Date post: | 15-Jan-2016 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | nataly-millman |
View: | 215 times |
Download: | 0 times |
Public Safety vs. 100-Year Floodplain
Doug Bellomo
ASFPM Annual Meeting
May 21, 2008
Flood Map Modernization
Potential CFM Exam Question 1 Potential CFM Exam Question 1
Are you safe if you live in
the
100-year floodplain?
Flood Map Modernization
Potential CFM ExamQuestion 2 Potential CFM ExamQuestion 2
Are you safe if you live outside
the 100-year floodplain?
Flood Map ModernizationSome Hints…… Some Hints……
The answers to both questions is the same.
The floodplain status has little to do with it.
Flood Map ModernizationIt’s a Trick QuestionIt’s a Trick Question
The answer is “you are safe” if:
• You know your risks.
• Avoid them to the maximum extent possible.
• Mitigate against what you can’t avoid.
• Insure against the rest.
Flood Map ModernizationIt’s a Trick Question It’s a Trick Question
The answer is “you are not safe” if you:
• Don’t listen to the science.• Close your eyes to the
risks.• Don’t effectively
communicate the threats.• Hope nothing will happen. • View insurance as a
burden rather than a benefit.
Flood Map Modernization
It is Possible To Be Safe in A FloodplainIt is Possible To Be Safe in A Floodplain
There are communities that not only live with their floodplains, but thrive with them.
• Common traits: They take responsibility and are
accountable for their actions. They are respectful of their
neighbors. They take a long view focused on
sustainability.• They do not:
Externalize their public safety responsibilities.
Turn a deaf ear or blind eye to their neighbors.
Gamble their future for short term gain.
Flood Map ModernizationHealthy CommunitiesHealthy Communities
Find a way to balance what some consider competing priorities:
• Economic Vitality• Public Safety• Environmental Stewardship
They have:• A vision of their future• A plan on how to get there,
and They systematically identify
and mitigate the risks and remove barriers in the way of achieving that vision
Flood Map ModernizationMitigation Is All Around UsMitigation Is All Around Us
Initial exposure at 16 years old.
The Virginia DMV. Google “IPDE” A four step process
outlined by American Safety Council.
Potential Hazard
IDENTIFY PREDICT DECIDE EXECUTE
Flood Map ModernizationThe Four Step “IPDE” ProcessThe Four Step “IPDE” Process
Step 1: Identify“A driver must practice scanning the driving environment for the primary purpose of IDENTIFYING real and potential hazards.”
Step 2: Predict “What might happen should you encounter a real or potential hazard.”
Step 3: Decide“What driver action you will implement (accelerate, steer, decelerate, or any combination of these vehicle control maneuvers) to avoid a crash with a real (or potential) hazard.”
Step 4: Execute“Carry out your decided-upon action.”
SOUND FAMILIAR?
11Identify Identify RiskRisk 22AssessAssess
RiskRisk
33CommunicateCommunicateRiskRisk44MitigateMitigate
RiskRisk
Risk MAP:
REDUCE LOSS OF LIFE &
PROPERTY AT LOCAL LEVELS
Transfer Risk
Reduce Risk
MapRisk Data
Goal – Measure Quantifiable Risk
Reduction
AssessPresent & Future
Risks
Continuous Renewal & Improvement
Continuous Renewal & Improvement
Continuous Renewal & Improvement
Continuous Renewal & Improvement
Continuous Renewal & Improvement
Continuous Renewal & Improvement
Continuous Renewal & Improvement
Continuous Renewal & Improvement
Plan for Risk
Risk Mapping, Assessment, and Planning (Risk MAP) Lifecycle
Flood Map ModernizationAlas It’s Not So Simple Alas It’s Not So Simple
Communities are not cars traveling down a road.
But if they were:• They would have more than one person at the wheel. • Multiple people would be working the clutch, gas and
brake. • There would be at least one, perhaps two, navigating the
course.• The car would occasionally stop to let some out and
others in.• There would be kids screaming in the back seat.
Flood Map ModernizationThe Trick To SafetyThe Trick To Safety
Bring order to the car. Get everyone working together. Make sure the navigator has a good map and
knows where they are going (a plan). Stop at McDonalds to keep the kids happy and
quiet.
Flood Map ModernizationRisk MAPRisk MAP
Risk MAP aims to bring order to the car. Lays out a cyclical process that focuses mostly
on the “Identify,” but also a bit on the “Assess/Predict,” and the “Decide/Plan/Communicate.”
This gives you the time and information you need to:
• Convince your companies, states, or communities that mitigation pays
• Focus on taking the actions necessary to reduce risk
Flood Map ModernizationSafety and the 1% StandardSafety and the 1% Standard
There is no silver bullet, no levee, dam or other engineering wonder that will make a community “safe” enough they can ignore flood threats.
The 1% standard is not a “safety” standard – it’s a minimum requirement to be eligible for federal flood insurance.
Following the minimum standards will make you safer than not doing these things, but it won’t necessarily make you safe.
Real improvements to safety come from taking responsibility and employing a thoughtful honest process routinely over the long term.
Good luck on the exam!