+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets...

Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets...

Date post: 12-Aug-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
19
3Q05 Earnings October 2005 A diversified company with global vision
Transcript
Page 1: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

3Q05 Earnings

October 2005

A diversified company with global vision

Page 2: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Forward Looking Statement

In the following presentation, statements that are not reported financial results or other historical information are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements give current expectations or forecasts of future events and are not guarantees of future performance. They are based on the beliefs and expectations of Mexichem’s management and involve a number of business risks and uncertainties, any of which could cause actual results to change from those expressed in or implied by the forward-looking statements. These statements can be identify by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historic or current facts. The words “anticipate,” “estimate,”“expect,” “project,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe” ,”forecasts”, “targets” and similar words and terms of comparable meaning in connection with any discussion of future operating or financial performance are intended to identify these statements. Mexichem shall not be responsible for any investment decisions or transaction taken based on the information given in this presentation.

Page 3: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Agenda

• 3Q05 Results

• Key market indicators outlook and forecast.

• New Projects.

• Value Creation issues

Page 4: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Mexichem is low-cost manufacturer of two integrated productive chains, Chlorine-Vinyl and Fluorine.

Chlorine-Vinyl Chain Fluorine Chain

The Mexico’s chemical and petrochemical company12M Sales $8.568 billion pesos

12M EBITDA $1.810 billion pesos

Chlorine Vinyl84%

Fluorine16%

Chlorine Vinyl70%

Fluorine30%

Page 5: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Production: better utilization rates showing consistency, efficiency and operating improvements.

Change3Q05/3Q04

Change9M05/9M04

CHLORINE GAS AND CAUSTIC SODA 6.9% 11.9%

PVC 8.6% 4.6%

PLASTICIZERS 9.4% 3.2%

COMPOUNDS 3.0% 4.9%

TOTAL CHLORINE VINYL CHAIN 6.9% 10.9%

FLUORITE 3.2% 3.4%

HYDROFLUORIC ACID 25.4% 24.7%

TOTAL FLUORINE CHAIN 4.4% 4.6%

TOTAL 6.0% 8.6%

FLUORINE CHAINPRODUCTION (TONS)

Chlorine-Vinyl ChainPRODUCTION ( TONS )

Page 6: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

PVC

Com

poun

ds

Chl

orin

e

Sod

a

Fluo

rite

Hyd

roflu

oric

Aci

d (H

F)

Undisputed market leaderM

arke

t Sha

re*

#1 #1 #1 #1 #1 #1

56%

36%

83%

54%

17%

55%

Market Positioning*

Domestic markets International markets

Mexichem is a regional and worldwide marketer leading

Page 7: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets

Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

1995

/01

1995

/03

1996

/01

1996

/03

1997

/01

1997

/03

1998

/01

1998

/03

1999

/01

1999

/03

2000

/01

2000

/03

2001

/01

2001

/03

2002

/01

2002

/03

2003

/01

2003

/03

2004

/01

2004

/03

2005

/01

Construction Industrial Activity Retail Sales

Seasonally Adjusted Indices for Mexico (1995=100)

Construction34%

Consumption20%

Medical1%

Overall industry

45%

Sales distribution by industry

Market ShareOverall IndustryFlexible profile 49%Chlorine-Soda 55%

ConstructionWire and cable 72%Pipe 64%Rigid profile 49%

ConsumptionShoe Sole 33%Film 25%Bottle 21%

MedicalMedical applications 5%

Page 8: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Key market factors remains favorable • Increase in global demand for main thermoplastic products

including PVC is forecast for next years.• Gradual inventory reduction expected through 2007• World GDP growth is estimated in 4% per year from 2005 to

2008.• PVC per capita consumption in Latin America below world

average (USA 30 Kg/per capita Mexico 4 kg/per capita).• Increase in consumption of Hydrofluoric acid in refrigerants.• Capacity utilization rates above 90%• North America region with tight balance pushing prices to high

values.• Higher margins for petrochemicals are expected through 2007• Hedge strategy to keep costs low improve margins• The hurricanes Katrina and Rita have created a shortage in

offer in USA and it has generated an increase in demand and higher prices in references publications given better results for Mexichem.

Page 9: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Solid result in 3Q05 confirm the synergies achieved due to management performance.

Source: Mexichem

3Q05(1)

3Q04(2)

Change(1)/(2)

9M05(3)

9M04(4)

Change(3)/(4)

Net Revenue MX$ MM 2,104 1,904 10.51% 6,271 5,205 20.47%

EBITDA MX$ MM 489 333 46.98% 1,462 754 94.02%

EBITDA MARGIN MX$ MM 23.3% 17.5% 33.00% 23.3% 14.5% 61.05%

Main IndicatorsProforma

Page 10: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Mexichem in 3Q05 with strong performance

66461,904

2,104+ 10 %

3Q04 3Q05

6646

333

Gross Revenue(MX$ million)

489

+ 47 %

3Q04 3Q05

EBITDA(MX$ million)

Page 11: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Mexichem in 9M05 with strong performance

66465,205

6,270+ 21 %

9M04 9MQ05

6646

754

Gross Revenue(MX$ million)

1,462

+ 94 %

9M04 9M05

EBITDA(MX$ million)

Page 12: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

779 776908

1096

1341

16361794

19732120

22502355

2500

5858 61926646

73197866 8296 8365 8699

90879554

1021610543

Permanent Revenue and EBITDA Increase.

EBITDA* –LTM*1(MX$ million)

*1LTM – Last twelve months

1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05

Gross Revenue* –LTM*1

(MX$ million)

*Proforma

1Q064Q05 2Q06 4Q063Q06 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 1Q064Q05 2Q06 4Q063Q06

Page 13: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Mexichem is an strong free flow cash generator

CONCEPTS 2005 2006 MEXICHEMEBITDA $1,972.4 $2,500.0WORKING CAPITAL $21.3 -$167.7OPERATING CASH FLOW $1,993.7 $2,332.3FINANCIAL OPERATIONSTAXES AND PROFIT SHARING -$398.8 -$701.0 FINANCIAL INCOME (EXPENSES) -$265.7 -$238.0DIVIDENDS -$90.6 -$197.2CAPITAL EXPENDITURES - MAINTENANCE -$164.8 -$150.0FREE CASH FLOW $1,073.9 $1,046.0USES AND APPLICATIONS OF FUNDSDEBT AMORTIZATION -$301.8 -$303.2CAPITAL EXPENDITURES - NEW CAPITAL INVESTMENTS -$165.0 -$1,435.0ACQUISITIONS/DISINVESTMENTSPRIMEX AND DERMET -$1,368.2 $0.0ACEROS CAMESA $1,301.3 $0.0EQUITY INCREASES $853.8 $0.0COST OF CONVERTIBLE BONDS -$625.1 $0.0DEBT PRE PAYMENTS -$445.6 $0.0SUB-TOTAL -$750.6 -$1,738.2

CASH FLOW $323.2 -$692.2BEGINNING BALANCE $1,192.4 $1,515.7ENDING BALANCE $1,515.7 $823.5

MX $ Thousand

Page 14: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Ene-

04

Feb-

04

Mar

-04

Abr-

04

May

-04

Jun-

04

Jul-0

4

Ago-

04

Sep-

04

Oct

-04

Nov

-04

Dic

-04

Ene-

05

Feb-

05

Mar

-05

Abr-

05

May

-05

Jun-

05

Jul-0

5

Ago-

05

Sep-

05

Oct

-05

Nov

-05

Dic

-05

Ene-

06

Feb-

06

Mar

-06

Abr-

06

May

-06

Jun-

06

Jul-0

6

Ago-

06

Sep-

06

Oct

-06

Nov

-06

Dic

-06

Polyvinyl Chloride , Suspension, Pipe Grade Resin Vinyl Chloride Monomer

Evolution and outlook for PVC and VCM prices

CMAI estimates for PVC and for VCM Mexichem estimates

Page 15: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

ENER

O

FEBR

ERO

MAR

ZO

ABR

IL

MAY

O

JUN

'04

JUL

AGO

SEP

OC

T

NO

V

DIC

ENE'

05

FEB

MAR AB

R

MAY JUN

JUL

AGO

SEP

OC

T*

NO

V*

DIC

'05*

ENE'

06

FEB

MZO AB

R

MYO JU

N

JUL

AGO

SEPT

OC

T

NO

V

DIC

HF Price Flourite price

Evolution and outlook for HF and Fluorite prices

Mexichem estimates

Page 16: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Growth & efficiency: new projects. Total investment in the following 36 months 400 MMUSD. IRR average 22% (2006 In progress 120 MMUSD)

Growth and Efficiency: strategies to counter cyclicity

5 MMUSDImplementation of proprietary technology to purify the fluorine from las Cuevas

28 MMUSD*Total

13.6 MMUSDProprietary distribution network of chemical and plastics products.

Projects in progress for reducing cost:1.4 MMUSDModernizing the technology to reduce production

cost.

2 MMUSDManufacture of fluorine products with greater added value.

4 MMUSDAcquisition of facilities in USA and Central America

2 MMUSDExpansion of the mine’s extraction capacityImpact in EBITDA 06Projects in progress for Expansion:

*16% of 2005 EBITDA

Page 17: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Growth & efficiency: new projects. Confirming a successful history of acquisitions and synergies with focus on reducing the ciclicity effects.

+ 16.53 MMUSDTotal

Projects in feasibility study for reducing cost:EvaluatingTotal integration of the chlorine-vinyl chain

16.53 MMUSDImport substitution of chemical products

Impact in EBITDA Expected in 2008.

Projects in feasibility study for Expansion:

Page 18: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Mexichem growth: Enterprise valuation includes new projects

3.18

3.363.51

3.72

3.99

4.25

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

20 oct 05 4Q 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06

EV/EBITDA

$-

$500.0

$1,000.0

$1,500.0

$2,000.0

$2,500.0

$3,000.0

EBITDA (MX$ MM)

Share price base MX$13.50

4.25

Share price equivalent MX$18.93

Page 19: Presentaci.n 3erT05 rev 05 - Orbia · Strategically positioned in high grow potential markets Growth: Leader in industries with high growth potential 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

Mexichem leading company in Value Creation50 years operating in the industry

Vital industry with strong fundamentals

Diversified company with global vision

Leveraged with Mexico’s dynamic housing and infrastructure sectors

Undisputed market leader

Scale and integration: lowest-cost producer

Proven growth record

Focused on value generation

International standards of quality, health and environment


Recommended