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Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: RES12285 RESTRUCTURING PAPER ON A PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING OF THE ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON THE COASTAL WETLANDS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO PROJECT (P100438) GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY TRUST FUND GRANT FROM THE SPECIAL CLIMATE CHANGE FUND (SCCF) (TF 96681) MAY 11, 2011 TO THE UNITED MEXICAN STATES OCTOBER 13, 2015 Mexico and Colombia Country Management Unit Latin America and the Caribbean Region Environment and Natural Resources Global Practice This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized
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Page 1: PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING OF THE ADAPTATION TO ...€¦ · (Instituto Nacional de Ecología y Cambio Climático) NAFIN National Development Banking Institution (Nacional Financiera)

Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Report No: RES12285

RESTRUCTURING PAPER

ON A

PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING

OF

THE ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON THE COASTAL WETLANDS

IN THE GULF OF MEXICO PROJECT (P100438)

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY TRUST FUND GRANT FROM THE SPECIAL

CLIMATE CHANGE FUND (SCCF) (TF 96681)

MAY 11, 2011

TO THE

UNITED MEXICAN STATES

OCTOBER 13, 2015

Mexico and Colombia Country Management Unit

Latin America and the Caribbean Region

Environment and Natural Resources Global Practice

This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the

performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without

World Bank authorization.

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ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

ANP Natural Protected Area

(Área Natural Protegida)

CONAGUA National Water Commission

(Comisión Nacional del Agua)

CONANP National Commission of Protected Areas

(Comisión Nacional de Áreas Naturales Protegidas)

GEF Global Environment Facility

GEO Global Environmental Objectives

GoM Government of Mexico

(Gobierno de México)

IMTA Mexican Institute of Water Technology

(Instituto Mexicano de Tecnología del Agua)

INECC National Institute of Ecology and Climate Change

(Instituto Nacional de Ecología y Cambio Climático)

NAFIN National Development Banking Institution

(Nacional Financiera)

PDO Project Development Objectives

SHCP Minister of Finance and Public Credit

(Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público)

SSCF Special Climate Change Fund

UNAM National Autonomous Mexican University

(Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

Regional Vice President: Jorge Familiar

Country Director: Gerardo M. Corrochano

Senior Global Practice Director:

Practice Manager:

Paula Caballero

Raúl Ivan Alfaro Pelico

Task Team Leader: Renán A. Poveda

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DATA SHEET

Mexico

Adaptation to Climate Change Impacts on the Coastal Wetlands in the Gulf of Mexico (P100438)

LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN

Environment and Natural Resources

Report No: RES12285

Basic Information

Project ID: P100438 Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan

Regional Vice President: Jorge Familiar Original EA Category: Partial Assessment (B)

Country Director: Gerardo M. Corrochano Current EA Category: Partial Assessment (B)

Senior Global Practice

Director: Paula Caballero Original Approval Date: 23-Nov-2010

Practice

Manager/Manager: Raul Ivan Alfaro Pelico Current Closing Date: 31-Oct-2015

Team Leader(s): Renan A. Poveda

Borrower: United Mexican States

Responsible

Agency: Ecology and Climate Change National Institute - INECC

Restructuring Type

Form Type: Short Form Decision Authority: Country Director Approval

Restructuring

Level:

Level 2

Financing ( as of 1-Oct-2015 )

Key Dates

Project Ln/Cr/TF Status Approval

Date Signing Date

Effectiveness

Date

Original

Closing Date

Revised

Closing Date

P100438 TF-96681 Effective 10-May-2011 11-May-2011 07-Oct-2011 31-Oct-2015 31-Oct-2016

Disbursements (in Millions)

Project Ln/Cr/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed %

Disbursed

P100438 TF-96681 Effective USD 4.50 4.50 0.00 2.40 2.10 53

Policy Waivers

Does the project depart from the CAS/CPF in content or in other significant

respects? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

Does the project require any policy waiver(s)? Yes [ ] No [ X ]

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A. Summary of Proposed Changes

This Restructuring Paper reflects the Government of Mexico (GoM) proposed changes to the Adaptation to

Climate Change Impacts on the Coastal Wetlands in the Gulf of Mexico Project (TF 96681, P100438),

financed through a Global Environmental Facility (GEF) grant. GoM’s request seeks to reflect the

following key modifications: (i) withdraw all activities and implementation arrangements associated to the

pilot site in Tamaulipas; (ii) reallocate grant proceeds in order to make use of the released funds from the

Tamaulipas pilot and enable remaining Project activities to be finalized; (iii) adjust the Project counterpart

from INE to INECC and modify the implementation arrangements accordingly; (iv) modify the definition

of operational cost and add training and workshops as an eligible expenditure in order to broaden eligible

expenses under this grant; (v) modify the definition of the proposed activities related to the pilot sites in

Laguna de Alvarado (Veracruz), and in the Sistema Lagunar Carmen-Pajonal-Machona (Tabasco); (vi)

adjust Project indicators in order to better reflect and measure the achievement of the Project’s

Development Objective (PDO) and Intermediate Results; and (vii) extend the closing date of the Project

for one additional year (October 31, 2016), in order to undertake key pending activities and attain the

Project’s Development Objectives (PDO) and the Global Environmental Objective (GEO). No changes

will be made to the PDO or safeguards arrangements.

B. Project Status

The Project was approved by the World Bank Board on November 23, 2010 and became effective on

October 7, 2011. The closing date is October 31, 2015. The $4.5 million grant has disbursed 53.3 percent

of its total amount, from a 15.3 percent in December 2014. The recent improvements in implementation

and disbursements have led to a Moderately Satisfactory upgrade of the “Progress towards achievement of

PDO” and “Overall Implementation Progress”.

Cumulative delays have been a result of several factors including: (i) the sequencing structure of Project

design which required that complex key studies be developed for the design of pilot activities

(reforestation, infrastructure works, land management plans, etc.) prior to the implementation of specific

investments; (ii) complex institutional arrangements agreed during negotiations which involve a number of

agencies with multiple responsibilities in the technical, administrative and decision making process

(including INECC, IMTA, NAFIN, CONANP, CONAGUA, and SHCP); (iii) changes within INECC’s

team composition which led to new institutional priorities and a revision of the work done so far and to a

new focus in terms of the studies and investments done; (iv) the cumbersome and long procurement

processes; and (v) weak teams at INECC and IMTA.

Most of the issues raised above, however, have been addressed through the following actions, which have

resulted in the recent notable progress in Project implementation: (i) a more agile and functioning

implementation system between INECC, IMTA and NAFIN (which have led to key agreements on how to

reduce the cumbersome lengthy process for issuing contracts from 9 to 6 months); (ii) periodic meetings

among the key agencies and the Bank in order to identify bottlenecks, mitigation measures and monitor

progress in implementation; (iii) adoption of a scheme of small scale adaptation measures which do not

require as a precondition the conclusions of complex key studies; and (iv) increased technical and

administrative capacity within the teams of both INECC and IMTA.

Progress in Project implementation has also been a result of a notable involvement and commitment from

all key government agencies, including from the Secretary of Finance (SHCP). Key staff has been

appointed and regular staff from INECC have been increasingly involved in the supervision and

implementation of the Project. INECC, NAFIN and SHCP have stated that this Project is a top priority for

the country, and that it is currently the only operation addressing adaptation efforts to the effects of climate

change. Counterpart funding in terms ($1.8 million from Japanese and US sources) allocated for technical

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assistance, have been delivered.

Among the activities financed so far by the Project are: (i) Hydraulic models of data with climate

variables and scenarios for the pilot watersheds; (ii) Reports on lost temporal and spatial data in the pilot

watersheds; (iii) Geo-referencing of the climate station network in the pilot watersheds; (iv) Acquisition of

mareographs (tide-gages to be installed by UNAM); (v) development of management plans for wild life

conservation units (incorporating adaptation measures); (vi) design of small scale adaptation measures for

Veracruz and Tabasco; (vii) delivery of technical workshops; (viii) development of Ecological Land Zone

Planning for the pilots in Veracruz and Tabasco, and (ix) repopulation of Sian Ka’an’s coastal reefs.

C. Proposed Changes

Financing

Change in Loan Closing Date(s):

Explanation

Beyond the administrative delays encountered in processing contracts and the acquisition of goods, the

implementation of key activities (namely subprojects) has had encountered delays in implementation due

to atypical weather events in pilot sites. Based on the above, GoM has requested that the closing date of

the Project be extended for an additional twelve months until October 31, 2016. This is the first extension

requested for this Project and would allow the completion of eleven activities currently under

implementation which are at risk of not been able to finalize key outputs by Project closing, and processing

seven new strategic contracts (many that are under review by SHCP) which under the current schedule will

not able to be launched. Both the Bank and GoM agree that not completing these activities would put in

jeopardy the achievement of the PDO, the GEO and would hinder the ability to replicate key lessons and

activities of the Project.

In addition, granting an extension to the closing date would enable the development of the following

activities: (i) the systematization and dissemination of the material related to results, lessons learned and

findings developed through the Project (including disseminating the Project’s achievements to the 3 levels

of government strengthening the sustainability and replicability of the adaptation measures; (ii) assessing

and monitoring the evolution of the adaptation measures that have been concluded (or are close to

concluding) enhancing the knowledge base at INECC, IMTA and participating entities; (iii) delivering

training and workshops in participating communities to foster the ownership and maintenance of their

adaptation measures to promote its sustainability, but also in selected sites to encourage the expansion and

replicability of adaptation measures; (iv) development and implementation of a communications strategy to

broadly present the outcomes of the Project; and (v) undertake a review process of the key adaptation

studies and develop a strategy for its eventual implementation.

A work plan has been prepared and agreed among all counterparts for the implementation of the proposed

changes through the period remaining in the Project, and until October 2016, assuming the extension to the

closing date is granted. The work plan, has been reviewed and found to be acceptable by the Bank. The

work plan and disbursement projections focus on the fulfillment of key contracts by agreed dates and is

already is on track since 82 percent of key contracts of the Project are either completed or under

implementation. An assessment of the fulfillment of the revised Project indicators has been undertaken.

Ln/Cr/TF Status Original Closing

Date

Current Closing

Date

Proposed Closing

Date

Previous Closing

Date(s)

TF-96681 Effective 31-Oct-2015 31-Oct-2015 31-Oct-2016

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Reallocations

Explanation

The proposed reallocation of grant proceeds reflects the withdrawal of the Tamaulipas pilot site, the

liberation of the respective budget, and a redistribution of resources among tasks according to Project

demands (namely to finance activities under component 2).

Ln/Cr/TF Currency Current Category of

Expenditure Allocation

Disbursement % (Type

Total)

Current Proposed Current Proposed

TF-96681 USD GO,CW,CS,Non-CS,OP

under Pt.1 744,400.00 673,600.00 100.00 100.00

GO,CW,CS,Non-CS,OP

under Pt.2(a) 900,000.00 0.00 100.00 100.00

GO,CW,CS,Non-CS,OP

under Pt.2(b) 730,000.00 1,130,000.00 100.00 100.00

GO,CW,CS,Non-CS,OP

under Pt.2(c) 785,000.00 1,236,000.00 100.00 100.00

GO,CW,CS,Non-CS,OP

under Pt.2(d) 541,200.00 711,000.00 100.00 100.00

GO,CW,CS,Non-CS,OP

under Pt.3 500,000.00 500,000.00 100.00 100.00

GO,CW,CS,Non-CS,OP

under Pt.4 299,400.00 249,400.00 100.00 100.00

Designated Account 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total: 4,500,000.00 4,500,000.00

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ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON THE COASTAL WETLANDS

IN THE GULF OF MEXICO PROJECT

CONTENTS

Page

DATA SHEET ...............................................................................................................................3

A. SUMMARY ............................................................................................................................8

B. PROJECT BACKGROUND ................................................................................................8

C. PROJECT STATUS ..............................................................................................................9

D. PROPOSED MODIFICATIONS .......................................................................................11

ANNEX 1: REALLOCATION OF GRANT PROCEEDS ......................................................14

ANNEX 2: MONITORING ADJUSTMENT TO PROJECT INDICATORS .......................15

ANNEX 3: UPDATED RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING ..........................19

ANNEX 4: WORK PLAN ..........................................................................................................30

ANNEX 5: DISBURSEMENT PROJECTIONS ......................................................................39

ANNEX 6: FULFILLMENT OF REVISED PROJECT INDICATORS ...............................40

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ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON THE COASTAL WETLANDS IN

THE GULF OF MEXICO PROJECT

RESTRUCTURING PAPER

A. SUMMARY

1. This Restructuring Paper reflects the Government of Mexico (GoM) proposed changes to the

Adaptation to Climate Change Impacts on the Coastal Wetlands in the Gulf of Mexico Project

(TF96681, P100438), financed through a Global Environmental Facility (GEF) grant. GoM’s

request seeks to reflect the following key modifications: (i) withdraw activities and implementation

arrangements associated to the pilot site in Tamaulipas; (ii) reallocate grant proceeds in order to

make use of the released funds from the Tamaulipas pilot and enable remaining Project activities to

be finalized; (iii) adjust the project counterpart from INE to INECC and modify the implementation

arrangements accordingly; (iv) modify the definition of operational costs and add training and

workshops as an eligible expenditure in order to broaden eligible expenses under this grant; (v)

modify the definition of the proposed activities related to the pilot sites in Laguna de Alvarado

(Veracruz), and in the Sistema Lagunar Carmen-Pajonal-Machona (Tabasco); (vi) adjust Project

indicators in order to better reflect and measure the achievement of the Project’s Development

Objective (PDO) and Intermediate Results; and (vii) extend the closing date of the Project for one

additional year to October 31, 2016, in order to undertake key pending activities, and achieve the

Project’s Development Objectives (PDO) and the Global Environmental Objective (GEO). No

changes will be made to the PDO or safeguards arrangements.

2. Project performance has greatly improved in recent months after it has suffered a slow rate in

implementation and disbursements in the past years. This improvement is namely due to the recent

adoption of small scale adaptation measures to be implemented in the pilot sites, which do not

require the conclusion of the key studies (which suffered delays in the contracting process), but

which have facilitated overall disbursements. As of today, the US$4.5 million grant has disbursed

53 percent of its total amount. Furthermore, there has been a commitment from the key

government agencies to move forward Project implementation, in spite of institutional challenges

dating from Project design. The proposed restructuring is therefore not only justified, but necessary

to contribute to the achievement of the Project’s development objective and to provide the

necessary base to enable a realistic evaluation of the expected achievements and outcomes of this

Project.

B. PROJECT BACKGROUND

3. The objective of the Project is to promote adaptation to the consequences of climate impacts in the

coastal wetlands of the Gulf of Mexico, through the implementation of pilot measures that would

provide information on the costs and benefits of alternative approaches to reduce their vulnerability.

The Project also seeks to assess the overall impacts of climate change on national water resource

planning, including the identification of potential response options, with a focus on coastal

wetlands and associated watersheds. The experience from the Project pilots is intended to inform

the government's future adaptation strategy and development programs in the Gulf region.

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4. The Project is implemented under four components: (1) Design of Selected Adaptation Measures

and Technical Coordination of the Project; (2) Implementation of Pilot Adaptation Measures in

Highly Vulnerable Wetlands; (3) Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water

Resources Planning at a National Level and in Coastal Wetlands including the Identification of

Potential Response Options, and (4) Project Management. Under component (2) there are four sub-

components, associated to each of the selected pilot sites: Sub-component 2.1: Wetlands Panuco-

Altamira (Tamaulipas); Sub-component 2.2: Wetlands of the Papaloapan Rivershed, Alvarado

Lagoon (Veracruz); Sub-component 2.3: Wetlands of Carmen-Pajonal-Machona (Tabasco); and

Sub-component 2.4: Sian Ka’an, Biosphere Reserve in Punta Allen (Quintana Roo).

5. The institutional arrangements for this Project consist in a close collaboration among three

agencies, with involvement of several partner agencies. The Ecology and Climate Change National

Institute (INECC) is responsible for the technical coordination of the Project and for the

implementation of components 1 and 2 (the Protected Areas National Commission– CONANP co-

implements sub-component 2.4). The Water Technology National Institute (IMTA) is responsible

for the administrative and financial controls of the Project, and for the implementation of

components 3 and 4 (component 3 is implemented in collaboration with the National Water

Commission -CONAGUA, and component 4 is co-implemented with INECC). Monitoring and

evaluation of Project outcomes/results (both intermediate and end-of-Project) are coordinated by

both, IMTA and INECC with the support of Nacional Financiera (NAFIN) while financial and

procurement management is led by IMTA. Financial information on inputs, outputs, budgeting,

treasury, accounting, and audits are monitored by IMTA and NAFIN.

C. PROJECT STATUS

6. The Project was approved by the Board on November 23, 2010 and became effective on October 7,

2011. The closing date is October 31, 2015. The $4.5 million grant so far has disbursed 53.3

percent of its total amount, from a 15.3 percent in December 2014 and committed amount is over

82 percent. The recent improvements in implementation and disbursements have led to a

Moderately Satisfactory upgrade of the “Progress towards achievement of PDO” and “Overall

Implementation Progress”.

7. Cumulative delays have been a result of several factors including: (i) the sequencing structure of

Project design which required that complex key studies be developed for the design for pilot

activities (reforestation, infrastructure works, land management plans, etc.) prior to the

implementation of specific investments; (ii) complex institutional arrangements which involves a

number of agencies with multiple responsibilities in the technical, administrative and decision

making process (including INECC, IMTA, NAFIN, CONANP, CONAGUA, and SHCP); (iii)

changes within INECC’s team which led to a change of institutional priorities and to a revision of

the work done so far and to a new focus in terms of the studies and investments done; (iv) the

cumbersome and long procurement processes; and (v) weak teams at INECC and IMTA.

8. Most of the issues raised above, however, have been addressed through the following actions,

which have resulted in the recent notable progress in Project implementation: (i) a more agile and

functioning implementation system between INECC, IMTA and NAFIN (which have led to key

agreements on how to reduce the cumbersome lengthy process for issuing contracts from 9 to 6

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months); (ii) periodic meetings among the key agencies and the Bank in order to identify

bottlenecks, mitigation measures and monitor progress in implementation; (iii) adoption of a

scheme of small scale adaptation measures which do not require as a precondition the conclusions

of complex key studies; and (iv) increased technical and administrative capacity within the teams of

both INECC and IMTA. In addition, the Bank and GoM agreed to accelerate disbursements through

the identification and implementation of small scale adaptation measures/investments (with

currently existing information at INECC and at the states) without the benefit of fully fledged

adaptation studies. It was also agreed that the conclusions and recommendations of the design

studies (which are under implementation) could eventually be implemented by INECC with its own

resources beyond the closing date of the Project.

9. Progress in Project implementation has also been a result of a notable involvement and commitment

from all key government agencies, including from the Secretary of Finance (SHCP). Key staff has

been appointed and regular staff from INECC have been increasingly involved in the supervision

and implementation of the Project. INECC, NAFIN and SHCP have stated that this Project is a top

priority for the country, in that it is currently the only operation addressing adaptation efforts to the

effects of climate change. Counterpart funding in terms (US$1.8mln from Japanese and US

sources) allocated for technical assistance have been delivered.

10. Among the activities financed so far by the Project are: (i) Hydraulic models of data with climate

variables and scenarios for the pilot watersheds; (ii) Reports on lost temporal and spatial data in the

pilot watersheds; (iii) Geo-referencing of the climate station network in the pilot watersheds; (iv)

Acquisition of mareographs (tide-gages to be installed by the Mexico’s National Autonomous

University - UNAM); (v) development of management plans for wild life conservation units

(incorporating adaptation measures); (vi) design of small scale adaptation measures for Veracruz

and Tabasco; (vii) delivery of technical workshops; (viii) development of Ecological Land Zone

Planning for the pilots in Veracruz and Tabasco, and (ix) repopulation of Sian Ka’an’s coastal

reefs.

Table 1: Financing Status (as per September 11, 2015 from Portal)

Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed %

Disbursed

TF-96681 Effective USD 4,500,000 4,500,000 0.00 2,397,402 2,102,598 53.28

D. PROPOSED MODIFICATIONS

11. The following changes to the grant agreement are proposed by GoM:

(i) Withdrawal of the Tamaulipas Pilot. The pilot investment in Tamaulipas has been withdrawn

upon request from the state government based on the ongoing insecurity in the State. Therefore,

the related studies and investments within this pilot will be discontinued and the related

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implementation arrangements will be removed from the grant agreement (IMTA will continue,

however, its hydrological analysis in the Tamaulipas wetland).

(ii) Reallocation of Grant Proceeds. The reallocation of grant proceeds reflects the withdrawal of

the Tamaulipas pilot site, the release of the respective budget, and a redistribution of resources

among tasks according to Project demands (namely for component 2). More specifically, the

reallocation of grant proceeds among categories will assure the successful implementation of

the remaining activities. The detailed reallocation proposal is attached (Annex I).

(iii)Adjustment from INE to INECC. During 2012 the General Climate Change Law was passed

congress and included additional institutional and technical attributions, including

administrative and legal autonomy, to the National Institute for Ecology (INE), which from this

date, became the National Institute for Ecology and Climate Change (INECC). This institutional

change, and the continuation of legal responsibilities of INECC to the Project need to be

reflected through the current amendment to the grant agreement.

(iv) Modification of the definition of operation costs. Upon request from GoM, the definition of

operational costs under the grant agreement would include the word “inter-alia” and the

inclusion of training and workshops as eligible expenditure is included in order to reflect a

broader range of eligible expenses.

(v) Adjustment to Project Indicators. After a thorough evaluation between the Bank and GoM, it

was agreed that while a number of the original indicators were either expected to be met or had

already been met, others needed to be adjusted or eliminated in order to allow for an adequate

evaluation of the Project´s activities and outcomes during the life of this grant. It was noted that

many of the indicators were neither realistic nor did they provide the elements to undertake an

accurate evaluation of the Project’s outcomes. The basis for the proposed changes in Project

indicators are described in Annex 2. Annex 3 reflects the updated Results Framework and

Monitoring. These changes would be reflected in the Project’s Operational Manual.

(vi) Adjustments to the definitions of the proposed activities for the Pilots in Laguna de

Alvarado (Veracruz), and in Cardenas (Tabasco). During Project design, a number of

activities were foreseen which, after a thorough assessment by GoM and the Bank, became no

longer relevant. The proposed modifications for subcomponents 2.2 and 2.3 focus on the

following:

(a) Change in the Operational Manual the focus and definition of the pilot in Alvarado

to reflect the elaboration of Ecological Territorial Zoning (instead of Protected Area

Management Plans) since there are no protected areas in the pilot area, but which

requires to include a conservation and management strategy; (b) elimination of proposed works (e.g. sand barriers) in Cardenas which are known to

have adverse collateral impacts, and replacing them with adaptation and

conservation measures in the pilot through equipment, reforestation of mangroves

and riparian forests, introduction of eco-technologies such as stilt housing and

rainwater harvesting systems, among other activities; and

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(c) elimination of the term ‘buffer zone’ associated to the pilot in Veracruz, since there

are no protected areas (nor the foreseen creation of protected areas) in the proposed

pilot site.

(vii) Extension of the closing date of the Project. Beyond the administrative delays encountered

in processing contracts and the acquisition of goods that have been stated above, the

implementation of key activities (namely subprojects) have encountered delays in

implementation due to atypical weather events in pilot sites. Based on the above, GoM has

requested an additional twelve month extension of the closing date to October 31, 2016. This

extension would allow the completion of twelve activities currently under implementation

which are at risk of not being able to finalize key outputs by the Project closing date, and

processing seven new strategic contracts (many that are under review by SHCP) which will not

able to be launched without an extension. Both the Bank and GoM agree that not completing

these activities would put in jeopardy the achievement of the PDO, the GEO and would hinder

the ability to replicate key lessons and activities of the Project.

In addition, granting an extension to the closing date would enable the development of the

following activities: (i) the systematization and dissemination of the material related to results,

lessons learned and findings developed through the Project (including disseminating the

Project’s achievements to the 3 levels of government strengthening the sustainability and

replicability of the adaptation measures; (ii) assessing and monitoring the evolution of the

adaptation measures that have been concluded (or are close to concluding) enhancing the

knowledge base at INECC, IMTA and participating entities; (iii) delivering training and

workshops in participating communities to foster the ownership and maintenance of their

adaptation measures to promote its sustainability, but also in selected sites to encourage the

expansion and replicability of adaptation measures; (iv) development and implementation of a

communications strategy to broadly present the outcomes of the Project; and (v) undertake a

review process of the key adaptation studies and develop a strategy for its eventual

implementation.

12. A work plan has been prepared and agreed among all counterparts for the implementation of the

proposed changes through the period remaining in the Project, and until October 2016. The work

plan, has been reviewed and found to be acceptable by the Bank. The work plan (attached as

Annex 4) and disbursement projections (Annex 5) focuses on the fulfillment of key contracts by

agreed dates and is already is on track since 82 percent of key contracts of the Project are either

completed or under implementation. Without an extension, it is estimated that Project

disbursements would only reach 72.4 percent of total grant amount. An assessment of the fulfilment

of the revised Project indicators has been undertaken and is reflected in Annex 6.

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Annex 1

Reallocation of Grant Proceeds

Disbursement Category

Actual Amount

of the Grant

Allocated

(expressed in

USD)

Proposed

Adjustment

Variation per

category

+ and -

(1) Goods, works, consultants’ services,

non consultant services, Training and

Workshops and Operational Costs

under Part 1 of the Project

744,400 673,600 -(70,800)

2 (a) Goods, works, consultants’ services,

non consultant services and

Operational Costs under Part 2(a) of

the Project

900,000 0 -(900,000)

2 (b) Goods, works, consultants’ services,

non consultant services, Training and

Workshops and Operational Costs

under Part 2(b) of the Project

730,000 1,130,000 +(400,000)

2 (c) Goods, works, consultants’ services,

non consultant services, Training and

Workshops and Operational Costs

under Part 2(c) of the Project

785,000 1,236,000 +(451,000)

2 (d) Goods, works, consultants’ services,

non consultant services, Training and

Workshops and Operational Costs

under Part 2(d) of the Project

541,200 711,000 +(169,800)

(3) Goods, works, consultants’ services,

non consultant services and

Operational Costs under Part 3 of the

Project

500,000 500,000 No change

(4) Goods, works, consultants’ services

(including external audits), non

consultant services and Operational

Costs under Part 4 of the Project

299,400 249,400 -(50,000)

TOTAL AMOUNT 4,500,000 4,500,000 -

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Annex 2

Adjustment to Project Indicators

PDO Outcome Indicators Proposed Outcome Indicators Nature of proposed revision

(a) Design documents for pilot

adaptation measures that facilitate

prompt implementation and include

sustainability strategy as well as

monitoring provisions.

(b) Three wetland management plans,

a revised protected area management

plan, and land zoning regulations,

incorporating climate change

adaptation activities, discussed with

stakeholders, and at least one plan

submitted for approval to decision

making authorities and supported by

local and state institutions.

(c) A target of 15,000 ha presented to

Municipal Councils for consideration

to be entered into conservation status

in local land use plans; a target of

5,000 ha reforested with native

species that would add to climate-

resilience of coastal wetlands; a

target of 3,000 meters of coastal bars

stabilized addressing threat of sea

level rise; and increased thermal

resilience of coral populations in the

Biosphere Reserve Sian Ka’an

through repopulating genetically

diverse temperature resistant coral

genotypes in six areas of 25 m x 25 m

(3,750 m2) in selected locations.

(d) Production and dissemination of

practical guidance document on cost

and benefits of adaptation measures

in coastal wetlands as a basis for

replication efforts.

(e) Climate change impact scenarios

developed for selected basins and for

coastal wetlands supporting

knowledge base required to

mainstream CC into water resources

(a) Design documents for pilot

adaptation measures that facilitate

prompt implementation and include

sustainability strategy as well as

monitoring provisions developed.

(b) Two land use plans and a revised

protected area management program,

incorporating climate change

adaptation activities, discussed with

stakeholders, and at least one land

use planning program submitted for

approval to decision making

authorities and supported by local

and state institutions (depending on

the aptitude of the territory in each

pilot site, the land use planning will

incorporate conservation elements).

(c) More than 50 ha of mangrove

ecosystem and riparian zones

reforested, more than 70 ha of water

fluxes rehabilitated in Veracruz and

Tabasco, and at least six areas in the

Sian Ka’an Biosphere Reserve with

repopulated temperature-resistant

coral genotypes.

(d) Unchanged but moved to

intermediate indicators.

(e) Unchanged.

(b) The two wetland management

plans were substituted by two land

use plans, given that there are no

Natural Protected Areas (ANP) in

Veracruz or Tabasco to be

responsible of boosting a

conservation and management plan

for wetlands.

(c) The amount of 15,000 ha to be

considered for conservation status,

was eliminated because the

Government of Mexico, through

CONANP, has not planned to

establish ANP in Veracruz or

Tabasco. Conservation areas would

be defined by the land use plans,

which include considerations of

adaptation to climate change.

The objective of 5,000 ha to be

reforested, was modified because

this surface had been overestimated

in the initial project, and it was

observed that in some pilot sites it

was not viable to reforest this

amount of hectares due to the

characteristics of the soils and its

environmental conditions.

The construction of 3,000 m of

coastal barriers was eliminated

because the project has rethought the

objective focusing on “adaptation

based on ecosystems”, which

promotes the conservation of

biodiversity and ecosystem services

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and wetland management and

planning.

as a strategy of adaptation to climate

change for human communities. This

approach includes the adoption of

adaptation measures that are

reversible, because the impacts of

climate change are uncertain. Due to

the uncertainty of the magnitude of

the effects of climate change and of

the sea level rise, building coastal

barriers results in an unviable and

ineffective measure.

There are multiple adaptation actions

that can be done but, since financial

resources are not enough conduct

them all, it was necessary to

prioritize and implement actions that

allow populations to adapt more

immediately.

Therefore, it was decided to develop

actions that contribute to the

adaptation of populations to floods,

lack of clean water, food security

issues, and mangrove conservation,

as in the case of the Management

Units for Wildlife Conservation

(UMA) for the sustainable use of

mangroves, in addition to equipment

and infrastructure, accompanied by

local training to reduce vulnerability

to climate change of populations by

strengthening its adaptive capacity.

CONANP specified that the reserve

does not have the stated surface of

3750 m2 of coral reefs, thus, this

amount of coral to be replanted was

removed and it will be determined in

the design and implementation

proposal currently in development

by Oceanus, A.C.

The activities programmed for

Tampico have been eliminated.

(d) The indicator serves better to

measure intermediate outcomes.

Intermediate Outcomes Intermediate Outcome

Indicators

Comments

Component 1: Design of Selected

Adaptation Measures and Technical

Coordination of the Project

• At least 3 pilot adaptation

measures count with sound

technical design documents

The contemplated activities are: (i)

to design adaptation measures for

Tabasco and Veracruz, (ii) to replant

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• Experience gained in incorporating

climate change in plans and a

program, and designing

interventions to increase resilience.

• Wetland monitoring capabilities

strengthened as input to improved

management of sensitive and

vulnerable ecosystems.

• Facilitate the development of long-

term management and monitoring of

selected ecosystems.

including analysis of financial,

economic, social and

environmental aspects and are

ready for implementation.

• Modeling, generation of data,

analysis, and access to

information and long-term

remote sensing.

• Pilot adaptation measures will

include a sustainability strategy.

• Two management plans for

Wildlife Conservation,

Management, and Sustainable

Utilization Units (UMA) in

mangrove ecosystems

developed.

• Infrastructure and equipment to

reduce vulnerability to CC

applied in pilot sites.

• Strengthening capacities for

adaptation to CC in at least three

municipalities.

corals resistant to high temperatures

and rehabilitate water flow in Sian

Ka’an, (iii) to reforest mangrove and

dredge canals in Tabasco and

Veracruz, and (iv) to enable

ecotecnias for Tabasco.

The use of ALOS images was

eliminated as these are no longer in

operation. Currently, the

Government of Mexico has SPOT

images.

The technical reports will be

included as sustainability strategies

in each of the adaptation measures.

Component 2: Implementation of Pilot

Adaptation Measures in Highly

Vulnerable Wetlands

• Increased knowledge of estimated

cost and benefits of adaptation in

coastal wetlands in Mexico.

• Increased ability to mainstream

climate change considerations in

land use planning.

• Increased competence to incorporate

wetlands protection in municipal

land use planning.

Papaloapan:

• Alvarado Municipality under

land use planning incorporating

CC impacts as well as adaptation

and conservation measures.

• Reforestation of mangrove

ecosystem and riparian zones for

a target of at least 30 ha.

• Infrastructure and equipment

(cleaning, desilting and

rehabilitation of at least 3 km of

water fluxes; and one tide gauge

and meteorological instruments)

to reduce vulnerability to CC.

• One management plan for

Wildlife Conservation,

Management, and Sustainable

Utilization Units (UMA) in

mangrove ecosystems.

• Strengthening capacities for

adaptation to CC in at least one

location.

Tabasco:

The term buffer zone was removed,

as these areas are defined for the

creation of an ANP, and the

establishment of these has not been

considered for the mentioned pilot

sites.

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• Land use planning updated

incorporating CC impacts as well

as adaptation and conservation

measures.

• Reforestation of mangrove

ecosystem and riparian zones for

a target of at least 20 ha.

• Infrastructure and equipment

(cleaning, desilting and

rehabilitation of at least 3 km of

water fluxes; one tide gauge and

meteorological instruments; and

at least two stilt houses and one

rainwater harvesting) to reduce

vulnerability to CC.

• One management plan for

Wildlife Conservation,

Management, and Sustainable

Utilization Units (UMA) in

mangrove ecosystems.

• Strengthening capacities for

adaptation to CC in at least one

location.

Sian Ka’an:

• Protected area monitoring

system strengthened including

climate change parameters.

• Protected area management

program revised to include

climate change considerations.

• A target of repopulating

genetically diverse temperature-

resistant coral genotypes in six

areas.

• Infrastructure and equipment

(one tide gauge and

meteorological and

oceanographic instruments) to

reduce vulnerability to CC.

• Rehabilitation of water fluxes of

El Playón mangrove ecosystem

for a target of at least 70 ha.

Component 3: Assessment of the

Impacts of Climate Change on Water

Resources Planning at a National Level

and in Coastal Wetlands including the

• Climate change impact scenarios

developed for national water

resources and for coastal

wetlands including identification

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Identification of Potential Response

Options

• Support the strengthening of the

knowledge base required to

mainstream climate change in water

resources management and planning.

of response options.

Component 4: Project Management

• Coordination of the administrative,

financial management, procurement,

and safeguard aspects of the Project.

• Established processes for

articulation and coordination

among the agencies involved.

Time reduction of drafting

contracts and administrative

processes.

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Annex 3

Updated Results Framework and Monitoring

*(Given delays in implementation the first years are left blank for some of the indicators)

Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection Design

documents for

pilot adaptation

measures that

facilitate

prompt

implementation

and include

sustainability

strategy as well

as monitoring

provisions

No adaptation

measures in

selected coastal

wetlands

* * *

Three design

documents

under

preparation

Three

design

documents

with

specific

measures

under

preparation

Three design

documents

completed.

Annual

supervision

reports

Annual review,

supervision visits,

photographic

records, satellite

images, land cover

and land use data,

GIS

INECC with

local

coordinators

Two Land Use

Planning

Programs

(LUPP) and a

revised

protected area

management

program,

incorporating

climate change

adaptation

activities,

discussed with

stakeholders,

and at least one

LUPP

submitted for

approval to

Limited

availability of

Wetlands

Management

Plans (exception

Sian Ka’an);

existing ones do

not consider CC

information or

expected impacts

* * *

The Sian

Ka’an

protected area

management

program

revised to

include

climate

change

considerations

LUPP of

Alvarado

Lagoon under

implementatio

n

LUPP of

LUPP of

Alvarado

Lagoon

submitted

for approval

to deciding

authorities

At least two

LUPPs of

approved by

deciding

authorities

Annual

reports

Annual review,

photographic

records, satellite

images, land cover

and land use data,

GIS

INECC with

local

coordinators

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection decision

making

authorities and

supported by

local and state

institutions

(depending on

the aptitude of

the territory in

each pilot site,

the LUPP will

incorporate

conservation

elements)

Tabasco

revamped

Two

management

plans for

Wildlife

Conservation,

Management,

and Sustainable

Utilization

Units (UMA)

in mangrove

ecosystems

There is no

sustainable use of

mangrove

* * * *

At least 2

UMA’s

established

At least 2

UMA’s

established in

mangrove

ecosystems

Annual

report

Annual review,

photographic

records, satellite

images, land cover

and land use data,

GIS

INECC with

local

coordinators

Strengthening

capacities at a

local level

Communicatio

n and training

for local actors

on adaptation

to CC

Limited

information about

CC

* * *

Pre-scanning

workshops

concluded

Three

workshops

concluded

Follow-up

workshops

Capacities at a

local level

strengthened

and

communicatio

n strategy and

training/works

hops for local

actors on

adaptation to

CC delivered.

Annual

report

Supervision visits,

and photographic

records

INECC with

local

coordinators

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection Actions

initiated for

reforestation of

mangrove

ecosystem and

riparian habitat

for a target of

at least 50 ha,

reforested with

native species

that would add

to climate-

resilience of

coastal

wetlands

No adaptation

measures in pilot

sites

Local initiatives

with limited

effectiveness

* * * *

Reforestatio

n of at least

50 ha

initiated

Completion of

at least 50 ha

of reforestation

of mangrove

ecosystems

and riparian

habitats.

Annual

report,

reforestatio

n plan

Annual review,

photographic

records,

satellite images,

land cover and

land use data, GIS

INECC with

local

coordinators

Increased

thermal

resilience of

coral

populations in

the Biosphere

Reserve Sian

Ka’an through

repopulating

genetically

diverse

temperature-

resistant coral

genotypes in at

least six areas

No adaptation

measures in pilot

sites

Coral bleaching in

the Biosphere

Reserve Sian

Ka’an

* * *

Repopulation

program

designed and

selection of

adequate

species and

nurseries

developed

Start with

the

establishme

nt of

genetically

diverse

temperature

-resistant

coral

patches

At least six

areas of the

Sian Ka’an

Biosphere

Reserve have

been

repopulated

with

genetically

diverse

temperature-

resistant coral.

Bi-annual

and annual

reports,

repopulatio

n plan

Bi-annual and

annual review,

photographic

records,

satellite images,

supervision visits,

GIS

INECC with

local

coordinators

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection Infrastructure

and equipment

(cleaning,

desilting and

rehabilitation

of water fluxes;

tide gauges and

meteorological

instruments;

and stilt

houses) to

reduce

vulnerability to

CC

Limited

infrastructure and

equipment

* * * *

Start with

the

infrastructur

e and

equipment

implementat

ion

At least 70 ha

of water

fluxes

rehabilitated

through

infrastructure

and

equipment.

Annual

report

Annual review,

photographic

records,

supervision visits,

satellite images

INECC with

local

coordinators

Production and

dissemination

of practical

guidance

document on

cost and

benefits of

adaptation

measures in

coastal

wetlands as a

basis for

replication

efforts

Limited

information * * *

Data

collection

initiated

Cost and

benefits of

adaptation

approaches

in wetlands

and are

compiled in

a guidance

document

Document

is being

disseminate

d and serves

as basis for

replication

efforts

Completion

and

dissemination

of guideline

Draft and

final

Guidance

document

Final document INECC

Climate change

impact

scenarios

developed for

selected basins

No response

options defined

yet on cc impacts

in national water

resources

Scenarios

of CC

impacts

on

national

Response

options

identified

4° report

IPCC

Response

options

identified 4°

report IPCC

Response

options

identified 5°

report IPCC

Supporting

At least one

national

water

resources

managemen

Climate

change impact

scenarios

developed for

selected basins

Annual

report,

minutes of

meetings

with IMTA

List of viable

policy options

IMTA/

CON-AGUA

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection and for coastal

wetlands

supporting

knowledge

base required

to mainstream

CC into water

resources and

wetland

management

and planning

management water

resources

develope

d

studies at one

emblematic

basin

concluded

t response

option

identified

that

considers

CC impact

scenarios

and for costal

wetlands.

Supporting

knowledge

base to

mainstream

CC into water

resources and

wetland

management

planning

developed

/CON-

AGUA

Intermediate Outcome Indicators

Component 1: Design of Selected Adaptation Measures and Technical Coordination of the Project

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection At least three

pilot adaptation

measures count

with sound

technical

design

documents

including

analysis of

financial,

economic,

social and

environmental

aspects and are

ready for

implementation

Pilot sites do not

consider

adaptation yet

* * *

Three

measures

under design

At least

three

measures

under

execution

At least three

pilot

adaptation

measures

implemented

Annual

report,

design

progress

reports,

costs and

benefits

Final design

INECC with

local

coordinators

Modeling,

generation of

data, analysis,

and access to

information

and long-term

remote sensing

Limited

monitoring of

pilot wetlands,

limited

monitoring of CC

data in pilot site

areas

* * *

Satellite

images

acquisition

and capacity

to store and

assess data

and images

Modeling,

generation

of data,

analysis,

and access

to

information

and long-

term remote

sensing

Finalization of

the modeling,

generation of

data, analysis,

and access to

information

and long-term

remote sensing

Wetland

monitoring

programs

Satellite images,

other monitoring

data

INECC

Designs on

pilot adaptation

measures will

include a

sustainability

strategy.

No adaptation

pilots * * *

Three

measures

under desing.

Sustainabilit

y strategy

updated

based on

Project

results

seeking

continuation

of results

Designs on

pilot

adaptation

measures

completed

Sustainabilit

y

incorporate

d

Preparation and

supervision

reports

INECC

Component 2: Implementation of Pilot Adaptation Measures in Highly Vulnerable Wetlands Site 2 Conservation * * * * LUPP of LUPP of Annual Annual review, INECC with

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection Papaloapan:

Alvarado

Lagoon under

Land Use

Planning

Program

(LUPP)

incorporating

CC impacts as

well as

adaptation and

conservation

measures

management plans

do not take CC

impacts into

consideration and

unsustainable land

use practices in

the buffer zone

prevail

Alvarado

Lagoon

submitted

for approval

to deciding

authorities

Alvarado

Lagoon

approved

report,

reforestatio

n plan

photographic

records, satellite

images, land

cover and land

use data, GIS

local

coordinator

Site 2

Papaloapan:

Actions

initiated for

reforestation of

mangrove

ecosystem and

riparian zones

for a target of

at least 30 ha.

No buffer zone

around the

Lagoon

* * * *

Reforestatio

n of at least

30 ha

initiated

Reforestation

of at least 30

ha completed

Annual

report

Annual review,

photographic

records,

satellite images,

land cover and

land use data, GIS

INECC with

local

coordinator

Site 2

Papaloapan:

Infrastructure

and equipment

(cleaning,

desilting and

rehabilitation

of at least 3 km

of water fluxes;

and one tide

gauge) to

reduce

vulnerability to

CC

Limited

infrastructure and

equipment

* * *

*

Infrastructur

e and

equipment

implementat

ion initiated

At least 3 kms

of water fluxes

rehabilitated

through

Infrastructure

and equipment

completed.

Annual

report

Annual review,

photographic

records,

supervision visits,

satellite images

INECC with

local

coordinator

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection Site 2

Papaloapan:

One

management

plan for

Wildlife

Conservation,

Management,

and Sustainable

Utilization

Units (UMA)

in mangrove

ecosystems

There is no

sustainable use of

mangrove

* * * *

At least one

UMA’s

established

At least one

UMA’s

established

Annual

report

Annual review,

photographic

records, satellite

images, land

cover and land

use data, GIS

INECC with

local

coordinator

Site 2

Papaloapan: Strengthening

capacities for

adaptation to

CC in at least

two locations

Limited

information about

CC

* * *

Pre-scanning

workshops

concluded

One

workshop

concluded

Follow-up

workshops

Capacities for

adaptation to

CC

strengthened in

at least two

locations

through

follow-up

workshops

Annual

report

Supervision

visits, and

photographic

records

INECC with

local

coordinator

Site 3

Tabasco:

Land Use

Planning

Program

(LUPP)

revamped

incorporating

CC impacts as

well as

adaptation and

conservation

measures

Deforestation and

land conversion

are frequent

* * *

LUPP of

Tabasco

revamped

LUPP for

Tabasco

approved

Annual

reports

Annual review,

photographic

records, satellite

images, land

cover and land

use data, GIS

INECC with

local

coordinators

Site 3

Tabasco:

Limited

infrastructure and * * * *

Infrastructur

e and

At least 3 kms

of water fluxes

Annual

report

Annual review,

photographic

INECC with

local

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection Infrastructure

and equipment

(cleaning,

desilting and

rehabilitation

of at least 3 km

of water fluxes;

one tide gauge;

and at least two

stilt houses) to

reduce

vulnerability to

CC

equipment equipment

implementat

ion initiated

rehabilitated

through

Infrastructure

and equipment

completed.

records,

supervision visits,

satellite images

coordinator

Site 3

Tabasco:

One

management

plan for

Wildlife

Conservation,

Management,

and Sustainable

Utilization

Units (UMA)

in mangrove

ecosystems

There is no

sustainable use of

mangrove

* * * *

At least one

UMA

established

At least one

UMA

established

Annual

report

Annual review,

photographic

records, satellite

images, land

cover and land

use data, GIS

INECC with

local

coordinator

Site 3

Tabasco:

Strengthening

capacities for

adaptation to

CC in at least

one location

Limited

information about

CC

* * *

Pre-scanning

workshops

concluded

One

workshop

concluded

Follow-up

workshops

Capacities for

adaptation to

CC

strengthened in

at least two

locations

through

follow-up

workshops

Annual

report

Supervision

visits, and

photographic

records

INECC with

local

coordinator

Site 4 Sian

Ka’an:

Monitoring of

wetland does not * * *

CC data

identified and

CC data part

of

Monitoring

systems with

Monitoring

program

Supervision,

annual review and

INECC and

CONANP

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection Protected area

monitoring

system

strengthened

including

climate change

parameters

include CC data collection

program and

protocols

defined

monitoring

program of

the wetland

CC parameters

developed for

Sian Ka’an

with CC

data;

semiannual

Project

reports

climate models with local

coordinator

Site 4 Sian

Ka’an:

Protected area

management

program

revised to

include climate

change

considerations

Protected area

management plan

does not include

CC data

Identifica

tion of

CC

impacts

initiated

The Sian

Ka’an

protected area

management

program

revised to

include

climate

change

considerations

Protected area

management

program

revised to

include climate

change

considerations

Protected

area

managemen

t program

and the

monitoring

system with

CC data;

semiannual

Project

reports

Supervision, and

annual review,

INECC and

CONANP

with local

coordinator

Site 4 Sian

Ka’an:

A target of

repopulating

genetically

diverse

temperature-

resistant coral

genotypes in

six areas

Repopulation not

included in coral

reef conservation

programs

* * *

Repopulation

program

designed and

selection of

adequate

species and

nurseries

developed

A target of

genetically

diverse

temperature

-resistant

coral

patches

established

in 6

locations

achieved

At least six

areas in the

Sian Ka’an

Biosphere

Reserve with

repopulated

temperature-

resistant coral

genotypes.

Bi-annual

and annual

reports,

repopulatio

n plan

Bi-annual and

annual review,

photographic

records,

satellite images,

supervision visits,

GIS

INECC and

CONANP

with local

coordinator

Site 4 Sian

Ka’an:

Rehabilitation

of water fluxes

and restoration

of El Playón

mangrove

ecosystem for a

Degraded

mangrove

community

* * * *

Reforestatio

n of at least

70 ha

initiated

Rehabilitation

of water fluxes

and restoration

of El Playón

mangrove

ecosystem in at

least 70 ha.

Annual

report,

reforestatio

n plan

Annual review,

photographic

records,

satellite images,

land cover and

land use data, GIS

INECC and

CONANP

with local

coordinator

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection target of at

least 70 ha.

Site 4 Sian

Ka’an:

Infrastructure

and equipment

(one tide gauge

and

meteorological

instruments) to

reduce

vulnerability to

CC

Limited

infrastructure and

equipment

* * * *

Infrastructur

e and

equipment

implemente

d

Infrastructure

and

meteorological

instruments to

reduce

vulnerability to

CC

Annual

report

Annual review,

photographic

records,

supervision visits,

satellite images

INECC with

local

coordinator

Site 4 Sian

Ka’an:

Strengthening

capacities for

adaptation to

CC in at least

one location

Limited

information about

CC

* * *

Pre-scanning

workshops

concluded

One

workshop

concluded

Follow-up

workshops

Capacities for

adaptation to

CC

strengthened in

at least two

locations

through

follow-up

workshops

Annual

report

Supervision

visits, and

photographic

records

INECC with

local

coordinator

Component 3: Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources Planning at a National Level and in Coastal Wetlands

including the Identification of Potential Response Options

Climate change

impact

scenarios

developed for

national water

resources and

for coastal

wetlands

including

identification

of response

options

National policies

do not yet

incorporate cc

impacts on water

availability

Scenarios

of CC

impacts

on

national

water

resources

develope

d

Response

options

designed

(IPCC

fourth

assessmen

t report)

Response

options

identified

(IPCC

fourth

assessment

report)

Response

options

identified

(IPCC fifth

assessment

report)

Supporting

studies at one

emblematic

basin

concluded

At least one

national

water

resources

management

response

option

identified

that

considers CC

impact

scenarios

Climate

change impact

scenarios for

national water

resources and

for coastal

wetlands

including

identification

of response

options,

developed

Annual

report;

studies;

CC data

on

national

and

priority

watershe

d level

List of viable

policy options

IMTA/

CONAGUA

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Target Values Data Collection and Reporting

Project

Outcome

Indicators

Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6

Frequenc

y and

Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsib

le for

Data

Collection

Component 4: Project Management

Established

processes for

articulation and

coordination

among the

agencies

involved.

Reduced time

in issuing

contracts and

administrative

processes.

N/A

The

Project

Impleme

ntation

Team

(PIT) is

consolida

ted.

Establish

ed

Institutio

nal

arrangem

ents.

Strengthen

ing PIT

Institution

al

arrangeme

nts.

Strengtheni

ng PIT

Mid-term

Review is

performed

and, if

appropriate,

restructurin

g is

processed

Monitoring

and

evaluation

from project

activities

Strengthening

PIT

Decreased

administrative

time

Monitoring

and evaluation

including

counterpart

funding is on

track

Final

evaluation

finds the

project

management

satisfactory

Final

evaluation

finds project

management

satisfactory

Biannual

progress

reports,

the MTR

report,

the final

report

Bank’s

Supervision

INECC, IMTA,

Bank

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Annex 4

Action Plan

1 Repoblamiento de Coral (TDR-17) 2 d Contratado 04-sep-13 03-oct-15 a) Retraso en la obtención de

resultados de análisis y estudios

realizados por otras instituciones ajenas

al proveedor. b)

Retraso en el repoblamiento por

condiciones climáticas adversas.

c) Se recalendarizarán actividades.

a) Al menos tres medidas piloto de

adaptación (1 en Sian Ka'an) cuentan con

documentos de diseño técnico, incluyendo

análisis de aspectos financieros,

económicos, sociales y ambientales y

están listas para ser implementadas

b) Los diseños de las medidas piloto de

adaptación incluyen una estrategia de

sustentabilidad

c) Repoblamiento con genotipos de coral

resistentes a altas temperaturas en seis

áreas

Entrega de Productos

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

2 Diseño de medidas de adaptación en

Tabasco (TDR-09)

2 c Contratado 18-dic-14 17-oct-15 a) Se prevé una demora en la

integración del informe final, ya que

considera el procesamiento de una

cantidad importante de información.

b) Adicionalmente, incluye el análisis de

la información generada en los talleres

e integración de un sistema de

información geográfica.

a) Al menos tres medidas piloto de

adaptación (1 en Tabasco) cuentan con

documentos de diseño técnico, incluyendo

análisis de aspectos financieros,

económicos, sociales y ambientales y

están listas para ser implementadas

b) Los diseños de las medidas piloto de

adaptación incluyen una estrategia de

sustentabilidad

c) Fortalecimiento de capacidades para la

adaptación al cambio climático en al menos

dos localidades

Entrega de Productos

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

3 Diseño de medidas de adaptación en

Veracruz (TDR-10)

2 b Contratado 23-dic-14 22-oct-15 Se prevé una demora en la integración

del segundo informe y del informe final,

ya que considera el procesamiento de

una cantidad importante de información.

Adicionalmente, incluye el análisis de la

información generada en los talleres e

integración de un sistema de

información geográfica.

a) Al menos tres medidas piloto de

adaptación (1 en Veracruz) cuentan con

documentos de diseño técnico, incluyendo

análisis de aspectos financieros,

económicos, sociales y ambientales y

están listas para ser implementadas

b) Los diseños de las medidas piloto de

adaptación incluyen una estrategia de

sustentabilidad

c) Fortalecimiento de capacidades para la

adaptación al cambio climático en al menos

dos localidades

2015 2016

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2015 2016

Entrega de Productos

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

4 Ordenamiento ecológico territorial de

Veracruz (TDR-15)

2 b Contratado 14-ene-14 13-oct-15 a) Se requiere la vinculación entre los

tres niveles de gobierno y la firma

consultora, para avanzar en las etapas

de pronóstico y propuesta del OET. Las

agendas gubernamentales son

complejas de manejar y coordinar.

b) Se prevé retrasos en la integración

de una gran cantidad de información

generada.

La Laguna de Alvarado con un OET que

incorpora los impactos del cambio

climático, así como medidas de adaptación

y conservación

Entrega de Productos

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

5 Implementación de exposición itinerante (ET-

39)

2 c Contratado 07-jul-15 06-oct-15 a) La exposición debe incluir imágenes

de las medidas de adaptación ya

concluidas en los tres sitios piloto, y

algunas medidas concluiran al final del

primer trimestre del 2016. b)

Adicionalmente que la exposición sera

montada en distintas ubicaciones de los

sitios piloto incluyendo la Ciudad de

México.

Comunicación y entrenamiento de actores

locales en adaptación al cambio climático

Entrega de Productos (1 Y 2)

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

6 Instalación de equipo mareográfico (ET-34) 2 d Contratado 01-jul-15 30-sep-15 a) Debido a que aún no se tiene

definido el sitio de instalación en Sian

Ka'an, se requerirá más tiempo para

concluir la consultoría. b) Se prevé

realizar un modificación al contrato para

incrementar el periodo en 6 meses. c)

Debido a que posiblemente se requiera

instalar el mareógrafo en otro tipo de

estructura, es probable un incremento

en el monto del contrato, de ser así, se

requiere tramitar una exención de MIA.

Infraestructura y equipamiento (un

mareógrafo e instrumentos meteorológicos

en cada sitio piloto) para reducir la

vulnerabilidad al cambio climático

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2015 2016

Entrega de Productos

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

7 Taller de diagnóstico y vulnerabilidad en

Sian Ka'an (ET-28)

2 d Contratado 01-jul-15 26-sep-15 Se requiere ampliar el contrato por dos

meses adicionales, para sistematizar e

integrar los resultados de los talleres.

Fortalecimiento de capacidades a nivel

local

Comunicación y entrenamiento de actores

locales en adaptación al cambio climático

Entrega de Productos

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

8 Ecotecnias en el sistema lagunar Carmen-

Pajonal-Machona, Tabasco (Palafitos) (ET-

32)

2 c Contratado 05-feb-15 04-ago-15 a) Riesgos climáticos que pueden

demorar la habilitación de los palafitos.

b) La contratación de Ingenieros sin

Fronteras aún no se ha concretado, y su

participación es necesaria para certificar

los palafitos

Los diseños de las medidas piloto de

adaptación incluyen una estrategia de

sustentabilidad

Infraestructura y equipamiento (al menos

dos palafitos) para reducir la vulnerabilidad

al cambio climático

Entrega de Productos

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

9 Diseño de material de difusión (TDR-05) 2 c Contratado 01-nov-14 30-sep-15 La encuesta final se deberá realizar una

vez que las medidas de adaptación

esten concluidas y se requiere más

tiempo para procesar la información

Comunicación y entrenamiento de actores

locales en adaptación al cambio climático

Entrega de Productos

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

10 Implementación de medidas en el Playón

(ET-18)

2 d Contratado 04-dic-14 03-sep-15 Considerando los riesgos climáticos que

ocasionan demoras en las actividades

de rehabilitación del flujo hídrico, se

solicitará una ampliación al plazo del

contrato.

Los diseños de las medidas piloto de

adaptación incluyen una estrategia de

sustentabilidad

Rehabilitación del flujo hídrico en el

manglar de El Playón en al menos 70 ha

Entrega de Productos

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

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2015 2016

11 Coordinación de la logística para el

fortalecimiento y fomento de las

capacidades adaptativas Tabasco (ET-50)

2 c Contratado Riesgos climáticos que pueden demorar

la habilitación de la protección y

fortalecimiento del sistema de captación

de agua de lluvia.

Infraestructura y equipamiento (un sistema

de captación de agua de lluvia) para

reducir la vulnerabilidad al cambio climático

Entrega de Productos

Convenio Modificatorio

Nuevo plazo de entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

12 Protección y fortalecimiento del sistema de

captación de agua de lluvia (ET-51)

2 c Contratado Riesgos climáticos que pueden demorar

la habilitación de la protección y

fortalecimiento del sistema de captación

de agua de lluvia.

Infraestructura y equipamiento (un sistema

de captación de agua de lluvia) para

reducir la vulnerabilidad al cambio climático

INECC Presente Justificación

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN Registro de procedimiento

Contrato

Entrega de Productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

13 Coordinación de logística para talleres en

Veracruz y Tabasco (ET-27)

2 b No contratado Los talleres de resultados se deben de

realizar una vez concluidas las medidas

de adaptación en ambos sitios piloto,

una vez realizados se debe compilar y

analizar la información obtenida.

a) Fortalecimiento de capacidades a nivel

local. b) Comunicación y entrenamiento de

actores locales en adaptación al cambio

climático

INECC Presente documentación

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN Registro de procedimiento

Contrato

Entrega de Productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

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2015 2016

14 Adquisición e instalación de torres para

montar antenas de radiocomunicación (ET-

47)

2 c No contratado Bienes sujetos a la autorización de la

Secretaría de la Función Pública y de la

Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito

Público, con la restricción de

adquisición durante el ejercicio fiscal

vigente, por los tiempos de entrega

establecidos por los proveedores es que

se programa la adquisición.

a) Fortalecimiento de capacidades a nivel

local. b) Comunicación y entrenamiento de

actores locales en adaptación al cambio

climático

Autorización de la SHCP

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN registre el procedimiento

Contrato

Entrega de bienes

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

15 Adquisición de radios de comunicación (ET-

48)

2 c No contratado Bienes sujetos a la autorización de la

Secretaría de la Función Pública y de la

Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito

Público, con la restricción de

adquisición durante el ejercicio fiscal

vigente, por los tiempos de entrega

establecidos por los proveedores es que

se programa la adquisición.

a) Fortalecimiento de capacidades a nivel

local. b) Comunicación y entrenamiento de

actores locales en adaptación al cambio

climático

Autorización de la SHCP

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN gestione NO

BM otorgue NO

Contrato

Entrega de bienes

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

16 Perfilador de corrientes (ET-42) 2 d No contratado Bienes sujetos a la autorización de la

Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito

Público, con la restricción de

adquisición durante el ejercicio fiscal

vigente, actualmente se espera la

autorización, sin embargo por los

tiempos de entrega se considera

necesaria la ampliación.

Infraestructura y equipamiento

(instrumentos oneanográficos) para reducir

la vulnerabilidad al cambio climático

Autorización de la SHCP No contratado

INECC Presente documentación

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN Registro

Contrato

Entrega de bienes

Pagos al proveedor

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11-ago-15

2015 2016

Desembolso

17 Sonda Multiparamétrica (ET-44) 2 d No contratado Bienes sujetos a la autorización de la

Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito

Público, con la restricción de

adquisición durante el ejercicio fiscal

vigente, actualmente se espera la

autorización, sin embargo por los

tiempos de entrega se considera

necesaria la ampliación.

Infraestructura y equipamiento

(instrumentos oneanográficos) para reducir

la vulnerabilidad al cambio climático

Autorización de la SHCP No contratado

INECC Presente documentación

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN Registro

Contrato

Entrega de bienes

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

18 Adquisición de No Breaks (ET-43) 1,3 y 4 Bienes sujetos a la autorización de la

Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito

Público, con la restricción de

adquisición durante el ejercicio fiscal

vigente, actualmente se espera la

autorización, sin embargo por los

tiempos de entrega se considera

necesaria la ampliación.

Indicadores del componente a) Diseño de

medidas de adaptación y coordinación

técnica del proyecto

Autorización de la SHCP

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN Registro

Contrato

Entrega de bienes

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

19 Adquisición de pizarrones (ET-45) 1 Clasificados como bienes por lo que

estan sujetos a la autorización de la

Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito

Público, con la restricción de

adquisición durante el ejercicio fiscal

vigente

Indicadores del componente a) Diseño de

medidas de adaptación y coordinación

técnica del proyecto

Autorización de la SHCP

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN Registro

Contrato

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

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11-ago-15

2015 2016

20 Actividades de divulgación (GO), Asistencia

a congresos, cursos y/o talleres Nacionales

3 Prevista 01-oct-15 31-oct-15 Se requiere realizar la difusión de los

procesos, resultados y productos

generados en el proyecto en foros

nacionales e internacionales.

Escenarios de impacto del cambio climático

sobre el recurso hídrico y los humedales

costeros, incluyendo la identificación de

opciones de respuesta.

Registro SEPA y aprobación SEPA

Congresos Nacionales

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolsos

21 Capacitación (GO) 3 Prevista 01-oct-15 31-oct-15 La falta de capacitación en el uso y

manejo de la plataforma donde se

implementan los modelos hidrológicos

puede reducir el beneficio de realizar

análisis complementarios en la

evaluación del escurrimiento al

considerar ciertas medidas de

adaptación.

Escenarios de impacto del cambio climático

sobre el recurso hídrico y los humedales

costeros, incluyendo la identificación de

opciones de respuesta.

Registro SEPA y aprobación SEPA

Cursos especializados

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolsos

22 Consultor de apoyo a la coordinación

general (TDR-23) Continuidad de funciones

1 Prevista 01-nov-15 31-oct-16 Se requiere la continuidad para

seguimiento técnico y administrativo,

consistente entre otros temas: a)

revisión de documentos y reportes; b)

asistencia a talleres, comités eventos y

reuniones previstas; c) elaborar

informes de conclusión del proyecto

para INECC, SEMARNAT, SHCP y

SRE; d) ordenar y clasificar toda la

información generada en el proyecto.

A los indicadores de los componentes 1 y

2: a) Diseño de medidas de adaptación y

coordinación técnica del proyecto

b) Implementación de medidas piloto de

adaptación en humedales altamente

vulnerables

Recontratación por continuidad

Entrega de productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

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2015 2016

23 Consultor de apoyo administrativo (TDR-26)

Continuidad de funciones

1 Prevista 01-nov-15 31-oct-16 Se requiere la continuidad para

seguimiento técnico y administrativo,

consistente entre otros temas: a)

revisión de documentos y reportes; b)

asistencia a talleres, comités eventos y

reuniones previstas; c) elaborar

informes de conclusión del proyecto

para INECC, SEMARNAT, SHCP y

SRE; d) ordenar y clasificar toda la

información generada en el proyecto.

A los indicadores de los componentes 1 y

2: a) Diseño de medidas de adaptación y

coordinación técnica del proyecto

b) Implementación de medidas piloto de

adaptación en humedales altamente

vulnerables

Registro SEPA y aprobación SEPA

Recontratación por continuidad

Entrega de productos a octubre 2016

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

24 Desarrollo Portal Web 3 Prevista 01-nov-15 31-oct-16 Se requiere contemplar el desarrollo de

una herramienta que apoye la difusión

de resultados y productos generados a

través de un portal Web y que cuente

con funciones básicas utilizadas en un

visor geográfico.

Escenarios de impacto del cambio climático

sobre el recurso hídrico y los humedales

costeros, incluyendo la identificación de

opciones de respuesta.

Registro SEPA y aprobación SEPA

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN Registro de procedimiento

Contrato

Entrega de Productos (12 meses)

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

25 Impresión de libro para publicación 3 Prevista 01-jun-16 30-sep-16 Se prevé para realizar la difusión de los

procesos, resultados y productos

generados en el proyecto.

Escenarios de impacto del cambio climático

sobre el recurso hídrico y los humedales

costeros, incluyendo la identificación de

opciones de respuesta.

Registro SEPA y aprobación SEPA

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN Registro de procedimiento

Contrato

Entrega de Productos (12 meses)

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

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2015 2016

26 Capacitación (GO) 3 Prevista 01-oct-15 01-nov-15 La falta de capacitación en el uso y

manejo de la plataforma donde se

implementan los modelos hidrológicos

puede reducir el beneficio de realizar

análisis complementarios en la

evaluación del escurrimiento al

considerar ciertas medidas de

adaptación.

Escenarios de impacto del cambio climático

sobre el recurso hídrico y los humedales

costeros, incluyendo la identificación de

opciones de respuesta.

Registro SEPA y aprobación SEPA

Cursos especializados

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolsos

27 Actividades de divulgación (GO), Asistencia

a congresos, cursos y/o talleres Nacionales

e Internacionales

3 Prevista 01-nov-15 31-oct-16 Se requiere realizar la difusión de los

procesos, resultados y productos

generados en el proyecto en foros

nacionales e internacionales.

Escenarios de impacto del cambio climático

sobre el recurso hídrico y los humedales

costeros, incluyendo la identificación de

opciones de respuesta.

Registro SEPA y aprobación SEPA

Congresos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolsos

28 Asesor de Adquisiciones (Continuidad de

funsiones)

4 Prevista 01-nov-15 31-oct-16 Se preve la continuidad de funciones

del asesor para realizar las

adquisiciones previstas y el seguimiento

Coordinación de la gestión administrativa,

financiera , adquisiciones, y salvaguardar

los aspectos del Proyecto

Registro SEPA y aprobación SEPA

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

NAFIN Gestión de NO

BM otorgue NO

Contrato

Entrega de Productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

29 Auditoria Externa para el ejercicio 2015 4 Prevista 01-nov-15 31-oct-16 Se preve la auditoria del ejercicio fiscal

2015

Coordinación de la gestión administrativa,

financiera , adquisiciones, y salvaguardar

los aspectos del Proyecto

Registro SEPA y aprobación SEPA

SHCP instruye a la contratación del

Despacho designado

IMTA Realizar procedimiento

Contrato

Entrega de Productos

Pagos al proveedor

Desembolso

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Annex 5

Disbursement Projections until October 2016

EJERCICIO

DESEMBOLSADO

A SOL. 15 USD

PARA DESEMBOLSO EN

JUL-SEP 2015

PARA DESEMBOLSO EN

OCTUBRE-CIERRE 2015

PARA DESEMBOLSO EN ENE-MAR 2016

PARA DESEMBOLSO EN

ABR-JUN 2016

PARA DESEMBOLSO EN

JUL-SEP 2016

PARA DESEMBOLSO EN OCT-CIERRE 2016

2011 -

2012

97,115.05

2013

106,854.33

2014

725,211.00

2015

1,303,504.43 462,941.56

562,862.37

273,466.72 648,697.47

125,124.98

194,222.08

MONTO ACUMULADO

2,232,684.81 2,695,626.37

3,258,488.74 3,531,955.47 4,180,652.94

4,305,777.92

4,500,000.00

MONTO DONATIVO

4,500,000.00

% EJERCIDO 49.62% 59.90% 72.41% 78.49% 92.90% 95.68% 100.00%

MONTO POR EJERCER

2,267,315.19 1,804,373.63

1,241,511.26

968,044.53 319,347.06

194,222.08

-

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Annex 6

Fulfillment of Revised Project Indicators

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