NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
Presented byRaymundo J. Talento
Director, Economic Statistics OfficeNational Statistical Coordination Board
International Workshop on household Income, Consumption and Full Accounting of the Household
Sector
Beijing, China 26-28 March 2012
ESTIMATION OF THE HOUSEHOLD SECTOR
(Philippine Case)
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
2
Outline of the Prensentation
I. Introduction
II. Scope and Coverage
III. Data Sources
IV. Estimation Methodology
V. Issues/concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
3
Measurement of GDP
Three approaches in GDP Measurement
1.Production Approach, GDP (P)
2. Expenditure Approach, GDP (E)
3. Income Approach, GDP (I)
I. Introduction
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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1. Production Approach, GDP (P)
Unduplicated sum of all the goods and services produced in the domestic economy (by resident producers)Measurement of GDP by industrial origin
Measurement of GDP cont’n…
Formula: GDP (P) = GVAwhere:GVA = Gross Value Added
= Gross Output Less Intermediate Inputs
I. Introduction
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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2. Expenditure Approach, GDP (E)
Sum of the final uses of goods and services (all except intermediate consumption) measured at purchaser’s prices, less the value of imports of goods and services
Measurement of GDP cont’n…
Formula: GDP (E) = HFCE + GFCE+ GDCF + X – Mwhere:
HFCE = Household Final Consumption Expenditure
GFCE = Government Final Consumption Expenditure
GDCF = Gross Domestic Capital FormationX = ExportsM = Imports
I. Introduction
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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3. Income Approach, GDP (I)
Sum of primary incomes distributed by resident producer units
Measurement of GDP cont’n…
Formula: GDP (I) = CE + D + T – S + OS
where:CE = Compensation of EmployeesD = DepreciationT = Taxes (products/production)S = SubsidiesOS = Operating Surplus
I. Introduction
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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3. Income Approach, GDP (I)
By institutional units. In the present PSNA these are :
Non-Financial Financial Government; and Households and unincorporated enterprises, including
non-profit institutions serving households Also the Rest of the World (ROW) – viewed as the
grouping of all non-resident units.
Measurement of GDP cont’n…
I. Introduction
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
8
Gross National Income (GNI)
Covers (Income from) Production within the domestic territory (GDP), including production from the rest of the world (NFIA) provided by residents of the Philippines
Measurement of GNI (GNP)
Formula: GNP = GDP + NPIAwhere:
GDP = Gross Domestic Product NPIA = Net Primary Income From
Abroad
I. I. Introduction
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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THUS,
THE PSNA GENERATES
PRODUCTION, EXPENDITURES AND INCOME ESTIMATES
I. Introduction
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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HFCE consists of actual and imputed expenditures of households for the purpose of acquiring individual consumption of goods & services.
Includes:
- Individual and institutional households (HHs)
- Non-profit institutions serving households (NPISH):
II. Scope and Coverage
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
11
HFCE – classified according to purpose
- based on the Classification of Individual Consumption according to Purpose (COICOP) as recommended by the 2008 SNA
II. Scope and Coverage
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
12
HFCE – includes:
1. Food and Non-alcoholic Beverages
2. Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco
3. Clothing and Footwear
4. Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels
5. Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance
6. Health
7. Transport
8. Communication
9. Recreation and Culture
10. Education
11. Restaurants and Hotels
12. Miscellaneous Goods and Services
II. Scope and Coverage
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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Data/information used :
- Family Income and Expenditures Survey (FIES) of NSO
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) of NSO- 2000 Input-Output (I-O) Table of NSCB
- Total output of industry sectors from the estimates of the National Accounts of the NSCB
- Foreign Trade Statistics (FTS) of NSO
- Administrative-based data of various agencies
(i.e. volume & value of removals for cigars, cigarettes & alcoholic drinks from the BIR)
III. Data Sources
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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2000 Benchmark Year
- adopted as initial estimate the 2000 I-O estimates of HFCE, with each HFCE I-O code/description classified according to COICOP.
IV. Methodology
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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Non-benchmark Year (1998-1999, 2001-2010)
- the 2000 benchmark estimate of HFCE by sub-component was extrapolated using the trend of the gross output of related industry sector
- estimates are reconciled with the other sectors through the supply and use table
- it is further validated using the expenditure structure derived from the FIES.
IV. Methodology
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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SHOULD THE INCOME AND EXPENDITURES DATA OF THE PSNA AND THE FIES
BE
“CONSISTENT”?
“RECONCILED”?
V. Issues & Concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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is a household survey being conducted by the NSO every three years
Provides data on family income and expenditures which include among others levels of consumption by item of expenditure as well sources of income in cash and in kind
Source of weights for the CPI Used for computing poverty incidenceUsed for analyzing income distributionUsed as an indicator for NA purposes
What is the FIES?
V. Issues & Concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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V. Issues & Concerns
The FIES does not collect income/expenditures data from
Non-Financial Institution
Financial Institution
Government
Non-profit institutions serving households
Rest of the World (ROW)
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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V. Issues & Concerns
In the PSNA, the Transactors (Institutional Sectors) of the Economy are:
Non-Financial Institution Financial Institution Government; and Households and unincorporated
enterprises, including non-profit institutions serving households
Also Rest of the World (ROW) – the grouping of all non-resident units.
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
20
V. Issues & Concerns
Therefore, if one must “compare” income data from the PSNA and the FIES, the closest one may look for comparability is
THE HOUSEHOLD SECTOR!
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
21
IS
FIES INCOME = PSNA INCOME OF THE HOUSEHOLD SECTOR?
V. Issues & Concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
22
FIES INCOME REFERS TO INCOME IN CASH AND IN KIND RECEIVED BY THE HH’s
FIES INCOME INCLUDES (FIES QUESTIONNAIRE):
PART III: INCOME AND OTHER RECEIPTS
PART IV: ENTREPRENEURIAL ACTIVITIES
PART II: EXPENDITURE AND OTHER DISBURSEMENTS ( RECEIVED AS GIFTS)
V. Issues & Concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
23
FIES INCOME INCLUDES:
V. Issues & Concerns
Salaries and wages from employment Net share of crops, fruits and vegetables produced or livestock and poultry raised by other householdsCash receipts, gifts, support, relief and other forms of assistance from abroad Cash receipts, support, assistance and relief from domestic source Rentals received from non-agricultural lands, buildings, spaces and other properties Interest
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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FIES INCOME INCLUDES cont’n:
V. Issues & Concerns
Pension and retirement, workmen’s compensation and social security benefits Dividends from investment Other sources of income not elsewhere classified
Family Sustenance Activities Total Income from Entrepreneurial Activities Goods and Services Received as gift Imputed Rental Value of Owner-Occupied Dwelling Units
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
25
PSNA HH INCOME ALSO BASICALLY REFERS TO INCOME IN CASH AND IN KIND RECEIVED BY THE HOUSEHOLD SECTOR
PSNA HH INCOME =
COMPENSATION +
OPERATING SURPLUS +
PROPERTY INCOME +
TRANSFERS
V. Issues & Concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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V. Issues & Concerns
SOURCES OF DIFFERENCES
1. COVERAGE
2. CONCEPTUAL/DEFINITION OF INCOME
3. METHODOLOGICAL ( NOS OF HHS)
4. DATA-RELATED
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
27
Differences between the national accounts of the NSCB and the income data from the FIES of the NSO.
In terms of COVERAGE:
PSNA FIES
Household & Unincorporated Enterprises Household & Unincorporated EnterprisesIndividual Households Individual HouseholdsInstitutional HouseholdsNon-profit Institution Serving Household
V. Issues & Concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
28
Differences between the national income accounts of the NSCB and the income data from the FIES of the NSO.
In terms of TYPE OF INCOME covered:
NAcovers income of household derived from engaging in unincorporated enterprises, compensation of employee, property income from investments of assets, depreciation from the use of assets, transfers, taxes, subsidies
V. Issues & Concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
29
Differences between the national income accounts of the NSCB and the income data from the FIES of the NSO.
In terms of TYPE OF INCOME covered:
FIESIncludes income defined in the NIA but excludes items on depreciation and indirect taxes or subsidies
V. Issues & Concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
30
Differences between the national income accounts of the NSCB and the income data from the FIES of the NSO.
In terms of METHODOLOGY :
PSNANet Operating Surplus of Households is residually calculated
FIESTotal Income from Entrepreneurial Activities
V. Issues & Concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
31
Differences between the national income accounts of the NSCB and the income data from the FIES of the NSO.
In terms of DATA-RELATED DIFFERENCES :
FIESHH response based on recall -underreporting/overreporting of income/expendituresPSNAData comes from different sources and estimates are validated through the SUT
V. Issues & Concerns
NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD
International Workshop on Household Income, Consumption & Full Accounting of the Household Sector , Beijing, ChinaRJ Talento /26-28 March 2012
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Thank You!Thank [email protected]@nscb.gov.ph