+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova · Generally speaking, do you think that things in...

Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova · Generally speaking, do you think that things in...

Date post: 01-Sep-2019
Category:
Upload: others
View: 4 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
73
Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova September 11-October 16, 2018
Transcript

Public Opinion Survey:Residents of Moldova

September 11-October 16, 2018

Detailed Methodology

2

• The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center

for Insights in Survey Research. The fieldwork was carried out by Magenta Consulting.

• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 11 and October 16, 2018

through face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes.

• The sample consisted of 1,503 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older and eligible to vote and is

representative of the general population by gender, region and settlement size.

• Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: Data weighted for 11 regional groups, urban/rural and gender.

• A multistage probability sampling method was used, with the random route and next birthday respondent selection

procedures.

• Stage one: All districts of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of Transnistria)

were surveyed.

• Stage two: Selection of the settlements (cities and villages).

• Settlements were selected at random.

• The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the

particular type of settlement in each region.

• Stage three: Primary sampling units were described.

• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent for the full sample.

• The response rate was 68 percent.

• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

• The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development.

Mood of the Country

Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction?

4

34%30%

33%32%

27%31%

19%

40%

37%

42%

33%

41%

38%

22%21%

38% 41%

13% 11%10%

32%

16%

26%24%24%

58%61%

57%54%

58%55%

66%

42%

51%47%

54%

45%

53%

73%74%

51%47%

79%83%82%

62%

78%

73%69%

71%

8% 9% 10%14%15%14%15%

17%

12%11%13%14%

9%5% 5%

11%12%8% 5% 8% 6% 6%

1%7%

5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Mar-

04

Nov-0

4

Apr-

06

Mar-

07

Apr-

08

Nov-0

8

Jun-0

9

Nov-0

9

Feb-1

0

May-1

0

Sep-1

0

Feb-1

1

Aug-1

1

Dec-1

1

Jan-1

2

Jun-1

4

Sep-1

4

Oct-

15

Mar-

16

Sep-1

6

Mar-

17

Oct-

17

Feb-1

8

Jun-1

8

Oct-

18

Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer

*In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal involving nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks. The scandal is

often referred to as “the stolen billion.”

**In 2016, Moldova conducted the first popular election of the president since 1996. Igor Dodon was elected in the second round

contest on November 13, 2016.

5

21%

25%

29%

73%

68%

68%

6%

7%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Rural communities(N=831)

Urban communities(not including Chisinau)

(N=356)

Chisinau(N=315)

Right direction Wrong direction Don’t know/No answer

Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction? (continued)

(Disaggregated by settlement type)

Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today?

6

1%

4%

3%

10%

4%

5%

7%

7%

30%

31%

38%

45%

48%

44%

52%

49%

15%

15%

7%

9%

7%

6%

7%

7%

50%

46%

49%

33%

39%

42%

32%

35%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace

I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough

I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast

No change is taking place

Don’t know/No answer

Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Moldova changed?

7

3%

5%

3%

4%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

5%

3%

5%

2%

2%

4%

6%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

23%

26%

24%

24%

13%

20%

9%

8%

11%

14%

18%

25%

23%

15%

13%

20%

22%

4%

6%

6%

16%

15%

16%

18%

18%

37%

37%

36%

32%

30%

30%

22%

34%

24%

30%

28%

27%

34%

20%

31%

33%

24%

16%

23%

25%

35%

45%

42%

45%

41%

25%

22%

27%

27%

29%

28%

42%

39%

38%

30%

26%

22%

17%

31%

28%

23%

21%

34%

32%

30%

29%

21%

24%

22%

23%

9%

6%

5%

10%

20%

15%

20%

10%

21%

19%

17%

18%

18%

29%

22%

14%

19%

42%

36%

35%

15%

16%

14%

10%

13%

3%

4%

5%

4%

6%

5%

5%

7%

4%

5%

6%

5%

3%

3%

4%

6%

7%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household changed?

8

2%

4%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

4%

1%

4%

1%

2%

2%

4%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

16%

23%

25%

19%

11%

15%

9%

7%

8%

11%

14%

16%

18%

13%

10%

18%

21%

4%

5%

7%

11%

12%

12%

16%

13%

48%

47%

44%

41%

37%

39%

32%

46%

36%

42%

36%

34%

43%

39%

41%

45%

38%

24%

32%

42%

53%

56%

53%

56%

54%

22%

20%

22%

23%

25%

27%

36%

34%

36%

29%

29%

31%

18%

28%

29%

24%

19%

33%

33%

24%

23%

19%

23%

17%

23%

10%

5%

5%

9%

16%

14%

17%

9%

16%

15%

14%

15%

14%

17%

15%

9%

15%

35%

27%

23%

10%

12%

9%

8%

9%

1%

1%

1%

5%

9%

4%

5%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

Janauary 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

In your opinion, how will the economic situation of Moldova change in the next 12 months?

9

6%

11%

1%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

2%

2%

24%

27%

6%

14%

13%

27%

20%

24%

28%

19%

29%

24%

21%

34%

35%

32%

42%

35%

35%

37%

17%

11%

30%

21%

20%

19%

14%

18%

14%

17%

7%

12%

32%

19%

17%

7%

8%

7%

6%

8%

17%

15%

10%

10%

14%

11%

15%

14%

15%

17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer

What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment?

10

38%

29%

27%

21%

11%

10%

10%

9%

9%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Low income/Pensions

Corruption

Unemployment

Emigration

High prices/Inflation

Poverty

Roads

Bad government

Economic crisis

Healthcare

Political crisis

Bad politicians

Education

Low standard of living

Citizen indifference

"The stolen billion"

Social assistance

Expensive utilities/Housing

Instability in the country

Crime

Ineffective laws

Uncertainty regarding the future

Lack of exports

Expensive medicines

Conflicts between politicians

(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)

What are the most important problems facing your village/town at the moment?

11

41%

22%

10%

9%

9%

9%

6%

6%

6%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Roads

Unemployment

Cleanliness

Emigration

Lack of sanitation or sewerage

Low income/Pensions

Water supply

Insufficient street lighting

Bad mayor

Lack of public transport

Poor conditions at schools/Kindergartens

Expensive utilities/Housing

High prices/Inflation

Gas supply

Traffic jams

Healthcare system

Corruption

Infrastructure

Lack of cultural centers and activities

Social assistance

Citizen indifference

(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)

What are the most important problems facing you and your household?

12

(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)

50%

12%

11%

8%

5%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Low income/Financial problems

Unemployment

Health problems

Emigration

High prices/Inflation

Expensive utilities/Housing

Poverty

No firewood

Poor social assistance

Loneliness

House needs to be repaired

Expensive medicines

No place to sell our products

Water supply

Low standard of living

Family problems

No trash utilities

Lack of sanitation or sewerage

Roads

How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in Moldova?

13

2%

2%

1%

5%

2%

2%

1%

3%

4%

2%

5%

3%

5%

3%

1%

4%

9%

1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

24%

26%

25%

21%

17%

21%

16%

27%

22%

27%

23%

29%

25%

23%

18%

41%

31%

7%

11%

12%

24%

17%

20%

23%

24%

44%

44%

43%

41%

41%

42%

41%

37%

37%

40%

41%

36%

39%

36%

43%

30%

26%

23%

22%

26%

34%

33%

31%

33%

32%

17%

14%

14%

18%

24%

20%

25%

20%

27%

21%

24%

21%

22%

29%

27%

16%

26%

66%

58%

54%

37%

44%

43%

39%

39%

13%

14%

17%

15%

16%

15%

17%

14%

10%

10%

8%

10%

9%

9%

11%

9%

7%

3%

6%

6%

3%

5%

4%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer

Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view?

14

57%

58%

71%

74%

78%

60%

61%

68%

71%

71%

24%

21%

14%

12%

9%

17%

17%

19%

17%

16%

8%

11%

9%

6%

7%

13%

17%

10%

9%

9%

11%

10%

6%

8%

6%

10%

5%

3%

3%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change)

Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system

Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order

Don't know/No answer

Views on Corruption

Do you consider the country to be governed in the interest of the majority of people or in the interest of some groups?

16

17%

5%

7%

5%

7%

8%

10%

78%

90%

89%

91%

89%

85%

86%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

7%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Majority of people Some groups Don't know/No answer

How big of a problem is corruption in Moldova today?

17

72%

66%

64%

60%

62%

61%

58%

53%

57%

59%

61%

80%

73%

81%

73%

87%

87%

89%

75%

85%

80%

82%

77%

24%

25%

26%

25%

27%

31%

33%

37%

31%

33%

29%

15%

21%

14%

18%

8%

8%

7%

19%

11%

16%

14%

16%

2%

3%

2%

5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

1%

5%

1%

1%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

5%

8%

10%

6%

5%

3%

5%

7%

4%

6%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

November 2004

March 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

It is a very big issue It is a big issue It is not a big issue It is not an issue at all Don't know/No answer

Where, in your opinion, is corruption most present in Moldova?

18

29%

20%

16%

8%

6%

6%

4%

3%

3%

1%

6%

22%

20%

11%

12%

12%

8%

4%

4%

3%

1%

5%

30%

21%

8%

11%

7%

7%

4%

3%

5%

2%

6%

30%

22%

10%

9%

9%

7%

4%

3%

4%

1%

3%

20%

25%

11%

10%

13%

7%

3%

2%

6%

1%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

The Parliament

Public servants (doctors, teachers, policemen)

Prime Minister and Cabinet

Judical branch

Business leaders, oligarchs

Political parties and leadership of parties

The President

Local officials

Everywhere

Other

Don't know/No answer

October 2018 June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017

In the past 12 months, how often, if ever, have you had to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe in order to receive services?

19

59%

67%

63%

71%

22%

23%

23%

18%

6%

4%

5%

4%

4%

3%

5%

4%

9%

3%

4%

3%

March 2017

October 2017

June 2018

October 2018

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Never 1 or 2 times 3-5 times More than 5 times Don’t know/No answer

In the past 12 months, how often, if ever, have you had to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe in order to receive services?

(continued)

20

74%

72%

61%

18%

19%

18%

3%

4%

7%

2%

2%

10%

3%

2%

4%

Rural communities(N=831)

Urban communities(not including Chisinau)

(N=356)

Chisinau(N=315)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Never 1 or 2 times 3-5 times More than 5 times Don’t know/No answer

(Disaggregated by settlement type)

For whom have you had to do a favor, give a gift or pay a bribe in order to receive services?

21

60%

29%

16%

3%

2%

2%

1%

2%

13%

67%

25%

18%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

11%

72%

19%

23%

4%

5%

1%

1%

8%

6%

63%

26%

25%

4%

5%

2%

7%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Doctors/Hospital employee

Police

Educator/University official

Kindergarten administrator

Local government official

Border official

Judge/Lawyer

Other

Don't know/No answer

October 2018; N=393 June 2018; N=510 October 2017; N=456 March 2017; N=478

(Respondents who had to do this in the last 12 months; respondents permitted to supply three answers)

Politics

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?

23

27%

14%

13%

6%

6%

4%

4%

4%

3%

2%

2%

2%

12%

27%

12%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Igor Dodon

Andrei Nastase

Maia Sandu

Pavel Filip

Vladimir Plahotniuc

Zinaida Grecianii

Ilan Shor

Vladimir Voronin

Renato Usatii

Irina Vlah

Ion Ceban

Andrian Candu

Other

None

Don't know/No answer

(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)

What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or members of the Moldovan government?

24

47%

40%

39%

36%

35%

34%

28%

24%

23%

22%

20%

13%

11%

10%

8%

47%

46%

53%

58%

56%

58%

61%

61%

60%

70%

70%

72%

82%

40%

33%

3%

2%

0%

2%

1%

3%

3%

1%

2%

5%

1%

40%

48%

6%

11%

6%

6%

7%

7%

7%

12%

10%

6%

8%

10%

6%

10%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Igor Dodon

Andrei Nastase

Zinaida Greceanii

Vladimir Voronin

Pavel Filip

Maia Sandu

Ilan Shor

Dorin Chirtoaca

Andrian Candu

Vlad Plahotniuc

Renato Usatii

Iurie Leanca

Mihai Ghimpu

Valeriu Munteanu

Viorel Cibotaru

Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard of Don't know/No answer

You may have heard that Andrei Nastase won the popular vote to become mayor of Chisinau on June 3, 2018. The Supreme Court later

decided to cancel the election result. Do you approve or disapprove the Court’s decision to cancel the

election results?

25

16%

13%

13%

35%

23%

Nationwide (N=1,503)

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Don’t know/No answer

14%

12%

18%49%

8%

Chisinau(N=315)

Attitudes Toward the President, Government and Local Authorities

Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the President of Moldova Igor Dodon?

27

31%

26%

28%

27%

27%

23%

22%

21%

20%

20%

15%

14%

15%

15%

14%

29%

33%

33%

32%

34%

2%

4%

3%

6%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

Do you approve or disapprove of the Filip government?

28

5%

6%

7%

7%

6%

7%

20%

22%

29%

28%

23%

26%

19%

26%

20%

16%

22%

16%

42%

39%

35%

41%

39%

37%

14%

7%

9%

8%

10%

14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

What are the most important problems that the Filip government must solve?

29

(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers)

35%

25%

15%

10%

9%

6%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Wages/Pensions

Job creation

Tackling corruption

Emigration

Roads

Economic performance

Consumer prices

Solving problems of citizens

Disconnect between the government and citizens

Assistance to young people

Assistance to pensioners

Living conditions

Heathcare system

Government should quit

Social assistance

Poverty

Education reform

Build a team of professionals

Recovering the "stolen billion"

Development of agriculture

Issues of public order

Carry out reforms

Do you approve or disapprove of the parliamentary majority led by the Democratic Party?

30

3%

5%

6%

6%

18%

21%

18%

21%

26%

22%

23%

17%

45%

46%

47%

49%

8%

6%

6%

7%

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

Do you think that the Moldovan parliament is responsive to the needs of citizens like you?

31

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

7%

13%

14%

18%

17%

19%

20%

27%

29%

30%

32%

32%

70%

57%

53%

49%

46%

46%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Very responsive Rather responsive Rather not responsive Not responsive at all Don't know/No answer

Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your local government (i.e. mayor, local councilors and raion councilors)?

32

21%

19%

21%

28%

36%

35%

38%

32%

21%

23%

19%

16%

18%

20%

15%

19%

4%

3%

7%

5%

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

*Below the central government, Moldova is divided administratively into three municipalities, two autonomous regions and 32 districts

which are referred to as raions. The raions are governed by a locally-elected council.

Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your local government (i.e. mayor, local councilors and raion councilors)?

(continued)

33

35%

34%

4%

37%

34%

18%

12%

11%

29%

13%

16%

37%

11%

4%

3%

Rural communities(N=831)

Urban communities(not including Chisinau)

(N=356)

Chisinau(N=315)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

(Disaggregated by settlement type)

Parliamentary Elections

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections?

35

75%

61%

62%

60%

62%

64%

59%

18%

26%

24%

23%

25%

21%

28%

3%

5%

8%

7%

6%

6%

5%

2%

5%

3%

7%

5%

5%

4%

1%

3%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections?

(Disaggregated by age)

36

56%

58%

61%

32%

28%

27%

5%

7%

4%

4%

5%

4%

3%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

18-29 years old(N=240)

30-49 years old(N=529)

50+ years old(N=734)

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Do you feel that the upcoming parliamentary elections will be free and fair?

37

8%

24%

24%

33%

11%

Completely free and fair

Somewhat free and fair

Somewhat not free and fair

Not free and fair at all

Don’t know/No answer

Do you feel that the upcoming parliamentary elections will be free and fair?

(Disaggregated by settlement type)

38

3%

10%

10%

26%

20%

26%

26%

22%

23%

35%

34%

31%

9%

14%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Chisinau(N=315)

Urban communities(not including Chisinau)

(N=236)

Rural communities(N=831)

Completely free and fair Somewhat free and fair Somewhat not free and fair

Not free and fair at all Don't know/No answer

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, for which

political party would you vote?

39

30%

11%

11%

10%

4%

3%

2%

1%

<1%

1%

6%

4%

16%

4%

4%

8%

10%

7%

4%

5%

<1%

1%

1%

11%

6%

38%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii)

Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc)

Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu)

Political party “Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase)

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

Political party "Sor" (Sor)

Our Party (Usatii)

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă)

Other

None of the parties

Will not vote

Don’t know/No answer

First choice Second choice

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, for which

political party would you vote?

40

32%

12%

12%

12%

4%

4%

2%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

4%

15%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii)

Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc)

Political party "Action and Solidarity" (Sandu)

Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform" (Nastase)

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

Political party "Sor" (Sor)

Our Party (Usatii)

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă)

Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Cibotaru)

Other

None of the parties

Don’t know/No answer

(Likely voters: N=1,317)

In making your decision about who to vote for Parliament, which issue from the following is the most important for your vote?

Which issues are the second and third by importance?

41

41%

22%

9%

6%

7%

4%

6%

2%

1%

2%

15%

24%

16%

11%

12%

11%

6%

2%

2%

2%

13%

14%

11%

18%

14%

10%

9%

6%

3%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Corruption

The economy

Roads and infrastructure

Emigration

Healthcare

Education

The “stolen billion”

Foreign policy

EU and Eurasian Economic Union

Don't know/No answer

First choice Second choice Third choice

42

2%

8%

1%

10%

1%

6%

3%

9%

22%

39%

1%

5%

1%

4%

2%

6%

4%

12%

23%

42%

1%

4%

1%

4%

2%

7%

8%

8%

20%

44%

Don't know/No answer

The "stolen billion"

EU and Eurasian Economic Union

Healthcare

Foreign policy

Emigration

Education

Roads and infrastructure

The economy

Corruption

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

18 to 35 years old (N=431) 36 to 50 years old (N=376) 51+ years old (N=714)

In making your decision about who to vote for Parliament, which issue from the following is the most important for your vote?

(Disaggregated by age)

When voting for a candidate to represent your district in parliament, what is more important to you?

43

48%

50%

9%

6%

4%

2%

4%

11%

4%

6%

29%

22%

2%

3%

June 2018

October 2018

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

The candidate as a person

The party or bloc the candidate represents

The fact that the candidate is from my city/raion/village

The fact that the candidate is a well-known national political leader

The fact that candidate is independent

All are equally important

Don’t know/No answer

If there are two candidates running for parliament in your district and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one

is a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support?

44

45%

10%

43%

2%

Man

Woman

Makes no difference for me

Don’t know/No answer

Have you ever engaged in any of the following activities?

45

17%

12%

12%

12%

8%

6%

4%

4%

2%

82%

87%

86%

86%

89%

92%

93%

94%

95%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

Participate in a protest

Sign a petition

Attend a political meeting

Contact an elected official

Post on social media about political issues

Participate in a boycott

Join or support a formal or informalorganization with a political agenda

Join a political party

Run for political office

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Yes No Don’t know/No answer

Are you interested in engaging in any of the following activities within the next several years?

46

29%

24%

22%

18%

16%

12%

9%

8%

7%

67%

72%

74%

78%

78%

84%

86%

86%

88%

4%

4%

4%

4%

6%

4%

5%

6%

5%

Participate in a protest

Sign a petition

Attend a political meeting

Contact an elected official

Participate in a boycott

Post on social media about political issues

Join a political party

Join or support a formal or informalorganization with a political agenda

Run for political office

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Yes No Don’t know/No answer

Have you seen any political activists working in your area in the last 12 months?

47

27%

30%

16%

27%

19%

18%

30%

27%

66%

63%

81%

70%

78%

81%

67%

70%

7%

7%

3%

3%

3%

1%

3%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

Yes No Don't know/No answer

If yes, which political party did the political activists in your area represent?

48

50%

41%

41%

20%

16%

13%

11%

8%

6%

4%

2%

1%

1%

1%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Greceanii)

Sor Party (Sor)

Democratic Party of Moldova (Plahotniuc)

Political party “Dignity and Truth” (Nastase)

Our Party (Usatii)

Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu)

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Cibotaru)

European People's Party of Moldova (Leanca)

Christian Democratic People's Party (Ciobanu)

Nation Unity Party (Salaru)

Liberal Reformist Party (Hadarca)

Green Ecologist Party (Prohnitchi)

Don’t know/No answer

(Respondents who reported having seen political activists working in their area: N=412; Respondents allowed to provide multiple answers)

International Relations

How would you assess current relations between Moldova and each of the following countries?

50

68%

64%

55%

54%

52%

12%

13%

12%

19%

15%

14%

16%

29%

15%

16%

5%

7%

4%

12%

17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

European Union

Romania

Russia

Ukraine

United States

Good Neither good nor bad Bad Don't know/No answer

Which of these countries do you consider to be the most important economic partner, political partner and threat for Moldova?

51

40%

32%

22%

37%

29%

5%6%

10%

5%

2% 2%

15%

4%

1%

4%

25%

13%

23%24%

Economic partner Political partner Threat

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Russia European Union Romania United States Ukraine None Don't know/No answer

*Previously, IRI allowed respondents to provide multiple responses to this question. During this round of polling, IRI limited

respondents to one answer in order to indicate which of the countries represented Moldova’s most important economic partner, most

important political partner and greatest threat.

If Moldova could only join one international economic union, which one should it be?

52

46%

38%

43%

40%

42%

49%

43%

46%

48%

42%

45%

44%

43%

43%

38%

42%

36%

37%

1%

3%

4%

8%

8%

5%

7%

7%

4%

11%

14%

9%

9%

7%

8%

8%

11%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer

If Moldova could only join one international economic union, which one should it be? (continued)

(Disaggregated by age)

53

69%

53%

38%

23%

35%

43%

2%

3%

7%

6%

9%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

18-29 years old(N=240)

30-49 years old(N=529)

50+ years old(N=734)

The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer

If a referendum was held today on Moldova joining NATO, how would you vote?

54

31%

19%

16%

21%

27%

22%

21%

22%

23%

31%

35%

40%

42%

45%

43%

41%

43%

35%

15%

19%

24%

21%

18%

22%

30%

21%

23%

23%

27%

20%

16%

10%

13%

8%

14%

19%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

March 2017

October 2017

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

For Moldova joining NATO Against Moldova joining NATO Would not vote Don’t know/No answer

Youth Political Engagement

Do you think that today’s generation of young people has a good future in Moldova?

56

18%

24%

23%

76%

70%

73%

6%

6%

4%

February 2018

June 2018

October 2018

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Yes No Don't know/No answer

What is the main challenge to young people’s political participation in Moldova today?

57

36%

22%

19%

14%

5%

2%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Unemployment/Financial problems

Emigration

Lack of interest or motivation/Disappointment

Lack of confidence, trust and hope in the future

Lack of investment in or support for young people

Political parties do not encourage youth

There are no challenges facing youthparticipation

Don’t know/No answer

Which of the following should be the government’s first priority regarding Moldovan youth?

58

58%

16%

15%

5%

4%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Employment

Educational reform

Institute reforms that make it easier for youth to startbusinesses

Address youth health and psychological issues

Encourage youth participation in public life

Encourage youth participation in political life

Don’t know/No answer

Sources of Information

Which of these media sources do you use for gaining political information?

60

85%

46%

45%

29%

20%

16%

15%

86%

50%

38%

33%

14%

24%

16%

89%

42%

32%

26%

11%

15%

14%

87%

47%

34%

31%

15%

18%

89%

45%

43%

41%

21%

28%

90%

40%

25%

30%

11%

20%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

TV – news, programs

Internet

Relatives/Friends

Radio – news, programs

Social media

Articles in newspapers

Debates

October 2018 June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017 September 2016

(Respondents permitted to supply several answers)

Which of these media sources do you use for gaining political information? (Continued)

61

12%

8%

6%

4%

3%

2%

12%

8%

7%

7%

7%

2%

1%

7%

3%

5%

4%

3%

2%

8%

9%

11%

8%

6%

1%

14%

15%

13%

17%

9%

7%

8%

7%

8%

5%

1%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%

Work colleagues

Billboards/Stands in the streets

Meetings with politicians

Leaflets/Other free information by mail

Articles in magazines

None

Don't know/No answer

October 2018 June 2018 February 2018 October 2017 March 2017 September 2016

(Respondents permitted to supply several answers)

Which television channels do you watch for political information?

(TV channels mentioned by at least one percent of respondents; respondents permitted to supply several answers)

62

43%

27%

25%

20%

16%

13%

10%

10%

8%

4%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Prime TV

Moldova 1

Jurnal TV

Pro TV

Publica TV

RTR

NTV

Canal 3

Canal 2

TV8

Accent TV

TNT

N4

CTC

Ren TV

What television channels do you watch for entertainment?

63

23%

19%

14%

14%

14%

12%

11%

8%

7%

5%

5%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Prime TV

RTR

TNT

Moldova 1

NTV

Canal 3

CTC

Canal 2

Pro TV

TV1000

Jurnal TV

Discovery

Publica TV

TV8

N4

RenTV

(TV channels mentioned by at least one percent of respondents; respondents permitted

to supply several answers)

Which of the following is the primary channel you usually watch most of the time if you had to choose one?

64

17%

12%

11%

9%

6%

5%

5%

5%

4%

3%

2%

6%

10%

9%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%

Prime TV

Moldova 1

Jurnal TV

RTR

Pro TV

Canal 3

TNT

NTV

Canal 2

Publica TV

CTC

Other

I do not watch TV

Don't know/No answer

How often do you use the internet?

65

43%

49%

49%

46%

40%

38%

35%

34%

33%

32%

23%

23%

18%

17%

18%

13%

15%

12%

4%

4%

4%

4%

8%

6%

6%

6%

6%

6%

4%

4%

6%

6%

5%

5%

5%

2%

5%

5%

5%

4%

6%

5%

6%

6%

6%

6%

4%

4%

7%

8%

5%

8%

7%

4%

4%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

6%

5%

6%

7%

6%

6%

9%

6%

4%

5%

6%

5%

8%

4%

3%

3%

11%

8%

14%

12%

11%

13%

12%

12%

34%

32%

36%

38%

37%

42%

41%

46%

47%

48%

52%

56%

45%

51%

51%

52%

48%

59%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

4%

1%

3%

2%

6%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2018

June 2018

February 2018

October 2017

March 2017

September 2016

March 2016

October 2015

September 2014

June 2014

January 2012

December 2011

August 2011

February 2011

September 2010

May 2010

February 2010

November 2009

Every day 5-6 days a week 3-4 days a week 1-2 days a week Less often Never Don't know/No answer

Do you own a smartphone which can access the internet?

(Respondents who use the internet)

66

68%

67%

68%

73%

74%

30%

32%

30%

26%

25%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2017(N=946)

October 2017(N=940)

February 2018(N=960)

June 2018(N=1,033)

October 2018(N=978)

Yes No Don’t know/No answer

Do you use any of the following social media sites?

(Respondents who use the internet; respondents permitted to supply several answers)

67

63%

63%

48%

21%

20%

12%

60%

65%

18%

21%

14%

56%

68%

18%

13%

58%

65%

22%

18%

59%

76%

18%

18%

47%

72%

14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Facebook

Odnoklassniki

Viber

WhatsApp

Instagram

Vkontakte

October 2018 (N=978) June 2018 (N=1,033) February 2018 (N=960)

October 2017 (N=940) March 2017 (N=946) March 2016 (N=699)

Do you use any of the following social media sites? (continued)

(Respondents who use the internet; respondents permitted to supply several answers)

68

5%

4%

4%

3%

15%

3%

2%

4%

2%

1%

16%

5%

3%

3%

1%

16%

6%

5%

1%

1%

14%

4%

5%

3%

1%

13%

8%

5%

1%

2%

16%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%

Telegram

MoiMir

Twitter

LiveJournal

LinkedIn

I don’t use social media

October 2018 (N=978) June 2018 (N=1,033) February 2018 (N=960)

October 2017 (N=940) March 2017 (N=946) March 2016 (N=699)

How often do you use social media as a source of daily news?

69

43%

48%

39%

8%

6%

6%

10%

9%

8%

7%

8%

7%

11%

8%

14%

18%

19%

23%

3%

2%

3%

February 2018(N=960)

June 2018(N=1,033)

October 2018(N=978)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Every day 5-6 days a week 3-4 days a week 1-2 days a week Less often Never Don't know/No answer

(Respondents who use the internet)

Demographics

Demographics

47%

53%

16%

35%

49%

9%

28%

38%

24%

1%

4%

77%

7%

5%

7%

87%

8%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Male

Female

18-29 years

30-49 years

50 years and older

Unfinished secondary

Secondary

Vocational

Higher/Incomplete higher

No answer

Romanian

Moldovan

Russian

Ukrainian

Other

Russian Orthodox

Romanian Ortodox

Other

None

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UCATIO

NETH

NIC

ITY

RELIG

ION

71

Demographics

72

2%

4%

2%

6%

6%

9%

7%

2%

4%

32%

6%

11%

4%

2%

3%

45%

46%

5%

26%

38%

11%

1%

2%

21%

24%

55%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Manager/Director/Patron

Specialist

Technician

White collar

Services/Trade

Blue collar

Unqualified worker

Farmer

Student

Retired (not working)

Housewife

Unemployed/Looking for a job

Unemployed/Not looking for a job

Other

Refused

My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm

The salary or income of some of the members of my family

Sale of products of the part-time farm

Use of products of the part-time farm

Social benefits

The help of relatives/friends in a form of money, food and goods

Something else

No answer

Chisinau

Mid-sized/Small town

Rural area

OCCU

PATIO

N

BASIC

SO

URCES O

F L

IVELIH

OO

D(R

esp

ondents

perm

itte

d t

o s

upply

severa

l answ

ers

)SETTLEM

EN

TTYPE

www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls

Center for Insights in Survey Research

202.408.9450 | [email protected]


Recommended