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1
Third Quarter 2006Earnings Conference Call
Investor Relations Contact:Gustavo [email protected]
3Q06 Earnings Conference CallSão Paulo November 13th, 200613PM (Brasilia Time), 10AM (US-ET)Phone: +1(973) 935-8893Code: 8013391Webcast: http://www.gafisa.com.br/ir
Third Quarter 2006 Launches
ForestVille – Salvador Olimpic – São Paulo Espacio Laguna – Rio de Janeiro
2
Overview of the 3Q06
Wilson Amaral – Chief Executive Officer
3
Highlights of The Quarter
Launches increased 76% y-o-yLaunches increased to R$ 194.0 million in 3Q06 from R$ 110.3 million in 3Q05
Pre-Sales grew 199% y-o-yPre-sales increased to R$235.3 million in 3Q06 from R$78.6 million in 3Q05
The backlog margin for 3Q06 was stable at 43% compared to previous quarter and 10.5p.p. higher when compared to the 3Q05
In 3Q06, Backlog of Revenues rose to R$293.7 million from R$115.2 million in 3Q05
Revenues Increase 21% to R$ 161,5 million and EPS up 109% to 0.27
YTD Mortgages provided by commercial banks and CEF increased 105% and 96%, respectively
Gafisa Vendas, our internal sales division, was created
New partnership with Espirito Santo-based developer Proeng
Entrance in three new markets: Salvador (Bahia), Curitiba (Paraná) and Niteroi (Rio de Janeiro)
With a record number of candidates (18,000), in September 30th was ended the application period for Gafisa’s 2007 Trainees Program
More recently, the Acquisition of AlphaVille Urbanismo
4
Gafisa Reports 76% Growth in Launches and 199% in Pre-Sales
28
11331
64
19
59
3Q05 3Q06
New MarketsRio de JaneiroSão Paulo
86 101
25
26
67
3Q05 3Q06
New MarketsRio de JaneiroSao Paulo
Pre-Sales (R$ mm)
Pre-sales mix breakdown – 3Q06
Launches (R$ mm)
HIG – High Income: > 3,600 MHI – Middle High: 2,800 < > 3,600MID – Middle Income: 2,000 < > 2,800 AEL – Affordable entry level: 1,800 < > 2,000 COM – Commercial LOT – Urbanized lots
Segmentation (Prices in R$/sq.m)
194
110
79
235
199%199%
6%
30%
56%
2% 6% 0% HIG
MHI
MID
AEL
LOT
COM
76%76%
86%
5
389 388 377
207
652 630
290
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 9M05 9M06
117%293 333 325
254
450
246
617
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 9M05 9M06
Launches (R$ mm) Pre-Sales (R$ mm)
150%
HIG – High Income: > 3,600 MHI – Middle High: 2,800 < > 3,600MID – Middle Income: 2,000 < > 2,800 AEL – Affordable entry level: 1,800 < > 2,000 COM – Commercial LOT – Urbanized lots
Segmentation (Prices in R$/sq.m)
13%
37%
37%
5% 4% 4%HIG
MHI
MID
AEL
LOT
COM
75%
9M06: 117% Growth in Launches and 150% in Pre-Sales compared to 9M05
Pre-sales mix breakdown – 9M06
6
Rapidly Expanding Mortgage Supply
2,2 3,04,8
10,0
3,36,7
4,56,0
9,1
14,0
5,8
11,4
2003 2004 2005 2006E 9M05 9M06
Mortgage by Commercial Banks¹ CEF Mortgage Loans
2006 – Bradesco, Santander and Itaú offer up to 20-yr fixed rate at 14%p.a.
CEF re-enters to middle income market (10.9%p.a.)
HSBC offers 10-yr fixed mortgage at 12.7%p.a.
Gafisa, HSBC and Santander offer pre-approved mortgages
BCB allows paycheck discount for mortgage lending to public employess
Banks allowed to offer fixed rate mortgage with funds from SFH (limited to 14.2% p.a.)
Sources: ABECIP, Central Bank ¹ Total mortgage lending using savings deposits funding (channeled-lending requirement). ² Of the R$ 14 billion estimated for 2006, R$ 9,4 billion will be entailed to FGTS³ The required monthly household income for 75% of CEF resources is limited to 5 minimum wages. It represents 86% of the total resources from FGTS.
105%
96%
54%
109%
24.0
13.9
9.0
6.7
9.1
18.1
Timeline – Recent Developments in the Mortgage Market (R$ billion)
2005 - Individuals get tax exempted on MBS Investments
ABN Amro, Santander and HSBC reduce Mortgage Rates to 8%p.y from 12%p.a.
Itaú, Bradesco, Unibancofollow suit
Santander launches 10-yr fixed mortgage rate (21%p.a.)
2003 - Central Bank increases bank requirement to invest in the sector
2004 - Resolution 10.931 Improves Foreclosure regulation
Increasing credit availability and new regulation supports the potential of the sector
²
³
7
Gafisa is establishing a strategic channel to access its clients and reduce its dependence on outside brokersGafisa Vendas operates in the State of Sao Paulo. We might extend it countrywide over next yearsGafisa Vendas, more than any outside sales company, knows that price is not the only reason left for a customer to buy from GafisaGafisa Vendas focus on:
i) Launches – Gafisa Vendas shares the Sales Stands creating a healthy competition between our own sales force and outside brokers
ii) Inventory – Gafisa Vendas has a team focused on inventory with an additional reward depending on the performance of such products
iii) Web-Sales – Gafisa Vendas has an internet-dedicated sales team as it represents an alternative source of sales with lower cost
Gafisa’s recent experience in 2005 with a dedicated sales force in Rio de Janeiro was very successful.
42%
21%
14%
11%
12%
LopesFernandez MeraExclusiva/Del forteAbyaraOthers
Gafisa Vendas
Gafisa Vendas articulates Gafisa's unique features and effectively present the product
33%
26%
16%
14%
11%
AmericasPatrimóvelNova Marca 500Júlio BogoricinOthers
Breakdown of Gafisa’s Pre-sales by Brokerage Company for 1H06
Sao Paulo Rio de Janeiro
8
We’ve enhanced our National Footprint
Gafisa is currently present in 13 states and 21 markets
¹ 9M06
Gafisa’s National Footprint
Gafisa
A. Salvador (Bahia)3rd largest City of BrazilFirst projects launched under partnership with OASLocated at AlphaVille Salvador
B. Vitoria (Espirito Santo)One of the highest GDP per Capita of BrazilOil Industry expected to drive strong demandOpportunities for Second-home Projects
C. Niteroi (Rio de Janeiro)Very attractive and under-explored marketSecond most important city of Rio de Janeiro StatePart of diversification strategy in Rio de Janeiro
D. Curitiba (Parana)7th largest City of BrazilLowest unemployment rate of the countryConstruction Begins along with Launches
A
B
CD
9
Acquisition of AlphaVille Urbanismo
Residential Area Parks
Business Area
Multi-family Area
AlphaVille Club
Golf Course
Business Area Residential Area
Residential Area
Characteristics of an AlphaVille Community1
Note (1): Based on AlphaVille Graciosa (located in Curitiba, Paraná)
AlphaVille Urbanismo is the largest and only nationwide community development company in Brazil, with no
major competitors to date.
The Company transforms large rural acreage into urbanized lots, developing all required infrastructure
(water, sewage, electricity, roads), as well as facilities such as sports club, high-rise monitored fences, for
subsequent sale
AlphaVille’s residential communities (lots) are targeted at upper and upper-middle class families in the
outskirts of metropolitan regions throughout Brazil
AlphaVille does not get involved in the construction of the houses, which is done by the buyers
Segment characterized by high entry barrier; higher margins and lower cash exposure than that of residential
buildings
10
AlphaVille Strengthened Gafisa’s Position as Market Leader
GeographicDiversification
World-class Shareholdersand the Highest
Standards of Corporate Governance
Efficient Business Modeland Strategic Land Bank
Robust Housing Growth
Industry Leadership and Strong Brand Recognition
Professional Managementand
Established Organization
11
Land Bank: High growth with relatively low risk
92%1,99715,4678,963,794AlphaVille Total
Gafisa
82%2,61810,1051,468,230Gafisa Total
AlphaVille
93%1,1389,2134,926,325Southeast
100%5673,4612,626.057Northeast
100%1551,430746,533South
27%105926502,757Mid-West
100%32438162,121North
85%9294,607817,290New Markets
84%4,61525,57210,432,024Gafisa + AlphaVille
% acquiredby swap
Future Sales (R$000)Potential UnitsUsable Area
(sq.m)
91%7642,985345,906Rio de Janeiro
305,034 2,513 926 59%Sao Paulo
¹ As of 09/30/06
Combination of AlphaVille’s sizable Land Bank with Gafisa’s strategic reserves
12
13,215 14,32917,972
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
2005 2006 2007# of Applications
8.4%8.4%
Strong Brand Also attracts the Best People
Gafisa’s 2007 Trainee Program had 18,000 applications throughout Brazil
25.4%25.4%
13
Financial and Operational Performance
Duílio Calciolari – Chief Financial Officer
14
14,6
28,818%
11%
3Q05 3Q06
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
10,8
27,7
17%
8%
3Q05 3Q06
Net Income Net Margin
3Q06: Operating Highlights
33,8
56,625%
35%
3Q05 3Q06Gross Profit Gross Margin
Net Revenues (R$ mm) Gross Profit (R$ mm)
EBITDA¹ (R$ mm) Net Income¹ (R$ mm)
133,4161,5
3Q05 3Q06Net Revenues
21%21% 67%67%
97%97%156%156%
¹ Under new accounting policy for selling expenses.
15
15
4251
2027 23
60
12% 12%
4%6%
8%
14%
7%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 9M05 9M06¹
Net Income Adj. Net Income Net Margin
9M06: Operating Highlights
67
114142
124 139
100131
31%34%
34% 32%
27%28%
31%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 9M05 9M06
Gross Profit Gross Margin
26
64
8466 65
5666
19% 19%
14% 13%
16%17%
13%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 9M05 9M06¹
Adj. EBITDA EBITDA Margin
Net Revenues (R$ mm) Gross Profit (R$ mm)
EBITDA¹ (R$ mm) Net Income¹ (R$ mm)
197
334440 436
494
326426
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 9M05 9M06
30%
29%
18%
164%
¹ Under new accounting policy for selling expenses.
16
Revenues Reflect Previous Years Pre-Sales
2%9,823NANAOthers
100%425,560100%616,542Total
9%37,1124%24,887Launched in 2002
29%123,1956%34,728Launched in 2003
23%99,0527%40,894Launched in 2004
25%107,62628%174,369Launched in 2005
11%48,75155%341,664Launched in 2006
% of RevenuesRevenues% of Pre-SalesPre-SalesDevelopments
83%
63%
9M06 Pre-sales x Recognized Revenues (R$000)
17
Changes in Accounting for Selling Expenses
Matching BRGAAP Practices with USGAAP
Expensed as Incurred
Expensed as Incurred
Expensed as IncurredSales Commissions
Expensed as Incurred
Expensed as Incurred
Deferred and recognized as the
development progresses
Project Specific Advertising
Deferred and recognized as the
development progresses
Deferred and recognized as the
development progresses
Deferred and recognized as the
development progresses
Sales Stand / Showroom / Model Apartment
Expensed as Incurred
Expensed as Incurred
Expensed as IncurredInstitutional Advertising
USGAAPBR GAAP (new policy)
BR GAAP (old policy)
Differences between Previous and New Practices
18
Reconciliation for Changes in Accounting for Selling Expenses
Matching BRGAAP Practices with USGAAP
(15,874)(5,889)(9,985)Selling Expenses
Balance Sheet Items (R$000)
1,348,111
809,802
20,979
15,505
0.27
17.1%
27,667
17.8%
28,802
35.1%
56,646
161,542
3Q06 Results under New Policy
Effect of New Accounting Practice
3Q06 Pro-forma Results under Previous PolicyIncome Statement (R$000)
(41,713)1,389,824Total Assets
(29,607)839,408Shareholders’ Equity
(12,106)33,085Deferred Taxes
(41,713)57,219Deferred Selling Expenses
0.030.30EPS(R$)
(2.3p.p)19.4%Net Margin
(3,692)31,359Net Income
(3.7p.p)21.5%EBITDA Margin
(5,889)34,691EBITDA
0.0p.p.35.1%Gross Margin
-56,646Gross Profits
-161,542Net Revenues
19
Strong Pre-sales performance is Positively Impacted Backlogs
… with margins of 43.2%
Currently, Gafisa has approximately R$294 million of results to be recognized (a 155% growth compared to 3Q05)…
3Q06(a)
2Q06(b)
Revenues and Results be Recognized (R$ mm) Backlog Margin (%)
Sales to be Recognized
Costs of Units Soldto be Recognized 1
Results to beRecognized
Margin to beRecognized
560,7
(317,8)
242,9
43.3%
679,8
293,7
43.2%
Note:1 Includes only land and construction costs
(386,1)
3Q05 (c)
352,7
(237,5)
115,2
32.7%
(c)/(b)%
21%
22%
21%
(c)/(a)%
93%
63%
155%
43.2%43.3%
32.7%
3Q05 2Q06 3Q06
20
Strong Financial Position…
Short Term DebtLong Term Debt Total Debt
Cash and Cash Equivalents Net Debt (Net Cash)Shareholder’s Equity
Total Capitalization
(R$ million) 3Q06
22527
251
330(79)810
1,061
3Q05
85191276
423(147)784
1,060
Net Debt/ Equity -10% -19%
2Q06
…coupled with focus on working capital management
26%
5493
146
6581312
458
21
Working Capital Management is One of Gafisa’s Priorities
Recent Financial Initiatives
Gafisa is Demanding New Products from Commercial Banks in order to Boost its SalesGafisa and HSBC announced the launch of a new real estate development with an
innovative credit system - the “Pre-approved” mortgageThen, Santander Offered the No-Paperwork mortgage financing to Gafisa’s clients
Issuance of New Debt in order to optimize Capital StructureIssuance of R$ 240 million in Debentures to recall higher cost debtLower cost of debt is expected to generate savings of more than R$ 4 millionGenerates flexibility as it frees up more than R$150 million in collateralized
receivables
SecuritizationIncrease demand for alternative sources of funding Sale of up to R$ 60 million of post-completion receivablesThe proceeds from the sale of the securitized credits will be reinvested in Gafisa’s
regular operations
22
“Safe-Harbor” Statement
We make forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of our management, and on information currently available to us. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding our intent, belief or current expectations or that of our directors or executive officers.
Forward-looking statements also include information concerning our possible or assumed future results of operations, as well as statements preceded by, followed by, or that include the words ''believes,'' ''may,'' ''will,'' ''continues,'' ''expects,'‘ ''anticipates,'' ''intends,'' ''plans,'' ''estimates'' or similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions because they relate to future events and therefore depend on circumstances that may or may not occur. Our future results and shareholder values may differ materially from those expressed in or suggested by these forward-looking statements. Many of the factors that will determine these results and values are beyond our ability to control or predict.