Date post: | 07-Apr-2018 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | karen-kleiss |
View: | 221 times |
Download: | 0 times |
of 31
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
1/31
PC Alberta Strategic
Update Survey
STRICTLY PRIVILEGED ANDCONFIDENTIAL
June, 2010
Prepared for:
Innovative Research Group,
Inc.www.innovativeresearch.caToronto :: Vancouver
http://www.google.ca/imgres?imgurl=http://www.calgarymackay.ca/pc-alberta-logo.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.calgarymackay.ca/&usg=__MN94oCy0QmpSRR1TJJXiEh5X7o8=&h=72&w=144&sz=2&hl=en&start=1&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=RzXKGE_D5zok1M:&tbnh=47&tbnw=94&prev=/images?q=alberta+pc+logo&um=1&hl=en&sa=G&rlz=1R2RNTN_enCA372&tbs=isch:18/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
2/31
Methodology
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
3/31
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
4/31
Albertans Values
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
5/31
Majority believe that thegovernment should create equalopportunity for people to competeIt is more important for government
Note: Blank and Refused (3%) not shown
Q
5
60
28%
10%
To create equal opportunity so that
everyone can compete on their own to be
the best they can be.
To redistribute wealth so that the poor
and disadvantaged have more than they
would if left on their own.
Don't know
j i b li h h fi
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
6/31
Majority believe that the profitsystem teaches people the value ofhard work and successDo you think the profit system
Note: Blank and Refused (3%) not shown
Q
6
26
56%
15%
Brings out the worst in human nature? Teaches people the value of hard work
and success?
Don't know
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
7/31
Three-in-four believe that Alberta hasa pressing social deficit
Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?Q
Note: Dont know/Refused not shown
7
34%
16%
13%
42%
20%
35%
4%
4%
9% 26% 14%
12%
29% 26%
We have a pressing social deficit in
Alberta that is measured by
problems such as homelessness,
waiting lists for health care and
lack of access to post-secondary
education.
It's hard for people like me to get
ahead in Alberta.
Protecting the environment is
more important than creating jobs.
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree
M j it b li th t h ld
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
8/31
Majority believe the govt shoulddecide spending based on thepublics need, not affordabilityWhich of the following statements is closest to your view? When governments make
major decisions concerning spending on programs and services, do you think they should
be basing their decisions mainly on
Q
8
26
65%
10%
Their ability to afford the programs and
services
The public's need for the programs and
services
Don't know
B 2 1 i Alb t b li
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
9/31
By a 2:1 margin, Albertans believein funding social programs overeliminating the deficitWhich statement is closest to your view?
The provincial government should increase finding for social programs such ashealth and education even if it means running a deficit
-or-The provincial government should eliminate the deficit, even if it means reducingfunding for social programs such as health and education
Q
9
Th i f b li th t l
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
10/31
Three-in-four believe that peopleshould be left alone to decide whatis right on moral issuesWhen it comes to moral issues like same sex marriage and abortion, do you think
Note: Blank and Refused (2%) not shown
Q
10
17
75%
6%
Government should legislate clear
community moral standards?
People should be left alone to decide
what is right for themselves?
Don't know
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
11/31
PC Party Brand
PC P t hi h t i
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
12/31
PC Party scores highest inquestions relating to leadership,competence and responsibilityThinking about Albertas main parties the Progressive Conservatives, the Wildrose
Alliance, the Liberals and the NDP, please tell which party is best described by each of the
following words or phrases.
Q
12
37%
33%
33%
32%
12%
11%
10%
13%
5%
6%
7%
5%
16%
10%
13%
17%
12%
18%
14%
18%
18%
17%
14%
12%
1%
1%
1%
Prepared to run the government
Competent
Strong team
Financially responsible
The PC Party The Liberal Party The NDP The Wildrose AllianceOther None/ Would not vote Undecided/DK
E t d b l lit t 13
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
13/31
Extreme used by a plurality todescribe the NDP, Wildrose
Thinking about Albertas main parties the Progressive Conservatives, the WildroseAlliance, the Liberals and the NDP, please tell which party is best described by each of the
following words or phrases.
Q
13
9% 13% 22% 9%21% 3% 18%Extreme
The PC Party The Liberal Party The NDP The Wildrose Alliance
Other None/ Would not vote Undecided/DK
St d f l I b li i
14
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
14/31
Stands for values I believe inused by plurality to describe the PCpartyThinking about Albertas main parties the Progressive Conservatives, the Wildrose
Alliance, the Liberals and the NDP, please tell which party is best described by each of the
following words or phrases.
Q
14
27% 14% 10% 10%21% 4% 12%Stands for values I believe in
The PC Party The Liberal Party The NDP The Wildrose Alliance
Other None/ Would not vote Undecided/DK
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
15/31
Leader Brand
St l h hi h t d 16
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
16/31
Stelmach scores highest on record,competence and leadership
Thinking again of the four main party leaders Ed Stelmach of the ProgressiveConservative Party, Dr. David Swann of the Liberal Party, Brian Mason of the New
Democratic Party, and Danielle Smith of the Wildrose Alliance which leader do you feel isbest described by each of the following words or phrases?
Q
16
28%
23%
21%
7%
9%
7%
6%
9%
8% 20% 14%
6%
18%
21%
9%
Proven record of
accomplishment
Competent
Strong leader
Ed Stelmach of the PC Party Dr. David Swan of the Liberal Party Brian Mason of the NDP
Danielle Smith of the Wildrose Alliance None
Note: Dont know/Refused not shown
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
17/31
18
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
18/31
Ed Stelmach is reliable
Thinking again of the four main party leaders Ed Stelmach of the ProgressiveConservative Party, Dr. David Swann of the Liberal Party, Brian Mason of the New
Democratic Party, and Danielle Smith of the Wildrose Alliance which leader do you feel isbest described by each of the following words or phrases?
Q
18
25% 7% 9% 13% 15%Reliable
Ed Stelmach of the PC Party Dr. David Swan of the Liberal Party Brian Mason of the NDP
Danielle Smith of the Wildrose Alliance None
Note: Dont know/Refused not shown
Ed Stelmach balances the interests 19
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
19/31
Ed Stelmach balances the interestsof all regions
Thinking again of the four main party leaders Ed Stelmach of the ProgressiveConservative Party, Dr. David Swann of the Liberal Party, Brian Mason of the New
Democratic Party, and Danielle Smith of the Wildrose Alliance which leader do you feel isbest described by each of the following words or phrases?
Q
19
Note: Dont know/Refused not shown
20
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
20/31
Stelmach compares positively toother leaders
Thinking again of the main party leaders ... which leader do you feel is best described byeach of the following words or phrases?
Note: Dont know/Refused not shown
Q
20
impressions while Smith Swann 21
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
21/31
impressions, while Smith, Swann,Mason stayed the same
Now, I would like to read you the names of several individuals who have been mentionedin the news recently. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that personand, if so, whether you have a favourable or unfavourable impression of that person. Ifyou do not recognize the name, just say so. Would that be stronglyfavourable/unfavourable impression or just a somewhat favourable/unfavourableimpression?
Q
Note: Dont know/Refused not shown
21
22
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
22/31
Ed Stelmach top choice for Premier
And which of the following leaders would make the best Premier of Alberta?Q
22
Note: Refused (1%) notshown
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
23/31
The Snapshot
Question
PCs have a plurality and have
24
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
24/31
PCs have a plurality, and havewidened their lead over WildroseAlliance.Now, if a provincial election were held today, which partys candidate would you vote
for in your local riding? Would it be?Q
24
Note: Refused, Would not vote (5%)not shown
Liberal candidatePC candidate NDP candidate TheWildroseAlliance
candidate
Other Undecided/DK
Almost a third of those decided and
25
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
25/31
Almost a third of those decided andleaning would vote PC
Now, if a provincial election were held today, which partys candidate would you votefor in your local riding? Would it be? [Vote + lean]
Q
25
Liberal candidatePC candidate NDPcandidat
e
TheWildroseAlliance
candidate
Other
Note: Refused, Would not vote (5%)not shown
PCs lead with 40% of decided vote
26
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
26/31
PCs lead with 40% of decided vote,opening a gap on The WildroseAllianceNow, if a provincial election were held today, which partys candidate would you vote
for in your local riding? Would it be? [Decided Vote]Q
26
Liberal candidate PC candidateNDP
candidate
TheWildroseAlliance
candidate
Other
PCs lead in Edmonton and rural; 27
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
27/31
PCs lead in Edmonton and rural;statistical tie in Calgary
Now, if a provincial election were held today, which partys candidate would you votefor in your local riding? Would it be? [Decided vote]
Q
27
Calgary
Rural
Edmonton
PCNDP
LiberalWildrose
PC voters vs Wildrose voters (June 28
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
28/31
PC voters vs. Wildrose voters (June& Oct. 2010):Really not all that different
28
25% 25%
PC Wildrose
Attend church at least once aweek
Believe govt should be doing more or at least the same
to protect free, high quality healthcare.
82%67%
PC Wildrose
Agree that the profit system teaches peoplethe value of hard work and success
63% 63%
PC Wildrose
Believe govt should be doing more or at least the sameto reduce GHGs.
84%68%
PC Wildrose
29
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
29/31
Key Findings Summary
PC brand strengths are leadership, competence,
team, responsibility.
Premier Stelmachs brand strengths areaccomplishment, competence and leadership.
Also cares about voters, balances regional interestsand is reliable.
Wildrose supporters similar to PC voters in attitudes,demographics, and position on issues.
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
30/31
Key Findings Summary
The PC party has improved its position since
June Decided vote lead doubles from 7 to 14 points
Gains in Edmonton and Calgary stable in rural
Underlying party numbers also show improvements
The Premier has improved his standing sinceJune
Best Premier - leading by 8
Favourables up 6 and unfavourables down 9
Underlying numbers all show similar gains
31
8/6/2019 Progressive Conservative Poll, October 2010Convention Presentation October 2010
31/31
Contact Information
Vancouver Office1055 West Hastings3rd FloorVancouver BC | V6E 2E9
Toronto Office350 Bay Street3rd FloorToronto ON | M5H 2S6
Innovative Research Group, Inc.| www.innovativeresearch.ca
Managing Director
Direct: 416-642-6429
Email:
glyle@innovativeresearch.
ca
Greg Lyle