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Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with emphasis on Canadian waters Thomas W. Therriault, Leif-Matthias Herborg and Cathryn L. Clarke Department of Fisheries and Oceans Canada Pacific Biological Station, Nanaimo
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Page 1: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clavaalong the west coast of North America

with emphasis on Canadian waters

Thomas W. Therriault, Leif-Matthias Herborgand Cathryn L. Clarke

Department of Fisheries and Oceans CanadaPacific Biological Station, Nanaimo

Page 2: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• Club tunicate, Styela clava, is native to Asia

• As with other non-indigenous tunicate species has dramatically impacted shellfish aquaculture, especially on the Atlantic coast of Canada

• This was one of five species considered in a National tunicate risk assessment

Background

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• Both for the organism and potential parasites, pathogens or fellow travelers two rankings are determined to get a combined risk level

– Probability of establishment• Arrive, survive, reproduce and spread

– Consequences of establishment• Uncertainty associated with each probability

or ranking is identified

General RA Framework

Page 4: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• A large, solitary tunicate that can grow to 16 cm

• Tunic is tough, brown and leathery which tapers to the peduncle

• Two short siphons possess four brown to purple stripes

• A sessile filter-feeder typically found attached to hard structures

Styela clava

Page 5: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• Non-simultaneous hermaphrodite that is not self fertile with external fertilization

• Once mature, spawning can occur every 24 hours in response to light and temperature (above 15oC)

• Larvae planktonic for 24-28 hours

Styela clava

Page 6: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• Generally considered a temperate, cold water species with broad environmental tolerances

– Temperature: 2oC to 23oC – Salinity: 20‰ to 32‰, temporary to 8‰– Depth: 15m to 25m, up to 40m– Preference for artificial structures and

enclosed or semi-protected habitats

Styela clava

Page 7: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Current Global DistributionYear Place of

earliest sighting

Reference

1933 Pacific USA Abbott & Johnson, 1976

1953 England Carlisle, 1954

1968 France Coughlan 1969

1970 Atlantic USA Berman et al., 1992

1976 Australia Holmes, 1976

1993 Pacific Canada

Lambert, 2003

1998 Atlantic Canada

MacNair, DFO, 2006, pers. comm.

2005 New Zealand Biosecurity New Zealand, 2005a

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Pacific Canadian Distribution

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• Survey was built using surveymonkey.com and e-mailed to 520 scientists and three mailing list

- received 132 replies• Asked to rate the likelihood of different transport

vectors contributing to the spread invasive tunicates and associated uncertainty

• Asked to rate the impact level of invasive tunicates on a range of human and natural factors and associated probability of the impact

Expert Survey

Page 10: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Expert SurveyVector importance

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Didemnum B schlosseri B violaceus C intestinalisS clava Solitary tunicates Colonial tunicates General tunicates

larvae drift ballastwater

hulllarge

hullsmall

hullbarges

aquacult.fishing

aquariaintentional

very low

low

high

moderate

very high

Page 11: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Styela clava ExpertsTransport likelihood Styela clava

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

larvae

floati

ng m

ateria

lba

last w

aterhu

ll larg

ehu

ll small

hull s

lowaq

uacu

lture

fishin

gaq

uaria

food

Perc

ent r

espo

nden

ts

Page 12: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Expert SurveyImpact level

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Didemnum B schlosseri B violaceus C intestinalisS clava Solitary tunicates Colonial tunicates General tunicates

very low

low

high

moderate

very high

positive

Bio-diversity

MPA's Shell-fish

Fin-fish

Vesselsmoorings

Recreat- ional

Fishing

Page 13: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• Based on an expert survey and literature accounts, the most likely vectors for Styela clava included:

– Hull fouling on slow moving vessels or barges

– Transfers associated with aquaculture activities

– Hull fouling on small, recreational boats

Major Dispersal Vectors

Page 14: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Tug/Barge Density

Page 15: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Aquaculture Density

Page 16: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Small Craft Density

Page 17: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• Where can Styela clava live in Canada?– Survive and Reproduce

• Environmental niche models– Simple models based on literature accounts

e.g. temperature or salinity tolerances– More complex environmental niche models

e.g. Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Prediction (GARP)

Environmental Constraints

Page 18: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Simple Predictions: Temperature

• For the other 3 seasons, virtually the entire area was determined to be suitable

Page 19: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Simple Predictions: Salinity

• Almost the entire area was determined to be suitable based on salinity regardless of season

Page 20: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• Seasonal Temperature (4)• Seasonal Salinity (4)• Annual Oxygen (1)• Annual Chlorophyll a (1)• Depth was bounded at 200m• All environmental layers were tested for their

contribution to model accuracy and only those that improved accuracy were used (here all)

GARP Layers

Page 21: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

GARP Model Predictions

Page 22: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• Simple models based on literature accounts were relatively uninformative for predicting the distribution of Styela clava

• Although inherently conservative, GARP modeling was much more informative for predicting suitable locations

Evaluating Environmental Predictions

Page 23: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• GARP models were based on the KNOWN North American distribution along the Pacific coast

• If Styela clava is present at locations with significantly different environmental conditions then the distribution presented here underestimates the actual potential distribution

Potential GARP Limitations

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Environmental SuitabilityAnnual

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Chlorophyl (mg / L)

Suita

bilit

y

Annual

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Oxygen (mg / L)

Suita

bilit

y

Page 25: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Environmental SuitabilitySalinity (‰) Temperature (oC)

Jan-Mar 26.5 – 33.6 5.5 – 13.3

Apr-Jun 24.2 – 33.6 8.4 – 14.7

Jul-Sept 26.7 – 33.4 11.0 – 16.3

Oct-Dec 22.7 – 34.0 8.0 – 16.2

Page 26: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Potential Distribution

• Potential distribution is a function of potential vectors and suitable environments

• We combined the three major vector densities with GARP environmental predictions

• All density layers were standardized to range between 0 and 1

Page 27: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Potential Distribution

Page 28: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Subtidal AIS Monitoring – 2006

Page 29: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Subtidal AIS Monitoring – 2007

Page 30: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• The potential distribution of Styela clavaas determined by vector density and GARP modeling can be used to inform other activities

– Risk Assessments– Monitoring – Rapid Response Planning

Informing Other NIS Activities

Page 31: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• Quantify actual vector movement– associated with aquaculture-related activities– associated with small craft movements

• Use genetic information to identify the population structure of this non-indigenous tunicate and potential vectors responsible for this observed structure

Next Steps

Page 32: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• Based on an expert survey and literature accounts, the most severe impacts noted for Styela clava included:

– Shellfish aquaculture– Biodiversity– Vessels, moorings or marinas

Potential Consequences

Page 33: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

Aquatic Organism Risk PotentialVery High

High

Moderate Ecol. (EC)Ecol. (WC)

Low Gen. (WC)

Very Low Gen. (EC)

Rare Low Moderate High Very High

Probability of Introduction

Ecological or Genetic

Consequence

Page 34: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• The shellfish industry, recreational boat owners and marina operators need to be especially vigilant

• New sightings should be reported immediately

– Phone: 1-888-356-7525– E-mail: [email protected]

Outreach and Communication

Page 35: Predicted changes in the distribution of the non …...Predicted changes in the distribution of the non-indigenous tunicate Styela clava along the west coast of North America with

• Funding from DFO’s Aquatic Invasive Species program and the Centre of Expertise for Aquatic Risk Assessment (CEARA)

• All the individuals who provided data, both environmental and species sightings

• Comments/suggestions from those at the Charlottetown peer-review meeting

Acknowledgements


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