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PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

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PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007
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Page 1: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND

Malcolm MacourtCCSR 3rd April 2007

Page 2: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND

COUNTING THE PEOPLE OF GOD?

A question in the Census since 1861 Exploring the meanings of ‘religious

profession’ used by respondents to the Census over 150 years

Using census sources, a study of the causes of change in the Church of Ireland population since 1861

Page 3: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND

Reviewing the development of the Censuses, North and South

670,000 in 1861 – now 360,000 Increasing % in the North until

1951, then decline getting faster Steady % in the South until 1911,

then fast decline, then increase

Page 4: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND

MEASURING NEW SOCIAL PHENOMENA IN THE CENSUS:

The ‘New Irish’ and religion – a case study

[only the Republic of Ireland]

Page 5: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDpopulation history since 1926

Slow decline until the 1960s 2.8m Stop-start increase until mid 1990s The ‘Celtic Tiger’ economy 1996-2002: inward migration

250,000 [apparent slow-down since 2004]

4.3m

Page 6: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’

Who are the ‘New Irish’? religion? nationality? country of birth? immediate past residence? ?? Ethnicity ??

Page 7: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’: Religion

What is your religion? 1. Roman Catholic 2. Church of Ireland 3. Presbyterian 4. Methodist 5. Islam 6. Other, write in your RELIGION

Page 8: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’: Place of Birth

What is your place of birth? Give the place where your

mother lived at the time of your birth

…… If elsewhere ABROAD, write in

the COUNTRY.

Page 9: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’: When? Have you lived outside the Republic

of Ireland for a continuous period of one year or more?

If YES: Write in the YEAR of last taking up

residence in the Republic of Ireland AND the country of last previous

residence

Page 10: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’: Nationality

What is your Nationality? If you have more than one

nationality, please declare all of them

1. Irish 2. Other NATIONALITY, write in … 3. No nationality

Page 11: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND2002 CENSUS Population: de jure and de facto Those temporarily in the state – e.g.

tourists and business people – 58,708 in 2002

13 themed volumes: Volume 4: Usual Residence,

Migration, Birthplaces and Nationalities

Volume 12: Religion

Page 12: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND The ‘New Irish’ 1 table religion (10 categories) by

nationality (9 categories) 1 table nationality (17) by birth country

(12) 1 table birth country (8) by religion (10) usual residence one year previously

outside the State: 1 table born in Republic or elsewhere by former

country of usual residence (25 categories) 1 table Irish nationality or other nationality by

former country of usual residence (25 categories)

Page 13: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’ : SAR

2002 5% SAR 29 variables [also 2002 15% Place of Work SAR] Geography: county AND urban/rural Religion:

Roman Catholic (88½%), Church of Ireland (3%), Other Stated Religions (3%), None (3½%), Not Stated (2%)

Page 14: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’ : SAR

Birthplace and previous residence: NI, GB, EU-13, USA, others

Nationality: Irish/not Irish Year of (last) moving to

Republic: <51, 51-60, 61-70, 71-80, 81-90, 91-95, 96-02

Page 15: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’ : ‘SAPS’ Small Area Population Statistics 1161 items on each Electoral Division 3400 Electoral Divisions [pop 3.9m ‘02] Wildly different sizes: most 300–1000 in

rural areas; 3,000-10,000 urban areas Nothing at all on ‘When?’ Limited range of responses included

Page 16: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’ : ‘SAPS’ Religion: Roman Catholic (88½

%); All other stated religions (6%); None (3½%); not stated (2%)

Nationality: Irish (including dual nationality); British; Other

Birth country: Republic; UK; elsewhere

Page 17: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDresults in published volumes

R C C of I Pres Meth

Orth ‘Ch’ Islam OSR None NS

Irish 3314899

83488 12840

4698 1166 13802 5123 18392 88293 42274

Non-Irish 224261 24891 5606 4039 7830 6389 12592 17597 39069 8910

British 52588 19927

3396 1841

104 1488 473 3950 17304 2405

EU-13 14396 1615 314 88 263 375 240 2739 8238 1692

E European

7258 367 161 61 6797 698 1598 1784 2908 1473

African 5031 1336 955 1554

103 2752 4310 3114 717 1109

Asian 4363 229 94 161 298 356 5472 4170 5611 1025

American 9934 572 313 190 48 464 96 1189 1837 740

Other 3768 845 373 144 217 256 403 651 2454 466

Not Stated

23456 776 122 61 159 157 264 262 685 23317

Page 18: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDresults from published volumes 54% of Muslims had African or Asian

nationalities 20% of Methodists and 15% of

‘Christians’ had African nationalities 75% of (eastern) Orthodox (Christians)

had eastern European nationalities 25% of those with African nationalities

were Roman Catholic 25% of those with Asian nationalities

declared that they had no religion

Page 19: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDresults from published volumes

20,977 born in the USA – but 11,135 with United States (only) nationality

Born in Nigeria 8,893; in China (inc HK) 7,163; South Africa 6,137; Australia 5,947; Romania 5,765; Philippines 3,927; Pakistan 3,322; India 3,311

[2006: Poland 63,100, Lithuania 24,800]

Page 20: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDresults from published volumes

UK nationals constituted: a little over half of those Roman

Catholics who were not Irish 80% of those reported as Church of

Ireland who were not Irish Half of all UK nationals were Roman

Catholics; 20% were reported as Church of Ireland; 15% had no religion

Page 21: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND5% SAR: Migrated from USA and RC

5%SAR Birth place Nati onal ityYear migrated

Republic USA UK Other Total Irish Non-Irish

NS

<1991 776 199 40 9 1024 943 77 4

91-02 968 318 94 25 1405 1183 223 9

Not Stated

45 20 3 0 68 55 13 0

Total 1789 537 137 34 2497 2181 303 13

Page 22: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND5% SAR: Migrated from GB and CofI

5% SAR Birth place Natio nality

Year migrated

Republic UK Other Total Irish Non-Irish

<1991 119 222 18 359 158 201

91-02 89 514 35 638 105 533

NotStated

5 26 1 32 6 26

Total 213 762 55 1030 269 760

Page 23: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDSAPS: 3 small towns in the west

TOWN Resident population

Born outside

Isles

Other stated religions

Religion Not stated

Ballyhaunis 2122 273 225 27

Gort 1762 149 12 156

Roscommon 5253 368 154 33

Page 24: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDSAPS: dormitory suburb LUCAN

Ward of LUCAN

Resident population

Born outside

Isles

Other stated religions

No religion

Lucan-Esker 20557 2096 1850 1124

Lucan-

St. Helens

7045 338 308 338

Lucan Heights 5719 239 262 239

Lucan North 338 17 21 17

Page 25: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’

Dramatic reduction in ‘asylum seekers’:

Principle of ‘safe country of origin’ incorporated into the State’s immigration laws in 2003

Automatic citizenship for those born in Ireland stopped by referendum decision in 2004

Page 26: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’

What would provide a coherent description of the ‘New Irish’ from a coherent Census?

Could additional questions be used to identify relevant information?

Page 27: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND

Can new information be provided in a form which does NOT:

threaten the integrity of the Census

endanger the response rate endanger the lives and

livelihoods of immigrants

Page 28: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDThe ‘New Irish’

New question in the CENSUS held in APRIL 2006

What is your ethnic or cultural background?

Choose one section from A to D, then tick the appropriate box

Page 29: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDEthnic or cultural background A: White 1. Irish 2. Irish Traveller

3. Any other White background B: Black or Black Irish 4. African

5. Any other Black background C: Asian or Asian Irish 6. Chinese

7. Any other Asian background D: Other, including mixed

background 8. Other, write in description…

Page 30: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

CENSUS RELIGION IRELANDpublished 29th March 2007

White: Irish 3,645.2 87.4%

White: Irish Traveller 22.4 0.5%

Any other White background 289.0 6.9%

Black or Black Irish: African 40.5 1.0%

Any other Black background 3.8 0.1%

Asian or Asian Irish: Chinese 16.5 0.4%

Any other Asian background 35.8 0.9%

Other including mixed background 46.4 1.1%

Not Stated 72.3 1.7%

Total 4,172.0 100.0%

Page 31: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND

To what extent should a conventional Census of Population provide detailed evidence on a new social phenomenon?

Page 32: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND

Should questions in a national census be devised to address proximal social questions? OR

Should a census be a bench-marking tool, asking long-tested questions?

Page 33: PROJECT: CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND Malcolm Macourt CCSR 3 rd April 2007.

PROJECT:CENSUS RELIGION IRELAND In publishing Census data where

should the balance be struck between: Individual and family privacy

AND Society’s need to have reliable

evidence through which social needs may be addressed


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