE

    QUALITY

    NFEs and Noramco Engineering have identified conceptual pathways to higher quality products. Estimates are at a scoping study level of accuracy Sub 4% Silica Concentrate

    Additional magnetic separaton capacity required Larger tailings thickener required Additional water sources required No additional environmental approvals required,

    though local government building approval for the thickener required, and approval for additional water usage required from the National authority

    Capital Cost: USD 7m Expected commissing: January 2014 Improved pricing expected, and possible increased

    European sales.

    Sub 2% Silica Concentrate

    All 4% equipment listed above required Flotation plant required Environmental approval required for disposal of

    tailings from the flotation plant either marine or dry tailings options

    Capital Cost: USD 20m Earliest commissioning: January 2014 Improved pricing expected, plus increased sales to

    Europe and the Middle East

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS

  • 21

    SVG requires 2 main approvals to proceed with the expansion project:

    Local Government land use approval

    Environmental permits for the increase in mineral and other waste emissions (KLIF)

    To obtain these approvals the following activities and timeline is expected:

    Technical scope has been delivered

    Dialogue conferences held and conclusions made

    Present proposed planning program to SVK

    Public hearing of the planning program

    Approval of the Scope of Work for the Environmental and Social Consequences Investigation Q4 2012

    Completion of the Consequences Investigation and submission of the applications and reports Q3 2013

    Decision from local government and national envirornment agency on land use and emission applications Q4 2013

    Expansion - Permitting and Approvals

  • Tailings Disposal

    Objective study

    Evaluation of alternatives

    Credible monitoring and

    control procedure

    Resource base (life time)

    Upgrade resources

    Look outside concession

    boarders

    Present a credible case

    Distribution of financial resources

    Social accounting

    Federal vs. local taxation

    Sponsoring & participation

    Document local impact

    Human Resources

    Most critical resource

    Recruiting

    Training and competence

    22

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS

    The political process

  • STRENGHT

    Ore quality

    Close to European market

    High social and environmental

    standards

    WEAKNESSES

    High costs

    Far from China (dominant

    market)

    Small operations (less LKAB)

    OPPORTUNITIES Commercial & logistics cooperation

    Added value production

    Northern Sea Route

    THREATS NIMBY

    Low priority (O&G, Salmon)

    Lack of risk capital

    Time factor in all decision processes

    23

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS

  • Takk for oppmerksomheten..!

    Thanks for your attention..!

    Sydvaranger Gruve AS