WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION ___________________________ CONSULTATIVE MEETINGS ON HIGH-LEVEL POLICY ON SATELLITE MATTERS TWELFTH SESSION GENEVA, SWITZERLAND, 21 JUNE 2014 WMO (CM-12)/Doc. 3.1 (Rev.1) (16.VI.2014) _________ ITEM: 3 Original: ENGLISH PROGRESS REPORT FROM THE CGMS TIGER TEAM ON SOCIO-ECONOMIC BENEFITS FROM SPACE PROGRAMMES (Submitted by Chuck Wooldridge, NOAA) Summary and Purpose of Document The Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites (CGMS) set up in 2013 a Socio-Economic Benefits Tiger Team (SETT) to (i) develop a credible methodology and common terminology for articulating the socio-economic benefit of satellite observing systems, and (ii) to explore most effective ways to communicate this information to desired stakeholders. Attached is a presentation provided to the 42 nd session of CGMS in May 2014 that summarizes the Team’s progress to date. ACTION PROPOSED The twelfth session is invited to give guidance on the engagement of WMO in socio-economic benefit studies of space programmes. _____________________
Transcript
WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION
___________________________
CONSULTATIVE MEETINGS ON HIGH-LEVEL POLICY ON SATELLITE MATTERS
TWELFTH SESSION
GENEVA, SWITZERLAND, 21 JUNE 2014
WMO (CM-12)/Doc. 3.1 (Rev.1) (16.VI.2014) _________ ITEM: 3 Original: ENGLISH
PROGRESS REPORT FROM THE CGMS TIGER TEAM ON SOCIO-ECONOMIC BENEFITS FROM SPACE PROGRAMMES
(Submitted by Chuck Wooldridge, NOAA)
Summary and Purpose of Document The Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites (CGMS) set up in 2013 a Socio-Economic Benefits Tiger Team (SETT) to (i) develop a credible methodology and common terminology for articulating the socio-economic benefit of satellite observing systems, and (ii) to explore most effective ways to communicate this information to desired stakeholders. Attached is a presentation provided to the 42nd session of CGMS in May 2014 that summarizes the Team’s progress to date.
ACTION PROPOSED
The twelfth session is invited to give guidance on the engagement of WMO in socio-economic benefit studies of space programmes.
_____________________
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMSCoordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
CGMS Socioeconomic
Benefits Tiger Team
Report to the WMO Consultative MeetingJune 21, 2014
Charles Wooldridge, NOAA
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
To develop a credible methodology and common terminology for articulating the socio-economic benefit of satellite observing systems
Explore most effective ways to communicate this information to desired stakeholders
SETT PURPOSE
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
SETT Activities for 2013-15
• Compile and review relevant socio-economic benefit and return on investment studies
• Identify relevant socio-economic expertise in CGMS members, the WMO, and in related institutions
• Identify key application areas and gather examples, case studies that illustrate benefit
• Evaluate approaches and methodologies used to: – understand the value of satellite observing systems among all observing systems; and– understand the role of satellite observing systems in the entire value chain.
• Review terminology for accuracy, consistency, and accessibility to non-technical audiences.
• Link outcome of these efforts to CGMS outreach/communication priorities
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
April 24-25 Workshop
Studies Presented• EPS Second Generation Cost benefit Analysis • European Space Policy Institute EUM-NOAA Collaboration Study • Socio-economic Benefits of Satellite Missions: The Value of Information in Life-or-Death Decisions • Cost-benefit studies for observing systems • GFCS User Case Studies: Demonstrating the Value of Satellite Data for Climate Services • Benefits of NASA Earth Science and Earth observing satellites• Working with early adopters to determine the socio-economic benefits of SMAP data • Application of Satellite Remote Sensing for Solar Energy Engineering • Economic Analysis of the Value of Earth Observation (EO) Information • NOAA's JPSS Economic Benefits Assessment
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Summary of Workshop Themes
• Context is essential! – Specific question or objective? – Resource and time constraints? – Intended audience? – Decision-making structure?
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Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Study Questions• How to optimize investment in observing systems (WIGOS)
• What is value of our investment for JPSS initially starting with value of improved NWP
• Assess benefit/cost ratio for EPS/Metop-SG in areas where quantitative assessment is possible
• Demonstrating the value of satellite data for climate services to help validate Architecture for Climate Monitoring from Space
• Possible contribution of metsats to energy savings in Japan
• What is potential impact of use of Earth observations for volcanic ash advisories
• Impact of Eart observations in Malaria Early Warning System
macro
micro
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Summary of Workshop Themes
• Context is essential! • Methods are critical
– Define the logical connection between data and the economics/decision process demonstrating the value
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Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Approaches/Methodologies
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Summary of Workshop Themes
• Context is essential! • Methods are critical • Understanding role of satellite observations in context of all
observing systems and the impact of various observing systems on NWP (OSE, FSO)
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Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
WMO Workshop on the Impact of Various Observing Systems on NWP Sedona – 22-25 May 2012
Could we use this type of FSO information to rank observing systems per dollar?
Of course we can! Simply divide the impact by the cost of running the system and come up with a third “impact per dollar” bar chart!
Forecast impact experiment from Dec. 2010 to Jan. 2011
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Summary of Workshop Themes
• Context is essential! • Methods are critical • Understanding role of satellite observations in context of all observing systems and
the impact of various observing systems on NWP • Quantitative and qualitative approaches or methodologies may
be used– Quantitative approach is more convincing, with caveats!
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Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Socio-Economic Benefits of Forecast Information - Summary
BENEFIT AREA MINIMUM LIKELYProtection of property and infrastructure
€1.3 billion/year €5.5 billion/year
Added value to the European economy €10 billion/year €41 billion/yearPrivate use by European citizens €4 billion/year €15 billion/yearTOTAL €15 billion/year €61 billion/year
ESTIMATED ANNUAL BENEFITS OF FORECAST INFORMATION TO THE EU27 ECONOMY (Excluding Safety of Life)
CREDIT: EUMETSAT
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Summary of Workshop Themes
• Context is essential! • Methods are critical • Understanding role of satellite observations in context of all observing systems and
the impact of various observing systems on NWP • Quantitative and qualitative approaches or methodologies may be used• Cost: perfect information may not be worth cost of acquisition
– CBAs are increasingly time-consuming and costly as you move down the value chain
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Summary of Workshop Themes
• Context is essential! • Methods are critical • Understanding role of satellite observations in context of all observing systems and
the impact of various observing systems on NWP • Quantitative and qualitative approaches or methodologies may be used• Cost: perfect information may not be worth cost of acquisition• Data availability
– publicly available? – commercially restricted?
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Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Causality and Benefits Chain
Identify areas on which to focus efforts
Rainfall/humidity
Soil moisture
Vegetation
Malaria reduction (e.g., spraying,
drainage, education, nets)
Reduced rate of malaria
Reduced rate of death from malaria
With Earth obs. informationresources can be targeted on high risk areas
Without Earth obs. informationResources are spread over low and high risk areas
Projected number of cases/deaths based upon historical improvement and cases/deaths before Earth obs. Info.
Without NASA Information
With NASA Information
Impacts of Earth obs
informationCompare rates and calculate impact
Number of cases/deaths after Earth obs. information used
Percent of reduction attributable to project
Expert judgment
Extrapolate to Africa
Approach:
• The analysis focused on Botswana as the Botswanan program has the best data and makes the most use of MEWS
• Rate of controlled malaria before and after the use of Earth obs. information was calculated, a “no-Earth obs” rate was developed and compared to the actual rate
Malaria Early Warning System
CREDIT:
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Summary of Workshop Themes
• Context is essential! • Methods are critical • Understanding role of satellite observations in context of all observing systems and
the impact of various observing systems on NWP • Quantitative and qualitative approaches or methodologies may be used• Cost: perfect information may not be worth cost of acquisition• Data availability • Interdisciplinary expertise required
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Interdisciplinary Expertise
Public Health Experts
Economists
Communications Experts
Statisticians
Physical Scientists & Engineers
Entomologists
NOAA, version 1, June 2014
Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Summary of Workshop Themes
• Context is essential! • Methods are critical • Understanding role of satellite observations in context of all observing systems and
the impact of various observing systems on NWP • Quantitative and qualitative approaches or methodologies may be used• Cost: perfect information may not be worth cost of acquisition• Data availability • Interdisciplinary expertise required• Operational Agencies can leverage Research Agency
perspectives/expertise
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Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Moving Forward
METSATS
IMPACTS/VALUE OF INFORMATION(Economists, Social Scientists,
Communicators)
ALL OBSERVING SYSTEMS
NASAAPP
JMA APP
…OTHERAPPS
macro
micro
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Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Moving Forward• Publish resource on CMGS SETT • Develop Macro/Micro case study • Next SETT Meeting: Workshop#2, Oct-Dec 2014, Washington DC• Identify & incorporate best practices • Develop recommendations for the future of SETT post-CGMS-43• Special SETT Event at CGMS-43, May 18-22, 2015, hosted by NOAA
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Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites - CGMS
Acknowledgement: CGMS Socioeconomic Benefits Tiger Team
Workshop Participants
Paul Counet (EUM)Molly Brown (NASA)Vanessa Escobar (NASA)John Ferguson (NOAA)Charles Wooldridge (NOAA)Yasushi Izumikawa (JMA)
