Providing Opportunities for All - UW Tacoma · 2018-03-09 · - Mary Snapp (Corporate VP and Lead...

Providing Opportunities for AllThomas Colton Rachel Durtschi Jordan Marsh Harrison Miner

1

Background Empowered

Diversity

Adaptive

Workforce

Impact

2 3 4

Background

Microsoft’s Position

Career Pathways Non-profit Support Rural Broadband Digital Transformation

TechSpark

Adaptive WorkforceEmpowered Diversity ImpactBackground

Digital Skills Development

AI revenue

will grow

14x by

2025

See: https://www.statista.com/statistics/607716/worldwide-artificial-intelligence-market-revenues/

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Job Loss Mismanagement Killer Robots Security Superintelligence Other

Risks

Top Concerns Identified by AI Researchers

51 Million Jobs


See https://www.techemergence.com/artificial-intelligence-risk/

Our Obligation

“As a company at the forefront of the digital transformation, we have an

obligation to bring people and organizations together to ensure that the

benefits of the technology revolution are available to all.”

- Mary Snapp (Corporate VP and Lead for Microsoft Philanthropies)

See: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/empowering-every-person-future-ready-mary-snapp/

Our Opportunity

Hope

Increase positive uses of AI

Fear

Decrease negative

perception of AI

Perception

of AI and

Microsoft-


Criteria

1

23

Social Impact

Capabilities

Returns for

Microsoft


https://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/leadership/making-the-most-of-corporate-social-responsibility

Microsoft’s Position

Career Pathways Non-profit Support Rural Broadband Digital Transformation

TechSpark

Digital Skills Development


Opportunities for All


Our Solution

We will create an adaptive education system using AI

Research


90% 20% 13% 99%

More time on

active learning

experiences

Increased

retention

Increase in pass

rate

Confidence level

that adaptive

coding platform

> traditional

See Appendix 1

The Future


-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

High Technology

Education

Healthcare

Future Potential

Curr

ent

Ad

op

tio

n

AI Industry Penetration and Future Potential

https://www.nanalyze.com/2017/08/artificial-intelligence-in-education/

Others

Affected Groups


AI Driven Adaptive Learning

Current WorkforceAt Risk Students

Affected Groups




Marginalized

by AI

Rapidly

Changing

Job Market

Our Solution




Intelligent

EducationFast Adaptive

Training

Empowered Diversity

The under-educated will be left behind in the AI revolution

44%

19%

Less than

High School

High School

Degree

9%

Trade

School

Associate’s

Degree

6%

Bachelor's

Degree

1%

Share of Jobs with Highly Automatable Skills

*Executive office of the President, 2016, ”Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and the Economy”

Wealth Disparity


0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1998 2000 2002 2004 2005 2009 2010 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

Forecasted Income Disparity by Annual Income (Highest and Lowest Quintile)

Lowest quintile Highest quintile

Increased

disparity,

partially

due to AI

See Appendix slide 7 for calculations

Who’s at risk?

54%

33%

23%16%

Asian White Black Hispanic

Percentage of People Who Earn

a Bachelor's Degree by Race

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 20 40 60 80 100

Parent Income Percentile

Percentage of People who Attend

College by Parents Income


*Chetty et al., 2014, “Where is the Land of Opportunity? The Geography of Intergenerational Mobility in the United States”

*US Census https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publications/2016/demo/p20-578.pdf

AI is the solution to providing low income minority groups with the opportunities they

need to succeed in the digital revolution

Idiris’s Story

84% of teachers say that differentiated instruction is difficult to implement on a daily basis in their classrooms

https://www.christenseninstitute.org/publications/teaching-machine-age/

Adaptive Teaching

IndividualizedHelp

Teacher Insight

Benefits of AI

Scalable Growth


See Appendix 2

Existing Relationships

Reach to over 12,000 students across 344 schools

Proven CS curriculum with focus on under-represented minorities

Extensive digital curriculum platform


Future Relationships


Adaptive Learning

Partnership and ExpertiseCoding and Technology

Expertise

&

https://www.technologyreview.com/s/603504/playtimes-over/

Powered by

Enroll

Learn more

See our new classes

Dashboard

Your Profile Notes from your TeachersIndividual HelpYour Progress

Mathematics Sciences Coding English

65% Overall

Risks and Possible Solutions


Lack of access to

broadband & technology

We won’t be able to

address at-risk youth

TechSpark will close the

broadband gap in 5 years

We will focus initial efforts

on low-income areas

Criteria Met

1

23

Social Impact815,000 more HS grads

204,000 jobs saved

CapabilitiesTechSpark

Teals

Code.org

Lynda

Returns for

Microsoft$7.6 million revenue

Proactive accountability


See Appendix 3 and 6 for Calculations

Adaptive Workforce

Current Workforce

Technological Revolutions

4th

Industrial

Revolution

With every new

industrial revolution we

have switches in

employment leaders by

sector

Adaptive WorkforceEmpowered Diversity ImpactBackgroundSource: IPUMS USA 2017; US Bureau of Labor Statistics; McKinsey Global Institute analysis

Impact of Preparation

35Million jobs lost by 2050

from entering the AI

revolution without

proper educational

preparation


0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040

# o

f jo

bs

in t

he U

.S.A

.

Year

Total Number of U.S. Jobs

Historical Job Total

Projected Growth with Preperation

Projected Growth without

Preperation

10 million job gap

See Appendix 4 for calculations

Microsoft’s Unique Position

Access to the big data of job market

AI know-how

Training Resources


Microsoft’s Unique Position

Access to the big data of job market

AI know-how

Training Resources

Microsoft has a

responsibility to

stakeholders


Why AI is Necessary?

Bottlenecks: Individualized training


AI Platform

Application Services

Resume Builders

Online Training

Seminars

Networking Advice

Recruiting Coaches

Coding skills sites

A myriad of resources…

Non-verified content


curated for the individual

Predictive Training

Identify needed skills Matches new training

with job skills

Matches people with

new jobs based on skills

Recommend free training

programs

AI driven adaptive

learning environments

Adaptive Workforce Empowered Diversity ImpactBackground

Identify employment

trends

UX

This will show what our AI platform will look like


We have discovered shifts in required skills among your profession and recommend free training courses to stay competitive

View courses

Skill Development Forum

Powered by

Current Job >

New Path >

Suggested Paths

Search for skills to for current role

Search for skills for a new role

Ai Selected Skills

SQL C++HadoopBusiness Accounting

SQL is used for storing, manipulating and retrieving data in databases.

Accounting is the way a business keeps

track of its operations.

Hadoop is an open-source software used

for storage and processing of big data.

C++ is a programming language with

object-oriented and generic programming

features

My Classes About Us Support MoreCertifications Jobs Partners

Risks and Possible Solutions

Skepticism about product and

invitation

Maintain transparency about motives

to overcome doubts

Trainings aren’t sufficient in providing

requisite skills

Lynda is a proven training resource and

will improve as our technology improves


Criteria Met

1

23

Social ImpactDecreases unemployment rate

Saves society $9.5 billion through

a lower number of suicides

CapabilitiesLeverages current TechSpark

programs

Strengthens partnership with

the Markle Foundation

Returns for

MicrosoftEstimated ROI of 55%

Becomes face of hope in

adapting labor force

Adaptive WorkforceEmpowered Diversity ImpactBackgroundSee Appendix 5 and 6 for calculations

Impact

Combine Resources:

LinkedIn, Markle,

Lynda

Timeline

6 Months 2 Years

R&D: Adaptive

Learning

Launch

Adaptive

Workforce

Launch Empowered

Diversity InitiativeLeverage Partners

to Develop

Curriculum

1 Year

ImpactAdaptive WorkforceEmpowered DiversityBackground

Work with Non-profits

to find partner schools

Scale Out Solutions

Costs

=$1,810,000

+ Platform Creation ($10K)

+ Bandwidth & Servers ($240K)

+ Additional Website Costs ($60K)

+ 10 Person Team ($1500K)


See Appendix 6 for Calculations

Impact


$8.6Millionannual profit by 2020

from implementing the

adaptive learning

platform

$9.5Billionin annual savings to society

from costs associated with

prevented suicides by 2050

81,500 More Studentswho are at-risk graduating

high school annually

35Millionmore jobs available to

trained individuals due to

improved training

Questions?

Appendix

Rachel Durtschi Harrison Miner Jordan Marsh Thomas Colton

Appendix 1

Data in support of Adaptive Learning Technology:

1. Adaptive Educational Hypermedia Systems in Technology Enhanced Learning: A Literature Review Catherine Mulwa,

Seamus Lawless, Mary Sharp, Inmaculada Arnedillo-Sanchez, Vincent Wade: dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=1867672

“Data show that adaptivity overall provides improvements in learner satisfaction and knowledge gain”

2. Use case: Progressive Business Partners uses an adaptive platform that increased course completion by 12% and 30%

increase in revenue: http://searchhrsoftware.techtarget.com/feature/Zoomi-online-learning-software-predicts-the-best-ways-

students-learn

3. Research on adaptive techniques based on “Bloom” method is overwhelmingly positive

http://www.ascd.org/publications/educational-leadership/oct10/vol68/num02/Lessons-of-Mastery-Learning.aspx

4. Statistics on increased student retention and others from slide https://www.mheducation.com/news-media/press-

releases/study-shows-significant-improvement-student-outcomes-adaptive-technology.html

5. Data on adaptive training specific to coding SQL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360131515000937

http://searchhrsoftware.techtarget.com/feature/Zoomi-online-learning-software-predicts-the-best-ways-students-learn


https://www.mheducation.com/news-media/press-releases/study-shows-significant-improvement-student-outcomes-adaptive-technology.html

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360131515000937

Appendix 2

Unique Offerings that AI can provide in education:

- Create content that changes according to learning style (71 different types)

- Content adjusts to knowledge levels and speed of learning

- Better analyzes student outcomes and needs early on (Bloom method)

- Creates better collaboration in classrooms as AI can partner groups

- Obtains better scale as teachers are able to outsource to AI

- Promotes strategic thinking and problem solving

Sources: http://www.gettingsmart.com/2017/07/how-adaptive-learning-is-changing-traditional-teaching-methods/

https://www.pcmag.com/article/357483/how-artificial-intelligence-is-shaping-the-future-of-educati


https://www.techemergence.com/examples-of-artificial-intelligence-in-education/

http://www.gettingsmart.com/2017/07/how-adaptive-learning-is-changing-traditional-teaching-methods/

https://www.pcmag.com/article/357483/how-artificial-intelligence-is-shaping-the-future-of-educati


https://www.techemergence.com/examples-of-artificial-intelligence-in-education/

Appendix 3

• https://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/indicator_coi.asp• Executive office of the President, 2016, ”Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and the Economy”

Social Impact of Education with AI

AI Help 13.0%

Current HS Grad No HS Total Automation Rates HS Grad No HS No HS

83.0% 17.0% 19.0% 44.0% 44.0%

Automated Jobs 7.5% 7.5%

With AI HS Grad No HS

93.8% 6.2%

New HS Grads 10.8%

Automated Jobs 2.050100% 2.7% 4.8% HS Students 15,100,000

Seniors 3,775,000

Minorities 20%

Graduates 814,645

Decrease 2.7% Jobs saved 203,661

Appendix 4

Citations:

Historical data for # jobs- https://data.bls.gov/pdq/SurveyOutputServlet

Data for historical and predicted population-

https://www.census.gov/newsroom/cspan/1940census/CSPAN_1940slides.pdf

Source for 10 million job loss by 2020- http://www.industrytap.com/future-

shock-10-million-jobs-lost-ai-robots-2020/40374

YearJob Total (continued

growth in 1000s)

Job Total (AI impacted

growth in 1000s)

Population (in

millions)

2018 148420 145000

2019 150239 143500

2020 152080 142080 341.4

2021 153944 140339

2022 155830 139204

2023 157740 138641

2024 159673 138080

2025 161630 138080

2026 163611 138080

2027 165616 138926

2028 167646 140629

2029 169700 142352

2030 171780 144097 373.5

2031 173885 145863

2032 176016 147650

2033 178173 149460

2034 180357 151291

2035 182567 153145

2036 184805 155022

2037 187069 156922

2038 189362 158845

2039 191683 160792

2040 194032 162762 403.7

2041 196410 164757

2042 198817 166776

2043 201253 168820

2044 203720 170889

2045 206216 172983

2046 208743 175103

2047 211302 177249

2048 213891 179421

2049 216513 181620

2050 219166 183846 439

Employment Projections

Past 30 year growth rate: 1.20%

2050 # jobs (continued growth): 219,165,914

2050 # jobs (AI impacted): 183,846,148

Total # Jobs Lost Due to AI: 35,319,766

https://data.bls.gov/pdq/SurveyOutputServlet

https://www.census.gov/newsroom/cspan/1940census/CSPAN_1940slides.pdf

http://www.industrytap.com/future-shock-10-million-jobs-lost-ai-robots-2020/40374

Appendix 5

Citations:

For suicide and unemployment- http://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lanpsy/PIIS2215-0366(14)00118-7.pdf

For cost of suicides- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suicide_in_the_United_States

Assumptions from Suicide Research

Change in unemployment rate: Resulting suicide rate:

From 4% --> 7%: 0.0123%

From 7% --> 10% 0.0128%

From 10% --> 13% 0.0133%

From 13% --> 16% 0.0135%

From 16% --> 19% 0.0137%

Predicted Impact from Suicides

Predicted unemployment: 19.50%

Consequent suicide rate: 0.0137%

Difference in suicide rates: 0.0019%

Predicted population: 439,000,000

Increase in number of suicides: 8341

Cost to society per suicide: $ 1,154,028.92

Total Cost to Society: $ 9,508,240,032.22

http://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lanpsy/PIIS2215-0366(14)00118-7.pdf

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suicide_in_the_United_States

Appendix 6

Citations:

YouTube baseline costs-

http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/technology/2009/04/do_you_think_bandwidth_grows_on_trees.html

MVP cost for an app/website- https://www.spaceotechnologies.com/never-ask-how-much-will-an-app-development-cost-

me/

Glassdoor.com

https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=84

Potential costs of solution 1

Platform creation for MVP

(minimal variable product) $ 10,000.00

Bandwidth and servers $ 240,000.00

Remaining (R&D,

maintenance, etc.) $ 60,000.00

Software engineer team (5

@$150K) $ 1,500,000.00

Total Annual Costs $ 1,810,000.00

Revenue from Universities

½ Professor Salary 50,000

Number of Universities 3039

Use Rate 0.05

Total $ 7,597,500

Appendix 7


United States Census Bureau: Wealth and Asset Ownership (1998 – 2013)

https://www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/wealth/data/tables.2000.html

https://www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/wealth/data/tables.2000.html

Appendix: STEM Field Workforce

74.2% Male

25.8% Female

70.8% White

14.5% Asian

6.5% Hispanic

6.4% Black1.8% Other


*Landivar, 2014, ”Disparities in STEM Employment by Sex, Race and Hispanic Origin”

Appendix: Current Adaptive Learning

Company Specialty

Carnegie LearningFairly advanced math software for 6-12 Grade

education

Mastery LearningBloom- Focused platform that provides targeted

feedback primarily

Content Technologies AI that develops customized educational content

Dream Box Math software for K-8 programs (game focused)

Third Space LearningAI grouped with Tutors to provide 1:1 teaching to

students

USCGamified technology to measure performance

and adapt

Stanford and University of WashingtonStudent driven feedback and sustainable solutions

to use AI effectively

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Providing Opportunities for All - UW Tacoma · 2018-03-09 · - Mary Snapp (Corporate VP and Lead...

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