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Basic and combined diffractive processes 4-gap diffractive process-Snowmass gap SD DD DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 3
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Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 1 DIS-2014 University of Warsaw
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Page 1: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements

Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski

The Rockefeller University

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 1

DIS-2014University of Warsaw

Page 2: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Basic and combined diffractive processesCONTENTS

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 2

Diffraction SD1 ppp-gap-X SD2 pX-gap-p Single Diffraction / Single Dissociation DD ppX-gap-X Double Diffraction / Double Dissociation CD/DPE ppgap-X-gap Cenral Diffraction / Double Pomeron Exchange

Renormalizationunitarization RENORM model

Triple-Pomeron couplingTotal Cross SectionRENORM predictions Confirmed

ReferencesMBR in PYTHIA8 http://arxiv.org/abs/1205.1446CMS PAS http://cds.cern.ch/record/1547898/files/FSQ-12-005-pas.pdf DIS13 http://pos.sissa.it/archive/conferences/191/067/DIS%202013_067.pdf MPI@LHC 2013 summary: http://arxiv.org/abs/1306.5413CTEQ Workshop, “QCD tool for LHC Physics: From 8 to 14 TeV, what is needed and why”” FINAL, 14 November, 2013

Page 3: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Basic and combined diffractive processes

Basic and combineddiffractive processes

4-gap diffractive process-Snowmass 2001- http://arxiv.org/pdf/hep-ph/0110240

gap

SD

DD

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 3

Page 4: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

KG-PLB 358, 379 (1995)

Regge theory – values of so & gPPP?

Parameters: s0, s0' and g(t) set s0‘ = s0 (universal IP ) determine s0 and gPPP – how?

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 4

(t)=(0)+′t (0)=1+

Page 5: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

A complicatiion… Unitarity!A complication … Unitarity!

sd grows faster than t as s increases * unitarity violation at high s

(similarly for partial x-sections in impact parameter space)

the unitarity limit is already reached at √s ~ 2 TeV !

need unitarization

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 5

* similarly for (del/dt)t=0 w.r.t. tbut this is handled differently in RENORM

Page 6: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Factor of ~8 (~5)suppression at √s = 1800 (540) GeV

diffractive x-section suppressed relative to Regge prediction as √s increases

see KG, PLB 358, 379 (1995)

1800

GeV

540

GeV

M,t

pp

p’

√s=22 GeV

RENORMALIZATION

Regge

FACTORIZATION BREAKING IN SOFT DIFFRACTION

CDF

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 6

Interpret flux as gap formation probability that saturates when it reaches unity

Page 7: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Gap probability (re)normalize to unity

Single diffraction renormalized - 1

yy

yt ,2 independent variables:

t

colorfactor 17.0

)0()(

ppIP

IPIPIP tg

gap probability subenergy x-section

KG CORFU-2001: http://arxiv.org/abs/hep-ph/0203141

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 7

yoyt

p eetFCyddt

d

222

)(

Page 8: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Single diffraction renormalized - 2

17.0)0()(

ppIP

IPIPIP tg

colorfactor

Experimentally: KG&JM, PRD 59 (114017) 1999

QCD:

104.0,02.017.0

pIP

IPIPIPg

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 8

18.03125.0

8175.0121f

11f 2

QNN c

qc

g

Page 9: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Single diffraction renormalized - 3

constsb

sssd

lnln~

set to unity determines so

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 9

Page 10: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

M2 distribution: dataM2 distribution: dataKG&JM, PRD 59 (1999) 114017

factorization breaks down to ensure M2 scaling

ε12

2 )(Ms

dMdσ

Regge

1

Independent of s over 6 orders of magnitude in M2

M2 scaling

ddM2|t=-0.05 ~ independent of s over 6 orders of magnitude!

data

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 10

Page 11: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Scale s0 and PPP coupling

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 11

Two free parameters: so and gPPP

Obtain product gPPP•so from SD

Renormalized Pomeron flux determines so

Get unique solution for gPPP

Pomeron-proton x-section

os

)(s /2o tgPPP

Pomeron flux: interpret as gap probabilityset to unity: determines gPPP and s0 KG, PLB 358 (1995) 379

)sξ()ξ,t(fdtdξ

σdIP/pIP/p

SD2

Page 12: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Saturation at low Q2 and small-x

figure from a talk by Edmond Iancu

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 12

Page 13: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

DD at CDF

renormalized

gap probability x-section

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 13

Page 14: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

SDD at CDF

Excellent agreement between data and MBR (MinBiasRockefeller) MC

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 14

Page 15: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

CD/DPE at CDF

Excellent agreement between data and MBR low and high masses are correctly implemented

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 15

Page 16: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Difractive x-sections

1=0.9, 2=0.1, b1=4.6 GeV-2, b2=0.6 GeV-2, s′=s e-y, =0.17, 2(0)=0, s0=1 GeV2, 0=2.82 mb or 7.25 GeV-2

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 16

Page 17: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Total, elastic, and inelastic x-sections

GeV2

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 17

KG Moriond 2011, arXiv:1105.1916

elp±p =tot×(eltot), with eltot from CMG

small extrapol. from 1.8 to 7 and up to 50 TeV )

CMG

Page 18: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

The total x-section

√sF=22 GeV

98 ± 8 mb at 7 TeV109 ±12 mb at 14 TeV

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 18

Main error from s0

Page 19: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Reduce the uncertainty in s0

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 19

glue-ball-like object “superball” mass 1.9 GeV ms

2= 3.7 GeV agrees with RENORM so=3.7

Error in s0 can be reduced by factor ~4 from a fit to these data!

reduces error in t.

Page 20: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

TOTEM vs PYTHIA8-MBR

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 20

inrl7 TeV= 72.9 ±1.5 mb inrl

8 TeV= 74.7 ±1.7 mbTOTEM, G. Latino talk at MPI@LHC, CERN 2012

MBR: 71.1±5 mb

superball ± 1.2 mb

RENORM: 72.3±1.2 mbRENORM: 71.1±1.2 mb

Page 21: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

SD/DD extrapolation to ≤ 0.05 vs MC model

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 21

CM

S d

ata

best

des

crib

ed b

y P

YTH

IA8-

MB

R

Central yellow-filled box is the data region (see left figure)

Page 22: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

pT distr’s of MCs vs Pythia8 tuned to MBR

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 22

COLUMNS

Mass Regions Low 5.5<MX<10 GeV Med. 32<MX<56 GeV High 176<MX<316 GeV

ROWS

MC Models PYTHIA8-MBR PYTHIA8-4C PYTHIA8-D6C PHOJET QGSJET-II-03(LHC) QGSJET-04(LHC) EPOS-LHC CONCLUSION

PYTHIA8-MBR agrees best with reference model and can be trusted to be used in extrapolating to the unmeasured regions.

Pythia8 tuned to MBR

Page 23: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Charged mult’s vs MC model – 3 mass regions

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 23

Pythia8 parameters tuned to reproduce multiplicities of modified gamma distribution KG, PLB 193, 151 (1987)

Mass RegionsLow 5.5<MX<10 GeVMed. 32<MX<56 GeVHigh 176<MX<316 GeV

Page 24: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

Pythia8-MBR hadronization tune

1+arkprobPickQu

arkprobPickQu=qP

1

1+arkprobPickQu

=gP

PYTHIA8 default

Pp(s) expected from Regge phenomenology for s0=1 GeV2 and DL t-dependence.

Red line:-best fit to multiplicity distributions. (in bins of Mx, fits to higher tails only, default pT spectra)

good description of low multiplicity tails

nave=QCD IPp Diffraction: tune SigmaPomP Diffraction: QuarkNorm/Power parameter

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 24

Page 25: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

SD and DD x-sections vs theory

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 25

KG*: after extrapolation into low from the measured CMS data using MBR model

Includes ND background

KG* KG*

Page 26: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 26

Monte Carlo algorithm - nesting

y'c

Profile of a pp inelastic collision

y‘ < y'min

hadronize

y′ > y'min

generate central gap

repeat until y' < y'min

ln s′=y′

evolve every cluster similarly

gap gapno gap

final stateof MC

w/no-gaps

t

gap gap gap

t t t1 t2

Page 27: Predictions of Diffractive and Total Cross Sections at LHC Confirmed by Measurements Konstantin Goulianos / Robert Ciesielski The Rockefeller University.

DIS-2014 Warsaw Predictions for Diffraction Confirmed at LHC K. Goulianos 27

SUMMARY Introduction

Diffractive cross sections:

basic: SD1,SD2, DD, CD (DPE)

combined: multigap x-sections

ND no diffractive gaps:

this is the only final state to be tuned

Monte Carlo strategy for the LHC – “nesting”

derived from NDand QCD color factors

Thank you for your attention


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