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Practical Investment Management by Robert.A.Strong slides ch22

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    PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENTAND PRESENTATION

    CHAPTER TWENTY-TWO

    Practical Investment Management

    Robert A. Strong

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    South-Western / Thomson Learning 2004 22 - 3

    Outline

    Performance Presentation Standards Composite Results International Portfolios Leverage and Derivatives

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    South-Western / Thomson Learning 2004 22 - 4

    For most investors, the expected utility of an

    investment is a positive function of theexpected return of the investment and anegative function of the variance of thesereturns : E(U) = f[ E(R), - 2]

    Other relevant risk measures may includebeta (for a stock portfolio) or duration (for afixed income portfolio).

    Risk, Return, and Utility

    Proper performance evaluation should

    recognize both the return and theriskiness of the investment.

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    South-Western / Thomson Learning 2004 22 - 5

    To get around the problem of negative returns,returns are transformed into return relatives byadding 1.0 to them.

    Suppose an initial investment of $100 falls by

    50% in one period, and rises by 50% in thefollowing period. What is the average return?

    Arithmetic vs. Geometric Averages

    The proper measure of average return over

    time with investments is the geometric meanreturn : nn

    i

    iGMRx

    1

    1

    = = where Ri = the return relativein period i

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    South-Western / Thomson Learning 2004 22 - 6

    The Sharpe measure relates return to totalrisk. It can be used effectively with a portfoliowhere unsystematic risk has been diversifiedaway.

    Traditional Performance Measures

    Sharpe measure= Ri Rf

    i

    where = arithmetic mean return of security i= risk free rate= standard deviation of returns on security i

    Ri

    Rf

    i

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    Traditional Performance Measures

    Insert Table 22-2 here.

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    The Treynor measure relates return tosystematic risk, as measured by thesecurity (or portfolio) beta. It is anappropriate measure for both single

    securities as well as for portfolios.

    Traditional Performance Measures

    Treynor measure = Ri Rfi

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    Traditional Performance Measures

    Insert Table 22-3 here.

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    The line extending from the riskfree ratethrough the market portfolio on the efficientfrontier is the capital market line.

    Securities plotted above the capital marketline show better-than-expected performance,and vice versa.

    Traditional Performance Measures

    mean

    re

    turn

    standard deviation

    The Sharpe performance

    measure can be interpreted asthe slope of a line relating thesecuritys return with its risk.

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    Traditional Performance Measures

    Insert Figure 22-1 here.

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    The standard of comparison in this case isthe security market line. This line extendsfrom the riskfree rate through the point

    corresponding to the return associated with abeta of 1.0.

    Traditional Performance Measures

    mean

    return

    beta

    It is also possible to plot thereturns of securities againsttheir levels of systematic risk,or beta.

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    Traditional Performance Measures

    Insert Figure 22-2 here.

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    Compliance with AIMR (Association forInvestment Management and Research)Performance Presentation Standards is rapidlybecoming a nonoptional practice in the money

    management business. In order to be compliant with AIMR standards,

    certain information mustbe presented. Certain

    practices are recommended by AIMR too,though not required.

    Performance Measurement

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    AIMR-Required Calculations

    Insert Table 22-5 here.

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    South-Western / Thomson Learning 2004 22 - 18

    Time-weighted rate of return : Returns should

    be measured with recognition of both thetiming of the cash flows and their size. Thereare two ways of achieving this.

    The daily valuation methodcalculates theexact time-weighted rate of return. Thoughcumbersome, it is the preferred method.

    The modified BAI methodapproximates theinternal rate of return for the investment overthe period in question.

    AIMR-Required Calculations

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    South-Western / Thomson Learning 2004 22 - 19

    Daily Valuation Method

    Rdaily = Sii=1

    n

    Si =MVEi

    MVBiwhere

    market value of the portfolio at the end of period ibefore any cash flows in period i but includingaccrued income the period

    market value of the portfolio at the beginning of

    period i , including any cash flows at the end of theprevious subperiod and including accrued income

    MVEi =

    MVBi =

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    Modified BAI Method

    MVE= Fi1+R)Wii=1

    nFi =where the sum of the cash flows during the period (with

    opposite signs for inflows and outflows)

    market value at the end of the period, includingaccrued income

    market value at the start of the period

    MVE=

    Wi =CD Di

    CD

    F0 =

    total number of days in the period

    number of days since the beginning of the period inwhich cash flow Fi occurred

    =CD=iD

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    AIMR-Required Calculations

    Insert Table 22-8 here.

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    Using the trade date : AIMR recommends that

    all calculations be done on the basis of thetrade date rather than the settlement date.

    Prior to fees : AIMR also recommends thatinvestment results be presented before thededuction of management fees unless it wouldviolate SEC advertising rules.

    Before taxes : Performance should also

    generally be presented on a before-tax basis. Ifnot, the tax rate used in the calculations mustbe disclosed.

    Recommended Calculations

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    Most investment management firms managemany accounts. A composite measure can bemisleading if calculated inappropriately.

    Include all portfolios : All portfolios undermeasurement must be included in at leastone composite.

    It is permissable to include a nonfee portfolioin a composite provided that such inclusionis disclosed.

    Performance Presentation Standards :Composite Results

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    Survivor bias : AIMR standards require that

    portfolios no longer under management mustbe included in a composite for the period inwhich they were in operation.

    Treatment of convertibles : Convertiblesecurities should be treated as equityinstruments unless there is a clearly statedagreement to treat them differently.

    At least a 10-year presentation ofannualreturns is required. A 20-year disclosureis preferred if the data is available.

    Composite Results

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    South-Western / Thomson Learning 2004 22 - 25

    Country carve-outs from an internationalcomposite are not permitted unless the carve-out is actually managed as a separateportfolio.

    Performance Presentation Standards

    International portfolios : AIMR

    standards require disclosure onwhether returns are net or gross ofwithholding taxes on dividends,interest, or capital gains.

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    S th W t / Th L i 2004 22 28

    Review

    Performance Presentation Standards Composite Results

    International Portfolios

    Leverage and Derivatives


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