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Project on Greenhouse Gases

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    2012

    INDIAN INSTITUTE OFTECHNOLOGY

    Greenhouse Gases

    A

    GROUP NAME: -

    1) RUSHIL NAGDA

    2) HARSH ANURAG

    3) RISHIKA SINHA

    4) KAPIL GAUTAM

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    INTRODUCTIONGreenhouse Gases

    The greenhouse effect

    The greenhouse effect is a key component of the climate system

    Human activity, the main cause of rising atmospheric concentrations o

    greenhouse gases

    Currently, human activity is responsible for about 30 Gt/year of

    CO2-equivalent emissions some from agriculture, livestock, and

    deforestation, but most from the combustion of fossil fuels. The

    planets capacity to absorb those emissions appears limited to about

    half of the total quantity, absorbed mainly by the oceans. Although the

    surplus emissions account for a mere 2% of the exchanges that take

    place between atmosphere, oceans and plants, the gases build up in

    the atmosphere, where they may remain for several decades and in

    some cases, even centuries.

    The Earths surface absorbs approximately 50% of the radiant energy

    emitted by the Sun, then reflects that energy in the form of heat

    infrared radiation a portion of which is absorbed by the clouds and

    certain atmospheric gases. Together, clouds and gases act as a lid

    that re-emits the thermal energy back toward the Earth, heating the

    lower atmosphere. Although it involves a mere 1% of atmospheric

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    gases (by mass), this process (known as the greenhouse effect)

    ensures that the temperature at the Earths surface is held relatively

    stable at a level necessary to the presence of water in the liquid state:

    15C (rather than -18C). Keeping it in balance is therefore vital. In

    terms of quantity, water vapor is the most prevalent greenhouse gas

    (GHG) and is responsible for nearly 60% of the greenhouse effect.

    Other gases present in the atmosphere in trace quantities play an

    important role because of the intensity of their greenhouse effect. This

    is especially true of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous

    oxide (N2O), but ozone (O3) and man-made gases such as fluorinated

    hydrocarbons (CFC, HFC) also play a part. The greater the gass

    tendency to absorb infrared radiation and the longer its residence time

    in the atmosphere, the more it contributes to the greenhouse effect.

    For example, the global warming potential of methane is twenty-one

    times greater than that of carbon dioxide

    .

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    Human activity, the main cause of rising atmospheric

    concentrations of greenhouse gases

    Currently, human activity is responsible for about 30 Gt/year of CO 2-

    equivalent emissions some from agriculture, livestock, and

    deforestation, but most from the combustion of fossil fuels. The

    planets capacity to absorb those emissions appears limited to about

    half of the total quantity, absorbed mainly by the oceans. Although the

    surplus emissions account for a mere 2% of the exchanges that take

    place between atmosphere, oceans and plants, the gases build up in

    the atmosphere, where they may remain for several decades and in

    some cases, even centuries.

    Emissions from human activity are very probably the cause of

    observable manifestations of climate change, and have the potential to

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    create long-term climate disruption1. Due to worldwide economic

    growth, particularly in newly industrialized countries, greenhouse gas

    emissions could rise by nearly 50% by 2030. Estimates indicate that

    the emissions from developing countries, primarily China and India,

    will soon exceed those of Europe and North America. It is therefore

    imperative to find ways to unbundled economic growth from

    greenhouse gas emissions, in both developing and OECD countries.

    But revamping our energy infrastructure will take several decades

    which means now is the time to act.

    Climate change

    Atmospheric concentrations of GHG are rising steadily

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    Observations show that the atmospheric concentration of CO2 has

    risen from an average 280 ppm (parts per million) over the last

    century to 380 ppm in 2006 (in other words, 380 molecules of CO2 for

    every million molecules of air), and continues to rise by 1 to 3 ppm per

    year. For many scientists, the fact that such a rate of increase is

    unparalleled in the last 650,000 years no longer leaves any room for

    doubt as to the essentially man-made causes of the increase.

    Meanwhile, records show that the average global temperature has

    risen by about 0.8C since 1850.

    Of course, the Earth has undergone climate change of much greater

    magnitude at other times in its history, but such changes always

    occurred over a longer time span. Indeed, for the past 12,000 years,

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    the Earths climate has been remarkably stable, a factor that helped

    human societies to emerge and flourish. The rate and accelerating

    pace of current changes thus appear to be without precedent.

    CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS POTENTIAL IMPACTS

    There is broad consensus within the scientific community that human

    activity is changing the Earths climate through increasing

    concentrations of greenhouse gases primarily carbon dioxide (CO2),

    methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs)

    in the atmosphere.

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    Greenhouse gases are a key element of the earths atmosphere

    because they trap energy from the sun, creating a natural

    greenhouse effect, as seen above in Figure 1 Without this effect,

    temperatures would be much lower than they are now, and life as

    known today would not be possible. This natural balance o

    greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, however, is being disturbed by

    human activities such as industrial processes, fossil fuel combustion,

    and changes in land useactions that release large amounts of certain

    greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. This increase in greenhouse

    gas concentration traps additional energy in the lower atmosphere,

    thus warming it beyond its normal temperature.

    Industrial activity has contributed to a 30 percent increase in the

    global CO2 level since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution

    through the combustion of fossil fuels for energy. Other anthropogenic

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    contributions of greenhouse gases include the clearing of forests for

    development

    decomposition

    and

    of

    agriculture,

    solid

    methane

    and

    production

    the

    from the

    ofwaste, manufacturing

    chlorofluorocarbons. The term global climate change refers to the

    destabilizing impact on climate and weather patterns that result from

    continuous addition of these gases, the resultant increase in heat

    energy in the earths atmosphere, and the associated changes that

    follow.

    Even small changes in the average temperatures can be accompanied

    by an increase in severe weather events such as storms and droughts,

    ecosystem change, loss of animal and plant species, stresses to

    human health, and alterations in regional agricultural productivity.

    Figures 2 and 3 illustrate the correlation between increased

    atmospheric CO2 concentrations and global average temperature since

    1860.

    Although climate change is a global issue, the effects of rapidly rising

    temperatures will be felt in every local community. Average

    temperatures in New York State are projected to increase by between

    2F and 8F by 2100, with the largest increases in the coastal regions

    such as New York City.4 Average precipitation is also expected to rise

    by 10 to 20 percent, with extreme wet and snowy days becoming

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    more frequent.5 Intense weather trends will be felt on the opposite

    end of the temperature spectrum, as the occurrence of summer days

    with temperatures above 90F are expected to multiply from 14 days

    in 1997-1998 to 40-89 days by the 2080s.6 Climate change will impact

    human health, coastal areas, water supplies, agriculture, ecosystems,

    demand for energy, and infrastructure. The potential impacts of

    climate change to New York City are summarized as follows:

    Public Health and Air Quality

    Higher temperatures and increased frequency of heat waves may

    increase the number of heat-related deaths and the incidence o

    heat-related illnesses, particularly among the elderly and poor.

    Higher temperatures may expand the habitat and infectivity of

    disease-carrying insects (mosquitoes and ticks), increasing the

    risk to humans.

    As a heavily populated urban area, New York City is particularly

    vulnerable to the effects of ground-level ozone, a major

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    precursor to smog. Ozone is produced when higher temperatures

    and strong sunlight react with hydrocarbons and nitrogen oxides

    (NOx), worsening air pollution and potentially exacerbating

    respiratory illnesses such as asthma.

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    Even as it pursues the growth of its activities,

    Total is determined to contribute to the global

    drive to combat climate change. The Group

    situates its efforts for the long term within the

    spirit of the Kyoto Protocol and will pursue

    actions already undertaken to meet its

    voluntary goals for controlling its greenhouse

    gas emissions.

    Total made a commitment to control its GHG emissions and has taken

    numerous initiatives to bring it closer to this goal. These initiatives

    focus on four objectives:

    Improving the reliability of emissions data in terms of inventory,

    reporting and external verification;

    Controlling the GHG emissions generated by Group facilities;

    Enhancing the energy efficiency of Total products and processes

    through:- programs to improve energy efficiency3 in the various

    branches of the Group, - actions offering broad scope for

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    improvement, such as stepping up the efforts of the Exploration &

    Production branch to reduce the flaring4 of associated gases at all

    operated sites by 50% by 2012; - products that emit less greenhouse

    gas over their life cycle (new motor fuels such as Excellium, energy-

    efficient lubricants and engineered materials) and innovative services

    to curb energy consumption (e.g., the Solutions Eco-Dclic

    energy-saving offering by Totalgaz);

    Preparing the future of energy (see opposite). Total is also involved in

    the efforts of the international scientific community to gain better

    understanding of climate change phenomena. In particular, the Group

    is backing the expedition to the North Pole by the Total Pole Airship to

    be led by Jean-Louis Etienne in spring 2008. The measurements of the

    Arctic ice pack to be taken during the mission will provide a new

    benchmark, to be used in future assessments of the climate impact of

    human activities.

    European carbon market

    The first phase of the system applies to 39 of the Groups industrial

    sites. In organizational terms, each branch has one or more industrial

    counters that coordinate the operational aspects related to the

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    obligations of each entity and assess their options in the event of

    emissions surpluses or shortfalls compared to allocated quotas. A

    trading entity at Group level acts as an expert with respect to the

    trading system, while a coordination committee optimizes the

    management of the system as a whole.

    Participation in the definition of voluntary

    agreements in France and the European Union

    As a member of Aeres, an association of businesses working to reduce

    the greenhouse effect, Totals Refining and Chemicals branches as well

    as 34 other companies took part in the development of the French

    system of voluntary commitments to curb GHG emissions. The

    companies voluntary commitments are confined to installations in

    France and target the six greenhouse gases covered by the Kyoto

    Protocol for the period 2003-2007 (compared to the reference year,

    1990).

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    Clean Development Mechanism

    The Groups projects in non-OECD countries incorporate the

    Clean Development Mechanism.

    Participation in future energy transitions

    To prepare the longer-term energy future, Total is developing research

    programs that focus on new industrial equipment and processes

    characterized by lower emissions. It is also working to develop

    renewable energies (essentially biomass energy and solar power) and

    hydrogen/fuel-cell technology5. Finally, Total contributes actively to

    the emergence of other new technologies such as CO2 capture and

    geological storage6, particularly through its key role in developing a

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    demonstration pilot for an integrated CO2 capture and storage

    installation in the Lacq region (France).

    The Kyoto mechanisms

    The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

    (UNFCCC) and the ensuing Kyoto Protocol form the international legal

    framework and first steps toward addressing the long-term problem of

    climate change. The Protocol lays down greenhouse gas emissions

    reduction targets for the period 2008-2012, applicable only to

    industrialized countries, and sets out so-called flexibility mechanisms

    for attaining those objectives, with rules for monitoring.

    To meet those goals, the Protocol thus provides three mechanisms to

    be implemented in addition to measures at the national level:

    Emissions trading among signatory parties

    Clean development mechanisms (CDM) between industrialized

    Countries (so-called Annex 1 Parties) and non-Annex 1 Parties,

    to promote the transfer of the most effective emissions reduction

    technologies in line with sustainable development

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    Joint implementation projects (JI) among Annex 1 Parties.

    The first international carbon emissions market

    The European Union Emission Trading Scheme, which creates a market

    for the CO2 emissions quotas allocated to industrial sectors relevant to

    the major emitters, has been in operation since January 1, 2005

    (Directive 2003/87/EC). The Scheme helps the EU control its emissions

    in order get a head start on its targets under the Kyoto Protocol for

    2008-2012. The initial phase of implementation of the ETS thus covers

    a three-year period from 2005 to 2007 and concerns only those CO2

    emissions from a limited number of industrial sectors in EU-27,

    representing a total of about 11,500 installations. Each Member State

    issues an allowance to emit CO2 and allocates a certain number of

    emissions quotas (EUAs) to individual industrial installations. Each

    year, the operator of each installation must return the number of

    quotas that corresponds to the reported and verified emissions from

    his installation.

    The allocated quantities of CO2 are capped and published in the

    National Allocation Plans. Enterprises may choose to invest in

    emissions-reduction technologies and actions, or purchase any missing

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    quotas on the market, at market price. To ensure the reliability of the

    system, the European Commission has adopted:

    GHG emissions Monitoring, Reporting and Verification (MRV)

    guidelines involving third-party verifications of the emissions

    reported by each installation,

    Rules for harmonized EU-wide implementation of the national

    registries for recording the issuance, transfer and return of

    quotas. A harmonization and an extension of the scope of

    application are planned for the second period (2008-2012).

    Kyoto Protocol Ratification status

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    The significance of climate change

    Today, the entire scientific community agrees that climate change,

    particularly the rise in global temperatures observed since 1850, is

    primarily related to human activity. Naturally, uncertainties remain,

    and todays models, despite their increasing sophistication, have not

    yet provided a full explanation for natural fluctuations over brief time

    spans (from a decade to a century), or for the complex linkages

    between cloud cover and aerosols.

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    Similarly, it is still difficult to predict future climate changes because of

    the extreme complexity, and insufficient understanding, of the

    mechanisms of climate regulation (such as ocean absorption of CO2,

    the impact of aerosols, etc.). However, the development of more

    sophisticated models and more powerful computers, coupled with a

    growing number of simulation studies, are shedding more light on the

    range of possible scenarios and the impacts of climate phenomena on

    a more regional scale.

    Foreseeable consequences of global warming

    The Earth could warm by as much as 1.1 to 6.4C by 2100, as sea

    levels rise by 18 to 59 centimeters2. The rise in temperature is likely

    to trigger more marked hydrological contrasts more acute droughts

    and more severe flood events.

    Ultimately, the very stability of the climate system could be

    jeopardized. Climate changes manifest at the regional level would

    have varying social and ecological consequences depending on the

    geographical location and adaptive capacity of the region.

    CONCLUSION

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