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Profile of the Midland Region Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU), SOLAS [email protected]
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Page 1: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Profile of the Midland Region

Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU), SOLAS

[email protected]

Page 2: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Introduction

The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to be based on the shared understanding of the labour market they are operating in. Both sides represent the key players in relation to the local labour markets, one on the side of the demand for skills (employers) and one on the side of the supply of skills (education and training providers). The availability of labour market information is critical in ensuring that the engagement between the education and training providers and employers results in an evidence-based, well-informed dialogue about the issues regarding the supply and demand for skills and a mutual agreement on how best to resolve issues identified.

The labour market information presented here is aimed at providing a starting point in relation to the evidence upon which the engagement should be based. It contains a selection of tables, charts and info-graphics on each region’s economy (GVA, income, enterprise base), labour market indicators (employment rate, unemployment rate etc.), demand (employment trends, profile of recent hires, vacancies, immigration statistics, estimates of recruitment requirement by broad skill group) and supply (graduate output and unemployment). It also provides an overview of some issues identified through recent analysis of the labour market, including skill shortages and labour turnover.

The data and analysis presented here has been prepared using the data held in the National Skills Database, which collates a wide range of datasets and models on demand and supply of labour at occupational level. This includes data from the Central Statistics Office, Department of Education and Skills, Department of Social Protection, Department of Jobs, Enterprise and Innovation and a number of models for labour market analysis developed by the SLMRU, including the Labour Market Transitions Model and Occupational Employment Projections Model.

The information will be updated in line with the availability of updates of the underlying data sets.

Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU), SOLAS

May 2016

[email protected]

Page 3: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Contents • Regional profile

– GVA – Incomes – Active enterprises – Medium-large employers

• Labour market indicators • Demand

– Employment – Hires – Vacancies – Employment permits to non-EEA nationals – Job announcements – Employment projections – Expansion, replacement and recruitment requirement

• Supply – Education and training – Live Register – Job ready job seekers – Unemployment

• Issues identified – Skill and labour shortages – Turnover

Page 4: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Gross Value Added (GVA) by region at basic prices (euro million)

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2013

Note: 2014 figures are estimates

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

Du

blin

plu

s M

id E

ast

Sou

th-W

est

Sou

th-E

ast

Wes

t

Mid

-Wes

t

Bo

rde

r

Mid

lan

d

2012

2013

2014E

Page 5: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices by region and sector

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2013

GVA at basic prices by region and sector, 2013 (euro million) Sectoral distribution of regional GVA at basic prices, 2013

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Du

blin

plu

s M

id E

ast

Mid

lan

d

Stat

e

Wes

t

Mid

-Wes

t

Bo

rder

Sou

th-E

ast

Sou

th-W

est

Market & non-market services

Manufacturing, building & construction

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000D

ub

lin p

lus

Mid

Eas

t

Sou

th-W

est

Sou

th-E

ast

Wes

t

Mid

-Wes

t

Bo

rder

Mid

lan

d

Market & non-market services

Manufacturing, building & construction

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

Page 6: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

GVA per person at basic prices (euro)

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2013 Note: 2014 figures are estimates

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

Du

blin

plu

s M

id E

ast

Sou

th-W

est

Stat

e

Mid

-Wes

t

Wes

t

Sou

th-E

ast

Bo

rde

r

Mid

lan

d

2007

2013

2014E

Page 7: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Indices of Gross Value Added (GVA) per person at basic prices by region (State = 100)

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2013

Border

Midland

West

Dublin plus Mid-East

Mid-West

South-East

South-West

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

E

State = 100

Page 8: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Disposable income per person by region, 2000-2014E (euro)

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2013

Note: 2014 figures are preliminary estimates

2008 2012 2013 2014E % change

2012-2013 % change

2008-2013

% of State average

(2013)

% Deviation from State

average (2013)

Laois 21,677 17,137 17,406 17,940 1.6% -19.7% 93.0% -7.0%

Westmeath 20,436 17,508 17,317 17,762 -1.1% -15.3% 92.6% -7.4%

Longford 20,417 17,207 16,809 17,235 -2.3% -17.7% 89.9% -10.1%

Offaly 19,954 16,459 16,505 16,965 0.3% -17.3% 88.2% -11.8% Midland 20,621 17,076 17,052 17,523 -0.1% -17.3% 91.2% -8.8% State 22,565 18,964 18,707 19,309 -1.4% -17.1% 100.0%

State

Border

Midland

West

Dublin

Mid-East

Mid-West

South-East

South-West

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

24,000

26,000

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

E

Page 9: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Disposable income per person by county, percentage deviation from the State average, 2013

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2013

-18.9%

-13.5%

-12.5%

-11.8%

-11.0%

-10.6%

-10.1%

-8.2%

-7.6%

-7.4%

-7.2%

-7.1%

-7.0%

-6.5%

-6.1%

-5.0%

-4.6%

-4.2%

-3.6%

-3.0%

-2.4%

-1.8%

-1.7%

-0.6%

1.1%

9.5%

11.6%

-25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%

Donegal

Monaghan

Roscommon

Offaly

Kerry

Cavan

Longford

Wexford

Kilkenny

Westmeath

Mayo

Carlow

Laois

Clare

Louth

Leitrim

South Tipperary

Meath

Sligo

Waterford City and County

Wicklow

North Tipperary

Galway City and County

Kildare

Cork City and County

Limerick City and County

Dublin

Page 10: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Number of active enterprises by region (private business economy), 2012

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography data

Note: Private business economy covers NACE Rev. 2 sectors B to N (excluding activities of holding companies)

57,989

27,386

20,395 18,332 17,975 16,381 14,584

9,302

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

Du

blin

Sou

th-W

est

Mid

-Eas

t

Bo

rder

Sou

th-E

ast

Wes

t

Mid

-Wes

t

Mid

lan

d

Page 11: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Number of active enterprises (private business economy), Midland, 2008-2012

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography data

2008 2011 2012 % change

2011-2012 % change

2008-2012

Westmeath 4,107 3,380 3,290 -2.7% -19.9%

Offaly 3,001 2,452 2,348 -4.2% -21.8%

Laois 2,752 2,366 2,273 -3.9% -17.4%

Longford 1,735 1,420 1,391 -2.0% -19.8%

Midland 11,595 9,618 9,302 -3.3% -19.8%

State 216,265 189,055 185,530 -1.9% -14.2%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Westmeath Offaly Laois Longford

Page 12: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Number of active enterprises by sector, Midland, 2012

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2012

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Wes

tme

ath

Off

aly

Lao

is

Lon

gfo

rd

Administrative activities

Professional, scientific & technical

Real estate activities

Financial & insurance activities

Information & communication

Accommodation & food

Transportation & storage

Wholesale & retail trade

Construction

Water supply, sewerage activities

Electricity, gas, etc. supply

Manufacturing

Mining & quarrying

Page 13: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Distribution of active enterprises by sector, Midland, 2012

Source: CSO, Business Demography 2012

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Stat

e

Mid

lan

d

Wes

tmea

th

Off

aly

Lao

is

Lon

gfo

rd

Administrative activities

Professional, scientific & technical

Real estate activities

Financial & insurance activities

Information & communication

Accommodation & food

Transportation & storage

Wholesale & retail trade

Construction

Water supply, sewerage activities

Electricity, gas, etc. supply

Manufacturing

Mining & quarrying

Page 14: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Distribution of active enterprises and persons engaged by company size, Midland, 2012

Source: CSO, Business Demography 2012

Under 10

10 - 19

20 - 49

50 - 249

250 and over

Under 10

10 - 19

20 - 49

50 - 249

250 and over

Active enterprises Persons engaged

Size class Westmeath Offaly Laois Longford

Under 10 91.3% 91.8% 93.2% 92.2%

10 - 19 * * * *

20 - 49 2.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2%

50 - 249 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 1.2%

250 and over * * * *

Size class Westmeath Offaly Laois Longford

Under 10 40.7% 40.8% 50.7% 43.3%

10 - 19 * * * *

20 - 49 14.3% 12.4% 16.1% 14.5%

50 - 249 23.4% 19.6% 12.3% 24.6%

250 and over * * * *

Page 15: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Distribution of persons engaged by sector, Midland, 2012

Source: CSO, Business Demography 2012

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Stat

e

Mid

lan

d

Wes

tmea

th

Off

aly

Lao

is

Lon

gfo

rd

Administrative activities

Professional, scientific & technical

Real estate activities

Financial & insurance activities

Information & communication

Accommodation & food

Transportation & storage

Wholesale & retail trade

Construction

Water supply, sewerage activities

Electricity, gas, etc. supply

Manufacturing

Mining & quarrying

Page 16: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Industrial activity, Midland

371

333 327 335

298

28 25 20 21 18

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Traditional

Modern

2.2 2.1

2.0 2.1 2.1

0.7 0.7 0.6

0.7 0.7

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Traditional

Modern

Industrial units by sector Gross output (€billion) in industrial units by sector

Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO data (Census of Industrial Production)

Page 17: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Number of medium-large business by sector, Midland, 2014

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data

Sector Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath Total

Industry 5 9 16 14 44

Construction 1 1 2

Wholesale & retail 7 4 5 9 25

Transport 1 1

Accommodation & food 4 1 3 5 13

Information & communication 1 1 1 3

Finance 1 1

Professional services 2 3 5

Admin & support 1 1

PAD 3 3 3 4 13

Education 3 2 6 9 20

Health & welfare 4 1 4 8 17

Other 1 0 2 2 5

Total 27 22 43 58 150

Page 18: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Distribution of companies (medium-large) by sector, Midland, 2014

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100% Other

Health & welfare

Education

PAD

Admin & support

Professional services

Finance

Information & communication

Accommodation & food

Transport

Wholesale & retail

Construction

Industry

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data

Page 19: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Employers: food & beverage manufacturing (medium-large), Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data

Page 20: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Employers: other manufacturing (medium-large), Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data

Page 21: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Employers: wholesale & retail (medium-large), Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data

Page 22: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Employers: accommodation & food (medium-large), Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data

Page 23: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Labour market & associated indicators, Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data Q4 2015; *EU 2020 and Ireland’s NSS targets

Indicator / Statistic

Midland State *Target

(if / where relevant)

Population (15-64) 187,900 3,001,800

Labour Force 135,400 2,170,500

Participation Rate 60.3% 60%

Employment 120,800 1,983,000

Employment Rate (20-64) 68.2% 70% 69%-71%

Self-Employment 15% 16%

Unemployment 14,700 187,500

Unemployment Rate 10.9% 8.7% <9.7%

Youth Unemployment Rate 27.8% 19%

Youth Unemployment Ratio 10.3% 7%

Long Term Unemployment Rate 5.3% 4.7%

Early School Leavers (ESL) 8% 7% <8%

NEET (15-24) 19% 12%

Tertiary Level Education (30-34) 48% 53% 60%

Life Long Learning (LLL) 6% 7% 15%

Page 24: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Employment by sector (persons and % change), Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2015 Q4 y-o-y change (%) Q4'10-Q4'15 change (%)

*Numbers in ICT and Admin services too small to report

Page 25: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Manufacturing employment by technological intensity, Midland, Q4 2015

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

2,300 15%

3,900 25%

2,900 19%

6,400 41%

High technology

Medium-high technology

Medium-low-technology

Low-technology

Page 26: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Employment by occupation, Midland, Q4 2015

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

7,700

10,300

11,100

12,000

12,400

12,900

13,700

16,900

22,900

0 10,000 20,000 30,000

Managers, Directors & Senior Officials

Administrative/Secretarial

Sales/Customer Services

Process, Plant & Machine Operatives

Associate Professional & Technical

Elementary Occupations

Caring, Leisure & Other Services

Professionals

Skilled Trades

Page 27: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Number of persons engaged (private business economy), Midland, 2008-2012

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography data

Note: Private business economy covers NACE Rev. 2 sectors B to N (excluding activities of holding companies)

2008 2011 2012 % change

2011-2012 % change

2008-2012

Westmeath 20,855 14,992 15,038 0.3% -27.9%

Offaly 16,668 11,070 10,786 -2.6% -35.3%

Laois 13,059 8,971 8,653 -3.5% -33.7%

Longford 8,311 6,006 6,074 1.1% -26.9%

Midland 58,893 41,039 40,551 -1.2% -31.1%

State 1,503,034 1,223,047 1,219,854 -0.3% -18.8%

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Westmeath Offaly Laois Longford

Page 28: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Recent job hires, 2015

9% 7%

7%

35% 11%

8%

10%

13%

Border

Midland

West

Dublin

Mid-East

Mid-West

South-East

South-West

Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO QNHS data

21%

16%

12% 12%

11%

28%

Wholesale & retail

Industry

Health & social work

Accomodation & food

Construction

Other sectors

Recent hires by region, 2015 Recent hires by sector, Midland, 2015

Page 29: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Recent job hires, Midland, 2015

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Low

er s

ec o

r le

ss

Hig

he

r se

c o

r FE

T

Thir

d le

vel

15

-24

25

-34

35

-44

45

-64

Man

ager

s

Pro

fess

ion

als

Ass

oci

ate

Pro

f

Ad

min

Skill

ed T

rad

es

Serv

ice

s

Sale

s

Op

era

tive

s

Elem

enta

ry

Full-

tim

e

Par

t-ti

me

Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO QNHS data

Page 30: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

DSP Jobs Ireland vacancies, 2011-2015

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

West

South-East

South-West

Mid-West

Mid-East

Midland

Border

Dublin

Source: DSP Jobs Ireland

Page 31: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

DSP Jobs Ireland vacancies, Midland, 2015

- 200 400 600 800

1,000 1,200

2014

2015

21%

23%

21%

35% Laois

Longford

Offaly

Westmeath

Source: DSP Jobs Ireland

Page 32: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

Professionals Nurses

Associate prof Field sales agents/fundraiser

Field sales agents/fundraiser

Field sales exec/fundraiser

Admin Census enumerators Census enumerators Census enumerators Census enumerators

Skilled trades Painters Electricians Chefs

Steel fabricators Electricians

Welders Chefs Electricians

Chefs Electricians Painters

Personal services

Care workers Care workers Care workers Care workers

Sales & customer

Retail assistants Retail assistants Retail assistants Retail assistants

Operatives Drivers (HGV, rigid, truck) Production operatives

Mushroom pickers Drivers (HGV, artic)

General/production operative Drivers (HGV, artic)

Elementary

Construction labourers Security guards Kitchen assistants

Warehouse operatives Security guards Construction labourers

Security guards Kitchen assistants Waiters

Security guards Construction labourers Kitchen assistants Waiters

DSP Vacancies by occupation, Midland, 2015

Page 33: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

IrishJobs.ie vacancies, Midland, 2015

11%

20%

28%

41%

Laois

Longford

Offaly

Westmeath

Source: IrishJobs.ie

7%

31%

22% 7% 4%

3%

20%

3% 3% Managers

Professionals

Associate professionals

Administrative

Skilled Trades

Personal Services

Sales & customer service

Operatives

Elementary

Vacancies by county

Vacancies by occupation

3%

1%

5%

63%

3%

5%

3%

17%

Border

Midland

West

Dublin

Mid-East

Mid-West

South-East

South-West

Overall vacancies

Page 34: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Employment permits

Midland

Information & communications

Human health & social work

Financial, insurance & real estate

Industry

Arts, entertainment, recreation & other service

Accommodation & food services

State

Source: DJEI

New employment permits, Midland, 2015 Employment permits by region, 2012-2015

Du

blin

Du

blin

Du

blin

Du

blin

Border Border

Border

Border

Midland Midland

Midland

Midland

West West

West

West

Mid-East Mid-East

Mid-East

Mid-East

Mid-West Mid-West

Mid-West

Mid-West

South East

South East

South West South West

South West

South West

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2012 2013 2014 2015

South West

South East

Mid-West

Mid-East

West

Midland

Border

Dublin

Page 35: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Job announcements, Midland, 2015-2016

Source: SLMRU analysis

Industry

Manufacturing

Patterson Pump Ireland , C&D,

Schwungrad Energie Ltd, AuBren, CMV,

Quintessential Brands, Green Isle Foods,

Teleflex, Grant Engineering, Nexvet

Biopharma

Services

Internal Results,

Oxymem, DPD

Health

Midland Regional Hospital

Construction

Jazz Pharmaceuticals

Page 36: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Employment projections to 2020

Border

Midland

West

Dublin

Mid East

Mid West

South East

South West

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Source: Occupational Employment Projections 2020, SOLAS

Page 37: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Employment projections by sector, Midland

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Agriculture

High tech manuf.

Food processing

Trad.manuf.

Construction

Distribution

Transport

Accom. and food

ICT

Financial services

Professional services

Other market services

PAD

Education

Health

Source: Occupational Employment Projections 2020, SOLAS

Page 38: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Estimated annual replacement and expansion demand, Midland

-5,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000A

gric

ult

ure

Hig

h t

ech

man

uf.

Foo

d p

roce

ssin

g

Trad

.man

uf.

Co

nst

ruct

ion

Dis

trib

uti

on

Tran

spo

rt

Acc

om

. an

d f

oo

d

ICT

Fin

anci

al s

ervi

ces

Pro

fess

ion

al s

ervi

ces

Oth

er m

arke

t se

rvic

es

PA

D

Edu

cati

on

Hea

lth

Remaining Replacement Expansion

Source: SLMRU projections

Page 39: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Replacement Expansion Recruitment requirement

Agriculture <1000 <1000 <1000

High tech manuf. <1000 <1000 <1000

Food processing <1000 <1000 <1000

Trad. manuf. <1000 <1000 <1000

Construction <1000 <1000 1400

Distribution 1100 <1000 1500

Transport <1000 <1000 <1000

Accom. and food <1000 <1000 <1000

ICT <1000 <1000 <1000

Financial services <1000 <1000 <1000

Professional services <1000 <1000 <1000

Other market services <1000 <1000 <1000

PAD <1000 <1000 <1000

Education <1000 <1000 <1000

Health 1300 <1000 1400

Total 6700 2700 9400

Estimated annual replacement, expansion and recruitment requirement, Midland

Source: SLMRU projections

Page 40: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Education and training providers, Midland

• 2nd level schools – throughout the region

• Further Education and Training

– Longford Westmeath ETB

– Laois and Offaly ETB

• Higher Education

– Athlone Institute of Technology

Page 41: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Junior Cert and Leaving Cert sits, Midland, 2011 and 2015

Source: State Examinations Commission

0

500

1,000

1,500

Lao

is

Lon

gfo

rd

Off

aly

Wes

tme

ath

Lao

is

Lon

gfo

rd

Off

aly

Wes

tme

ath

Junior Certs Leaving Certs (LCE, LCVP & LCA)

2011

2015

Page 42: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Destination of school leavers, Midland

Laois Longford Westmeath Offaly Midland National

Total Cohort 705 580 1,510 1,000 3,795 54,825

Of which enrolled in

Higher education 36% 43% 44% 40% 41% 44%

Second level/FET 29% 34% 31% 34% 32% 28%

Total education/training 65% 78% 75% 74% 73% 72%

Of those remaining

Social welfare activity 11% 8% 7% 9% 8% 7%

Employment activity 10% 7% 9% 8% 8% 10%

Labour market participation 21% 15% 15% 17% 17% 18%

Other (emigration, work abroad) * * * * * 10%

Source: DES – School Completers – What Next? (2016)

Page 43: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

FET

• Awards data limited (to QQI awards)

• No awards data for other awarding bodies

– City & Guilds

– ICS (ECDL)

– Vendor certification (e.g. Microsoft, Cisco etc)

• Incomplete enrolment data

– Confined to PLC enrolments

– Other data refers to both places/learners and calendar/academic years; an estimate of volume of learning is not possible

Page 44: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

PLC enrolments, Midland, 2009/10 – 2013/14

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Westmeath

Offaly

Longford

Laois

Source: DES

Page 45: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

PLC enrolments by field of study, Midland, 2013/14

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

Source: DES

Page 46: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

New apprenticeship registrations, Midland, 2015 Longford Westmeath ETB

LW ETB

Construction 82

Brick and stonelaying 1

Carpentry and joinery 45

Painting and decorating 1

Plumbing 27

Wood manufacturing and finishing 8

Electrical 127

Electrical 112

Electrical instrumentation 4

Instrumentation 1

Refrigeration 10

LW ETB

Engineering 57

Farriery 1

M.A.M.F. 16

Metal fabrication 28

Toolmaking 12

Motor 87

Agricultural mechanics 5

Construction plant fitting 14

Heavy vehicle ,echanics 20

Motor mechanics 43

Vehicle body repairs 5

Total 353

Source: SOLAS

Page 47: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

QQI (FET) major awards, Midland, 2010-2015

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Source: QQI infographics

Page 48: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

QQI (FET) major awards by field and level, Midland, 2015

Source: QQI infographics

0

250

500

750

1,000

NFQ 1-3 NFQ 4 NFQ 5 NFQ 6

Page 49: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Higher education awards, Midland, 2010/11-2014/15

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Source: HEA

Page 50: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Higher education awards by field and level, Midland, 2014/15

Source: HEA

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

NFQ 9/10

NFQ 8

NFQ 7

NFQ 6

Page 51: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

HE awards (all levels) by detailed field – science, Midland, 2014/15

Source: HEA

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Biological sciences n.e.c. Biology Chemistry

Page 52: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

HE awards (all levels) by detailed field – manufacturing & construction, Midland, 2014/15

Source: HEA

0

10

20

30

40

50

60C

hem

ical

Envi

ron

me

nta

l pro

tect

ion

Elec

tric

ity

& e

ner

gy

Elec

tro

n. &

au

tom

atio

n

Mec

han

ics

Man

ufa

ctu

rin

g

Arc

hit

ectu

re

Civ

il en

gin

eeri

ng

Engineering & manufacturing Construction

Page 53: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

HE awards (all levels) by detailed field – ICT, Midland, 2014/15

Source: HEA

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

ICT n.e.c. Computer Use Database andnetwork

Softwaredevelopment

Page 54: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Live Register , 2007 - 2016

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data

West

Border

Midland

Dublin

Mid East

Mid West

South East South West

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

West

Border

Midland

Dublin

Mid-East

Mid-West

South East

South West

Page 55: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Live Register, Midland, 2007 - 2016

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Laois

Longford

Offaly

Westmeath

Midland

Page 56: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Live Register by county and age, Midland, 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath Midland Ireland

>25

<25

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath Midland

>25

<25

Page 57: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Live Register by gender, Midland, 2016

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Female

Male

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Female

Male

Page 58: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Live Register by gender, Midland, 2015-2016

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000

Laois

Longford

Offaly

Westmeath

Female

2015

2016

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000

Laois

Longford

Offaly

Westmeath

Male

2015

2016

Page 59: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Job-ready job seekers, Midland, April 2016

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Dublin SouthEast

SouthWest

Border Mid East West MidWest

Midland

Source: DSP

Page 60: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Job-ready job seekers, Midland, April 2016

Source: DSP

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

Elementary

Operative

Sales

Services

Craft

Admin

Assoc prof

Prof

Managers

Page 61: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Job-ready job seekers, Midland, April 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Elementary

Operative

Sales

Services

Craft

Admin

Assoc prof

Prof

Managers

Source: DSP

Page 62: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Job-ready job seekers, Midland, April 2016

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

NFQ10

NFQ9

NFQ8

NFQ7

NFQ6

LC

Junior Cert

Primary

Source: DSP

Page 63: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Job-ready job seekers, Midland, April 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

NFQ10

NFQ9

NFQ8

NFQ7

NFQ6

LC

Junior Cert

Primary

Source: DSP

Page 64: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Unemployment, Midland, Q4 2015

• Approximately – 15,000 unemployed persons

– a half were seeking a job for at least 12 months

– a third had no previous employment experience

• Age: 26% were younger than 25; youth unemployment rate was 28%

• Education: 25% had attained at most lower secondary education

• Sector: construction accounted for the largest share

• Occupation: those previously employed in skilled trades accounted for the largest share of unemployed

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

Page 65: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Unemployment by education, Midland, Q4 2015

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

25%

27% 24%

11%

12% Lower seondary and below

Upper seondary

FET

Third level non degree

Third level degree andabove

Page 66: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Unemployment by age, Midland, Q4 2015

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

3,800

3,500 3,600 3,800

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

15-24 25-34 35-44 45 and above

Page 67: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Skills Shortages, Ireland, 2015

• Professionals/associate professionals

– ICT (software developers, cloud, databases/big data, testing, security, technical support, networking and infrastructure)

– Engineering (production, process, quality, validation, product design/development, electronic, electrical, mechanical and chemical)

– Science (biochemistry, biotechnology, pharma co-vigilance, product development)

– Business & finance (risk, compliance, accounting, business intelligence, data analytics)

– Health (doctors, nurses, radiographers, niche area specialists (e.g. prosthetists, radiation therapist), managers)

– Construction (surveyors)

• Clerical (multilingual credit control/debt control and supply chain)

• Skilled trades (chefs, tool making, welding (TIG, MIG), butchers/de-boners, steel-erector)

• Sales (technical sales, multilingual customer support, online sales and marketing)

• Operatives (CNC, drivers (fork lift and special vehicle))

• Retention issues (care, chefs, butchers/de-boners, elementary (e.g. waiters))

Source: National Skills Bulletin, SLMRU

Page 68: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · State and h y Laois d Administrative activities Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance

Labour market transitions: key points

• Turnover defined as either inter or intra occupational movement of persons in

employment

• Turnover typically higher at the lower end of the skill scale

• Occupations with estimated high turnover rates: general clerks, sales assistants, food operatives, care workers, elementary occupations (e.g. hospitality, cleaning, construction labourers), but also some higher skilled (e.g. computer programmers, accountants, sales executives)

• Implication for employees: employment conditions, career path and job security

• Implication for employers: difficulty in attracting and retaining staff

Turnover


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