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Proving Your Impact: monitoring & evaluation techniques
4th February 2015Robin Beveridge and Tony Sacco
• Domestics
• Who’s who
• What’s in store today
• Ground rules
• Networking and learning from each other
Introduction
Structure of the day: AM
9.30 Introductions and warm up
9.45 Key concepts and logic chains
Break
10.45 Capturing information from beneficiaries – what works?
11.30
Lunch
Quantitative evaluation techniques
Structure of the day: PM
14.10
15.00
Workshop feedback and close
Evaluation in practice
Wowing the world
13.00
15:30
‘Telling the story’ using case studies
13.30 Value for money
Getting started
• Over the next 5 minutes…Write down 3 things you hope to get out of today on ‘post-its’
Speak with someone you have never met before today
Introduce yourselves and swap one of your ‘hopes’
Repeat this with two more people
• Then… …post your ‘post-its’ up on the wall.
Key Concepts
• Monitoring
• Evaluation
• Outputs
• Outcomes
• Impact
• Aims & Objectives
• Quantitative
• Qualitative
• Beneficiaries
• Stakeholders
• Sample/Sampling
• Extrapolation
• Value for Money
• Additionality
• Social Return
• Gross and Net
Logic chain example 1: This workshop
Caused by
Output
Need Activity
Impact Outcome
Limited ability to demonstrate
impactWorkshops and peer learning
People trainedHigher level of skills and
knowledge
Better demonstration of
impact
Lack of Monitoring and
evaluation knowledge
Rationale
Logic chain example 2: Streetwise
Caused by
Output
Need Activity
Impact Outcome
High level of teenage
pregnancyProviding C-cards
Young people accessing condoms
Less un-protected sex
Lower level of teenage
pregnancy
Poor access to contraceptives
Working in pairs
• Using templates provided, develop a ‘Logic Chain’ for a project you are involved with
• Share that with someone on your table
• Feed back to the workshop:
– What was easy, what was hard?
– Does it make sense?
Capturing information from beneficiaries –What works?
• In groups consider…
–What are the different ways of capturing information from participants / beneficiaries?
– Identify some ‘pros and cons’ of each approach.
Capturing information from beneficiaries –Some thoughts
Questionnaires • Wide coverage• Tick box / narrative approach?• Accessibility• Self-completed or ‘managed’• ‘Survey Monkey’• Before / after / distance travelled• Confidentiality• Response rate
Capturing information from beneficiaries –some thoughts
Feedback forms• Immediate feedback from ‘captive
audience’?• More of / less of• Most useful / least useful• Improvements• Can be superficial and ‘too immediate’• Follow up again later?
Capturing information from beneficiaries –some thoughts
In-depth interview• Richer content
• Particular insights
• Range of views / perspectives
• Resource intensive
Capturing information from beneficiaries –some thoughts
Focus Groups• A group with similar characteristics
(e.g. single parents)• ‘Managing’ the group• Recording the outcomes
Round Table• Different perspectives
Capturing information from beneficiaries –some thoughts
Comments / concerns / compliments
• Forms / Box?
• Managing the process
• The feedback loop
Timing issues…
• Captive audience
• Getting buy-in from the outset
• ‘When they’re gone they’re gone!’
• Bias?
• Incentives?
Questionnaire Design Considerations
• Questionnaire– Introduction / opening questions– Meaningful order / clear sections– Thank you / return information
• Questions– Numbered– Clear instructions– Routing– Layout
• Testing– Peer review; Cognitive interview; – Focus group; pilot/field test
What more creative ways can you come up with to gather information from beneficiaries?
Outside the box…
• Why numbers matter
• What numbers do we need?
• How to get useful numbers
• Cross-tabulation
• Sampling and extrapolating
• How to present data
Quantitative techniques
0
10
20
30
40
50
%
Reaction to the word “Spreadsheet”
Men
Women
n.b. fictional data!
Key numbers
The project has achieved significant positive outcomes, with 447 young people supported to become enterprise ready up to December 2011. To date, roughly 1 in 4 of these beneficiaries have gone on to establish a business, and around 30% have moved into education, training or employment.”
“An independent evaluation found that the service costed £145,000 over
three years, and had resulted in significant cost savings to statutory
services: conservatively estimated at £1,211,630.”
• How many beneficiaries?
• Of what sort?
• What happened as a result?
• What did it cost?
• How much did it save?
• Was it good value for money?
• Filters
• Count
• Pivot Tables
• Cross Tabulations
Getting the numbers: 1) Excel
% of beneficiaries Under 25 26-50 Over 50 Total
Northumberland 0 5 15 20
Tyne & Wear 10 20 10 40
County Durham 15 10 0 25
Tees Valley 0 15 0 15
TOTAL 25 50 25 100
Count of Completed Column Labels
Row Labels Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep OctGrand Total
f 12 3 3 6 6 3 3 6 9 51
m 3 3 6 9 6 6 3 3 39
Grand Total 12 6 3 9 6 15 9 9 9 12 90
CDCF/ESF Data – Radar Charts
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10Motivation
Confidence
Forms
CV
Interview
IT
Average
Before
After0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10Motivation
Confidence
Forms
CV
Interview
IT
Adriana
Before
After
Getting the numbers: 2) Other
• Survey Monkey
• Star Online
• Databases:
– Access
– Off the shelf systems
– Bespoke design
Sampling and extrapolation
• Most evaluation is based on a sample
• How representative is your sample?
• How diverse is your ‘population’?
• Evaluation is NOT a science
• Be aware of potential ‘bias’ in the sample
• Use caveats in extrapolating
Sampling example
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1 2 3 4-6 7-12 12+
Months from completion
Length of time to find work
We found that 100% of respondents hadfound work within 3 months ofcompleting the course. If this is true forall beneficiaries, we will have helped 300people to find work”
Sampling thoughts
Try to get at least 10% of each part of the population:
• By geography
• By gender
• By age
• By time/stage
• Other characteristics…
To address bias in your sample:
• Use a variety of methods
• Ask searching/critical questions
• Triangulate with stakeholder views
• Pay attention to outlier views
Presenting Data – some tips
• Not too much information
• Order bars from high to low
• Use a variety of formats, but not too many
• Keep a consistent colour scheme
• Remember titles, axes and legends
• Keep it as clean as possible
For example
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Ethicity
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
White: British White: Other Other Ethnicity
Ethnicity Other Ethnicity
Mixed: White and Black Caribbean
Mixed: White and Black African
Mixed: White and Asian
Mixed: Other Mixed
Asian or Asian British: Indian
Asian or Asian British: Pakistani
Asian or Asian British: Bangladeshi
Asian or Asian British: Other Asian
Black or Black British: Black Caribbean
Black or Black British: Black African
Black or Black British: Other Black
Chinese or Other Ethnic Group: Chinese
Chinese or Other Ethnic Group: Other
Presenting Data – some tips
Use free tools, eg:
• Google Fusion Tables
• Tableau public
• Plot.ly
• Any others?
Structure of the day: PM
14.10
15.00
Workshop feedback and close
Evaluation in practice
Wowing the World
13.00
15:30
‘Telling the story’ using case studies
13.30 Value for money
Telling the StoryUsing Case Studies
Spend a couple of minutes discussing with one or two others…
Things to consider when producing an ESF Community Grants Case Study
Case Studies: ESF Approach
About the person:
• Details of the client’s background, education/training and employment history and current situation.
Training/support:
• Details of what activity took place during the project
• What the client feels s/he achieved in regard to soft skills (e.g. more confidence) or hard outcomes (e.g. a qualification, employment, or volunteering).
Case Studies: ESF Approach
Plans for the future
• How does the client hope to progress their employability, training or job searching?
• Have they been referred to another organisation for ongoing support – if so which and what type ?
Quote
• A short quote from the client on how the project has made a difference.
Signature
Telling the StoryUsing Case Studies
• The power of the story
• The power of the actual words…
• … and a picture paints 1,000 of them
The Power of the Actual Words
• ‘If I didn’t have this I would have reoffended. I would have ended up getting drunk, fighting with someone and be back in prison.’
• ‘I felt miserable, I had no money and I was on benefits but now I’m independent. I feel good about working for my money.’
Case Studies: A Quick Checklist
• Before you start
• Setting up the interview
• On the day
• After the event
• Other thoughts
Value for Money
• What is the additional outcome impact?
• What is the cost per outcome?
• What is the return to society?
Gross No ofpeople into employment People into employment
who wouldn’t otherwise
Would have got a job anyway (deadweight)
Eligible people into employment who
wouldn’t otherwise
Would have got a job anyway (deadweight)
Inel
igib
le p
eop
le
(lea
kage
)
Additional spend locally (multiplier)
Additional eligible people
into employment who wouldn’t
otherwise
Net/additional impact
Inel
igib
le p
eop
le
(lea
kage
)
Would have got a job anyway (deadweight)
Oth
er p
eop
le w
ho
do
n’t
ge
t o
r lo
se jo
bs
(dis
pla
cem
ent)
Additional eligible people
into employment who wouldn’t
otherwise
Net additional impact
Additional eligible people
into employment who wouldn’t
otherwise
Net additional impact Results
GrossOutcomes 250
Deadweighteffect(thosewho’dhavegotajobanyway) 50
GrossOutcomeslessDeadweight 200
Leakageeffect(ineligiblebeneficiaries) 10
GrossOutcomeslessDeadweightandLeakage 190
Displacementeffect(otherpeoplelosingjobsasaresult) 0
GrossOutcomeslessDeadweight,LeakageandDisplacement 190
Multipliereffect 19
GrossOutcomeslessDeadweight,LeakageandDisplacement,plusMultipliereffect(“NetAdditionalOutcomes”)
209
Cost per outcome
• Simple concept: TOTAL COST
NO. of OUTCOMES
• BUT: Gross or Net Outcomes?
• Total cost or Total Funding?
• See Part 2 of Workbook
Cost per outcome Results
TotalCostperOutcome(Gross) £3,000
ESFperOutcome(Gross) £1,350
TotalCostperNetOutcome £6,000
ESFperNetOutcome £2,700
Social Return
• The financial value to society of the outcomes
• e.g. moving someone off benefit into work:
– Benefits saved
– Taxes contributed
– Local spend
– Reduced risk of costs arising from ill health, crime, anti-social behaviour
Social Return
• Depends on lots of assumptions (rate of pay, length of employment, behaviour of the individual, age, personal circumstances etc)
• Can calculate/estimate on a case-by-case –difficult, lengthy and expensive
• Or use ready-made estimates e.g. Global Value Exchange
Global Value Exchange
• Free to join and use
• Open source estimates of the financial value of a huge range of outcomes
www.globalvaluexchange.org
Social Return Results
Valuetoindividualsofsecuringwork £323,010
Valueofvolunteering £2,600
Valueofincreasedearningspotential(excludingthosewhohavesecuredwork)
£131,040
ValueoffiscalsavingstoDWP £277,020
TotalSocialReturnoftheproject £733,670
Social Return continued…
• Can then divide Total Social Return by Total Cost to get return on investment e.g. if Project Z cost £200,000, SROI is
£733,670 / £200,000 = £3.67
• Could have included other factors, e.g.
– Value of volunteering
– Increased earnings potential
– Improved health
SROI warnings
• Result depends on the factors included
• Also depends on assumptions made
• Similar projects making different assumptions will generate very different SROI scores
• Dealing with time properly is complex
• Doing SROI properly is expensive
• Most projects can demonstrate high positive SROI, so even an high positive result may not unlock funding
Developing an Evaluation Plan:Some things to think about
• Scope and Purpose
– What?
– Level – e.g. Project, Programme, Organisation
– Formative / Summative
– Audience?
Developing an Evaluation Plan:Some things to think about
• Timing and Phasing
– When?
– Single phase or multiphase?
• How do they fit together?
– Previous evaluations?
• The same approach or different?
– Key deadlines?
• ‘Doomed to success’
Developing an Evaluation Plan:Some things to think about
• Collecting Data
– What is required?
• Back to the logic chain
– Where can you get the data
– What have you got already?
– Storage and analysis
– Any barriers to using data?
Developing an Evaluation Plan:Some things to think about
• Who does it?
– Internal / External?
– Buy-in?
– Objectivity
– Budget
Developing an Evaluation Plan:Some things to think about
• Collecting views
– Options for beneficiaries?
– Key stakeholders?
– Options for Stakeholders
Developing an Evaluation Plan:Some things to think about
• Managing the evaluation process
– Who is responsible?
– Sign off?
• Dissemination
– Who and how?
Wowing the World
• Why are we doing this again?
– Because we have to?
– To improve our services to clients?
– To attract new clients?
– To demonstrate to ourselves and / or others that what we’re doing is effective?
– To show Value for Money?
– To convince people to give us some more?
Wowing the World
• Whatever the reason we need to ‘broadcast it’ in some way
• What approaches have you used that have been particularly effective in broadcasting what you’ve achieved and the impact that it has made?
The word on the street
• Evaluation Reports
• Summary Documents– Selected highlights
• Newspapers / Newsletters
• Annual Reports
Multi Media
Your Evaluation!
• Any immediate thoughts?
• Evaluation sheet – Free prize draw!
• A more detailed conversation?
• Peer support network?