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PULMONARY ASPERGILLOSIS IN ASSOCIATION WITH TUBERCULOSIS AND HIV IN UGANDA A thesis submitted to The University of Manchester for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) in the Faculty of Medical and Human Sciences. 2015 IAIN DUNSMUIR PAGE SCHOOL OF MEDICINE / Institute of Inflammation and Repair
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Page 1: PULMONARY*ASPERGILLOSIS*IN*ASSOCIATION*WITH*TUBERCULOSIS …

PULMONARY  ASPERGILLOSIS  IN  ASSOCIATION  WITH  TUBERCULOSIS  AND  HIV  IN  

UGANDA  

 

 

 

 

A  thesis  submitted  to  The  University  of  Manchester  for  the  degree  of  Doctor  of  

Philosophy  (PhD)    

in  the  Faculty  of  Medical  and  Human  Sciences.  

 

 

2015  

 

 

 IAIN  DUNSMUIR  PAGE  

 

 

 

SCHOOL  OF  MEDICINE  /  Institute  of  Inflammation  and  Repair  

 

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Table of Contents

ABBREVIATIONS  .............................................................................................................................  2  1  ABSTRACT  ........................................................................................................................................  6  2  

AUTHOR  DECLARATION  ..............................................................................................................  7  3  COPYRIGHT  STATEMENT  ............................................................................................................  8  4  

DEDICATION  ....................................................................................................................................  9  5  

THE  AUTHOR  .................................................................................................................................  11  6  INTRODUCTION  ............................................................................................................................  14  7  Part  1  –  Thesis  structure  ......................................................................................................................  14  8  Part  2  –  Author  contribution  to  enclosed  papers  ........................................................................  16  9  Part  3  –  Publication  plan  ......................................................................................................................  18  10  Part  4  –  Published  review  article  -­‐  Antibody  testing  in  aspergillosis  –  quo  vadis?  ..........  20  11  Part  5  –  CPA  as  Global  Public  Health  issue  .....................................................................................  57  12  

METHODOLOGY  ............................................................................................................................  62  13  Paper  1  –  Performance  of  six  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assays  for  the  diagnosis  of  chronic  14  pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CPA)  and  allergic  bronchopulmonary  aspergillosis  (ABPA)  62  15  Paper  2  –Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  in  patients  previously  treated  for  pulmonary  16  tuberculosis  in  Gulu,  Uganda  .............................................................................................................  75  17  Paper  3  -­‐  Prevalence  of  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CPA)  secondary  to  18  tuberculosis:  a  cross-­‐sectional  survey  in  an  area  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence  ........  83  19  Paper  4  -­‐  “Frequency  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  ‘smear-­‐negative  tuberculosis  cases”  20  and  Paper  5  “Frequency  of  Aspergillus  co-­‐infection  in  patients  admitted  to  a  Ugandan  21  hospital  with  pulmonary  tuberculosis”  ..........................................................................................  96  22  

PAPER  1  -­‐  Comparison  of  six  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assays  for  the  diagnosis  of  23  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CPA)  and  allergic  bronchopulmonary  24  aspergillosis  (ABPA)  ................................................................................................................  103  25  

PAPER  2    -­‐  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  in  patients  previously  treated  for  26  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  Gulu,  Uganda  .........................................................................  139  27  

PAPER  3    -­‐  Prevalence  of  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CPA)  secondary  to  28  tuberculosis:  a  cross-­‐sectional  survey  in  an  area  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence.29    .........................................................................................................................................................  160  30  

PAPER  4  -­‐  An  estimate  of  the  prevalence  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  HIV-­‐31  positive  Ugandan  in  patients  diagnosed  as  smear-­‐negative  pulmonary  32  tuberculosis.  ...............................................................................................................................  189  33  

PAPER  5  -­‐  Aspergillus  co-­‐infection  may  be  common  in  Africans  with  active  34  pulmonary  tuberculosis  .........................................................................................................  201  35  

SUMMARY  ....................................................................................................................................  212  36  REFERENCES  ...............................................................................................................................  217  37  

APPENDICES  ................................................................................................................................  245  38    

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ABBREVIATIONS 39  

 40  

AAFB     Acid  and  alcohol  fast  bacilli  41  

 42  

ABPA     Allergic  bronchopulmonary  aspergillosis  43  

 44  

AIDS       Acquired  immunodeficiency  syndrome  45  

 46  

AU     Arbitrary  units  47  

 48  

AUC     Area  under  the  curve  49  

 50  

BAL     Broncho-­‐alveolar  lavage  51  

 52  

CCPA     Chronic  cavitary  pulmonary  aspergillosis  53  

 54  

CD4     Cluster  of  differentiation  4  55  

 56  

CF     Cystic  fibrosis  57  

 58  

CFPA     Chronic  fibrosing  pulmonary  aspergillosis  59  

 60  

CGD     Chronic  granulomatous  disease  61  

 62  

CI     Confidence  interval  63  

 64  

CIE     Counterimmunoelectrophoresis  65  

 66  

COPD     Chronic  obstructive  pulmonary  disease  67  

 68  

CNPA     Chronic  necrotizing  pulmonary  aspergillosis  69  

 70  

CPA     Chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  71  

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 72  

CT     Computed  tomography  73  

 74  

CV     Co-­‐efficient  of  variation  75  

 76  

CXR     Chest  X-­‐ray  77  

 78  

DD     Double  diffusion  79  

 80  

DR  Congo   Democratic  Republic  of  Congo  81  

 82  

ELISA     Enzyme-­‐linked  immunosorbent  assay  83  

 84  

EORTC   European  Organization  for  Research  and  Treatment  of  Cancer  85  

 86  

ESCMID   European  Society  of  Clinical  Microbiology  and  Infectious  Diseases  87  

 88  

FEIA     Fluoroenzymeimmunoassay  89  

 90  

GAFFI     Global  Action  Fund  for  Fungal  Infections  91  

 92  

GM     Galactomannan  93  

 94  

GRRH     Gulu  Regional  Referral  Hospital  95  

 96  

GVHD     Graft  versus  host  disease  97  

 98  

HA     Haemagglutination  99  

 100  

HIV     Human  immunodeficiency  virus  101  

 102  

IA     Invasive  aspergillosis  103  

 104  

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IAV     Intra-­‐assay  variability  105  

 106  

IHA     Immunohaemagglutination  107  

 108  

ICU     Intensive  care  unit  109  

 110  

IDSA     Infectious  Diseases  Society  of  America  111  

 112  

IMMY     Immuno-­‐Mycologics  113  

 114  

ISHAM     International  Society  for  Human  and  Animal  Mycology  115  

 116  

IRB     Institutional  Review  Board  117  

 118  

JCRC     Joint  Clinical  and  Research  Centre  119  

 120  

KEMRI     Kenya  Medical  Research  Institute  121  

 122  

LA     Latex  agglutination  123  

 124  

LFD     Lateral  flow  device  125  

 126  

ManRAB   Manchester  Respiratory  and  Allergy  Biobank  127  

 128  

MIND-­‐IHOP   Mulago  Inpatient  Noninvasive  Diagnosis  –  International  HIV  129  

Opportunistic  Pneumonia  130  

 131  

MRI   Manchester  Royal  Infirmary  132  

 133  

MTA   Material  Transfer  Agreement  134  

 135  

MTB   Mycobacterium  tuberculosis    136  

 137  

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MRC     Medical  Research  Council  138  

 139  

NAC   National  Aspergillosis  Centre  140  

 141  

PCR   Polymerase  chain  reaction  142  

 143  

RAST   Radioimmunoassay  144  

 145  

ROC     Receiver  operating  characteristic  146  

 147  

SAFS     Severe  asthma  with  fungal  sensitization  148  

 149  

SCID     Severe  combined  immunodeficiency  150  

 151  

TB     Tuberculosis  152  

 153  

Th2  cells   T-­‐helper  2  cells  154  

 155  

TREGS     T-­‐regulatory  cells  156  

 157  

UHSM     University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester  158  

 159  

UK     United  Kingdom  160  

 161  

UNCST     Uganda  National  Council  for  Science  and  Technology  162  

 163  

USA     United  States  of  America  164  

 165  

WHO     World  Health  Organization  166  

167  

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ABSTRACT 168  Thesis   submitted   to  The  University  of  Manchester   in  2015  by   Iain  Dunsmuir  Page   for  169  the  degree  of  Doctor  of  Philosophy  entitled  “Pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  association  with  170  tuberculosis  and  HIV  in  Uganda”.  171    172  Chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CPA)   is   a   serious   disease   that   occurs   secondary   to  173  tuberculosis   and   is   estimated   to   affect   1.2   million   persons   globally.   Pulmonary  174  aspergillosis   is   found   in  2-­‐3%  of  all  AIDS  autopsies,  but  90%  of  cases  go  undiagnosed  175  ante-­‐mortem.  Here   the   sensitivity   and   specificity   of   optimal   diagnostic   thresholds   for  176  CPA  have  been  defined  in  relation  to  six  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assays.  The  prevalence  177  of  CPA  in  an  area  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence  has  been  measured.  178    179  Receiver  operating  characteristic  (ROC)  curves  were  used  to  compare  results  of  testing  180  with   six   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   assays   in   241   patients   with   CPA   and   100   healthy  181  controls.   ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP   and   Siemens   Immulite   had   ROC   area  182  under   curve   (AUC)   results   of   0.995   and   0.991   respectively.   Both   were   statistically  183  significantly  superior  to  all  other  assays.  Both  had  a  sensitivity  of  96%  and  specificity  of  184  98%  using  diagnostic  cut  offs  of  20  mg/L  and  10  mg/L  respectively.    185    186  Eighty   patients   with   allergic   bronchopulmonary   aspergillosis   (ABPA)   were   also  187  assessed.  ROC  AUC  results  were  0.959  for  ImmunoCAP  and  0.932  for  Immulite.  The  new  188  thresholds  produced  specificities  of  98%  for  both  assays  and  sensitivities  of  78%  and  189  81%  respectively.  Levels  in  ABPA  patients  were  also  compared  to  asthmatic  controls.  190    191  398   patients   with   treated   tuberculosis   in   Gulu,   Uganda   were   assessed   in   a   cross-­‐192  sectional   survey.   CCPA   diagnostic   criteria   were;   1   –   Cough   or   haemoptysis   for   one  193  month,  2  –  Progressive  cavitation  on  serial  chest  X-­‐ray  or  either  paracavitary  fibrosis  or  194  aspergilloma  on  CT  scan  and  3  –  Raised  Siemens   Immulite  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG.  All  195  three  were   required   for   diagnosis.   CCPA  was   present   in   5.7%   of   patients   and   simple  196  aspergilloma   in   0.7%   of   patients.   There   was   a   non-­‐significant   trend   to   less   frequent  197  CCPA  in  HIV  positive  patients  (p=0.18).    198    199  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels  were  measured   in  stored  sera   from  two  adult   in  patient  200  groups  at  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala,  Uganda.  26%  of  39  patients  with  HIV  infection  and  201  subacute   respiratory   illness   and  no  diagnosis   after   extensive   investigation  had   raised  202  levels.  47%  of  57  patients  with  proven  active  pulmonary  tuberculosis  had  raised  levels.  203    204  The  Immulite  and  ImmunoCAP  assays  both  have  good  sensitivity  and  specificity  for  the  205  diagnosis   of   CPA.   New   diagnostic   thresholds   improve   the   performance   of   all   assays.  206  CCPA  has  been  shown  to  complicate  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  Gulu,  Uganda.  Subacute  207  invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis   is   likely   to   affect   many   patients   with   AIDS   and  208  subacute   respiratory   illness.   CPA   may   begin   during   active   pulmonary   tuberculosis  209  infection.  CPA  associated  with  tuberculosis  constitutes  a  significant  unrecognized  public  210  health   problem,   which   is   probably   being   incorrectly   identified   as   ‘smear-­‐negative  211  tuberculosis’  clinically  and  in  public  health  data.  Prospective  studies  are  now  needed  to  212  confirm   the   prevalence   of   CPA   secondary   to   tuberculosis   and   define   the   optimal  213  strategy   for   routine   CPA   screening,   followed   by   studies   to   define   optimal   treatment  214  regimes  for  use  in  research  poor-­‐settings,  where  most  cases  of  CPA  are  likely  to  occur.  215  

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AUTHOR DECLARATION 216  

 217  

The   author   has   not   submitted   any   portion   of   the   work   referred   to   in   the   thesis   in  218  

support   of   an   application   for   another   degree   or   qualification   of   this   or   any   other  219  

university  or  other  institute  of  learning.    220  

 221  

Results   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   from   100   healthy   controls   are   compared   to   other  222  

groups   throughout   this   thesis.   These   results   from  healthy   controls  were   also  used  by  223  

Mr.   Richard   Kwizera   as   part   of   his   2014   MSc   (Medical   Mycology)   thesis   at   The  224  

University   of   Manchester.   In   this   work   he   compares   results   in   healthy   controls   to  225  

patients   with   chronic   obstructive   pulmonary   disease   (COPD).   While   the   author  226  

provided  some  assistance  to  Mr.  Kwizera  on  this  project,  his  role  was  peripheral  and  as  227  

a  result  it  does  not  form  part  of  this  PhD  thesis.  228  

 229  

230  

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COPYRIGHT STATEMENT 231  

 232  

The   author   of   this   thesis   (including   any   appendices   and/or   schedules   to   this   thesis)  233  

owns   certain   copyright   or   related   rights   in   it   (the   “Copyright)   and   he   has   given   The  234  

University   of   Manchester   certain   rights   to   use   such   Copyright,   including   for  235  

administrative  purposes.  236  

 237  

Copies  of   this   thesis,  either   full  or   in  extracts  and  whether   in  hard  or  electronic  copy,  238  

may  be  made  only  in  accordance  with  the  Copyright,  Designs  and  Patents  Act  1998  (as  239  

amended)   and   regulations   issued   under   it   or,  where   appropriate,   in   accordance  with  240  

licensing  agreements  which  the  University  has  from  time  to  time.  This  page  must  form  241  

part  of  any  such  copies  made.  242  

 243  

The  ownership  of  certain  Copyright,  patents,  designs,  trade  marks  and  other  intellectual  244  

property  (the  “Intellectual  Property”)  and  any  reproductions  of  copyright  works  in  this  245  

thesis,  for  example  graphs  and  tables  (“Reproductions”),  which  may  be  described  in  this  246  

thesis,   may   not   be   owned   by   the   author   and   may   be   owned   by   third   parties.   Such  247  

Intellectual  Property  and  Reproductions  cannot  and  must  not  be  made  available  for  use  248  

without   the   prior   written   permission   of   the   owner(s)   of   the   relevant   Intellectual  249  

Property  and/or  Reproductions.  250  

 251  

Further   information   on   the   conditions   under   which   disclosure,   publication   and  252  

commercialization   of   this   thesis,   the   Copyright   and   any   Intellectual   Property   and/or  253  

Reproductions  described  in  it  may  take  place  is  available  in  the  University  IP  Policy  (see  254  

http://documents.manchester.ac.uk/DocuInfo.aspx?DocID=487),  in  any  relevant  Thesis  255  

restriction   declarations   deposited   in   the   University   Library,   The   University   Library’s  256  

regulations  (see    257  

http://www.manchester.ac.uk/library/aboutus/regulations)   and   in   the   University’s  258  

Policy  on  presentation  of  Theses.  259  

 260  

 261  

262  

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DEDICATION 263  

 264  

The   author   would   like   to   thank   his   supervisors   Profs   David   Denning,   Malcolm  265  

Richardson   and   Angela   Simpson   for   all   their   guidance   and   support   throughout   this  266  

project.   Many   thanks   are   due   to   Dr   Julie   Morris   for   her   assistance   with   statistical  267  

planning   and   analysis   throughout   this   work.   I   am   also   grateful   to   the   staff   of   the  268  

Mycology   Reference   Centre   at   University   Hospital   of   South   Manchester   and   the  269  

pathology   laboratory   of   Christie   Hospital,   Manchester   for   providing   training   and  270  

support  throughout  the  laboratory  aspects  of  this  work.  271  

 272  

Further  thanks  are  due  to  the  UHSM  Academy  charity  and  to  the  commercial  companies  273  

Astellas  Pharma,  Siemens  Immulite,  Serion,  Genesis,  Dynamiker  and  OLM  Medical,  all  of  274  

whom   provided   support   to   this  work   in   the   form   of   grants,   donations   of   test   kits   or  275  

provision  of  accommodation  and  insurance.  Without  this  support  this  study  would  not  276  

have  been  possible.  277  

 278  

This   study  has   required  many   collaborative   efforts.   Particular   thanks   are  due   to   John  279  

Opwonya  and   the   staff   at   the  Gulu  District  Health  Office,  who  played  a   critical   role   in  280  

patient  recruitment  for  the  main  CPA  prevalence  study  in  Gulu.  The  reporting  of  chest  281  

X-­‐rays  was  crucial  to  this  study  and  required  a  substantial  commitment  by  Dr  Cyprian  282  

Opira  (Senior  Radiologist  and  Clinical  Director,  St.  Mary’s  Hospital,  Lacor,  Uganda),  Dr  283  

Sharath   Hosmane   (Specialty   Radiology   Registrar,   University   Hospital   of   South  284  

Manchester)  and  Dr  Richard  Sawyer  (Senior  Consultant  Radiologist,  University  Hospital  285  

of  South  Manchester).      286  

 287  

I   am   also   indebted   to   Mr.   Nathan   Onyachi   (Clinical   Director,   Gulu   Hospital)   for   his  288  

assistance   in  planning   the  Gulu   survey  and   to  Drs.  William  Worodria,  Alfred  Andama,  289  

Irene   Akaka   and   the   MIND-­‐IHOP   study   group   at   Mulago   Hospital,   Kampala.   This  290  

substantial  study  was  undertaken  in  collaboration  with  the  University  of  California,  San  291  

Francisco  aiming  to   identify   the  range  of  conditions  present   in  patients  admitted  with  292  

chronic   cough.   They  were   kind   enough   to  provide  me  with   stored   sera   from   selected  293  

patients  in  this  study,  the  analysis  of  which  forms  part  of  this  thesis.  294  

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 295  

Above  all  I  must  dedicate  this  thesis  to  my  wife  Sarah,  whom  I  married  six  weeks  into  296  

this   PhD   study   period.   She   has   been   a   source   of   endless   support   and   tolerance,  297  

especially  when  I  moved  to  Uganda  to  commence  clinical  work  just  a  few  months  into  298  

my  recovery  from  a  very  severe  illness.      299  

300  

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THE AUTHOR 301  

 302  

 303    304  

Dr  Iain  Dunsmuir  Page  MBChB,  BSc,  MRCP,  DTM&H    305  

 306  

The  author  graduated  from  The  University  of  Edinburgh  Medical  School  in  2002.  He  was  307  

awarded  an   intercalated  BSc   in  Virology  with  2.1  Honours.  He   gained  membership  of  308  

the  Royal  College  of  Physicians  of  Edinburgh  in  2006  and  was  awarded  the  Diploma  of  309  

Tropical  Medicine  and  Hygiene  with  Distinction  by  the  University  of  Liverpool  in  2007.  310  

 311  

He  worked  as  a  junior  doctor  in  Edinburgh,  Glasgow  and  Leeds  between  before  taking  312  

the   post   of   Clinical   Lecturer   at   the  University   of  Malawi   from  2007   to   2008.  He   then  313  

returned  to  the  UK  to  become  a  Specialty  Registrar   in  Infectious  Diseases  and  General  314  

Medicine,   working   at   Blackpool   Victoria   Hospital   and   North   Manchester   General  315  

Hospital.  From  2012  he  has  been  working  as  a  Clinical  Research  Fellow  at  the  University  316  

of  Manchester,  based  at  the  National  Aspergillosis  Centre  at  University  Hospital  of  South  317  

Manchester,  with  fieldwork  in  Gulu,  Uganda.  318  

 319  

The  authors  BSc  included  a  research  thesis  entitled  ‘Expression  of  Human  Herpes  Virus  320  

8   protein   vOx-­‐2’,   which   was   awarded   2.1   Honours.   He   has   published   four   research  321  

articles,   listed  below,   prior   to   his   current   post.  He   also   authored   the   gastro-­‐intestinal  322  

medicine  section  of  the  2008  Malawian  National  Prescribing  guidelines.  323  

 324  

In   addition   to   the   contents   of   this   thesis,   the   Dr   Page   also   authored   two   conference  325  

abstracts   relating   to   pulmonary   aspergillosis.   He   was   an   invited   speaker   at   the   6th  326  

Advances   Against   Aspergillosis   conference   (Madrid,   February   2014)   and   the   Global  327  

Action   Fund   for   Fungal   Infections   Forum   (GAFFI,   Seattle,   February   2015).  He  was   an  328  

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invited   panel   member   at   the   International   Society   for   Human   and   Animal   Mycology  329  

(ISHAM)  expert  group  on  azole  resistance    (Copenhagen,  October  2013),  which  will  be  330  

published   in   due   course.   He   co-­‐authored   the   UK   National   Aspergillosis   Centre’s  331  

submission  to  the  UK  All-­‐Party  Parliamentary  Group  on  Global  Tuberculosis  in  2014.  332  

 333  

Significant   difficulties   were   encountered   in   the   course   of   this   work.   Fieldwork   was  334  

delayed  by  several  months  due  to  outbreaks  of  Ebola  fever  in  Uganda  in  2012  and  2014.  335  

The   author   contracted   leptospirosis  while   on  honeymoon   in   the   second  month  of   the  336  

study  period  and  was  admitted  to  intensive  care  with  multi-­‐organ  failure.  While  he  was  337  

able   to   return   to  work   and  was   granted   a   3-­‐month   extension   to   his   study   period,   he  338  

suffered  persistent  hepatitis  and  severe  fatigue  for  a  year  after  discharge  from  hospital.  339  

He  has  now  fully  recovered.  340  

 341  

Prior  Publications  342  

 343  

1  -­‐  Page  I,  McKew  S,  Kudzala  A,  Fullwood  C,  van  Oosterhout  J  and  Bates  I.  Screening  HIV  344  

infected   adults   in   Malawi   for   anaemia:   need   for   a   new   hemoglobin   threshold   to  345  

determine   eligibility   for   antiretroviral   therapy.   International   Journal   of   STD   &   AIDS.  346  

2013;  24:449-­‐53  347  

 348  

2   -­‐   Page   I,   Phillips   M,   Flegg   P,   Palmer   R.   The   impact   of   new   National   HIV   Testing  349  

Guidelines  at  a  District  General  Hospital  in  an  area  of  high  HIV  sero-­‐prevalence.  Journal  350  

of  the  Royal  College  of  Physicians  of  Edinburgh.  2011;  41:9-­‐12.  351  

 352  

3   -­‐  Page   I,  Hardy  GD,  Fairfield   J,  Orr  D,  Nichani  R.   Implementing   the  Surviving  Sepsis  353  

Guidelines   in   a   District   General   Hospital.   Journal   of   the   Royal   College   of   Physicians   of  354  

Edinburgh  2011;41:309-­‐15.  355  

 356  

4  -­‐  Ameyaw  E,  Nguah  SB,  Ansong  D,  Page  I,  Guillerm  M,  Bates  I.  The  outcome  of  a  test-­‐357  

treat   package   versus   routine   outpatient   care   for   Ghanaian   children   with   fever:   a  358  

pragmatic  randomized  control  trial.  Malaria  Journal  2014;  13:461.  359  

 360  

361  

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Conference  presentations  –  unpublished  work  not  included  in  thesis  362  

 363  

1   –   Muldoon   EG,   Page   I,   Bishop   P,   Denning   DW.   Aspergillus   pulmonary   nodules;  364  

presentation,   radiology   and   histology   features.   Poster   100   –   6th   Advances   Against  365  

Aspergillosis,  Madrid,  Spain  27th  February  –  2nd  March  2014.  366  

 367  

2  –  Richardson  MD,  Page  I,  Richardson  RR.  Detection  of  Aspergillus  antibodies  by  a  new  368  

indirect   haemagglutination   assay.   Poster   97   –   6th   Advances   Against   Aspergillosis,  369  

Madrid,  Spain  27th  February  –  2nd  March  2014.  370  

 371  

372  

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INTRODUCTION 373  

 374  

Part  1  –  Thesis  structure  375  

 376  

This   thesis   is   submitted   in   the   alternative   format.   This   format   was   selected   as   the  377  

completed   research   takes   the   form   of   five   separate   studies.   Each   of   these   has   been  378  

completed  with  positive  results  that  will  be  submitted  for  publication  in  due  course.  The  379  

alternative   format   is   therefore   suitable.   The   introduction   is   based  on   a   review  article  380  

published  in  the  journal  Medical  Mycology,  although  this  article  has  been  edited  from  its  381  

published   format   in   response   to   corrections   produced   at   the   PhD   viva   examination.  382  

There   is   then   a   further   review   of   the   literature   relating   to   the   global   prevalence   of  383  

chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CPA)   in   association   with   tuberculosis   and   human  384  

immunodeficiency  virus  (HIV)  infection.    385  

 386  

The   primary   goal   of   this   thesis   is   to   measure   the   prevalence   of   CPA   secondary   to  387  

tuberculosis.   Additional   studies   provide   evidence   of   the   existence   of   pulmonary  388  

aspergillosis   in   adult   patients   admitted   to   an   African   hospital   with   acquired  389  

immunodeficiency   syndrome   (AIDS)   and   chronic   cough.   Before   these   tasks   could   be  390  

undertaken,   it   was   first   necessary   to   demonstrate   the   sensitivity   and   specificity   of  391  

existing   tests   for   the   diagnosis   of   CPA.   The   key   test   in   the   diagnosis   of   CPA   is  392  

measurement   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG.  While  many   assays   are   available   to  measure  393  

this,   the  sensitivity  and  specificity  of   these  assays   for   the  diagnosis  of  CPA  was  barely  394  

described  prior  to  this  work.    395  

 396  

The  first  paper  in  this  thesis  describes  a  comparison  of  six  assays  for  the  measurement  397  

of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in  cohorts  of  patients  with  known  CPA  and  ABPA  at   the  UK  398  

National  Aspergillosis  Centre  plus  healthy  controls.  This  paper  demonstrates  that  two  of  399  

the   available   assays   perform   well   in   the   diagnosis   of   CPA   and   ABPA.   The   Siemens  400  

Immulite  assay  was  then  selected  for  use  in  the  prevalence  studies  as  the  manufacturer  401  

kindly  offered  to  donate  kits  for  this  purpose.  402  

 403  

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The  third  and  fourth  papers  in  the  thesis  describe  the  results  of  a  cross-­‐sectional  study  404  

to  measure  the  prevalence  of  CCPA  in  patients  with  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  405  

Gulu,  Uganda.  This  required  two  surveys  two  years  apart  in  order  to  detect  progressive  406  

cavitation   on   chest   X-­‐ray.   Clinical   assessment  was   performed   and  Aspergillus-­‐specific  407  

IgG  measured.  CT  scan  was  performed  in  patients  with  evidence  of  possible  CPA  from  408  

the   first   survey.   The   first   study   commenced   in   September   2012   and   is   described   in  409  

paper   two.   The   second   survey   was   completed   in   February   2015   and   is   described   in  410  

paper  three.  411  

 412  

In   addition   to   these   cross-­‐sectional   studies   in   Gulu,   two   collaborative   studies   were  413  

arranged  with  the  MIND-­‐IHOP  study  group  at  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala.  This  forms  the  414  

basis   of   papers   four   and   five.   This   study   group   had   been   collecting   sera   from   adult  415  

patients  admitted  to   their  hospital  with  chronic  cough.  They  had  performed  extensive  416  

investigations  to  diagnose  the  underlying  conditions  in  these  patients,  but  did  not  have  417  

access   to   Aspergillus   serology.   We   therefore   measured   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in  418  

selected  stored  sera  from  the  MIND-­‐IHOP  study.  The  first  group  was  from  patients  with  419  

a   clinical   presentation   that   was   consistent   with   subacute   invasive   pulmonary  420  

aspergillosis.  This   forms   the  basis  of  paper   four.  The  second  group  was   from  patients  421  

with   proven   pulmonary   tuberculosis.   Here   a   positive   test   for   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  422  

provides  evidence  of  Aspergillus  co-­‐infection.  This  forms  the  basis  for  paper  five.  423  

 424  

Overall   this   thesis  provides  definitive  data  on  the  sensitivity  and  specificity  of  various  425  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   assays.   It   demonstrates   that   two   assays   have   statistically  426  

significantly   superior  performance   for   the  diagnosis   of   CPA.   It   then  uses  one  of   these  427  

assays  to  measure  the  prevalence  of  CCPA  in  an  area  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence  for  428  

the   first   time.   Evidence   is   also   provided   of   undiagnosed   pulmonary   aspergillosis   in  429  

patients  with  AIDS   and   chronic   cough   and   of  Aspergillus   co-­‐infection   in   patients  with  430  

proven  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  431  

 432  

It  demonstrates  CPA  is  a  sufficiently  common  problem  to  be  considered  a  public  health  433  

issue   in   Uganda.   For   the   first   time   it   defines   the   radiological   and   serological  434  

characteristics   of   CPA   in   HIV-­‐infected   people,   after   they   have   recovered   from  435  

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tuberculosis.  The  work  described   in   this   thesis  provides   the   first   substantial  evidence  436  

that  CPA  is  a  significant  global  public  health  issue.  437  

Part  2  –  Author  contribution  to  enclosed  papers  438  

 439  

The  author  of  this  thesis  will  be  the  first  author  of  all  papers  included  in  this  alternative  440  

format  thesis.   In  each  case  he  took  the   lead  role   in  all  aspects  of   the  studies   including  441  

planning,  data  gathering,  analysis  and  presentation  as  well  as  ensuring  compliance  with  442  

all   regulatory   requirements.   All   clinical   aspects   of   this   work   took   place   in   Uganda,  443  

where  the  author  worked  independently  for  18  months  of  the  study  period.  444  

 445  

The  concepts  for  papers  one  and  two  were  devised  by  the  author’s  lead  supervisor  (Prof  446  

David   Denning)   and   discussed   prior   to   commencement   of   the   PhD.   The   concepts   for  447  

papers  three  to  five  originated  with  the  author  and  were  developed  after  commencing  448  

the  PhD.    449  

 450  

The   author   was   awarded   funding   for   the   Clinical   Research   Fellow   post   following   an  451  

open   application   process.   This   post   did   not   include   research   funding,   but   £26,000  452  

funding  was  made   available   by  UHSM  Academy   to   complete   the   first   CPA   prevalence  453  

study   in  Uganda.  The   author   then   applied   for   and  was   awarded   a   further   £24,000  by  454  

pharmaceutical  firm  Astellas  Pharma  in  an  open  applications  process.    455  

 456  

The   first   paper   was   completed   in   collaboration   with   several   commercial   test  457  

manufacturers.   The   author   contacted   all   known  manufacturers   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  458  

IgG   assays   regarding   the   serology   comparison   studies.   Test   manufacturers   Siemens  459  

Immulite   (Germany),   Serion   (Germany),   Genesis   (UK),   OLM   Medical   (UK)   and  460  

Dynamiker  (China)  all  agreed  to  donate  kits  for  use  in  the  comparison  study.  Dynamiker  461  

and  Serion  both  also  agreed  to  provide  £2500  towards  laboratory  costs.  The  total  value  462  

of  funding  and  donations  arranged  by  the  author  is  around  £100,000.    463  

 464  

Once   kits  were   donated   the   author   performed   around   95%  of   assays   involving   these  465  

kits,   with   the   remainder   performed   by   a   laboratory   assistant   (Matthew   Kneale)   who  466  

was  trained  in  their  use.  467  

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 468  

The   Ugandan   prevalence   studies   were   led   by   the   author,   who   personally   assessed  469  

around   95%   of   patients,   with   the   remainder   assessed   by   study   assistant   Matthew  470  

Kneale   following   training   by   the   author.   The   author   was   assisted   by   two   Ugandan  471  

employees   who   performed   translation   and   venepuncture.   The   Ugandan   prevalence  472  

studies  required  the  collaboration  of   local  health  workers.  The  author  visited  Gulu  for  473  

one  week  prior  to  the  PhD  with  his  supervisor  Prof.  David  Denning  and  was  introduced  474  

to  most  of  the  local  collaborators.  He  then  went  on  to  develop  these  relationships  over  475  

the  next  three  years.    476  

 477  

Gulu   District   Health   team   played   a   key   role   in   identifying   eligible   patients   by  478  

communicating  with   village   health  workers.   Laboratory   staff   at   the   Joint   Clinical   and  479  

Research   Centre   (JCRC),   Gulu   laboratory   performed   serum   separation   and   storage  480  

during  the  first  Gulu  survey  as  well  as  CD4  counts  on  HIV  infected  patients.  During  the  481  

second  survey   this  role  was  performed  by  staff  at   the  Gulu  Regional  Referral  Hospital  482  

laboratory,  who  also  performed  GeneXpert  tuberculosis  PCR  testing  on  sputum  samples  483  

from  patients  with  productive  cough.  Control  samples  from  healthy  blood  donors  were  484  

acquired  by  the  Gulu  Blood  Transfusion  service.  485  

 486  

Chest  X-­‐rays  were  performed  by  staff  at  the  radiology  department  of  St.  Mary’s  Hospital,  487  

Lacor.   CT   scans   were   performed   by   staff   at   the   Kampala   Imaging   Centre.   While   the  488  

author  reported  all  chest  X-­‐rays  and  scans,  results  in  paper  two  are  based  on  reports  by  489  

three  blinded  radiologists.  This  process   is  underway  for  chest  X-­‐rays  and  CT  scans  for  490  

paper  three,  but  is  not  complete  at  the  time  of  thesis  submission.  Radiological  results  in  491  

paper  three  are  therefore  based  on  the  author’s  own  reports.  492  

 493  

Papers  four  and  five  describe  the  results  of  opportunistic  testing  of  stored  samples  from  494  

another   study.   The   original   MIND-­‐IHOP   study   was   a   collaborative   venture   between  495  

Mulago  Hospital,   Kampala   and   the  University   of   California,   San  Francisco.   The   author  496  

contacted  the  Kampala  team  after  reading  published  results  of  their  study.  He  then  set  497  

up  two  new  collaborative  studies  after  it  became  clear  that  the  initial  MIND-­‐IHOP  study  498  

did   not   include   adequate   testing   for   pulmonary   aspergillosis.   The   MIND-­‐IHOP   study  499  

took  place  in  2010-­‐11.  The  author  played  no  role  in  the  design  or  conduct  of  this  study.  500  

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After   stored   samples   were   identified   the   author   arranged   shipment   to   the   UK   and  501  

performed   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   testing   in   the   Manchester   laboratory.   He   then  502  

analysed  these  results  in  relation  to  clinical  data  provided  by  the  MIND-­‐IHOP  group  and  503  

took  a  lead  role  in  the  subsequent  presentation  of  these  results.  504  

Part  3  –  Publication  plan  505  

 506  

The  review  article  based  on   the  PhD   literature  review  has  now  been  published   in   the  507  

journal  Medical  Mycology.  Final  data  for  each  of  the  original  research  papers  was  only  508  

received  from  collaborators  between  January  and  March  2015.  As  a  result  none  of  these  509  

have   been   published   yet.   Paper   one   has   been   submitted   for   publication   in   a   peer  510  

reviewed   journal.    All  other  studies  refer   to   the  diagnostic  cut  offs  and  sensitivity  and  511  

specificity  results   from  that  paper.  The  other  papers  will  be  submitted   for  publication  512  

once   paper   one   is   in   print.   Interim   data   has,   however   been   presented   at   academic  513  

conferences  as  listed  below:-­‐  514  

 515  

Review  article  publication  516  

 517  

Page   ID,   Richardson   M,   Denning   D.   Antibody   testing   in   aspergillosis   –   quo   vadis?  518  

Medical  Mycology.  2015:53;417-­‐39.    Doi  10.1093/mmy/myv020.  519  

 520  

Interim  results  presented  at  conferences  521  

 522  

Page  ID,  Kwizera  R,  Richardson  M,  Denning  D.  Comparative  efficacy  of  five  Aspergillus-­‐523  

specific   IgG   ELISAs   for   the   diagnosis   of   Chronic   Pulmonary   Aspergillosis   (CPA)   and  524  

Allergic  Bronchopulmonary  Aspergillosis   (ABPA).  25th  European  Conference  on  Clinical  525  

Microbiology  and  Infectious  Diseases,  Copenhagen,  25th-­‐28th  April  2015.  526  

 527  

Page   ID,   Onyachi   N,   Opwonya   J,   Opira   C,   Odongo-­‐Aginya   E,   Mockridge   A,   Byrne   G,  528  

Richardson   M,   Denning   DW.   Chronic   Pulmonary   Aspergillosis   (CPA)   is   likely   to   be   a  529  

common   complication   of   pulmonary   tuberculosis:   initial   results   of   a   cross-­‐sectional  530  

survey.   25th   European   Conference   on   Clinical   Microbiology   and   Infectious   Diseases,  531  

Copenhagen,  25th-­‐28th  April  2015.  532  

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  19  

Page   ID,   Opwonya   J,   Onyachi   N,   Opira   C,   Ondongo-­‐Aginya   E,   Mockridge   A,   Byrne   G,  533  

Denning   D.   Chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   complicating   treated   pulmonary  534  

tuberculosis   in   Gulu,   Uganda.   British   Society   of   Medical   Mycology,   Manchester   28-­‐29th  535  

May  2014.  536  

 537  

Page   ID,   Opwonya   J,   Onyachi   N,   Opira   C,   Ondongo-­‐Aginya   E,   Mockridge   A,   Byrne   G,  538  

Denning   D.   Chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   complicating   treated   pulmonary  539  

tuberculosis   in   Gulu,   Uganda.   44th  Union   International   Conference   on  Tuberculosis   and  540  

Lung  Health,  Paris,  France  1-­‐3rd  November  2013.  541  

 542  

Page   ID,   Opwonya   J,   Onyachi   N,   Opira   C,   Ondongo-­‐Aginya   E,   Mockridge   A,   Byrne   G,  543  

Denning   D.   Chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   complicating   treated   pulmonary  544  

tuberculosis   in   Gulu,   Uganda.   6th   Trends   in  Medical  Mycology   conference,   Copenhagen,  545  

Denmark  11-­‐14th  October  2013.  546  

 547  

Page   ID,   Denning   D.   Pulmonary   aspergillosis   secondary   to   AIDS   or   tuberculosis   in  548  

Uganda.  Royal  Society  of  Tropical  Medicine  Research  in  Progress  Conference,  London,  UK  549  

Dec  2012.  550  

 551  

552  

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Part  4  –  Published  review  article  -­‐  Antibody  testing  in  aspergillosis  –  quo  vadis?  553  

 554  

Iain  D  Pagea,b,c#,  Malcolm  Richardsona,b,c,  David  W  Denninga,b,c  555  

 556  

Institute   of   Inflammation   and   Repair,   The   University   of  Manchester,   UKa,  Manchester  557  

Academic   Health   Science   Centre,   UKb,   National   Aspergillosis   Center   and   Mycology  558  

Reference  Centre,  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UKc.  559  

 560  

#Address  correspondence  to  Iain  D  Page,  [email protected]  561  

 562  

Medical  Mycology.  2015:53;417-­‐39.    Doi  10.1093/mmy/myv020.  563  

 564  

 565  

 566  

 567  

 568  

 569  

 570  

 571  

 572  

 573  

574  

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ABSTRACT  575  

 576  

Humans   are   constantly   exposed   to   airborne   Aspergillus   spores.   Most   develop  577  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   antibodies   by   adulthood.   Persons   with   chronic   lung   disease   or  578  

Aspergillus  airway  colonization  often  have  raised   levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG.   It   is  579  

not  known  whether  this  signifies  an  increased  risk  of  future  aspergillosis.    580  

Chronic   and   allergic   forms   of   pulmonary   aspergillosis   are   estimated   to   affect  581  

over   three  million  people  worldwide.  Antibody   testing   is   central   to  diagnosis  of   these  582  

conditions,  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  and  583  

raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE  in  allergic  aspergillosis.  Antibody  levels  are  also  used  to  584  

monitor  treatment  response  in  these  syndromes.  Acute  invasive  disease  is  less  common.  585  

There  is  a  more  limited  role  for  antibody  testing  in  this  setting  as  immunosuppression  586  

often  results  in  delayed  or  absent  antibody  response.  587  

Many   methods   exist   to   detect   Aspergillus-­‐specific   antibodies,   but   there   are  588  

limited   published   data   regarding   comparative   performance   and   reproducibility.   We  589  

discuss   the   merits   of   the   available   tests   in   the   various   clinical   settings   and   their  590  

suitability  for  use  in  resource-­‐poor  settings,  where  the  majority  of  cases  of  aspergillosis  591  

are  thought  to  occur.  We  summarise  the  gaps  in  existing  knowledge  and  opportunities  592  

for  further  study  that  could  allow  optimal  use  of  antibody  testing  in  this  field.  593  

594  

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INTRODUCTION    595  

 596  

Aspergillus  is  a  mould  that  causes  disease  in  humans1.  Infection  can  lead  to  a  spectrum  597  

of   clinical   syndromes,   ranging   from   rapidly   fatal   acute   invasive   infection   to   chronic  598  

debilitating   pulmonary   disease2.   The   latter   can   normally   be   characterized   as   either  599  

allergic   airways   disorders   closely   associated  with   asthma3,4   or   chronic   lung   infection  600  

that   can   be   complicated   by   progressive   fibrosis   and   massive   haemoptysis5–8.  601  

Understanding  of  these  conditions  has  improved  significantly  over  the  course  of  several  602  

decades,   with   associated   changes   in   the   case   definitions   and   terminology   used   to  603  

describe  disease4,5.    604  

It   is   likely   that   chronic   and   allergic   forms   of   pulmonary   aspergillosis   are  605  

sufficiently   common   to   be   considered   a   public   health   issue   on   a   global   scale9–13.   The  606  

most   common   form   of   aspergillosis   is   undoubtedly   chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis  607  

secondary   to   treated   tuberculosis7,8,14–16.   It   is   therefore   likely   that  most   patients  with  608  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  will  be  living  in  the  resource-­‐poor  settings  where  tuberculosis  609  

is  most  common.    610  

Treatment   with   antifungal   medication   is   associated   with   clinical   and   /   or  611  

radiological   stabilization   or   improvement   in   all   common   forms  of   aspergillosis17–20.   It  612  

can   be   successfully   delivered   in   resource   poor   settings18.   Surgery   can   cure   chronic  613  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  selected  patients  with  localized  disease15,21  and  can  also  be  614  

performed  in  resource  poor  settings16.    615  

Diagnosis  of  aspergillosis   is  challenging.  Unfortunately   the  clinical  presentation  616  

of  chronic  and  allergic  aspergillosis  overlaps  considerably  with  other,  better-­‐recognised  617  

conditions   and   it   is   likely   that   the   vast   majority   of   cases   go   undiagnosed5,14,22.   The  618  

development  of  assays   to  detect  antigenaemia  has   led   to   improved  ability   to  diagnose  619  

invasive   infections  promptly  and   the   interpretation  and  performance  of   these  antigen  620  

detection   assays   have   been   reviewed   extensively23–28.   Chronic   and   allergic   forms   of  621  

aspergillosis   are   much   more   common   than   invasive   disease11–13,29,   but   have   been  622  

relatively  neglected.  Antibody  testing  is  central  to  the  diagnosis  of  these  conditions.  623  

It   is   the   goal   of   this   article   to   describe   the   antibody   response   that   occurs   in  624  

Aspergillus  infection  and  its  role  in  the  diagnosis  and  management  of  aspergillosis.  The  625  

strengths   and   limitations   of   the   various   techniques   available   to  measure  Aspergillus-­‐626  

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specific   antibodies  will   be   described,   together  with   a   review   of   the   evidence   of   their  627  

comparative  efficacies.    628  

 629  

CLINICAL  SYNDROMES  DUE  TO  ASPERGILLUS  INFECTION  630  

 631  

It  is  likely  that  human  exposure  to  Aspergillus  spp.  is  near  universal,  as  Aspergillus  spp.  632  

are   consistently   recovered   from  air   samples   in   urban   and   rural   areas   throughout   the  633  

year30,31.   Human   disease   due   to  Aspergillus   spp.   has   also   been   recorded  worldwide10.  634  

The  vast  majority  of  patients  with  aspergillosis  have  one  or  more  underlying  disorders  635  

and   the   presentation   of   aspergillosis   varies   in   line  with   the   underlying   disorder2,14,22.  636  

While  there  can  be  a  significant  degree  of  overlap  between  syndromes  it  is  nonetheless  637  

useful   to   summarise   the   commonly   observed   syndromes.   The   antibody   response   to  638  

Aspergillus   and   thus   the   role   of   antibody  measurement   in  diagnosis   and  management  639  

varies  greatly  from  one  syndrome  to  another.  640  

 641  

Superficial  aspergillosis  642  

 643  

Cutaneous  aspergillosis  is  uncommon  as  the  physical  barrier  provided  by  the  epidermis  644  

prevents  Aspergillus   inoculation.  Aspergillus   spp.   do   cause   keratitis,   otitis   externa   and  645  

onychomycosis   in   immunocompetent   persons,   but   antibody   response   is   not   normally  646  

seen  in  these  conditions  and  diagnosis  relies  on  microscopy  and  culture32–36.    647  

 648  

Aspergillus  bronchitis  649  

 650  

Aspergillus   can   grow   in   the   human   respiratory   tract.   This   can   occur   in   asymptomatic  651  

patients   and   in   these   circumstances   is   termed   colonisation37,38.   However   in   some  652  

patients  with  no  significant   immune  deficit,  Aspergillus  growth  in  the  respiratory  tract  653  

occurs   and   is   associated   with   cough   and   recurrent   chest   infections,   but   without  654  

radiological  evidence  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  These  patients  are  considered  to  have  655  

Aspergillus  bronchitis39.   This   is  well   described   in   persons  with   cystic   fibrosis40,   but   is  656  

not   restricted   to   this   group39.   Evidence   of   Aspergillus   growth   is   provided   by   either  657  

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recurrent   culture   growth   from   respiratory   samples   or   raised   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐658  

specific  antibodies.    659  

 660  

Acute  invasive  aspergillosis  661  

 662  

Acute   invasive   disease   can   occur   in   immunocompromised   persons   and   is   termed  663  

invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis,   invasive   rhinosinusitis,   invasive   tracheo-­‐bronchial  664  

aspergillosis   or   disseminated   aspergillosis   depending   on   the   site   of   the   invasive  665  

infection41–43.  These  conditions  are  mostly  associated  with  severe  neutropaenia,  but  can  666  

also  be  seen  in  association  with  a  large  range  of  conditions  including  corticosteroid  use,  667  

intensive   care   unit   (ICU)   admission,   diabetes,   liver   failure,   tuberculosis,   chronic  668  

obstructive   pulmonary   disease   (COPD),   chronic   granulomatous   disease   (CGD),   graft  669  

versus   host   disease   (GVHD),   solid   organ   transplantation   and   acquired  670  

immunodeficiency  syndrome  (AIDS)42–47.    671  

Pneumonia   is   the  most   common   initial   presentation,   but   lesions   involving   the  672  

kidneys,   cardiac   valves,   brain   and   skin   have   been   documented42,44,46.   Clear   diagnostic  673  

guidelines   have   been   published   by   the   European   Organization   for   Research   and  674  

Treatment  of  Cancer  (EORTC)48.  Measurement  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies  do  not  675  

form  part  of  these  criteria,  with  diagnosis  resting  on  biopsy  evidence  for  proven  disease  676  

or  a  combination  of  risk  factors,  radiological  change  and  microbiological  evidence  in  the  677  

form  of  culture  growth  or  antigen  detection  for  probable  disease.  678  

 679  

Subacute  invasive  pulmonary  aspergillosis  680  

 681  

In  addition  to  this  well-­‐recognised  acute  presentation  of  invasive  disease,  there  can  also  682  

be  a  more  indolent  presentation  with  progressive  destruction  of  the   lung  over  several  683  

weeks   or   months.   This   has   been   frequently   referred   to   as   chronic   necrotising  684  

pulmonary   aspergillosis   or   semi-­‐invasive   aspergillosis   in   the   past6,49,   but   the   term  685  

subacute   invasive  pulmonary  aspergillosis  has  been  adopted  more   recently50   and  will  686  

be   used   throughout   this   article.   The   condition   is   normally   seen   in   patients  with  mild  687  

immunosuppression   due   to   diabetes,   steroid   use,   alcoholism,   COPD,   tuberculosis   or  688  

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AIDS6,49,51–53.  A  similar  condition  occurs  in  the  sinuses,  where  is  termed  chronic  invasive  689  

fungal  rhinosinusitis41.  690  

Diagnosis   of   subacute   invasive   aspergillosis   is   based   on   a   combination   of  691  

symptoms,   radiological   changes   and   laboratory   tests,   including   antibody   and   antigen  692  

tests  or  culture6,53.    693  

There   is   a   large   degree   of   overlap   between   subacute   invasive   pulmonary  694  

aspergillosis   and   chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis7.   The   duration   of   symptoms   is   the  695  

main   difference,   over   one   month   of   symptoms   considered   appropriate   for   subacute  696  

invasive   aspergillosis6,53.   In   the   absence   of   treatment,   death   from   progressive   lung  697  

destruction  and  massive  haemoptysis  is  common.  Those  who  survive  subacute  invasive  698  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  can  go  on  to  develop  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis6.  699  

 700  

Chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  701  

 702  

The   term  aspergilloma  refers   to  a   fungal  ball   in  a   lung  cavity.  The  cavity  may  be  pre-­‐703  

existing  or  be  created  by  Aspergillus  as  an  aspergilloma  forms.  This  can  be  an  incidental  704  

radiological   finding   in   an   asymptomatic   person   and   is   termed   simple   aspergilloma   in  705  

these  cases15.  Fungal  balls  are  also  well  described  in  the  sinuses41.  706  

 707  

Formation   of   new   cavities   and   fibrosis   of   surrounding   lung   tissues   often   occurs   in  708  

response  to  chronic  Aspergillus  infection.  This  process  has  been  referred  to  as  complex  709  

aspergilloma15,54–56,   but   is   now   preferably   referred   to   as   chronic   pulmonary  710  

aspergillosis   (CPA)5,7,8.   It   can   be   subdivided   into   chronic   cavitary   pulmonary  711  

aspergillosis  (CCPA)  and  chronic  fibrosing  pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CFPA)5.  CPA  occurs  712  

in   patients   with   underlying   lung   conditions,   including   treated   tuberculosis,   atypical  713  

mycobacterial   infection,   sarcoidosis,   COPD,   pneumothorax,   prior   lung   surgery,  714  

rheumatoid   arthritis   or   lung   cancer7,8,14.   CPA   can   also   complicate   subacute   invasive  715  

pulmonary  aspergillosis6  or  allergic  bronchopulmonary  aspergillosis13.  Progressive  lung  716  

destruction   due   to   fibrosis   and   cavitation   occurs,   with   massive   life-­‐threatening  717  

haemoptysis   complicating   advanced   disease5,7,8.   CPA   is   estimated   to   affect   3   million  718  

people  worldwide11–13,57.  The  five-­‐year  mortality  of  CPA  is  up  to  85%7.    719  

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Diagnosis  is  based  on  a  combination  of  chronic  symptoms,  radiological  changes  720  

and   laboratory  tests5,7,8.  Unfortunately  the  symptoms  of  cough  and  breathlessness  can  721  

overlap   greatly  with   the   underlying   lung   diseases.   Radiological   changes   of   cavitation,  722  

fibrosis  and  pleural  thickening  can  also  overlap  greatly  with  underlying  conditions,  with  723  

distinctive  aspergilloma  detected  only  in  a  minority  of  patients5,8,58.  Laboratory  testing  724  

is  therefore  crucial  in  differentiating  patients  with  CPA  from  those  with  underlying  lung  725  

disease   alone.   Serum   galactomannan   has   been   documented   in   up   to   50%   of   CPA  726  

cases8,59,60,   but  may  not    have  any  diagnostic   value  due   to   a  high   false  positive   rate59.  727  

Culture   of   sputum   is   positive   in   up   to   44%   of   CPA   cases59,61,   but   raised   levels   of  728  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   immunoglobulin  G  (IgG)  antibodies  are  almost  always  present  and  729  

are  central  to  diagnosis5,7,8.  730  

 731  

Allergic  aspergillosis  732  

 733  

Sensitisation  to  Aspergillus  can  occur  in  asthmatics  and  such  patients  are  more  likely  to  734  

have   severe   asthma   with   life-­‐threatening   complications9,62,63.   This   is   referred   to   as  735  

severe  asthma  with  fungal  sensitization  (SAFS)64.  Allergy  to  Aspergillus  can  also  result  in  736  

rhinosinusitis41.   Diagnosis   of   sensitization   can   be   achieved   by   skin   testing   or   by  737  

detection  of  raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  immunoglobulin  E  (IgE)  antibodies65.    738  

Allergic   bronchopulmonary   aspergillosis   (ABPA)   complicates   1-­‐4%   of   adult  739  

asthma   cases,   many   of   whom   have   otherwise   healthy   lungs   and   no  740  

immunocompromise13,22.   ABPA   can   also   complicate   cystic   fibrosis66   and   occasional  741  

cases   are   also   seen   in   persons   with   neither   condition67.   ABPA   is   characterized   by  742  

recurrent  exacerbations  resulting   in  cough  and  breathlessness  with   lung   infiltrates  on  743  

chest  X-­‐ray  and  can  be  complicated  by  the  development  of  bronchiectasis  or  CPA22.   In  744  

contrast   to   other   forms   of   aspergillosis,   steroids   are   the   main   treatment,   with  745  

antifungals  used  as  steroid  sparing  agents  in  some  cases4.  746  

The  International  Society  for  Human  and  Animal  Mycology  (ISHAM)  has  recently  747  

revised   the   diagnostic   criteria   for   ABPA4.   Diagnosis   requires   the   presence   of   cystic  748  

fibrosis  or  asthma  plus  a   total   serum  IgE  of  >  1000   IU/ml  and  evidence  of  Aspergillus  749  

sensitivity   from   either   skin   prick   testing   or   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE   antibodies.  750  

Two  of   the   three   following  minor   criteria  must  also  be  present;   radiographic   changes  751  

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consistent   with   ABPA,   raised   eosinophil   count   or   raised   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific  752  

precipitating  or  IgG  antibodies.    753  

The   diagnostic   criteria   for   different   clinical   syndromes   in   aspergillosis   are  754  

summarised  in  table  1.  Figure  1  is  a  visual  representation  of  the  number  of  patients  with  755  

each   clinical   syndrome   overlaid   with   the   bars   showing   the   total   number   of   patients  756  

where  each  test  is  diagnostic.  757  

 758  

ANTIBODY  RESPONSE  TO  ASPERGILLUS  759  

 760  

Asymptomatic  persons  761  

 762  

While   human   airways   are   constantly   exposed   to   Aspergillus   spores   present   in   the  763  

air30,31,   these   spores   are   rendered   immunologically   inert   by   the   presence   of   surface  764  

hydrophobin68.  In  healthy  persons  the  innate  immune  system  ensures  that  most  spores  765  

are  promptly  destroyed69.   Those   that   germinate   into  hyphae   are  normally   recognised  766  

and  killed  by  neutrophils  before  they  can  invade  host  tissue70.    767  

Nonetheless,  antibodies  to  Aspergillus  are  formed  in  healthy  persons,  with  mean  768  

levels   increasing   from  childhood   into  adulthood71,72.   In  accordance  with   this,   tests   for  769  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   antibodies   are   normally   positive   using   sensitive   methods   such   as  770  

enzyme-­‐linked  immunosorbent  assay  (ELISA),  with  abnormal  results  defined  as  a  raised  771  

level   above   a   cut-­‐off   related   to   the   range   of   antibody   levels   seen   in   healthy  772  

persons38,73,74.  773  

Asymptomatic  persons  with  Aspergillus  airway  colonisation  may  develop  raised  774  

levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies  and  the  correct  interpretation  of  this  is  not  clear.  775  

Some  authors   classify   raised   levels   in   this  population   as   false  positives38.  However   to  776  

our   knowledge   there   are   no   published   studies   describing   the   long-­‐term   outcome   in  777  

colonised  patients.  It  is  therefore  not  clear  whether  patients  described  in  the  literature  778  

as   colonised   are   at   higher   risk  of   developing  pulmonary   aspergillosis   in   the   future  or  779  

not.   If   this   were   the   case   then   raised   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   antibodies   in  780  

asymptomatic  persons  might  be  an  indication  of  pre-­‐clinical  disease.  781  

Aspergillosis   normally   develops   in   patients   with   underlying   diseases4,14.   The  782  

range  of  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies  in  persons  with  these  diseases  may  not  783  

be  the  same  as  healthy  persons.  Up  to  20%  of  patients  with  treated  tuberculosis  have  784  

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positive  tests  for  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies75,  this  rises  to  25%  when  lung  cavities  785  

are   present76   and   36%   in   those   with   haemoptysis77.     Raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  786  

levels   are   also   seen   in   13%   of   Indian   asthmatics62,   24%   of   British   cystic   fibrosis  787  

patients78,  25%  of  Indian  children  with  thalassemia  and  human  immunodeficiency  virus  788  

(HIV)   infection79   and   8%   of   all   patients   attending   a   Brazilian   tertiary   respiratory  789  

clinic80.    790  

These  surveys  did  not  include  further  tests  to  diagnose  pulmonary  aspergillosis  791  

and  some  of  these  patients  with  raised  antibody  levels  may  therefore  have  undiagnosed  792  

aspergillosis.   Nonetheless   these   results   suggest   that   the   range   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific  793  

antibody  levels  in  patients  at  risk  of  developing  aspergillosis  may  be  different  from  the  794  

ranges   described   in   healthy   individuals.   Indeed   the  mean   level   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  795  

IgG   in   cystic   fibrosis   patients   without   ABPA   is   higher   than   the  manufacturers   upper  796  

limit  of  normal78.    797  

Further  work  is  needed  to  define  the  range  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibody  levels  798  

in  other  patient  groups  who  are  at  risk  of,  but  have  not  developed  aspergillosis,  as  this  is  799  

the  population   that   is  most   likely   to  undergo   testing   for  CPA  or  ABPA.   It  may  be   that  800  

existing  diagnostic  cut-­‐offs  for  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibody  levels,  which  were  defined  801  

using   healthy   persons   as   a   control,   are   not   appropriate   for   those   at   most   risk   of  802  

developing  aspergillosis.  803  

 804  

Aspergillus  bronchitis  805  

 806  

Seventy   one   percent   of   patients   with   symptomatic  Aspergillus   bronchitis   have   raised  807  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   and   29%   have   positive   precipitins39.   While   raised   levels   of  808  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE   are   not   typical   of  Aspergillus  bronchitis,   there   is   considerable  809  

overlap   between   the   clinical   presentation   of   Aspergillus   bronchitis   and   that   of   ABPA.  810  

Measurement   of   total   and   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE   would   therefore   be   appropriate   in  811  

patients  with   symptoms  of  Aspergillus   bronchitis,  with   the   aim  of   identifying   cases   of  812  

serological  ABPA4.  813  

 814  

815  

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Acute  invasive  aspergillosis  816    817  

Acute   invasive   aspergillosis   normally   occurs   in   patients   with   profound   immune  818  

dysfunction,  meaning  that  antibody  production  may  not  occur  in  response  to  infection81.  819  

However   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   antibodies   are   detectable   by   ELISA   in   29-­‐100%   of  820  

patients   during   the   course   of   acute   invasive   aspergillosis82–89.   Sensitivity   is   higher   in  821  

non-­‐neutropaenic  patients  (48%)  than  neutropaenic  patients  (6%)90.    822  

When  antibodies  do  develop   in   acute   illness,   they   take   a  mean  of   10.8  days   to  823  

appear86  and  historically  a  majority  of  patients  with  invasive  aspergillosis  died  without  824  

producing  antibodies83,90.  This  greatly  reduces  their  utility  for  diagnosis  of  acute  disease  825  

as  early  treatment  is  crucial  for  survival19.  Nonetheless  when  a  patient  with  suspected  826  

invasive  aspergillosis  does  develop  newly  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  antibodies  this  827  

finding  does  provide  evidence  of  acute  infection84.  828  

There  may  be  other  uses  for  antibody  testing  in  invasive  aspergillosis  other  than  829  

diagnosis   of   acute   disease.   A   retrospective   survey   described   an   increase   in   all-­‐cause  830  

mortality  in  Aspergillus  colonised  lung  transplant  patients,  with  a  hazard  ratio  of  2.291.  831  

Another  similar  study  failed  to  show  this  association47,  but  this  cohort  was  complicated  832  

by   the   fact   that   colonised   patients   considered   high   risk   for   development   to   invasive  833  

aspergillosis  were  not   included.  This   suggests   that  patients   colonised  with  Aspergillus  834  

might  then  benefit  from  antifungal  prophylaxis  or  early  empirical  antifungal  treatment  835  

when   immunosuppressed.   Screening   patients   for   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  836  

antibodies   prior   to   initiation   of   immunosuppressive   therapy   might   be   a   convenient  837  

method  of  identifying  such  patients89,92.    838  

There   can   also   be   a   role   for   serial   measurement   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  839  

antibodies   after   commencing   treatment   for   presumed   invasive   aspergillosis.   In   this  840  

situation   a   fall   in   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   is   a   bad   prognostic   marker93,94.   This  841  

most  likely  relates  to  failure  of  the  immune  system  to  mount  a  response  to  the  infection.  842  

A  rise  in  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  antibodies  can  retrospectively  confirm  the  diagnosis  in  843  

those  who  recover  following  empirical  treatment  for  suspected  invasive  aspergillosis23.  844  

This   knowledge   might   affect   decisions   about   whether   to   forgo   further  845  

immunosuppressive  therapy  or  to  provide  antifungal  prophylaxis  with  it.  846  

847  

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Subacute  invasive  aspergillosis  848    849  

Raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  antibodies  are  more  likely  to  occur  and  thus  are  850  

of   greater   use   for   diagnosis   in   this   group   than   in   acute   disease6,53.   In   lung   transplant  851  

recipients,   invasive   aspergillosis   often  develops  months   after   transplantation   and   can  852  

evolve  slowly.  A  rise  in  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  titres  preceded  radiological  changes  by  853  

1-­‐2  weeks  and  diagnosis  of  invasive  aspergillosis  by  2-­‐20  weeks  in  this  group95.  Raised  854  

levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  antibodies  were  detected  in  93%  of  43  Korean  patients6  855  

and   77%   of   45   Japanese   patients   with   subacute   invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis53.  856  

Sensitivities   of   serum   (1,3)-­‐ß-­‐D   glucan   and   galactomannan   testing   in   the   Japanese  857  

patients  were  60%  and  64%  respectively.  858  

The   sensitivity   of   galactomannan   antigen   testing   is   much   lower   when  859  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies  are  present  than  when  they  are  absent96.  This  effect  may  860  

be  due  to  direct  binding  of  anti-­‐Aspergillus  antibodies  to  the  galactomannan  antigen97.  It  861  

is  therefore  possible  that  both  antigen  and  antibody  testing  will  both  needed  to  achieve  862  

acceptable   sensitivity   for   the   diagnosis   of   subacute   invasive   aspergillosis   in   mildly  863  

immunosuppressed  patients.  864  

 865  

Chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  866  

 867  

Raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  antibodies  are  almost  always  found  in  CPA5,8,98.  868  

Production   of   specific   Immunoglobulin   M   (IgM)   is   also   noted   in   up   to   50%   of   CPA  869  

cases72,88,99–102.  This  might  be  considered  unusual  in  a  chronic  disease,  as  raised  levels  of  870  

specific  IgM  are  typically  associated  with  the  acute  phase  of  an  infection.    871  

Ongoing  growth  of  Aspergillus  produces  numerous  different  antigens  at  different  872  

stages  in  its  growth  cycle  that  interact  with  the  immune  system  in  different  ways103.  IgM  873  

might   therefore  be  repeatedly  re-­‐stimulated  as  an   immune  response  develops   to  each  874  

new,  individual  Aspergillus  antigen  over  time.  An  assay  that  detects  IgM  antibodies  to  a  875  

wide  range  of  Aspergillus  antigens  could   therefore  remain  positive   for  some  time.  The  876  

specificity  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgM  testing  is  poor,  limiting  its  utility72,89,100.  877  

Persistently  raised  levels  of  specific  Immunoglobulin  A  (IgA)  are  found  in  up  to  878  

76%   of   CPA   cases72,88,99–102.   This   immunoglobulin   type   is   normally   associated   with  879  

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mucosal   immunity   and   it   may   be   persistently   raised   as   the   mucosa   is   constantly  880  

exposed   to   fungal   growth.  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE   levels   are   also   sometimes   raised   in  881  

CPA  cases  and  may  indicate  the  presence  of  underlying  ABPA  when  present5  .  882  

Measurement  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  antibodies  had  a  higher  sensitivity  than  883  

either  IgM,  IgA  or  IgE  in  all  these  studies  and  it  should  therefore  be  considered  the  most  884  

appropriate   test   for   screening.   However   small   numbers   of   cases   of   CPA   have   been  885  

identified  which  have  normal  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG,  but  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgA  886  

or   IgM88,99,104.   This  may  be   explained  by   the   fact   that  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgA   and   IgM  887  

can   bind   different   Aspergillus   antigens   than   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG94,100.   Overall  888  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgM  probably  has  little  to  offer  due  to  poor  specificity,  but  there  may  889  

be  a  role  for  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgA  and  IgE  testing,  in  patients  with  symptoms  and/or  890  

radiological  changes  of  CPA,  but  normal  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels.    891  

Measurement   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   has   additional   uses   beyond   initial  892  

diagnosis   of   CPA.   Precipitins   titres   fall   following   surgical   resection   of   aspergilloma105  893  

and   rise   in   correlation  with   clinical   treatment   failure106.  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels  894  

have  been  successfully  used  to  monitor  response  of  CPA  to  medical  therapy8,58,107–109.  895  

 896  

Allergic  aspergillosis  897  

 898  

In   this   context   the   patient   may   initially   have   healthy   lungs   and   an   intact   immune  899  

function.   However   an   exaggerated   inflammatory   response   develops   in   response   to  900  

fungal   allergen   exposure.   This   is   characterised   by   over-­‐expression   of   T   helper   (Th)   2  901  

and  Th17  CD4+  cells  and  down-­‐regulation  of  T-­‐regulatory  cells  (TREGs).  This  results  in  902  

the  high  levels  of  both  total  and  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgE  in  serum  in  patients  with  SAFS  903  

and   ABPA64,110.   Raised   total   and   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE   in   serum   are   also   noted   in  904  

patients  with  allergic   fungal  rhinosinusitis  caused  by  Aspergillus.   In   this  patient  group  905  

raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgE  can  also  be  found  in  the  ‘allergic  mucin’  extracted  906  

from  the  sinuses  themselves111,112.    907  

Raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  has  been  described  as  an  exclusion  criteria  for  the  908  

diagnosis   of   SAFS   on   the   grounds   it   implies   more   complex   disease   and   airways  909  

infection110.   It   should   be   noted   though,   that   10%   of   all   asthmatics   have   raised  910  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  or  precipitins22.  There  are   therefore   likely   to  be  some  cases  of  911  

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asthma  with  Aspergillus  sensitization  where  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  is  raised  in  addition  912  

to  IgE,  but  all  diagnostic  criteria  for  more  severe  conditions  such  as  ABPA  are  not  met.  913  

Precipitating  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies  were  frequently  found  in  ABPA  cases  914  

in   early   studies113,114.   They  were   then   considered   a  mandatory   diagnostic   criteria   for  915  

ABPA  by  some  authors115,116,  whereas  others  regarded  it  only  as  a  supporting  criteria110.  916  

Reports  on  the  frequency  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  or  precipitins  in  ABPA  will  of  917  

course  be  heavily  dependent  on  whether  or  not  it  is  considered  a  mandatory  diagnostic  918  

criteria,   but   14%   of   ABPA   cases   have   recently   been   reported   as   having   a   negative  919  

precipitins  test67.    920  

ABPA  can  be  complicated  by  the  development  of  CPA,  which  is  characterized  by  921  

raised   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG.   However   elevated   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   is  922  

much   more   common   in   ABPA   than   is   the   development   of   CPA117,118.   Levels   of  923  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  are  generally  higher  in  CPA  than  ABPA.  Unusually  high  levels  in  924  

patients  with  ABPA  may  therefore  suggest  that  CPA  has  developed  and  should  prompt  925  

further   investigation4,5.  Raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgA  has  also  been  noted  in  ABPA119,  926  

but  it  occurs  only  in  a  minority  of  patients  and  is  of  limited  diagnostic  value.  927  

In   patients   with   underlying   cystic   fibrosis   (CF)   quantitative   measurement   of  928  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   has   been   suggested   as   a  means   to   differentiate   CF  with  ABPA  929  

from   CF   without   APBA78.   It   was   found   that   the   mean   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  930  

concentration  in  CF  patients  without  ABPA  was  51.1  mg/L,  compared  to  132.5  mg/L  in  931  

CF  patients  with  ABPA.  The  authors  of   this  study  suggested  an  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  932  

cut  off  of  90  mg/L  to  differentiate  the  two  patient  groups  with  a  sensitivity  of  91%  and  933  

specificity  of  88%.    934  

Latent  class  analysis  is  a  statistical  technique  used  to  find  groups  or  subtypes  of  935  

cases   in   multivariate   categorical   data.   A   recent   publication   used   this   technique   to  936  

identify  different  disease  groups  in  relation  to  Aspergillus  infection  in  CF66.    Four  disease  937  

groups  were  identified;  1  –  patients  with  no  evidence  of  Aspergillus  disease,  2  –  patients  938  

with   serological   ABPA,   3   –   patients   sensitized   to   Aspergillus   and   4   –   patients   with  939  

Aspergillus  bronchitis.    940  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   could   be   used   to   differentiate   between   Aspergillus  941  

sensitization   and   serological  ABPA  with   a   sensitivity   of   96%  and  a   specificity   of   90%  942  

when  a  cut  off  of  75  mg/L  was  used.    Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgE  could  differentiate  between  943  

Aspergillus  bronchitis  and  serological  ABPA  with  100%  sensitivity  and  specificity  using  944  

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a   cut   off   3.7   kUA/L.   Patients  with   no  Aspergillus  disease   could   be   differentiated   from  945  

patients  with  Aspergillus   sensitization  using  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE  with  a  cut-­‐off  of  2  946  

kUA/L.  To  our  knowledge  the  performance  of  the  diagnostic  cut-­‐offs  suggested  by  these  947  

two  studies  have  not  been  confirmed  in  populations  other  than  the  ones  used  to  define  948  

the  cut-­‐offs.  949  

Total   IgE   falls  with  effective   treatment  of  ABPA110,115,120–122.  Aspergillus-­‐specific  950  

IgE  can  also   fall  with  treatment110,  but   this  effect  was  noted   later   than  the   fall   in   total  951  

IgE   in   this   study   and   was   not   reported   in   the   majority   of   other   treatment   studies.  952  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   has   also   been   noted   to   fall   in   line   with   treatment116,   but   this  953  

occurred  at  the  same  time  as  a  fall  in  total  IgE  and  provided  no  additional  information.  It  954  

therefore  appears   that   total   IgE   is   currently   the  most   appropriate   test   for  monitoring  955  

response  to  treatment  in  ABPA.  956  

 957  

LABORATORY  METHODS  FOR  DETECTION  OF  ASPERGILLUS-­‐SPECIFIC  ANTIBODIES    958  

 959  

Multiple  techniques  are  available  to  measure  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies  in  960  

human  serum  in  the   laboratory   in  different  ways.  Since  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG,  961  

IgE,   IgA   and   IgM   all   have   different   interpretations   in   different   clinical   scenarios   it   is  962  

important   to   understand   which   assays   measure   which   antibody   types   when  963  

interpreting  results.    964  

 965  

Precipitation  in  gels.    966  

 967  

Detection  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies  in  serum  was  first  achieved  by  precipitation  968  

of  antibody-­‐antigen  complexes   in  gels123,124.  This  method  has  also  been   referred   to  as  969  

double  diffusion,   immunodiffusion  or   the  precipitins   test.  Antigens  and  antibodies  are  970  

placed  in  separate  wells  within  the  gel  and  are  allowed  to  diffuse  towards  one  another.  971  

The   presence   of   multiple   binding   sites   on   antibodies   such   as   IgM125   allows   the  972  

formation  of   immune  complexes  that   ‘precipitate’  when  they  become  too  large  to  pass  973  

through  the  gel.  These  ‘precipitin  bands’  are  visible  to  the  naked  eye  with  non-­‐specific  974  

staining.    975  

All  antibody  classes  precipitate,  but  IgG  predominates.  The  method  takes  around  976  

five  days  to  perform,  is  labour  intensive  and  relies  on  human  interpretation  of  results.  977  

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No  complex  equipment  is  needed.  Commercial  preparations  of  A.  fumigatus  antigens  for  978  

use  in  precipitins  tests  are  available  from  Microgen  (UK),  Bio-­‐Rad  Laboratories  (France)  979  

and  Immuno-­‐Mycologics  (IMMY)  Inc.  (USA).    980  

 981  

Counterimmunoelectrophoresis.    982  

 983  

An   improvement  on   the  precipitation  method  was  described  with   the  development  of  984  

counterimmunoelectrophoresis   (CIE)124.   Movement   through   the   gel   is   accelerated   by  985  

application  of  an  electric  current  and  precipitation  occurs  within  a  few  hours126.    986  

 987  

Figure  2  is  a  picture  of  a  CIE  gel  with  visible  precipitin  bands.  988  

 989  

Haemagglutination.    990  

 991  

Haemagglutination  tests  use  erythrocytes  pre-­‐coated  with  antigens.  These  erythrocytes  992  

clump  together  when  antibodies  cross-­‐react  with  antigens  on  more   than  one  cell.  The  993  

resulting  ‘plaque’  prevents  erythrocytes  from  settling  at  the  bottom  of  the  test  well.  The  994  

difference   in   appearance  between  positive   and  negative  wells   is   visible   to   the  human  995  

eye127,128.   This   method   produces   a   result   in   around   two   hours   and   does   not   require  996  

complex  equipment,  but  does  rely  on  human  interpretation  of  results.  It  is  commercially  997  

produced  by  ELITech  Group  (France).  Antibody  levels  are  considered  raised  if  a  positive  998  

reaction  takes  place  at  a  titer  greater  than  the  manufacturers  stated  cut  off  level.    999  

 1000  

Figure  3  is  a  picture  of  a  haemagglutination  plate  showing  positive  and  negative  results.  1001  

 1002  

Complement  Fixation.    1003  

 1004  

Complement  fixation  tests  rely  on  the  fact  that  human  complement  will  both  react  with  1005  

antibody-­‐antigen   complexes   and   also   lyse   sheep   erythrocytes   that   are   pre-­‐bound   to  1006  

anti-­‐sheep   erythrocyte   antibodies129.   Complement   is   removed   from   human   serum   by  1007  

heating.  Aspergillus   antigens,   complement   and   sheep   erythrocytes,   pre-­‐bound   to   anti-­‐1008  

sheep  erythrocyte  antibodies  are  added   in  steps.   In   the  absence  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  1009  

antibodies  a  reaction  takes  place  that  results  in  lysis  of  the  erythrocytes  and  thus  colour  1010  

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change  visible   to   the  naked  eye84.  The  method   is   fairly   labour   intensive  and   relies  on  1011  

human  interpretation  of  results.  Kits  are  produced  by  and  Serion/Virion  (Germany)  and  1012  

IMMY  (USA).    1013  

All   of   the  above   techniques   can  produce   semi-­‐quantitative   results  by   following  1014  

serial  dilutions  of  serum.  1015  

 1016  

ELISA.    1017  

 1018  

This  well-­‐described  technique  allows  the  detection  of  individual  types  of  antibody  (IgG,  1019  

IgM,   IgA  etc.).  Antibodies   from  patient  sera  bind   to  antigens  and  are   then  detected  by  1020  

anti-­‐human   antibodies.   Enzyme   reactions   produce   a   colour   change   that   is   measured  1021  

with   a   spectrophotometer.   ELISA   has   been   used   in   diagnosing   aspergillosis   for  1022  

decades130,131.   It   can  be   fully   automated,  which   reduces   labour   costs   and   can  produce  1023  

results  within  two  hours.    The  reaction  can  also  be  performed  manually.  ELISA  produces  1024  

a   positive   result   in   most   sera,   with   a   cut-­‐off   provided   by   the   manufacturer   to  1025  

differentiate  raised  levels  from  normal  ones.  1026  

Commercial  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  plate  ELISA  tests  are  currently  produced  by  1027  

Serion,   (Germany),   IBL   (Germany/USA),   Dynamiker/Bio-­‐Enoche,   (China),   Bio-­‐Rad  1028  

(France),  Bordier  (Switzerland)  and  Genesis  (UK).  Siemens  Immulite  (Germany)  supply  1029  

an   automated   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   ELISA   system   (Immulite)   and   ThermoFisher  1030  

Scientific/Phadia   (multi-­‐national)   supply   an   automated   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  1031  

fluoroenzymeimmunoassay   (FEIA)   system   (ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP),  1032  

which   is   an  ELISA  variant.  The  Serion  and  Bio-­‐Rad  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  assays   can  1033  

also   be   automated.   Siemens   Immulite   and   ThermoFisher   Scientific   both   produce  1034  

automated   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE   ELISA/FEIA   tests.   Serion   and   IBL   produce  1035  

commercial   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgA   and   IgM   ELISA   tests.   The   units   of   measurement  1036  

often  differ  from  one  assay  to  another.  1037  

 1038  

1039  

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  36  

Immunoblot.    1040    1041  

Gel   electrophoresis   is   used   to   separate   Aspergillus   antigens   by   molecular   weight.  1042  

Antigens   are   then   transferred   to   a   membrane   to   which   human   serum   is   added.   An  1043  

identical   series   of   reactions   to   ELISA   is   then   performed,   producing   a   colour   change  1044  

visible  to  the  naked  eye  at  the  location  of  the  antigen  on  the  membrane  when  positive.  It  1045  

does  not   require   complex   equipment   but   is   fairly   labour   intensive83.   A   commercial  A.  1046  

fumigatus  immunoblot  was  released  in  2012  by  LDBIO  diagnostics  (France).    1047  

The   attributes   of   a   selection   of   commonly   used   methods   for   detection   of  1048  

Aspergillus  antibodies  are  summarised  in  table  2.  1049  

 1050  

SOURCES  OF  ANTIGENS  FOR  USE  IN  ANTIBODY  DETECTION  ASSAYS  1051  

 1052  

Extraction  of  antigens  from  fungal  cultures  1053  

 1054  

The   traditional   methods   of   antigen   preparation   for   use   in   tests   involves   growth   of  1055  

Aspergillus   culture   in   the   laboratory,   followed   by   either   mechanical   disintegration   of  1056  

intact   cells   to   provide   somatic   antigens   or   culture   filtration   to   provide   extra-­‐cellular  1057  

antigens.  The  latter  have  often  been  referred  to  as  ‘metabolic’  antigens  in  the  literature  1058  

and  product  information  sheets.  This  terminology  is,  however  inaccurate  as  many  of  the  1059  

antigens  are  not  metabolites.  These  crude  processes  produce  mixtures  of  many  of   the  1060  

different   antigens   produced   by  Aspergillus.  Up   to   52   separate   precipitins   bands   have  1061  

been  identified  on  double  diffusion  testing  using  this  type  of  antigen  preparation132  and  1062  

electrophoresis  of  culture  extracts  has  identified  up  to  200  bands,  each  representing  a  1063  

potential  antigen  that  might  react  with  human  sera133.  1064  

While  the  extraction  of  antigens  from  Aspergillus  cultures  has  been  taking  place  1065  

for   decades   there   have   been   several   difficulties   encountered   in   attempts   to   provide  1066  

consistent   and   reliable   antigens   for   use   in   tests.   It   is   clear   that   different   laboratory  1067  

strains   of   Aspergillus   fumigatus   produce   different   groups   of   antigens128,134–138.   Even  1068  

when   a   single   strain   is   used   somatic   and   culture   filtrate   methods   produce   different  1069  

groups  of  antigens134,  which  can  produce  different  results  when  tested  against  patient  1070  

sera139.  Various  factors  such  as  the  culture  medium  used,  pH,  and  culture  temperature  1071  

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have  all  been  noted   to  affect   the  nature  of  antigens  produced  by  cultures140.  Antigens  1072  

also  vary  with  the  age  of  the  culture98,135.    1073  

Even  when   identical  methods   are   used,   batch   to   batch   variation   from   a   single  1074  

strain   processed   in   the   same   lab   has   been   noted141.   In   addition   to   antigens,   culture  1075  

extracts   also   contain   enzymes   and   toxins,   which   might   interfere   with   test  1076  

performance142.  When  the  same  antigen  extracts  are  used  in  different  test  formats  they  1077  

can   produce   widely   variable   results143.   The   antigen   mixtures   produced   from   culture  1078  

extracts   have   also   been   shown   to   cross-­‐react  with   antibodies   produced   against   other  1079  

fungi  and  bacteria144,145.    1080  

As   these   traditional   antigen   extraction   techniques   can   be   performed   in   any  1081  

mycology   laboratory,   reference   laboratories   often   produce   their   own   internally  1082  

manufactured  antigens  for  use  in  assays59,86,96.  However  the  extensive  difficulties  noted  1083  

above   mean   that   quality   control   in   Aspergillus   antigen   production   is   exceedingly  1084  

challenging   and   by   their   nature   internally   manufactured   assays   in   reference  1085  

laboratories   are   not   amenable   to   validation   in   inter-­‐laboratory   studies.   In   contrast  1086  

commercially   manufactured   assays   can   be   performed   and   assessed   across   multiple  1087  

laboratories  and  can  also  be  compared  to  other  assays  under   identical  conditions   in  a  1088  

single  laboratory.  1089  

 1090  

Measurement  of  antibodies  in  non-­‐fumigatus  aspergillosis  1091  

 1092  

All  the  tests  described  above  are  designed  to  detect  A.  fumigatus.  However,  in  India  the  1093  

most   prevalent   Aspergillus   species   causing   fungal   sinusitis   is  A.   flavus10.  This   species  1094  

also  accounts  for  38%  of  Aspergillus  cultures  from  patients  with  chronic  lung  diseases  in  1095  

India146.   In   Brazil   Aspergillus   niger   is   a   common   cause   of   chronic   pulmonary  1096  

aspergillosis147.  The  frequency  of  growth  of  different  Aspergillus  species   in  association  1097  

with  human  disease  in  selected  countries  is  shown  in  table  3.  1098  

Evidence   on   the   performance   of   antibody   detection   assays   in   these   cases   is  1099  

extremely   limited.   Culture   filtrate   antigens   from   A.   fumigatus   are   positive   in   around  1100  

50%   of   cases   with   aspergilloma   caused   by   A.   flavus   or   A.   niger148.   A.   niger-­‐specific  1101  

precipitins  were   positive   in   78%  of   23   patients  with   CPA  due   to  A.  niger   in   Brazil147.  1102  

Other  species-­‐specific  precipitins  tests  are  available  and  might  prove  effective,  but  have  1103  

been   tested   on   very   few   patients98.   Siemens   Immulite   produce   ELISA   tests   for   IgG  1104  

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specific  to  Aspergillus  niger,  nidulans,  terreus  and  flavus,  but  to  our  knowledge  there  are  1105  

no  published  data  on  the  performance  of  these  assays.  1106  

 1107  

Detection  of  antibodies  specific  to  individual  Aspergillus  antigens  1108  

 1109  

Early   experience   with   precipitins   testing   demonstrated   that   precipitin   bands   of  1110  

consistent   molecular   weight   appeared   in   many   patients   with   aspergillosis   and  1111  

corresponded   to   enzymes   associated   with   the   fungus132,149.   Individual   antigens   were  1112  

identified,   which   had   variable   sensitivity   and   specificity   for   the   diagnosis   of  1113  

aspergillosis.  Many  specific  antigens  reacting  with  human  IgG  and  IgE  have  since  been  1114  

identified150,151   and   the  genes   relating   to   these  antigens  have  been  sequenced152.  This  1115  

has   allowed   the   production   of   recombinant   antigens   by   expressing   these   genes   in  1116  

genetically   modified   bacteria   or   fungi,   which   then   produce   pure   extracts   of   single  1117  

antigen.  1118  

Mitogillin-­‐specific  IgG  is  positive  in  100%  of  aspergilloma  cases,  64%  of  invasive  1119  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  cases  and  only  1.3%  of  healthy  volunteers   in  a  single  study88.  1120  

Antibodies   to   purified   recombinant   Afmp1p,   an   Aspergillus   cell   wall  1121  

galactomannoprotein,   are  positive   in  100%  of  patients  with   aspergilloma  and  33%  of  1122  

patients   with   invasive   aspergillosis153.   To   our   knowledge   the   performance   of   these  1123  

assays   has   not   been   confirmed   in   other   laboratories   and   the   assays   have   not   been  1124  

released  commercially.  1125  

Testing   for   IgG   specific   to   recombinant   catalase,   ribonuclease   and  1126  

dipeptidylpeptidase   V   showed   sensitivity   of   77%,   81%   and   79%   respectively   for  1127  

aspergilloma.   This   increased   to   95%   by   using   all   three   antigens   together154.   Bio-­‐Rad  1128  

(France)   released  a   commercial   recombinant   assay   following   this   study.   It   has   shown  1129  

good  agreement  with  Serion  culture  filtrate  ELISA  in  a  retrospective  survey38.  Bio-­‐Rad  1130  

has  not  revealed  which  antigens  are  used  in  their  commercialized  test.    1131  

The   Dynamiker   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   ELISA   assay   utilizes   purified  1132  

galactomannan  as  its  sole  antigen.  No  data  has  yet  been  published  on  the  sensitivity  and  1133  

specificity   of   this   test   for   the   diagnosis   of   aspergillosis,   but   an   earlier   study   detected  1134  

antibodies  to  galactomannan  in  only  26%  of  aspergilloma  cases155.  1135  

Many   efforts   have   been   made   to   identify   individual   antigens   against   which  1136  

specific   IgE   is   formed   in   allergic   aspergillosis156,157.   These   antigens   are   commonly  1137  

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referred   to   as   allergens   in   this   context.   To   date   23  Aspergillus-­‐specific   allergens   have  1138  

been  recognised  by  the  International  Union  of  Immunology  Societies158.  This  is  likely  to  1139  

be   an   under-­‐representation   of   the   true   number   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   allergens   as   81  1140  

IgE   binding   Aspergillus   proteins   have   been   identified   using   a   highly   sensitive   phage  1141  

display  detection  method159.    1142  

Attempts  have  been  made  to  develop  individual  allergen-­‐specific   IgE  assays  for  1143  

use  in  allergic  aspergillosis  and  to  use  them  to  differentiate  between  different  diseases.  1144  

IgE   to   allergen   Asp   f1   is   found   in   60-­‐85%   of   ABPA   cases160,161,   but   has   also   been  1145  

detected   in   the   sera   of   Aspergillus   sensitized   asthmatics   without   ABPA156.   Genomic  1146  

studies  have  demonstrated  that  sensitization  to  this  allergen  is  produced  only  by  a  small  1147  

number  of  fungi162,  suggesting  that  there  is  likely  to  be  limited  cross-­‐reactivity  with  this  1148  

recombinant  protein.    1149  

One   study   found   IgE   specific   to   allergens   Asp   f2/3/6   were   all   raised   in   both  1150  

asthma  and  ABPA,  but  not  in  other  forms  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  However  another  1151  

study   found   that   IgE   specific   to   allergens   Asp   f1/2/3/4/6   were   all   present   at  1152  

significantly  higher  concentrations  in  ABPA  than  asthma151.    1153  

In  patients  with  underlying  cystic  fibrosis,  one  study  showed  mean  IgE  to  Asp  f1  1154  

was  ten  times  higher  in  those  with  ABPA  than  those  without163,  but  another  study  failed  1155  

to  show  this  differentiation164.  IgE  to  Asp  f4  and  Asp  f6  were  found  to  differentiate  CF  1156  

with  ABPA  from  CF  without  ABPA  in  this  second  study.  A  similar  result  was  later  found  1157  

when  these  same  antigens  were  used  in  skin  prick  testing165.      1158  

A  more  recent  study  showed  that  no  single  allergen  was  absolutely  effective   in  1159  

differentiating  CF  patients  with  and  without  ABPA166.  IgE  to  Asp  f1  showed  non-­‐specific  1160  

binding  with  ABPA  cases  and  controls,  IgE  to  Asp  f2  was  consistently  present  in  the  sera  1161  

of  CF  patients  with  ABPA,  but  was  frequently  also  present  in  CF  patients  without  ABPA.  1162  

IgE   to  Asp   f3  was  highly   specific   for  ABPA   in  CF  but  had  poor   sensitivity.  Aspergillus-­‐1163  

specific  IgG  subtypes  and  IgA  were  also  analyzed  and  found  not  to  differentiate  CF  with  1164  

ABPA  from  CF  without  ABPA.    1165  

Attempts  have  also  been  made   to   identify  single  antigen-­‐specific  antibodies   for  1166  

the  diagnosis  of  acute  invasive  aspergillosis83,167,  but  to  our  knowledge  no  commercial  1167  

assays   have   been   released   for   this   purpose   and   detection   of   serum   antigenaemia   is  1168  

preferred  in  this  patient  group  due  to  its  superior  sensitivity48.  1169  

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Overall,  while   the   detection   of   antibodies   specific   to   individual   antigens  might  1170  

eventually  result  in  more  accurate  and  reproducible  diagnosis  of  aspergillosis,  existing  1171  

study  results  are  mostly  inconsistent  or  unconfirmed.  No  individual  antigen  or  group  of  1172  

antigens  has  been  consistently  shown  to  be  more  efficacious  than  traditional  methods  of  1173  

antigen  extraction  for  the  diagnosis  of  any  form  of  aspergillosis.  1174  

 1175  

COMPARATIVE  PERFORMANCE  OF  DIFFERENT  LABORATORY  METHODS      1176  

 1177  

 Invasive  aspergillosis  1178  

 1179  

Antibody  measurement  plays  a  peripheral  role  in  the  diagnosis  of  invasive  aspergillosis  1180  

and   data   on   the   comparative   performance   of   different   techniques   is   limited23.  1181  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  ELISA  was  more  sensitive  than  precipitins  or  CIE  in  two  studies  1182  

with   a   total   of   18   patients82,87.   Comparison   of   haemagglutination   and   Aspergillus-­‐1183  

specific  IgG  ELISA  showed  superior  sensitivity  for  haemagglutination  in  one  study  with  1184  

14  patients84,  but  superior  sensitivity  for  ELISA  in  another  study  with  26  patients86.  To  1185  

our   knowledge   there   are   no   comparisons   of   currently   commercially   produced  1186  

Aspergillus   antibody   assays   in   this   patient   group,   although   the   Serion   Aspergillus-­‐1187  

specific  IgG  ELISA  formed  part  of  a  mix  of  methods  for  antibody  detection  that  were  less  1188  

sensitive  than  galactomannan  antigen  test  in  one  comparison90.    1189  

 1190  

Chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  1191  

 1192  

The   original   reports   of   precipitins   tests   for   diagnosis   of   aspergilloma   reported  1193  

sensitivity  of  98%  against  patients  with  definite  histological  or  radiological  diagnosis  of  1194  

aspergillosis,  with  no  positive  results  in  healthy  controls98.  However  it  should  be  noted  1195  

that   the   radiological   methods   available   at   the   time   did   not   include   computed  1196  

tomography   (CT)   scanning   and   would   thus   only   have   detected   cases   with   fairly  1197  

advanced  disease.  1198  

Since  then  precipitins  detection  has  been  used  as  part  of  the  diagnostic  criteria  1199  

for  chronic  forms  of  aspergillosis.  The  lack  of  a  clear  gold  standard  creates  a  difficulty  in  1200  

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subsequent  studies.  Sensitivity  is  normally  measured  against  clinical  diagnosis  recorded  1201  

in   the   patients’   medical   records.   Precipitins   will   often   have   formed   part   of   the  1202  

diagnostic  criteria.   It   is   therefore  difficult   to  prove   that  other   tests  are  more  sensitive  1203  

than  precipitins  in  study  populations  defined  in  this  way.    1204  

In  more   recent   studies   the   interpretation   of   reported   sensitivity   rates   against  1205  

diagnoses  of  CPA  taken   from  case  notes  might  be   further  complicated  by   the   fact   that  1206  

many  patients  will  be  on  antifungal   treatment,  which   leads   to  reduction   in  Aspergillus  1207  

specific  IgG  levels58.   It   is  not  known  whether  this  would  affect  all   tests  equally  or  bias  1208  

results  in  favor  of  one  technique.  Prospective  studies  comparing  performance  of  tests  in  1209  

patients   not   yet   diagnosed   with   aspergillosis   would   resolve   these   issues,   but   are  1210  

difficult  to  conduct  due  to  the  low  frequency  of  new  diagnoses.  One  such  study  recently  1211  

demonstrated  that  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  is  more  sensitive  than  serum  galactomannan  1212  

antigen  for  the  diagnosis,  but  did  not  compare  different  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assays59.  1213  

Many   retrospective   studies   have   shown   equally   excellent   sensitivity   when  1214  

precipitins   testing   is   compared   to   CIE   or   ELISA   in   cases   of   aspergilloma168–173.  1215  

Precipitins   were   even   reported   as   being   more   sensitive   than   other   methods   in   one  1216  

comparison174.   However   not   all   cases   of   aspergilloma   or   CPA   are   precipitins  1217  

positive7,175.   Negative   precipitins   results   might   occur   as   not   all   antibody-­‐antigen  1218  

complexes  precipitate  in  gels176.      1219  

The  one  prospective  study  comparing  precipitins  to  CIE  showed  that  CIE  is  more  1220  

sensitive   than   traditional  precipitins   for  detection  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies177.  1221  

However   CIE   has   also   been   reported   as   producing   more   false   positive   results   than  1222  

precipitins170,178,179.  A  recent  retrospective  study  suggested  that  the  sensitivity  of  ELISA  1223  

for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  was  30%  higher  than  precipitins74.    1224  

Unlike   ‘home-­‐brew’   assays   using   internally  manufactured  Aspergillus   antigens,  1225  

commercially   available   assays   can   be   compared   to   one   another   in   head-­‐to-­‐head  1226  

comparisons.  Commercial  ELISAs  with  published  performance  data  for  the  diagnosis  of  1227  

CPA  include  ThermoFisher  Scientific  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  FEIA,  Serion  culture  filtrate  1228  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   ELISA   and   Bio-­‐Rad   recombinant   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  1229  

ELISA38,73.   Each   showed   good   correlation   with   precipitins   test   results   and   superior  1230  

reproducibility   when   automated.   The   Siemens   Immulite   and   ThermoFisher   Scientific  1231  

assays  have  good  head-­‐to-­‐head  correlation,  but  the  Siemens  Immulite  assay  produces  a  1232  

higher   absolute   result   with   a   mean   ratio   of   1.78180.   This   study   also   demonstrated  1233  

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acceptable   inter-­‐laboratory   reproducibility   for   the   ThermoFisher   Scientific  with   a   co-­‐1234  

efficient  of  variation  of  7.3  -­‐  18.1%.  1235  

ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   FEIA,   Bio-­‐Rad  1236  

recombinant   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   ELISA   and   CIE   using   Microgen   antigens   were  1237  

compared   in   116   patients   with   CPA,   who   were   mostly   on   antifungal   treatment74.  1238  

Sensitivity   was   86%   for   ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP   ,   85%   for   Bio-­‐Rad   and  1239  

56%  for  CIE.    However  4%  of  cases  were  positive  on  precipitins  testing  only.  This  may  1240  

be  due  to  the  ability  of  precipitins  to  detect  IgM  and  IgA  in  addition  to  IgG.  In  the  case  of  1241  

the   Bio-­‐Rad   recombinant   antigens   assay,   false   negative   results   may   also   occur   in  1242  

patients  who  do  not  have  antibodies  to  the  selected  antigens  within  their  spectrum  of  1243  

anti-­‐Aspergillus   antibodies.   These   results   suggests   that   while   these   ELISAs   are   more  1244  

sensitive   than   precipitins   testing   for   first   line   screening,   there   may   be   a   role   for  1245  

precipitins   testing   in   patients   suspected   of   CPA   with   unexpectedly   negative   ELISA  1246  

results.  1247  

The  Bio-­‐Rad   test   has   also   been   directly   compared   to   Serion  ELISA   in   51   cases  1248  

with  CPA38.  Sensitivities  of  94%  and  92%  respectively  were  noted.  Specificity  in  healthy  1249  

controls  was  100%  for  Bio-­‐Rad  and  96%  for  Serion.    1250  

The  published  comparisons  of  the  sensitivity  of  different  methods  of  Aspergillus-­‐1251  

specific  antibody  detection  in  patients  with  CPA  are  summarised  in  table  4.  1252  

 1253  

Allergic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  1254  

 1255  

A  recent  review  compared  the  performance  of  different  diagnostic  tests  for  identifying  1256  

new   cases   of   ABPA   in   Indian   asthmatics   using   latent   class   analysis62.  Aspergillus   skin  1257  

prick   testing  was  95%  sensitive  and  80%  specific,   total   IgE  of  >1000   IU/ml  was  97%  1258  

sensitive  but  only  40%  specific,  raised  Aspergillus  specific  IgE  was  100%  sensitive  and  1259  

70%  specific,  whereas  Aspergillus  precipitins  testing  was  only  43%  sensitive,  but  97%  1260  

specific.    1261  

These  results  suggest  that  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgE  testing  is  the  most  appropriate  1262  

screening  test  for  ABPA  and  can  be  used  in  place  of  skin  prick  testing  where  available.  1263  

However  the  high  specificity  of  precipitins  testing  means  that  the  diagnosis  of  ABPA  can  1264  

be  made  with  high  confidence  in  asthmatic  patients  with  both  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  1265  

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IgE  and  positive  Aspergillus  precipitins.  Unfortunately  most  patients  with  ABPA  in  this  1266  

study  did  not  meet  all  of  these  criteria.  1267  

CIE   has   been   reported   as   more   sensitive   than   precipitins   for   the   detection   of  1268  

precipitating   antibodies   in   cases   of   allergic   aspergillosis181.   There   are   no   published  1269  

direct   comparisons   of   the   performance   of   the   commercially   available   Aspergillus-­‐1270  

specific   IgE   assays,   but   it   should   be   noted   that   marked   variation   has   been   noted  1271  

between  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgE  levels  and  skin  prick  test  results,  with  concordance  of  1272  

only  14-­‐56%65,182,183.  There  is  also  marked  variation  between  the  Siemens  Immulite  and  1273  

ThermoFisher  Scientific  assays  in  tests  for  peanut-­‐specific  IgE184.  The  Siemens  Immulite  1274  

system   produces   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   results   roughly   2   fold   higher   than   the  1275  

ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP   system180.   Results   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE  1276  

assays  from  different  commercial  assays  should  therefore  be  compared  with  caution.  1277  

The   published   comparisons   of   the   sensitivity   of   different   Aspergillus-­‐specific  1278  

antibody  assays  are  summarised  in  table  5.  1279  

 1280  

SUITABILITY  OF  AVAILABLE  LABORATORY  TECHNIQUES  FOR  RESOURCE-­‐POOR  1281  

SETTINGS  1282  

 1283  

As   noted   earlier   the   majority   of   patients   suffering   from   pulmonary   aspergillosis   are  1284  

likely  to  be   located   in  resource  poor  settings.  We  would  suggest   that  many  commonly  1285  

used  assays  are  not  ideal  for  use  in  such  settings.  Automated  ELISAs  require  equipment,  1286  

which   is   expensive   to   purchase   and   requires   both   a   reliable   electricity   supply   and  1287  

regular   maintenance.   Manual   ELISAs   might   be   suitable,   but   still   require   a   properly  1288  

maintained   spectrophotometer   that   may   not   be   available   in   many   resource   poor  1289  

settings.   Such   manual   ELISAs   have   been   described   as   having   much   poorer  1290  

reproducibility  than  automated  systems74.    1291  

Precipitation   in   gels   requires   less  high-­‐tech   equipment   than  ELISA,   but   is   time  1292  

consuming,   requires   significant   operator   training   and   produces   subjective   results.  1293  

Complement   fixation   and   immunoblot   have   similar   difficulties.   We   consider  1294  

haemagglutination   assays   a   potentially   attractive   option   as   no   complex   equipment   is  1295  

required,  but   to  our  knowledge   there  are  no  published  data  describing   the  sensitivity  1296  

and  specificity  of  the  sole  commercially  available  haemagglutination  test  (ELITech).    1297  

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The  lateral  flow  device  (LFD)  is  well  known  for  its  use  in  point-­‐of-­‐care  pregnancy  1298  

tests.  This   format   is  also  widely  used  for  the  diagnosis  of  HIV  and  malaria   in  resource  1299  

poor   settings185,186.   To   our   knowledge  no  LFD   for   the  detection   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  1300  

antibodies   exists   at   this   time.  An  LFD   that   detects   an  Aspergillus  antigen  has   recently  1301  

been   developed   and   seems   to   perform   well   using   serum   for   the   diagnosis   of   acute  1302  

invasive   aspergillosis   in   mostly   neutropaenic   patients187–189.   It   is   also   effective   using  1303  

BAL   fluid   to   diagnose   invasive   aspergillosis   in   non-­‐neutropaenic   patients   with  1304  

underlying   lung  disease190.  However  to  our  knowledge  there   is  no  published  evidence  1305  

regarding  its  sensitivity  and  specificity  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA.  It  is  possible  that  in  this  1306  

context  the  sensitivity  of  this  LFD  will  be  low,  as  the  alternative  galactomannan  antigen  1307  

assay  has  poor  sensitivity  in  this  patient  group8,59,60.    1308  

Figure  4  shows  examples  of  tests  that  are  unsuitable  and  potentially  suitable  for  1309  

use  in  resource-­‐poor  settings.  1310  

 1311  

CONCLUSIONS  1312  

 1313  

Aspergillosis  has  been  estimated   to  affect  millions  of  persons  worldwide,  with  CPA  as  1314  

the   most   common   clinical   syndrome.   Many   of   these   patients   are   likely   to   reside   in  1315  

resource-­‐poor  countries,  given   the  current  and  previous  prevalence  of   tuberculosis   in  1316  

these   locations.   Improved  diagnosis   of   CPA   is   a   critical   need   in   the   battle   to   improve  1317  

CPA  outcomes  and  expanding  access  to  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  testing  in  areas  of  high  1318  

tuberculosis  prevalence  is  key  to  achieving  this  goal.  1319  

Expanding   the  diagnosis  of  aspergillosis  presents  many  challenges.  The  clinical  1320  

and   radiological   signs   of   aspergillosis   often   overlap   significantly   with   associated  1321  

underlying  diseases  and  so  cannot  be  relied  upon  to  diagnose  aspergillosis.  Culture  can  1322  

be  helpful,  but  the  sensitivity  of  culture  for  the  diagnosis  of  aspergillosis  is  sub-­‐optimal  1323  

and  access   to   reliable   fungal   culture   is   frequently   challenging  or   even  non-­‐existent   in  1324  

poorly  resourced  countries.    1325  

Serological   testing   is   therefore   of   crucial   importance.   For   acute   invasive  1326  

aspergillosis   this  mostly  means   antigen   testing,  which   has   been   reviewed   extensively  1327  

elsewhere.  However  there  may  be  a  secondary  role  for  antibody  testing  in  this  setting  1328  

for   retrospective   diagnosis   of   recovering   patients.   The   screening   of   patients   for  1329  

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evidence  of  Aspergillus   colonisation  prior   to   immunosuppressive   therapy  may  also  be  1330  

useful.  Outside  of   this   setting   the   interpretation  of   raised   levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  1331  

antibodies   in   asymptomatic   colonised   patients   is   not   well   described   and   follow   up  1332  

studies   of   such   patients   that   describe   their   risk   of   developing   symptomatic   forms   of  1333  

aspergillosis  would  be  welcome.  1334  

In   chronic   and   allergic   aspergillosis   measurement   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific  1335  

antibodies   is   central   to  diagnosis,  with   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   found  mostly   in  1336  

chronic   disease   and   raised   total   and   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE   found   mostly   in   allergic  1337  

disease.  It  is  important  to  note,  though  that  there  is  a  degree  of  overlap  between  these  1338  

clinical  syndromes  and  many  patients  will  have  clinical  and  serological  features  of  both.    1339  

Similarly   subacute   invasive   aspergillosis   occurs   in   mildly   immunosuppressed  1340  

patients  with  a  presentation  that  overlaps  acute  invasive  disease  and  CPA.  Here  patients  1341  

may  have  positive  antigen  tests,  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  or  both  simultaneously.  1342  

As   a   result   it   is   possible   that   this   group   of   patients   will   need   to   be   tested   for   both  1343  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   and  Aspergillus   antigens   to   achieve   early   diagnosis  with   good  1344  

sensitivity.  1345  

Measurement  of  antibodies  can  also  be  used  to  monitor  response  to  treatment.  A  1346  

falling  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   indicates  poor  prognosis   in  acute   invasive  aspergillosis,  1347  

but  a  good  response  to  therapy  in  CPA.  For  allergic  aspergillosis,  total  IgE  remains  the  1348  

best  method  for  monitoring  treatment  response,  although  it  is  far  from  optimal.  1349  

Many  methods  exist  for  the  measurement  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies,  with  1350  

differing   performance   characteristics.   It   is   thus   unfortunate   that   they   are   frequently  1351  

mislabeled  in  the  literature  with  the  term  ‘precipitins’  often  used  to  refer  to  Aspergillus-­‐1352  

specific   IgG  ELISA   rather   than  precipitation   in   a   gel   and   ‘RAST’  often  used   to   refer   to  1353  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgE  ELISA  rather  than  the  older  radioimmunoassay.    1354  

Evidence   of   sensitivity   and   specificity   of   different   methods   is   sparse,   but  1355  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  ELISA   is   likely   to   be  more   sensitive   than  precipitation   in   gels.  1356  

However  there  are  some  patients  with  CPA  with  normal  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  ELISA  1357  

results   and   positive   precipitins   tests   or   raised   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgA.  1358  

Performing  these  assays  in  patients  suspected  of  CPA  with  negative  Aspergillus-­‐specific  1359  

IgG  ELISA  would  therefore  probably  result  in  better  overall  sensitivity.    1360  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgM  ELISA  is  probably  not  useful  for  diagnosis  of  CPA  due  to  1361  

poor  specificity,  although  it  should  be  noted  that  the  specificity  data  comes  from  studies  1362  

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of   ‘home-­‐brew’   assays.   The   commercially   produced   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgM   assays  1363  

might   have   different   performance   characteristics,   but   to   our   knowledge   there   are   no  1364  

published  data  on  this  topic  1365  

The   product   inserts   of   most   commercial   ELISAs   report   good   specificity   at   the  1366  

manufacturers   diagnostic   cut-­‐offs,   but   the   evidence   for   these   statements   is   often   not  1367  

published  in  peer-­‐reviewed  journals.  It  should  be  noted  that  these  cut-­‐offs  are  normally  1368  

calculated  against  the  range  of  antibody  levels  found  in  a  cohort  of  healthy  volunteers.  1369  

This   is   probably   an   appropriate   comparator   for   most   invasive   aspergillosis   patients.  1370  

However  healthy  volunteers  may  not  be  the  ideal  comparator  for  CPA  or  ABPA,  as  these  1371  

conditions   almost   always   occur   in   persons   with   underlying   chronic   lung   disease   or  1372  

chronic   immune   dysfunction.   Unfortunately,   to   our   knowledge   there   is   no   published  1373  

data  on  the  distribution  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  in  patients  with  these  chronic  1374  

underlying   conditions,   with   the   exception   of   cystic   fibrosis.   Our   research   team   is  1375  

undertaking   a   study  measuring  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   in   patients  with   treated  1376  

tuberculosis,  COPD  and  asthma  using  several  assays.  The  diagnostic  cut-­‐offs  for  CPA  and  1377  

ABPA  may  need  to  be  changed  in  response  to  this  data.  1378  

Global   standardization   of   assays   has   proved   difficult,   with   many   laboratories  1379  

using   assays   derived   from   antigens   manufactured   ‘in-­‐house’.   By   their   nature   these  1380  

assays   are   impossible   to   validate   in   other   laboratories.  Many   commercially   produced  1381  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   and   IgE   tests   exist,   but   to   our   knowledge   only   one  1382  

(ThermoFisher   Scientific   /  ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP)  has   published   inter-­‐1383  

laboratory  variability  data.  The  Bio-­‐Rad  recombinant  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  has  been  1384  

tested   against   reasonable  number  of   persons  with  CPA  at  more   than  one   centre  with  1385  

good   sensitivity   reported.   The   IBL   and   ThermoFisher   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   assays  1386  

have   been   tested   in   reasonable   numbers   of   patients   with   CPA   at   single   sites.   Most  1387  

patients  in  all  of  these  studies  will  have  been  on  treatment  and  it  is  not  known  how  this  1388  

may  have  biased  the  results.  Many  other  assays  have  no  published  performance  data  at  1389  

all.    1390  

The   publication   of   data   from   studies   demonstrating   the   reliability   of   available  1391  

assays   both   in   terms   of   sensitivity   and   specificity   in   untreated   patients   and   in   terms  1392  

inter-­‐assay   and   inter-­‐laboratory   reliability   is   a   pre-­‐requisite   for   their   use   in   the   large  1393  

scale  screening  that  will  be  necessary  to  achieve  diagnosis  of  the  predicted  number  of  1394  

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cases.  Our  unit  is  currently  undertaking  a  single  centre  study  with  this  goal,  but  studies  1395  

across  multiple  laboratories  will  be  needed  to  determine  inter-­‐laboratory  variability.  1396  

Many  attempts  have  been  made  to  develop  ELISAs  for  the  detection  of  antibodies  1397  

specific  to  one  or  more  individual  Aspergillus  antigens  and  commercially  produced  tests  1398  

based  on  this  principle  do  exist.  In  theory  this  should  allow  production  of  a  reliable  test  1399  

and   resolve   the   many   problems   that   exist   with   traditional   antigen   extraction  1400  

techniques.  However,  to  our  knowledge  there  is  no  published  evidence  that  these  assays  1401  

are   consistently  either  more   reliable  or  efficacious   than   traditional   techniques   for   the  1402  

diagnosis  of  either  allergic  or  chronic  aspergillosis.  Assays  based  on  culture   filtrate  or  1403  

somatic  antigens  remain  in  common  usage.  1404  

As  the  majority  of  patients  with  pulmonary  aspergillosis  are  predicted  to  live  in  1405  

resource-­‐poor  settings  it  will  be  necessary  to  identify  a  reliable  test  that  is  suitable  for  1406  

widespread  use   in   such  settings   if   such  patients  are   to  be  diagnosed  and   treated.  The  1407  

haemagglutination   assay  may   be   suitable   for   use   in   this   setting,   but   requires   further  1408  

validation.  The  Aspergillus  antigen  LFD   is   in   the   ideal   test   format,  but   is   likely   to  have  1409  

poor   sensitivity   for   the   diagnosis   of   CPA.   An   LFD   that   detects  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  1410  

may   need   to   be   developed   to   allow   widespread   access   to   testing   in   resource   poor  1411  

settings.1412  

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  1413  

Table  1  –  Abbreviated  diagnostic  criteria  for  acute  pulmonary  IA,  sub  acute   1414  

pulmonary  IA  ,  CCPA  and  Aspergillus  bronchitis   1415     Proven  

Invasive48  Probable  Invasive48  

Sub  Acute  Invasive  (aka  CNPA)6    

CCPA5,7,8,21     Aspergillus  bronchitis39  

ABPA4  

Clinical  criteria  

not  required  

neutropaenia  OR  stem  cell  transplant  OR  high  dose  corticosteroids  for  >3  weeks  OR  Immune-­‐suppressant  drugs  OR  CGD  OR  SCID  

>1  MONTH  SYMPTOMS;  weight  loss    OR  productive  cough    OR  haemoptysis  AND  absence  of  host  factors  for  acute  invasive  disease      

3  MONTHS  SYMPTOMS;  weight  loss  OR  productive  cough  OR  haemoptysis  AND  absence  of  host  factors  for  invasive  disease    

persistent  productive  cough  OR  recurrent  chest  infections  AND  does  not  meet  diagnostic  criteria  for  chronic  or  allergic  aspergillosis  

asthma    OR  cystic  fibrosis  

Radiological  criteria    on  CXR  or  CT  scan  

not  required  

dense  lesions  +/-­‐  halo  sign  OR  air-­‐crescent  sign  OR  one  or  more  cavities  

new  cavitation  OR  expanding  cavity  OR  paracavitary  infiltrates  

new  cavitation  OR  expanding  cavity  OR  paracavitary  infiltrates  

absence  of  changes  consistent  with  CPA  or  ABPA  

transient  opacifications  or  permanent  evidence  of  bronchiectasis  of  pleuro-­‐pulmonary  fibrosis  (see  other  criteria  below)  

Laboratory  criteria  

culture  from  a  sample  from  a  normally  sterile  site    OR    histology    

culture  from  sputum  or  BAL  OR  GM  in  blood  or  BAL  OR  ß(1,3)-­‐D-­‐glucan  in  blood                    

culture  from  sputum  or  BAL  OR  GM  in  blood  or  BAL  OR  ß(1,3)-­‐D-­‐glucan  in  blood  OR  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG    OR  histology  

raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG    OR    culture  from  sputum  or  BAL  OR  GM  in  blood  or  BAL*  OR  ß(1,3)-­‐D-­‐glucan  in  blood*    

raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG    AND  EITHER  recurrent  culture  growth  from  sputum  or  BAL  OR  persistently  positive  PCR  from  sputum  or  BAL    

Obligatory  Criteria  total  IgE  >  1000  IU/ml  AND  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgE  (or  positive  skin  prick  test)  Other  criteria  (2  of  3  needed)  raised  eosinophil  count  OR  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  /  precipitins  OR  radiological  changes  as  above  

CNPA   =   chronic   necrotising   pulmonary   aspergillosis,   CCPA   =   chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis,   ABPA   =   allergic   1416  bronchopulmonary  aspergillosis,  CGD  =  chronic  granulomatous  disease.  SCID  =  severe  combined  immunodeficiency,   1417  CXR  =  chest  X-­‐ray,  CT  =  computed  tomography,  BAL  =  bronchoalveolar  lavage,  GM  =  galactomannan  antigen  test,  IgG   1418  =  immunoglobulin  g,  IgE  =  immunoglobulin  e,  PCR  =  polymerase  chain  reaction.  Unless  stated  otherwise  patients   1419  must   meet   all   3   criteria   for   diagnosis   of   each   condition.   *GM   and   ß(1,3)-­‐D-­‐glucan   are   less   sensitive   than   1420  Aspergillus  serology  in  CPA  and  so  not   included  in  all  published  case  definitions,  but  are  consistent  with  CPA  when   1421  present  together  with  appropriate  clinical  and  radiological  features.   1422  

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Table  2–  Comparison  of  the  features  of  selected  commercial  Aspergillus  antibody   1423  

assays   1424  Test     CIE   Thermo  

Fisher  Scientific  IgG  FEIA  

Siemens  IgG  ELISA  

Bio-­‐Rad  IgG  ELISA  

Serion  IgG  ELISA  

Dynamiker  IgG  ELISA  

ELITech  HA    

LDBIO  Immuno  blot  

Antigen  type  

fungal  extract  

fungal  extract  

fungal  extract  

unspecified  recombinant  antigen  

fungal  extract  

galacto-­‐mannan  

fungal  extract  

fungal  extract  

Volume  (µL)  

10   140    (dead  volume  =  100  )  

255      (dead  volume  =  250)    

10   10   1   50   10  

Dilutions   titres  as  required  

1  if  result  >  200mg/L.  

1  if  result  >  200mg/L.  

1  pre-­‐test  and  second  in  samples  with  high  result  

2  pre-­‐test  and  third  in  samples  with  high  result  

1  pre-­‐test  and  second  in  samples  with  high  result  

titres  as  required  

none  

Units   dilution  titres  

mg/L   mg/L   AU/ml    

U/ml   AU/mL   dilution  titres  

n/a  

No  samples  tested  per  batch  

30  +  2  controls*  

continuous  testing  

continuous  testing  

92  +  4  controls  

92  +  4  controls.  

92  +6  controls  

94  +  2  controls*  

1  

Equipment  needed  

gels  antigens  Coomassie  blue  stain,  de-­‐stain  and  washing  solution  CIE  tank    

Phadia  100  analyzer  and  antigen  packs.  test  tubes.  barcode  labels  

Siemens  Immulite  analyzer  and  antigen  packs.  test  tubes  barcode  labels  

kit  pipettes  test  tubes  incubator  spectro-­‐photometer  OR  automated  analyzer  

kit  pipettes  test  tubes  moist  chamber  incubator  distilled  water  spectro-­‐photometer  OR  automated  analyzer  

kit  pipettes  test  tubes  incubator  distilled  water  spectro-­‐photometer    

kit  pipette  

pipette  tweezers  rocking  tray  

Suitable  for  a  resource  poor  laboratory?  

YES   NO   NO   YES    (if  manual)  

YES    (if  manual)  

YES   YES   YES  

Total  batch  time  

2  days   3  hours   2  hours   4  hours   4  hours   4  hours   2  ½  hours  

3  hours  

Hands  on  time-­‐  approx  

4  hours   30  mins   30  mins   2  hours   2  hours   2  hours   30  mins   1  hour  

CIE   =   counterimmunoelectrophoresis,   IgG   =   immunoglobulin   g,   FEIA   =   fluoroenzyme   immunoassay,   1425  ELISA  =  enzyme  immunoassay,  HA  =  haemagglutination,  AU  =  arbitrary  units.  *Represents  total  number   1426  of   sera  wells  per   test.  Can  perform  this  many  screening   tests   in  one  batch  or  use  1  well   for  each  serial   1427  dilution  if  dilutional  titres  are  required.   1428  

1429  

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Table  3  –  Frequency  of  different  Aspergillus  species  grown  in  different  respiratory   1430  conditions   1431     1432  Paper   Country   Disease   No  of  

cases  A.  fumigatus  (%)  

A.  niger  (%)  

A.  flavus    (%)  

A.  terreus  (%)  

Baddley    2009191  

USA   invasive  aspergillosis  

274  isolates  

66   10   10   9  

Herbrecht  2002  20    

International     invasive  aspergillosis  

110   77   8   6   5  

Denning  20035  

UK   CPA   10   100   none   none   none  

Baxter    201366    

UK   cystic  fibrosis   39   100   none   3   none  

Camuset  2007108  

France   CPA   21   95   none   5   none  

Nam    20106   South  Korea   subacute  invasive  aspergillosis  +  CPA  

34   91   9   3   none  

Jhun    20138   South  Korea   CPA   18   78   22   17   none  Ohba    20127  

Japan   CPA   75   68   15   4   none  

Kurhade  2002192  

India   treated  tuberculosis  

14   79   14   7   none  

Shahid    2001146    

India   ‘chronic  lung  diseases’  

12   67   33   none   none  

Michael  2008193  

India   allergic  Aspergillus  rhinosinusitis  

125   11   3   79   1  

invasive  Aspergillus  rhinosinusitis  

34   26   9   59   6  

Prateek  2013194  

India   Aspergillus  rhinosinusitis  

16   19   none   75   6  

CPA  =  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  Note  multiple  species  identified  in  some  cases.   1433  

  1434  

1435  

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Table  4  –Direct  comparisons  of  sensitivity  of  antibody  tests  in  proven  CPA  /   1436  

aspergilloma   1437  Paper   No  of  

patients  DD  (%)  

CIE    (%)  

HA    (%)  

Culture  filtrate  IgG  ELISA  (%)  

ThermoFisher  Scientific  ImmunoCAP  FEIA  (%)  

Bio-­‐Rad  recombinant  IgG  ELISA  (%)  

Bio-­‐Rad  galactomannan  antigen  test  (%)*  

Dee  1975168  

9   89   89   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐  

Warnock  1977171  

5   100   100   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐  

Kurup  1978170  

23   87   91   100   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐  

Kauffman  1983169  

13   100   -­‐   -­‐   100   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐  

Mishra  198387  

17   100   100   -­‐   100   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐  

Gugnani  1990173  

5   100   -­‐   -­‐   100   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐  

Faux  1992172  

11   100   -­‐   -­‐   100   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐  

Kitasato  200960  

28   89   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   50    

Guitard  201238  

51   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   92  (Serion)  

  94   -­‐  

Baxter  201374  

116   56   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   86   85   -­‐  

Jhun  20138  

47   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   99  (IBL)  

-­‐   -­‐   23  

Shin  201459  

168   98   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   23  

  1438  CPA   =   chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis,   DD   =   double   diffusion   (precipitins),   CIE   =   1439  counterimmunoelectrophoresis,   HA   =   haemagglutination,   IgG   =   immunoglobulin   g,   1440  ELISA   =   enzyme   immunoassay,   FEIA   =   fluoroenzyme   immunoassay.   *galactomannan   1441  positive  when  index  ≥0.5   1442     1443  

  1444  

  1445  

  1446  

  1447  

1448  

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  1449  

Table  5  –  Direct  comparisons  of  sensitivity  of  antibody  and  antigen  tests  in   1450  

invasive  aspergillosis   1451  

  1452  

Paper   Clinical  group  

No.  of  patients  

DD  (%)  

CIE  (%)    

HA    (%)  

IgG  ELISA  (%)*  

Serum  GM    (%)  

Holmberg  198082  

autopsy  proven  IA  

10   -­‐   70   -­‐   80   -­‐  

Mishra  198387  

IA   8   37   50   -­‐   75   -­‐  

Manso  199485  

mixed  proven  and  probable  IA  

18   55   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   38  (LA)  

Kappe  199684  

biopsy  proven  IA  

14   -­‐   -­‐   LD  –  29  Roche  -­‐  36  Fumouze  –  36  

 29   -­‐  

Kappe  200486  

biopsy  proven  IA  

26   -­‐   -­‐   8   22   -­‐  

Herbrecht  200296  

definite  IA   31         68   64  probable  IA   67         58   16  possible  IA   55         70   25  all  IA   133         64   29  

Cornillet  200690  

neutropaenic  IA  

52   6.25  (mix  of  DD,  CIE  and  Serion  ELISA)  

64      

non-­‐neutropaenic  IA  

36   48  (mix  of  DD,  CIE  and  Serion  ELISA)  

65  

all  IA  patients    

88   30  (mix  of  DD,  CIE  and  Serion  ELISA)  

65  

DD   =   double   diffusion   (precipitins),   CIE   =   counterimmunoelectrophoresis,   HA   =   1453  haemagglutination,   IgG   =   immunoglobulin   g,   ELISA   =   enzyme   immunoassay,   GM   =   1454  galactomannan  antigen  test  (ELISA  unless  stated  otherwise),  LA  =  latex  agglutination,  IA   1455  =   invasive   aspergillosis.   *IgG  ELISA   tests   are   internally  manufactured  by   the   research   1456  laboratory  unless  stated  otherwise.   1457  

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FIGURES 1458  

1459  

1 – Visual representation of the number of patients with each condition and the number 1460  

of patients where each test is diagnostic 1461  

1462  Note – IA = invasive aspergillosis, CPA = chronic pulmonary aspergillosis, ABPA = allergic 1463  

bronchopulmonary aspergillosis. The size of each circle is relative to the estimated European 1464  

population affected by the disease, with prevalence used for the chronic conditions ABPA 1465  

(887,000 cases) and CPA (240,000 cases) and incidence for the acute condition IA (63,000 1466  

cases)29. 1467  

1468  

The length of the bars represents the total number of patients where each test is diagnostic by 1469  

combining frequency of positive results annually for each condition. Aspergillus-specific IgE 1470  

is raised in almost all cases of ABPA4,22 and up to 66% of CPA cases5. Aspergillus-specific 1471  

IgG is raised in 65% of ABPA (Smith and Denning, unpublished data), up to 100% of CPA5,8 1472  

and up to 65% of cases of IA96. Aspergillus antigen tests are positive in around 62% of cases 1473  

of IA in adults24 and 23% of cases of CPA8. 1474  

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2 - Picture of a CIE gel, with visible precipitin bands 1475  

1476  Blue-stained precipitin lines are formed where antigens and antibodies meet and precipitation 1477  

of antibody-antigen complexes occurs. They represent a positive result. Sera in the left hand 1478  

column produced no lines and are negative. 1479  

1480  

1481  

1482  

1483  

1484  

1485  

1486  

1487  

1488  

1489  

1490  

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3 – Haemagglutination assay 1491  

ELITech(Aspergillus(IHA(–(fresh(sera(

(((((((1:80(((((((1:160(((((((((1:320((((((((1:640((((((1:1280(((((1:2560((((((Serum(((((Reagent((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((((control(((((control(

(Microgen(+(

Kit(+(

Kit(G(

44305((1:8)(

44380((1:4)(

44426((1:4)(

44429((neg)(

44460((1:2)(

Samples((precipiKn(Ktre)(

1:320(

1:320(

>1:2560(

1:640(

1:320(

1:80(

Neg(

>1:2560(

1492  The ELITech haemagglutination assay can be performed with no equipment other than a 1493  

pipette. Results are visible to the naked eye. In the image above each row is a test sample 1494  

with dilutional titres increasing from left to right. Result is the last titre at which a ‘plaque’ is 1495  

still visible as shown. 1496  

1497  

1498  

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1499  4 – Suitability of tests in resource-poor settings 1500  

1501  The automated ELISA machine shown is of little use in settings with no regular electricity, 1502  

whereas lateral flow devices, such as the Aspergillus antigen LFD above, are ideal. 1503  

 1504  

   1505  

1506  

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Part  5  –  CPA  as  Global  Public  Health  issue  1507  

 1508  

The  presence  of  a  fungal  ball  in  a  human  was  first  documented  by  Plaignaud  in  the  18th  1509  

century195,   with   fungal   growth   in   human   tubercular   lung   cavities   described   half   a  1510  

century  later  by  Bennett196.  The  first  survey  of  the  frequency  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis  1511  

secondary   to   tuberculosis   was   undertaken   by   the   British   Medical   Research   Council  1512  

(MRC)  in  197076,197  and  the  modern  syndrome  of  CPA  was  defined  in  20035.  CPA  occurs  1513  

in   patients   with   underlying   structural   lung   disease.     Underlying   conditions   include  1514  

COPD,  sarcoidosis,  and  cystic  fibrosis,  but  the  most  common  underlying  condition  in  the  1515  

UK  is  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis14.  Large  CPA  case  series  have  now  been  reported  1516  

in  Europe,  India,  China,  Korea  and  Japan  and  the  large  majority  of  CPA  cases  described  1517  

are  secondary  to  tuberculosis7,8,14,15,18,108,198.    1518  

 1519  

Aspergillosis  has  been  known  to  exist   in  Africa  for  some  time.  Aspergillus  sinusitis  has  1520  

been  well  recognized  in  Sudan  since  the  1960s199  and  Aspergillus  has  documented  as  the  1521  

most   common   cause   of   otomycosis   in   Nigeria200.   The   first   documented   case   of  1522  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  Africa  was  that  of  an  aspergilloma  in  a  South  African  farmer  1523  

in  1965201.  Over  170  cases  of  CPA  have  since  been  reported  throughout  Africa,  including  1524  

South  Africa,  Nigeria,  Ivory  Coast,  Senegal,  Central  African  Republic,  Djibouti,  Ethiopia,  1525  

Tanzania  and  Uganda16,201–212.  Over  90%  of  these  cases  occurred  in  persons  previously  1526  

treated   for   pulmonary   tuberculosis.   Cases   of   co-­‐infection   with   Aspergillus   and   active  1527  

pulmonary  tuberculosis  have  also  been  documented  in  Tunisia  and  Egypt213,214.  1528  

 1529  

An  estimated  9  million  people  developed  tuberculosis  in  2013215.  It  was  associated  with  1530  

1.5   million   deaths14,   of   which   only   210,000   are   estimated   to   be   due   to   multidrug  1531  

resistant  strains  of  M.  tuberculosis.  Many  of  these  deaths  in  patients  with  initially  drug-­‐1532  

susceptible   disease   will   be   due   to   lack   of   diagnosis,   poor   access   to   treatment   or  1533  

inadequate   compliance,   given   that   they  mostly   occur   in   resource-­‐poor   countries  with  1534  

weak  health  infrastructure.    However  some  may  be  due  to  undiagnosed  CPA.  1535  

 1536  

CPA   presents   with   progressive   pulmonary   cavitation   associated   with   weight   loss,  1537  

persistent   cough   and   haemoptysis5,7,8.   This   presentation   is   near   identical   to   that   of  1538  

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  58  

pulmonary   tuberculosis   itself216.     Chest   X-­‐ray   often   cannot   distinguish   the   two  1539  

conditions   because   cavities,   pleural   thickening   and   fibrosis   are   characteristic   of   both  1540  

tuberculosis   and   pulmonary   aspergillosis5,8,217,218.   Aspergilloma   is   distinctive,   but   it   is  1541  

present   in  only  36%  of   cases  of  CPA8  and  probably   represents  a   late  manifestation  of  1542  

infection219.   Raised   levels   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   are   present   in   almost   all   cases   of  1543  

CPA5,7,8,59,  but  this  test  is  essentially  unavailable  in  Africa220.    1544  

 1545  

The   UK  Medical   Research   Council   (MRC)   study,   performed   between   1968   and   1970,  1546  

remains  the  only  published  measure  of  the  prevalence  of  CPA  secondary  to  pulmonary  1547  

tuberculosis.   It   investigated  544  patients  with  residual   lung  cavities  after   tuberculosis  1548  

treatment76,197.  Precipitating  antibodies  to  Aspergillus  fumigatus  were  present  in  34%  of  1549  

patients,  of  whom  63%  went  on  to  develop  an  aspergilloma  within  the  2-­‐year  follow-­‐up  1550  

period.  Haemoptysis   occurred   in   42%  of   those  with   aspergilloma.   This   study   has   not  1551  

been  replicated,  but  positive  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies  have  been  found  in  20-­‐27%  1552  

of   patients   previously   treated   for   pulmonary   tuberculosis   in   Japan,   India   and  1553  

Brazil80,146,192,221.  1554  

 1555  

The  MRC   study   had   a   number   of   limitations.   The   radiological   criteria   used   to   define  1556  

‘aspergilloma’  are  not  well  described.  It  was  performed  before  the  invention  of  the  CT  1557  

scan   and   therefore   probably   underestimates   the   frequency   of   aspergilloma   and  other  1558  

characteristic  features  of  CPA.  It  also  used  precipitation-­‐in-­‐gel  technique105,123  to  detect  1559  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies,  which  probably  has  inferior  sensitivity  in  comparison  to  1560  

modern   ELISA   techniques74.   Furthermore   it   was   restricted   to   those   with   visible  1561  

cavitation  on  chest  X-­‐ray  after  tuberculosis.  Aspergillosis  might  also  develop  in  cavities  1562  

smaller  than  those  detected  on  chest  X-­‐ray.  These  cases  would  not  be  detected  with  this  1563  

study  design.  1564  

 1565  

The  global  prevalence  of  CPA  secondary  to  tuberculosis  was  nonetheless  calculated  on  1566  

the  basis  of  the  1968-­‐70  MRC  study  results,   together  with  current  prevalence  data  for  1567  

pulmonary   tuberculosis   and   residual   cavitation   following   pulmonary   tuberculosis11.  1568  

The   rate   of   post-­‐tuberculous   cavitation   was   assumed   to   be   22%   everywhere   except  1569  

Europe   where   it   was   estimated   to   be   an   arbitrary   12%.   As   CPA  may   occur   in   those  1570  

without  visible  cavitation,  an  arbitrary  2%  of  post-­‐tuberculous  patients  without  visible  1571  

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cavitation  were  also  includes  in  the  estimates.  The  5  year  period  prevalence  of  CPA  was  1572  

estimated  to  be  1,173,881  million  people  secondary  to  tuberculosis11.  The  5-­‐year  point  1573  

prevalence  of  CPA  secondary   to   tuberculosis   in  DR  Congo  was  estimated   to  be  43  per  1574  

100,000  population11.  However  any  inaccuracies  in  the  original  1968-­‐70  study  would  be  1575  

reflected  in  this  prediction.  Multiple  other  underlying  diseases  are  associated  with  CPA  1576  

in  addition  to  tuberculosis14.  The  total  global  prevalence  of  CPA  is  estimated  at  around  3  1577  

million  cases  when  these  are  included11–13.  1578  

 1579  

There   has   never   been   a   survey   measuring   the   prevalence   of   CPA   secondary   to  1580  

tuberculosis  in  a  current  area  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence.  CPA  prevalence  in  these  1581  

areas  might  differ  from  the  UK  in  1968-­‐70.  Rates  of  Aspergillus  rhinitis  and  keratitis  are  1582  

higher   in   countries   with   warm   climates   and   many   subsistence   farmers10.   The   same  1583  

pattern  might  apply  to  CPA.  Frequent  exposure  to  wood  smoke  is  common  in  areas  of  1584  

high  tuberculosis  prevalence  and  is  associated  with  increased  frequency  of  respiratory  1585  

diseases222.   CPA   rates   might   also   be   higher   in   this   group.   Most   importantly   HIV   co-­‐1586  

infection   might   alter   the   rate   of   CPA,   either   increasing   it   due   to  1587  

immunosuppression52,223,224  or  decreasing  it  by  reducing  the  rate  of  residual  cavitation  1588  

after  tuberculosis  treatment225–227.  1589  

 1590  

Fungal  infections  are  a  well-­‐documented  aspect  of  AIDS.  Oral  candidosis  affects  90%  of  1591  

AIDS   patients   and   more   than   10%   develop   oesophageal   candidiasis228.   Cryptococcus  1592  

neoformans   can   cause   both   pulmonary   infection229   and   meningitis230.   Pnuemocystis  1593  

jirovecii,   Blastomyces   dermititidis,   Coccidioidomyces   imitis   and   Paracoccidioidomyces  1594  

brasiliensis  are  all  known  to  cause  pneumonia  in  patients  with  AIDS231–234.    1595  

 1596  

Aspergillus   tracheo-­‐bronchitis   is   perhaps   the   most   well   known   form   of   invasive  1597  

aspergillosis  associated  with  AIDS43.  However,   there   is  also  a  documented  association  1598  

between   pulmonary   aspergillosis   and   AIDS,   in   the   absence   of   pulmonary  1599  

tuberculosis52,223,224,235,236.  Many  of  these  cases  occurred  in  patients  with  drug-­‐induced  1600  

neutropaenia,  but  in  44%  of  cases  neutrophil  counts  were  normal235.  Advanced  AIDS  is,  1601  

however   associated   with   impaired   neutrophil   function237   and   almost   all   of   these  1602  

patients  had  CD4  count  below  100  cells/μL235.  There  is  therefore  a  plausible  mechanism  1603  

by  which  AIDS  could  directly  place  the  patient  at  risk  of  invasive  aspergillosis.    1604  

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Most  cases  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  AIDS  are  best  described  as  subacute  invasive  1605  

disease,  rather  than  CPA52,236.  Indeed  AIDS  has  been  considered  an  exclusion  criteria  for  1606  

CPA  on  the  grounds   that  marked   immunosuppression   is   likely   to  result   in  more  rapid  1607  

disease   progression5.   Chronic   presentations   have,   however   also   been   described   in  1608  

AIDS223.  In  reality  there  is  probably  a  spectrum  of  disease  related  to  the  severity  of  AIDS  1609  

related   immunosuppression.   The   precise   nature   of   the   clinical   syndrome   is   less  1610  

important   than   the   outcome.   Autopsy   studies   from   Italy,   India   and   Uganda   have  1611  

demonstrated   that   aspergillosis   is   associated   with   3-­‐11%   of   all   AIDS   related   deaths,  1612  

with  only  10%  of  these  cases  diagnosed  during  life207,238–240.    1613  

 1614  

In   resource-­‐poor   settings   pulmonary   tuberculosis   is   often   diagnosed   on   the   basis   of  1615  

World   Health   Organization   (WHO)   approved   ‘smear-­‐negative’   criteria,   with  1616  

microbiological  proof  of  tuberculosis  infection  not  required241.  These  clinical  diagnosis  1617  

protocols  are  used  extensively   in  areas  of  high   tuberculosis  and  HIV  prevalence242.   In  1618  

Uganda   54%   of   HIV   positive   out-­‐patients   commencing   tuberculosis   therapy   are  1619  

diagnosed  in  this  manner,  but  only  35%  of  patients  in  the  ‘smear-­‐negative’  group  who  1620  

submit  sputum  for  culture  ultimately  grow  mycobacterium  tuberculosis243.  In  Ugandan  1621  

HIV   positive   in-­‐patients   there   is   essentially   no   correlation   between   the   results   of   the  1622  

WHO  smear-­‐negative  diagnostic  protocol  and  eventual  confirmation  of  tuberculosis244.    1623  

 1624  

Comparing  smear-­‐negative  pulmonary  tuberculosis  cases  to  smear-­‐positive  pulmonary  1625  

tuberculosis  cases,  the  hazard  ratio  is  1.49  for  2-­‐month  mortality  in  DR  Congo245  and  2.2  1626  

for  7-­‐year  mortality  in  Malawi246.    One  potential  explanation  for  the  excess  mortality  in  1627  

the  smear-­‐negative  group  is  that  some  cases  of  ‘smear-­‐negative  tuberculosis’  are  in  fact  1628  

undiagnosed  and  untreated  cases  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  1629  

 1630  

Treatment   greatly   reduces   mortality   in   pulmonary   aspergillosis.   In   invasive  1631  

aspergillosis   12-­‐week   survival   rates   of   71%   and   57%   have   been   achieved   with  1632  

voriconazole   and   amphotericin,   in   comparison   to   almost   100%   mortality   without  1633  

treatment247–249.   Amphotericin   is   already   used   effectively   to   treat   cryptococcal  1634  

meningitis   in   resource-­‐poor   settings230.     CPA   is   also   treatable.   Oral   itraconazole   has  1635  

been  shown  to  prevent  clinical  and  radiological  progression18,198  and  is  available  in  low-­‐1636  

cost   generic   preparations.   Voriconazole   and   posaconazole   have   also   been   associated  1637  

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with   positive   outcomes58,108,198.   Surgery   is   curative   in   selected   patients  with   localized  1638  

disease15,21   and  has  been   safely  delivered   in   resource-­‐poor   settings16,54,212.   Identifying  1639  

and  treating  patients  with  CPA  could  therefore  result  in  a  reduction  of  the  mortality  rate  1640  

currently  ascribed  to  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  1641  

 1642  

The   existing   evidence   therefore   raises   a   real   possibility   that   pulmonary   aspergillosis  1643  

commonly   occurs   in   association   with   both   tuberculosis   and   AIDS.   The   situation   is  1644  

complicated  by  the  fact  that  CPA  both  complicates  pulmonary  tuberculosis  and  mimics  1645  

its   clinical   and   radiological   presentation14,217,218.   It   therefore  might  well   be   frequently  1646  

misdiagnosed  as  recurrent  ‘smear-­‐negative  tuberculosis’  in  those  with  previous  treated  1647  

pulmonary   tuberculosis215.   Pulmonary   aspergillosis   can   also   occur   as   a   direct  1648  

consequence   of   AIDS52,223,236.   In   this   circumstance   patients   are   also   at   high   risk   of  1649  

pulmonary   tuberculosis   and   the   presentation   of   the   two   conditions   would   be   near  1650  

identical.    1651  

 1652  

The  central  goal  of   the  work  contained   in   this   thesis   is   to  determine   the   frequency  of  1653  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  association  with  tuberculosis  and  AIDS.  A  prerequisite  of  this  1654  

is  to  define  the  performance  characteristics  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assays  in  a  well-­‐1655  

defined  CPA  population.    The  UK  National  Aspergillosis  Centre  has   the  world’s   largest  1656  

collection   of   stored   sera   from   known  CPA   cases,  which   have   been   used   to   define   the  1657  

sensitivity   and   specificity   of   various   assays.   The   best   available   assay   is   then   used   in  1658  

surveys   to  measure   the  prevalence  CPA  complicating   treated  pulmonary   tuberculosis.  1659  

This  study  includes  both  HIV  infected  and  uninfected  persons  to  determine  the  impact  1660  

of  HIV  infection  on  CPA  prevalence.  Two  additional  Ugandan  cohorts  are  also  assessed  1661  

for   evidence   of   primary   pulmonary   aspergillosis;   those   with   proven   pulmonary  1662  

tuberculosis  and  those  with  AIDS  and  ‘smear-­‐negative  pulmonary  tuberculosis’,  but  no  1663  

microbiological  proof  of  diagnosis.  1664  

 1665  

1666  

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METHODOLOGY 1667  

 1668  

Paper  1  –  Performance  of   six  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  assays   for   the  diagnosis  of  1669  

chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CPA)   and   allergic   bronchopulmonary  1670  

aspergillosis  (ABPA)  1671  

 1672  

Patients  1673  

 1674  

241  patients  with  CPA  and  80  patients  with  ABPA  were   identified  at   the  UK  National  1675  

Aspergillosis  Centre  (NAC)  who  had  a  stored  sample  of  serum  taken  at  a  time  when  they  1676  

were  either  off  treatment,  or  had  only  started  treatment  in  the  last  3  months.  Samples  1677  

were  stored  between  2004  and  2014.  Diagnosis  of  CPA  or  ABPA  was  taken  from  clinical  1678  

notes.    1679  

 1680  

All  patients  with  ABPA  at  our  centre  are  routinely  screened  for  the  development  of  CPA.  1681  

Any   patient   with   CPA   complicating   ABPA   was   classified   as   CPA.   The   ImmunoCAP  1682  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   assay   (ThermoFisher   Scientific,   multi-­‐national)   was   used   for  1683  

clinical   diagnosis   at   our   laboratory   during   this   period.   However   the   NAC   accepted  1684  

referrals   from   all   over   the   UK   and   those   that   fulfilled   the   microbiological   diagnostic  1685  

criteria  with  culture  growth  or  positive  result  with  an  alternative  Aspergillus  antibody  1686  

assay   used   by   the   referring   hospital   were   accepted   as   cases   regardless   of   their  1687  

ThermoFisher  Scientific  ImmunoCAP  result.  1688  

 1689  

CPA  diagnostic  criteria  1690  

 1691  

CPA  is  diagnosed  at  the  NAC  on  the  basis  of  criteria  proposed  by  Denning  et  al  in  20035  1692  

and   later   endorsed   by   the   Infectious   Diseases   Society   of   America   (IDSA)250   and  1693  

European   Society   of   Clinical   Microbiology   and   Infectious   Diseases   (ESCMID)251.   It  1694  

required  the  presence  of  all  of  the  following;  1  -­‐  underlying  disease,  2  -­‐  symptoms,  3  -­‐  1695  

radiological  changes  and  4  -­‐  microbiological  evidence.  The  latter  could  take  the  form  of  1696  

biopsy,   repeated   Aspergillus   culture   or   PCR   from   sputum   or   broncho-­‐alveolar   lavage  1697  

fluid.  However   in  the  vast  majority  of  cases  microbiological  evidence  was  provided  by  1698  

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raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.  As  the  NAC  accepts  patents  from  the  whole  UK  a  1699  

variety  of  Aspergillus-­‐IgG  assays  will  have  been  used  to  make  the  original  diagnosis  at  1700  

referring  hospitals.  1701  

 1702  

Antibody   positivity   with   either   the   ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP   (cut-­‐off  1703  

40mg/L)  or  two  different  precipitins  assays  (positive  at  any  dilution)  is  the  commonest  1704  

microbiological   means   of   making   the   diagnosis   at   the   NAC,   but   histological   evidence  1705  

from   biopsy   or   resection,   positive   culture   from   sputum   or   bronchoscopy   samples,  1706  

Aspergillus  PCR  on  sputum  and  galactomannan  on  bronchoalveolar   lavage   fluid  are  all  1707  

also   accepted   as   ‘microbiological   evidence’   of   CPA.  Most  patients  had   several   positive  1708  

samples,  at  the  referring  hospital  and  at  the  NAC.  1709  

 1710  

ABPA  diagnostic  criteria  1711  

 1712  

ABPA  is  diagnosed  at  the  NAC  in  line  with  International  Society  for  Human  and  Animal  1713  

Mycology   (ISHAM)  diagnostic   criteria4.   These   require   the  presence  of   raised   total   IgE  1714  

and  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgE  (or  positive  skin  prick  testing)  for  diagnosis.  Positive  1715  

precipitins   or   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   is   one   of   three   additional   features,   along   with  1716  

raised   eosinophil   count   and   radiological   features,   of   which   two   out   of   three   are   also  1717  

required  to  confirm  the  diagnosis.  1718  

 1719  

Control   samples  were   collected   from   100   healthy  Ugandan   students   aged   16-­‐18  who  1720  

were  donating  blood   and  were  negative   for  HIV.   Samples  were   tested   for  Aspergillus-­‐  1721  

IgG  by  all  methods.  Diseased  controls  for  comparison  to  ABPA  sera  were  taken  from  100  1722  

asthmatic   patients   under   the   care   of   the   North   West   Lung   Centre   at   UHSM.   These  1723  

samples   were   stored   as   part   of   the   ManRAB   biobank   project.   Ethical   clearance   was  1724  

granted  by  the  ManRAB  committee  prior  to  their  use  in  this  study.  1725  

 1726  

Assays  1727  

 1728  

Tests   were   performed   between   January   and   July   2014.  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels  1729  

were  measured  by  the  author  on  all  stored  samples  using  the  Immulite  2000  (Siemens,  1730  

Germany)   performed   at   Christie   Hospital,   Manchester   UK.  Manual   plate   ELISAs  were  1731  

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performed   by   the   author   using   kits   supplied   by   Serion   (Germany),   Genesis   (UK,)   and  1732  

Dynamiker   (China)   at   the   Mycology   Reference   Centre,   University   Hospital   of   South  1733  

Manchester,  UK.    1734  

 1735  

Each  manual  plate  ELISA  kit  followed  a  similar  process  that  first  required  serum  to  be  1736  

diluted  using  a  diluent  supplied  by  the  manufacturer.    A  fixed  volume  of  diluted  serum  1737  

was   then   added   to   wells   that   were   pre-­‐coated   with   Aspergillus   antigens,   for   a   fixed  1738  

period  of  time.  The  Serion  and  Dynamiker  kits  required  this  incubation  to  take  place  in  1739  

an   incubator   at  37oC,  while   the  Genesis  kit   required   incubation  at   room   temperature.  1740  

After  washing  with  a  washing  solution  provided  with  the  kit  a  fixed  volume  of  conjugate  1741  

was   added   and   incubated   for   a   fixed   period   of   time.   After   further   washing   a   fixed  1742  

volume  of  substrate  was  added  and  incubated  for  a  fixed  period  of  time.  Finally  a  fixed  1743  

volume  of  stopping  solution  was  added.  1744  

 1745  

Optical   density   was   measured   within   five   minutes   of   test   completion   on   a   PolarStar  1746  

Omega   spectrophotometer   (BMG   Labtech,   UK),   with   settings   for   each   individual   kits  1747  

utilized  in  line  with  manufacturers’  instructions.  For  the  Genesis  and  Dynamiker  assays  1748  

a  formula  was  installed  on  the  spectrophotometer  software  to  convert  optical  density  to  1749  

arbitrary  units  in  line  with  the  manufacturers’  guidelines.  For  Serion  the  optical  density  1750  

results   were   entered   onto   an   Excell   database   supplied   by   the   manufacturer   with  1751  

embedded   formulae   to   convert   optical   density   to   arbitrary   units.  Where   a   result  was  1752  

greater  than  a  threshold  specified  by  the  manufacturer  a  1  in  10  dilution  was  performed  1753  

and  the  assay  was  repeated.  1754  

 1755  

Results  were  rejected  if  the  manufacturers’  stated  quality  control  criteria  were  not  met  1756  

for  an  individual  test  plate.  If  this  occurred  the  tests  were  re-­‐run  on  a  fresh  plate.  The  1757  

exception   was   the   Dynamiker   assay   where   all   kits   failed   the   same   one   of   the   three  1758  

stated   quality   controls   criteria.   This   was   discussed   with   the   manufacturer.   After  1759  

reviewing   our   data   in   detail   the   manufacturer   concluded   that   they   would   revise   the  1760  

quality  control  guidance  for  this  kit  in  line  with  our  findings.  A  decision  was  made  with  1761  

the  manufacturer  to  proceed  with  the  use  of  their  kits  in  the  study,  as  long  as  the  other  1762  

quality  control  criteria  were  met  for  each  plate.  A  summary  sheet  comparing  the  exact  1763  

processes  for  each  manufacturer  is  shown  in  appendix  1.  1764  

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The  ImmunoCAP  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assay  is  used  for  routine  testing  at  the  National  1765  

Aspergillosis  Centre.  Results  of  tests  from  CPA  and  ABPA  patients,  performed  as  part  of  1766  

routine  clinical  care,   from  the  same  sample   that  was  subsequently  stored,  are  used   in  1767  

the   analysis.   100   control   samples  were   sent   for   ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP  1768  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   testing   at   the   Manchester   Royal   Infirmary   immunology  1769  

laboratory.  These  tests  were  performed  by  the  staff  at  this  laboratory.  1770  

 1771  

Precipitation   in   gel   (precipitins)   testing   was   also   performed   by   the   author   using   the  1772  

counterimmunoelectrophoresis   (CIE)   technique74.     10ml   agarose   was   melted   and  1773  

poured  onto  a  hydrophobic  gel  bond  film  (GE  Healthcare,  USA).  Three  mm  diameter  test  1774  

wells  were   cut  once   the  gel  had   set.  Twenty  µL   sera  were  placed   in  one   row  of  wells  1775  

with  20  µL  antigens  (Microgen,  UK)  at  2  mg/ml  placed  in  the  adjacent  row.  The  gel  was  1776  

placed  above  a  CIE  tank  filled  with  veronal  buffer  and  blotting  paper  wicks  were  used  to  1777  

connect  either  end  of  the  gel  to  the  buffer  tanks  before  applying  34V  for  90mins.  The  gel  1778  

was   then   placed   in   sodium   chloride   tri-­‐sodium   citrate   buffer   overnight   before   being  1779  

dried  with  a  hair  dryer.  After  drying  the  gel  was  placed  in  a  Coomassie  Blue  stain  for  15  1780  

minutes,  followed  by  2  serial  de-­‐stains  using  methanoloic  acetic  acid.  Each  de-­‐stain  step  1781  

lasted  10  minutes.  After  further  drying  by  hair  dryer  the  gels  were  read  on  a  light  box  1782  

with   the   assistance   of   a  magnifying   glass.   The   presence   of   any   precipitins   bands  was  1783  

reported   as   a   positive   result.   Neat   serum  was   tested   for   all   samples.  Where   samples  1784  

were  positive   serial  dilution   to   a  maximum  1   in  32  dilution  was  produced   to  provide  1785  

dilutional  titres.    1786  

 1787  

Where  a  sample  produced  the  same  result  (positive  or  negative)  on  a  single  test  by  all  1788  

test  methods  this  result  was  accepted.  Where  a  sample  produced  divergent  results  on  1789  

different  assays  it  was  repeated  twice.  If  the  2  new  tests  resulted  in  a  different  outcome  1790  

(positive  or  negative)  to  the  first  test  then  the  mean  of  these  2  new  tests  replaced  the  1791  

first  test.  Final  results  after  any  repeat  testing  are  reported.    1792  

 1793  

Statistics  1794  

 1795  

Intra-­‐assay  variability  (IAV)  was  measured  for  all  assays  except  ThermoFisher  Scientific  1796  

ImmunoCAP.  Two  samples  were  selected  for  each  assay,  one  that  produced  a  low  result  1797  

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and  one  that  produced  a  high  result.  Each  assay  was  repeated  20  times  on  each  sample.  1798  

When   results   were   complete   the   study   team   (the   author   and   his   two   supervisors)  1799  

identified   outliers.   These  were  defined   as   results   that  were  markedly   different   to   the  1800  

other  tests,  with  a  likely  explanation  for  an  error.  These  outliers  were  removed  from  the  1801  

final  analysis.  Result  range,  mean,  standard  deviation  and  co-­‐efficient  of  variation  (CV)  1802  

are  reported  for  each  assay.  CV  was  calculated  as  (standard  deviation  /  mean)  X  100.    1803  

Statistical  analyses  were  performed  using  SPSS  version  20  (IBM,  USA)  under  license  to  1804  

the   University   of   Manchester,   UK.   Descriptive   statistics   are   reported   for   each   test,  1805  

including  the  range,  mean  and  median  results  in  each  patient  group.  Receiver  operating  1806  

characteristic   (ROC)   curve   analysis  was   performed   for   each   test.   The   performance   of  1807  

each  test  is  compared  using  the  Area  Under  the  Curve  (AUC)  for  ROC  analysis  with  95%  1808  

confidence   intervals   (95%  CI).  Wald   statistic   is  used   to   compare   the  ROC  AUC  results  1809  

from  different  assays.  ROC  curve  analysis  is  not  performed  for  precipitins  as  the  semi-­‐1810  

quantitative  nature  of  precipitins  results  are  not  compatible  with  this  analysis.  1811  

 1812  

CPA  and  ABPA  patient  results  were  both  compared  directly  to  healthy  controls  for  each  1813  

test.  ABPA  results  were  also  compared  to  asthmatic  diseased  control  sera.  As  CPA  can  1814  

develop  as  a  complication  of  ABPA  the  results  of  tests  in  these  groups  are  compared  by  1815  

ROC  analysis   to  determine   the  performance  of   each   assay   for   the  diagnosis   of   CPA   in  1816  

patients  with  underlying  ABPA.    1817  

 1818  

An  ideal  diagnostic  threshold  for  the  best  performing  test  was  selected.  This  threshold  1819  

had   a   specificity   of   98%   and   sensitivity   of   96%   for   the   diagnosis   of   CPA.   For   ease   of  1820  

comparison  we  then  selected  diagnostic  thresholds  for  the  other  tests  that  also  had  98%  1821  

specificity.   The   sensitivity   and   specificity   for   each   test   is   reported   using   both   the  1822  

manufacturer’s  suggested  diagnostic  threshold  and  the  new  suggested  thresholds.  1823  

 1824  

The   statistical   analysis   of   all   aspects   of   this   thesis   was   discussed   with   Julie   Morris,  1825  

statistician  based  at  UHSM  Academy.  1826  

 1827  

1828  

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1829  Discussion    1830    1831  

Recognition  of  the  existence  of  the  disease  CPA  1832  

 1833  

The  work   contained   in   this   thesis   is   based   around   the   syndrome   chronic   pulmonary  1834  

aspergillosis.  While  the  existence  of  pulmonary  aspergilloma  has  been  documented  for  1835  

centuries195,196   and   complex   aspergilloma   recognised   as   a   complication   of   cavitation  1836  

lung  disease  for  decades252  the  existence  of  CPA  in  the  form  described  above  was  only  1837  

described   in   20035.     Since   that   time   there   have   been   major   cohort   descriptions  1838  

published  in  Japan7,59,60  and  Korea8  and  treatment  studies  described  in  Japan253,  India18  1839  

and   France108,254,255   in   addition   to   further   work   published   by   colleagues   at   the   UK  1840  

National  Aspergillosis  Centre14,21,58,198,256,257.  The  total  number  of  CPA  cases  recorded  in  1841  

these  papers  is  763.    1842  

 1843  

Published   evidence   in   the   field   of   CPA   has   been   summarized   in   recent   review  1844  

articles37,50,258.  The  Infectious  Diseases  Society  of  America  has  published  guidelines  for  1845  

the   diagnosis   and   management   of   CPA250   and   the   European   Society   for   Clinical  1846  

Microbiology  and  Infectious  Diseases  is  in  the  process  of  drafting  its  own  guidelines251.  1847  

The  existence  of  CPA  is  therefore  now  widely  accepted.  1848  

 1849  

Use  of  composite  gold  diagnostic  standard  for  CPA    1850  

 1851  

All   these   publications   and   professional   bodies   accept   that   CPA   is   diagnosed   using   a  1852  

combination  of  symptoms,  radiological  findings  and  microbiological  evidence.  There  is  1853  

no   single   gold   standard   test   for   this   condition.   For   many   fungal   infections   including  1854  

invasive   aspergillosis   biopsy   is   the   accepted   gold   standard48.   In   the   case   of   invasive  1855  

fungal  aspergillosis  the  presence  of  fungal  hyphae  invading  lung  tissue  is  the  accepted  1856  

definition  of  ‘proven’  disease.    1857  

 1858  

Unfortunately  biopsy  cannot  be  used  as  a  gold  standard  in  CPA  as  there  is  no  invasion  of  1859  

healthy  tissue  in  this  condition.  Histological  examination  can  demonstrate  the  presence  1860  

of   aspergilloma   or   Aspergillus   nodules   in   resected   lung   tissue21.   This   sometimes  1861  

represents   the   first   diagnostic   evidence   of   CPA,   particularly   in   patients   where   the  1862  

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diagnosis  of  lung  cancer  was  suspected  based  on  CT  scan  appearance  and  resection  was  1863  

deemed   necessary.   This   is   clearly   not   an   ethically   acceptable   method   for   use   in   an  1864  

epidemiological  survey,  as  the  risk  of  death  or  morbidity  secondary  to  resection  means  1865  

it  cannot  be  performed  in  patients  with  no  clear  medical  indication  for  undergoing  the  1866  

procedure.    1867  

 1868  

In  paper  one,  the  sensitivity  and  specificity  of  various  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assays  is  1869  

described.   Histological   examination   of   resected   lung   tissue   was   not   used   as   a   gold  1870  

standard   to   compare   the   assays   against.   This   was   firstly   on   the   grounds   that   only   a  1871  

handful  of  cases  treated  by  the  NAC  were  diagnosed  in  this  way.  Given  that  the  NAC  is  1872  

the  largest  treatment  centre  for  CPA  in  the  world,  it  is  unlikely  that  a  sufficiently  large  1873  

cohort  of  CPA  patients  diagnosed  in  this  manner  exists  anywhere.    1874  

 1875  

Also,  patients  diagnosed  as  a  result  of  histological  examination  of  resected   tissue  may  1876  

not  be  representative  of  the  CPA  population  as  a  whole.  Surgery  is  often  performed  on  1877  

patients  with  clear  aspergilloma  and  haemoptysis15.  As  aspergilloma  is  present  only  in  a  1878  

minority   of   patients8   and   regarded   as   a   late   complication   of   CPA5.   Conversely,  1879  

Aspergillus   nodules   may   mimic   the   appearance   of   cancer   and   be   resected   on   those  1880  

grounds,  but  while  the  natural  history  of  Aspergillus  nodule  disease  in  patients  without  1881  

gross   immunosuppression   is   not   entirely   clear,   it   probably   represents   a   less   severe  1882  

form  of  CPA259.  Overall  the  surgical  population  is  probably  not  representative  of  the  CPA  1883  

population  as  a  whole.  1884  

 1885  

For   these   reasons   it  was  clear   that   the  best  possible   standard   to  measure   the  various  1886  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   against   was   the   composite   gold   standard   used   to   diagnose  1887  

clinical   cases   of   CPA   at   the  NAC21,198,257.   The   diagnosis   of   CPA   in   this   cohort   is   never  1888  

based  on  the  presence  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  alone.  Rather,  the  combination  1889  

of  symptoms,  radiological  change  and  microbiological  evidence  of  infection  is  required.  1890  

As  noted  above  this  diagnostic  standard  is  widely  accepted.  It  is  also  important  to  note  1891  

that  the  cohort  of  patients  with  CPA  at  the  NAC  includes  patients  with  microbiological  1892  

evidence   of  Aspergillus   infection   from   various   sources.   Many   have   raised  Aspergillus-­‐1893  

specific   IgG,  but  patients  diagnosed  on   the  basis  of  antigen   tests   such  galactomannan,  1894  

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repeatedly   positive   culture   from   respiratory   samples   and   histological   findings   from  1895  

resection  or  biopsy  are  also  included,  regardless  of  their  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels.  1896  

 1897  

While  this  represents  the  best  gold  standard  option  available,  there  are  difficulties  with  1898  

this  method.  It  is  not  possible  to  provide  positive  and  negative  predictive  values  for  the  1899  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assays  studied  here.  These  figures  cannot  be  calculated  from  the  1900  

case  control  study  design  used  in  paper  one.  They  could  theoretically  be  calculated  from  1901  

the   cross-­‐sectional   survey   such   as   the   one   described   in   paper   three.   Unfortunately  1902  

raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  are  a  mandatory  criterion  in  the  composite  gold  1903  

standard   used   to   define   cases   of   CPA   in   this   study.   It   is   not   therefore   possible   to  1904  

calculate   positive   and  negative   predictive   values,   as   it  would  be   impossible   to   have   a  1905  

false  negative  result  for  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  in  relation  to  this  study  design.  1906  

 1907  

Potential  for  bias  due  to  use  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  in  composite  diagnostic  criteria  1908  

for  CPA    1909  

 1910  

It  is  possible  that  the  NAC  cohort  is  biased  in  favour  of  patients  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐1911  

specific  IgG.  The  majority  of  cases  in  the  NAC  CPA  cohort  have  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  1912  

IgG74,   whereas   culture   is   positive   only   in   a   minority   of   patients   using   standard  1913  

techniques260.   Cases   of   CPA   occur   with   positive   culture   or   biopsy,   but   negative  1914  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG5,7,8,59.  However  measuring  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  is  much  more  1915  

convenient   than   other   potential   sources   of   microbiological   evidence.   It   is   therefore  1916  

likely   that  patients  with   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  are  diagnosed  more   frequently  1917  

than   ‘antibody-­‐negative’   cases   in   the   course   of   clinical   practice.     As   a   result   the  1918  

sensitivity  of  any  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   for   the  diagnosis  of  CPA  may  be  exaggerated  1919  

by  this  method.  1920  

 1921  

The   ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP   assay   is   used   as   the   standard   method   to  1922  

measure  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  at   the  NAC.  While  patients  are   referred   from  all  over  1923  

the   country   and   results   of   other   assays   at   other   hospitals   are   accepted,   the   large  1924  

majority   probably   had   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   measured   using   the   ThermoFisher  1925  

Scientific   ImmunoCAP   assay.   By   comparison   the   manufacturers   of   the   Siemens  1926  

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Immulite,  Serion,  Genesis  and  Dynamiker  kits  advise  us   that   their  products  are  not   in  1927  

regular  clinical  use  anywhere  in  the  UK.    1928  

 1929  

While  these  difficulties  could  not  be  entirely  negated,  the  composite  gold  standard  that  1930  

was  used  was  the  best  option  available  and  the  resulting  study  does  represent  the  most  1931  

informative   assessment   of   the   sensitivity   and   specificity   of   the   various   available  1932  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assays.  It  is  also  worth  noting  that  any  potential  bias  in  favour  of  1933  

ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP   did   not   prevent   the   Siemens   Immulite   system  1934  

from  demonstrating  equivalent  sensitivity  and  specificity  to  the  ThermoFisher  Scientific  1935  

ImmunoCAP  assay.  1936  

 1937  

Use  of  results  from  fresh  and  stored  sera  for  different  assays  1938  

 1939  

The  study  was   intended  to  be  performed  solely  on  stored  sera.  The   length  of   time  the  1940  

sera   had   been   stored   for   varied   from   patient   to   patient,   but   was   up   to   ten   years.  1941  

Unfortunately   ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP  declined   to   donate   kits   for   use   in  1942  

the   study.   Grant   applications   for   pay   for   the   purchase   of   ThermoFisher   Scientific  1943  

ImmunoCAP  kits  were  not  successful.  ThermoFisher  Scientific  ImmunoCAP  is  the  most  1944  

commonly  used  test  in  the  UK.  The  study  would  have  been  much  less  valuable  if  it  was  1945  

excluded   from   the   comparison.   The   results   of   ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP  1946  

testing  performed  on  fresh  samples  as  part  of  routine  clinical  care  were  therefore  used  1947  

in   the   comparison,   as   they  were   the   only   available   source   of   ThermoFisher   Scientific  1948  

ImmunoCAP  results.    1949  

 1950  

It  is  conceivable  that  this  would  introduce  bias.  There  is  no  published  data  regarding  the  1951  

repeatability   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   testing   after   prolonged   storage   of   frozen  1952  

samples.  There  is  some  evidence  that  galactomannan  antigen  testing  results  are  altered  1953  

by  prolonged   storage,  with   lower   results  noted   in   stored   samples261.   If   this  were  also  1954  

the  case  for  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  testing  as  well  then  the  study  would  be  significantly  1955  

biased   in   favour  of  ThermoFisher  Scientific   ImmunoCAP.    There   is,   however  evidence  1956  

that   antibody   levels   are   unaffected   by   prolonged   serum   storage262,263.   There   is   no  1957  

reason   to   believe   that   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   would   behave   any   differently   to   other  1958  

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antibodies  in  this  respect.  The  use  of  stored  sera  for  some  assays  and  historical  results  1959  

from  fresh  sera  for  other  assays  is  therefore  unlikely  to  have  introduced  bias.  1960  

 1961  

Number  of  tests  performed  on  each  serum  sample  1962  

 1963  

Ideally  all  the  assays  used  in  this  study  would  have  been  performed  in  triplicate  in  every  1964  

sample  to  ensure  that  any  human  error  in  an  individual  test  was  identified  and  removed  1965  

from  the  analysis.  This  was  not  possible  due   to   lack  of   time  and   insufficient  supply  of  1966  

kits.  The  study  was  dependent  on  the  kind  donation  of  kits  by  the  manufacturers.  Many  1967  

manufacturers  declined  to  donate  any  kits  and  the  ones  that  did  donate  were  limited  in  1968  

the  number  of  kits  they  could  provide.  There  was  also  insufficient  volume  of  stored  sera  1969  

available  for  such  a  study  design  in  many  cases.  1970  

 1971  

It  was,  however  possible  to  compare  the  results  from  each  individual  sample  across  the  1972  

six   assays   used.   While   the   results   produced   by   different   kits   could   not   be   directly  1973  

compared  as  they  did  not  all  use  the  same  units,  it  was  possible  to  see  if  the  results  were  1974  

reproduced   across   the   kits   in   terms   of   positivity   or   negativity.   Where   a   sample  1975  

produced  the  same  result  on  all  seven  kits  this  was  unlikely  to  be  the  result  of  the  same  1976  

human  error  occurring  in  each  separate  test.  These  results  could  therefore  legitimately  1977  

be   accepted   on   the   basis   of   a   single   test   for   each   kit.  Where   different   kits   produced  1978  

divergent  results   for  an   individual  sample  then  triplicate  testing  was  performed.    This  1979  

method  should  be  almost  as  reliable  as  performing  triplicate  testing  in  every  case.  1980  

 1981  

Use  of  single  operator  to  perform  assays  1982  

 1983  

The   author   performed   the   almost   all   of   tests   included   in   the   serology   comparison  1984  

papers   himself.   This   has   the  major   advantage   of   consistency   between   tests,   but   as   a  1985  

result  this  work  cannot  comment  on  inter-­‐operator  variability.  The  study  required  the  1986  

performance   of   over   5000   individual   assays,   meaning   the   author   became   highly  1987  

experienced  in  the  use  of  these  assays.  The  author  received  training  on  the  performance  1988  

of  these  assays  by  laboratory  technicians  experienced  in  their  use  prior  to  commencing  1989  

the  study.  Assay  runs  used  in  the  final  analysis  only  went  ahead  after  establishing  that  1990  

consistent  results  were  obtained  from  selected  test  sera  over  several  training  runs.  1991  

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Selection  of  control  groups  1992  

 1993  

The  main   analysis   in  paper  one   compares   results   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   testing   in  1994  

known  cases  of  CPA  and  ABPA  to  healthy  controls.  These  healthy  control  sera  are  taken  1995  

from  Ugandan  blood  donors.  These  may  not  be   the   ideal   comparator   group.  Ugandan  1996  

control   sera   were   selected   because   the   primary   goal   of   this   study   was   to   define  1997  

diagnostic  cut-­‐offs  for  assays  that  might  subsequently  be  used  in  a  prevalence  study  in  1998  

Uganda.      1999  

 2000  

It   is  conceivable   that  Ugandans  might   form  different   levels  of  antibodies   than  Britons,  2001  

perhaps  due  to  different  levels  of  environmental  exposure  to  Aspergillus  spp.  If  this  was  2002  

the  case   then  the  diagnostic   thresholds  suggested   in   this  study  might  be   less  accurate  2003  

outside  Uganda.  There  is,  however  no  published  evidence  that  the  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐2004  

specific  IgG  in  healthy  controls  varies  from  country  to  country.    2005  

 2006  

The   age  matching   of   controls   and   cases  was   sub-­‐optimal.  Mean   age  was   19   years   for  2007  

controls,  but  is  59  years  for  CPA  cases  at  the  NAC198.  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibody  levels  2008  

rise   throughout  childhood  and  appear   to  stabilize  at  adult   levels71,72.  Adolescents  may  2009  

still  have  antibody  levels  below  that  of  healthy  adults.  Despite  these  potential  flaws  the  2010  

use   of   control   samples   from  healthy   blood  donors   is   common  practice   in   research   as  2011  

these  are  the  most  practical  healthy  control  samples  to  access.  No  other  samples  were  2012  

available  for  use  in  these  studies.  2013  

 2014  

In  the  case  of  ABPA  two  analyses  were  performed  in  the  serology  comparison  detailed  2015  

in  paper  one.  First  the  results  of  patients  with  ABPA  with  were  compared  with  healthy  2016  

controls   and   then   the   results   of   patients   with   ABPA   were   compared   to   asthmatic  2017  

diseased   controls.   The   reason   for   doing   so  was   that   ABPA   very   rarely   occurs   in   non-­‐2018  

asthmatics.  One  exception   is  ABPA  occurring  secondary   to  cystic   fibrosis,  but   this  has  2019  

been   investigated   elsewhere.66,78   If   asthmatic   patients   have   different   levels   of  2020  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  to  healthy  persons  then  a  diagnostic  cut  off  defined  in  a  healthy  2021  

population   might   not   be   applicable   to   the   asthmatic   population   where   the   test   will  2022  

actually  be  used.  2023  

 2024  

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To   take   account   of   this   possibility   sera   from   asthmatic   diseased   controls   were   also  2025  

tested.  These   came   from  asthmatic  patients   enrolled   into   the  ManRAB  biobank  at   the  2026  

North  West  Lung  Centre,  where  the  NAC  is  based.  A  benefit  of  selecting  this  particular  2027  

group  of  asthmatics  is  that  it  is  that  screening  for  ABPA  is  probably  more  likely  to  have  2028  

occurred  in  a  unit  that  specializes  in  aspergillosis  care  than  might  be  the  case  in  other  2029  

units.  On  the  other  hand  patients  recruited  to  a  biobank  at  a  regional  tertiary  specialist  2030  

care  centre  are  probably  not  representative  of  the  asthmatic  population  as  a  whole.    2031  

 2032  

The  ideal  control  group  would  probably  consist  of  persons  with  well-­‐defined  asthma  in  2033  

a  primary  care  setting.  Unfortunately  such  patients  are  harder  to  access.  No  biobank  of  2034  

sera   from   such   a   group   was   available   for   use   in   this   project   and   no   resources   were  2035  

available   to   recruit   such   patients.   In   the   absence   of   an   unbiased   asthmatic   control  2036  

population   we   must   consider   the   possibility   that   healthy   persons   might   represent   a  2037  

better   control   group   than   severe   asthmatics   referred   to   a   tertiary   hospital   when  2038  

considering  the  diagnosis  of  ABPA  in  persons  with  mild  asthma  treated  in  the  primary  2039  

care   system.   Diagnostic   thresholds   for   use   in   ABPA   have   therefore   been   calculated  2040  

against  both  potential  control  groups.  2041  

 2042  

The   same   difficulty   was   present   when   the   diagnostic   threshold   for   the   use   of  2043  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   the   diagnosis   of   CPA   was   defined.   In   this   case   Aspergillus-­‐2044  

specific   IgG   levels   in   CPA   cases   were   compared   to   healthy   controls   in   paper   one.  2045  

However   CPA   occurs   almost   exclusively   in   patients   with   underlying   diseases14.  2046  

Unfortunately   very   little   published   data   exists   describing   the   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐2047  

specific   IgG   found   in   groups   of   patients   with   these   underlying   diseases.   It   was   not  2048  

possible  to  perform  these  assessments  within  the  time  and  financial  constraints  of  this  2049  

PhD.  2050  

 2051  

 It   should   be   noted   that   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   is   only   one   aspect   of   the   diagnostic  2052  

process  for  CPA.  It  is  therefore  reasonable  that  the  threshold  reached  by  comparison  of  2053  

CPA  cases  to  healthy  controls  be  used  to  define   ‘abnormally  high   levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐2054  

specific   IgG’,   which   form   a   single   part   of   this   diagnostic   process.   Patients   with   an  2055  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  above  this  threshold  should  undergo  further  investigation,  with  2056  

CPA  confirmed  only  when  all  diagnostic  criteria  are  met5.  2057  

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Other  limitations  2058  

 2059  

Finally   it   should   be   noted   that   the   serology   comparison   study   reported   here   is  2060  

incomplete   in   several   respects.     Further  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   kits   are   produced   by  2061  

Bio-­‐Rad   (France),   IBL   (Germany),   IMMY   (USA)   and   Bordier   (Switzerland).   These  2062  

companies  did  not  donate  kits  for  use  in  this  study  and  no  resources  were  available  to  2063  

buy  them.  Precipitins  were  performed  only  with  Microgen  (UK)  Aspergillus  antigens.  It  2064  

is   possible   that   the   precipitins   technique   might   produce   different   results   if   antigens  2065  

from  another  supplier  were  used.    2066  

 2067  

A  single  operator  in  a  single  laboratory  performed  all  assays  reported  here.  It  therefore  2068  

provides  no  information  regarding  inter-­‐operator  or  inter-­‐laboratory  variability,  which  2069  

is  crucial  information  that  must  be  obtained  before  a  test  could  be  rolled  out  as  part  of  a  2070  

global  screening  program.  Good  inter-­‐laboratory  variation  results  have  been  published  2071  

elsewhere   for   ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP180,   but   no   such   comparisons   exist  2072  

for   the   other   assays.   The   study   also   uses   tests   from   a   single   batch.   Batch-­‐to-­‐batch  2073  

variation  is  described  in  the  manufacture  Aspergillus  antigens141  and  the  results  of  this  2074  

study  would  not  be  valid  if  it  was  present  in  the  assays  used  in  this  study.  2075  

 2076  

Nonetheless   this   study   represents   the   largest   comparison   of   different   methods   of  2077  

measuring  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   for   the   diagnosis   of   CPA   and  ABPA   and   is   the   first  2078  

study   conducted  without   the  bias   of   long-­‐term  antifungal   therapy.  As   such   is   a  major  2079  

contribution  to  the  field.  2080  

 2081  2082  

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Paper   2   –Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   in   patients   previously   treated   for  2083  

pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  Gulu,  Uganda 2084  

 2085  

Ethical  approval  2086  

 2087  

Ethical  approval  was  granted  by  the  following  bodies  before  the  study  was  commenced;  2088  

 2089  

• The   University   of   Manchester   Research   Ethics   Committee   1   on   7th   June   2012  2090  

(reference  11424).  2091  

• Gulu  University  Faculty  of  Medicine  Institutional  Review  Board  (IRB)  on  4th  July  2092  

2012  (reference  GU/IRC/04/07/12)  2093  

• Uganda  National  Council  for  Science  and  Technology  (UNCST)  on  20th  September  2094  

2012  (reference  HS  1253).  2095  

 2096  

Recruitment  criteria  2097  

 2098  

Recruitment   of   patients   took   place   in   Gulu,   Uganda   from  October   2012   until   January  2099  

2013.    Criteria  for  recruiting  patients  to  the  study  were  as  follows:-­‐  2100  

 2101  

• Patients  must  be  aged  16  years  or  over.  2102  

• Patients  must  be  able  to  give  informed  consent.  2103  

• Patients   must   have   completed   a   full   course   of   treatment   for   pulmonary  2104  

tuberculosis  with  a  treatment  start  date  of  1st  January  2005  or  later.    2105  

 2106  

A  diagnosis  of  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  (TB)  was  considered  valid  if  the  patient  2107  

had  a  positive  sputum  smear  test  for  acid  and  alcohol  fast  bacilli  (AAFB),  culture  growth  2108  

of   mycobacterium   tuberculosis   species   (MTB)   from   sputum   or   a   positive   GeneXpert  2109  

polymerase  chain  reaction  (PCR)  test  for  MTB.      A  diagnosis  of  smear  negative  TB  was  2110  

considered  acceptable  only  if  the  patient  reported  complete  resolution  of  symptoms  at  2111  

the  end  of  treatment.    2112  

 2113  

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Patients  had  to  have  documentary  evidence  of  tuberculosis.  The  following  was  accepted  2114  

as  documentary  evidence  of  TB;  2115  

 2116  

• A   completion   of   treatment   certificate   from   the   Uganda   tuberculosis   treatment  2117  

program.  2118  

• A   tuberculosis   treatment   record   from   the   Uganda   tuberculosis   treatment  2119  

program.  2120  

• Medical  notes  from  the  treating  hospital  documenting  tuberculosis  treatment.  2121  

• Documentation  of  tuberculosis  treatment  on  a  HIV  treatment  card.  2122  

• Documentation  of  the  patient’s  tuberculosis  treatment  in  the  central  record  book  2123  

kept  at  the  regional  or  district  tuberculosis  centre.  2124  

 2125  

Recruitment  targets  were;  2126  

• 200  HIV  positive  patients  with  previously  treated  TB.  2127  

• 200  HIV  negative  patients  with  previously  treated  TB.  2128  

• 100  healthy  controls    2129  

 2130  

Ugandan  TB  treatment  protocols  require  HIV  testing  to  be  offered  to  all  patients  at  the  2131  

time  of  TB  diagnosis.    Testing  is  routinely  performed  using  two  different  rapid  test  kits.  2132  

If  they  produce  different  results  a  third  brand  of  test  kit  with  high  sensitivity  is  used  as  a  2133  

tiebreaker.   The   brands   of   rapid   testing   kit   may   have   varied   from   site   to   site.   The  2134  

following  was  accepted  as  documentary  evidence  of  HIV  co-­‐infection;  2135  

 2136  

• HIV  antibody  test  result  form.  2137  

• HIV   antibody   test   result   recorded   on   Uganda   tuberculosis   treatment   program  2138  

treatment  card.  2139  

• HIV  antibody  test  result  recorded  in  the  tuberculosis  record  book  at  the  regional  2140  

or  district  tuberculosis  centre.  2141  

• HIV  antibody  test  result  documented  in  patients  medical  notes.  2142  

• Treatment   card   stating   that   the  patient   is   being   treated  or  monitored  at   a  HIV  2143  

clinic.  2144  

 2145  

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Where   patients   presented   without   any   of   the   above   evidence   they   were   offered   HIV  2146  

testing.  Those  who  accepted  were  tested  by  certified  laboratory  assistants  working  with  2147  

the  study  team  and  were  enrolled  into  the  study.  Those  who  declined  testing  were  not  2148  

eligible  to  enter  the  study,  although  in  practice  no  patient  declined  testing.  2149  

 2150  

Recruitment  strategy  2151  

 2152  

Recruitment  of  patients  initially  took  place  within  the  Infectious  Diseases  clinic  of  Gulu  2153  

Regional  Referral  Hospital  (GRRH).  Sequential  recruitment  of  any  patient  attending  the  2154  

clinic   who   met   the   above   criteria   was   planned.   Unfortunately   the   patients   recruited  2155  

from   this   clinic   were   almost   all   HIV   positive,   as   HIV-­‐negative   patients   who   have  2156  

completed  tuberculosis  therapy  are  routinely  discharged  from  active  follow  up.  In  order  2157  

to   recruit  HIV  negative   patients   a   convenience   sampling  method  was   adopted,  where  2158  

patients   were   recruited   directly   from   their   villages   with   the   assistance   of   the   Gulu  2159  

District  Health  team.  2160  

 2161  

District  health  centers  where  patients  had  been  treated  for  tuberculosis  were  identified  2162  

from   the   records   at   the   District   Health   team   headquarters   in   Gulu.   Recruitment   was  2163  

restricted  to  centres  within  a  1-­‐hour  drive  of  Gulu  to  allow  time  to  transport  patients  to  2164  

and  from  Gulu  in  addition  to  the  time  needed  to  perform  clinical  assessment  and  chest  2165  

X-­‐ray.  2166  

 2167  

A  study  vehicle  was  sent  to  one  district  health  centre  daily.  The  centre  was  contacted  in  2168  

advance   by   telephone   and   asked   to   mobilise   the   patients   with   previously   treated  2169  

tuberculosis   within   their   community.   This   was   done   by   word   of   mouth   with   the  2170  

assistance  of  village  health  workers.  Radio  announcements  were  also  made  inviting  any  2171  

patient   with   previous   tuberculosis   to   present   to   the   appropriate   health   centre   for  2172  

recruitment.  A  staff  member  (one  of  the  two  persons  responsible  for  administering  the  2173  

tuberculosis  program  in  this  area)  from  the  district  health  team  travelled  to  the  district  2174  

health  centre  daily.    2175  

 2176  

Potential  recruits  who  brought  written  documentation  of   tuberculosis   treatment  were  2177  

admitted  to  the  study.  Those  without  documentation  had  their  names  checked  against  2178  

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the   district   health   office   tuberculosis   record   book   by   the   staff   member   and   were  2179  

recruited  to  the  study  if  they  were  recorded  as  a  case  of  treated  tuberculosis.  HIV  status  2180  

was   also   copied   from   the   district   health   book   if   the   patients   did   not   bring  2181  

documentation  with  them.  A  recruitment  fee  of  around  £2  per  patient  was  paid  to  the  2182  

district  health  team.  2183  

 2184  

Patients  were  transported  to  Gulu  Regional  Referral  Hospital  HIV  clinic  for  assessment  2185  

and   venepuncture   and   then   transported   to   St.  Mary’s  Hospital,   Lacor   for   chest   X-­‐ray,  2186  

after  which  they  were  taken  home.  Patients  were  provided  with  expenses  of  around  £2  2187  

each  to  buy  food.  They  were  provided  with  written  information  (in  Acholi  or  English  as  2188  

preferred   by   the   patient)   and   signed   a   consent   form   prior   to   recruitment.   Copies   of  2189  

these  documents  are  contained   in  Appendices  2  and  3.     If  patients   could  not   read   the  2190  

information   on   the   patient   information   sheet  was   communicated   to   them  verbally,   in  2191  

Acholi,   by   a   member   of   the   recruitment   team.   Where   patients   could   not   write   the  2192  

consent  form  was  stamped  after  discussion  and  verbal  consent.    2193  

 2194  

Healthy  controls  recruitment  strategy  2195  

 2196  

Control   samples   were   gathered   with   the   assistance   of   the   Gulu   district   blood  2197  

transfusion  service.  Donors  gave  verbal  consent  to  having  some  of  their  blood  used  in  2198  

the  study.  The  majority  of  donors  were  healthy  adolescents  attending  boarding  school.  2199  

Venepuncture  was   performed   by   blood   transfusion   service   phlebotomists.   Blood  was  2200  

stored   in   cool   boxes   and   fridges   for   up   to   24  hours   before   serum  was   separated   and  2201  

stored   at   minus   80   degrees   then   shipped   alongside   the   patient   samples.   Details   of  2202  

donors’  age,  gender  and  results  of   testing  for  HIV,  syphilis  and  hepatitis  B  and  C  were  2203  

provided   by   the   blood   transfusion   service.   Samples   were   anonymised   by   the   blood  2204  

transfusion  service  before  being   transferred   to   the  study  group.  Test  results  were  not  2205  

fed  back  to  control  sample  donors  as  the  meaning  of  an  unexpected  positive  test  in  an  2206  

asymptomatic  control  patient  is  not  clear.  2207  

 2208  

2209  

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Clinical  assessment  process  2210    2211  

During  clinical  assessment  demographic  data  was  recorded  including  patient  name,  age,  2212  

gender,  village,  and  telephone  number  together  with  the  name  and  telephone  number  of  2213  

a   nominated   guardian.   Details   of   previous   TB   treatment   were   taken   including;   date  2214  

when  treatment  was  commenced,  smear  status  at  diagnosis,  culture  results,  GeneXpert  2215  

PCR   results   and  whether   the   patients   symptoms   resolved   completely  with   treatment.  2216  

The   TB   reference   number  was   noted.   HIV   status  was   recorded   together  with   date   of  2217  

diagnosis.  Where  available,  baseline  and  current  CD4  count  were  recorded.  2218  

 2219  

The   presence   and   duration   of   symptoms   including;   cough,   haemoptysis,   fatigue,  2220  

breathlessness,  fevers,  night  sweats,  and  chest  pain  were  recorded.  MRC  Dyspnoea  scale  2221  

score  was  recorded.  The  MRC  dyspneoa  scale  is  described  fully  in  Appendix  4.  Patients  2222  

were   provided  with   an   Acholi   translation   of   the   scale   if   they   could   not   read   English.  2223  

Ability  to  work  normally  or  not  was  recorded.  Lung  percussion  and  auscultation  were  2224  

performed  and  the  results  recorded  together  with  oxygen  saturations.    2225  

 2226  

Potential  CPA  risk  factors  were  recorded,  including  living  in  a  traditional  ‘grass-­‐thatch’  2227  

house  in  comparison  to  a  modern  brick  dwelling  with  metal  or  slate  roof.  Other  factors  2228  

recorded  were  the  reported  presence  of  visible  dampness  in  the  patient’s  house,  regular  2229  

exposure   to   wood   smoke   though   cooking,   farming   or   handling   farm   products   and  2230  

cigarette  smoking.  2231  

 2232  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  testing  process  2233  

 2234  

Venepuncture  was  performed  by  trained  laboratory  technicians.  Samples  were  stored  in  2235  

a  cool  box  for  up  to  4  hours.  At  the  end  of  the  recruitment  period  they  were  transported  2236  

to   Joint   Clinical   Research   Centre   (JCRC)   laboratory.   Here   serum   was   separated   by  2237  

trained  and  accredited  JCRC  laboratory  staff.  Serum  was  placed  in  labeled  cryotubes  and  2238  

frozen  in  a  minus  80  freezer  with  both  diesel  generator  and  battery  back  up  in  the  event  2239  

of  mains  power   failure.  The   freezer  had  a   temperature  alarm  system  and  the  building  2240  

was   occupied   at   all   times   to   ensure   power   failures   were   corrected   without   sample  2241  

thawing.  2242  

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Samples  were  shipped  on  dry  ice  to  the  Manchester  University  laboratory  at  University  2243  

Hospital  of  South  Manchester  (UHSM)  at  the  end  of  the  study  with  the  assistance  of  DHL  2244  

couriers.   Shipping   authorization   was   provided   in   the   form   of   a   Material   Transfer  2245  

Agreement   (MTA)   between   UHSM   and   JCRC,   plus   specific  written   authorization   from  2246  

the  Gulu  University  IRB  and  UNCST.    2247  

 2248  

CD4  count  testing  process  2249  

 2250  

Where  HIV  positive  patients  had  a   recorded  CD4  count   result   from  within   the   last  12  2251  

months  this  was  accepted  as  a  current  CD4  count.  Where  no  such  result  was  available  2252  

CD4  count  was  performed  at  JCRC  laboratory,  Gulu.  2253  

 2254  

Radiology  process  2255  

 2256  

All  chest  X-­‐rays  were  performed  at  Lacor  hospital  radiology  department  by  a  qualified  2257  

radiographer.  Patients  were  transferred  to  and  from  Lacor  hospital  for  chest  X-­‐ray  after  2258  

completing  the  clinical  assessment  and  venipuncture.  2259  

 2260  

Radiology  reporting  strategy  2261  

 2262  

Chest  X-­‐ray   results  were   reported  by   two   radiologists.  Dr  Cyprian  Opira   is   the   senior  2263  

radiologist  at  St.  Mary’s  Hospital,  Lacor.  He  viewed  plain  films,  visualized  on  a  light  box  2264  

in  a  darkened  X-­‐ray  reporting  room  with  curtains.    Dr  Sharath  Hosmane   is  a  specialty  2265  

registrar   in   radiology,   working   at   UHSM.   Films   were   photographed   at   St.   Mary’s  2266  

Hospital  using  a  Nikon  digital  camera.  The  images  were  sent  to  Dr  Hosmane  by  email.    2267  

Where   the   two   radiologists   produced   discordant   reports,   a   decisive   third   report  was  2268  

provided  by  Dr  Richard  Sawyer,  senior  consultant  respiratory  radiologist  at   the  North  2269  

West  Lung  Centre,  UHSM.    2270  

 2271  

2272  

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Discussion   2273    2274  

Limited  nature  of  existing  prevalence  data  for  CPA  2275  

 2276  

This   work   takes   place   in   a   neglected   field.     The   only   existing   published   survey  2277  

measuring   the   prevalence   of   pulmonary   aspergillosis   in   patients   with   treated  2278  

pulmonary  tuberculosis   is   from  1968-­‐7076,197.    This  study  took  place   in   the  UK,  where  2279  

pulmonary  tuberculosis  is  now  much  less  common  than  it  was  at  that  time215.  No  study  2280  

measuring   CPA   prevalence   has   been   performed   in   an   area   with   currently   high  2281  

pulmonary   tuberculosis   prevalence.  While   the   limited   extent   of   prior   research   in   this  2282  

field   results   in   opportunities   to   perform   landmark   original   research,   it   also   presents  2283  

many  challenges,  which  require  discussion  and  explanation.  2284  

 2285  

Cross-­‐sectional  survey  design  2286  

 2287  

Paper   2   describes   a   cross-­‐sectional   survey   of   the   prevalence   of   CPA   in   patients  with  2288  

treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  Gulu,  Uganda.  This  study  design  was  the  only  option  2289  

available  that  could  be  completed  within  the  three-­‐year  timeframe  of  the  PhD.  The  total  2290  

budget   for   this   study   was   £50,000,   which   is   limited   and   resulted   in   a   number   of  2291  

constraints.  It  is,  however  the  first  and  only  survey  of  the  prevalence  of  CPA  in  an  area  2292  

of   current   high   tuberculosis   prevalence.   The   primary   goal   of   the   study   is   simply   to  2293  

confirm  that  CPA  exists  at  a  measurable  level  in  this  population.  This  goal  was  achieved.  2294  

As  this  study  is  unique  it  is  appropriate  to  extract  as  much  information  as  possible,  but  2295  

the  interpretation  of  the  data  must  take  account  of  the  restraints  imposed  by  the  study  2296  

design.  2297  

 2298  

Use  of  convenience  sampling  2299  

 2300  

The   study   used   convenience   sampling,   with   patients   recruited   via   the   village   health  2301  

worker   network   and   radio   announcements.   This   method   may   have   introduced   bias.  2302  

Healthier  patients  may  have  been  more  likely  to  be  recruited,  as  sick  patients  may  have  2303  

been   unable   to   make   the   journey   to   the   recruitment   sites.   Conversely   motivation   to  2304  

enter  the  study  might  have  been  higher  in  symptomatic  patients.    2305  

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Most   importantly   this   study  design   takes  no  account  of  patients  who  might  have  died  2306  

after  completing  tuberculosis  treatment  without  entering  the  study.  The  study  accepted  2307  

anyone  who  completed   tuberculosis   treatment  within   the   last   seven  years,  a  duration  2308  

selected   on   practical   grounds   as   this   was   the   period   after   the   war   with   the   Lord’s  2309  

Resistance  Army  ended  and  for  which  good  records  were  available.    2310  

 2311  

The  five  year  mortality  of  CPA  is  up  to  85%7.  Many  patients  with  tuberculosis  treated  in  2312  

Gulu   within   the   last   seven   years   may   therefore   have   developed   CPA   and   died   of   it  2313  

without  ever  entering  the  study.  This  might  be  especially  true  in  HIV  positive  patients  2314  

where  pulmonary  aspergillosis  occurs  in  a  subacute  manner  and  so  progresses  to  death  2315  

quicker  than  CPA52,223,236.  2316  

 2317  

This  cross-­‐sectional  recruitment  method  was  the  only  practical  option  as  patients  with  2318  

tuberculosis  are  discharged  after  completing  treatment  in  Uganda.  Equal  opportunity  to  2319  

enroll   was  maximized   by   comprehensively   contacting   all   health   centres   in   the   study  2320  

zone  and  using  radio  announcements  broadcast  to  the  whole  region.  Sending  the  study  2321  

vehicle   to  every  health  centre   in   the  study  zone  minimized   the  barrier   to  recruitment  2322  

that  patients  might  experience  due  to  transport  difficulties.  It  was  not,  however  possible  2323  

to  send  a  vehicle  to  every  village  as  many  were  not  accessible  by  road.  Where  patients  2324  

travelled   to   the   health   centre   by   motorcycle   taxi   we   re-­‐imbursed   their   fares,   but  2325  

inability  to  pay  up  front  may  have  limited  the  ability  of  some  poorer  patients  in  remote  2326  

villages  to  join  the  study.  2327  

 2328  

The   study   design   allows   us   to   state   that   CPA   is   present   in   this   population,   but   the  2329  

frequency  of  disease  obtained  must  be  interpreted  in  light  of  the  cross-­‐sectional  design  2330  

and  convenience  sampling.  The  ideal  design  would  be  a  prospective  study  that  recruited  2331  

all  patients  completing   treatment   for  pulmonary   tuberculosis  and   then   followed   them  2332  

up   to   see   if   they   develop   CPA.   Such   a   study   was   not   possible   within   the   time   and  2333  

financial   constraints   of   this   PhD.   The   author   is,   however   part   of   a   team   that   has  2334  

designed   such   a   study   in   collaboration   with   the   Kenya   Medical   Research   Institute  2335  

(KEMRI).  Grant  proposals  have  been  submitted  to  the  Japanese  government  to  fund  this  2336  

study.  Preliminary  results  from  the  work  described  in  this  thesis  form  a  key  part  of  that  2337  

application.  2338  

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Paper   3   -­‐   Prevalence   of   chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CPA)   secondary   to  2339  

tuberculosis:  a  cross-­‐sectional  survey  in  an  area  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence  2340  

 2341  

Ethical  approval    2342  

 2343  

Ethical  approval  for  this  re-­‐survey  was  granted  by  the  University  of  Manchester  ethics  2344  

board,  Gulu  University   IRB  and  UNCST.   In  each  case   the  approval   took   the   form  of  an  2345  

extension  and  amendment  to  the  approvals  granted  for  paper  two.  New  patients  were  2346  

not  eligible.      2347  

 2348  

CCPA  diagnostic  criteria  2349  

 2350  

In  this  resurvey  CCPA  is  diagnosed  in  patients  where  all  of  the  following  are  present;  1  –  2351  

cough  or  haemoptysis  for  one  month  or  longer,  2  –  either  new  or  progressive  cavitation  2352  

on   serial   chest   X-­‐ray   OR   the   presence   of   paracavitary   fibrosis   or   aspergilloma   on   CT  2353  

scan,  3  –   raised  Siemens   Immulite  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG,  4  –  Absence  of   evidence  of  2354  

current   pulmonary   tuberculosis.   Chronic   fibrosing   pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CFPA)   is  2355  

additionally  diagnosed   in  patients  who  meet   the  diagnostic   criteria   for  CCPA  and  also  2356  

have   extensive   lung   fibrosis   that   progressed   between   the   2   chest   X-­‐rays.   Simple  2357  

aspergilloma   is   diagnosed   in   patients   with   aspergilloma   on   CT   scan   and   raised  2358  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG,  but  with  no  chronic  cough  or  haemoptysis.  Unspecified   fungal  2359  

ball   is  diagnosed   in  patients  with  apparent  aspergilloma  on  CT  scan,  but  with  normal  2360  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels.  2361  

 2362  

The   frequency   of   raised   Aspergillus–specific   IgG   in   the   absence   of   other   signs   of  2363  

pulmonary   aspergillosis   is   also   reported   and   the   frequency   of   symptoms   and  2364  

radiological  changes  compared  between  this  group  and  those  with  normal  Aspergillus-­‐2365  

specific  IgG.  2366  

 2367  

Recruitment  criteria  2368  

 2369  

Only    patients  recruited  to  the  first  study  in  2012  were  eligible  for  recruitment  to  the  re-­‐2370  

survey.  2371  

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Recruitment  strategy  2372  

 2373  

Mobile   phone   numbers   were   taken   during   the   first   study   from   all   patients   who   had  2374  

access  to  one.  Each  patient  was  telephoned  by  a  member  of  the  study  team.  Around  two  2375  

thirds  of  patients  were  reached  by   telephone,  but   the   remainder  either  had  no  phone  2376  

number  available  or  did  not  respond  when  called.  Radio  messages  were  used  to  contact  2377  

these  outstanding  patients.  In  addition  the  study  team  contacted  local  health  workers  in  2378  

all  areas  where  recruitment  to  the  original  study  took  place.  Patients  were  then  traced  2379  

by   personal   visits   from   village   health   workers.   Recruitment   days   were   scheduled   at  2380  

each  of  the  health  centres  that  took  part  on  the  original  survey.  Patients  were  informed  2381  

of  the  results  from  the  first  study.    2382  

 2383  

Each   patient   was   provided   with   expenses   of   around   £2   to   cover   food   costs.   Any  2384  

transport  costs  incurred  by  the  patient  to  reach  the  study  centre  were  re-­‐imbursed.  2385  

 2386  

Clinical  assessment  process  2387  

 2388  

An  identical  clinical  assessment  to  the  first  study  was  performed.    2389  

 2390  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  testing  process  2391  

 2392  

Venepuncture   was   performed   by   the   same   study   assistants   employed   in   the   original  2393  

study  using  the  same  methods.  For  this  study,  however  serum  samples  were  separated,  2394  

labeled  and  stored  at  GRRH  laboratory.  The  two  study  assistants,  who  are  both  trained  2395  

laboratory   technicians,   performed   sample   processing.   The   laboratory   was   not  2396  

considered  suitable  for  storage  at  the  time  of  the  original  survey  due  to  inadequate  back  2397  

up  power,  but  new  battery  and  diesel  generator  back  up  was  installed  between  the  two  2398  

surveys.  2399  

 2400  

Serum   was   shipped   to   the   University   of   Manchester   laboratory   at   UHSM   after   the  2401  

signing  of  an  MTA  by  GRRH  and  UHSM  and  the  provision  of  written  clearance  to  ship  by  2402  

Gulu   IRB   and  UNCST.   These   samples  will   be   tested   for  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   on   the  2403  

Siemens   Immulite   2000   machine   at   Christie   Hospital,   Manchester.   However,   these  2404  

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results  are  not  available  at  the  time  of  thesis  submission.  Results  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  2405  

IgG   testing   from   the   first   survey   are   therefore   used   in   the   analysis   contained   in   this  2406  

thesis.    2407  

 2408  

Sputum  GeneXpert  tuberculosis  PCR  testing  process  2409  

 2410  

Where  patients  had  a  productive  cough  and  were  able  to  produce  a  sputum  sample  this  2411  

sample   underwent   GeneXpert   PCR   testing   for   Mycobacterium   tuberculosis   (Cepheid,  2412  

USA)  at   the  GRRH   lab.  When   the  GRRH  GeneXpert   IV  machine  malfunctioned  samples  2413  

were  taken  to  St.  Mary’s  Hospital,  Lacor  for  testing  on  the  GeneXpert  IV  machine  at  that  2414  

laboratory.  These  were  the  only  two  GeneXpert  machines  in  the  region.  On  one  occasion  2415  

when   both   were   malfunctioning   sputum   smear   testing   was   performed   at   GRRH  2416  

laboratory   in   place   of   PCR   testing.   All   samples   were   tested   within   72   hours   of  2417  

submission.  2418  

 2419  

Radiology  processes  2420  

 2421  

When   clinical   assessment   was   complete   patients   were   then   transferred   to   St.   Mary’s  2422  

Hospital   for   chest   X-­‐ray.   Trained   radiographers   performed   the  X-­‐rays   using   the   same  2423  

equipment  as  the  first  study.    2424  

 2425  

Patients  who  had  either   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   from  samples   taken  during   the  2426  

first  survey  or  suspected  aspergilloma  on  chest  X-­‐ray  from  the  first  survey  were  invited  2427  

to  undergo  CT  thorax.  A  new  patient  information  sheet  was  given  to  patients  eligible  for  2428  

this  test  and  is  shown  in  appendix  5.  Consent  was  then  taken  from  those  undergoing  CT  2429  

scan  using  the  consent  form  shown  in  appendix  6.  As  in  the  first  study  these  forms  were  2430  

made  available   to   the  patients   in  English  or  Acholi.  Where  patients  were   illiterate   the  2431  

contents  of  the  sheets  were  read  and  explained  to  the  patients  by  Acholi-­‐speaking  study  2432  

staff.  Where  patients  could  not  sign  the  form  verbal  consent  was  taken.  2433  

 2434  

Patients  who   consented   to   CT   scan  were   transported   to   Kampala   and   underwent   CT  2435  

scan  at  the  Kampala  Imaging  Centre.  This  took  place  at  the  end  of  the  study.  A  qualified  2436  

radiographer  employed  by  Kampala  Imaging  Centre  performed  the  scan.  Patients  were  2437  

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transported  by  private  bus  in  groups  of  30.  The  journey  to  Kampala  took  10  hours  each  2438  

way.  Hotel   accommodation  was  provided   for  patients   for   one  night   in  Kampala.  They  2439  

also  received  expenses  of  around  £10,  plus  re-­‐imbursement  of  any  transport  costs  they  2440  

incurred  to  reach  the  pick-­‐up  point.  2441  

 2442  

Radiological  reporting  strategy  2443  

 2444  

Chest  X-­‐rays  from  2014  will  be  compared  to  chest  X-­‐rays  from  the  original  2012  survey.  2445  

Progressive  cavitation  will  be  noted  if  present.  As  with  the  first  survey  all  X-­‐rays  will  be  2446  

reported  by  two  radiologists,  with  a  deciding  report  produced  by  a  third  radiologist  in  2447  

the   event   of   divergent   reports.   Radiologist   reports   comparing   X-­‐rays   from   the   two  2448  

surveys   are   still   ongoing   at   the   time   of   thesis   submission.   These   final   reports  will   be  2449  

used  in  the  eventual  publication.  The  author’s  reports  of  new  or  progressive  cavitation  2450  

are  used  in  data  analysis  for  this  thesis.  2451  

 2452  

CT  scans  will  be  reported  by  three  radiologists  in  the  same  manner  as  the  chest  X-­‐rays.  2453  

Drs  Hosmane  and  Sawyer  will  both  take  part,  in  addition  to  Dr  Rosemary  Byanyima,  the  2454  

senior   consultant   radiologist   at   Kampala   Imaging   Centre.   However   these   reports  will  2455  

not  be  completed  during  the  PhD  period.  The  author’s  reports  are  therefore  used  in  the  2456  

analysis  contained  in  this  thesis.    2457  

 2458  

Full  digital  records  of  each  CT  scan  are  available  to  the  author  and  all  radiologists  and  2459  

were  accessed  using  OsiriX  software  (Pixmeo  SARL,  Switzerland).    2460  

 2461  

Statistical  analysis  2462  

 2463  

A  CPA  prevalence  of  6%  was  predicted  prior  to  the  study  based  on  published  estimates  2464  

of   CPA   prevalence   after   pulmonary   tuberculosis11.   Power   calculations   prior   to  2465  

recruitment  concluded  that  by  recruiting  400  patients  the  prevalence  of  CPA  following  2466  

successful  tuberculosis  treatment  could  be  determined  with  an  accuracy  of  ±  2.3%.    2467  

 2468  

The   frequency   of   symptoms,   test   results   and   diagnoses   is   described   for   all   patients  2469  

recruited  to  the  resurvey.  Statistical  analysis   is  performed  using  SPSS  v20  (IBM,  USA).  2470  

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Before   commencing   the  main   analysis   the   characteristics   of   the   population   from   the  2471  

first   study   were   compared   to   the   population   in   the   resurvey.   The   frequency   of  2472  

categorical   variables   is   compared   by   chi-­‐squared   test.   The   frequency   of   continuous  2473  

variables  with  normal  distribution  is  compared  with  2-­‐sided  t-­‐test  and  the  frequency  of  2474  

continuous   variables   with   skewed   distribution   is   compared   by   Mann   Whitney   U  2475  

analysis.   Where   there   is   no   significant   difference   in   the   characteristics   of   the   two  2476  

surveys  it  is  concluded  that  the  recruitment  process  for  the  resurvey  did  not  introduce  2477  

significant  bias.    2478  

 2479  

Descriptive   statistics   are   provided   for   all   test   results.   For   continuous   variables,  mean  2480  

results   are   reported   where   the   results   had   a   near-­‐normal   distribution   and   are  2481  

compared   in   different   groups   using   a   2-­‐sided   t-­‐test.     Where   results   had   a   skewed  2482  

distribution   median   results   are   reported   and   the   results   compared   using   the   Mann  2483  

Whitney  U  test.  2484  

 2485  

Rates   of   symptoms   and   diagnoses   in   various   patient   groups   are   compared   using   chi-­‐2486  

squared   test,   except   for   comparisons   with   less   than   5   patients   in   one   group,   where  2487  

Fisher’s  exact   test  was  used.  Comparison  of  means   in  different  groups  was  performed  2488  

using   2-­‐sided   t-­‐test.   95%   confidence   intervals   for   the   prevalence   of   CPA   and   other  2489  

conditions  were   calculated   as   the   frequency   +/-­‐   (standard   error   of   the   percentage   X  2490  

1.96).  2491  

 2492  

The   frequency  of  CCPA   in  patients  with  and  without  various  potential  categorical   risk  2493  

factors   is   noted   and   compared   using   chi-­‐squared   test.   Potential   risk   factors   analyzed  2494  

include;   gender,   HIV   co-­‐infection   status,   sputum   smear   status   at   time   of   original  2495  

pulmonary  tuberculosis,  patient  profession  (subsistence  farmer  vs.  paid  employment),  2496  

dwelling   type   (traditional   grass-­‐thatch   dwelling   vs.   modern   home),   the   presence   of  2497  

visible   dampness   inside   the   patients   home   (as   reported   by   the   patient),   cigarette  2498  

smoking   status   and   frequent   biomass   smoke   exposure   status.   The   mean   age,  2499  

tuberculosis   treatment  date   and  CD4   count   (in  HIV  positive  patients)   in  CPA  patients  2500  

against  other  patients  is  compared  by  2-­‐sided  t-­‐test.  The  number  of  deaths  in  patients  2501  

with  and  without  CPA  in  the  original  survey  is  noted.    2502  

 2503  

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Discussion  2504  

 2505  

Recruitment  strategy  issues  2506  

 2507  

The   resurvey   attempted   to   recruit   all   patients   recruited   to   the   first   study.  2508  

Comprehensive  efforts  were  made  to  contact  all  patients  including  personal  telephone  2509  

calls,   telephone  calls   to  patients  relatives  or  guardians,  radio  announcements  advising  2510  

patients   to   self-­‐present   for   review   and   direct   personal   contact   from   village   health  2511  

workers  to  request  patients  attend.  282  of  400  patients  were  successfully  recruited.  A  2512  

further   18   died,   9   moved   out   of   the   region   and   11   were   contacted   but   declined   to  2513  

participate   in   the   resurvey.   77   of   400   (19%)   patients   could   not   be   contacted.   This  2514  

probably  represents  a  reasonable  contact  rate  for  a  resurvey  that  took  place  in  a  post-­‐2515  

war  region  with  variable  mobile  phone  coverage  where  most  patients   lived  in  villages  2516  

with  no  electricity.    2517  

 2518  

Contacting   patients   was   hampered   by   the   fact   that   Gulu   was   still   in   a   post-­‐conflict  2519  

situation   at   the   time   of   the   first   survey.   While   most   refugee   camp   residents   had  2520  

returned  to  their  villages  prior  to  the  start  of  the  first  survey,  some  patients  recruited  to  2521  

the   first   survey  may   still   have   been   in   temporary   accommodation.   The   rate   of   house  2522  

move  was  probably  higher  between  the  two  surveys  than  might  have  occurred  in  other  2523  

circumstances.  Ugandans  also  frequently  change  their  telephone  provider  and  number  2524  

to   take   advantage   of   lower   call   rates,  which  may   have   hampered   attempts   to   contact  2525  

patients   by   telephone.   Phones  may   also  been   turned  off   due   to   lack   of   reliable  mains  2526  

electricity  for  charging.    2527  

 2528  

Recruitment  to  the  resurvey  may  have  introduced  bias  if  it  was  unintentionally  selective  2529  

in  nature.  The  resurvey  team  was  aware  of  the  results  from  the  first  survey.  There  was  a  2530  

risk  that  they  may  have  made  a  greater  effort  to  contact  those  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐2531  

specific   IgG.   This   should   have   been   avoided,   as   the   tracing   plan  was   the   same   for   all  2532  

patients  and  the  recruitment  fee  paid  to  District  Health  Team  staff  was  the  same  for  all  2533  

patients.   There   was   therefore   no   motive   for   them   to   concentrate   on   patients   with  2534  

positive   results   in   the   first   survey.   If   bias   was   unintentionally   introduced   then   this  2535  

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would   have   been   expected   to   result   in   a   difference   in   the   patient   characteristics  2536  

between  the  two  cohorts.  No  such  difference  was  detected.  2537  

 2538  

CCPA  case  definition  2539  

 2540  

The  case  definition  of  CCPA  was  first  produced  by  the  author’s  main  supervisor  in  20035  2541  

and   has   since   been   accepted   in   several   publications7,8,18,21,58,108,198,257.     This   definition  2542  

was  designed  for  use  in  trials  relating  to  CPA  in  well-­‐resourced  health  care  settings  such  2543  

as  the  UK.  It  was  necessary  to  adapt  it  in  several  ways  for  use  in  this  study.    2544  

 2545  

Inclusion  of  HIV  positive  patients  2546  

 2547  

The  original  definition  explicitly  excludes  patients  with  HIV  infection  as  potential  cases  2548  

of   CPA5,   on   the   grounds   that   gross   HIV   induced   immunosuppression   would   put   the  2549  

patient  at   risk  of   invasive  aspergillosis.  This  exclusion   is   important   for   the  conduct  of  2550  

clinical  trials  in  well-­‐resourced  settings,  where  an  unbalanced  inclusion  of  HIV  infected  2551  

persons   could   bias   the   results.   It   is   not   appropriate   for   use   in  Uganda,  where   a   large  2552  

proportion   of   patients   with   treated   tuberculosis   are   co-­‐infected   with   HIV.   Gross  2553  

immunosuppression   is   not   present   in   the   great   majority   of   HIV   positive   persons  2554  

enrolled   in   this   study,   who   had   controlled   HIV   on   effective   therapy   with   good   CD4  2555  

counts.     Indeed   more   recent   CPA   case   definitions   have   only   excluded   patients   with  2556  

uncontrolled  HIV  infection91.    2557  

 2558  

As  HIV   co-­‐infection   is   so   common   in  African   tuberculosis   patients   it  was   appropriate  2559  

and   necessary   to   include   patients   with   HIV   co-­‐infection   in   this   study   in   order   to  2560  

maintain  a   sample   that  was  representative  of   the  overall  population  at   risk.   Including  2561  

patients  with  HIV  co-­‐infection  allows  the  first  measurement  of  CPA  prevalence  in  a  HIV  2562  

co-­‐infected   population   with   treated   tuberculosis   and   allows   comparison   of   the  2563  

serological  and  radiological  findings  of  CPA  in  those  with  and  without  HIV  co-­‐infection.    2564  

 2565  

To  take  account  of  HIV  co-­‐infection  the  duration  of  symptoms  required  to  define  a  case  2566  

was  reduced  from  3  months  to  1  month.  This  is  in  line  with  the  case  definition  of  CNPA  /  2567  

subacute  invasive  aspergillosis  proposed  by  other  authors6,264.  This  definition  captures  2568  

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all   cases   of   CPA,   but   would   also   capture   cases   of   subacute   invasive   pulmonary  2569  

aspergillosis  that  might  be  seen  in  patients  with  AIDS52.  As  this  study  is  the  first  to  be  2570  

conducted  in  an  area  of  high  HIV  and  tuberculosis  prevalence  it  was  more  important  to  2571  

measure   the   overall   prevalence   of   pulmonary   aspergillosis   in   this   population   than   it  2572  

was   to   accurately   subdivide   these   cases   into   chronic   and   subacute   pulmonary  2573  

aspergillosis.    2574  

 2575  

Definition  of  cough  in  clinical  assessment  2576  

 2577  

The   original   case   definition   of   CPA5   includes   productive   cough   as   a   case   defining  2578  

symptom.  This  was   included   in   the  original   case  definition   for   this   survey.  During   the  2579  

course  of  recruitment,  however  it  became  clear  that  many  persons  reporting  productive  2580  

cough   did   not   produce   sputum   samples   and  many   persons   reporting   non-­‐productive  2581  

cough   did   produce   samples.   In   order   to   minimize   the   impact   of   language   barrier   on  2582  

clinical   assessment   written   patient   information   documents   and   questionnaires   were  2583  

produced   in   Acholi   as   well   as   English   and   distributed   to   all   patients.   However,  most  2584  

patients  recruited  to  the  study  were  illiterate  and  spoke  no  English.      2585  

 2586  

Histories  were   taken   through   a   translator   as   a   result.   This   translator  was   a   qualified  2587  

laboratory   assistant   who   spoke   excellent   English   and   native   Acholi,   but   was   not   a  2588  

clinician.   No   clinicians   were   available   to   assist   with   the   study.   It   seemed   likely   that  2589  

while  the  concept  of  cough  was  being  translated  well  the  differentiation  into  productive  2590  

and   non-­‐productive   was   perhaps   not   being   well   communicated   to   the   patients.   Any  2591  

patient   who   reported   cough   was   therefore   accepted   as   meeting   the   symptoms  2592  

requirement  for  the  case  definition.  2593  

 2594  

Absence  of  weight  loss  from  clinical  survey  2595  

 2596  

The  original  case  definition5  includes  weight  loss  alongside  cough  and  haemoptysis  as  a  2597  

defining   feature   of   CPA.   It  was   not   possible   to   include   this   in   the   first   survey,  which  2598  

involved   only   a   single   assessment.   Records   of   previous   weight   were   not   always  2599  

available  and  where  they  were  it  was  by  no  means  certain  that  the  scales  used  at  local  2600  

health  centres  were  appropriately  calibrated  before  use.  It  would  have  been  possible  for  2601  

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us   to   include   weight   loss   in   the   second   survey,   by   measuring   weight   during   both  2602  

surveys.  Unfortunately   recruitment  of  patients   to   the   first   survey   took  place  before   it  2603  

was  clear  that  a  second  survey  was  possible.  As  a  result  weight  measurement  was  not  2604  

included  in  that  study  design.    2605  

 2606  

Absence  of  inflammatory  markers  from  case  definition  2607  

 2608  

The   original   2003   case   definition5   includes   the   presence   of   raised   inflammatory  2609  

markers.   Some   later   cohort   descriptions   do   not   include   this   requirement108,264.   Their  2610  

inclusion  in  the  case  definition  of  CPA  is  therefore  a  matter  of  debate.  In  practice  it  was  2611  

not  possible  to  perform  inflammatory  markers  as  these  tests  were  not  available  at  Gulu  2612  

Regional   Referral   Hospital   and   no   funds   were   available   to   purchase   them   at   other  2613  

locations.    2614  

 2615  

Definition  of  radiological  features  of  CPA  2616  

 2617  

Our   case   definition   included   aspergilloma   as   an   accepted   radiological   feature   of   CPA.  2618  

The   original   2003   case   definition5   did   not   include   this.   The   definition   in   this   study  2619  

reflects  the  new  CPA  case  definition  that  has  been  drafted  by  ESCMID251.  2620  

 2621  

Another  difficulty  with  the  radiological  definition  of  CPA  is  that  while  aspergilloma  is  a  2622  

well-­‐defined   radiological   finding218,   paracavitary   fibrosis   is   more   subjective.  2623  

Progressive  cavitation  is  also  subjective,  as  the  degree  of  progression  necessary  to  meet  2624  

this  criterion  is  not  defined.    These  flaws  are  inherent  in  the  accepted  case  definition5.  A  2625  

more   precise   and   objective   definition   of   the   radiological   features   of   CPA   has   not   yet  2626  

been  proposed  in  the  literature.    2627  

 2628  

The  impact  of  subjective  reporting  was  minimized  in  this  study  by  including  the  reports  2629  

of   multiple,   independent   radiologists   who   were   blinded   to   clinical   and   serological  2630  

information.  This   is  a  commonly  used  method  in  radiological  surveys244,265,266  where  a  2631  

degree  of  human  interpretation  is  often  required.  Unfortunately  radiologist  reports  for  2632  

the   resurvey   are   not   available   at   the   time   of   submitting   this   thesis.   The   radiologists  2633  

involved  in  this  study  all  have  demanding  full   time  clinical   jobs  and  took  two  years  to  2634  

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complete  the  reports  of  the  first  survey.  Delaying  the  submission  of  the  thesis  to  await  2635  

these  reports  was  not,   therefore  a  good  option.  The  resurvey  results   in   this   thesis  are  2636  

based  on  the  author’s  own  reports.  Reporting  by  multiple  radiologists  will  be  completed  2637  

and  the  survey  results  re-­‐analysed  in  the  light  of  these  reports  prior  to  publication.  2638  

 2639  

Exclusion  of  other  conditions  2640  

 2641  

The   original   2003   CPA   case   definition5   includes   the   need   for   exclusion   of   other  2642  

conditions  before  a  diagnosis  of  CPA  can  be  reached.  Active  pulmonary  tuberculosis  was  2643  

excluded  by  performing  GeneXpert  PCR   testing  on   sputum.  However  other   conditions  2644  

might   also   mimic   CPA.   Non-­‐tuberculous   mycobacteria   are   commonly   present   as   co-­‐2645  

infections  in  patients  with  CPA14,  but  would  not  be  detected  by  the  GeneXpert  system,  2646  

however   their   presence   does   not   exclude   a   diagnosis   of   CPA.   The   new   ESCMID  2647  

guidelines  define   some   infections  as  acceptable   co-­‐infections,  whereas  others,   such  as  2648  

coccidioidomycosis  and  histoplasmosis  are  differential  diagnoses251.  2649  

 2650  

Other   complications   of   tuberculosis,   such   as   bronchiectasis,   could   produce   similar  2651  

symptoms   to   those   of   CPA.   Raised   levels   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   are   seen   in   cystic  2652  

fibrosis66,78   and  bronchiectasis   from  other   sources,   in   the  absence  of  CPA  and  may  be  2653  

due  to  Aspergillus  bronchitis  in  these  settings39.  Indeed  this  might  be  the  explanation  for  2654  

the  patients  identified  in  the  study  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG,  but  no  CPA.  The  2655  

inclusion   of   CT   scan   in   all   patients   with   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   allows   the  2656  

detection  of  aspergilloma  or  paracavitary  fibrosis  and  so  differentiates  CPA  from  other  2657  

causes  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.  2658  

 2659  

Use  of  an  Aspergillus  fumigatus  specific  serological  technique  2660  

 2661  

Perhaps  the  most  relevant  source  of  diagnostic  uncertainty  comes  from  the  possibility  2662  

of   infection   with   fungi   other   than   Aspergillus   fumigatus.   Other   species   of   Aspergillus  2663  

might  be  prevalent  in  Africa.  A.  flavus  is  a  more  common  cause  of  human  disease  than  A.  2664  

fumigatus   in   India146,267   and   A.   niger   is   common   in   Brazil147.   There   is   very   little  2665  

published   information   relating   to   the   frequency   of   infection   by   various   species   of  2666  

Aspergillus   in  Africa.   The   sole   study   of   the   frequency   of   fungal   co-­‐infection   in  African  2667  

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tuberculosis   patients   was   performed   in   Egypt   and   showed   two   cases   of  A.   niger   and  2668  

three  cases  of  Histoplasma  capsulatum213.  Histoplasmosis  is  known  to  exist  in  Uganda268  2669  

and  blastomycosis  elsewhere  in  Africa232.  The  frequency  of  these  other  fungal  infections  2670  

that   might   mimic   the   clinical   and   radiological   presentation   of   CPA   in   Africa   is   not  2671  

known.  2672  

 2673  

Cross  reactivity  between  other  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assays  and  Penicillium  antibodies  2674  

has   been   noted269.   Cross-­‐reaction   with   other   fungi   has   not   been   studied.   If   cross-­‐2675  

reaction  did  occur  then  infections  by  other  fungi  might  be  misdiagnosed  as  CPA  in  this  2676  

study.  It  is  also  not  known  whether  the  Siemens  Immulite  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assay  2677  

detects  non-­‐fumigatus  species  with  the  same  accuracy  as  A.  fumigatus.  The  sensitivity  of  2678  

other   assays   based   on  A.   fumigatus  antigens   for   the   detection   of   antibodies   to   other  2679  

Aspergillus   species   has   been   poor148.   The   sensitivity   of   the   Siemens   Immulite   assay  2680  

might   therefore   be   poor   if   non-­‐fumigatus   species   are   common   in   Uganda   and  2681  

responsible  for  a  significant  proportion  of  CPA  cases.  This  might  explain  the  five  cases  in  2682  

the  study  with  apparent  aspergilloma  on  CT  scan,  but  negative  serology.  Sensitivity  of  2683  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   assays   can   be   improved   by   including   extracts   from   multiple  2684  

Aspergillus  species  in  the  antigen  mixture270  2685  

 2686  

There   is   therefore   some   legitimate   doubt   as   to   whether   the   study   can   measure   the  2687  

precise   prevalence   of   CPA,   as   opposed   to   other   chronic   fungal   lung   diseases.   Future  2688  

studies,   involving  extended   fungal   and  mycobacterial   culture  of   sputum  and  broncho-­‐2689  

alveolar   lavage   fluid,   together   with   more   extensive   fungal   serological   testing   will   be  2690  

needed  to  determine  if  fungi  other  than  A.  fumigatus  are  common  in  this  patient  group.    2691  

 2692  

This  does  not  diminish  the  value  of  the  study  however,  as  it  is  likely  that  all  the  patients  2693  

classified  as  CPA  in  this  study  have  chronic  fungal  lung  disease.  This  is  most  likely  due  2694  

to  Aspergillus  infection,  as  Siemens  Immulite  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assay  is  based  on  A.  2695  

fumigatus   antigens.   As   there   has   never   been   a   survey   of   fungal   lung   disease  2696  

complicating   pulmonary   tuberculosis   in   Africa   this   study   this   study   represents   a  2697  

significant  contribution  to   the   field,  even   if   it  cannot  be  stated  with  absolute  certainty  2698  

that  the  cases  detected  here  are  CPA,  as  opposed  to  other  forms  of  chronic  fungal  lung  2699  

disease.  2700  

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Issues  relating  to  HIV  infection  2701  

 2702  

While   the   primary   goal   of   the   study   was   to   measure   the   prevalence   of   CPA   in   all  2703  

patients,  an  attempt  was  also  made  to  compare  the  prevalence  of  CPA  in  patients  with  2704  

and  without  HIV  infection.  Ideally  such  a  design  would  have  included  HIV  testing  on  all  2705  

patients  at   the  time  of  admission  to  the  study.  Unfortunately   funds  were  not  available  2706  

for  this.  The  only  source  of   information  regarding  HIV  infection  status  was  the  patient  2707  

notes.  The  vast  majority   of   patients   recruited   to   the   study  were   tested   for  HIV   at   the  2708  

time   of   entering   the   tuberculosis   treatment   program   in   line  with   national   guidelines.  2709  

These  guidelines  include  the  use  of  both  screening  and  confirmatory  point  of  care  tests  2710  

that   should   produce   accurate   results271.   This   does   not   exclude   the   possibility   that  2711  

patients  might  have  contracted  HIV   infection  between  commencement  of   tuberculosis  2712  

treatment   and   recruitment   to   the   study   and   some   patients   classified   as  HIV   negative  2713  

were  indeed  on  HIV  treatment  at  the  time  of  the  resurvey.    2714  

 2715  

While   the   study   design   used  was   unavoidable   due   to   funding   restrictions   it   could   be  2716  

argued   that   HIV   status   at   the   time   of   active   tuberculosis   infection   is   the   more  2717  

appropriate   risk   factor   to   measure   as   HIV   infection   at   that   time   is   associated   with  2718  

reduced  residual  lung  cavitation225,  which  has  itself  been  suggested  as  a  determinant  of  2719  

the  rate  of  CPA11.    2720  

 2721  

It  was  also  necessary  to  include  historical  CD4  counts  in  the  study  analysis  due  to  lack  of  2722  

funds  to  perform  new  CD4  counts  on  all  patients.  It  is  plausible  that  the  historical  CD4  2723  

count  may  no  longer  be  representative  in  some  patients.  However  given  that  almost  all  2724  

the  HIV  infected  patients  admitted  to  our  study  knew  their  status  and  were  enrolled  in  2725  

treatment   programs   prior   to   recruitement   it   is  more   likely   that   their   CD4   count  will  2726  

have   risen  with   time   rather   than   fallen272.     The   key   assumption   that   the  median  CD4  2727  

count  in  this  cohort  is  high  and  that  few  patients  had  AIDS  is  likely  to  be  valid.  2728  

 2729  

The  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assay  might  be  less  effective  in  HIV  infected  patients,  where  2730  

antibody   response   might   be   impaired273,274.   It   should   be   noted,   however   that   the  2731  

median   CD4   count   in   our   patients   was   424   cells/µL   and   that   acceptable   antibody  2732  

response   to   vaccination   has   been   recorded   in   patients   with   similar   CD4   counts275.   It  2733  

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therefore  seems  likely  that  most  patients  in  the  study  group  would  produce  an  antibody  2734  

response  to  Aspergillus  infection  as  most  have  normal  or  near  normal  CD4  counts.  2735  

 2736  

 2737  2738  

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Paper  4  -­‐  “Frequency  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis   in   ‘smear-­‐negative  tuberculosis  2739  

cases”  and  Paper  5  “Frequency  of  Aspergillus  co-­‐infection  in  patients  admitted  to  2740  

a  Ugandan  hospital  with  pulmonary  tuberculosis”  2741  

 2742  

Ethical  approval  2743  

 2744  

The  Mulago  study  team  agreed  to  provide  stored  sera  to  the  author  for  use  in  this  study.  2745  

An  ethical  amendment   from  Makerere  University   IRB  was  acquired  and  permission  to  2746  

ship   samples   to   the   UK   granted   by  Makerere   University   IRB   and   UNCST.   These   sera  2747  

were   transported   to   the   University   of   Manchester   Mycology   Reference   Centre   at  2748  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester  for  further  testing.  2749  

 2750  

Recruitment  Strategy  2751  

 2752  

These  two  papers  report  the  results  of  retrospective  opportunistic  testing  of  stored  sera  2753  

from  a  prior  study  undertaken  by  collaborators.  2754  

 2755  

The   Mulago   Inpatient   Noninvasive   Diagnosis   –   International   HIV   Opportunistic  2756  

Pneumonia   (MIND-­‐IHOP)   study  was  undertaken  by   the   respiratory   research   group   at  2757  

Makerere  University,  Kampala,  Uganda  in  association  with  the  University  of  California,  2758  

San  Francisco,  USA244,266,276–278.  The  author  had  no  involvement  in  the  design  or  conduct  2759  

of  the  original  study.  The  full  MIND-­‐IHOP  study  protocol  is  attached  in  appendix  7.  2760  

 2761  

MIND-­‐IHOP  was   a   prospective   cohort   study.   Recruitment   of   patients   included   in   this  2762  

thesis   took  place  between  March  2010  and  March  2011.  During   this  period   all   adults  2763  

admitted  to  the  casualty  department  of  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala  on  weekdays,  with  a  2764  

cough   of   between   2   weeks   and   6   months   duration   were   offered   the   chance   to   be  2765  

admitted  to  the  study.    2766  

 2767  

2768  

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Sample  selection  criteria  2769    2770  

Stored  sera  were  available   from  around  three  quarters  of  patients  originally  recruited  2771  

to   the   study.   Sera   were   selected   from   patients   meeting   the   following   criteria;   1   –  2772  

Patients   with   HIV   infection,   abnormal   chest   X-­‐ray   and   no   diagnosis,   including   no  2773  

evidence   of   pulmonary   tuberculosis,   following   the   investigations   detailed   above,   2   –  2774  

Patients   with   pulmonary   tuberculosis   proven   by   culture,   GeneXpert   PCR   or   smear  2775  

testing.  These  two  groups  are  the  subjects  of  reports  in  the  two  separate  papers  2776  

 2777  

Clinical  assessment  and  diagnostic  testing  processes  during  MIND  study  2778  

 2779  

Clinical   details   were   recorded   for   each   patient.   Sputum   samples   were   taken   for  2780  

tuberculosis   AAFB   smear   testing,   culture   and   tuberculosis   PCR   testing   with   the  2781  

GeneXpert   automated   nucleic   acid   amplification   assay.   Where   patients   could   not  2782  

produce  sputum  spontaneously  induced  sputum  was  acquired.  Blood  was  taken  for  CD4  2783  

count   (in   HIV   infected   patients)   and   cryptococcal   antigen   testing.   Bronchoscopy  was  2784  

offered   to   any   HIV   positive   patient   with   persistent   symptoms   and   negative   sputum  2785  

smear   test.   Bronchoalveolar   lavage   specimens   underwent   staining   and   culture   for  2786  

mycobacteria   and   fungi   including   staining   for   Pneumocystis   jirovecii.   Patients   were  2787  

reviewed   at   two   months   after   recruitment   and   the   mortality   rate   at   this   point   was  2788  

recorded.  2789  

 2790  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  testing  process  2791  

 2792  

Selected  sera  were  shipped  to  Manchester  University,  UK  on  dry  ice.  Aspergillus-­‐specific  2793  

IgG  levels  were  then  measured  in  each  sample  using  the  Siemens  Immulite  2000  assay,  2794  

performed  by  the  author  at  the  laboratory  at  Christie  Hospital,  Manchester.  2795  

 2796  

Statistical  analysis  2797  

 2798  

Results   of   these   assays   are   reported   in   comparison   to   healthy   Ugandan   blood   donor  2799  

controls.  This  is  the  same  control  group  described  in  papers  1  and  2.  The  mortality  rate  2800  

of  patients  with  and  without  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  is  described.    Median  2801  

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Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  in  patients  and  controls  and  CD4  counts  in  those  with  and  2802  

without  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  are  compared  with  Mann-­‐Whitney  U  test.  2803  

Mean  age  in  those  with  and  without  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  is  compared  by  2804  

2-­‐sided   t-­‐test.   Categorical   variables   are   compared   with   Chi-­‐squared   test,   except   for  2805  

comparison  of  number  of  positive  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  tests  in  tuberculosis  cases  vs.  2806  

healthy  controls,  where  Fisher’s  exact  test  is  used.  2807  

 2808  

Discussion    2809    2810  

Interpretation  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  in  these  studies  2811  

 2812  

Papers  4  and  5  describe  opportunistic  testing  of  stored  sera  in  an  attempt  to  estimate  2813  

the  prevalence   of   pulmonary   aspergillosis   in   patients  with  presumed   ‘smear  negative  2814  

pulmonary   tuberculosis’   and   proven   pulmonary   tuberculosis   respectively.   These  2815  

studies  do  not  claim  to  measure  the  prevalence  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  To  achieve  a  2816  

measurement   of   the   prevalence   of   ‘proven’   acute   invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis   in  2817  

line  with   EORTC   guidelines   one  would   need   to   perform   biopsy   on   all   patients48.     To  2818  

define   patients   as   having   ‘probable’   acute   invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis   would  2819  

require   CT   scan   evidence   of   progressive   cavitation   with   paracavitary   infilatrates   or  2820  

aspergilloma.    2821  

 2822  

These   investigations   were   not   performed   as   part   of   the   MIND-­‐IHOP   study276.   It   is  2823  

therefore   not   possible   to   claim   that   the   investigations   described   here   measure   the  2824  

prevalence  of  invasive  pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  this  population  and  that  claim  is  not  2825  

made   in   the   articles.   However   these   definitions   were   designed   to   identify   invasive  2826  

aspergillosis   in   profoundly   immunosuppressed   patients.   The   subacute   pulmonary  2827  

aspergillosis   seen   in   non-­‐neutropaenic   AIDS   patients52,223,236   is   probably   closer   the  2828  

syndrome   of   chronic   necrotizing   pulmonary   aspergillosis   seen   in   patients   with  2829  

moderate  immunosuppression  secondary  to  diabetes  or  alcohol  excess51  2830  

 2831  

Over  200  stored  sera  were  available  for  use.  From  these,  39  were  selected  from  a  group  2832  

of   patients  whose   presentation  was   as   close   as   possible   to   the   definition   of   subacute  2833  

invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis6,264.   These   were   HIV   positive   patients   with   chronic  2834  

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cough  with  abnormal  chest  X-­‐ray  who  did  not  have  evidence  of  pulmonary  tuberculosis  2835  

after   the   most   extensive   investigation   possible,   including   use   of   the   highly   sensitive  2836  

Cepheid  GeneXpert  assay279.    2837  

 2838  

Such  patients  are  at  risk  of  subacute  invasive  pulmonary  aspergillosis52,223,236  and  as  no  2839  

other   diagnosis  was   found   it   is   reasonable   to   suggest   that   pulmonary   aspergillosis   is  2840  

probable  where  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  is  present  in  this  group.    The  fact  that  the  2841  

diagnostic   threshold   for   a   positive   test   was   defined   in   relation   to   Ugandan   healthy  2842  

controls   support   this   claim.  The  40%  mortality   rate  noted   in   this   group   is  potentially  2843  

consistent  with  undiagnosed  pulmonary  aspergillosis  occurring  in  this  group.  2844  

 2845  

Limitations  in  case  definition  for  ‘smear  negative  tuberculosis’  2846  

 2847  

There   are,   however   several   potential   limitations   to   this   approach.   The   duration   of  2848  

symptoms  required  for  the  accepted  case  definition  of  subacute  invasive  aspergillosis  is  2849  

>1  month6,264.  The  MIND-­‐IHOP  study  accepted  patients  with  cough  duration  of  2  weeks  2850  

or   more276.   As   a   result   many   will   have   had   bacterial   pneumonia   and   improved   with  2851  

antibiotics.  Such  patients  were,  however  excluded  by  restricting  the  analysis  to  patients  2852  

with  ‘unknown’  final  diagnosis.  Any  patients  whose  symptoms  resolved  with  antibiotics  2853  

were  classified  as  probable  ‘bacterial  pneumonia’.  Those  who  presented  with  less  than  1  2854  

month  of   symptoms,  but  had   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  and  did  not   improve  with  2855  

antibiotics   are   likely   to   have   had   acute   invasive   aspergillosis48,   which   is   also   often  2856  

associated  with   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG90,96.  The  study  design  cannot  accurately  2857  

differentiate   acute   from   subacute   invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis,   but   this  2858  

differentiation  is  less  important  than  simply  estimating  the  overall  prevalence  of  likely  2859  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  this  group  for  the  first  time.  2860  

 2861  

The  diagnosis  of  subacute  invasive  pulmonary  aspergillosis  also  normally  requires  the  2862  

presence  of  progressive  cavitation  or  paracavitary  infiltrates6,264.  These  were  defined  on  2863  

CT  scan  in  the  published  cohorts  of  this  condition.  The  MIND-­‐IHOP  study  did  not  include  2864  

CT  scan276.  As  the  interpretation  of  chest  X-­‐rays  is  challenging  in  the  context  of  subacute  2865  

respiratory   disease265   and   the   features   of   invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis   are   often  2866  

non-­‐specific218,280,  any  patient  with  abnormal  chest  X-­‐ray  was  included  in  this  analysis  if  2867  

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  100  

other  criteria  were  met.  It  is  unlikely  that  all  patients  in  this  group  would  have  met  the  2868  

diagnostic   criteria   for   subacute   invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis6,48,264   if   CT   scan   had  2869  

been  performed.    2870  

 2871  

Limitations  of  serological  testing  in  patients  with  AIDS  2872  

 2873  

The  original  design  of  this  study  included  testing  for  galactomannan,  which  has  a  higher  2874  

sensitivity   than  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   for   the   diagnosis   of   acute   invasive   pulmonary  2875  

aspergillosis90.  Unfortunately  most  patients   in   the   study   received  Ceftriaxone  prior   to  2876  

sampling.  This  can  cause  false  positive  galactomannan  results281.  Galactomannan  levels  2877  

can   also   fall   significantly   with   frozen   storage261.   As   a   result   of   these   major   flaws  2878  

galactomannan  was  dropped   from  the  study  design,   leaving  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  as  2879  

the   sole  marker   of   pulmonary   aspergillosis.   Patients  with   AIDS  may   not   form   a   good  2880  

antibody  response  to   infection  or  vaccination   in  the  context  of  hepatitis  B  and  C273,274.  2881  

The  same  problem  might  occur  in  relation  to  antibody  response  to  Aspergillus.  The  sole  2882  

use   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   as   a   serological  marker   for   probable   acute   or   subacute  2883  

pulmonary   aspergillosis   in   patients   with   AIDS   might   therefore   underestimate   the  2884  

frequency  of  the  disease.  2885  

 2886  

Possible  selection  bias  relating  to  stored  sera  volume  2887  

 2888  

There   is   also   a   possibility   of   selection   bias   as   only   around   three   quarters   of   patients  2889  

recruited   to   the  MIND-­‐IHOP   study  had   stored   sera   available.  The  others  did  not  have  2890  

sufficient   volume   of   sera   left   over   after   previous   tests   were   complete.   Although   this  2891  

process  is  not  very  likely  to  introduce  bias,  it  is  conceivable  that  it  would  remove  sicker  2892  

patients  from  the  analysis,  as  they  might  be  more  difficult  to  withdraw  blood  from  due  2893  

to  shock  and  so  have  lower  volumes  of  stored  sera.  2894  

 2895  

The  result  described  here  is  therefore  at  best  an  estimate  of  the  possible  prevalence  of  2896  

acute  or  subacute  invasive  pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  this  group.    It  is  the  best  that  can  2897  

be   achieved   from   opportunistic   testing   of   sera   from   a   study   that  was   not   specifically  2898  

designed  to  measure  the  prevalence  of  this  disease.    2899  

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While  absolute  accuracy   is  not  guaranteed,   such  data  does   still  have  significant  value.  2900  

There   has   never   been   an   attempt   to   measure   the   prevalence   of   subacute   invasive  2901  

aspergillosis  in  African  AIDS  patients,  or  indeed  in  any  living  HIV-­‐infected  cohort,  using  2902  

serological   methods.   The   fact   that   this   condition   is   noted   in   2-­‐3%   of   all   AIDS  2903  

autopsies,207,238,239   underlines   the   potential   importance   of   this   disease.   90%   of   these  2904  

cases   were   undiagnosed   antemortem.   Prospective   studies   to   accurately   measure   the  2905  

prevalence   of   this   condition   would   be   expensive,   due   to   the   need   for   CT   scans   and  2906  

biopsies.   The   data   from   opportunistic   testing   described   here   provides   the   evidence  2907  

needed  to  justify  such  prospective  studies.  2908  

 2909  

Interpretation  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  in  patients  with  proven  tuberculosis  2910  

 2911  

The   population   tested   in   paper   five   is  much  more   clearly   defined,   in   that   all   patients  2912  

included   here   had   proven   pulmonary   tuberculosis,   on   the   basis   of   culture,   Cepheid  2913  

GeneXpert  PCR  testing  or  smear  testing.  The  difficulty  here  is  the  interpretation  of  the  2914  

raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.    2915  

 2916  

There   is   no   published   evidence   that   the   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   cross   reacts   with  2917  

antibodies  to  M.  tuberculosis.  It  therefore  seems  likely  that  those  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐2918  

specific  IgG  do  have  Aspergillus  growth  in  their  lungs  or  airways.  This  might  represent  2919  

early  CPA,  but  this  diagnosis  could  not  reasonably  be  confirmed  until  after  tuberculosis  2920  

treatment  is  complete,  as  CPA  diagnosis  requires  the  presence  of  symptoms.  Any  cough  2921  

or  haemoptysis  present  during  active  tuberculosis  could  well  be  due  to  the  tuberculosis  2922  

rather  than  CPA.  If  the  patient  became  asymptomatic  after  tuberculosis  treatment  then  2923  

the  symptomatic  criteria  for  CPA  would  not  be  met.    2924  

 2925  

It  is  equally  possible  that  Aspergillus  colonization  of  the  diseased  airways  at  the  site  of  2926  

tuberculosis   infection   is  more   common   than   in  healthy  persons.  This  might  be  due   to  2927  

the  immunosuppression  produced  by  active  tuberculosis  infection282.  Immune  function  2928  

might   return   to   normal   once   the   tuberculosis   infection   is   cured   and   Aspergillus  2929  

colonisation  might  then  resolve  as  a  result.    2930  

 2931  

2932  

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Selected  nature  of  tuberculosis  population  in  this  study  2933    2934  

It   should   also   be   noted   that   the   population   tested   here   are   patients   diagnosed   with  2935  

pulmonary   tuberculosis   in   the   course  of   an  acute  emergency  hospital   admission.  This  2936  

population  is  not  representative  of  the  overall  population  with  pulmonary  tuberculosis.    2937  

The   results   presented   here   cannot   therefore   be   taken   as   a   measure   of   the   overall  2938  

prevalence  of  CPA  co-­‐existing  with  active  pulmonary   tuberculosis.   It   should  be  noted,  2939  

however   that   the   diagnostic   threshold   used   in   this   survey  was   defined   in   relation   to  2940  

healthy  Ugandan  controls  and  that  90%  of  patients  with  treated  tuberculosis  tested  in  2941  

paper  2  had  normal   levels  using   this  cut-­‐off.  The  high   frequency  of   raised  Aspergillus-­‐2942  

specific  IgG  is  therefore  an  unexpected  and  significant  finding.  2943  

 2944  

While  this  opportunistic  study  cannot  define  the  exact  nature  of  the  Aspergillus  disease  2945  

in   these   patients   it   does   provide   valuable   insight   into   the   interaction   between   M.  2946  

tuberculosis   and   Aspergillus   infection.     In   particular   it   strongly   suggests   that   the  2947  

commonly   held   assumption   that   CPA   develops   after   tuberculosis   is   cured   may   be  2948  

wrong.   This   raises   the   possibility   that   future   programs   to   screen   and   treat   CPA   in  2949  

patients   with   pulmonary   tuberculosis   might   need   to   focus   on   patients   with   current  2950  

tuberculosis  rather  than  past  tuberculosis.    The  results  described  here  are  therefore  of  2951  

significant  value  to  those  planning  future  prospective  studies  to  define  natural  history  2952  

of  CPA  in  relation  to  pulmonary  tuberculosis.            2953  

                       2954  

   2955  

2956  

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PAPER 1 - Comparison of six Aspergillus-specific IgG assays for the diagnosis of 2957  

chronic pulmonary aspergillosis (CPA) and allergic bronchopulmonary aspergillosis 2958  

(ABPA)  2959  

 2960  

Authors  2961  

 2962  

Iain  D  Page   -­‐   Institute  of   Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  UK,  2963  

Manchester   Academic   Health   Science   Centre,   UK,   National   Aspergillosis   Center,  2964  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK  2965  

 2966  

Malcolm   Richardson   -­‐   Institute   of   Inflammation   and   Repair,   The   University   of  2967  

Manchester,  UK,  Manchester  Academic  Health  Science  Centre,  UK,  National  Aspergillosis  2968  

Center  and  Mycology  Reference  Centre,  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK  2969    2970  

David  W  Denning  -­‐  Institute  of  Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  2971  

UK,   Manchester   Academic   Health   Science   Centre,   UK,   National   Aspergillosis   Center,  2972  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK  2973  

 2974  

2975  

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Abstract  2976  

 2977  

Measurement  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG,  or  precipitating  antibodies  is  a  key  component  2978  

of   diagnosis   of   CPA.   It   also   has   a   role   in   ABPA,   where   it   is   one   of   three   ‘additional  2979  

features’   of   ABPA   recognized   in   recent   international   society   for   human   and   animal  2980  

mycology   (ISHAM)   diagnostic   guidelines.   Many   commercial   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  2981  

assays  exist,  but  there  is   limited  evidence  regarding  sensitivity  and  specificity  of  these  2982  

assays   for   the  diagnosis  of  CPA  or  ABPA.  The  optimal  diagnostic   cut  offs   for  CPA  and  2983  

ABPA  are  poorly  defined.  2984  

 2985  

We   performed   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   testing   on   stored   sera   from   the   following  2986  

patients;   1   –   CPA   (n=241)   2   –  ABPA   (n=80)   3   –   healthy   controls   (n=100),   4   –   severe  2987  

asthmatic   controls   (n=100).   The   following   assays  were   used;   ThermoFisher   Scientific  2988  

ImmunoCAP  (multi-­‐national),  Siemens  Immulite  (Germany),  Serion  (Germany),  Genesis  2989  

(UK)   and   Dynamiker   (China)   and   counterimmunoelectrophoresis   (precipitins)   using  2990  

Microgen  Aspergillus  antigens.  2991  

 2992  

Receiver   operating   curve   area   under   the   curve   (ROC   AUC)   results   for   CPA   diagnosis  2993  

were  as  follows;  ImmunoCAP  0.995  (95%  CI  0.991  –  0.999),  Immulite  0.991  (0.982-­‐1),  2994  

Serion  0.973  (0.960  –  0.987),  Dynamiker  0.918  (0.89  –  0.946)  and  Genesis  0.902  (0.871  2995  

–  0.933).    2996  

 2997  

ROC  AUC  results  comparing  ABPA  patients  to  healthy  controls  were;  ImmunoCAP  0.959  2998  

(0.935   –   0.987),   Immulite   0.932   (95%  CI  0.887 – 0.977),   Serion  0.907   (0.866 – 0.949),  2999  

Dynamiker  0.903  (0.859 – 0.946)  and  Genesis  0.73  (0.651 – 0.808).  Compared  to  severe  3000  

asthmatic   patients   ROC  AUC   results  were;   Immulite   0.837   (0.774 – 0.9),   Serion   0.826  3001  

(0.763 – 0.888),  Dynamiker  0.819  (0.754 – 0.885) and Genesis 0.797 (0.728 – 0.866).    3002  

 3003  

Optimal  diagnostic  cut-­‐offs  for  CPA  were;  ImmunoCAP  20  mg/L  (96%  sensitivity,  98%  3004  

specificity),  Immulite  10  mg/L  (96%  sensitivity,  98%  specificity),  Serion  35  U/ml  (90%  3005  

sensitivity,   98%   specificity),   Dynamiker   65   AU/ml   (77%   sensitivity,   97%   specificity)  3006  

and  Genesis  20  U/ml  (75%  sensitivity,  99%  specificity).  Precipitins  were  59%  sensitive  3007  

and  100%  specific.  Sensitivity  of   these  cut  offs   for  diagnosis  of  ABPA  were  as   follows;  3008  

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  105  

Immulite   (81%),   ImmuncoCAP   (77%),   Dynamiker   (66%),   Serion   (62%)   and   Genesis  3009  

(46%).   Specificity   for   the   diagnosis   of   ABPA   was   lower   when   compared   to   severe  3010  

asthmatics   and   alternative   diagnostic   thresholds   may   be   appropriate   for   use   in   this  3011  

group.    3012  

 3013  

ROC   AUC   results   for   ImmunoCAP   and   Immulite   are   both   statistically   significantly  3014  

superior   to   all   other   assays   tested   for   the   diagnosis   of   both   CPA   and   ABPA   in  3015  

comparison  to  healthy  controls.  The  Genesis  assay  was  statistically  significantly  inferior  3016  

to   all   other   assays   for   the   diagnosis   of   ABPA   in   comparison   to   healthy   controls.   The  3017  

currently   accepted   ImmunoCAP   cut-­‐off   of   40  mg/L   is   sub-­‐optimal   for   CPA   diagnosis.  3018  

Adopting   the  new  proposed   thresholds   for  CPA  diagnosis  maximizes   sensitivity  while  3019  

maintaining  specificity  of  97%  or  higher  for  each  assay.  3020  

 3021  

Precipitins  testing  performed  poorly  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  and  ABPA  and  should  be  3022  

replaced  by  IgG  ELISA  in  these  contexts,  however  it  performed  well  for  identifying  CPA  3023  

occurring  as  a  complication  of  ABPA.  Most  ELISA  assays  performed  poorly  in  the  latter  3024  

context,  with  the  exception  of  Immulite  which  had  an  ROC  AUC  of  0.863  and  produced  3025  

sensitivity  of  71%  and  specificity  of  91%  using  an  optimal  cut  off  of  100  mg/L  for  this  3026  

purpose.  3027  

 3028  

3029  

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Introduction  3030  

 3031  

CPA   is   a   serious   disease   that   leads   to   severe   disability   and   death7,   but  which   can   be  3032  

treated   effectively   with   existing   drugs   and   surgery15,18,58,198,283.   The   estimated   global  3033  

prevalence  of  CPA  is  around  3  million  cases11–13.  Diagnosis  of  CPA  requires  the  presence  3034  

of   chronic   symptoms,   plus   appropriate   radiological   findings   and   microbiological  3035  

evidence  of  disease5,7,8,50.  The  latter  can  be  provided  from  biopsy  or  by  culture  of  either  3036  

broncho-­‐alveolar  lavage  (BAL)  fluid  or  sputum.  Acquiring  samples  for  these  tests  either  3037  

requires  an  invasive  procedure  to  acquire  BAL  or  biopsy  or  the  production  of  a  sputum  3038  

sample,  which  can  be  troublesome  for  patients  with  intermittent  cough.  Culture  also  has  3039  

poor  sensitivity  with  current  methods260.  As  a   result  many  CPA  patients  never  have  a  3040  

positive  culture  or  biopsy8.  By  comparison  raised   levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  are  3041  

present  in  the  majority  of  published  cases  and  provide  the  sole  laboratory  evidence  of  3042  

Aspergillus  infection  in  many  cases5,8.  3043  

 3044  

ABPA   can   complicate   asthma   and   is   estimated   to   complicate   around   13%   of   asthma  3045  

cases284  and  affect  around  5  million  persons  worldwide13.  The  international  society  for  3046  

human  and  animal  mycology  (ISHAM)  has  recently  reviewed  the  diagnostic  criteria  for  3047  

ABPA4.   The   presence   of   both   raised   total   IgE   and   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE   (or  3048  

positive   skin   prick   testing)   is   mandatory   for   diagnosis.   Positive   precipitins   or  3049  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  is  one  of  three  additional  features,  along  with  raised  eosinophil  3050  

count   and   radiological   features,   of  which   2   out   of   3   are   also   required   to   confirm   the  3051  

diagnosis.  3052  

 3053  

Many   specialist   laboratories   have   developed   their   own   ‘home-­‐brew’   assays   directly  3054  

from  fungal  culture,  to  detect  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  18,73,130,131.  However  replication  of  3055  

such  a   ‘home-­‐brew’   technique   in  other   laboratories   is  challenging141  as   the  mixture  of  3056  

antigens  produced  varies  in  relation  to  factors  such  as  strain,  medium  pH  and  length  of  3057  

culture98,128,134–136,138–140.   The   original   Ouchterlony   precipitation-­‐in-­‐gel   (precipitins)  3058  

technique105,123   for   detection   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   antibodies   is   time   consuming,  3059  

produces   subjective   results   of   a   semi-­‐quantitative   nature   and   probably   has   poor  3060  

sensitivity38,74.  Enzyme-­‐linked  immunosorbent  assay  (ELISA)  is  now  commonly  used  in  3061  

its  place130.  3062  

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Multiple   commercial   tests   for   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   exist,   but   published   data  3063  

comparing  the  performance  of  these  tests  is  very  limited.    Research  has  been  hampered  3064  

by  the  lack  of  large  cohorts  of  patients  with  clearly  defined  CPA.  Some  comparisons  use  3065  

small  mixed  populations  of  different  types  of  aspergillosis,  including  invasive  disease  in  3066  

addition   to   CPA   or   ABPA73.   However,   good   intra-­‐laboratory   repeatability   has   been  3067  

demonstrated  for  the  ImmunoCAP  assay  (ThermoFisher  Scientific,  multinational)  180.  3068  

 3069  

To   our   knowledge   only   two   studies   have   compared   the   performance   of   commercial  3070  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  assays   for   the  diagnosis  of  CPA.  One  study  noted   that   the  Bio-­‐3071  

Rad  (France)  and  Serion  (Germany)  assays  had  respective  sensitivity  of  94%  and  92%  3072  

for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  in  51  cases,  with  specificity  of  87%  and  76%  respectively38.  The  3073  

other   study,   published  by   our   team,   compared   the  Bio-­‐Rad   assay   to   ImmunoCAP   and  3074  

precipitins   testing   using   Microgen   (UK)   antigens.   It   showed   respective   sensitivity   of  3075  

85%,  86%  and  56%  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  in  116  cases  74.    3076  

 3077  

Diagnostic   cut-­‐offs   for  ABPA   in   the  patients  with  underlying   cystic   fibrosis  have  been  3078  

investigated  for  the  ImmunoCAP  assay.  One  study  of  87  patients  suggests  that  a  cut-­‐off  3079  

of  90  mg/L  has  a  sensitivity  of  91%  and  specificity  of  88%  for  the  diagnosis  of  ABPA78,  3080  

whereas   another   study   of   146   patients   suggests   that   a   cut-­‐off   of   75   mg/L66   has   a  3081  

sensitivity   of   96%   and   a   specificity   of   90%.   The   ImmunoCAP   assay   has   also   been  3082  

assessed   in  10  ABPA  patients  without  underlying  cystic   fibrosis,  where  a  cut-­‐off  of  35  3083  

mg/L  had  a  sensitivity  of  90%  and  specificity  of  86%  for  the  diagnosis  of  ABPA73.    3084  

 3085  

The   diagnostic   cut-­‐offs   for   other   assays   for   ABPA   have   not   been   assessed   in   the  3086  

published   literature.   Using   the   manufacturer’s   recommended   cut-­‐offs   the   Serion   and  3087  

Bio-­‐Rad  assays  had  sensitivities  of  84%  and  92%  respectively,  in  a  study  of  13  patients  3088  

without  cystic  fibrosis38.  ImmunoCAP,  Bio-­‐Rad  and  precipitins  had  sensitivities  of  41%,  3089  

47%  and  15%  respectively  in  a  mixed  group  of  46  patients  with  either  ABPA  or  Severe  3090  

Asthma  with  Fungal   Sensitization   (SAFS),   but  no   cystic   fibrosis74.   The   Immulite   assay  3091  

(Siemens,   Germany)   has   been   shown   to   have   good   correlation   with   the   ImmunoCAP  3092  

assay180,  but  its  sensitivity  and  specificity  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  or  ABPA  has  not  been  3093  

measured  directly.    3094  

 3095  

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These  comparisons  are  probably   too  small   to  detect  differences   in   test  sensitivity  and  3096  

specificity   and   are   potentially   biased   due   to   the   presence   of   long-­‐term   antifungal  3097  

therapy,   which   lowers   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels,   in   many   patients58.   We   are   not  3098  

aware   of   any   publications   describing   the   sensitivity   and   specificity   of   Bordier  3099  

(Switzerland),  Dynamiker  (China),   IBL  (Germany)  or  Genesis  (UK)  for  the  diagnosis  of  3100  

CPA  or  ABPA.  The  optimal  diagnostic  thresholds  for  CPA  and  ABPA  (in  patients  without  3101  

cystic   fibrosis)   have   never   been   assessed   for   any   of   the   available   assays,   with   the  3102  

exception  of  the  small  ImmunoCAP  ABPA  study  described  above.  3103  

 3104  

We   have   performed   a   retrospective   comparison   of   six   methods   in   cohorts   of   CPA  3105  

patients  and  ABPA  patients.  Samples  were   taken  when  patients  were  not   taking   long-­‐3106  

term   antifungal   medication.   Receiver   operating   characteristic   (ROC)   curve   analysis  3107  285,286  is  used  to  compare  test  performance.  It  is  also  to  define  optimal  diagnostic  cut  offs  3108  

for  CPA  and  ABPA.  3109  

 3110  

Methods  3111  

 3112  

Patients  3113  

 3114  

Eighty  patients  with  ABPA  and  241  patients  with  CPA  were  identified  at  the  UK  National  3115  

Aspergillosis  Centre   (NAC).  Each  had  a   stored   sample  of   serum   taken  when  either  off  3116  

antifungal  treatment  or  within  three  months  of  starting  treatment.  The  median  levels  of  3117  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   study   patients   on   antifungal   therapy   and   off   antifungal  3118  

therapy  are  described  and  compared.  Control  samples  were  collected  from  100  healthy  3119  

Ugandan   blood   donors   100   patients  with   severe   asthma   under   the   care   of   the  North  3120  

West  Lung  Centre,  UK.  Samples  were  tested  for  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  by  all  methods,  3121  

other  than  asthmatic  controls  where  ImmunoCAP  was  not  performed  as  no  funding  was  3122  

available  to  perform  this  assay  in  this  group.  3123  

 3124  

Diagnosis  of  CPA  or  ABPA  was  taken  from  patient  records.  CPA  diagnosis  at  the  NAC  is  3125  

based   on   the   composite   gold   standard   comprising   symptoms,   radiological   changes,  3126  

raised   inflammatory  markers   and  microbiological   evidence   of  Aspergillus   infection   as  3127  

described   previously   by   our   group5   and   subsequently   accepted   in   many  3128  

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studies7,8,18,58,108,198,253,254  and   in   IDSA  and  ESCMID  guidelines250,251.  Diagnosis  of  ABPA  3129  

at  the  NAC  is  based  on  a  composite  gold  standard  comprising  raised  total  IgE,  positive  3130  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE   or   skin   prick   testing,   abnormal   radiological   findings,   raised  3131  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  and  raised  eosinophil   count4,287.  All  patients  with  ABPA  at  our  3132  

centre  are  routinely  screened  for  the  development  of  CPA,  principally  with  regular  chest  3133  

imaging.   Any   patient   with   progressive   lung   cavities,   paracavitary   fibrosis   or  3134  

aspergilloma  on  imaging  was  classified  as  CPA  and  removed  from  the  ABPA  group.  3135  

 3136  

Laboratory  techniques  3137  

 3138  

Tests   were   performed   between   January   and   July   2014.  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels  3139  

were  measured  on  all  samples  using  the  Siemens  Immulite  2000.  Manual  plate  ELISAs  3140  

were  performed  on  all  samples  using  kits  supplied  by  Serion,  Genesis  and  Dynamiker.  3141  

All  results   for  plate  ELISAs  were  read  on  a  PolarStar  Omega  spectrophotometer  (BMG  3142  

Labtech,   UK).   Optical   density   readings   were   converted   to   arbitrary   units   using   the  3143  

formulae   or   software   provided   by   test   manufacturers.   Results   were   rejected   if   the  3144  

manufacturers’  stated  quality  control  criteria  were  not  met  for  an  individual  test  plate.  3145  

If  this  occurred  the  tests  were  re-­‐run  on  a  fresh  plate.  Where  a  result  was  greater  than  a  3146  

threshold  specified  by  the  manufacturer  a  1  in  10  dilution  was  performed  and  the  assay  3147  

was  repeated.  3148  

 3149  

Precipitation   in   gel   (precipitins)   testing  was   also   performed   on   all   samples   using   the  3150  

counterimmunoelectrophoresis   (CIE)   technique   and   Aspergillus   antigens   supplied   by  3151  

Microgen  (UK).    Briefly,  10ml  agarose  was  melted  and  poured  onto  a  hydrophobic  gel  3152  

bond   film   (GE  Healthcare,  USA).  Three  mm  diameter   test  wells  were   cut   once   the   gel  3153  

had  set.  Twenty  µL  sera  were  placed  in  one  row  of  wells  with  20  µL  antigens  (Microgen,  3154  

UK)  at  2  mg/ml  placed  in  the  adjacent  row.  The  gel  was  placed  above  a  CIE  tank  filled  3155  

with  veronal  buffer  and  blotting  paper  wicks  were  used  to  connect  either  end  of  the  gel  3156  

to  the  buffer  tanks  before  applying  34V  for  90mins.  After  running  the  gel  was  placed  in  3157  

sodium  chloride  washing  solution  overnight.  After  drying  it  was  placed  in  a  Coomassie  3158  

Blue  stain  for  15  mins,  followed  by  two  serial  de-­‐stain  solutions  of  10  mins  each.  After  3159  

further   drying   the   gels  were   read   on   a   light   box  with   the   assistance   of   a  magnifying  3160  

glass.   The   presence   of   any   precipitins   bands   was   reported   as   a   positive   result.   Neat  3161  

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serum   was   tested   for   all   samples.   Where   samples   were   positive   serial   dilution   to   a  3162  

maximum   1   in   32   dilution   was   produced   to   provide   dilutional   titres.   The   same  3163  

technician  performed  all  the  above  tests.    3164  

 3165  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   were   performed   on   the   ThermoFisher   Scientific  3166  

ImmunoCAP  system   for  all  CPA  and  ABPA  cases  as  part  of   routine   clinical   care  at   the  3167  

time  of   original   sampling.  Where  a   sample  produced  a   result   of  >200  mg/L  a  1   in  10  3168  

dilution  was  performed  and  the  sample  was  retested.  Other  assays  were  performed  on  3169  

these  same  samples  after  storage.  Healthy  control  samples  were  also  tested.  3170  

 3171  

Where  a  sample  produced  the  same  result  (positive  or  negative)  on  a  single  test  by  all  3172  

test  methods  this  result  was  accepted.  Where  a  sample  produced  divergent  results  on  3173  

different   assays   it   was   repeated   twice.   If   the   two   new   tests   resulted   in   a   different  3174  

outcome   (positive  or  negative)   to   the   first   test   then   the  mean  of   these   two  new   tests  3175  

replaced  the  first  test.    3176  

 3177  

72   (14%)   samples   were   repeated   for   the   Dynamiker   assay   with   13   (2%)   results  3178  

changed.   38   (7%)   samples   were   repeated   for   the   Serion   assay   with   10   (2%)   results  3179  

changed.   52   (10%)   samples  were   repeated   for   the  Genesis   assay  with  5   (1%)   results  3180  

changed.  42  (8%)  samples  were  repeated  for  the  Siemens  assay  with  2  (0.4%)  results  3181  

changed.   112   (21%)   samples   were   repeated   for   the   CIE   assay   with   15   (3%)   results  3182  

changed.   ImmunoCAP   samples  were   not   repeated   as   results   from   tests   performed   as  3183  

part  of  clinical  care  at  the  time  of  original  sampling  were  being  used  and  no  funding  was  3184  

available  for  repeat  testing.  We  report  final  results  after  any  repeat  testing  for  all  assays.  3185  

 3186  

Intra-­‐assay  variability  3187  

 3188  

To  calculate  intra-­‐assay  variability  (IAV)  we  selected  two  samples  for  each  assay  other  3189  

than  ImmunoCAP,  with  high  and   low  results  respectively.  No   funding  was  available   to  3190  

perform   IAV   on   ImmunoCAP.   Each   assay  was   repeated   20   times   per   sample.  Outliers  3191  

were  identified  by  study  team  consensus  and  removed  from  the  final  analysis.  For  the  3192  

low  level  repeats  four  Serion  samples  and  one  Dynamiker  sample  with  readings  lower  3193  

than   the   substrate   blank  were   removed   as   outliers,   as   was   one   Genesis   sample  with  3194  

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apparent  cross-­‐well  contamination.  No  samples  were  removed  as  outliers   for  the  high  3195  

level   IAV.   The   Serion   IAV   was   repeated   three   times   with   similar   results   each   time.  3196  

Arbitrary  units  from  different  assays  cannot  be  directly  compared.  Result  range,  mean,  3197  

standard  deviation  and  co-­‐efficient  of  variation  (CV)  are  reported  for  each  assay.  CV  was  3198  

calculated  as  (standard  deviation  /  mean)  X  100.    3199  

 3200  

Statistical  analysis  3201  

 3202  

Intra   assay   variation   with   co-­‐efficient   of   variation   is   reported   for   Immulite,   Serion,  3203  

Genesis  and  Dynamiker  assays.  Descriptive  statistics  are  reported  for  each  assay  in  each  3204  

patient  group,  including  the  frequency  of  positive,  negative  and  intermediate  results  by  3205  

manufacturers  current  guidelines.  The  median  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  in  patients  3206  

on  antifungal   therapy  and  patients  not  on  antifungal   therapy  are   compared  by  Mann-­‐3207  

Whitney   U   analysis.   ImmunoCAP   and   Immulite   both   produce   results   in   mg/L.  3208  

Correlation  between  these  two  assays  is  measured  by  Spearman’s  rank  analysis.    3209  

 3210  

ROC   curve   analysis   is   performed   for   each  ELISA   assay   and   the  Area  Under   the  Curve  3211  

(AUC)   for   ROC   analysis   is   shown   with   95%   confidence   intervals   (95%   CI).     Wald’s  3212  

statistic  is  used  to  compare  the  significance  of  differences  in  ROC  AUC  between  assays.  A  3213  

significant  result  defined  as  p<0.005.  3214  

 3215  

Optimal   diagnostic   cut-­‐offs   for   each   assay   are   calculated   using   Youden’s   J   statistic  3216  

(sensitivity  +  specificity  -­‐  1).  Sensitivity  and  specificity  are  described  for  these  cut-­‐offs.  3217  

These   comparisons   are   performed   for   CPA   cases   vs.   healthy   controls,   ABPA   cases   vs.  3218  

healthy   controls,   ABPA   cases   vs.   severe   asthmatic   controls   and   ABPA   cases   vs.   CPA  3219  

cases.   Statistical   analyses   were   performed   using   SPSS   version   20   (IBM,   USA)   under  3220  

license  to  the  University  of  Manchester,  UK.  3221  

 3222  

Results    3223  

 3224  

Stored   samples   from   241   patients  with   proven   CPA,   80   patients  with   ABPA   and   100  3225  

patients   with   asthma   were   acquired   from   the   UK   National   Aspergillosis   Centre   and  3226  

North   West   Lung   Centre.   One   hundred   control   samples   were   acquired   from   healthy  3227  

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blood  donors  in  Gulu,  Uganda.  Patient  demographics  and  underlying  conditions  for  the  3228  

patient  groups  are  compared  in  table  1.  3229  

 3230  

Table  1  –  Patient  and  control  characteristics  3231  

 3232  

Characteristic    

CPA    n=241  

ABPA    n=80  

Asthmatic   controls  n  =  100  

Healthy  controls  n=100  

Female  gender   101  (42%)   42  (52%)   77      (77%)   55  (55%)  Mean  age  (years)   65   67   52  years   19  Age  range  (years)   23  –  92     25  -­‐  95   19  -­‐  81   17  –  39    Chronic   cavitary  pulmonary  aspergillosis  

238  (99%)   0   0   0  

Aspergillus   nodule  disease  

3        (1%)   0   0   0  

HIV   0   0   0   2  (2%)  Prior  tuberculosis   37  (15%)   1      (1%)   1            (1%)   0  Non-­‐tuberculous  mycobacterial  infection  

28  (12%)   0   0   0  

COPD   85  (35%)   3      (4%)   3            (3%)   0  Bronchiectasis   60  (25%)   43  (54%)   29        (29%)   0  ABPA   35  (15%)   80  (100%)   0   0  Sarcoidosis   9        (4%)   0   0   0  Malignancy   (active  or  in  remission)  

33  (14%)   7        (9%)   1            (1%)   0  

Autoimmune  disease  

33  (14%)   3        (4%)   2            (2%)   0  

Diabetes   7        (3%)   8        (10%)   4            (4%)   0  Asthma   41  (17%)   78  (97%)   100  (100%)   0  Cystic  fibrosis   0   2        (3%)   0   0    3233  HIV  =  human  immunodeficiency  virus  seropositive;  COPD  =  chronic  obstructive  pulmonary  disease;  ABPA  3234  =  allergic  bronchopulmonary  aspergillosis  3235    3236  

All  kits  produced  results  within  the  manufacturers’  stated  quality  control  criteria  for  the  3237  

tests   included   in   the   analysis,  with   the   exception   of   Dynamiker.   In   this   case   the   high  3238  

concentration  control  serum  was  slightly  below  the  stated  range  in  all  runs.    Forty-­‐two  3239  

(17%)  of  CPA  patients  included  in  the  study  had  received  up  to  three  months  antifungal  3240  

therapy   at   the   time   of   sampling.   The   remaining   199   (83%)  patients  were   not   on   any  3241  

antifungal   therapy.   Median   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   in   CPA   patients   on   and   off  3242  

antifungal   therapy   are   shown   in   table   2.   Nine   of   the   80   (11%)   ABPA   patients   had  3243  

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received  up  to  3  months  antifungal  therapy  at  the  time  of  sampling.  The  remaining  71  3244  

(89%)   were   not   on   any   antifungal   therapy.   Median   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   in  3245  

ABPA   patients   on   and   off   antifungal   therapy   are   shown   in   table   3.  Median   levels   are  3246  

compared  by  Mann-­‐Whitney  U  test.  3247  

 3248  

Table  2  –  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  in  CPA  patients  with  and  without  antifungal  3249  therapy  3250    3251  

 3252  

 3253    3254  Table  3  –  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  in  ABPA  patients  with  and  without  antifungal  3255  therapy  3256    3257  

 3258  

Test     Median  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  level  in  those  with    <  3  months  antifungals      n=42  

Median  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  level  in  those  not  on  antifungals          n=199  

p-­‐value    

ImmunoCAP   130  mg/L   125  mg/L   0.375  Immulite     533  mg/L   250  mg/L   0.051  Serion   143  U/ml   125  U/ml   0.372  Genesis   90  U/ml   47  U/ml   0.006  

Dynamiker   141  AU/ml   119  AU/ml   0.230  

Test   Median  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  level  in  those  with  <  3  months  antifungals    n=9  

Median  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  level  in  those  not  on  treatment        n=71  

p-­‐value    

ImmunoCAP   68  mg/L   45  mg/L   0.337  Immulite     49  mg/L   36  mg/L   0.819  Serion   92  U/ml   57  U/ml   0.479  Genesis   18  U/ml   13  U/ml   0.849  Dynamiker   331  AU/ml   103  U/ml   0.173  

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Intra-­‐assay   variation   for   low-­‐level   samples   is   shown   in   table   4.   Intra-­‐assay   variation  3259  

results   for   high-­‐level   samples   are   shown   in   table   5.   All   low   level   precipitins   repeats  3260  

were  negative  and  all  high  level  repeats  were  positive,  but  with  dilutional  titre  results  as  3261  

follows;  neat  =  1  sample,  1  in  2  =  2  samples,  1  in  4  =  11  samples,  1  in  8  =  4  samples,  1  in  3262  

16  =  1  sample.  3263  

 3264  

Table  4  –  Intra-­‐assay  variation  -­‐  low    3265  

 3266  

Test   Range   Mean   Standard  deviation  

Co-­‐efficient  of  variation  

Dynamiker  (AU/ml)  

45.5  –  66.2    (20.7)       55.8     5.6   10.1%  

Genesis                (U/ml)  

4.6  –  6.3              (1.6)       5.2     0.4   8.2%    

Serion                    (U/ml)  

6  -­‐  42.5                (36.5)   24     10.5   43.7%    

Immulite          (mg/L)  

58.4  –  67.8    (9.4)     62.6     2.2   3.6%    

AU  =  arbitrary  units,  U  =  units.  Both  represent  arbitrary  numbers  and  no  direct  comparison  can  be  made  3267  between  assays  producing  results  in  this  manner.  3268    3269  

Table  5  –  Intra-­‐assay  variation  -­‐  high  3270  

 3271  

Test   Range   Mean   Standard  deviation  

Co-­‐efficient  of  variation  

Dynamiker  (AU/ml)  

240.7  –  372.7  (132)     287.5     31.9   11.1%  

Genesis                (U/ml)  

55.4  –  96.5            (41.1)     83.4       10   12.1%  

Serion                    (U/ml)  

59.9-­‐122.1            (62.2)     75     17.4   23.2%  

Immulite          (mg/L)  

95.3  –  107              (11.7)     99.6       3.4   3.4  %    

 3272  

Box   and   whisker   plots   with   logarithmic   scale   compare   results   for   cases   and   control  3273  

groups   for   each   assay   in   figures   1-­‐5.   Results   in   cases   and   control   groups   are  3274  

summarized  in  table  6.  Where  manufacturers  provide  instructions  on  interpretation  of  3275  

results,   outcomes   are   summarized   in   table   7.   Dynamiker,   Genesis   and   Serion   advise  3276  

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reporting   of   results   as   positive,   intermediate   or   negative.   ImmunoCAP   is   interpreted  3277  

with  a  single  diagnostic  cut-­‐off  (40  mg/L)  in  line  with  current  UK  practice  and  Immulite  3278  

does  not  currently  have  a  recommended  diagnostic  cut-­‐off.  3279  

 3280  

Precipitins   tests   produced   the   following   results   in   CPA   cases;   negative   =   102   cases  3281  

(42%),  neat  =  23  cases  (10%),  1  in  2  =  34  cases  (14%),  1  in  4  =  29  cases  (12%),  1  in  8  =  3282  

26  cases  (11%),  1  in  16  =  23  cases  (10%),  1  in  32  =  4  cases  (2%).  For  ABPA  cases  4%  of  3283  

cases  had  positive  precipitins  results  with  neat  sera  only,  all  others  were  negative.  3284  

 3285  

The  correlation  between  ImmunoCAP  and  Immulite  in  patients  with  CPA,  ABPA  and  in  3286  

healthy  and  asthmatic  controls  was  good  (Spearman’s  rank  analysis  0.876,  p  0.000).  3287  

 3288  

Table  6  –  Results  in  CPA  cases  and  healthy  controls  3289    3290    3291  

ImmunoCAP  testing  could  not  be  performed  on  sera  from  asthmatic  patients,  as  no  funding  was  available.  3292  Results  expressed  in  U/ml  or  AU/ml  are  arbitrary  and  cannot  be  directly  compared  across  assays.  3293    3294  

ROC  curves  comparing  CPA  and  ABPA  to  healthy  controls  are  shown  in  figures  6  and  7.  3295  

ROC   curves   comparing   ABPA   to   asthmatic   controls   are   shown   in   figure   8   and   ROC  3296  

curves  comparing  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  in  CPA  and  ABPA  are  shown  in  figure  9.  3297  

Results   of   ROC   AUC   analysis   are   presented   in   table   8.   The   ROC   analyses   identified  3298  

optimal  cut-­‐offs   for  each  situation.  We  report   the  specificity  and  sensitivity  of  each  of  3299  

these   for   the   diagnosis   of   CPA   in   tables   9-­‐12.   The   suggested   optimal   cut   off   for   each  3300  

assay  is  highlighted  in  bold.  3301  

3302  

Test      

Controls  range  (n=100)  

Asthma  range  (n=100)  

ABPA  cases  range  (n=80)  

CPA  cases  range  (n=241)  

Controls  mean  

Asthma  mean  

ABPA  mean  

CPA  mean  

Controls  median  

Asthma  median  

ABPA  median  

CPA  median  

Dynamiker  (AU/ml)  

16-­‐88     26   -­‐  643  

27-­‐5239    

23-­‐6118    

37     93   334     341     34     46   119     124    

Genesis    (U/ml)  

0-­‐20     1  -­‐  25   0-­‐362     1-­‐930     7     6   33     111     6     4   14     60    

Immulite    (mg/L)  

0–35     0  -­‐  87   0-­‐149     3-­‐7660     5     11   46     678     4     7   39     392    

ImmunoCAP  (mg/L)  

2-­‐36     -­‐   3-­‐408     9-­‐1707     6     -­‐     66     216     5     -­‐   46     126    

Serion  (U/ml)  

0-­‐40     1  -­‐  416   1-­‐898     4-­‐3436     10     34   112     232     6     16   57     131    

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 3303  Table  7  –  Frequency  of  positive  results  by  manufacturers’  guidelines  3304  

Test   Frequency   of  positive   results   in  controls  (intermediate  results)  

Frequency   of  positive   results   in  ABPA   (intermediate  results)  

Frequency   of  positive   results   in  CPA    (intermediate  results)  

Dynamiker   6%      (11%)   69%  (7%)   78%    (5%)  Genesis     22%  (13%)   59%  (7%)   82%    (5%)  Immulite*   n/a   n/a   n/a  ImmunoCAP   0   54%   88%    Serion   0                (0)   43%    (14%)   74%    (10%)  Precipitins   0   4%   59%  *Immulite  do  not  currently  provide  diagnostic  cut-­‐offs  so  the  number  of  positive  results  by  manufacturers  3305  guidelines  cannot  be  reported.  3306    3307  

 3308  

Table  8–  Receiver  operating  characteristic  curve  area  under  curve  (ROC  AUC)  results  3309  Test   CPA   vs.  

healthy  controls  

95%  CI   ABPA   vs.  healthy  controls    

95%  CI   ABPA   vs.  asthmatic  controls  

95%  CI   CPA   vs.  ABPA  

95%  CI  

ImmunoCAP   0.996   0.992   -­‐  1  

0.961   0.935  –  0.987  

-­‐   -­‐   0.778   0.723  –  0.834  

Immulite   0.991   0.982   -­‐  1  

0.932     0.887  –  0.977  

0.818   0.753  –  0.883  

0.863   0.825  –  0.901  

Serion   0.973   0.960  –  0.987  

0.907     0.866  –  0.949  

0.760   0.690  –  0.831  

0.698   0.629  –  0.768  

Dynamiker   0.918   0.890  –  0.946  

0.903     0.859  –  0.946  

0.725   0.651  –  0.799  

0.519   0.443  –  0.596  

Genesis     0.902   0.871  –  0.933  

0.73   0.651  –  0.808  

0.797   0.728  –  0.866  

0.759   0.701  –  0.818  

 3310  

Nine   of   241   sera   from   CPA   cases   were   negative   (<20   mg/L)   on   testing   with   the  3311  

ImmunoCAP   assay.   Using   the   new   diagnostic   cut-­‐offs   suggested   above   6   of   these   9  3312  

(67%)  were   positive   on   Immulite   testing   (mean   level   in   positives   93  mg/mL),   3   of   9  3313  

(33%)   samples  were   positive   on   Serion   testing   (mean   level   in   positive   217   U/ml),   1  3314  

sample  (11%)  was  positive  by  Genesis  at  130  U/ml,  1  sample  (11%)  were  positive  by  3315  

Dynamiker  at  614  AU/ml  and  3  (33%)  were  positive  by  CIE  (two  neat,  one  at  1   in  2).  3316  

Two  samples  were  negative  on  all  assays.  3317  

 3318  

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Wald’s   statistic   confirmed   the   overall   difference   in   ROC   AUC   performance   for   the  3319  

diagnosis   of   CPA   across   the   five   assays   is   statistically   significant   (p<0.0001).  3320  

ImmunoCAP  ROC  AUC   is   equivalent   to   Immulite   (p=0.32).   ImmunoCAP   and   Immulite  3321  

both  have  significantly  superior  ROC  AUC  to  the  other  3  assays  (p=0.0006  for  Immulite  3322  

vs.   Serion).   Serion   has   a   superior   ROC  AUC   to   Dynamiker   and   Genesis   (p<0.0001   for  3323  

Serion  vs.  Dynamiker).  Dynamiker  and  Genesis  have  equivalent  ROC  AUC  (p=0.38).  3324  

 3325  

Table  9  –  Potential  diagnostic  cut  offs  for  CPA  3326  

Assay   Diagnostic  cut-­‐off  

Sensitivity   Specificity   Youden’s  J  statistic  

ImmunoCAP   10mg/L   100%   86%   0.86  20  mg/L   96%   98%   0.94  30  mg/L   91%   99%   0.9  40  mg/L   87%   100%   0.87  

Immulite     5  mg/L   99%   78%   0.77  10  mg/L   96%   98%   0.94  20  mg/L   93%   99%   0.92  30  mg/L   91%   99%   0.9  

Serion   30  U/ml   91%   95%   0.86  35  U/ml   90%   98%   0.88  40  U/ml   88%   99%   0.87  45  U/ml   85%   100%   0.85  

Dynamiker   60  AU/ml   78%   94%   0.72  65  U/ml   77%   97%   0.74  70  AU/ml   75%   98%   0.73  75  AU/ml   73%   99%   0.72  

Genesis   10  U/ml   86%   65%   0.51  15  U/ml   79%   95%   0.74  20  U/ml   75%   99%   0.74  25  U/ml   71%   100%   0.71  

Precipitins     -­‐   59%   100%   0.59    3327  

 3328  

Wald  statistic  confirmed  an  overall  difference  in  the  ROC  AUC  performance  of  the  assays  3329  

in   the   comparison   of   ABPA   patients   to   healthy   controls,   with   ImmunoCAP,   Immulite,  3330  

Serion   and   Dynamiker   all   demonstrating   statistically   significantly   superior   ROC   AUC  3331  

results   to   Genesis   (p<0.001).   There   was   no   statistically   significant   difference   in   the  3332  

performance   of   the   other   four   assays   in   this   context.   ImmunoCAP   ROC   AUC   was  3333  

equivalent  to  Immulite  (p=0.27),  Siemens  Immulite  ROC  AUC  was  equivalent  to  Serion  3334  

(p=0.27)   and   Serion   ROC   AUC   was   equivalent   to   Dynamiker   (p=0.21).3335  

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Table  10  –Potential  diagnostic  cut  offs  for  ABPA  vs.  healthy  controls  3336  

Assay   Diagnostic  cut-­‐off  

Sensitivity   Specificity   Youden’s  J  statistic  

ImmunoCAP   10mg/L   94%   86%   0.8  20  mg/L   77%   98%   0.75  30  mg/L   64%   99%   0.63  40  mg/L   54%   100%   0.54  

Immulite     5  mg/L   94%   77%   0.71  10  mg/L   81%   98%   0.79  20  mg/L   60%   98%   0.58  30  mg/L   56%   99%   0.55  

Serion   30  U/ml   65%   95%   0.6  35  U/ml   62%   98%   0.6  40  U/ml   57%   100%   0.57  45  U/ml   55%   100%   0.55  

Dynamiker   55  AU/ml   70%   88%   0.58  60  AU/ml   69%   95%   0.64  65  AU/ml   66%   97%   0.63  70  AU/ml   64%   98%   0.62  

Genesis   10  U/ml   66%   65%   0.31  15  U/ml   46%   95%   0.41  20  U/ml   37%   100%   0.37  25  U/ml   31%   100%   0.31  

Precipitins     -­‐   4%   100%   0.04    3337  

In  the  comparison  of  assays  in  ABPA  cases  vs.  asthmatics  Wald’s  statistic  demonstrated  3338  

no  overall  difference  in  the  performance  of  the  assays  (p=0.1).    For  the  comparison  of  3339  

CPA  vs.  ABPA  there  was  a  difference  in  the  overall  performance  of  the  assays  (<0.0001).  3340  

Immulite   ROC   AUC   was   superior   to   all   other   assays   in   this   context   (p=0.0004   for  3341  

Immulite   vs.   ImmunoCAP).   Immulite,   ImmunoCAP   and   Genesis   ROC   AUCs   were   all  3342  

superior   to   Serion   (p<0.0001   for   Genesis   vs.   Serion).   All   assays   were   superior   to  3343  

Dynamiker  (p<0.0001  for  Serion  vs.  Dynamiker),  which  has  no  diagnostic  value  in  this  3344  

setting  as  the  lower  95%  confidence  interval  for  ROC  AUC  crosses  0.5.  3345  

 3346  

3347  

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Table  11  –Potential  diagnostic  cut  offs  for  ABPA  vs.  severe  asthmatic  controls  3348  Assay   Diagnostic  

cut-­‐off  Sensitivity   Specificity   Youden’s  J  

statistic  Immulite   10  mg/L   81%   67%   0.48  

20  mg/L   60%   88%   0.48  30  mg/L   56%   94%   0.5  40  mg/L   50%   97%   0.47  50  mg/L   41%   97%   0.38  

Serion   30  U/ml   65%   70%   0.35  50  U/ml   55%   86%   0.41  70  U/ml   41%   89%   0.3  90  U/ml   34%   93%   0.27  100  U/ml   27%   95%   0.23  

Dynamiker   60  AU/ml   68%   63%   0.31  80  AU/ml   60%   74%   0.34  100  AU/ml   56%   79%   0.35  120  AU/ml   50%   80%   0.3  500  AU/ml   20%   96%   0.16  

Genesis   10  U/ml   66%   83%   0.49  15  U/ml   46%   93%   0.39  20  U/ml   38%   95%   0.33  25  U/ml   31%   99%   0.3  

Precipitins     -­‐   4%   97%   0.01    3349  

3350  

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Table  12  –Potential  diagnostic  cut  offs  for  CPA  vs.  ABPA  3351  

Assay   Diagnostic  cut-­‐off  

Sensitivity   Specificity   Youden’s  J  statistic  

ImmunoCAP   20  mg/L   96%   23%   0.19  50  mg/L   84%   55%   0.39  100  mg/L   56%   78%   0.34  150  mg/L   37%   95%   0.32  200  mg/L   25%   98%   0.23  

Immulite     10  mg/L   95%   19%   0.14  50  mg/L   84%   59%   0.43  100  mg/L   71%   91%   0.62  125  mg/L   65%   95%   0.6  150  mg/L   61%   100%   0.61  

Serion   35  U/ml    90%   38%   0.28  50  U/ml   84%   45%   0.29  100  U/ml   60%   73%   0.33  200  U/ml   31%   84%   0.15  400  U/ml   14%   95%   0.09  

Genesis   15  U/ml   80%   54%   0.34  50  U/ml   52%   88%   0.4  75  U/ml   43%   93%   0.36  100  U/ml   29%   93%   0.22  125  U/ml   24%   96%   0.2  

Precipitins     -­‐   59%   96%   0.54    3352  

Discussion  3353  

 3354  

This  is  the  first  study  to  compare  the  performance  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assays  in    3355  

large   populations   of   well-­‐characterised   patients   with   clinically   confirmed   CPA   and  3356  

ABPA,  who  were   not   on   long   term   antifungal   treatment   at   the   time   of   sampling.   The  3357  

performance   of   both   the   ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP   and   Siemens   Immulite  3358  

assays  was  superior  to  the  other  four  assays,  but  equivalent  to  each  other.    3359  

 3360  

The  Serion  assay  has  statistically  superior  performance  to  the  other  two  manual  assays  3361  

produced   by   Genesis   and   Dynamiker,   but   suffers   from   poor   reproducibility.   The  3362  

performance   of   the   manual   Dynamiker   galactomannan-­‐specific   IgG   ELISA   for   the  3363  

diagnosis   of   CPA   was   similar   to   manual   ELISAs   using   culture   extract   antigens.   We  3364  

suggest   that   ImmunoCAP  or   Immulite  assays  be  adopted  as   the   test  of   choice   for  CPA  3365  

diagnosis  wherever  possible.    3366  

 3367  

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The  worst  performing  assay  for  CPA  diagnosis  was  precipitins.  We  confirmed  the  poor  3368  

sensitivity   found   in  earlier   studies74.   In  all   cases  with  positive  precipitins  at   least  one  3369  

ELISA   was   also   positive.   There   are   other   manufacturers   of   reagents   for   precipitins  3370  

testing,  and  further  studies  are  needed  to  confirm  that  the  low  sensitivity  of  precipitins  3371  

antibody   detection  was   intrinsic   to   the   system   and   not   a   peculiarity   of   the  Microgen  3372  

reagents.    3373  

 3374  

Nonetheless,   we   argue   that   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   ELISA   should   now   replace   that  3375  

precipitin   testing   for   the   diagnosis   of   CPA   as   the   preciptins   assay   has   no   advantages  3376  

over  ELISA  in  this  context.  Furthermore  many  treatment  trials   in  CPA  have  previously  3377  

specified   a  positive  precipitins   test   as   a  mandatory  diagnostic   criteria18,108.   This   is   no  3378  

longer  appropriate.  The  term  ‘precipitins’  has  been  used  in  the  literature  to  refer  to  both  3379  

precipitation-­‐in-­‐gel  and  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  ELISA8.  This  inaccuracy  is  confusing  and  3380  

should  be  avoided  given  the  differing  performance  characterstics  of  the  two  techniques.  3381  

Medical  practitioners  will  need  to  be  educated  about  this  shift  as  ‘Aspergillus  preciptins’  3382  

testing  remains  part  of  the  routine  vocabulary  of  respiratory  physicians  in  the  English-­‐3383  

speaking  world.  3384  

 3385  

A   small   number   of   CPA   sera  were   negative   on   the   ImmunoCAP   assay.   In   these   cases  3386  

other   assays   produced   strongly   positive   results   in   most   cases,   with   Immulite  3387  

demonstrating   the   best   sensitivity   in   this   group.   Each   assay  will   have   its   own  mix   of  3388  

antigens.   These   patients   may   be   reacting   only   to   certain   antigens,   present   in   some  3389  

assays,  but  not  others.  Two  patients  had  no  response  to  any  of  the  assays,  suggesting  an  3390  

underlying   immune   deficit   preventing   an   effective   antibody   response   to   Aspergillus  3391  

infection.  3392  

 3393  

When  being  used  for  ABPA  diagnosis,  the  Genesis  assay  had  inferior  performance  to  all  3394  

other   ELISAs   when   diagnosing   ABPA   in   relation   to   healthy   controls.   There   was   no  3395  

significant   difference   between   the   four   assays   assessed   for   the   diagnosis   of   ABPA  3396  

against  a  severely  asthmatic  population.    For  diagnosis  of  CPA  complicating  ABPA  the  3397  

Immulite   assays   was   statistically   significantly   superior   to   all   other   assays.   The  3398  

Dynamiker   assay   performed  worst,  with   no   diagnostic   value   for   identification   of   CPA  3399  

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complicating  ABPA.  Precipitins  performed  well  in  this  context,  with  good  specificity  and  3400  

superior  sensitivity  to  all  ELISAs  other  than  Immulite.    3401  

 3402  

Manufacturers  often  recommend  reporting  results  as  positive,  negative  or  intermediate,  3403  

with   repeat   testing   in   intermediate   cases.   This   may   be   appropriate   in   the   dynamic  3404  

context  of   acute   invasive  aspergillosis,   but   in   chronic  diseases   such  as  CPA  and  ABPA  3405  

any  change  on  repeat  testing  is  likely  to  simply  represent  the  inter-­‐assay  variability  of  3406  

the   test.   We   therefore   advocate   the   use   of   a   single   diagnostic   cut-­‐off   for   these  3407  

conditions.  3408  

 3409  

We   have   confirmed   the   earlier   finding   by   van   Toorenenbergen180   that   there   is   good  3410  

correlation  between  the  ImmunoCAP  and  Immulite  assays.  In  our  study  median  levels  in  3411  

ABPA  and  healthy  controls  were  similar  for  both  assays,  however  the  median  Immulite  3412  

level  was   three   times  higher   than   the   ImmunoCAP   level   in  CPA   cases.  This   should  be  3413  

taken   into   consideration   when   comparing   results   from   different   laboratories   using  3414  

different   assays,   especially   with   higher   levels.   Laboratories   should   identify   the   assay  3415  

used  when  reporting  test  results.    3416  

 3417  

Patients  on  long  term  antifungal  therapy  were  excluded  from  the  study  on  the  grounds  3418  

that   such   therapy   is   likely   to   reduce  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   and   so   introduce   bias   to  3419  

diagnostic  cut-­‐off  calculations58.  However,  we  included  patients  who  had  received  up  to  3420  

three  months   of   antifungal   therapy   in   addition   to   those   who  were   not   on   antifungal  3421  

therapy.  This  was  necessary  as  a  common  source  of  stored  samples  was  from  sera  taken  3422  

for   drug   level  measurement   soon   after   starting   therapy.  Most   patients   included  were  3423  

not  on  antifungal  therapy.    3424  

 3425  

The  only  significant  difference  in  results  between  patients  on  and  off  antifungal  therapy  3426  

was  found  in  CPA  patients  using  the  Genesis  assay,  where  levels  were  higher  in  patients  3427  

on  therapy.  All  other  assays  showed  no  significant  difference  in  the  median  Aspergillus-­‐3428  

specific   IgG   levels   between   CPA   patients   on   no   antifungal   therapy   and   those   on  3429  

antifungal  therapy  for  up  to  three  months.  No  assay  produced  a  significant  difference  in  3430  

the  ABPA  patients.    There   is   therefore  no  evidence  that  up  to  three  months  antifungal  3431  

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therapy   produces   the   reduction   in  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   seen  with   long-­‐term  3432  

therapy58.  3433  

 3434  

One   of   the   limitations   of   our   study   was   that   it   was   limited   to   testing   in   a   single  3435  

laboratory  with   tests   kits   from   a   single   batch.   Published   evidence   of   intra-­‐laboratory  3436  

variability  currently  exists  only   for   the  ImmunoCAP  assay180.   In  addition,   ImmunoCAP  3437  

testing  was   also   performed  on   fresh   samples   from  CPA  patients,  while   all   other   tests  3438  

were   performed   on   frozen   stored   samples.   Long   term   storage   does   not   appear   to  3439  

significantly   reduce   other   antibody   levels   in   serum262,288   and   there   is   no   reason   to  3440  

believe   that  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  will   behave   differently   to   other   antibodies   in   this  3441  

respect.  However,   it  would  have  been  desirable  to  demonstrate  that  this  is  specifically  3442  

true   for  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  by   testing   stored  samples  with   the   ImmunoCAP  assay  3443  

and  confirming  that  there  was  no  significant  difference  between  results  obtained  before  3444  

and  after  storage.  Unfortunately  no  funding  was  available  for  such  a  comparison.  3445  

 3446  

We   were   also   unable   to   perform   intra-­‐assay   variability   testing   for   the   ImmunoCAP  3447  

assay,   as   no   funding   was   available   for   this.   However,   three   existing   studies   from  3448  

separate   laboratories   have   shown   between-­‐run   CV   results   from  <5%   to   23%   for   this  3449  

assay73,78,180  and  the  inter-­‐laboratory  CV  for  ImmunoCAP  is  7.3-­‐18.1%180.    3450  

 3451  

In  most  CPA  cases  in  our  cohort  microbiological  evidence  of  CPA  was  provided  by  raised  3452  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.  The  ImmunoCAP  and  precipitins  assays  were  routinely  used  for  3453  

clinical   testing   in   our   reference   laboratory   throughout   the   study   period,   but   with   a  3454  

diagnostic   cutoff   of   40   mg/L   for   ImmunoCAP.   The   Immulite,   Serion,   Genesis   and  3455  

Dynamiker  assays  are  not  used  routinely  at  any  UK  diagnostic   laboratory.  While  there  3456  

may  therefore  be  a  degree  of  selection  bias  in  favour  of  the  ImmunoCAP  system,  this  did  3457  

not   prevent   Immulite   system   demonstrating   equivalent   ROC   AUC   performance   to  3458  

ImmunoCAP  in  our  study.  3459  

 3460  

Our   study   defines   optimal   cut-­‐offs   for  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   by   comparing   levels   in  3461  

CPA   cases   to   Ugandan   healthy   controls.   This   is   appropriate   as   raised   levels   of  3462  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   form   only   one   aspect   of   CPA   diagnostic   criteria5,250.   However  3463  

levels   are   also   raised   in   other   conditions   such   as   Aspergillus   bronchitis,   Aspergillus  3464  

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rhinosinusitis  or  allergic  bronchopulmonary  aspergillosis4,39,41.  The  Aspergillus-­‐specific  3465  

IgG  assay  cannot  therefore  be  used  in  isolation  to  diagnose  CPA.      3466  

 3467  

The   median   ImmunoCAP   level   in   our   healthy   controls   was   5mg/L.   The   median  3468  

ImmunoCAP  level  in  Dutch  blood  donors  is  8.75  mg/L180  and  in  healthy  female  Belgian  3469  

laboratory  workers  it   is  13.75  mg/L73.  These  results  are  consistent  with  our  proposed  3470  

diagnostic   cut-­‐off   of   20mg/L,   which   we   suggest   should   now   be   adopted   for   the  3471  

diagnosis   of   CPA.   The  median   Serion   level   in   pregnant   French  women   is   20  AU/ml38.  3472  

This  is  consistent  with  the  diagnostic  cut-­‐off  of  35AU/ml  produced  by  our  ROC  analysis.  3473  

We  are  not  aware  of  any  prior  descriptions  of  Omega  and  Dynamiker  levels  in  healthy  3474  

controls.  3475  

 3476  

The  median  Immulite  value  in  Dutch  blood  donors  is  13.2  mg/L180.  This  is  higher  than  3477  

both   the  median   level   of   4mg/L  we   found   in   healthy   Ugandan   blood   donors   and   the  3478  

optimal   diagnostic   cut-­‐off   of   10  mg/L   produced   by   our   ROC   analysis.   This   significant  3479  

difference   might   be   explained   by   different   levels   of   Aspergillus   exposure   in   these  3480  

different  environments  or  differences  in  the  median  age  of  these  healthy  control  groups.  3481  

 3482  

We  chose  to  use  healthy  Ugandan  blood  donors  as  a  control  group  as  a  key  goal  of  this  3483  

study  was   to   select   an   assay   for   use   in   a   CPA   prevalence   survey   to   be   conducted   in  3484  

Uganda.  While  the  proposed  Immulite  cut  off  of  10mg/L  is  appropriate  for  the  diagnosis  3485  

of  CPA  in  Ugandans,   further  comparisons   including  European  healthy  controls  may  be  3486  

needed  before   this   cut   off   can  be  used  with   confidence   in  Europe.     The   age  matching  3487  

between   our   controls   and   cases   was   sub-­‐optimal,   but   the   use   of   blood   donors   is  3488  

common  practice  and  was  the  only  practical  option  available  to  us  to  acquire  a  healthy  3489  

Ugandan  control  group.  3490  

 3491  

CPA   occurs   in   patients   with   underlying   diseases   such   as   treated   tuberculosis,  3492  

sarcoidosis   and   COPD14.   We   have   shown   that   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   are  3493  

different   in   asthmatics   than   healthy   controls   and   levels   might   also   be   higher   than  3494  

healthy  controls  in  patients  with  these  other  underlying  diseases,  perhaps  as  a  result  of  3495  

frequent  Aspergillus  colonisation  in  these  patients.    3496  

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The  purpose  of   the  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  assay   in   the  context  of  CPA  diagnosis   is   to  3497  

provide  evidence  of  Aspergillus  infection.  Radiological  and  clinical  criteria  then  need  to  3498  

be  met  before  CPA  can  be  diagnosed.  While  the  optimal  diagnostic  cut-­‐offs  defined  here  3499  

are  appropriate  to  define  ‘abnormally  high  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG’  and  provide  3500  

evidence   of   Aspergillus   infection   for   use   as   a   single   aspect   of   the   CPA   composite  3501  

diagnostic  criteria,  they  might  frequently  produce  positive  results  in  a  population  with  3502  

underlying   lung   disease   if   Aspergillus   colonisation   is   common   in   that   population.  3503  

Further  studies  are  needed  to  compare  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  in  CPA  to  those  3504  

in  ‘at-­‐risk’  diseased  controls.    3505  

 3506  

Optimal   cut-­‐offs   for   ABPA   diagnosis   have   been   calculated   for   each   assay,   both   by  3507  

comparing   ABPA   cases   to   healthy   controls   and   by   comparing   them   to   asthmatic  3508  

controls.   Comparison   to   asthmatic   controls   is   the   more   valid   of   these   two   options,  3509  

however  there  are  some  difficulties  with  this  approach.  The  asthmatic  controls  used  in  3510  

this  study  are  patients  being  treated  at  a  regional  referral  centre  with  a  sub-­‐specialist  3511  

interest  in  fungal  lung  disease.  Patients  referred  to  a  centre  of  this  nature  are  likely  to  3512  

have  fungal  sensitization  or  unusually  severe  asthma,  as  demonstrated  by  the  fact  that  3513  

29%  of  patients  in  the  asthmatic  control  group  had  evidence  of  bronchiectasis.    3514  

 3515  

As  such  they  may  be  at  increased  risk  of  Aspergillus  colonisation  and  are  probably  not  3516  

representative  of  the  overall  asthmatic  population  in  this  respect.  It  is  also  possible  that  3517  

a  population  of  severe  asthmatics  such  as  this  may  include  patients  whose  disease  has  3518  

been   complicated   by   ABPA,   which   was   not   diagnosed   at   the   time   of   sampling.   Our  3519  

retrospective   study   design   did   not   allow   the   identification   and   exclusion   of   any   such  3520  

patients.   These   factors  might   explain  why   this   asthmatic   cohort   has   a   higher  median  3521  

Aspergillus-­‐IgG   level   than   healthy   controls.   It   is   therefore   possible   that   the   cut   off  3522  

produced  by  the  comparison  of  ABPA  cases  with  healthy  controls   is  more  appropriate  3523  

for  use  in  the  diagnosis  of  ABPA  in  the  asthmatic  population  as  a  whole.    3524  

 3525  

Ideally,   further   studies   should   be   performed   involving   the   testing   of   samples   from   a  3526  

non-­‐selected   asthmatic   population,   ideally   one   treated   at   primary   care   level.   An   ideal  3527  

study  design  would  include  prospective  screening  of  patients  to  remove  cases  of  ABPA  3528  

from  the  cohort.  Such  a  design  would  allow  the  identification  of  a  definitive  cut  off  for  3529  

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the   diagnosis   of  ABPA   in   asthmatics.   Such   an   optimal   design  was   not   possible  within  3530  

time  and   financial   constraints   associated  with   this   study.  We  have   therefore   reported  3531  

diagnostic  cut  offs  using  both  the  sub-­‐optimal  control  groups  available  to  us  at  the  time  3532  

of   this  study.  The   ideal  diagnostic  cut  off  probably   lies  somewhere  between  the   levels  3533  

calculated  from  the  two  groups.  3534  

 3535  

ABPA   can   be   complicated   by   the   development   of   CPA.   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  3536  

measurement   might   be   used   to   identify   cases   of   CPA   complicating   ABPA.   This   is  3537  

important   as   the   management   of   CPA   differs   from   ABPA,   with   long-­‐term   antifungal  3538  

therapy  being  indicated  wherever  possible  and  surgery  often  required18,21,250.  We  have  3539  

suggested   optimal   cut-­‐offs   in   terms   of   Youden's   J   statistic.   However   it   may   be   more  3540  

clinically  useful  to  select  a  cut  off  with  high  specificity,  above  which  CPA  is  likely  and  CT  3541  

scan   should  be   recommended   to   further   investigate   the  possibility.  The   Immulite  had  3542  

reasonable   sensitivity   and   specificity   for   this   purpose  with   an   optimal   cut   off   of   100  3543  

mg/L,  but  other  assays  performed  poorly.  Precipitins  testing  also  performed  reasonably  3544  

well   in   this   context.   However,   no   assay   performs   well   enough   to   be   used   alone   to  3545  

diagnose  CPA  in  those  with  ABPA.    CPA  must  be  considered  possible  in  any  patient  with  3546  

ABPA  and  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.    3547  

 3548  

All  tests  were  fairly  labour  intensive  to  perform.  Automated  platforms  required  manual  3549  

sample   loading   and   dilution.   Plate   ELISAs   required   over   10   pipetting   steps.   The  3550  

precipitins   test  was   the  most   labour-­‐intensive   requiring   around  18  gels   to  be   run   for  3551  

every   one   ELISA   plate   used   in   the   comparison.  We   also   undertook   preliminary  work  3552  

with   the   ELITech   (France)   Aspergillus-­‐specific   haemagglutination   assay289,   which   we  3553  

found   to   be   labour-­‐intensive  with   end   point   reading   that  was   highly   subjective.   As   a  3554  

result  this  assay  was  not  taken  forward  to  the  main  analysis.  3555  

 3556  

The   Dynamiker  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   assay   uses   purified   galactomannan   as   its   sole  3557  

antigen  and  performed  similarly  to  equivalent  manual  plate  ELISAs  for  the  diagnosis  of  3558  

CPA  and  ABPA.  This  antigen  might  be  appropriate  for  use  in  an  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  3559  

lateral  flow  device  (LFD)  that  would  be  ideal  for  use  in  resource-­‐poor  settings.  No  such  3560  

LFD  exists  at  present.  3561  

 3562  

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Our  study  did  not  include  all  available  commercial  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  ELISAs.  Bio-­‐3563  

Rad   produce   an   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   ELISA   that   uses   recombinant   antigens.   This  3564  

assay   has   been   shown   to   have   similar   sensitivity   and   specificity   to   the   Serion   and  3565  

ImmunoCAP   assays   in   two   small   studies38,74,   however   these   studies   did   not   exclude  3566  

patients  on  long-­‐term  antifungal  therapy  and  used  the  sub-­‐optimal  diagnostic  cut-­‐off  of  3567  

40mg/L   for   ImmunoCAP.   Other   commercial   assays   exist,   but   have   no   published   data  3568  

describing  their  sensitivity  and  specificity  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA.  3569  

 3570  

We   have   described   the   diagnostic   performance   of   six   of   the   most   commonly   used  3571  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   assays   for   the   diagnosis   of   CPA   and   ABPA,   the  most   common  3572  

forms  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  The  ImmunoCAP  assay  is  currently  widely  used  with  3573  

a  diagnostic  cut-­‐off  of  40  mg/L.  This  is  sub-­‐optimal  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  and  should  3574  

be  replaced  with  a  diagnostic  cut-­‐off  of  20  mg/L.  Optimal  diagnostic  cut-­‐offs  for  use  in  3575  

CPA  have  been  defined  for  all  assays,  which  can  improve  sensitivity  for  the  diagnosis  of  3576  

CPA   while   maintaining   excellent   specificity.   Further   studies   are   now   required   to  3577  

confirm   intra-­‐laboratory   and   batch-­‐to-­‐batch   variation   for   these   assays.   This   will  3578  

hopefully  then  allow  the  roll  out  of  routine  testing  of  at  risk  patients,  including  those  in  3579  

areas  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence,  where  most  CPA  patients  are  predicted  to  reside,  3580  

but  where  access  to  Aspergillus  serology  is  currently  extremely  limited.  3581  

 3582  

Hypothesis  3583  

 3584  

That  there  are  clinically  relevant  differences  in  the  sensitivity  and  specificity  of  different  3585  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   assays   or   precipitins   testing   in   the   context   of   diagnosis   of  3586  

chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CPA)  and  allergic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  (ABPA).  3587  

 3588  

Aims  3589  

 3590  

1   –  To  measure   the   levels   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   found   in   groups  of   patients  with  3591  

untreated  CPA  or  ABPA  and  in  healthy  and  asthmatic  controls,  using  assays  produced  by  3592  

Siemens   Immulite,   ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP,   Serion,   Genesis   and  3593  

Dynamiker,  plus  precipitins  testing  using  Microgen  antigens.  3594  

 3595  

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2  –  To  define  the  diagnostic  performance  for  each  of  these  assays  for  CPA  and  ABPA  by  3596  

performing   receiver   operating   curve   (ROC)   area   under   the   curve   (AUC)   analysis  3597  

comparing  patients  with  CPA  and  ABPA  to  healthy  and  diseased  controls.  3598  

 3599  

3   –   To   define   an   optimal   diagnostic   cut-­‐off   for   each   assay   in   relation   to   ROC   AUC  3600  

analysis  for  both  CPA  and  ABPA  in  relation  to  both  healthy  and  diseased  controls.  3601  

 3602  

4   –   To   measure   intra-­‐assay   variability   for   both   high   and   low   level   samples   for   each  3603  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assay,  within  funding  restrictions.  3604  

 3605  

5  –  To  measure  the  correlation  between  Siemens  Immulite  and  ThermoFisher  Scientific  3606  

ImmunoCAP  results.  3607  

 3608  

Ethics  3609  

 3610  

Control  samples  were  acquired  as  part  the  ‘Pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  association  with  3611  

tuberculosis’   study.   Ethical   approval   was   granted   by   Gulu   University   IRB   (ref  3612  

GU/IRC/04/07/12),   the   Ugandan   National   Council   for   Science   and   Technology   (ref  3613  

HS1253)  and  the  University  of  Manchester  (ref  11424).  Stored  serum  was   taken   from  3614  

samples  provided  by  CPA  patients  for  the  purpose  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  testing  as  3615  

part  of  routine  care  of  CPA  and  ABPA  at  the  National  Aspergillosis  Centre,  Manchester,  3616  

UK.   Further   stored   serum   samples  were   acquired   from   the  ManRAB   biobank.   Ethical  3617  

approval  was  granted  by  the  ManRAB  REC  committee  (ref  10/H1010/7).  3618  

 3619  

Funding  3620  

 3621  

Siemens,  Serion,  Genesis  and  Dynamiker  all  donated  sufficient  test  kits  to  perform  this  3622  

comparison.   Serion   and  Dynamiker   each   provided   grant   support   to   cover   the   cost   of  3623  

laboratory  consumables.  3624  

 3625  

Control  samples  were  acquired  as  part  the  ‘Pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  association  with  3626  

tuberculosis’   study   (paper   two),   which   was   funded   by   a   grant   from   the   University  3627  

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  129  

Hospital  of  South  Manchester  Academy  charity  as  part  of   the  established  Manchester-­‐3628  

Gulu  link  program.  3629  

 3630  

Acknowledgements  3631  

 3632  

We  would   like   to   thank   the   staff   of  Gulu  Blood  Transfusion   service,  Uganda,   for   their  3633  

assistance  in  recruiting  donations  of  serum  from  healthy  blood  donors  for  use  as  control  3634  

samples.  3635  

 3636  

We  would  like  to  thank  the  staff  at  Manchester  Royal  Infirmary  immunology  laboratory  3637  

for   their   assistance   in   performing   ImmunoCAP   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   testing   on  3638  

control  samples.  3639  

 3640  

We  would  like  to  thank  the  staff  at  Christie  Hospital  pathology  laboratory,  Manchester  3641  

for  permitting  access  to  their  Siemens  Immulite  2000  system  to  perform  this  study.  3642  

 3643  

We  would  like  to  thank  Siemens,  Serion,  Genesis  and  Dynamiker  for  kindly  donating  test  3644  

kits  to  perform  this  study  and  for  their  practical  assistance  in  installing  the  test  kits  and  3645  

relevant  software  prior  to  undertaking  the  study.  3646  

 3647  

We  would  like  to  thank  the  ManRAB  biobank  at  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester  3648  

for  providing  stored  sera  from  National  Aspergillosis  Centre  CPA  patients  for  use  in  this  3649  

study.  ManRAB  is  supported  by  the  NIHR.  3650  

 3651  

 3652  

 3653  

 3654  

3655  

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  130  

Figures  3656  

 3657  

Figure  1  –  Dynamiker  results  in  various  patient  groups  3658  

 3659  

 3660  

3661  

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  131  

Figure  2  –  Genesis  results  in  various  patient  groups  3662  

 3663  

   3664  3665  

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  132  

 3666  

Figure  3  –  ThermoFisher  Scientific  ImmunoCAP  results  in  various  patient  groups  3667  

 3668  

 3669  Samples  from  asthmatic  patients  were  not  tested  with  the  ImmunoCAP  assay,  as  no  3670  funding  was  available  for  this.  3671    3672  

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  133  

 Figure  4    –  Serion  results  in  various  patient  groups  3673  

 3674  

 3675  

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  134  

Figure  5  –  Siemens  Immulite  results  in  various  patient  groups  3676  

 3677  

 3678  3679  

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  135  

 3680  Figure  6  –ROC  curve  for  CPA  cases  vs.  healthy  controls  3681  

 3682  

 3683  

 3684  3685  

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  136  

 3686  

Figure  7  –  ROC  curves  for  ABPA  cases  vs.  healthy  controls  3687  

 3688  

 3689  

 3690  3691  

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  137  

 3692  

Figure  8  –  ROC  curves  for  ABPA  cases  vs.  asthmatic  controls  3693  

 3694  

 3695  3696  

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  138  

3697  

Figure  9  –  CPA  cases  vs.  ABPA  cases  3698  

3699  

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PAPER 2 - Aspergillus-specific IgG levels in patients previously treated for pulmonary 3700  

tuberculosis in Gulu, Uganda 3701  

 3702  

Authors  3703  

 3704  

Iain  D  Page  –   Institute  of   Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  UK,  3705  

Manchester   Academic   Health   Science   Centre,   UK,   National   Aspergillosis   Center,  3706  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  3707  

 3708  

Nathan  Onyachi  –  Gulu  Regional  Referral  Hospital,  Uganda.  3709  

 3710  

Cyprian  Opira  –  St.  Mary’s  Hospital,  Lacor,  Gulu,  Uganda.  3711  

 3712  

Sharath  Hosmane  –  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK  3713  

 3714  

Richard  Sawyer  -­‐  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK  3715  

 3716  

Malcolm   Richardson   –   Institute   of   Inflammation   and   Repair,   The   University   of  3717  

Manchester,  UK,  Manchester  Academic  Health  Science  Centre,  UK,  National  Aspergillosis  3718  

Center  and  Mycology  Reference  Centre,  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  3719  

 3720  

David  W  Denning–  Institute  of  Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  3721  

UK,   Manchester   Academy   Health   Science   Centre,   UK,   National   Aspergillosis   Centre,  3722  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  3723  

 3724  

3725  

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Abstract  3726  

 3727  

In   1970,   34%   of   544   British   patients   with   residual   cavities   after   treated   pulmonary  3728  

tuberculosis  were   found   to   have   precipitating   antibodies   to  Aspergillus.   Aspergilloma  3729  

was   detected   in   63%   of   those   with   antibodies   and   was   often   complicated   by  3730  

haemoptysis.   Based   on   this   data   the   global   5-­‐year   period   prevalence   of   chronic  3731  

pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CPA)   is   estimated   at   0.8   to   1.3   million   cases.   There   are   no  3732  

published   surveys   from   current   areas   of   high   tuberculosis   prevalence   to   confirm   this  3733  

prediction  and   the   impact  of  HIV  co-­‐infection  on   the  prevalence  of  CPA   is  not  known.  3734  

We   aimed   to   measure   the   prevalence   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   Ugandan   patients  3735  

with  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  3736  

 3737  

We   conducted   a   cross-­‐sectional   survey   in   Gulu,   Uganda.   Recruitment  was   open   to   all  3738  

persons  aged  16  or  over  who  had  completed  treatment   for  pulmonary  tuberculosis   in  3739  

the   last   7   years.   Eligible   patients  were   identified  with   the   assistance   of   clinic   staff   at  3740  

Gulu   Hospital   and   the   District   Health   Team.   Radio   announcements   were   used   to  3741  

encourage  patients  to  participate.  All  patients  underwent  clinical  assessment  and  chest  3742  

X-­‐ray  and  had  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  measured  by  Siemens  Immulite.    3743  

 3744  

Recruitment  was  undertaken  between  October  2012  and  February  2013.  400  patients  3745  

were  recruited.  200  (50%)  were  HIV  positive.  Median  age  was  42  years  (range  16-­‐83).  3746  

39%  of   patients  were   female.  Median   CD4   count   in   those  with  HIV  was   415   cells/µL  3747  

(range  0-­‐1400).    3748  

 3749  

Raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   was   found   in   10%   of   patients.     Chronic   cough   was  3750  

reported  by  33%  of  patients  and  haemoptysis  by  3%  of  patients.  4%  of  all  patients  had  3751  

suspected   fungal   ball   on   chest   x-­‐ray,   with   cavitation   present   in   16%   and   pleural  3752  

thickening  in  15%.  3753  

 3754  

This   study  cannot  measure   the  prevalence  of  CPA,   as   it  does  not   include  CT  scan  and  3755  

serial   chest   X-­‐ray.   However,   we   suggest   that   a   patient   who   has   ALL   of   the   following  3756  

should   be   considered   to   have   possible   CPA;   1   –   chronic   symptoms   (over   1  month   of  3757  

cough  or  haemoptysis),  2  –  Raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  and  3  –  Chest  X-­‐ray  3758  

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findings   consistent   with   CPA   (cavities   or   aspergilloma).   Overall   12   (3%)   met   these  3759  

criteria.   A   further   2   (0.5%)   had   simple   aspergilloma,  without   chronic   symptoms.  HIV  3760  

status  had  no  statistically  significant  impact  on  the  frequency  of  likely  CPA.  3761  

 3762  

3763  

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Introduction  3764  

 3765  

An  estimated  9  million  people  developed  tuberculosis  in  2013215.  It  was  associated  with  3766  

1.5   million   deaths,   of   which   only   210,000   were   estimated   to   be   due   to   multidrug  3767  

resistant   strains.   Many   of   the   other   1.29   million   deaths   will   have   been   due   to   late  3768  

presentation  to  medical  care,  lack  of  diagnosis,  poor  access  to  treatment  or  inadequate  3769  

adherence,  given  that  they  mostly  occured  in  resource-­‐poor  countries  with  weak  health  3770  

infrastructure.  However,  misdiagnosis  may  also  have  contributed  to  the  problem.  3771  

 3772  

Chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CPA)   is   a   condition   that   complicates   tuberculosis14.  3773  

CPA   usually   presents   with   progressive   pulmonary   cavitation   associated   with   weight  3774  

loss,  persistent  cough  and  haemoptysis5,7,8.   It  has  a  5-­‐year  mortality  of  50  –  80%6,7,264  3775  

and   has   recently   been   estimated   to   affect   around   3   million   people   globally11–13,  3776  

including  1.3  million  cases  secondary  to  tuberculosis11.  This  estimate  takes  no  account  3777  

of   the   potential   impact   of   HIV   co-­‐infection,   which   is   present   in   half   of   the   cases   of  3778  

suspected  pulmonary  tuberculosis  notified  in  Uganda215.  3779  

 3780  

Undiagnosed  CPA  could  be  making  a  substantial  contribution  to  the  observed  mortality  3781  

rates  currently  attributed  to  tuberculosis.  Both  conditions  present  with  cavities,  pleural  3782  

thickening   and   fibrosis   on   chest   X-­‐ray266,280.   Aspergillomas   are   distinctive,   but   while  3783  

they  are  present  in  all  cases  of  simple  aspergilloma,  they  are  present  in  only  25-­‐36%  of  3784  

cases  of  CPA  in  developed  countries8,58.  Raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  are  key  3785  

to  diagnosis  of  CPA5,7,8,  but  this  test  is  generally  unavailable  in  Africa220.  In  Uganda  34%  3786  

of   all   notified   cases   of   pulmonary   tuberculosis   are   clinically   diagnosed   with   no  3787  

microbiological  proof  of  tuberculosis  infection215.  Some  of  these  cases  may  well  be  CPA  3788  

that  has  been  misdiagnosed  as  tuberculosis.  3789  

 3790  

Large   CPA   case   series   have   been   reported   in   the  UK,   France,   India,   China,   Korea   and  3791  

Japan,   the   majority   of   which   are   secondary   to   tuberculosis7,8,14,15,18,108,198.   Over   180  3792  

cases   of   CPA   have   been   reported   throughout   Africa,   including   South   Africa,   Nigeria,  3793  

Ivory   Coast,   Senegal,   Central   African   Republic,   Djibouti,   Ethiopia,   Tanzania   and  3794  

Uganda16,201–212.  Over  90%  of  these  cases  were  secondary  to  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  3795  

 3796  

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CPA   is   treatable.   Oral   treatment   with   itraconazole,   voriconazole   or   posaconazole  3797  

prevents   clinical   and   radiological   progression18,58,108,198,251.   Surgery   is   curative   in  3798  

selected  patients  with   localized  disease15,21  and  has  been  safely  delivered   in  resource-­‐3799  

poor  settings16,54,212.    3800  

 3801  

The  prevalence  of  CPA  was  measured   in  544  patients  with  residual   lung  cavities  after  3802  

tuberculosis  treatment  in  the  UK  in  1968-­‐7076,197.  Precipitating  antibodies  to  Aspergillus  3803  

fumigatus  were  present  in  34%,  of  whom  63%  had  an  aspergilloma  visible  on  chest  X-­‐3804  

ray  within  48  months  of  completion  of  tuberculosis  treatment.  Subsequent  series  have  3805  

found  positive  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies   in  20-­‐27%  of  patients  previously  treated  3806  

for  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  Japan,  India  and  Brazil80,146,192,221.  3807  

 3808  

CPA  prevalence  in  areas  where  tuberculosis  is  now  common  might  differ  from  the  UK  in  3809  

1968-­‐70.  Rates  of  Aspergillus   rhinitis   and  keratitis   are  higher   in   countries  with  warm  3810  

climates   and   many   subsistence   farmers10.   This   might   also   be   true   for   CPA.   Biomass  3811  

smoke-­‐induced   emphysema   is   common   in   Africa222   and   might   increase   CPA   risk14.  3812  

Crucially   HIV   co-­‐infection   might   either   result   in   more   CPA   cases   due   to  3813  

immunosuppression52,223,224  or  fewer  due  to  reduced  the  rate  of  residual  cavitation  seen  3814  

in  those  co-­‐infected  with  HIV225–227.  3815  

 3816  

We  conducted  a  cross-­‐sectional  survey  to  measure  the  prevalence  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐3817  

specific   IgG   in   persons   with   treated   pulmonary   tuberculosis   in   Gulu,   Uganda.   We  3818  

recorded   presence   of   chronic   symptoms,   performed   chest   X-­‐ray   and   measured  3819  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   using   the   Siemens   Immulite   2000   system.   This   assay   has  3820  

specificity  of  98%  and  sensitivity  of  96%  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  (paper  1).  3821  

 3822  

This  study  cannot  definitively  measure  the  prevalence  of  CPA  as  it  does  not  include  CT  3823  

scan   or   serial   chest   X-­‐ray.   However,   we   have   classified   patients   who  meet   all   of   the  3824  

following  conditions  as  ‘possible  CPA’  ;  1  –  chronic  symptoms  (over  1  month  of  cough  or  3825  

haemoptysis),  2  –  Raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  and  3  –  Chest  X-­‐ray  findings  3826  

consistent  with  CPA  (cavities  or  fungal  ball).    3827  

 3828  

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We  also  diagnosed  simple  aspergilloma  in  patients  with  fungal  ball  on  chest  X-­‐ray  and  3829  

raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG,  but  with  no  chronic  cough  or  haemoptysis.  We  targeted  3830  

recruitment   of   50%   of   patients   with   HIV   co-­‐infection   to   measure   the   impact   of   HIV  3831  

status  on  the  frequency  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  and  possible  CPA.  3832  

 3833  

Methods  3834  

 3835  

Study  design  and  participants  3836  

 3837  

Patients  aged  16  or  over,  who  had  completed  a  full  course  of  treatment  for  pulmonary  3838  

tuberculosis   in   2005   or   later,   were   recruited   in   Gulu,   Uganda   from   October   2012   to  3839  

February   2013.   Evidence   of   tuberculosis   treatment   was   taken   from   tuberculosis  3840  

treatment   cards,   completion   of   treatment   certificates,   or   from   the   District   Health  3841  

Tuberculosis   Team’s   central   records.   Patients   with   documentary   evidence   of   fully  3842  

treated   smear-­‐negative   pulmonary   tuberculosis   were   also   accepted,   but   only   if   they  3843  

reported  complete  resolution  of  all  symptoms  at  the  end  of  tuberculosis  treatment.  3844  

 3845  

We   aimed   to   recruit   400  patients,   of  whom  200  would   be  HIV  negative   and  200  HIV  3846  

positive.  We  calculated  this  would  have  sufficient  power  to  measure  the  prevalence  of  3847  

CPA  in  this  population  with  an  accuracy  of  +/-­‐  2.3%.    3848  

 3849  

Procedures  3850  

 3851  

Convenience  sampling  was  used.  Eligible  patients  were   identified   from  District  Health  3852  

team   records   and   invited   to   join   the   study.   Radio   announcements   were   used   to  3853  

encourage  patients  to  enroll.  All  patients  were  provided  with  written  study  information  3854  

and  written   consent  was   given  prior   to   recruitment.   Illiterate  patients  were  provided  3855  

with  verbal  information  in  English  or  in  Acholi  via  a  translator  and  gave  verbal  consent.    3856  

 3857  

Patients  underwent  structured  clinical  assessment.    HIV  status  was  taken  from  patients’  3858  

medical   notes   or  TB   treatment   records.  Where  no   such   record  was   available  patients  3859  

underwent  HIV   testing  prior   to   recruitment.   Patients  with  no  documented  HIV   status  3860  

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who   declined   testing   were   not   eligible.   Serum  was   tested   for  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  3861  

using  the  Immulite  2000  system  (Siemens,  Germany)  in  July  2014.    3862  

 3863  

Chest   X-­‐ray   was   performed   at   St.   Mary’s   Hospital   in   Lacor   and   X-­‐rays   were  3864  

photographed   with   a   Nikon   DSLR   camera.   Two   radiologists   reported   results.   Where  3865  

they  produced  divergent  reports  the  senior  consultant  respiratory  radiologist  at  the  UK  3866  

National   Aspergillosis   Centre   provided   a   decisive   third   report.   All   were   blinded   to  3867  

clinical  and  serological  findings.    3868  

 3869  

Diagnostic  criteria  3870  

 3871  

Possible  CPA  was  diagnosed  when  all  three  of  the  following  criteria  were  met:-­‐  3872  

 3873  

1   –   Symptoms   -­‐   patients  must   have   been   suffering   from   at   least   one   of   the   following  3874  

symptoms  for  no  less  than  1  month.  3875  

• Haemoptysis  3876  

• Cough  3877  

 3878  

2   –   Radiological   changes   –   at   least   one   of   the   following   features  must   be   present   on  3879  

chest  X-­‐ray  3880  

• Fungal  Ball  3881  

• Cavitation    3882  

 3883  

3  –  Raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  3884  

 3885  

In  addition,   simple  aspergilloma  was  diagnosed   in  patients  with  suspected   fungal  ball  3886  

on  chest  X-­‐ray  and  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG,  but  no  chronic  cough  or  haemoptysis.  3887  

100   control   sera   had   previously   been   collected   from   healthy   Ugandan   blood   donors  3888  

(paper  1).  These  were  used  in  receiver  operating  characteristic  curve  studies  to  define  3889  

the  diagnostic  threshold  of  10  mg/L  used  in  this  study.  3890  

 3891  

3892  

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 3893  Statistical  methods  3894  

 3895  

Statistical   analysis   was   performed   using   SPSS   v20   (IBM,   USA).   Rates   of   raised  3896  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   and   possible   CPA   in   groups   of   patients   with   and   without  3897  

potential   risk   factors   were   compared   using   chi-­‐squared   test,   except   for   comparisons  3898  

with  less  than  5  patients  in  one  group,  where  Fisher’s  exact  test  was  used.  Comparison  3899  

of  means  for  continuous  variables  in  different  patient  groups  with  normal  distribution  3900  

was  performed  using  2-­‐sided   t   test.  Where  distribution  was   skewed  Mann  Whitney  U  3901  

test  was  used.    3902  

 3903  

Results  3904  

 3905  

400  patients  were  consented  to  enter  the  survey.  One  patient  did  not  undergo  chest  X-­‐3906  

ray  and  one  patient’s  blood  sample  was   lost,   leaving  398  patients  who  completed   the  3907  

assessment   process.   Patient   characteristics   are   shown   in   table   1.     HIV   status   was  3908  

documented  on  tuberculosis  care  records  in  most  cases,  with  only  a  handful  undergoing  3909  

HIV  testing  on  the  day  of  recruitment.  No  patient  declined  HIV  testing.  3910  

 3911  

The  overall  frequency  of  various  symptoms,  X-­‐ray  abnormalities  and  Aspergillus-­‐specific  3912  

IgG  levels  are  shown  in  table  2.  Raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  was  found  in  9.8%  of  398  3913  

patients   with   prior   pulmonary   tuberculosis   and   2%   of   100   healthy   adult   controls   (p  3914  

0.01)  3915  

3916  

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Table  1  –  Patient  characteristics    3917  

Characteristic     Number  of  patients  n=398  

Female  gender   155  (38.9%)  Mean  age  (range)   42  years  (16-­‐83)  Positive  sputum  smear  at  TB  diagnosis  

303  (76.1%)  

HIV  infection   199    (50%)  Median  2012  CD4  count  in  HIV  positive  persons  (range)  

424  (14  –  1400)  cells/µL  

2012  CD4  count  <  200  cells/µL    

23      (12%#)  

2012  CD4  count  200  –  499  cells/µL    

94      (49.2%#)  

2012  CD4  count  ≥  500  cells/µL  

74      (38.7%#)  

Traditional  ‘grass-­‐thatch’  home  

371  (93.2%)  

Patient  reports  dampness  in  home  

119  (29.9%)  

Patient  is  a  subsistence  farmer  

373  (93.7%)  

Patient  frequently  cooks  on  open  charcoal  stove  

194  (48.7%)  

Patient  smokes  tobacco   39        (9.8%)  Median  Aspergillus  IgG   4.2  mg/L    3918  

The  frequency  of  symptoms  and  X-­‐ray  changes  in  patients  with  raised  and  normal  levels  3919  

of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  is  compared  in  table  3.  The  frequency  of  suspected  CPA  and  3920  

simple   aspergilloma   is   shown   in   table   4,   together   with   the   number   of   patients   with  3921  

suspected   fungal   ball   on   chest   X-­‐ray,   but   normal   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  3922  

(unspecified  fungal  ball)  and  the  number  of  patients  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  3923  

in  whom  the  symptomatic  and  radiological  criteria  for  CPA  or  simple  aspergilloma  are  3924  

not  met  (raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG,  but  no  pulmonary  aspergillosis).  3925  

 3926  

Tables  5  –  9  show  the  frequency  of  symptoms,  test  results  and  diagnoses  in  relation  to  3927  

gender,   prior   TB   smear   status,   HIV   status,   CD4   count   and   time   since   tuberculosis  3928  

diagnosis  respectively.  3929  

3930  

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Table  2  –  Symptoms  and  test  findings    3931  

Result     No  patients    n=398  

Frequency  (%)    

Cough*   130   32.7  Haemoptysis*   14   3.5  Fatigue*   191   48  Breathlessness*   193   48.5  Fevers*   99   24.9  Night  sweats*   131   32.9  Chest  pain*   214   53.8  Cavities  on  CXR   65   16.3  Paracavitary  fibrosis  on  CXR  

34   8.5  

Pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

58   14.6  

Fungal  ball  on  CXR   15   3.8  Aspergillus  IgG  positive  

39           9.8  

*present  for  1  month  or  longer  3932    3933  

Table  3  –  Symptoms  and  X-­‐ray  changes  in  patients  with  and  without  raised  Aspergillus-­‐3934  specific  IgG  3935    3936  Results   Raised  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  n=39  

Normal  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  n=359  

p-­‐value  

Cough*   5          (12.8%)   60          (16.7%)   0.532  Haemoptysis*   6          (15.4%)   8                (2.2%)   0.000  Fatigue*   20      (51.3%)   171      (47.6%)   0.665  Breathlessness*   21      (53.8%)   172      (47.9%)   0.481  Fevers*   12      (30.8%)   87          (24.2%)   0.370  Night  sweats*   11      (28.2%)   120      (33.4%)   0.510  Chest  pain*   28      (71.8%)   186      (51.8%)   0.017  Cavities  on  CXR   18      (46.2%)   47          (13.1%)   0.000  Paracavitary  fibrosis  on  CXR  

6          (15.4%)   28          (7.8%)   0.108  

Pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

15      (38.5%)   43          (14.8%)   0.000  

Fungal  ball  on  CXR  

4          (12.9%)   11          (3%)   0.049**  

*present  for  1  month  or  more.  **Fisher’s  exact  test  used.  3937    3938  

3939  

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 3940  Table  4  –  Frequency  of  various  conditions  3941  

Condition   Number  of  cases  N=398  

Frequency  (%)   Frequency   95%  confidence  interval  (%)  

Likely  CPA     12   3   1.7  -­‐  5  Likely   simple  aspergilloma  

2   0.5   0.1  –  1.6  

Unspecified   fungal  ball  

11   2.8   1.5  –  4.7  

Raised   Aspergillus  IgG,   but   no  pulmonary  aspergillosis  

25   6.3   4.2  -­‐  9  

 3942  

 3943  

Table  5  -­‐  Symptoms  and  test  results  by  gender  3944  

Result   Female  n=155   Male  n=243     p-­‐value  by  chi-­‐squared  test  

Cough*   47  (30.3%)   83      (34.2%)   0.426  Haemoptysis*   5        (3.2%)   9            (3.7%)   0.801  Fatigue*   80  (51.6%)   111  (45.7%)   0.248  Breathlessness*   69  (44.5%)   124  (51%)   0.205  Fevers*   42  (27.1%)   57        (23.5%)   0.413  Night  sweats*   44  (28.4%)   87        (35.8%)   0.125  Chest  pain*   85  (54.8%)   129  (53%)   0.732  Cavities  on  CXR   17  (11%)   48        (19.8%)   0.021  Paracavitary  fibrosis  on  CXR  

4        (2.6%)   30        (12.3%)   0.001  

Pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

11  (7.1%)   47        (19.3%)   0.001  

Fungal  ball  on  CXR   3        (1.9%)   12        (4.9%)   0.125  Positive  Aspergillus  IgG  

11  (7.1%)   28        (11.5%)   0.148  

Median  Aspergillus  IgG  level    

3.84  mg/L   4.58  mg/L   0.002**  

Likely  CPA     3        (1.2%)   9          (3.7%)   0.381***  Likely  simple  aspergilloma  

0   2          (0.8%)   0.523***  

Unspecified  fungal  ball  

2          (1.3%)   9          (3.7%)   0.214***  

Raised  Aspergillus  IgG,  but  no  pulmonary  aspergillosis  

8          (5.2%)   17      (7%)   0.462***  

*present  for  1  month  or  longer.  **  medians  compared  by  Mann  Whitney  U  test,  ***Fisher’s  exact  test  3945  3946  

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Table  6  –  Symptoms  and  test  results  by  prior  TB  smear  status    3947  

Results   Prior  smear  positive  pulmonary  tuberculosis    n=  303  

Prior  smear  negative  pulmonary  tuberculosis    n=  95  

p-­‐value  by  chi-­‐squared  test  

Cough*   107  (35.3%)   23  (24.2%)   0.044  Haemoptysis*   9            (3%)   5        (5.3%)   0.029  Fatigue*   146  (48.2%)   45  (47.4%)   0.889  Breathlessness*   151  (49.8%)   42  (44.2%)   0.339  Fevers*   72      (23.8%)   27  (28.4%)   0.359  Night  sweats*   103  (34%)   28  (29%)   0.413  Chest  pain*   165  (54.4%)   49  (51.6%)   0.624  Cavities  on  CXR   55      (18.2%)   10  (10.5%)   0.079  Paracavitary  fibrosis  on  CXR  

32      (10.6%)   2        (2.1%)   0.01***  

Pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

50      (16.5%)   8        (8.4%)   0.051  

Fungal  ball  on  CXR   13      (4.3%)   2        (2.1%)   0.537***  Positive  Aspergillus  IgG  

32      (10.6%)   7        (7.4%)   0.361  

Median  Aspergillus  IgG  level  

4.37  mg/L   3.91  mg/L   0.025**  

Likely  CPA     9          (1.7%)   3        (3.2%)   1***  Likely  simple  aspergilloma  

1          (0.3%)   1        (1.1%)   0.421***  

Unspecified  fungal  ball  

10      (3.3%)   1        (1.1%)   0.472***  

Raised  Aspergillus  IgG,  but  no  pulmonary  aspergillosis  

22      (7.3%)   3        (3.2%)   0.224***  

*present  for  1  month  or  longer.  **  medians  compared  by  Mann  Whitney  U  test.  ***Fishers  exact  test  used.  3948    3949  

3950  

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Table  7  –  Symptoms  and  test  results  by  HIV  status  3951  

Results   Positive  HIV  status  n=  199  

Negative  HIV  status  n=  199  

p-­‐value  by  chi-­‐squared  test  

Cough*   51  (25.6%)   79      (39.7%)   0.003  Haemoptysis*   5        (2.5%)   9            (4.5%)   0.276  Fatigue*   96  (48.2%)   95      (47.7%)   0.92  Breathlessness*   94  (47.2%)   99      (49.7%)   0.616  Fevers*   50  (25.1%)   49      (24.6%)   0.908  Night  sweats*   54  (27.1%)   77      (38.7%)   0.014  Chest  pain*   99  (49.7%)   115  (57.8%)   0.108  Cavities  on  CXR   24  (12.1%)   41      (20.6%)   0.021  Paracavitary  fibrosis  on  CXR  

14  (7.1%)   20      (20.1%)   0.282  

Pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

23  (11.6%)   35      (17.6%)   0.088  

Fungal  ball  on  CXR   5      (2.5%)   10      (5%)   0.188  Positive  Aspergillus  IgG  

12  (6%)   27      (13.6%)   0.011  

Median  Aspergillus  IgG  level  

3.84  mg/L   4.65  mg/L   0.000**  

Likely  CPA     4        (2%)   8          (4%)   0.38***  Likely  simple  aspergilloma  

1        (0.5%)   1          (0.5%)   1***  

Unspecified  fungal  ball  

3        (1.5%)   8          (4%)   0.22***  

Raised  Aspergillus  IgG,  but  no  pulmonary  aspergillosis  

7        (3.5%)   18      (9%)   0.023  

*present  for  1  month  or  longer.  **  medians  compared  by  Mann  Whitney  U  test.  ***Fishers  exact  test  used.  3952    3953  

3954  

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Table  8  –  Symptoms  and  tests  for  HIV  positive  patients  by  CD4  count  groups  3955  

Results   CD4   count   <  200   cells/µL  n=  23  

CD4   count  200   –   499  cells/µL  n=94  

CD4   count   ≥  500   cells/µL  n=74  

p-­‐value  

Cough*   6      (26%)   26  (27.7%)   17  (23%)   0.787  Haemoptysis*   0     3      (3.2%)   2        (2.7%)   0.690  Fatigue*   9      (39.1%)   48  (51.1%)   35    (47.3%)   0.580  Breathlessness*   10  (43.5%)   44  (46.8%)   37    (50%)   0.839  Fevers*   4        (17.4%)   20  (21.3%)   24    (32.4%)   0.168  Night  sweats*   5        (21.7%)   26  (27.7%)   20    (27%)   0.845  Chest  pain*   10  (43.5%)   49  (52.1%)   36    (48.6%)   0.737  Cavities  on  CXR   2        (8.7%)   14  (14.9%)   8        (10.8%)   0.611  Paracavitary  fibrosis  on  CXR  

1        (4.3%)   7        (7.4%)   6        (8.1%)   0.832  

Pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

3        (13%)   13  (13.8%)   7        (9.5%)   0.680  

Fungal  ball  on  CXR  

0   4    (4.3%)   1        (1.4%)   0.355  

Positive  Aspergillus  IgG  

0   5    (5.3%)   6        (8.1%)   0.334  

Median  Aspergillus  IgG  level  

3.77  mg/L   3.98  mg/L   3.65  mg/L   0.809**  

Likely  CPA     0   2    (2.1%)   2        (2.7%)   0.731  Likely  simple  aspergilloma  

0   1    (1.1%)   0   0.595  

Unspecified  fungal  ball  

0   2    (2.1%)   1        (1.4%)   0.749  

Raised  Aspergillus  IgG,  but  no  pulmonary  aspergillosis  

0   2    (2.1%)   4        (5.4%)   0.315  

*present  for  1  month  or  longer.  **  medians  compared  by  independent  samples  median  test  3956  3957  

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 3958  

Table  9  –  Antibody  levels  and  diagnoses  by  year  of  starting  tuberculosis  treatment  3959  

Symptom   2012      n  =  27  

2011      n  =  89  

2010      n  =  80  

2009      n  =  57  

2008      n  =  58  

2007      n  =  41  

2006  or  earlier  n  =  46  

P  value  

Median  Aspergillus  IgG  level  (mg/L)  

4   4.4   4.2   4.8   4.1   4.1   4   0.795*  

Positive  Aspergillus  IgG  

1    (3.7%)  

7  (7.9%)  

5    (6.2%)  

8    (14%)  

10  (17.2%)  

2  (4.9%)  

5  (10.9%)  

0.188  

Likely  CPA     0   3  (3.4%)  

2    (2.5%)  

3    (5.3%)  

3    (5.2%)  

1  (2.4%)  

0   0.632  

Likely  simple  aspergilloma  

0   0   0   0   1    (1.7%)  

0   1    (2.2%)  

0.450  

Unspecified  fungal  ball  

0   1  (1.1%)  

1    (1.2%)  

3  (5.2%)  

2    (3.4%)  

2  (4.9%)  

2    (4.3%)  

0.564  

Raised  Aspergillus  IgG,  but  no  pulmonary  aspergillosis  

1  (3.7%)  

4    (4.5%)  

3    (5%)  

5  (8.8%)  

6  (10.3%)  

1  (2.4%)  

4    (8.7%)  

0.482  

*  medians  compared  by  independent  samples  median  test  3960    3961  

Discussion  3962  

 3963  

We   have   demonstrated   that   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   is   present   in   9.8%   of   our  3964  

cohort  of  Ugandan  adults  with  previously  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis,  but  only  2%  3965  

of  healthy   controls.  This  difference  was   statistically   significant  with  a  p-­‐value  of  0.01.  3966  

This  is  first  study  to  measure  this  in  a  community-­‐based  survey.  Previous  publications  3967  

reported   higher   frequencies   of   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   antibodies   in   patients   with  3968  

treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  80,146,192,221,  but  these  were  conducted  in  highly  selected  3969  

groups   of   patients   attending   tertiary   referral   hospitals   for   follow   up   due   to   ongoing  3970  

symptomatic   illness.   Our   community-­‐based   study   provides   a   more   accurate  3971  

measurement  of  the  overall  frequency  of  this  finding  in  this  patient  group.  3972  

 3973  

Symptoms  were  common  in  the  study  group,  with  cough  reported  by  33%  of  all  patients  3974  

and  breathlessness  by  48%  of  all  patients.  However,  the  presence  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐3975  

specific   IgG  was   associated  with   a   statistically   significant   increase   in   the   presence   of  3976  

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both   haemoptysis   and   chest   pain.   Fatigue,   breathlessness   and   fevers  were   also  more  3977  

common   in   the  group  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG,  but   these  associations  were  3978  

non-­‐significant.  3979  

 3980  

All  patients  underwent  chest  X-­‐ray.  Radiological  abnormalities  were  less  common  in  the  3981  

overall  study  population  than  reported  symptoms,  with  cavities  and  pleural  thickening  3982  

both  noted  in  around  15%  of  X-­‐rays.  There  was  a  statistically  significant  increase  in  the  3983  

frequency   of   cavities,   pleural   thickening   and   suspected   fungal   ball   in   patients   with  3984  

raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   compared   to   those  with   normal   antibody   levels.   There  3985  

was  also  a  non-­‐significant  increase  in  the  frequency  of  paracavitary  fibrosis  associated  3986  

with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels.  3987  

 3988  

We   compared   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   different   groups   of   patients   with  3989  

previously  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  There  was  a  statistically  significant  increase  3990  

in   the   frequency   of   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   in   HIV   negative   patients  3991  

compared   to   HIV   positive   patients.   The   study  was   not   powered   to   detect   differences  3992  

between   other   patient   groups.   There   was,   however   a   non-­‐significant   trend   towards  3993  

increased  frequency  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  in  HIV  positive  patients  with  higher  CD4  3994  

cell  counts  compared  to  those  with  lower  CD4  cell  counts.    3995  

 3996  

There  was  also  a  statistically  significant  increase  in  the  number  of  patients  with  cavities  3997  

on  chest  X-­‐ray   in   the  HIV  negative  group,   compared   to   the  HIV  positive  group,  as  has  3998  

been  observed  previously266.  The  presence  of  residual  cavities  after  tuberculosis  might  3999  

result   in   increased   vulnerability   to   Aspergillus   infection,   in   which   case   the   increased  4000  

level   of   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   the   HIV   negative   group   might   reflect   a  4001  

genuinely  higher  rate  of  CPA  in  this  group.    4002  

 4003  

An   alternative   explanation   for   this   finding  would   be   that   patients  with  HIV   infection,  4004  

especially  those  with  low  CD4  counts,  might  form  a  less  effective  antibody  response  to  4005  

active  Aspergillus  infection  than  HIV  negative  patients.  However,  the  presence  of  raised  4006  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   26%   of   Ugandan   in   patients   with   AIDS   and   sub-­‐acute  4007  

respiratory  disease  with  no  confirmed  diagnosis  (paper  4),  demonstrates  that  patients  4008  

with  AIDS  can  mount  an  antibody  response  to  Aspergillus.  It  therefore  seems  most  likely  4009  

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that   pulmonary   aspergillosis   does   occur   more   frequently   in   HIV   negative   patients,  4010  

perhaps  on  account  of  the  increased  frequency  of  pulmonary  cavitation  in  this  group.  4011  

 4012  

It  is  important  to  note  that  this  study  only  measured  antibodies  to  Aspergillus  fumigatus.  4013  

This   species   is   responsible   for   over   90%   of   aspergillosis   in   Europe   5,66,108.   In   such  4014  

circumstances  measuring  A.  fumigatus  specific  IgG  gives  a  reasonably  reliable  measure  4015  

of  the  overall  prevalence  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.  However  most  aspergillosis  4016  

in  India  and  the  Middle  East  is  due  to  A.  flavus10  and  A.  niger  is  common  in  Brazil147.  A.  4017  

fumigatus   assays   can   have   poor   sensitivity   for   infection   with   other   Aspergillus  4018  

species147,148.  The  sole  published  study  describing   the   frequency  of   fungal  co-­‐infection  4019  

in   African   tuberculosis   patients   showed   two   cases   of   A.   niger   and   two   cases   of  4020  

histoplasmosis213.   It   is   not   therefore   clear   whether   A.   fumigatus   is   likely   to   be   the  4021  

dominant  species  of  Aspergillus  causing  disease  in  humans  in  Uganda.  If  other  species  of  4022  

Aspergillus  are  common  in  Uganda  then  our  study  might  significantly  underestimate  the  4023  

total  prevalence  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  in  the  study  population.  4024  

 4025  

Histoplasmosis   is   also   known   to   exist   in   Uganda268   and   blastomycosis   elsewhere   in  4026  

Africa232.  These  and  other  chronic   fungal   lung   infections  can  also  cause  chronic  cough  4027  

with   progressive   lung   cavitation   and   fibrosis290–292.   Cross   reactivity   between   other  4028  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  assays  and  Penicillium  antibodies  has  been  noted269  and  might  4029  

theoretically  also  occur  with  other  fungi.  If  this  does  occur  then  in  some  cases  of  raised  4030  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   found   in   our   study   might   be   due   to   infection   with   another  4031  

fungus.    4032  

 4033  

It  is  also  possible  that  some  of  the  11  (2.8%)  of  patients  with  ‘unspecified  fungal  ball’  on  4034  

chest   X-­‐ray   might   be   suffering   from   chronic   infection   with   another   fungus   and   that  4035  

cross-­‐reaction   with   the   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   assay   is   not   occurring   in   these   cases.    4036  

The   alternative   explanation   of   erroneous   reporting   of   chest   X-­‐rays   must   also   be  4037  

considered.  We   aim   to   perform  CT   scan   on   all   patients  with   reported   ‘fungal   ball’   on  4038  

chest  X-­‐ray  during  the  resurvey  to  confirm  that  a  fungal  ball   is   indeed  present  in  each  4039  

case.  4040  

 4041  

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This  study  was  not  designed  to  measure  the  precise  prevalence  of  CPA.  All  the  currently  4042  

published   case   cohorts   of   CPA   include   CT   scan   rather   than   chest   X-­‐ray   in   their  4043  

diagnostic   criteria.   They   also   include   progressive   lung   cavitation   and   exclusion   of  4044  

chronic   lung   conditions   as   mandatory   diagnostic   features   for   CPA.   None   of   these  4045  

features   are   included   in   this   study.  We  will   later   undertake   a   resurvey   of   this   cohort  4046  

with  repeat  chest  X-­‐ray,  CT   thorax  and  exclusion  of   recurrent  pulmonary   tuberculosis  4047  

with  geneXpert  sputum  PCR  testing  to  permit  measurement  of  the  prevalence  of  CPA  in  4048  

this  cohort.  4049  

 4050  

While  this  study  cannot  measure  the  precise  prevalence  of  CPA,  it  is  the  first  survey  of  4051  

its  kind   in  an  area  of  high  HIV  prevalence  and  some  useful   conclusions  can  be  drawn  4052  

regarding  the  prevalence  of  CPA.  15  (3.8%)  of  patients  had  a  suspected  fungal  ball  on  4053  

chest  X-­‐ray  and  4  (1%)  of  all  patients  had  a  combination  of   fungal  ball  on  chest  X-­‐ray  4054  

and  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.  The  latter  group  is  highly  likely  to  be  suffering  from  4055  

some  form  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  This  finding  alone  suggests  that  CPA  is  likely  to  4056  

occur   with   measurable   frequency   in   Ugandan   adults   with   treated   pulmonary  4057  

tuberculosis.  4058  

 4059  

We  have  identified  ‘likely  CPA’  in  12  (3%)  patients  and  simple  aspergilloma  in  2  (0.5%)  4060  

patients.   We   cannot   be   certain   CPA   is   present   in   these   patients   in   the   absence   of  4061  

progressive  radiology  or  CT  scan.  However,   the  Siemens  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  assay  4062  

used  has  a  sensitivity  of  96%  and  specificity  of  98%  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  (paper  1).  4063  

The  combination  of  chronic  cough  or  haemoptysis,  plus  cavities  or  fungal  ball  on  chest  4064  

X-­‐ray  and  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  in  these  patients  is  therefore  likely  to  be  due  to  4065  

CPA.   Indeed   the  98%  specificity  of   the  Siemens  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  assay  suggests  4066  

that  many   of   the   25   (6.3%)  patients  with   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in  whom   the  4067  

symptomatic   and   radiological   criteria   for   CPA   have   not   met   in   this   study   will   be  4068  

confirmed  as  having  CPA  in  the  resurvey.  4069  

 4070  

Our  study  suffered  from  further  limitations.  The  convenience  sampling  method  used  is  4071  

vulnerable  to  selection  bias.  Only  survivors  are  recruited.  The  5-­‐year  mortality  of  CPA  is  4072  

up  to  80%7.  By  allowing  recruitment  of  patients  treated  for  tuberculosis  up  to  7  years  4073  

ago  we  might  therefore  have  missed  patients  who  developed  CPA  soon  after  completing  4074  

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tuberculosis   treatment   and   subsequently   succumbed   to   the   condition.   This   could   be  4075  

especially  important  in  the  HIV  positive  group,  where  pulmonary  aspergillosis  presents  4076  

in   subacute   invasive   form52,223,236.   Such   patients   would   normally   die   within   months  4077  

without  treatment.  4078  

 4079  

Despite   these   limitations  we  have  demonstrated   that   there   is  a  statistically  significant  4080  

increase   in   the   frequency   of   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   adults   with   treated  4081  

pulmonary   tuberculosis,   in   comparison   to   healthy   controls   in   Uganda.   We   cannot  4082  

definitively  state  the   frequency  of  CPA  in  this  study,  but  we  can  state  with  reasonable  4083  

confidence  that  it  must  lie  between  1%  (the  number  of  patients  with  fungal  ball  on  chest  4084  

X-­‐ray  plus  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG)  and  10%  (the   total  number  of  patients  with  4085  

raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG).    4086  

 4087  

We  have  estimated  that  3.5%  of  all  patients  with  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  this  4088  

cohort   are   suffering   from   CPA   or   simple   aspergilloma.     We   are   now   conducting   a  4089  

resurvey  with  repeat  chest  X-­‐ray  and  CT  thorax  to  confirm  the  prevalence  of  CPA.  If  this  4090  

study  confirms  our  estimate  of  the  prevalence  of  CPA  this  would  constitute  evidence  of  4091  

a  life  threatening  and  previously  neglected  complication  of  tuberculosis  occurring  with  4092  

clinically  relevant  frequency.  4093  

 4094  

Hypothesis  4095  

 4096  

That  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  is  complicated  by  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  4097  

in   adults   and   that   an   increased   frequency   of   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   can  4098  

therefore  be  detected  in  patients  with  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  comparison  to  4099  

healthy  controls.  4100  

 4101  

Aims  4102  

 4103  

1   –   To   measure   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   a   group   of   Ugandan   adults   with  4104  

previously  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  4105  

 4106  

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2  –  To  determine  the  frequency  of  raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  in  this  group,  4107  

using  the  diagnostic  cut  off  defined  in  paper  1.  4108  

 4109  

3  –  To  record   the   frequency  of  various  chronic  symptoms  associated  with  CPA   in   this  4110  

population  using  a  structured  questionnaire.  4111  

 4112  

4   –   To   perform   chest   X-­‐ray   on   all   patients   in   this   group   and   record   the   frequency   of  4113  

abnormalities  associated  with  CPA.  4114  

 4115  

5  –  To  determine  if  raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  are  associated  with  increased  4116  

frequency  of  symptoms  or  X-­‐ray  abnormalities.  4117  

 4118  

6   –   To   estimate   the   prevalence   of   CPA   in   this   population,   as   accurately   as   possible  4119  

within  the  limitations  of  this  study  design.  4120  

 4121  

7   –   To   compare   the   frequency   of   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG,   symptoms,   X-­‐ray  4122  

changes   and   likely  CPA   secondary   to   treated  pulmonary   tuberculosis   in  patients  with  4123  

and  without  HIV  infection.  4124  

 4125  

Ethics  4126  

 4127  

Ethical  permission  for  this  study  was  granted  by  the  University  of  Manchester,  UK  (ref  4128  

11424),   Gulu   University   IRB,   Uganda   (GU/IRC/04/07/12)   and   the   Ugandan   National  4129  

Council  for  Science  and  Technology  (ref  HS1253).  4130  

 4131  

Funding  4132  

 4133  

Funding   to   conduct   this   study   was   provided   by   the   Manchester   Academy   academic  4134  

charity.  Test  kits  for  use  in  the  study  were  kindly  donated  by  Siemens  (Germany).  4135  

 4136  

Acknowledgements  4137  

 4138  

We  are  indebted  to  the  following  persons  and  organisations;  4139  

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• Gulu  District  Health   team   for   their   substantial   assistance   in   identifying   eligible  4140  

patients.    4141  

• Study  assistants  Geoffrey  Abwola  and  Thomas  Okumu  for  their  work  throughout  4142  

the  study.  4143  

• Gulu  Regional  Referral  Hospital   Infectious  Diseases  Clinic   for  providing  us  with  4144  

space  to  review  patients  and  assisting  in  identifying  eligible  patients  from  those  4145  

attending  clinic.    4146  

• The   Joint   Clinical   Research   Centre   (JCRC)   Gulu   laboratory   for   the   storage   and  4147  

cataloging  of  samples  and  performing  CD4  counts.  4148  

• Brother   Carlos   and   the   radiology   staff   at   St.   Mary’s   Hospital,   Lacor   for   their  4149  

assistance  in  performing  chest  X-­‐ray  on  study  patients.    4150  

• Andrew   Mockridge   of   Manchester   University   for   his   practical   assistance   in  4151  

planning  the  study  in  Gulu.  4152  

• The   North   West   Lung   Centre   at   University   Hospital   of   South   Manchester   for  4153  

providing  storage  of  serum  samples.    4154  

• Department   of   Pathology   at   Christie   Hospital,   Manchester   for   allowing   us   to  4155  

access  their  Siemens  Immulite  2000  to  test  study  samples.  4156  

4157  

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 4158  

PAPER 3 - Prevalence of chronic pulmonary aspergillosis (CPA) secondary to 4159  

tuberculosis: a cross-sectional survey in an area of high tuberculosis prevalence. 4160  

 4161  

Authors  4162  

 4163  

Iain  D  Page  –   Institute  of   Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  UK,  4164  

Manchester   Academic   Health   Science   Centre,   UK,   National   Aspergillosis   Center,  4165  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  4166  

 4167  

Nathan  Onyachi  –  Gulu  Regional  Referral  Hospital,  Uganda.  4168  

 4169  

Cyprian  Opira  –  St.  Mary’s  Hospital,  Lacor,  Gulu,  Uganda.  4170  

 4171  

Sharath  Hosmane  –  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK  4172  

 4173  

Rosemary  Byanyima  –  Kampala  Imaging  Centre,  Uganda  4174  

 4175  

Richard  Sawyer  -­‐  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK  4176  

 4177  

Malcolm   Richardson   –   Institute   of   Inflammation   and   Repair,   The   University   of  4178  

Manchester,  UK,  Manchester  Academic  Health  Science  Centre,  UK,  National  Aspergillosis  4179  

Center  and  Mycology  Reference  Centre,  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  4180  

 4181  

David  W  Denning–  Institute  of  Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  4182  

UK,   Manchester   Academy   Health   Science   Centre,   UK,   National   Aspergillosis   Centre,  4183  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  4184  

 4185  

4186  

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Abstract  4187  

 4188  

Chronic   cavitary  pulmonary  aspergillosis   (CPA)   is   estimated   to   complicate  1.2  million  4189  

cases   of   pulmonary   tuberculosis   worldwide.   This   includes   both   chronic   cavitary  4190  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CCPA)  and  simple  aspergilloma.  CPA  has  a  5-­‐year  mortality  of  4191  

50   –   80%,   but   is   treatable.   We   measured   the   prevalence   of   CPA   in   an   area   of   high  4192  

tuberculosis  prevalence.  4193  

 4194  

In  2012  to  2013  we  surveyed  400  adult  patients  with  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  4195  

Gulu,  Uganda.  Half  also  had  HIV  infection.  Between  October  2014  and  January  2015  we  4196  

conducted  a  re-­‐survey.  Patients  underwent  clinical  assessment  and  chest  X-­‐rays.  Those  4197  

with  raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  or  suspicion  of  aspergilloma  had  a  CT  chest  4198  

scan.  Those  with  productive  cough  submitted  sputum  for  GeneXpert  PCR.    4199  

 4200  

CCPA   was   diagnosed   in   any   patient   who   did   not   have   recurrent   active   pulmonary  4201  

tuberculosis,   but   had   all   the   following;   1   –   Cough   or   haemoptysis   for   one   month   or  4202  

more,  2  –  Raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG,  3  –  Progressive  cavitation  on  serial  chest  X-­‐ray  4203  

or   cavities   with   paracavitary   infiltrates   or   aspergilloma   on   CT   scan.     Simple  4204  

aspergilloma   was   diagnosed   in   persons   with   aspergilloma   on   CT   scan   and   raised  4205  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG,  but  no  chronic  cough  or  haemoptysis.  4206  

 4207  

282   patients   were   re-­‐surveyed.   There   was   no   significant   difference   in   patient  4208  

characteristics  between   the  surveys.  99   (35%)  patients  resurveyed  had  cough  and  31  4209  

(11%)  had  haemoptysis.  31  (11%)  had  progressive  cavitation  on  serial  chest  X-­‐ray.  29  4210  

(10%)  patients  had  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.  43  (15%)  patients  had  paracavitary  4211  

fibrosis  on  CT   scan  and  14   (5%)  had  aspergilloma.  25  patients  underwent  GeneXpert  4212  

sputum  testing  and  3  had  confirmed  active  tuberculosis,  none  of  whom  had  Aspergillus  4213  

co-­‐infection.  4214  

 4215  

CCPA  was  present  in  16  (6%)  patients  resurveyed.  A  further  2  (1%)  patients  had  simple  4216  

aspergilloma.  CPA  was  diagnosed   in  62%  of   those  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG.  4217  

10  of   the  12  patients  diagnosed  with   likely  CCPA  based  on  chest  X-­‐ray   findings   in   the  4218  

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first  survey  were  re-­‐surveyed.  All  10  had  CT  changes  consistent  with  CCPA.  HIV  status  4219  

had  no  significant  impact  on  CPA  prevalence.  4220  

 4221  

CPA  complicates  pulmonary  tuberculosis  with  clinically  relevant  frequency.  This  survey  4222  

supports  the  estimated  global  5-­‐year  point  prevalence  of  CPA  secondary  tuberculosis  of  4223  

1.3  million   cases.   CPA   should   be   considered   for   in   any   patient  with   a   background   of  4224  

pulmonary   tuberculosis   who   presents   with   cough,   haemoptysis   or   progressive  4225  

cavitation.   Access   to   diagnosis   and   treatment   for   CPA   is   almost   non-­‐existent   in  most  4226  

areas  with  high  tuberculosis  prevalence.  Improving  this  should  be  an  urgent  priority  in  4227  

global  health.  4228  

 4229  

 4230  

4231  

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Introduction  4232  

 4233  

An  estimated  9  million  people  developed  tuberculosis  in  2013215.  It  was  associated  with  4234  

1.5   million   deaths,   of   which   only   210,000   were   estimated   to   be   due   to   multidrug  4235  

resistant   strains.   Many   of   the   other   1.29   million   deaths   will   have   been   due   to   late  4236  

presentation  to  medical  care,  lack  of  diagnosis,  poor  access  to  treatment  or  inadequate  4237  

adherence,   given   that   they   mostly   occurred   in   resource-­‐poor   countries   with   weak  4238  

health  infrastructure.  However,  misdiagnosis  may  also  have  contributed  to  the  problem.  4239  

 4240  

Chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CPA)   is   a   condition   that   complicates   tuberculosis14.  4241  

CPA   includes   both   chronic   cavitary   pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CCPA)   and   simple  4242  

aspergilloma.  CCPA  usually  presents  with  progressive  pulmonary  cavitation  associated  4243  

with  weight  loss,  persistent  cough  and  haemoptysis5,7,8.  It  has  a  5-­‐year  mortality  of  50  –  4244  

80%6,7,264  and  has  recently  been  estimated  to  affect  around  3  million  people  globally11–4245  13,   including   1.3   million   cases   secondary   to   tuberculosis11.   This   estimate   takes   no  4246  

account  of  the  potential  impact  of  HIV  co-­‐infection,  which  is  present  in  half  of  the  cases  4247  

of  suspected  pulmonary  tuberculosis  notified  in  Uganda215.  4248  

 4249  

Undiagnosed   CCPA   could   therefore   be   making   a   substantial   contribution   to   the  4250  

observed   mortality   rates   attributed   to   tuberculosis.   Both   conditions   present   with  4251  

cavities,   pleural   thickening   and   fibrosis   on   chest   X-­‐ray266,280.   Aspergillomas   are  4252  

distinctive,   but   while   they   are   present   in   all   cases   of   simple   aspergilloma,   they   are  4253  

present   in   only   25-­‐36%   of   cases   of   CCPA   in   developed   countries8,58.   Raised   levels   of  4254  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   are   key   to   diagnosis   of   CPA5,7,8,   but   this   test   is   generally  4255  

unavailable  in  Africa220.  In  Uganda  34%  of  all  notified  cases  of  pulmonary  tuberculosis  4256  

are  clinically  diagnosed  with  no  microbiological  proof  of  tuberculosis  infection215.  Some  4257  

of  these  cases  may  well  be  CCPA  misdiagnosed  as  tuberculosis.  4258  

 4259  

Large   CPA   case   series   have   been   reported   in   the  UK,   France,   India,   China,   Korea   and  4260  

Japan  and   the  majority  of  cases  are  secondary   to   tuberculosis7,8,14,15,18,108,198.  Over  180  4261  

cases   of   CPA   have   been   reported   throughout   Africa,   including   South   Africa,   Nigeria,  4262  

Ivory   Coast,   Senegal,   Central   African   Republic,   Djibouti,   Ethiopia,   Tanzania   and  4263  

Uganda16,201–212.  Over  90%  of  African  cases  were  secondary  to  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  4264  

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The  prevalence  of  CPA  was  measured   in  544  patients  with  residual   lung  cavities  after  4265  

tuberculosis  treatment  in  the  UK  in  1968-­‐7076,197.  Precipitating  antibodies  to  Aspergillus  4266  

fumigatus  were  present  in  34%,  of  whom  63%  had  an  aspergilloma  visible  on  chest  X-­‐4267  

ray  within  48  months  of  completion  of  tuberculosis  treatment.  Subsequent  series  have  4268  

found  positive  Aspergillus-­‐specific  antibodies   in  20-­‐27%  of  patients  previously  treated  4269  

for  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  Japan,  India  and  Brazil80,146,192,221.  4270  

 4271  

CPA  prevalence  in  areas  where  tuberculosis  is  now  common  might  differ  from  the  UK  in  4272  

1968-­‐70.  Rates  of  Aspergillus   rhinitis   and  keratitis   are  higher   in   countries  with  warm  4273  

climates   and   many   subsistence   farmers10.   This   might   also   be   true   for   CPA.   Biomass  4274  

smoke-­‐induced   emphysema   is   common   in   Africa222   and   might   increase   CPA   risk14.  4275  

Crucially   HIV   co-­‐infection   might   either   result   in   more   CPA   cases   due   to  4276  

immunosuppression52,223,224  or  fewer  due  to  reduced  the  rate  of  residual  cavitation  seen  4277  

in  those  co-­‐infected  with  HIV225–227.  4278  

 4279  

CPA   is   treatable.   Oral   treatment   with   itraconazole,   voriconazole   or   posaconazole  4280  

prevents   clinical   and   radiological   progression18,58,108,198,251.   Surgery   is   curative   in  4281  

selected  patients  with   localized  disease15,21  and  has  been  safely  delivered   in  resource-­‐4282  

poor  settings16,54,212.    4283  

 4284  

We   conducted   a   cross-­‐sectional   survey   to  measure   the   prevalence   of   CPA   in   persons  4285  

with  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  Gulu,  Uganda.  We  targeted  recruitment  of  50%  4286  

of   patients   with   HIV   co-­‐infection   to   measure   the   impact   of   this   on   CPA   rates.   We  4287  

therefore   used   a   case   definition6,264   that   would   capture   both   CCPA   and   the   subacute  4288  

invasive   aspergillosis   seen   in   HIV5,6,52,223,236,264.   We   diagnosed   simple   aspergilloma   in  4289  

patients  with  aspergilloma  and  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG,  but  no  chronic  cough  or  4290  

haemoptysis.  Taken  together  these  conditions  represent  the  total  prevalence  of  chronic  4291  

pulmonary  aspergillosis.  4292  

 4293  

An   initial   survey   was   conducted   in   2012   (paper   2).   It   recorded   presence   of   chronic  4294  

symptoms,   performed   chest   X-­‐ray   and   measured   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   using   the  4295  

Siemens  Immulite  2000  system.  This  assay  has  specificity  of  98%  and  sensitivity  of  96%  4296  

for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  (paper  1).    398  patients  were  assessed.  39  (9.8%)  were  found  4297  

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to  have   raised   levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  and  15   (3.8%)  had  a   suspected   fungal  4298  

ball  on  chest  X-­‐ray.  Within  the  limits  of  this  single  survey  it  was  estimated  that  12  (3%)  4299  

of  patients  were   likely   to  be  suffering   from  CPA  as   they  had  a  combination  of  chronic  4300  

cough  or  haemoptysis,  plus  cavitation  or  fungal  ball  on  chest  X-­‐ray  and  had  raised  levels  4301  

of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.  A  further  2  (0.5%)  asymptomatic  patients  were  suspected  to  4302  

be  suffering  from  simple  aspergilloma  as  they  had  a  combination  of  fungal  ball  on  chest  4303  

X-­‐ray  and  raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.  However  this  first  survey  was  limited  4304  

in  its  ability  to  accurately  identify  cases  of  CPA  due  to  the  lack  of  CT  scans  and  lack  of  4305  

exclusion   of   recurrent   tuberculosis.   It   was   also   impossible   to   identify   progressive  4306  

cavitation  on  the  basis  of  a  single  survey.  4307  

 4308  

A   resurvey   was   therefore   conducted   in   2014   to   allow   accurate   measurement   of   the  4309  

prevalence  of  CPA.  This  included  repeated  clinical  assessment,  serology  and  chest  X-­‐ray.  4310  

Patients  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  or  suspicion  of  fungal  ball  on  chest  X-­‐ray  in  4311  

2012  also  underwent  CT  chest  scan.  The  impact  of  potential  risk  factors,  including  HIV  4312  

co-­‐infection,  on  the  frequency  of  CPA  was  assessed.  4313  

 4314  

Methods  4315  

 4316  

Study  design  and  participants  4317  

 4318  

398  patients  were   recruited   in  2012  as  described   in  paper  2.  Patients  enrolled   in   the  4319  

first   survey   were   traced   by   District   Health   Tuberculosis   Team   staff   and   re-­‐assessed  4320  

between   October   2014   and   January   2015.   All   patients   underwent   repeat   clinical  4321  

examination   and   chest   X-­‐ray,   which   was   reported   as   before.   Repeat   Immulite  4322  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   were   measured   on   serum.     Patient   flow   and   recruitment  4323  

outcomes  are  shown  in  figure  1.  4324  

 4325  

CT   scan   (GE  Duo-­‐slice,  USA)  was   performed   at   the  Kampala   Imaging  Center   on   those  4326  

with   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   or   suspicion   of   aspergilloma   on   2012   chest   X-­‐ray.  4327  

Digital  CT  scan   images  were  saved  and  accessed  with  OsirisX  software  (Pixmeo  SARL,  4328  

Switzerland).  Patient   flow  for   those  selected   for  CT  scan   is  shown  in   figure  2.  Reports  4329  

were   provided   by   three   radiologists,   in   the   same   manner   as   chest   X-­‐rays.   Verbal  4330  

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autopsy   was   performed   by   district   health   workers   in   those   that   died   between  4331  

surveys293.  4332  

 4333  

Sputum  was  taken  from  all  patients  who  were  able  to  provide  a  sample  and  underwent  4334  

GeneXpert   IV   (Cepheid,   USA)   Mycobacterium   tuberculosis   nucleic   acid   amplification  4335  

testing.    Patient  flow  for  patients  with  productive  cough  is  shown  in  figure  3.  4336  

 4337  

Diagnostic  criteria  4338  

 4339  

CCPA  was  diagnosed  when  ALL  four  of  the  following  criteria  were  met:-­‐  4340  

 4341  

1   –   Symptoms   -­‐   patients  must   have   been   suffering   from   at   least   one   of   the   following  4342  

symptoms  for  no  less  than  1  month.  4343  

• Haemoptysis  4344  

• Cough  4345  

 4346  

2  –  Radiological  changes  –  at  least  one  of  the  following  features  must  be  present  4347  

• Fungal  ball  on  CT  scan  4348  

• Cavitation  with  paracavitary  fibrosis  on  CT  scan  4349  

• New  or  progressive  cavitation  on  serial  chest  X-­‐ray  4350  

 4351  

3  –  Raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  4352  

 4353  

4  –  Absence  of  positive  GeneXpert  test  for  M.  tuberculosis  4354  

 4355  

In  addition,  simple  aspergilloma  was  diagnosed  in  patients  with  fungal  ball  on  CT  scan  4356  

and   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG,   but   no   chronic   cough   or   haemoptysis.   100   control  4357  

sera  had  previously  been  collected  from  healthy  Ugandan  blood  donors  (paper  1).  These  4358  

were   used   in   receiver   operating   characteristic   curve   studies   to   define   the   diagnostic  4359  

threshold  of  10  mg/L  used  in  this  study.  4360  

 4361  

Chest  X-­‐rays  and  CT  scans  were  both  reported  by  the  author  on  the  day  of  testing  and  4362  

patients   were   informed   of   their   diagnosis.   Where   CPA   was   diagnosed   patients   were  4363  

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provided  with  a  written  statement  of  the  diagnosis  together  with  an  advisory  treatment  4364  

plan,  with  advice  to  attend  the  Gulu  Regional  Referral  Hospital  Infectious  Diseases  clinic  4365  

for   follow   up.   Patients   with   resectable   disease   were   referred   to   the   cardiothoracic  4366  

surgical   unit   at  Mulago  Hospital,   Kampala   for   surgical   treatment.  Where   surgery  was  4367  

not  appropriate  treatment  with  oral  itraconazole  was  recommended.  4368  

 4369  

Statistical  methods  4370  

 4371  

Statistical  analysis  was  performed  using  SPSS  v20  (IBM,  USA).  Rates  of  CPA  in  groups  of  4372  

patients  with  and  without  potential  risk  factors  were  compared  using  chi-­‐squared  test,  4373  

except  for  comparisons  with  less  than  5  patients  in  one  group,  where  Fisher’s  exact  test  4374  

was   used.   Comparison   of   means   for   continuous   variables   in   different   groups   with  4375  

normal  distribution  was  performed  using  2-­‐sided  t  test.  Where  distribution  was  skewed  4376  

Mann  Whitney  U  test  was  used.  4377  

 4378  

Results  4379  

 4380  

Patient   characteristics   for   the   original   survey   and   re-­‐survey   are   compared   in   table   1.    4381  

There  is  no  evidence  that  the  resurvey  recruitment  process  introduced  bias,  as  there  are  4382  

no  significant  differences  in  characteristics  between  the  groups.    4383  

 4384  

389   patients   were   recruited   in   2012.   282   of   these   patients   were   reviewed   in   the  4385  

resurvey.   Recruitment   outcomes   for   all   patients   from   the   2012   survey   are   shown   in  4386  

figure   1.   29   of   these   patients   had   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   2012   and   were  4387  

eligible   for   CT   scan.   A   further   45   patients   in   the   re-­‐survey   group   had   a   suspicion   of  4388  

aspergilloma  on   their  2012  chest  X-­‐ray  and  also  underwent  CT  scan,  with  73  persons  4389  

undergoing  CT  scan  in  total.  CT  scan  outcomes  are  shown  in  figure  2.  4390  

 4391  

All  patients  who  could  provide  a  sputum  sample  underwent  GeneXpert  PCR  testing  for  4392  

recurrent   tuberculosis.   In   two   cases   the   GeneXpert  machine  was   not   functioning   and  4393  

smear  test  was  performed  in  its  place.  Two  cases  of  active  pulmonary  tuberculosis  were  4394  

identified.   A   third   patient   was   diagnosed   with   multi-­‐drug   resistant   tuberculosis  4395  

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between  the  original  study  and  the  resurvey.  None  of  the  three  patients  had  evidence  of  4396  

additional  CPA.  A  breakdown  of  GeneXpert  test  outcomes  is  shown  in  figure  3.  4397  

 4398  

Table  1  –  Patient  characteristics    4399  

 4400  

Characteristic  in  2012   Original  survey  n=398  

Re-­‐survey    n=  282  

p-­‐value*  

Female  gender   155  (38.9%)   99      (35.1%)   0.308  Mean  age  in  years  (range)  

42        (16-­‐83)   42      (16-­‐82)   0.53**  

Positive  sputum  smear  at  TB  diagnosis  

303  (76.1%)   222  (78.7%)   0.427  

HIV  infection   199    (50%)   134  (47.5%)   0.524  Median  2012  CD4  count  in  HIV  positive  persons  (range)  

424  (14  –  1400)  cells/µL  

424  (59  -­‐  1400)  cells/µL  

0.867***  

2012  CD4  count  <  200  cells/µL    

23        (12%#)   15        (11.6%##)   0.911  

2012  CD4  count  200  –  499  cells/µL    

94        (49.2%#)   65        (50.4%##)   0.837  

2012  CD4  count  ≥  500  cells/µL  

74        (38.7%#)   49        (38%##)   0.891  

Traditional  ‘grass-­‐thatch’  home  

371    (93.2%)   267    (94.7%)   0.434  

Patient  reports  dampness  in  home  

119    (29.9%)   76          (27%)   0.402  

Patient  is  a  subsistence  farmer  

373    (93.7%)   267    (94.7%)   0.599  

Patient  frequently  cooks  on  open  charcoal  stove  

194    (48.7%)   127    (45%)   0.34  

Patient  smokes  tobacco   39          (9.8%)   30        (10.6%)   0.721  2012  Aspergillus  IgG  positive  

39          (9.8%)   29        (10.3%)   0.836  

2012  median  Aspergillus  IgG  

4.2  mg/L   4.1  mg/L   0.840  

*Chi-­‐squared  test,  except  **where  means  compared  by  2-­‐sided  t-­‐test  ***Mann-­‐Whitney  U  test  #fraction  of  4401  those  with  CD4  count  available  in  original  survey  n=191  ##fraction  of  those  with  CD4  count  available  in  4402  re-­‐survey  n=129.  4403    4404  

Symptoms,  chest  X-­‐ray  results  and  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  results  for  re-­‐survey  patients  4405  

are   shown   in   table   2.   Breakdowns   of   these   results   by   gender,   original   tuberculosis  4406  

smear   status,   HIV   status   and   CD4   count   are   shown   in   supplementary   data.   CT   scan  4407  

findings   for   those  who  underwent   that   test  are  shown   in   table  3.  The  median   level  of  4408  

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Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   those  who  were   resurveyed  was   4.1  mg/L   (range   0.1-­‐1060  4409  

mg/L).  4410  

 4411  

Table  2  –  Resurvey  symptoms  and  test  findings  n=282  4412  

 4413  

Result     No  patients  

Frequency  (%)  

Cough*   99   35  Haemoptysis*   31   11  Fatigue*   88   31  Breathlessness*   83   29  Fevers*   26   9  Night  sweats*   51   18  Chest  pain*   76   27  New  cavitation  on  serial  CXR  

16   6  

Enlarged  cavitation  on  serial  CXR  

14   5  

New  or  progressive  paracavitary  fibrosis  

15   5  

New  or  progressive  pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

4   1  

*present  for  1  month  or  longer  4414    4415  

Table  3  –  Chest  CT  scan  findings  (n=73)  4416  

 4417  

Result     No  patients  

Frequency  (%)  

Cavities   49   67  Paracavitary  fibrosis   43   59  Aspergilloma   14   19  Pleural  thickening   35   47  Nodule   37   51    4418  

Frequencies  of  diagnoses  are  shown  in  table  4.  We  identified  16  cases  of  CCPA,  of  which  4419  

2   had   been   complicated   by   the   development   of   chronic   fibrosing   pulmonary  4420  

aspergillosis   (CFPA)5.  A   further   five  patients  had  apparent   fungal  ball  on  CT  scan,  but  4421  

normal   levels   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   and   are   recorded   as   ‘unspecified   fungal   ball’.  4422  

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The  frequency  of  CCPA  in  patients  with  and  without  potential  risk   factors   is  shown  in  4423  

tables  5  and  6.    4424  

 4425  

Table  4  –  Frequency  of  diagnoses  4426  

 4427  

Condition   Number  of  cases  N=282  

Frequency  (%)   Frequency   95%  confidence  interval  (%)  

CCPA     16   5.7   3.4  –  8.8  Simple  aspergilloma   2   0.7   0.1  –  2.3  All  CPA   18   6.4   4        –  9.4  Unspecified   fungal  ball  

5   1.8   0.7  –  3.8  

Raised   Aspergillus  IgG,   but   no  pulmonary  aspergillosis  

11   3.9   2.1  –  6.6  

 4428  

Twelve  patients  were  identified  as  likely  cases  of  CCPA  after  the  first  survey  on  the  basis  4429  

of  chronic  cough  or  haemoptysis,  plus  cavitation  on  chest  X-­‐ray  and  raised  Aspergillus-­‐4430  

specific   IgG.   Ten   of   these   patients   were   reviewed   in   the   resurvey.   All   ten   had  4431  

radiological   features  of  CCPA  confirmed  on  CT   scan,   although   two   reported   that   their  4432  

symptoms  had  resolved  at  the  re-­‐survey  assessment  and  so  were  not  classified  as  CCPA  4433  

in  the  final  analysis.  The  sole  patient  with   likely  simple  aspergilloma  in  2012  and  was  4434  

resurveyed  developed  symptoms  between  the  surveys  and  was  confirmed  as  a  case  of  4435  

CPA  in  2014.    4436  

 4437  

Pulmonary  aspergillosis  was  confirmed  in  58%  of  those  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  4438  

IgG   in   2012.   Four   (36%)   of   those   with   fungal   ball   on   chest   X-­‐ray   in   2012   had   a  4439  

confirmed  fungal  ball  on  resurvey  in  2014,  but  2  could  not  be  classified  as  CPA  as  they  4440  

had   normal   levels   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG.   The   outcomes   of   all   patients   from   2012  4441  

who  were  re-­‐surveyed  in  2014  are  shown  in  table  7.  4442  

 4443  

Nineteen  (5%)  patients  recruited  to  the  first  survey  died  before  the  resurvey.  None  of  4444  

these   were   identified   as   likely   CPA   in   the   first   survey.   Three   of   the   19   had   raised  4445  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG,  but  none  of  these  died  in  a  manner  consistent  with  CPA.  Four  of  4446  

the  16  deaths   in  patients  with  normal   levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  were  preceded  4447  

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by   subacute   respiratory   illness,   including   three   preceded   by   haemoptysis.   These  4448  

patients   may   have   developed   pulmonary   aspergillosis   after   the   first   survey,   but   this  4449  

cannot  be  confirmed.  4450  

 4451  

Table  5  –  Frequency  of  CCPA  in  categorical  patient  groups  4452  

 4453  

Factor    

CCPA  rate  where  factor  is  present  

CCPA  rate  where  factor  is  absent  

p-­‐value  

All  patients    n=282  

16  (5.7%)   -­‐   -­‐  

Female  gender  n=99  

5  (5.1%)   11  (6%)   0.739  

HIV  infection  n=134  

5  (3.7%)   11  (7.4%)   0.18  

Positive  smear  status  at  TB  diagnosis  n=222  

13  (5.9%)   3      (5%)   0.799  

Subsistence  farmer  n=267  

16  (6%)   0   0.329  

Traditional  dwelling  n=267  

16  (6%)   0   0.329  

Dampness  reported  in  house  n=76  

3  (3.9%)   13  (6.3%)   0.447  

Frequently  cooks  on  charcoal  n=127  

7  (5.5%)   9      (5.8%)   0.915  

Tobacco  smoker  n=30  

2  (6.7%)   14  (5.6%)   0.804  

 4454  

Table  6  –  Frequency  of  CCPA  in  relation  to  continuous  patient  variables  4455  

 4456  

Factor   Mean   level   in  those  with  CCPA    

Mean   level   in  those   without  CCPA    

p-­‐value  

Age  in  2012   43.5  years   42.5  years   0.740  TB  treatment  start  date  

28/6/2009   23/7/2009   0.890  

CD4   count   in   HIV  positive  patients  

554  cells/µL   472  cells/µL   0.495  

Means  compared  by  2-­‐tailed  t-­‐test  as  each  variable  had  a  reasonably  normal  distribution  in  the  whole  re-­‐4457  survey  population.  4458    4459  

4460  

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Table  7  –  2014  outcomes  in  relation  to  2012  survey  diagnosis  4461    4462  

2012  diagnosis  

CCPA   Simple  aspergilloma  

Unspecified  fungal  ball  

No  aspergillosis  

Died  before  resurvey  

Normal  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  n=  258  

0   0   5  (2%)  

248  (96%)  

16  (6%)  

All  raised  Aspergillus  specific  IgG  n=31  

16  (52%)  

2  (6%)  

0   11  (35%)  

2  (6%)    

Fungal  ball  on  CXR  n=11  

2  (18%)  

0   2  (18%)  

5  (45%)  

2  (18%)  

Likely  CPA  n=10  

8  (80%)  

0   0   2  (20%)  

0  

Likely  simple  aspergilloma  n=1  

1  (100%)  

0   0   0   0  

Unspecified  fungal  ball  n=9  

0   0   2  (22%)  

5  (56%)  

2  (22%)  

Raised  Aspergillus  IgG,   but   no  pulmonary  aspergillosis  n=20  

7  (35%)  

2  (10%)  

0   9  (45%)  

2  (10%)  

 4463  

Discussion  4464  

 4465  

We  have  demonstrated  that  CPA  is  present  in  6.4%  (95%  confidence  interval  4  –  9.4%)  4466  

of  patients  in  our  cohort  of  Ugandan  adults  with  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  If  our  4467  

findings   are   applied   to   the  5.28  million   cases   of   pulmonary   tuberculosis   estimated   to  4468  

occur  globally215,  then  they  would  be  consistent  with  the  predicted  global  5-­‐year  point  4469  

prevalence   of   between   0.85   and   1.37   million   cases   of   CPA   secondary   to   pulmonary  4470  

tuberculosis11.  Further  cases  of  CPA  will  occur  secondary  to  other  conditions14.  It  is  now  4471  

clear  that  CPA  is  sufficiently  common  to  be  considered  a  global  public  health  problem.    4472  

 4473  

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The  marked  similarity  between  the  radiological  and  clinical  presentation  of  CCPA  and  4474  

tuberculosis,  plus   the  near   total   absence  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   testing   in  Africa220  4475  

means   that   most   of   these   cases   are   probably   being   diagnosed   as   ‘smear   negative  4476  

tuberculosis’  at  present215.  Correctly  identifying  these  misdiagnosed  cases  could  have  a  4477  

significant   impact   on   the   apparent   global   prevalence   of   smear   negative   tuberculosis.  4478  

Providing   treatment   with   surgery   or   cheap   generic   itraconazole   could   extend   many  4479  

lives.  4480  

 4481  

The  diagnosis  of  ‘unspecified  fungal  ball’  refers  to  cases  with  apparent  fungal  ball  on  CT  4482  

scan,   but   negative   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG.   These   are   most   likely   to   represent   CPA  4483  

caused   by   other   species   of   Aspergillus   not   detected   by   the   A.   fumigatus   assay147,294.  4484  

Three   of   the   11   patients   with   ‘raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG,   but   no   pulmonary  4485  

aspergillosis’   had   symptoms  of   chronic   cough  or   haemoptysis,   but   lacked   radiological  4486  

evidence   of   CCPA.   These   may   be   cases   of   Aspergillus   bronchitis,   but   this   diagnosis  4487  

cannot   be   confirmed  without   fungal   culture39.   The   other   eight   did   not   have   cough   or  4488  

haemoptysis.   These   cases   may   represent   Aspergillus   rhinosinusitis41   or   simply  4489  

colonization.  It  is  not  known  whether  these  Aspergillus-­‐associated  conditions  are  likely  4490  

to  progress  to  CPA  with  time.  Two  (2%)  of  healthy  controls  (age  17-­‐39  years)  also  had  4491  

raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  (paper  1).  4492  

 4493  

No  risk  factors  for  the  development  of  CPA  were  identified.  There  was  a  non-­‐significant  4494  

reduction  in  CPA  prevalence  in  the  HIV  infected  group.  However  cough  was  significantly  4495  

less   common   in   the   HIV   infected   group   (p=0.006).   The   rate   of   cavitation   and  4496  

paracavitary  fibrosis  in  the  HIV  positive  and  negative  groups  was  similar,  but  there  was  4497  

a   statistically   significant   reduction   in   the   frequency   of   paracavitary   fibrosis   in   those  4498  

with   low   CD4   count   (p=0.028).   CPA   is   associated   with   several   forms   of   immune  4499  

dysfunction14,50.   It   is   conceivable   that   AIDS-­‐associated   immunosuppression   would   be  4500  

protective  against  the  immune  dysregulation  that  leads  to  fibrosis  in  CPA.  4501  

 4502  

It   is  notable   that  progressive  cavitation  was  noted   in  9%  of  male  patients   resurveyed  4503  

but   was   not   noted   in   any   female   patients   resurveyed.   In   all   female   cases   with   CPA  4504  

radiological   features   of   CPA   were   identified   on   CT   scan.   This   difference   might   be  4505  

explained  by  overlying  breast  tissue  obscuring  subtle  chest  X-­‐ray  findings.  Progressive  4506  

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cavitation  on  chest  X-­‐ray  provided  the  sole  evidence  of  CPA   in  one  case,  with  CT  scan  4507  

findings   diagnostic   in   the   other   15   cases.   Overall   8   of   16   (50%)   CPA   cases   showed  4508  

progressive  cavitation  on  serial  chest  X-­‐ray.  These  were  all  in  patients  with  prior  smear  4509  

positive  tuberculosis.  This  shows  that  CT  scan  is  more  sensitive  than  serial  chest  X-­‐ray  4510  

for   the  diagnosis   of   CPA  and   should  be  used  wherever   it   is   available,   however  use  of  4511  

serial  chest  X-­‐ray  would  allow  many  cases  to  be  diagnosed  in  areas  where  CT  scan  is  not  4512  

available.  4513  

 4514  

We  have  shown  that  the  screening  of  patients  with  clinical  assessment,  chest  X-­‐ray  and  4515  

measurement   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   undertaken   in   the   first   survey   in   2012  4516  

has  some  ability  to  predict  the  diagnosis  of  CPA.  80%  of  the  patients  diagnosed  as  ‘likely  4517  

CPA’  in  2012  and  then  reviewed  in  2014  had  confirmed  CPA  on  re-­‐survey  with  CT  scan.  4518  

The  remaining  20%  had  signs  consistent  CPA  on  CT  scan  but  could  not  be  classified  as  4519  

CPA  cases  as  they  reported  resolution  of  symptoms  in  between  surveys.  If  the  CT  scan  4520  

had  been  undertaken  immediately  in  2012  and  produced  the  same  results  then  100%  of  4521  

patients  with  ‘likely  CPA’  2012  would  have  been  confirmed  as  cases  of  CPA.    4522  

 4523  

This   suggest   that   when   a   patient   with   treated   pulmonary   tuberculosis   has   a  4524  

combination   of   cough   or   haemoptysis   for   1   month   or   more,   with   raised   levels   of  4525  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  and  either  cavities  or  fungal  ball  on  chest  X-­‐ray  they  are  likely  to  4526  

have   CPA   and   should   undergo   further   assessment   with   CT   scan   wherever   possible.    4527  

However   it   should   be   noted   that   56%   of   the   patients   ultimately   diagnosed  with   CPA  4528  

were  not   identified  as   ‘likely  CPA’   in   the  2012  survey,  demonstrating   that   chest  X-­‐ray  4529  

alone  is  insufficient  to  exclude  CPA.  4530  

 4531  

Measurement  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  alone  performed  reasonably  well  as  a  screening  4532  

test  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  in  this  population,  with  58%  of  those  with  raised  levels  of  4533  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   having   confirmed   CPA   after   the   re-­‐survey.   Raised   levels   of  4534  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  can  also  occur  in  Aspergillus  bronchitis39  or  colonization38.  The  4535  

remaining  patients  with   raised   levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  who  did  not  meet   the  4536  

diagnostic  criteria  for  CPA  may  be  suffering  from  one  of  these  conditions,  but  this  could  4537  

be  confirmed  during  our  study,  as  facilities  for  fungal  culture  were  not  available  at  the  4538  

study  site.  4539  

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Our  study  was  not  without  flaws.  The  convenience  sampling  method  used  is  vulnerable  4540  

to  selection  bias  and  only  identifies  those  living  with  CPA.  The  5-­‐year  mortality  of  CPA  is  4541  

up  to  80%7.  By  allowing  recruitment  of  patients  treated  for  tuberculosis  up  to  7  years  4542  

ago  we  might  therefore  have  missed  patients  who  developed  CPA  soon  after  completing  4543  

tuberculosis   treatment   and   subsequently   succumbed   to   the   condition.   This   could   be  4544  

especially  important  in  the  HIV  positive  group,  where  pulmonary  aspergillosis  presents  4545  

in   subacute   invasive   form52,223,236.   Such   patients   would   normally   die   within   months  4546  

without  treatment.  4547  

 4548  

Our   case   definition   necessarily   differed   from   previous   CCPA   cohorts5,7,8.    We   did   not  4549  

include  weight  loss  as  a  symptom  of  CCPA  as  no  records  of  prior  weight  were  available.  4550  

We  did  not  include  inflammatory  markers,  as  these  tests  were  not  available  in  Gulu.  We  4551  

excluded   pulmonary   tuberculosis   by   GeneXpert   PCR   testing   in   those  who   provided   a  4552  

sputum   sample,   but  we  did   not   have   access   to   induced   sputum  or   bronchoscopy.  We  4553  

were  also  unable  to  include  culture  for  atypical  mycobacteria  or  testing  for  alternative  4554  

fungal  infections  that  might  mimic  CCPA.  4555  

 4556  

We  measured  antibodies  to  Aspergillus  fumigatus,  which  is  responsible  for  most  of  the  4557  

CPA  in  Europe  and  East  Asia5–8,108.  However  most  aspergillosis  in  India  and  the  Middle  4558  

East   is   due   to  A.   flavus10  and  A.  niger   is   common   in   Brazil147.  A.   fumigatus  assays   can  4559  

have  poor  sensitivity   for  other  species147,148.  The  sole  study  of   the   frequency  of   fungal  4560  

co-­‐infection  in  African  tuberculosis  patients  showed  two  cases  of  A.  niger  and  two  cases  4561  

of  histoplasmosis213.   It   is   therefore  not  clear   if  A.  fumigatus  is   the  dominant  species  of  4562  

Aspergillus  in  Ugandan  patients.  Our  study  may  not  have  identified  cases  of  CPA  due  to  4563  

Aspergillus  species  other  than  A.  fumigatus.  4564  

 4565  

Histoplasmosis  is  known  to  exist  in  Uganda268  and  blastomycosis  elsewhere  in  Africa232.  4566  

These   and   other   chronic   fungal   lung   infections   can   also   cause   chronic   cough   with  4567  

progressive   lung   cavitation   and   fibrosis290–292.   Cross   reactivity   between   other  4568  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   assays   and   Penicillium   antibodies   has   been   noted269.   If   such  4569  

cross-­‐reactivity   occurred   between   the   Siemens   Immulite   assay   used   and   other   fungal  4570  

infections  potentially  present  in  Uganda  then  these  might  be  falsely  classified  as  CPA.  4571  

 4572  

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Finally   it   should   be   noted   that   CPA   also   complicates   other   conditions   such   as  4573  

sarcoidosis,   COPD,   prior   pneumothorax,   non-­‐tuberculous  mycobacterial   infection   and  4574  

ABPA13,14.   CPA   secondary   to   these   conditions   is  not  measured   in   this   survey  and  as   a  4575  

result  the  prevalence  of  CPA  will  be  underestimated  if  based  on  our  findings  alone.  4576  

 4577  

CPA  often  requires  treatment  with  long  term  anti  fungal  drugs  and  surgery  in  selected  4578  

cases15,198.  Provision  of  such  long  term  follow  up  and  treatment  was  not  feasible  within  4579  

the  limited  time  frame  of  this  cross  sectional  study.  The  optimal  treatment  of  CPA  has  4580  

not   been   clearly   established   in   the  medical   literature.   Surgery   is   effective   in   selected  4581  

cases  with   localized   disease15.   Some   specialist   units   in   the   developed  world   advocate  4582  

long-­‐term  azole  therapy198,  but  six  months  of  generic  itraconazole  at  fixed  dose  with  no  4583  

drug   level  monitoring   has   recently   demonstrated   efficacy   in   a   randomized   controlled  4584  

trial  in  India18.      4585  

 4586  

The  study  team  made  every  effort  to  maximize  the  opportunities  for  patients  diagnosed  4587  

with  CPA  to  access  such  treatment  as  was  available  in  Uganda  at  the  time  of  the  study.    4588  

We   provided   presentations   on   CPA   and   its   management   to   the   Gulu   District   Health  4589  

Team,   the   staff   of   the   local   Gulu   Regional   Referral   Hospital   Infectious  Diseases   Clinic  4590  

and  the  staff  of  the  national  referral  clinic  at  the  Infectious  Diseases  Institute  in  Kampala  4591  

to  raise  awareness  of  CPA  amoungst  potential  care  providers.    4592  

 4593  

We  agreed  a  patient  treatment  pathway  with  the  management  of  Gulu  Regional  Referral  4594  

Hospital   and   the   cardiothoracic   surgical   team   at   Mulago   Hospital,   Kampala.   Where  4595  

patients   had   localized   disease   amenable   to   surgery   they   would   be   referred   to   the  4596  

cardiothoracic  team  for  resection.  This  team  already  performs  10-­‐20  resections  a  year  4597  

for   patients   with   aspergilloma   and   severe   haemoptysis.   Where   surgery   was  4598  

inappropriate  due  to  extensive  or  multifocal  disease  patients  were  to  be  recommended  4599  

treatment   with   itraconazole   with   basic   monitoring   provided   at   the   Gulu   Regional  4600  

Referral   Hospital   Infectious   Diseases   Clinic.   We   established   the   itraconazole   could  4601  

normally  be  purchased  at  local  pharmacies  in  Gulu  at  a  cost  of  around  US$20  /  patient  /  4602  

month,  which  would  be  affordable  to  patients  with  a  modest  income.  4603  

 4604  

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While   the   results   of   the   Indian   RCT18   and   surgical   case   series   from   China15   and  4605  

Senegal16   demonstrate   that   the   potential   does   exist   to   deliver   safe   and   effective   CPA  4606  

treatment   in   resource   poor   settings,   our   study   uncovered   a   number   of   practical  4607  

difficulties.     Where   patients   were   candidates   for   surgical   resection   there   was   the  4608  

potential   to   cure   them  within   the   constraints   of   the   existing   Ugandan   health   service.  4609  

Unfortunately   cost   of   transport   to   the   cardiothoracic   surgery   centre   in   Kampala   is   a  4610  

barrier  for  many  patients.  At  the  time  of  thesis  submission  the  clinical  director  of  Gulu  4611  

Regional  Referral  Hospital  is  trying  to  make  arrangements  to  transport  all  the  surgical  4612  

resection  candidates  to  the  cardiothoracic  surgery  department  using  hospital  transport.    4613  

 4614  

Clearly  we  have  not  been  able  to  provide  the  same  level  of  care  to  patients  diagnosed  as  4615  

CPA   in   the  course  of   this   study  as  would  have  been  provided  at  a   referral   centre   in  a  4616  

well  resourced  country.  We  have,  however  provided  patients  enrolled  in  our  study  with  4617  

a  unique  opportunity  to  be  diagnosed  with  a  serious  illness  and  have  made  every  effort  4618  

to  maximize  the  opportunities  for  our  patients  to  access  the  treatment  options  that  are  4619  

available   locally.   This   includes   the   possibility   of   surgical   cure   of   an   otherwise   fatal  4620  

disease  for  some  of  our  patients.  Entry  to  our  study  has  therefore  provided  a  potential  4621  

benefit  to  those  who  chose  to  enter.  4622  

 4623  

When   designing   the   study   we   expected   that   most   of   our   recruits   would   be   urban  4624  

dwellers   with   a   basic   income,   most   of   whom   could   afford   the   $20/month   cost   of  4625  

itraconazole.  However,  most  patients  actually  recruited  to  this  study  were  subsistence  4626  

farmers   who   could   not   afford   this   cost.   Itraconazole   is   not   on   the   World   Health  4627  

Organization’s   essential  drugs   list   and   is  not  provided   for   free  by   the  Ugandan  health  4628  

service.   As   itraconazole   is   off-­‐patent   it   should   be   possible   to   manufacture   this   drug  4629  

sufficiently   cheaply   to   allow   national   health   programs   in   resource   poor   countries   to  4630  

purchase  it  and  provide  it  at  low  or  no  cost  to  the  poorest  patients,  but  this  a  significant  4631  

policy  shift  at  global  and  national  levels  would  be  required  to  achieve  this.  4632  

 4633  

Our  epidemiological   study   is   the   first   to  measure   the  prevalence  of  CPA   in  an  area  of  4634  

currently   high   tuberculosis   prevalence.   Although   it   has   some   limitations   it   does  4635  

demonstrate   that   CPA   is   a   frequent   complication   of   pulmonary   tuberculosis   in   this  4636  

setting.  Pulmonary  aspergillosis  has  already  been  shown  to  be  a  frequent  complication  4637  

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of   pulmonary   tuberculosis   in   the   UK76,197.   It   should   be   considered   in   the   differential  4638  

diagnosis   of   any   patient  with   a   prior   history   of   tuberculosis,  who   later   presents  with  4639  

chronic  cough,  haemoptysis,  progressive  lung  cavitation  or  fibrosis.  4640  

 4641  

Further  research  is  now  also  needed  to  develop  and  validate  Aspergillus  serology  tests  4642  

suitable   for   large-­‐scale   use   in   resource   poor   settings.   The   Siemens   Immulite   assay   is  4643  

performed  on  a   large  automated   system   that   requires   frequent  maintenance.   It   is  not  4644  

ideal   for   use   in   resource-­‐poor   settings.   A   simpler,   cheaper   test   such   as   a   lateral   flow  4645  

device   (LFD)   is   required   for   large   scale   testing295.   Such   an   LFD   has   recently   been  4646  

developed  to  detect  Aspergillus  antigens  and  has  good  performance  characteristics   for  4647  

the   diagnosis   of   invasive   aspergillosis,   even   in   patients   with   limited  4648  

immunosuppresion187–190.  Its  sensitivity  and  specificity  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  has  not  4649  

been  investigated,  but  the  Platelia  galactomannan  antigen  ELISA  has  poor  sensitivity  in  4650  

serum  in  this  context8,59.  4651  

 4652  

The  efficacy  of  oral  antifungal   treatment   for  CPA  and  the  suitability  of   these  drugs   for  4653  

use   without   regular   monitoring   must   be   confirmed   in   further   trials.   Other   chronic  4654  

fungal   infections  may  well  be  present  in  resource  poor  countries  and  the  frequency  of  4655  

these   needs   to   be   measured.   Such   information   is   a   necessary   pre-­‐requisite   for   the  4656  

design   of   new   health   care   protocols   that  might   allow   routine   diagnosis   and   effective  4657  

treatment   of   chronic   fungal   lung   diseases   complicating   pulmonary   tuberculosis   in  4658  

resource  poor  settings.  4659  

 4660  

We   are   now   planning   a   larger,   prospective   multi-­‐center   study   in   Kenya   that   should  4661  

provide  a  more  accurate  measure  of   the  prevalence  of  CPA  and  the   timing  at  which   it  4662  

occurs  after  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  This  will  provide  a  key  piece  of  evidence  to  inform  4663  

the  design  of  healthcare  guidelines  to  allow  identification  of  those  patients  developing  4664  

CPA  after  tuberculosis.    4665  

 4666  

Hypothesis  4667  

 4668  

That  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CPA)  complicates  pulmonary  tuberculosis  at  a  4669  

frequency  that  is  clinically  significant  and  sufficiently  large  to  be  measured.  4670  

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Aims  4671  

 4672  

1  –  To  complete  a  cross-­‐sectional  survey  to  measure  the  prevalence  of  CPA  secondary  to  4673  

pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  an  area  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence.  4674  

 4675  

2  –  To  determine  whether  HIV  co-­‐infection  is  associated  with  an  altered  frequency  of  4676  

CPA  secondary  to  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  4677  

 4678  

3  –  To  determine  whether  other  postulated  environmental  and  clinical  risk  factors  for  4679  

development  of  CPA  are  associated  with  altered  frequency  of  CPA  secondary  to  4680  

pulmonary  aspergillosis.  4681  

 4682  

Ethics  4683  

 4684  

Ethical  permission  for  this  study  was  granted  by  the  University  of  Manchester,  UK  (ref  4685  

11424),   Gulu   University   IRB,   Uganda   (GU/IRC/04/07/12)   and   the   Ugandan   National  4686  

Council  for  Science  and  Technology  (ref  HS1253).  4687  

 4688  

Funding  4689  

 4690  

Funding   to   conduct   this   study   was   provided   by   the   Manchester   Academy   academic  4691  

charity   and   Astellas   Pharma.   Test   kits   for   use   in   the   study   were   kindly   donated   by  4692  

Siemens  (Germany).  4693  

 4694  

Acknowledgements  4695  

 4696  

We  are  indebted  to  the  following  persons  and  organisations;  4697  

• Gulu  District  Health  Team  for   their  substantial  assistance   in   identifying  eligible  4698  

patients.    4699  

• Study  assistants  Geoffrey  Abwola  and  Thomas  Okumu  for  their  work  throughout  4700  

the  study.  4701  

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• Gulu  Regional  Referral  Hospital   Infectious  Diseases  Clinic   for  providing  us  with  4702  

space  to  review  patients  and  assisting  in  identifying  eligible  patients  from  those  4703  

attending  clinic.    4704  

• Gulu   Regional   Referral   Hospital   Pathology   Laboratory   for   providing   sample  4705  

storage  and  Cepheid  GeneXpert  testing  on  sputum  samples.  4706  

• Brother   Carlos   and   the   radiology   staff   at   St.   Mary’s   Hospital,   Lacor   for   their  4707  

assistance  in  performing  chest  X-­‐ray  on  study  patients.    4708  

• Matthew  Kneale  and  Michael  Clarke  of  Manchester  University  for  their  practical  4709  

assistance  in  conducting  the  study  in  Gulu.  4710  

• The   North   West   Lung   Centre   at   University   Hospital   of   South   Manchester   for  4711  

providing  storage  of  serum  samples.    4712  

• Department   of   Pathology   at   Christie   Hospital,   Manchester   for   allowing   us   to  4713  

access  their  Siemens  Immulite  2000  to  test  study  samples.  4714  

 4715  

4716  

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Figures  4717  

 4718  

Figure  1  –  Recruitment  outcomes    4719  

 4720  

Patients  recruited  in  original  survey    (398)  4721  

 4722  

è     Died  between  surveys    (18)  4723  

 4724  

è     Moved  out  of  the  region  (9)  4725  

 4726  

è   Declined  to  participate  in  the  re-­‐survey  (11)  4727  

 4728  

è   Could  not  be  traced    (75)  4729  

 4730  

ê  4731    4732  

Living  patients  traced  and  consented  to  enter  the  re-­‐survey    (285)    4733  

 4734  

                   ì CXR  not  performed  as  planned  (2)  4735  

èPatients  removed  due  to  incomplete  assessment  4736  

                 î Serum  sample  not  taken  as  planned  (1)  4737  

4738  ê  4739  

 4740  

Patients  in  final  re-­‐survey  analysis  (282)  4741  

4742  

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Figure  2  –  CT  scan  recruitment  outcomes    4743  

 4744  

Patients  with  raised  Aspergillus  IgG  levels  in  original  survey  (39)  4745  

 4746  

è Died  between  surveys    (2)  4747  

4748  

è Could  not  be  traced  (8)  4749  

 4750  

ê 4751  

 4752  

Consented  for  CT  scan  (29)  4753  

 4754  

è Died  between  consent  and  CT  scan  date  (1)  4755  

 4756  

ê  4757  

 4758  

Underwent  CT  scan  (28)                                          Resurvey  patients  with  suspicion  of    4759  

aspergilloma  on  2012  chest  X-­‐ray,    4760  

                                but  negative  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG    (45)  4761  

î í  4762  

         4763  

Total  number  of  patients  undergoing  CT  scan  (73)  4764  

 4765  

4766  

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Figure  3  –  GeneXpert  testing  outcomes  for  resurvey  patients  4767  

 4768  

Patients  reporting  productive  cough  (39)  4769  

 4770  

è No  sputum  sample  submitted  (8)  4771  

 4772  

è       GeneXpert  testing  attempted,  but  failed  (6)    4773  

 4774  

ê  4775  

 4776  

Samples  with  GeneXpert  result  available  (25)  4777  

4778  

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Supplementary  data  4779  

 4780  

S1  -­‐  Symptoms  and  test  results  in  resurvey  by  gender  4781  

 4782  

Result   Female  n=99   Male  n=183   p-­‐value  by  chi-­‐squared  test  

Cough*   31  (31.3%)   68  (37.2%)   0.326  Productive  cough*   9        (9.1%)   25  (13.7%)   0.261  Haemoptysis*   11  (11.1%)   20  (10.9%)   0.963  Fatigue*   34  (34.3%)   54  (29.5%)   0.403  Breathlessness*   33  (33.3%)   50  (27.3%)   0.290  Fevers*   8      (8.1%)   18  (9.8%)   0.627  Night  sweats*   15  (15.2%)   36  (19.7%)   0.346  Chest  pain*   23  (23.2%)   53  (29%)   0.301  New  cavitation  on  serial  CXR  

0   16  (8.7%)   0.002  

Enlarged  cavitation  on  serial  CXR  

5      (5.1%)   9        (4.9%)   0.961  

New  or  progressive  paracavitary  fibrosis  

4      (4%)   11  (6%)   0.482  

New  or  progressive  pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

1      (1%)   3      (1.6%)   0.67  

2012  median  Aspergillus  IgG  level    

3.77  mg/L   4.41  mg/L   0.016**  

2012  positive  Aspergillus  IgG  

7        (7.1%)   22    (12%)   0.191  

*present  for  1  month  or  longer.  **  medians  compared  by  Mann  Whitney  U  4783    4784  

S2  –  CT  findings  by  gender  4785  

 4786  

Result     Female    n=16  

Male    n=57  

p-­‐value  by  chi  squared  test  

Cavities   11  (68%)   38  (66.7%)   0.875  Paracavitary  fibrosis   9      (56.3%)   34  (59.6%)   0.807  Aspergilloma   2      (12.5%)   12  (21.1%)   0.443  Pleural  thickening   5      (31.3%)   30  (52.6%)   0.130  Nodule   4      (25%)   33  (57.9%)   0.02    4787  

4788  

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S3  -­‐  Symptoms  and  test  results  in  resurvey  by  HIV  status  4789    4790  

Result   HIV  positive  n=134  

HIV  negative  n=148  

p-­‐value  by  chi-­‐squared  test  

Cough*   36  (26.9%)   63  (42.6%)   0.006  Productive  cough*   13  (9.7%)   21  (14.2%)   0.248  Haemoptysis*   17  (12.7%)   14  (9.5%)   0.387  Fatigue*   39  (29.1%)   49  (33.1%)   0.469  Breathlessness*   38  (28.4%)   45  (30.4%)   0.706  Fevers*   12  (9%)   14  (9.5%)   0.884  Night  sweats*   22  (16.4%)   29  (19.6%)   0.489  Chest  pain*   31  (23.1%)   45  (30.4%)   0.169  New  cavitation  on  serial  CXR  

7      (5.2%)   9      (6.1%)   0.756  

Enlarged  cavitation  on  serial  CXR  

5      (3.7%)   9      (6.1%)   0.364  

New  or  progressive  paracavitary  fibrosis  

8      (6%)   7      (4.7%)   0.643  

New  or  progressive  pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

2      (1.5%)   2      (1.4%)   0.92  

2012  median  Aspergillus  IgG  level    

3.77  mg/L   4.63  mg/L   0.001**  

2012  positive  Aspergillus  IgG  

10  (7.5%)   19  (12.8%)   0.138  

*present  for  1  month  or  longer.  **  medians  compared  by  Mann  Whitney  U  4791    4792  

S4  –  CT  findings  by  HIV  status  4793  

 4794  

Result     HIV  positive  n=26  

HIV  negative  n=47  

p-­‐value  by  chi  squared  test  

Cavities   17  (65.4%)   32  (68.1%)   0.814  Paracavitary  fibrosis   13  (50%)   30  (63.8%)   0.250  Aspergilloma   5      (19.2%)   9      (19.1%)   0.993  Pleural  thickening   9      (34.6%)   26  (55.3%)   0.09  Nodule   11  (42.3%)   26  (55.3%)   0.287    4795    4796  

4797  

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S5  -­‐  Symptoms  and  test  results  in  resurvey  by  prior  TB  smear  status  4798    4799  

Result   Smear  positive  n=222  

Smear  negative  n=60  

p-­‐value  by  chi-­‐squared  test  

Cough*   80  (36%)   19  (31.7%)   0.529  Productive  cough*   31  (14%)   3        (5%)   0.058  Haemoptysis*   25  (11.3%)   6        (10%)   0.782  Fatigue*   67  (30.2%)   21  (35%)   0.475  Breathlessness*   63  (28.4%)   20  (33.3%)   0.455  Fevers*   22  (9.9%)   4        (6.7%)   0.441  Night  sweats*   40  (18%)   11  (18.3%)   0.955  Chest  pain*   60  (27%)   16  (26.7%)   0.955  New  cavitation  on  serial  CXR  

16  (7.2%)   0   0.032  

Enlarged  cavitation  on  serial  CXR  

10  (4.5%)   4      (6.7%)   0.494  

New  or  progressive  paracavitary  fibrosis  

12  (5.4%)   3      (5%)   0.901  

New  or  progressive  pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

3      (1.4%)   1        (1.7%)   0.855  

2012  median  Aspergillus  IgG  level    

4.29  mg/L   3.7  mg/L   0.16**  

2012  positive  Aspergillus  IgG  

24  (10.8%)   5      (8.3%)   0.575  

*present  for  1  month  or  longer.  **  medians  compared  by  Mann  Whitney  U  4800    4801  

S6  –  CT  findings  by  prior  TB  smear  status  4802  

 4803  

Result     smear  positive  n=60  

smear  negative  n=13  

p-­‐value  by  chi  squared  test  

Cavities   40  (66.7%)   9      (69.2%)   0.858  Paracavitary  fibrosis   37  (61.7%)   6      (46.2%)   0.303  Aspergilloma   11  (18.3%)   3      (23.1%)   0.694  Pleural  thickening   30  (50%)   5      (38.5%)   0.45  Nodule   34  (56.7%)   3      (23.1%)   0.02  

4804  

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S7  -­‐  Symptoms  and  test  results  in  resurvey  by  CD4  count  groups  4805  

 4806  

Result   CD4  count  <  

200  cells/µL  

n=  15  

CD4  count  

200  –  499  

cells/µL  n=65  

CD4  count  ≥  

500  cells/µL  

n=49  

p-­‐value  by  

chi-­‐squared  

test  

Cough*   3      (20%)   15  (23.1%)   16  (32.7%)   0.433  

Productive  cough*  

3      (20%)   4      (6.2%)   5      (10.2%)   0.241  

Haemoptysis*   2      (13.3%)   7      (10.8%)   7      (14.3%)   0.847  

Fatigue*   4      (26.7%)   22  (33.8%)   13  (26.5%)   0.667  

Breathlessness*   4      (26.7%)   17  (26.2%)   16  (32.7%)   0.737  

Fevers*   0   4      (6.2%)   8      (16.3%)   0.075  

Night  sweats*   2      (13.3%)   8      (12.3%)   12  (24.5%)   0.213  

Chest  pain*   4      (26.7%)   13  (20%)   13  (26.5%)   0.678  

New  cavitation  on  serial  CXR  

1      (6.7%)   3      (4.6%)   2      (4.1%)   0.917  

Enlarged  cavitation  on  serial  CXR  

0   3      (4.6%)   2      (4.1%)   0.703  

New  or  progressive  paracavitary  fibrosis  

1      (6.7%)   4      (6.2%)   2      (2.1%)   0.867  

New  or  progressive  pleural  thickening  on  CXR  

0   2      (3.1%)   0   0.368  

2012  median  Aspergillus  IgG  level    

3.7  mg/L   3.75  mg/L   4.38  mg/L   0.954**  

2012  positive  Aspergillus  IgG  

0   4      (6.2%)   5  (10.2%)   0.372  

*present  for  1  month  or  longer.  **  medians  compared  by  independent  samples  median  test  4807    4808  

 4809  

 4810  

 4811  

 4812  

 4813  

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S8  –  CT  findings  by  in  HIV  positive  persons  by  CD4  count  groups  4814  

 4815  

 4816  

4817  

Result     CD4  count  <  200  cells/µL  n=  2  

CD4  count  200  –  499  cells/µL  n=11  

CD4  count  ≥  500  cells/µL  n=11  

p-­‐value  

Cavities   1  (50%)   6  (54%)   9  (81.8%)   0.348  Paracavitary  fibrosis  

0   4  (36.4%)   9  (81.8%)   0.028  

Aspergilloma   0   1  (9.1%)   4  (36.4%)   0.217  Pleural  thickening  

1  (50%)   3  (27.3%)   5  (45.5%)   0.631  

Nodule   0   5  (45.5%)   6  (54.5%)   0.363  

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PAPER 4 - An estimate of the prevalence of pulmonary aspergillosis in HIV-positive 4818  

Ugandan in patients diagnosed as smear-negative pulmonary tuberculosis. 4819  

 4820  

Authors  4821  

 4822  

Iain  D  Page   -­‐   Institute  of   Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  UK,  4823  

Manchester   Academic   Health   Science   Centre,   UK,   National   Aspergillosis   Center,  4824  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  4825  

 4826  

William  Worodria  –  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala,  Uganda  4827  

 4828  

Alfred  Andama  –  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala,  Uganda  4829  

 4830  

Irene  Ayakaka  –  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala,  Uganda  4831  

 4832  

Richard  Kwizera  -­‐  Institute  of  Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  4833  

UK,  Manchester  Academic  Health  Science  Centre,  UK,  National  Aspergillosis  Center  and  4834  

Mycology   Reference   Centre,   University   Hospital   of   South   Manchester,   UK,   Infectious  4835  

Diseases  Institute,  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala,  Uganda  4836  

 4837  

Lucien  Davis  –  University  of  California  San  Francisco,  USA  4838  

 4839  

Laurence  Huang  -­‐  University  of  California  San  Francisco,  USA  4840  

 4841  

Malcolm   Richardson   -­‐   Institute   of   Inflammation   and   Repair,   The   University   of  4842  

Manchester,  UK,  Manchester  Academic  Health  Science  Centre,  UK,  National  Aspergillosis  4843  

Center  and  Mycology  Reference  Centre,  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  4844  

 4845  

David  W  Denning  -­‐  Institute  of  Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  4846  

UK,   Manchester   Academy   Health   Science   Centre,   UK,   National   Aspergillosis   Centre,  4847  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  4848  

 4849  

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Abstract  4850  

 4851  

In   resource-­‐poor   settings   pulmonary   tuberculosis   is   often   diagnosed   on   the   basis   of  4852  

‘smear-­‐negative’  criteria.  Microbiological  proof  of  tuberculosis  infection  is  not  required.  4853  

In  Ugandan  HIV  positive   in-­‐patients   these  clinical  protocols  have  negligible  diagnostic  4854  

value.   Subacute   invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis,   also   known   as   chronic   necrotizing  4855  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CNPA)  also  occurs   in  HIV  infected  persons  and  is  100%  fatal  4856  

without   treatment.  Autopsy  studies  show  that   it   is  present   in  2-­‐3%  of  all  AIDS  deaths  4857  

and  went  undiagnosed  ante-­‐mortem  in  over  90%  of  these  cases.      4858  

 4859  

Diagnosis  of  CNPA  /  subacute  invasive  pulmonary  aspergillosis  requires  one  month  of  4860  

cough   or   haemoptysis,   plus   radiological   evidence   of   cavitating   lung   lesions   with  4861  

paracavitary   infiltrates   and   raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG.   Aspergilloma   is   not   always  4862  

present.   Such   patients   would   likely   be   classified   as   ‘smear-­‐negative   pulmonary  4863  

tuberculosis’   in   the  absence  of   specific   testing   for  aspergillosis.  We  aimed   to  estimate  4864  

the   likely   prevalence   of   pulmonary   aspergillosis   in   an   at-­‐risk   African   in-­‐patient  4865  

population.  4866  

 4867  

Stored   sera  were  available   from  adult  patients   admitted   to  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala  4868  

with  a  cough  of  2  weeks  to  6  months  duration  between  March  2010  and  March  2011.  4869  

These  patients  were  thoroughly  investigated  for  tuberculosis.    We  selected  39  sera  from  4870  

HIV   infected  persons  with   abnormal   chest  X-­‐rays  with  no   evidence  of   tuberculosis   or  4871  

other   clear   diagnosis   after   full   investigation.  We  measured   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in  4872  

these   samples   using   the   Siemens   Immulite   assay,  which   has   a   specificity   of   98%   and  4873  

sensitivity  of  96%  for  the  diagnosis  of  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  100  control  sera  4874  

had  previously  been  collected  from  healthy  Ugandan  blood  donors.  These  were  used  in  4875  

receiver  operating  characteristic  curve  studies  to  define  the  diagnostic  threshold  of  10  4876  

mg/L  used  in  this  study.  4877  

 4878  

The  mean  patient  age  was  35  years  and  59%  of  patients  were  female.  Mean  CD4  count  4879  

was   109   cells/µL.   44%   of   patients   had   CD4   count   <50   cells/µL.   Raised   Aspergillus-­‐4880  

specific   IgG  was  present   in  2%  of  healthy  controls,  but  26%  of  patients   (95%  CI  14  –  4881  

41%,  p  0.000).  40%  of  those  with  a  positive  test  died  within  2  months  of  sampling.      4882  

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While   this   study   does   not   conclusively   prove   the   existence   of   subacute   invasive  4883  

aspergillosis  in  this  population,  it  is  likely  that  the  majority  of  these  patients  with  raised  4884  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   had   either   chronic   or   subacute   pulmonary   aspergillosis.  4885  

Pulmonary   aspergillosis   is   probably   being   misdiagnosed   as   ‘smear-­‐negative  4886  

tuberculosis’   in  many  patients  with  HIV  infection.  Further  prospective  studies  with  CT  4887  

scanning,  plus  effective  fungal  culture  and  serology  should  be  performed  to  investigate  4888  

this  possibility.  4889  

 4890  

4891  

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Introduction  4892  

 4893  

In  2012  4.4  million  patients  were  diagnosed  with  pulmonary   tuberculosis   following  a  4894  

sputum  smear  test.   In  1.9  million  of   these  cases  the  smear  test  was  negative215.   In  the  4895  

resource-­‐poor   settings   where   tuberculosis   and   HIV   are   common,   pulmonary  4896  

tuberculosis   is   often   diagnosed   on   the   basis   of   World   Health   Organization   (WHO)  4897  

approved  ‘smear-­‐negative’  criteria242.  Microbiological  proof  of  tuberculosis  infection  is  4898  

not   required241.   Currently   54%   of   Ugandan   HIV   positive   out-­‐patients   commencing  4899  

tuberculosis   therapy   are   smear-­‐negative.   Tuberculosis   is   only   confirmed   in   35%   of  4900  

these   patients  when   sputum   is   cultured243.   In  Ugandan  HIV  positive   in-­‐patients   these  4901  

clinical  diagnostic  protocols  have  negligible  diagnostic  value  for  tuberculosis244.    4902  

 4903  

The  2-­‐year  mortality  of  smear-­‐negative  TB  is  34%296  .  The  hazard  ratio  for  mortality  in  4904  

smear-­‐negative   tuberculosis   against   smear-­‐positive   tuberculosis   is   1.49   for   2-­‐month  4905  

mortality  in  HIV  positive  cases  in  DR  Congo245.  4906  

 4907  

The  WHO  diagnostic  criteria  for  smear  negative  tuberculosis  require  all  of  the  following;  4908  

HIV   infection,   cough   for   two   weeks   or   more,   two   negative   sputum   acid   alcohol   fast  4909  

bacilli  (AAFB)  smear  tests,  no  response  to  broad-­‐spectrum  antibiotics  and  radiological  4910  

changes  potentially  consistent  with  tuberculosis241.    4911  

 4912  

Fungal  lung  infections  would  also  meet  these  criteria.  Chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  4913  

(CPA)  presents  with  cough  of  at  least  3  months  duration,  plus  haemoptysis,  weight  loss  4914  

and   fatigue5,7,8.   Subacute   pulmonary   aspergillosis,   also   known   as   chronic   necrotizing  4915  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CNPA),  has  similar  symptoms,  but  is  more  rapidly  progressive,  4916  

with  a  duration  of  illness  of  only  one  month6,49,51,297.    4917  

 4918  

Cavities,  pleural   thickening  and   fibrosis  are   found  on  chest  X-­‐ray   in  both   tuberculosis  4919  

and   aspergillosis266,280.   Aspergilloma   are   distinctive,   but   are   present   in   only   36%   of  4920  

cases   of   CPA8.   Raised   levels   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   differentiate   CPA   from   similar  4921  

conditions5,7,8,  but  this  test  is  essentially  unavailable  in  Africa220.    4922  

 4923  

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CPA  has  a  global  distribution,  with   large  case  series  reported   in   the  UK,  France,   India,  4924  

China,   Korea   and   Japan7,8,15,18,108,198.     Over   180   cases   of   CPA   have   been   reported  4925  

throughout  Africa,  including  South  Africa,  Nigeria,  Ivory  Coast,  Senegal,  Central  African  4926  

Republic,  Djibouti,   Ethiopia,  Tanzania   and  Uganda16,201–212.  A   recent   survey   in  Uganda  4927  

demonstrated   that   CPA   complicates   6%   of   all   treated   pulmonary   tuberculosis   cases  4928  

(paper   3).   The   global   burden   of   CPA   secondary   to   tuberculosis   has   recently   been  4929  

estimated  at  around  1.2  million  cases11.  4930  

 4931  

Invasive   aspergillosis   can   complicate   AIDS   in   the   absence   of   tuberculosis.   It   is  4932  

associated  with  corticosteroid  therapy  and  pulmonary  infection,  including  Pneumocystis  4933  

jirovecii   or  bacterial  pneumonia.  Drug-­‐induced  neutropaenia   is  present   in  most   cases,  4934  

however   44%  of  AIDS   related   cases   occur   in   patients  with   normal   neutrophil   counts,  4935  

but   CD4   counts   below   100   cells/μL235.   Advanced   AIDS   is   associated   with   impaired  4936  

neutrophil   function237,   which   might   result   in   increased   susceptibility   to   acute  4937  

aspergillosis.  In  patients  who  are  not  profoundly  neutropaenic,  a  subacute  course  of  one  4938  

to   two   months   duration   is   typical52,223,224,235.   Survivors   who   receive   effective   HIV  4939  

treatment  can  develop  CPA223.      4940  

 4941  

Autopsy   studies   from   Italy,   India   and  Uganda  have  demonstrated   that   aspergillosis   is  4942  

present   in   3-­‐11%   of   all   AIDS   related   deaths   and   that   only   10%   of   these   cases   were  4943  

diagnosed  antemortem207,238–240.    A  recent  study  identified  Aspergillus  fumigatus  growth  4944  

in   BAL   samples   from   6%   of   patients   admitted   to   hospital   in   Uganda   with   subacute  4945  

respiratory  disease,  the  majority  of  whom  were  HIV  positive277.  4946  

 4947  

The  mortality  of  untreated  invasive  aspergillosis  is  100%  within  weeks19,248,249.  CPA  has  4948  

5-­‐year   mortality   rate   of   40-­‐85%7,8,264.   If   cases   of   pulmonary   aspergillosis   occur  4949  

commonly  and  are  being  misdiagnosed  as  smear-­‐negative  tuberculosis  then  this  could  4950  

be  making  a  substantial  contribution  to  the  excess  mortality  observed  in  this  group.    4951  

 4952  

Effective   treatment   is   available.  Most   patients   survive   invasive   aspergillosis   if   treated  4953  

with   voriconazole   or   amphotericin247   and   oral   itraconazole   prevents   disease  4954  

progression   in   CPA18,198.   Surgical   resection   of   individual   lesions   by   lobectomy   can   be  4955  

safely  delivered  in  resource-­‐poor  settings16,54,212  and  is  potentially  curative15,21.    4956  

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We  aimed   to   estimate   the  prevalence  of   subacute   invasive  pulmonary   aspergillosis   in  4957  

HIV   positive   patients   treated   as   ‘smear-­‐negative   tuberculosis’.   We   performed  4958  

opportunistic  testing  of  stored  sera  at  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala.  These  were  acquired  4959  

during   an   earlier   study   to   measure   the   frequency   of   different   conditions   in   patients  4960  

admitted  with  chronic  cough276,277.    4961  

 4962  

Stored   sera   were   selected   from   adult   in-­‐patients   who  met   the   diagnostic   criteria   for  4963  

smear-­‐negative   tuberculosis   and  who  had  no   evidence   of   tuberculosis   after   extensive  4964  

investigation   including   smear   testing,   GeneXpert   PCR   testing   and   culture   on   sputum  4965  

and/or  broncho-­‐alveolar   lavage   fluid.   Samples  were   tested   for  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  4966  

using  the  Siemens  Immulite  assay,  which  has  recently  been  shown  to  have  a  sensitivity  4967  

of  96%  and  specificity  of  98%  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  (paper  1).  4968  

 4969  

Methods  4970  

 4971  

The   Mulago   Inpatient   Noninvasive   Diagnosis   –   International   HIV   Opportunistic  4972  

Pneumonia   (MIND-­‐IHOP)   study   recruited   patients   between   March   2010   and   March  4973  

2011.   During   this   period   all   adults   admitted   to   the   casualty   department   of   Mulago  4974  

Hospital,   Kampala   on   weekdays,   with   a   cough   of   between   2   weeks   and   6   months  4975  

duration   were   offered   admission   to   the   study.   Clinical   details   were   recorded   and  4976  

sputum  samples  taken  for  acid  and  alcohol  fast  bacteria  (AAFB)  smear  testing,  culture  4977  

and   GeneXpert   automated   nucleic   acid   amplification   assay   (Cepheid,   USA).   Induced  4978  

sputum  was  acquired  if  necessary.    4979  

 4980  

CD4   count   (in   HIV   infected   patients)   and   cryptococcal   antigen   testing   (Imuno  4981  

Mycologics,   USA)   were   performed   on   blood.   Bronchoscopy   was   offered   to   any   HIV  4982  

positive  patient  with  persistent   symptoms   and  negative   sputum   smear   test.   Broncho-­‐4983  

alveolar  lavage  (BAL)  specimens  underwent  culture  and  staining  for  mycobacteria  and  4984  

fungi   including   Pneumocystis   jirovecii.   Patients   were   reviewed   at   two   months   after  4985  

recruitment.  The  mortality  rate  at  this  point  was  recorded.    4986  

 4987  

Stored  sera  were  available   from  around  three  quarters  of  patients  originally  recruited  4988  

to   the   study.   Sera   were   retrospectively   selected   from   patients  meeting   the   following  4989  

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criteria;   1   -­‐   HIV   infection,   2   -­‐   abnormal   chest   X-­‐ray,   3   -­‐   No   diagnosis   made   after   all  4990  

investigations  complete,   including  no  evidence  of  pulmonary   tuberculosis.  All  patients  4991  

were   treated   with   a   broad-­‐spectrum   antibiotic,   normally   ceftriaxone,   on   admission.  4992  

Those  who  responded  were  diagnosed  as  ‘likely  bacterial  pneumonia’  and  so  were  not  4993  

included   in   the   ‘no   diagnosis’   group.   100   control   sera   had   previously   been   collected  4994  

from   healthy   Ugandan   blood   donors.   These   were   used   in   receiver   operating  4995  

characteristic  curve  studies  to  define  the  diagnostic  threshold  of  10  mg/L  used  in  this  4996  

study  (paper  1).  4997  

 4998  

Levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  were  measured   in  each  selected  sample  by   Immulite  4999  

2000  (Siemens,  Germany)  assay.  Samples  with  a  level  greater  than  200mg/L  underwent  5000  

a  1  in  10  dilution  and  were  repeated.    5001  

 5002  

Statistical  analysis  5003  

 5004  

Median   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   and   CD4   counts   are   compared   with   Mann-­‐5005  

Whitney   U   test.   Mean   ages   are   compared   by   2-­‐sided   t-­‐test.   Categorical   results   are  5006  

compared  by  2-­‐sided  Fisher’s  exact  test.  5007  

 5008  

Results  5009  

 5010  

Sera   from  39   patients   that  met   the   stated   criteria  were   identified.   23   (59%)   patients  5011  

were  female  and  the  mean  age  was  35  years  (range  21-­‐54).  Mean  CD4  count  was  109  5012  

cells/µL  (range  3  -­‐399  cells/µL).  23  (62%)  patients  had  CD4  count  <  100  cells/µL  and  5013  

17   (44%)   patients   had   CD4   count   <50   cells/µL.   Thirteen   (33%)   patients   underwent  5014  

bronchoscopy  as  part  of  their  investigations.  Chest  X-­‐ray  showed  infiltrates  in  34  (87%)  5015  

of  cases,  military  appearance  in  one  (3%)  case  and  “likely  tuberculosis”,  with  no  further  5016  

details  in  4  (10%)  cases.    5017  

 5018  

Results   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   are   shown   in   table   1.   100   control   samples   from  5019  

healthy   Ugandan   blood   donors   were   also   tested   (paper   1).   The   frequency   of   raised  5020  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   controls   was   2%   (paper   1).   The   frequency   of   raised  5021  

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Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   in   patients   meeting   the   study   criteria   was   26%   (95%  5022  

confidence  interval  14%  -­‐  41%).  5023  

 5024  

Table  1  –  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  testing  in  patients  and  controls  5025  

 5026  

Result   Healthy  controls    n=100  

Study  patients    n=39  

p-­‐value    

Median  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  level  

4  mg/L   7  mg/L   0.000  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  range  

0-­‐35  mg/L   2–26  mg/L   -­‐  

Number   of  positive  tests  

2  (2%)   10  (26%)   0.000  

 5027  

Table  2  –  Characteristics  of  patients  with  and  without  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  5028  

 5029  

Result   Normal   Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  n=29  

Raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  n=10  

p-­‐value  

Female  gender   15  (52%)   8  (80%)   0.105  Mean  age   34  years   37  years   0.052  Median  CD4  count   59  cells/µL   59  cells/µL   -­‐  CD4  <100  cells/µL     16  (55%)   7  (70%)   0.48  2  month  mortality   8  (27%)   4    (40%)   0.463    5030  

 5031  

5032  

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Discussion  5033  

 5034  

These   results   suggest   that   subacute   invasive   or   chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   are  5035  

important   differential   diagnoses   in   Ugandan   in-­‐patients  with   AIDS  who   are   currently  5036  

diagnosed   and   managed   as   ‘smear-­‐negative   tuberculosis’.   As   the   mortality   rate   of  5037  

pulmonary   aspergillosis   is   very   high   this   is   likely   contribute   the   excess   mortality  5038  

observed  in  this  population.    5039  

 5040  

We   are   unable   to   differentiate   acute,   subacute   invasive   and   chronic   pulmonary  5041  

aspergillosis  in  patients  diagnosed  with  ‘smear-­‐negative  tuberculosis’  due  to  differences  5042  

in  case  definition.  CPA  requires  chronic  cough,  defined  as  three  months  or  more5,250,251,  5043  

whereas   subacute   invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis   requires   one  month   of   cough6,264.  5044  

Our   cohort   includes   patients  with   cough   for   two  weeks   or  more.   This  would   capture  5045  

both  conditions  and  acute  invasive  disease.    5046  

 5047  

Progressive   cavitation,   paracavitary   fibrosis   or   aspergilloma   are   also   required   for   the  5048  

diagnosis  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  Radiological  information  was  only  available  from  5049  

chest  X-­‐ray,  which  is  unreliable  for  the  diagnosis  of  pulmonary  tuberculosis,  especially  5050  

when  patients  are  co-­‐infected  with  HIV265.  The  findings  in  acute  pulmonary  aspergillosis  5051  

are   often   non-­‐specific218,280.   We   excluded   patients   with   normal   chest   X-­‐rays,   but  5052  

accepted  those  with  any  chest  X-­‐ray  abnormality.  While  any  chest  X-­‐ray  abnormality  is  5053  

potentially  consistent  with  pulmonary  aspergillosis  a  CT  scan  would  have  been  required  5054  

to  state  that  radiological  features  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis  were  definitely  present.  5055  

 5056  

Raised  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  are  consistent  with  pulmonary  aspergillosis,  but  5057  

can  also  occur   in   colonization38,  Aspergillus   bronchitis39  or   tracheobronchitis43.  Active  5058  

pulmonary  aspergillosis  is,  however  the  most  likely  of  these  options  in  our  patients  as  5059  

they  all  had  persistent  respiratory  symptoms  and  abnormal  chest  X-­‐ray.    5060  

 5061  

While   fungal  culture  on  BAL  samples  did  not   identify  any  cases  of  aspergillosis   in  this  5062  

group,  the  sensitivity  of  culture  for  Aspergillus   is  very  low  with  standard  techniques260  5063  

and  so  the  absence  of  culture  growth  does  not  exclude  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  Testing  5064  

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BAL   for   galactomannan   might   also   have   provided   confirmation   of   pulmonary  5065  

aspergillosis48,  but  no  stored  samples  were  available.  5066  

 5067  

We   measured   antibodies   to   Aspergillus   fumigatus,  which   is   responsible   for   the   vast  5068  

majority  of  CPA  in  Europe  and  East  Asia  5–8,108.  However,  most  aspergillosis  in  India  and  5069  

the  Middle  East   is  due  to  A.  flavus10  and  A.  niger  is  common  in  Brazil147.  The  dominant  5070  

species  of  Aspergillus   in  Africa   is  not  known.  A.  fumigatus  based  assays  can  have  poor  5071  

sensitivity   for  CPA  due   to   other  Aspergillus   species147,148,   potentially   resulting   in   false  5072  

negative   results.   Profound   immunosuppression   dampens   antibody   responses   in  5073  

AIDS273,274   and   the   performance   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   a   group   with   low   CD4  5074  

counts  is  not  well-­‐described.  These  factors  may  lead  to  false  negative  results.  5075  

 5076  

The  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assay  can  cross-­‐react  with  Penicillium-­‐specific  antibodies269.  5077  

Little  is  known  about  its  cross-­‐reactivity  with  other  fungal  infections.  Histoplasmosis  is  5078  

present  in  Uganda268  and  blastomycosis  elsewhere  in  Africa232.  These  fungal  infections  5079  

are   among   those   known   to   complicate   HIV/AIDS292,298.   False   positives  might   occur   if  5080  

other   fungal   infections   are   present   in   our   patients   and   they   cross-­‐reacted   with   the  5081  

Siemens  Immulite  assay.    5082  

 5083  

This   study  was  conducted   in  an  opportunistic  manner,  using  stored  sera   from  a  prior  5084  

study.     Not   all   sera   had   sufficient   volume   to   allow   Aspergillus   serology.   The   sickest  5085  

patients  may  have  been  excluded   from  our   study  as  obtaining   large  volumes  of  blood  5086  

can  be  difficult  in  these  cases  due  to  shock.  This  might  lead  to  an  underestimate  of  the  5087  

prevalence  of  a  rapidly  fatal  condition  such  as  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  5088  

 5089  

To   our   knowledge   this   is   the   first   attempt   to   estimate   the   prevalence   of   pulmonary  5090  

aspergillosis   in   an   African   cohort  with   AIDS   and   ‘smear-­‐negative   tuberculosis’.  While  5091  

our   study   design   does   not   include   all   the   standard   diagnostic   tests   for   pulmonary  5092  

aspergillosis  in  highly  immunocompromised  patients,  the  Siemens  Immulite  assay  used  5093  

has   a   specificity   of   98%   for   the   diagnosis   of   CPA   (paper   1).   It   is   therefore   likely   that  5094  

pulmonary  aspergillosis,  or  other  chronic  fungal  lung  disease,  is  present  in  many  of  the  5095  

patients  in  this  cohort.    5096  

 5097  

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Given   the   combination   of   high   mortality   and   good   response   to   treatment   in   these  5098  

conditions,  there  is  now  an  urgent  need  to  perform  thorough  prospective  studies  in  this  5099  

population   including   CT   scan,   effective   fungal   culture   with   optimal   techniques260,  5100  

extensive   fungal  serology  and   ideally  biopsy   to  definitively  measure   the  prevalence  of  5101  

fungal  lung  disease  in  Africans  with  AIDS  and  subacute  respiratory  infection.  5102  

 5103  

Hypothesis  5104  

 5105  

That   a   proportion   of   patients   who   presented   to   hospital   with   AIDS   and   sub-­‐acute  5106  

respiratory  disease  in  an  area  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence,  but  who  had  no  evidence  5107  

of   tuberculosis  after   thorough   investigation  were  suffering   from  undiagnosed  primary  5108  

sub-­‐acute  invasive  pulmonary  aspergillosis.  5109  

 5110  

Aims  5111  

 5112  

1   –  To  measure   the   levels   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   stored   sera   from  HIV   infected  5113  

patients   admitted   to   hospital   with   sub-­‐acute   respiratory   disease   in   an   area   of   high  5114  

tuberculosis   prevalence,   but   who   had   no   evidence   of   tuberculosis   after   thorough  5115  

investigation.  5116  

 5117  

2  –  To  compare  these  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  to  those  found  in  healthy  controls  5118  

from  the  same  country.  5119  

 5120  

3  –  To  compare  two-­‐month  mortality  outcomes  in  HIV  infected  patients  with  sub-­‐acute  5121  

respiratory   disease   in   an   area   of   high   tuberculosis   prevalence   with   no   evidence   of  5122  

tuberculosis   after   thorough   investigation,   who   had   either   raised   or   normal   levels   of  5123  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.  5124  

 5125  

Ethics  5126  

 5127  

Ethical  permission  for  this  study  was  granted  by  the  University  of  Manchester,  UK  (ref  5128  

11424),   Makerere   University,   Kampala,   Uganda   (ref   2006-­‐017)   and   the   Ugandan  5129  

National  Council  for  Science  and  Technology  (ref  –  HS259).  5130  

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 5131  

Funding  5132  

 5133  

Funding   to   transport   samples   to   the  UK   for  analysis  was  provided  by   the  Manchester  5134  

Academy   academic   charity.   Test   kits   for   use   in   this   study   were   kindly   donated   by  5135  

Siemens.  5136  

 5137  

Acknowledgements  5138  

 5139  

We  would  like  to  thank  all  those  involved  in  the  MIND-­‐IHOP  study  group  for  their  kind  5140  

decision  to  share  serum  samples  for  use  in  this  collaborative  study.  Thanks  to  the  North  5141  

West   Lung   Centre,   University   Hospital   of   South   Manchester   for   storage   of   samples.  5142  

Thanks   to   the   pathology   laboratory   staff   at   Christie   Hospital,   Manchester,   UK   for  5143  

allowing  the  study  group  access  to  their  Siemens  Immulite  2000.    5144  

5145  

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PAPER 5 - Aspergillus co-infection may be common in Africans with active pulmonary 5146  

tuberculosis 5147  

 5148  

Authors  5149  

 5150  

Iain  D  Page   -­‐   Institute  of   Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  UK,  5151  

Manchester   Academic   Health   Science   Centre,   UK,   National   Aspergillosis   Center,  5152  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  5153  

 5154  

William  Worodria  –  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala,  Uganda  5155  

 5156  

Alfred  Andama  –  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala,  Uganda  5157  

 5158  

Irene  Ayakaka  –  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala,  Uganda  5159  

 5160  

Richard  Kwizera  -­‐  Institute  of  Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  5161  

UK,  Manchester  Academic  Health  Science  Centre,  UK,  National  Aspergillosis  Center  and  5162  

Mycology   Reference   Centre,   University   Hospital   of   South   Manchester,   UK,   Infectious  5163  

Diseases  Institute,  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala,  Uganda  5164  

 5165  

Lucien  Davis  –  University  of  California  San  Francisco,  USA  5166  

 5167  

Laurence  Huang  -­‐  University  of  California  San  Francisco,  USA  5168  

 5169  

Malcolm   Richardson   -­‐   Institute   of   Inflammation   and   Repair,   The   University   of  5170  

Manchester,  UK,  Manchester  Academic  Health  Science  Centre,  UK,  National  Aspergillosis  5171  

Center  and  Mycology  Reference  Centre,  University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  5172  

 5173  

David  W  Denning  -­‐  Institute  of  Inflammation  and  Repair,  The  University  of  Manchester,  5174  

UK,   Manchester   Academy   Health   Science   Centre,   UK,   National   Aspergillosis   Centre,  5175  

University  Hospital  of  South  Manchester,  UK.  5176  

 5177  

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Abstract  5178  

 5179  

CPA  is  estimated  to  affect  3  million  people  globally11–13.    A  recent  survey  demonstrated  5180  

that  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  (CPA)   is  present   in  6.5%  of  Ugandan  adults  with  5181  

previously  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  and  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  present  in  5182  

10%   (papers   2   and   3).   These   cases   occurred   in   patients   who   no   longer   had   active  5183  

tuberculosis   infection.   However,   active   co-­‐infection   with   atypical   mycobacteria  5184  

frequently  occurs   in  CPA  and   co-­‐infection  with   active  Mycobacterium  tuberculosis   and  5185  

Aspergillus   has   been   described   in   several   case   reports.   We   aimed   to   estimate   the  5186  

prevalence  of  this  problem  in  an  area  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence.  5187  

Stored  sera  were  available  from  57  adult  patients  admitted  to  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala  5188  

between  March  2010  and  March  2011.  All  patients  had  between  2  weeks  and  6  months  5189  

cough  and  were  diagnosed  with  pulmonary  tuberculosis  based  on  culture  or  GeneXpert  5190  

PCR  testing  of  sputum  and/or  broncho-­‐alveolar  fluid.  We  measured  Aspergillus-­‐specific  5191  

IgG  in  these  samples  using  the  Siemens  Immulite  assay,  which  has  a  specificity  of  98%  5192  

and  sensitivity  of  96%  for  the  diagnosis  of  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis.    5193  

46   (81%)   patients   were   HIV   positive.   Mean   CD4   count   in   those   with   HIV   was   99  5194  

cells/µL  (range  2  -­‐  581  cells/µL).  35  (61%)  patients  had  CD4  count  <  100  cells/µL  and  5195  

24  (42%)  patients  had  CD4  count  <50  cells/µL.    5196  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   were   raised   in   2   (2%)   of   controls   and   27   (47%)  5197  

tuberculosis  patients.  3  (11%)  of  those  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  died  within  2  5198  

months  of  sampling.    5199  

This  is  a  select  group  of  patients  requiring  emergency  hospital  admission  and  may  not  5200  

be  representative  of  all  patients  with  pulmonary  tuberculosis.    False  positive  IgG  results  5201  

might   occur  due   to   cross-­‐reaction  with  other   fungi   and   false  negative   IgG   tests  might  5202  

occur  in  patients  with  CPA  caused  Aspergillus  species  other  than  A.  fumigatus.  5203  

However,  given  the  diagnostic  accuracy  of   the  Siemens   Immulite  assay   it   is   likely   that  5204  

active  Aspergillus   co-­‐infection   is   present   in  many   of   those   with   positive   results.   This  5205  

possibility  should  be  considered  in  patients  who  fail  to  improve  or  clinically  relapse  in  5206  

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spite  of  appropriate  tuberculosis  therapy.  Prospective  studies  are  needed  to  record  the  5207  

outcome  of  patients  with  pulmonary  tuberculosis  and  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  and  5208  

define  the  prevalence  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  this  group.  5209  

 5210  

5211  

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Introduction  5212  

 5213  

An  estimated  9  million  people  developed  tuberculosis  in  2013215.  It  was  associated  with  5214  

1.5   million   deaths,   of   which   only   210,000   were   estimated   to   be   due   to   multidrug  5215  

resistant   strains.   Many   of   the   other   1.29   million   deaths   will   have   been   due   to   late  5216  

presentation,   lack   of   diagnosis,   poor   access   to   treatment   or   inadequate   compliance,  5217  

given   that   they   mostly   occurred   in   resource-­‐poor   countries   with   weak   health  5218  

infrastructure.  However,  other  factors  may  also  be  have  been  present.  5219  

 5220  

Chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CPA)   is   an   important   sequel   of   pulmonary  5221  

tuberculosis14.   It   presents   with   progressive   pulmonary   cavitation   associated   with  5222  

weight   loss,   persistent   cough   and   haemoptysis5,7,8.   It   has   a   5-­‐year   mortality   of   50   –  5223  

80%6,7,264  and  has  recently  been  estimated  to  affect  around  3  million  people  globally11–5224  13,  including  1.2  million  cases  secondary  to  tuberculosis11.    5225  

 5226  

Large   CPA   case   series   have   been   reported   in   the  UK,   France,   India,   China,   Korea   and  5227  

Japan,   the   majority   of   which   are   secondary   to   tuberculosis7,8,14,15,18,108,198.   Over   180  5228  

cases   of   CPA   have   been   reported   throughout   Africa,   including   South   Africa,   Nigeria,  5229  

Ivory   Coast,   Senegal,   Central   African   Republic,   Djibouti,   Ethiopia,   Tanzania   and  5230  

Uganda16,201–212.  Over  90%  of  these  cases  were  secondary  to  pulmonary  tuberculosis.    A  5231  

recent  survey  confirmed  that  CPA  is  present   in  6%  of  Ugandan  adults  with  previously  5232  

treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  (paper  3).    5233  

 5234  

CPA  is  treatable.  Oral  itraconazole,  voriconazole  or  posaconazole  all  prevent  clinical  and  5235  

radiological  progression18,58,108,198.  Surgery  is  curative  in  selected  patients  with  localized  5236  

disease15,21  and  has  been  safely  undertaken  in  resource-­‐poor  settings16,54,212.    5237  

 5238  

While  it  is  now  clear  that  CPA  frequently  follows  tuberculosis,  the  natural  history  of  CPA  5239  

is   not   well   established.   Published   CPA   cohort   studies   are   all   from   countries   where  5240  

tuberculosis   is   now   uncommon.   Atypical  mycobacteria,   however,   commonly   co-­‐infect  5241  

persons  with   CPA,   in   addition   to   their   role   as   an   antecedent   condition7,8,14.   Evidence  5242  

from   countries   with   high   tuberculosis   prevalence   is   limited   to   case   reports,   but   co-­‐5243  

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infection   with   active   pulmonary   tuberculosis   and   pulmonary   aspergillosis   has   been  5244  

documented   in   India,   Tunisia   and   Egypt213,214,299–301.   A   recent   study   identified  5245  

Aspergillus  fumigatus  growth   in  BAL  samples   from  6%  of  patients  admitted  to  Mulago  5246  

Hospital,  Kampala  with  suspected  tuberculosis277.    This  may  well  be  an  underestimate  5247  

as  standard  culture  techniques  have  very  poor  sensitivity  for  Aspergillus260.  5248  

 5249  

Co-­‐infection  with  Aspergillus   at   the   time   of   active   pulmonary   tuberculosis  might   also  5250  

result  in  subacute  invasive  aspergillosis.  This  condition  occurs  in  patients  with  mild  to  5251  

moderate   immunosuppression   and   has   been   noted   in   a   wide   range   of   conditions  5252  

including  HIV   infection,  diabetes,   alcohol   abuse  and  COPD6,49,52,236,264.   It   presents  with  5253  

progressive   pulmonary   cavitation   associated   with   weight   loss,   persistent   cough   and  5254  

haemoptysis  and  is  associated  with  50%  mortality  within  a  few  months.  5255  

 5256  

Infection  with  Mycobacterium  tuberculosis  results  in  impaired  immunity  and  decreased  5257  

macrophage   function282.   This   might   well   place   a   patient   at   risk   of   subacute   invasive  5258  

pulmonary  aspergillosis.  As  the  clinical  and  radiological  presentation  of  this  condition  is  5259  

essentially  identical  to  pulmonary  tuberculosis  itself  it  would  be  very  difficult  to  detect  5260  

it  without  performing  specific  Aspergillus  serological  testing.  5261  

We   aimed   to   estimate   the   frequency   of   Aspergillus   co-­‐infection   in   patients   recently  5262  

diagnosed  with  active  pulmonary   tuberculosis.  We  performed  opportunistic   testing  of  5263  

stored  sera  at  Mulago  Hospital,  Kampala.  These  were  acquired  during  an  earlier  study  5264  

to  measure  the  frequency  of  different  conditions  in  patients  admitted  with  cough276,277.  5265  

Mycobacterium   tuberculosis   infection   was   proven   in   all   cases   on   the   basis   of   smear  5266  

testing,  GeneXpert  nucleic  amplification  or  culture.  Samples  were  tested  for  Aspergillus-­‐5267  

specific-­‐IgG  using  the  Siemens  Immulite  assay,  which  has  recently  been  shown  to  have  a  5268  

sensitivity  of  96%  and  specificity  of  98%  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA  (paper  1).  5269  

 5270  

Methods  5271  

 5272  

The   Mulago   Inpatient   Noninvasive   Diagnosis   –   International   HIV   Opportunistic  5273  

Pneumonia  (MIND-­‐IHOP)  Study  recruited  patients  relevant  to  this  study  between  March  5274  

2010  and  March  2011.  During  this  period  all  adults  admitted  to  the  casualty  department  5275  

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of   Mulago   Hospital,   Kampala   on   weekdays,   with   a   cough   of   between   2   weeks   and   6  5276  

months  duration  were  offered  admission   to   the   study.  All  patients   submitted  sputum,  5277  

on   which   smear   testing   for   acid   alcohol   fast   bacilli,   nucleic   acid   amplification  5278  

(GeneXpert,  Cepheid,  USA)  and  culture  for  Mycobacterium  tuberculosis  were  performed.  5279  

Bronchoscopy  was  also  performed  in  selected  patients.  5280  

 5281  

Stored  sera  were  available   from  around  three  quarters  of  patients  originally  recruited  5282  

to  the  study.  Sera  were  retrospectively  selected  from  patients  with  proven  pulmonary  5283  

tuberculosis   following   the  above   investigations.   100  control   sera  had  previously  been  5284  

collected   from  healthy  Ugandan  blood  donors.  These  were  used   in   receiver  operating  5285  

characteristic  curve  analysis  to  define  the  diagnostic  threshold  of  10  mg/L  used  in  this  5286  

study  (paper  1).  5287  

 5288  

Levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   were   measured   in   each   selected   sample   (Siemens  5289  

Immulite  2000,  Germany).  Samples  with  a  level  greater  than  200mg/L  underwent  a  1  in  5290  

10  dilution  and  were  repeated.    5291  

 5292  

Statistical  analysis  5293  

 5294  

Median  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  in  patients  and  controls  and  CD4  counts  in  those  5295  

with   and   without   raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   are   compared   with   Mann-­‐5296  

Whitney  U  test.  Mean  age  in  those  with  and  without  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  5297  

is  compared  by  2-­‐sided  t-­‐test.  Categorical  variables  are  compared  with  Chi-­‐squared  test,  5298  

except   for   comparison   of   number   of   positive   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   tests   in  5299  

tuberculosis  cases  vs.  healthy  controls,  where  Fisher’s  exact  test  is  used.  5300  

 5301  

Results  5302  

 5303  

Fifty-­‐seven   sera   that  met   the   stated   criteria  were   identified.   29   (51%)   patients  were  5304  

female.   Mean   age   was   35   years   (range   18   –   79   years).   46   (81%)   patients   were   HIV  5305  

positive.  Mean  CD4  count  in  those  with  HIV  was  99  cells/µL  (range  2  -­‐581  cells/µL).  35  5306  

(61%)  patients  had  CD4  count  <  100  cells/µL  and  24  (42%)  patients  had  CD4  count  <50  5307  

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cells/µL.  All  patients  had  a  chest  X-­‐ray  that  was  reported  as  abnormal  and  potentially  5308  

consistent  with  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  5309  

 5310  

100   control   samples  were   acquired   from   healthy   blood   donors   in   Gulu,   Uganda.   The  5311  

frequency  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  in  controls  was  2%  (paper  1).  The  frequency  5312  

of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  levels  in  patients  with  proven  pulmonary  tuberculosis  5313  

was  47%  (95%  confidence  interval  35%  -­‐  60%).  5314  

 5315  

Table  1  –  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  testing  in  patients  and  controls  5316  

Result   Healthy  controls    n=100  

Pulmonary  tuberculosis  n=57  

p-­‐value    

Mean  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  level  

5  mg/L   11  mg/L   0.000  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  range  

0-­‐35  mg/L   4  -­‐  36mg/L   -­‐  

Number   of  positive  tests  

2  (2%)   27  (47%)   0.000  

 5317  

Table  2  –  Characteristics  of  patients  with  and  without  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  5318  

Result   Normal   Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  n=30  

Raised   Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  n=27  

p-­‐value  

Female  gender   12  (40%)   17  (63%)   0.08  Mean  age   38  years   38  years   -­‐  HIV  positive   24  (80%)   22  (81%)   0.887  Median   CD4   count  in  those  with  HIV  

49  cells/µL   46  cells/µL   0.560  

CD4   <100   cells/µL  in  those  with  HIV  

17  (71%)   18  (82%)   0.761  

2  month  mortality   5        (17%)   3        (11%)   0.547    5319    5320  

5321  

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Discussion    5322    5323  

Overall,   27   (47%)   of   patients   had   raised   levels   of   Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   during  5324  

admission  for  microbiologically  confirmed  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  These  results  add  to  5325  

the  growing  body  of  evidence  that  pulmonary  aspergillosis  is  a  common  complication  of  5326  

pulmonary   tuberculosis.   They   inference   is   that   CPA   may   well   begin   when   active  5327  

tuberculosis  infection  is  still  present.  5328  

 5329  

We  cannot,  however  state  that  all  patients  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  definitely  5330  

have  CPA.  The  diagnosis  of  CPA  also  requires  all  of   the   following   in  addition  to  raised  5331  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG;   1   –   productive   cough   or   haemoptysis   of   at   least   3   months  5332  

duration,  2  –  radiological  findings  of  either  progressive  cavitation,  paracavitary  fibrosis  5333  

or  aspergilloma,  3  -­‐  exclusion  of  conditions  with  a  similar  presentation5,7,8,250.  5334  

 5335  

The  MIND-­‐IHOP  study  allowed  recruitment  of  patients  with  only  2  weeks  of  cough.  The  5336  

patients   in   this   group   also   clearly   have   another   condition   confirmed,   rather   than  5337  

excluded.   If   their   symptoms   resolve   entirely   with   tuberculosis   treatment   then   they  5338  

could  not  reasonably  be  considered  cases  of  CPA.  However  the  possibility  of  sub-­‐clinical  5339  

CPA,   that   might   cause   symptoms  months   or   years   later,   cannot   be   excluded   without  5340  

prolonged  follow  up.    5341  

 5342  

Given   that   CPA   is   only   found   in   6%   of   patients   who   have   completed   treatment   for  5343  

pulmonary  tuberculosis,  it  is  possible  that  many  of  those  with  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  5344  

IgG   at   the   time   of   active   pulmonary   tuberculosis   are   simply   simply   colonized   with  5345  

Aspergillus   and   that   this   colonization   frequently   resolves   after   the   tuberculosis   is  5346  

treated,  without  developing  CPA.    5347  

 5348  

Alternatively  it  may  be  that  co-­‐infection  with  both  HIV  and  Aspergillus  results  in  a  worse  5349  

clinical  course  in  pulmonary  tuberculosis,  perhaps  through  the  development  of  invasive  5350  

pulmonary  aspergillosis.  If  this  were  the  case  then  higher  rates  of  hospitalization  would  5351  

be   seen   in   those   with   active   Aspergillus   co-­‐infection   than   would   be   seen   in   the  5352  

tuberculosis  population  as  a  whole.  This  would  also  explain  the  unexpectedly  high  rate  5353  

of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  seen  in  this  in  patient  population.  5354  

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Raised   levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  are  consistent  with  CPA,  but  can  also  occur   in  5355  

colonization38,  Aspergillus  bronchitis39  or  tracheobronchitis43.    The  radiological  features  5356  

of  CPA  are  normally  confirmed  on  CT  scan,  which  was  not  included  in  this  study.  While  5357  

every  patient   in   this   study  had  an  abnormal   chest  X-­‐ray,   the  only   radiological   finding  5358  

that   differentiates   CPA   from   tuberculosis   is   aspergilloma,   which   is   absent   in   the  5359  

majority  of  cases  of  CPA8  and  harder  to  detect  with  chest  X-­‐ray  than  CT  scan  (paper  3).  5360  

We   cannot   therefore   differentiate   CPA   from   these   other   conditions   in   patients   with  5361  

active   tuberculosis   and   no   aspergilloma,   as   it   is   unclear   whether  M.   tuberculosis   or  5362  

Aspergillus   is   primarily   responsible   for   the   abnormal   radiological   findings.   Repeat  5363  

imaging  after  tuberculosis  treatment  is  complete  would  be  required  to  identify  definite  5364  

CPA  cases.  5365  

 5366  

We   measured   antibodies   to   Aspergillus   fumigatus,  which   is   responsible   for   the   vast  5367  

majority  of  CPA  in  Europe  and  East  Asia  5–8,108.  However  most  aspergillosis  in  India  and  5368  

the  Middle  East   is  due  to  A.  flavus10  and  A.  niger  is  common  in  Brazil147.  The  dominant  5369  

species  of  Aspergillus   in  Africa   is  not  known.  A.  fumigatus  based  assays  can  have  poor  5370  

sensitivity   for   other   species147,148,   potentially   resulting   in   false   negative   results.  5371  

Antibody  responses  are  also  generally  poor  in  AIDS273,274,  which  affected  a  large  number  5372  

of  patients  in  our  cohort,  although  we  noted  in  an  earlier  study  that  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐5373  

specific   IgG   are   often   raised   in   patients  with   AIDS   and   sub-­‐acute   respiratory   disease  5374  

(paper  4).    5375  

 5376  

The  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  assay  can  cross-­‐react  with  Penicillium  antibodies269.  Little  is  5377  

known  about  its  cross-­‐reactivity  with  other  fungal  infections.  Histoplasmosis  is  present  5378  

in  Uganda268   and   blastomycosis   elsewhere   in  Africa232.   All   these   fungal   infections   are  5379  

among  those  known  to  complicate  HIV/AIDS292,298.  False  positives  might  occur  if  other  5380  

fungal   infections  are  present   in  our  patients  and   they   cross-­‐reacted  with   the  Siemens  5381  

Immulite  assay.  5382  

 5383  

This   study   was   performed   in   a   population   diagnosed   with   pulmonary   tuberculosis  5384  

during  acute  admission  to  hospital.  The  rate  of  HIV  co-­‐infection  in  this  group  is  higher  5385  

than  the  overall  frequency  of  HIV  co-­‐infection  seen  in  Ugandan  tuberculosis  patients215.  5386  

Pulmonary   aspergillosis   might   well   be   common   in   this   study   population,   which   has  5387  

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severe  disease  and  unusually  severe  immunosuppression.  The  study  group  is  therefore  5388  

not  representative  of  all  newly  diagnosed  pulmonary  tuberculosis.    5389  

 5390  

Our   study   does   not   therefore   definitively  measure   the   prevalence   of   CPA   in   patients  5391  

with   active   pulmonary   tuberculosis.   However   the   Siemens   Immulite   assay   has   good  5392  

sensitivity  and  specificity   for   the  diagnosis  of  CPA  (paper  1).   It   is   therefore   likely   that  5393  

many   of   the   patients   identified   here   are   suffering   from   some   form   of   pulmonary  5394  

aspergillosis,  or  other  fungal  lung  disease.  This  possibility  should  be  actively  considered  5395  

in   any   patient   with   pulmonary   tuberculosis   who   is   failing   to   respond   to   appropriate  5396  

therapy  or  who  has  symptomatic  relapse  after  initial  response  to  tuberculosis  therapy.  5397  

 5398  

Prospective   studies   including   CT   thorax,   fungal   serology   and   fungal   culture   using  5399  

sensitive   high   volume   techniques260   are   now   needed   to   confirm   the   frequency   of  5400  

Aspergillus  co-­‐infection   in  pulmonary   tuberculosis.  Follow  up   is   required   to   identify   if  5401  

and   when   these   patients   develop   CPA   and   the   optimal   treatment   strategy   for   them.  5402  

Given  the  recently  confirmed  high  prevalence  of  CPA  complicating  tuberculosis  (paper  5403  

3)   and   the   high   mortality   rate   of   pulmonary   aspergillosis6,7   these   studies   should   be  5404  

performed  urgently.  5405  

 5406  

Hypothesis  5407  

 5408  

That   chronic   pulmonary   aspergillosis   (CPA)   begins   to   develop   during   active   infection  5409  

with  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  5410  

 5411  

Aims  5412  

 5413  

1   –  To  measure   the   levels   of  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   stored   sera   from  HIV   infected  5414  

patients  admitted  to  hospital  with  proven  active  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  5415  

 5416  

2  –  To  compare  these  levels  of  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  to  those  found  in  healthy  controls  5417  

from  the  same  country.  5418  

 5419  

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3   –   To   compare   two-­‐month  mortality   outcomes   in   HIV   infected   patients   admitted   to  5420  

hospital   with   active   pulmonary   tuberculosis   with   either   raised   or   normal   levels   of  5421  

Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG.  5422  

 5423  

Ethics  5424  

 5425  

Ethical  permission  for  this  study  was  granted  by  the  University  of  Manchester,  UK  (ref  5426  

11424),   Makerere   University,   Kampala,   Uganda   (ref   2006-­‐017)   and   the   Ugandan  5427  

National  Council  for  Science  and  Technology  (ref  –  HS259).  5428  

 5429  

Funding  5430  

 5431  

Funding   to   transport   samples   to   the  UK   for  analysis  was  provided  by   the  Manchester  5432  

Academy   academic   charity.   Test   kits   for   use   in   this   study   were   kindly   donated   by  5433  

Siemens.  5434  

 5435  

Acknowledgements  5436  

 5437  

We   would   like   to   thank   all   those   involved   in   the   MIND   study   group   for   their   kind  5438  

decision  to  share  serum  samples  for  use  in  this  collaborative  study.  Thanks  to  the  North  5439  

West   Lung   Centre,   University   Hospital   of   South   Manchester   for   storage   of   samples.  5440  

Thanks   to   the   pathology   laboratory   staff   at   Christie   Hospital,   Manchester,   UK   for  5441  

allowing  the  study  group  access  to  their  Siemens  Immulite  2000.    5442  

5443  

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SUMMARY 5444  

 5445  

The  study  of  pulmonary  aspergillosis  in  persons  without  gross  immunosuppression  has  5446  

been   neglected.   Although   the   existence   of   pulmonary   aspergillosis   in   non-­‐5447  

immunosuppressed   persons   has   been   documented   for   over   200   years,   the   clinical  5448  

syndrome  of  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis  was  only  properly  defined  12  years  ago.  5449  

Since  then  significant  studies  have  been  published  that  describe  cohorts  of  patients  with  5450  

this   condition   in   several   countries   in   Europe   and   Asia.   The   central   importance   of  5451  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG  measurement   to   the   diagnosis   of   CPA  has   been   established   in  5452  

these   studies.   The   link   between   CPA   and   many   underlying   conditions   has   been  5453  

established  and  the  dominance  of  tuberculosis  as  the  most  common  underlying  cause  of  5454  

CPA  on  a  global  scale  is  now  clear.    5455  

 5456  

Recent  cohort  studies  have  demonstrated  that  CPA  is  associated  with  a  high  mortality  5457  

rate  over  the  course  of  a  few  years.  Fortunately  the  response  of  CPA  to  treatment  with  5458  

itraconazole  has  been  also  established  in  a  randomized  controlled  trial  and  the  efficacy  5459  

and   safety   of   surgical   treatment   (in   suitable   cases)   has   been   demonstrated   in   large  5460  

cohort  descriptions.  The  potential  for  intervention  to  prolong  the  lives  of  the  estimated  5461  

3  million  persons  living  with  CPA  therefore  exists.    5462  

 5463  

Unfortunately,   it   is   likely   that   the   majority   of   persons   with   CPA   are   currently   going  5464  

undiagnosed   and   untreated.     The  major   barriers   to   progress   in   this   area   are   lack   of  5465  

confirmation   of   the   predicted   prevalence   of   CPA   in   areas   with   currently   high  5466  

tuberculosis  prevalence  and  lack  of  validation  of  tests  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA.  5467  

 5468  

This   work   provides   a   substantial   contribution   to   the   field   by   answering   three  major  5469  

questions  in  relation  to  chronic  pulmonary  aspergillosis.    5470  

 5471  

First  the  optimal  diagnostic  cut-­‐offs  for  CPA  have  been  defined  for  the  first  time  for  five  5472  

of   the   available   commercial  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   ELISAs,   including   the   assay  most  5473  

commonly   used   in   the   UK.   While   diagnostic   cut-­‐offs   were   provided   by   most  5474  

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manufacturers   these   were   defined   in   relation   to   tiny   numbers   of   patients   with   CPA,  5475  

often  pooled  with  patients  with  invasive  or  allergic  aspergillosis.    5476  

 5477  

Recent   studies   had   shown   the   cut-­‐offs   in   common   use   were   sub-­‐optimal   for   the  5478  

diagnosis   of   ABPA   in   cystic   fibrosis   patients.   There   was   no   certainty   that   they   were  5479  

appropriate   for   CPA.   Lack   of   clearly   validated   CPA   diagnostic   cut-­‐offs   for  Aspergillus-­‐5480  

specific   IgG  was   a  major  barrier   to   any   attempts   to   improve   access   to  CPA  diagnosis.  5481  

Defining  these  cut-­‐offs  was  also  a  pre-­‐requisite  for  any  measurement  of  the  prevalence  5482  

of  CPA.    5483  

 5484  

By  accessing  stored  sera  from  the  world’s  largest  CPA  cohort  it  was  possible  to  identify  5485  

a  suitably   large  number  of  sera   to  perform  a  meaningful  analysis.  Crucially   these  sera  5486  

were  taken  from  patients  not  on  antifungal  treatment.  Such  sera  are  representative  of  5487  

patients   being   diagnosed  with   CPA   for   the   first   time.   As   antifungal   treatment   lowers  5488  

Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   levels   any   cut-­‐off   defined   in   relation   to   CPA   patients   on  5489  

treatment  may   not   be   applicable   to   those   being   tested   for   initial   diagnosis.   This  was  5490  

probably   a   major  methodological   flaw   in   the   limited   number   of   prior   studies   in   this  5491  

area.  5492  

 5493  

This   study   identified   optimal   diagnostic   thresholds   by   performing   ROC   analysis   of  5494  

results   obtained   from   this   unique   cohort   of   untreated   CPA   patients   and   healthy  5495  

controls.   In   the  case  of   several  assays,   including  ThermoFisher  Scientific   ImmunoCAP,  5496  

the  assay  currently  in  use  in  most  of  the  UK,  the  existing  cut-­‐offs  were  shown  to  be  too  5497  

high.   By   lowering   the   cut-­‐offs   to   optimal   levels   it   is   possible   to   markedly   increase  5498  

sensitivity,  while  maintaining  high  specificity.  These  results  will  change  practice  at  the  5499  

UK  National  Aspergillosis  Centre  and  are  highly  likely  to  inform  changes  to  guidelines.  5500  

This  will  allow  those  units  with  access  to  testing  to  correctly  identify  around  10%  more  5501  

cases  than  was  previously  possible.  5502  

 5503  

The  second  major  contribution  of  this  work  to  the  field  is  to  define  the  sensitivity  and  5504  

specificity  of  the  five  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  ELISAs,  plus  precipitins,   for  the  diagnosis  5505  

of  CPA.    The  large  cohort  descriptions  for  CPA  all  suggested  that  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  5506  

has  excellent  sensitivity  for  CPA,  but  these  studies  all  used  a  single  Aspergillus  antibody  5507  

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assay   as   their   main   serological   test   for   aspergillosis.  While   a   few   small   studies   have  5508  

recently   compared   the   sensitivity   and   specificity   of   different   tests,   these   have   not  5509  

directly  compared  the  ELISAs  included  in  this  study  in  patients  with  CPA.  These  studies  5510  

were  also  potentially  flawed  on  account  of  sera  being  taken  from  patients  who  were  on  5511  

antifungal  therapy.    Defining  the  sensitivity  and  specificity  of  these  assays  was  required  5512  

before  any  assay  could  be  selected  for  use  in  a  CPA  prevalence  study.    5513  

 5514  

The  performance  of  each  ELISA  was  described  in  terms  of  ROC  area  under  the  curve.  A  5515  

sufficiently   large  number  of  cases  were  assessed   to  allow  the  detection  of   statistically  5516  

significant  differences  in  the  diagnostic  performance  of  the  various  assays.  No  previous  5517  

study  had  achieved  this.  It  was  confirmed  that  the  assay  currently  in  regular  use  in  the  5518  

UK   (ThermoFisher   Scientific   ImmunoCAP)   does   indeed   have   good   sensitivity   and  5519  

specificity  for  the  diagnosis  of  CPA.    5520  

 5521  

While  there  was  some  unavoidable  bias   in  our  cohort,  due  to  the  fact   that  Aspergillus-­‐5522  

specific  IgG  serology,  including  the  ThermoFisher  Scientific  ImmunoCAP  assay  forms  an  5523  

integral   part   of   the   diagnostic   process   for   patients   at   our   unit,   this   study   is   still   the  5524  

definitive  work  in  this  field.  The  Siemens  Immulite  assay  was  shown  to  have  equivalent  5525  

sensitivity   and   specificity   in   spite   of   this   potential   bias   in   favour   of   ThermoFisher  5526  

Scientific  ImmunoCAP.  Other  assays  performed  less  well.  It  was  then  possible  to  use  the  5527  

donated  Siemens  Immulite  assay  with  confidence  in  a  survey  to  measure  the  prevalence  5528  

of  CPA  in  an  area  of  high  tuberculosis  prevalence.  5529  

 5530  

The  optimal  diagnostic  cut  offs  and  comparative  sensitivity  and  specificity  of  the  assays  5531  

for   the   diagnosis   of   ABPA   was   also   defined.   This   was   performed   in   relation   to   both  5532  

healthy  controls  and  to  asthmatics.  The  appropriate  cut  offs  for  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  5533  

for  the  diagnosis  of  ABPA  in  patients  with  cystic  fibrosis  and  the  appropriate  cut-­‐offs  for  5534  

both   total   and  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgE   for   the  diagnosis   of  ABPA   in   general   have  both  5535  

been  assessed  in  recent  studies.  This   is,  however  the  first  study  to  define  optimal  cut-­‐5536  

offs   for  Aspergillus-­‐specific   IgG   in   relation   to   the  diagnosis  of  ABPA.   It   is  also   the   first  5537  

comparison  of  the  sensitivity  and  specificity  of  the  five  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  serology  5538  

assays   for   this  purpose.  The  analysis  defining   the  appropriate   cut-­‐offs   for  Aspergillus-­‐5539  

specific  IgG  to  diagnose  CPA  complicating  ABPA  is  unique.  5540  

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The  third  and  perhaps  most   important  contribution  to  the  field   is  the  first  measure  of  5541  

the  prevalence   of   CPA   in   an   area   of   high   tuberculosis   prevalence.   The   cross-­‐sectional  5542  

study   was   a   major   undertaking   that   required   two   surveys   two   years   apart   and   the  5543  

transportation  of  patients  for  700km  for  CT  scan.  The  author  spent  a  total  of  14  months  5544  

in  Uganda  undertaking  the  study.  5545  

 5546  

The   study   demonstrated   the   presence   of   CPA   in   6%   of   all   patients   with   previously  5547  

treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis.  A  cross-­‐sectional  study  with  convenience  sampling  was  5548  

the  only  realistic  option  in  light  of  the  financial  and  time  constraints  in  place.  A  degree  5549  

of  selection  bias  may  exist  with  this  method.  However,  the  study  does  provide  the  first  5550  

clear  evidence  that  CPA  is  a  sufficiently  common  problem  in  an  area  of  high  tuberculosis  5551  

prevalence  to  be  considered  a  public  health  issue  and  provides  the  first  validation  of  the  5552  

predicted  global  prevalence  of  3  million  cases.  5553  

 5554  

Evidence   from   opportunistic   testing   of   stored   samples   provided   by   collaborators   at  5555  

Mulago   Hospital,   Kampala   is   also   presented.   It   suggests   that   Aspergillus   infection   is  5556  

probably  present  in  many  patients  with  current  active  pulmonary  tuberculosis  and  that  5557  

subacute   invasive   pulmonary   aspergillosis   is   probably   the   correct   diagnosis   in   a  5558  

significant   proportion   of   HIV   positive   patients   currently   labeled   as   ‘smear-­‐negative  5559  

tuberculosis’.    5560  

 5561  

These   results   raise  major   questions   about   the   appropriateness   of   the   diagnostic   and  5562  

management  protocols  currently  in  place  for  pulmonary  tuberculosis  in  resource  poor  5563  

settings.  They  suggest  that  further  studies  to  accurately  define  the  prevalence  of  fungal  5564  

lung   diseases   in   patients   presenting   with   suspected   tuberculosis   are   now   urgently  5565  

required.  The  frequency  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG  found  in  each  Ugandan  patient  5566  

group  is  shown  in  table  1  below.  5567  

 5568  

 5569  

 5570  

 5571  

 5572  

 5573  

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Table  1  –Frequency  of  raised  Aspergillus  disease  in  Ugandan  patient  groups  5574  

 5575  

Patient  group   Frequency  of  raised  Aspergillus-­‐specific  IgG    

Prevalence  of  CPA  

Ugandan  healthy  controls  n  =  100  

2%   Not  measured  

Ugandans  with  previously  treated  pulmonary  tuberculosis  n  =  282  

10%   6.5%  

Ugandans  admitted  to  hospital  with  HIV  and  sub-­‐acute  lung  disease,  but  no  evidence  of  tuberculosis  n  =  39  

26%   Not  measured  

Ugandans  admitted  to  hospital  with  proven  active  pulmonary  tuberculosis  n  =  57  

47%   Not  measured  

 5576  

The  results  from  this  thesis  have  been  presented  to  policy  leaders  at  large  global  health  5577  

institutions.  They   suggest   that  CPA   is   an   important  neglected  disease   in   global  health  5578  

terms,  due   to   the  number  of  persons   likely   to  be  affected  and   the  high  morbidity  and  5579  

mortality   associated  with   the   illness.   The   author   is   part   of   a   team  planning  of   a   new,  5580  

larger,   prospective   multi-­‐centre   study   to   confirm   the   prevalence   of   CPA   in   Kenya.  5581  

Further   studies   will   be   needed   to   confirm   the   prevalence   of   CPA   in   other   countries  5582  

around   the   world.   If   these   confirm   the   prevalence   of   CPA   described   here   it   will   be  5583  

necessary   to   amend   Global   policies   relating   to   the   investigation   and   treatment   of  5584  

tuberculosis   to   include  diagnosis  and   treatment  of  CPA.  This  process   could  ultimately  5585  

result   in   large-­‐scale   roll   out   of   testing   and   treatment   of   CPA   and   potentially   extend  5586  

millions  of  lives.  5587  

5588  

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aspergillosis  complicating  sarcoidosis.  Eur  Respir  J.  2013;41(3):621–6.  5625  

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adults.  Med  Mycol.  2013;51(4):361–70.  doi:10.3109/13693786.2012.738312.  5629  

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aspergilloma  in  24  patients].  Dakar  médical.  2000;45(2):144–6.  5637  

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positive  serum  and  bronchoalveolar  lavage  Aspergillus  galactomannan  assays  6410  

caused  by  different  antibiotics.  Scand  J  Infect  Dis.  2010;42(6-­‐7):461–8.  6411  

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285.     Hanley  JA,  McNeil  BJ.  The  meaning  and  use  of  the  area  under  a  receiver  operating  6422  

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286.     Metz  CE.  Basic  principles  of  ROC  analysis.  Semin  Nucl  Med.  1978;8(4):283–98.  6425  

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287.     Rosenberg  IL,  Greenberger  PA.  Allergic  bronchopulmonary  aspergillosis  and  6426  

aspergilloma.  Long-­‐term  follow-­‐up  without  enlargement  of  a  large  multiloculated  6427  

cavity.  Chest.  1984;85(1):123–5.  6428  

288.     Wong  SJ,  Seligman  SJ.  Long-­‐term  stability  of  West  Nile  virus  IgM  and  IgG  6429  

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72.  6431  

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doi:10.1513/pats.200906-­‐040AL.  6438  

292.     Ramos-­‐e-­‐Silva  M,  Lima  CMO,  Schechtman  RC,  Trope  BM,  Carneiro  S.  Systemic  6439  

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Verbal  autopsy  as  a  tool  for  diagnosing  HIV-­‐related  adult  deaths  in  rural  Uganda.  6443  

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tuberculosis  in  patients  with  smear-­‐negative  pulmonary  tuberculosis  and  6450  

tuberculous  pleural  effusion  who  have  completed  treatment.  Int  J  Tuberc  Lung  6451  

Dis.  2000;4(10):968–74.  6452  

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pulmonary  aspergillosis:  approach  to  management.  Chest.  1997;112(2):541–8.  6454  

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the  acquired  immune  deficiency  syndrome:  clinical  findings,  diagnosis  and  6456  

treatment,  and  review  of  the  literature.  Medicine  (Baltimore).  1990;69(6):361–74.  6457  

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 6468  

 6469  

6470  

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APPENDICES 6471  

Appendix  1  -­‐  Aspergillus  IgG  ELISA  comparison  sheet  6472  DYNAMIKER   GENESIS   SERION  

DILUTION  Add  1  µL  sample  to  1ml  

diluent  Add  5  µL  sample  to  1ml  

diluent  2  STEP  

1st  add  10  µL  sample  to  1ml  diluent  THEN  

add  50  µL  from  above  to  200  µL  diluent  

STANDARD  SERA  FIVE   FIVE  PLUS  POSITIVE  

CONTROL    

TWO  PLUS  NEGATIVE  CONTROL  

VOLUME  OF  SERA  /  STANDARDS  TO  ADD  100  µL   100  µL  

 100  µL  

INCUBATION  LOCATION  (for  all  steps)  37oC  incubator    with  seal  on  plate  

Bench  at  room  temperature      

37oC  incubator    in  moist  chamber  

1ST  INCUBATION  DURATION  60  mins   30  mins  

 60  mins  

FIRST  WASH  STEP  3  washes   3  washes  

 4  washes  

VOLUME  OF  CONJUGATE  100  µL   100  µL  

 100  µL  

2ND  INCUBATION  DURATION  (with  conjugate)  30  mins   30  mins  

 30  mins  

SECOND  WASH  STEP  3  washes   4  washes  

 4  washes  

VOLUME  OF  SUBSTRATE  100  µL   100  µL  

 100  µL  

3rd  INCUBATION  DURATION  15  mins   10  mins  

 30  mins  

VOLUME  OF  STOPPING  SOLUTION  50  µL   100  µL  

 100  µL  

QUALITY  CONTROL  CRITERIA  SB  od  <0.1  Sa  od  0.1-­‐0.5  Se  od  1.6-­‐2.0  

PC  32-­‐60   STANDARD  od  0.42  –  1.43  

INDICATION  FOR  DILUTION  AND  RETESTING  Result  >  Se   Result  >  100  U/ml   Software  reports  as  HIGH  or  

>1000  units  HIGH  IAV  RANGE  

132  UNITS  OR  11%   41  UNITS  or  12%   62  UNITS  or  23%  

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Appendix  2  –  Patient  Information  Sheet  for  Paper  2  -­‐  Prevalence  of  chronic  pulmonary  6473  aspergillosis   secondary   to   tuberculosis:   a   cross-­‐sectional   survey   in   an   area   of   high  6474  tuberculosis  prevalence.  6475  

 6476              ASPERGILLOSIS  STUDY  6477  

 6478  PATIENT  INFORMATION  SHEET  6479  

 6480  We   would   like   to   invite   you   to   join   our   study.   You   have   been   selected   because   you   are   being  6481  treated   for   TB,   or   because   you   have   been   treated   for   TB   in   the   past.     Research   in   England   has  6482  shown   that   patients   who   have   been   treated   for   TB   sometimes   develop   a   second   illness   called  6483  Chronic  Pulmonary  Aspergillosis  or  CPA.    6484    6485  This   illness   is   caused  by  a   fungus  growing   in   the   lungs.  This   fungus   is   very   similar   to  mould  on  6486  bread.   It   can  be   breathed   into   the   lungs   as   an   invisible   dust.   If   you   are   healthy   this   is   normally  6487  harmless,  but  if  your  lungs  have  been  damaged  by  TB  or  other  illnesses  then  it  can  grow  in  your  6488  lungs  and  make  you  ill.  This  illness  can  make  you  very  tired  or  very  short  of  breath.  It  can  kill  you  6489  by  causing  bleeding   inside  your   lungs.  There   is   treatment  available   for   this   illness.   Some  people  6490  can   have   an   operation   to   cure   them.   Others   can   be   made   less   ill   by   taking   a   drug   called  6491  Itraconazole.  This  drug  can  be  bought  in  pharmacies  in  Gulu.  6492    6493  In  England   this   illness  was   found   in   around  1   person   in   20   after   they   had  TB.  No   one   has   ever  6494  tested  to  see  how  many  African  patients  get  the  illness  after  TB  treatment.  The  number  might  be  6495  bigger  or  smaller  than  it  is  in  England.  Also,  no  one  has  ever  tested  for  this  illness  in  patients  who  6496  have   had   both   TB   and  HIV.   It  might   be   that   people  with  HIV   are  more   likely   to   get   this   illness  6497  because  their  immune  systems  are  weaker.    6498    6499  We  hope  this  study  will  tell  us  how  many  patients  get  this  illness  in  Gulu.  We  will  tell  other  doctors  6500  the  results  of  our  study.  If  we  find  that  this  disease  is  a  big  problem  we  hope  that  this  study  will  6501  convince  doctors  and  government  ministers  to   find  all   the  people  with  the   illness  and  give  them  6502  treatment.  This  could  help  many  people  all  over  the  world!  We  also  hope  to  develop  a  better  blood  6503  test  for  this  illness,  which  will  be  cheap  and  can  be  used  at  any  African  clinic  –  even  ones  that  don’t  6504  have  electricity.    6505    6506  It   is  your  choice  whether  you  want  to   join  this  study  or  not.   If  you  choose  to  enter  the  study  we  6507  will  listen  to  your  chest  for  signs  of  the  illness  and  ask  you  some  questions  about  your  health  and  6508  where   you   live   and  work.   This  will   help   us  work   out   if   some  people   are  more   likely   to   get   this  6509  illness  than  others.    6510    6511  We  will  take  some  blood.  This  will  be  used  to  test  for  the  illness.  We  will  take  some  blood  back  to  6512  Manchester  University  in  England.  We  will  use  it  to  help  make  the  new  test  for  Africa.  We  will  also  6513  test   it   for  other  types  of   fungal  disease.  This  will  help  us  decide  what  diseases  to   look  for   in  our  6514  next  study.  Lastly  we  will  use  the  blood  to  find  genetic  markers  of  the  illness.  This  will  not  give  us  6515  an  immediately  useful  result,  but  in  many  years  we  hope  it  will  let  us  design  a  much  better  test  for  6516  people  who  are  at  risk  of   this  sickness.   If  you  are  coughing  we  will   take  a  sample  of  your  cough  6517  sputum  and  test   it   for  fungus  infection.  After  this  you  will  go  to  Lacor  hospital  by  car  where  you  6518  will  have  a  chest  X  ray  to  see  if  there  is  any  sign  of  disease  in  your  lungs.  You  will  then  come  back  6519  to  Gulu  by  car.  We  expect  the  whole  process  to  take  a  few  hours.  You  will  be  provided  with  some  6520  cold  drink  for  refreshment.    6521    6522  We  will  get  results  from  the  tests  in  a  few  months.  We  will  pass  this  result  to  your  doctor  if  you  are  6523  coming   back   to   clinic.   If   you   do   not   come   to   clinic  we  will   give   the   result   to   the  District  Health  6524  

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Officer.  He  will  phone  your  village  health  worker  if  your  test  is  positive  and  ask  you  should  come  6525  to  the  Infectious  Diseases  Clinic  at  Gulu  Hospital.  They  will  advise  you  if  you  need  treatment.  If  you  6526  do   you   can   buy   it   from   the   pharmacy   in   town.   You   are  welcome   to   ask   any   questions   you   like  6527  before  you  decide  to  join  the  study.  If  you  change  your  mind  and  decide  not  to  be  in  the  study  later  6528  on  we  can  remove  your  details   from  the  study  and  this  will  not  have  any   impact  on  your  health  6529  care  now  or  in  the  future.  6530    6531  If  you  wish  to  complain  about  the  conduct  of  the  study  please  contact  me  in  the  first  instance  and  if  6532  you  are  still  unhappy  you  can  contact  my  supervisor  Professor  Denning  6533  ([email protected])  or  the  Research  Governance  Office  at  the  University  of  6534  Manchester  (research-­‐[email protected]).  6535  

   6536  Finally  we  would  like  to  contact  you  again  to  take  part  in  further  studies.  This  is  optional  and  you  6537  can  still  take  part  in  this  study  if  you  do  not  want  to  take  part  in  the  other  studies.    6538    6539  This  project  was  reviewed  by  the  University  of  Manchester  Research  Ethics  Committee  1.  6540      6541    6542    6543    6544    6545    6546    6547    6548    6549    6550    6551    6552    6553    6554    6555    6556    6557    6558    6559    6560    6561  

6562  

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 6563  Appendix   3   –   Patient   Consent   form   for   Paper   2-­‐   Prevalence   of   chronic   pulmonary  6564  aspergillosis   secondary   to   tuberculosis:   a   cross-­‐sectional   survey   in   an   area   of   high  6565  tuberculosis  prevalence.  6566  

 6567              ASPERGILLOSIS  STUDY  6568    6569       CONSENT  FORM  6570    6571    6572  

If  you  agree  to  enter  the  Aspergillosis  study  please  sign  the  consent  form  below.  In  doing  so  6573  you  agree  to  the  following:-­‐  6574    6575  I  have  read  the  patient  information  sheet,  have  had  the  opportunity  to  consider  it’s  contents  6576  and  ask  questions  and  had  these  answered  satisfactorily.  6577    6578  I   will   undergo   a   medical   examination.   The   doctor   will   record   the   results   of   this   and  my  6579  answers  to  his  questions.  6580    6581  I   will   give   blood   to   be   used   in   the   study.   I   understand   these   samples   will   be   taken   to  6582  Manchester   University   in   England   and   that   they   will   be   used   for   research   including  6583  developing  a  new  test  and  identifying  genetic  risk  factors  for  Aspergillosis.    6584    6585  I  agree  to  my  blood  being  tested  for  Aspergillosis  and  other  fungal  lung  diseases.  If  I  am  HIV  6586  positive  I  understand  my  CD4  count  may  be  re-­‐checked  as  part  of  this  study.  6587    6588  I  agree  that  the  results  of  the  Aspergillosis  study  will  be  sent  to  my  doctor  at  Gulu  Hospital  6589  or  to  the  District  Health  and  that  they  may  contact  me  with  the  result.  6590    6591  I  agree  to  travel  to  Lacor  Hospital  and  have  a  chest  X-­‐ray  when  I  arrive  there.  6592    6593  I   understand   I  may   be   contacted   by   study   staff   in   future   if   I   am   suitable   to   enter   further  6594  studies.  6595    6596  I  understand  that  I  may  at  any  time  withdraw  my  approval  for  tissue  and  information  to  be  6597  stored   without   giving   any   reason   and   without   it   affecting   my   treatment.   If   I   do   this   my  6598  tissue  samples  will  be  destroyed  and  my  information  will  not  be  used  for  future  research.  6599    6600  …………………….     ……………..     ………………........................X  6601  Name  of  participant     Date       Signature  6602    6603  I  have  explained   the  request   for   research  purposes  and  answered  such  questions  as   the  patient  has  asked.   I  am  6604  satisfied   that   the   donor   signing   this   form   understands   the   content   and   the   purpose   and   nature   of   this   consent  6605  process  6606    6607    6608  ……………………..     ………………   ………………………………….    6609  Name  of  person       Date       Signature  6610  taking  consent  6611    6612  Study  number  -­‐    6613  

6614  

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Appendix  4  –  Medical  Research  Council  Dyspnoea  Scale  (MRC  Scale)  6615    6616  Grade   Degree  of  breathlessness  related  to  activities  1   Not  troubled  by  breathlessness  except  on  strenuous  exercise  2   Short  of  breath  when  hurry  on  the  level  or  walking  up  a  slight  hill  3   Walks   slower   than  most   people   on   the   level,   stops   after   a  mile   or   so,   or  

stops  after  15  minutes  walking  at  own  pace  4   Stops  for  breath  after  walking  about  100  yards  or  after  a  few  minutes  on  

level  ground  5   Too  breathless  to  leave  the  house,  or  breathless  when  undressing    6617  

6618  

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Appendix  5  –  Patient  Information  Sheet  for  patients  eligible  for  CT  scan    6619  

   6620  ASPERGILLOSIS STUDY 6621   RE-SURVEY 2014 6622  

 6623    6624  

PATIENT  INFORMATION  SHEET    6625  FOR  PATIENTS  WITH  POSITIVE  SEROLOGY  6626  

 6627   6628  Thank you for joining our study in 2012/2013. Your blood test results from the first survey showed that 6629  you might be suffering from pulmonary aspergillosis or CPA. Blood tests alone are not enough to 6630  diagnose this disease as people can have positive tests even when they don’t have the disease. We 6631  performed chest X-ray as well as blood tests to provide a picture of the lungs to help us see if 6632  aspergillosis was really present in the lungs. 6633   6634  While chest X-ray is the best test available for this purpose in Gulu it is better to do a test called a CT 6635  scan of the chest. This gives a much better picture of the inside of the chest and so is much better for 6636  identifying aspergillosis in the chest. By having this test we will be able to give you a clear answer as to 6637  whether you are suffering from CPA or not. The test also tells us exactly where in the lungs the CPA is. 6638  This is important as some patients can be cured of CPA by an operation, but it depends on where in the 6639  lung the disease is. A chest X-ray does not give a good enough picture to decide if an operation is 6640  possible. 6641   6642  We therefore plan to transport you to Kampala to undergo a CT scan of the chest at the Kampala 6643  Imaging Centre. We will arrange transport and provide accommodation for you. You will be provided 6644  with an allowance to spend on food while you are away. 6645   6646  A CT scan has a bigger dose of radiation than a chest X-ray. There is a very small risk this might cause 6647  cancer, but this risk is much smaller than the risk that you will become sick because of aspergillosis if it 6648  is not confirmed and treated. We therefore recommend you have this test. 6649   6650  As well as being used to decide if you have aspergillosis or not as part of our study, your scans will also 6651  be available for you to show to a surgeon at Mulago hospital to decide if you can be cured by surgery or 6652  not. We hope to arrange a trial of surgery and if this goes ahead you will be offered the chance to join it. 6653  Any treatment as part of a trial would be free. If there is no trial you would still be able to access 6654  surgical treatment at Mulago Hospital (if the scan shows this is possible) as part of Mulago hospitals 6655  standard provision of care. 6656   6657  If you wish to complain about the conduct of the study please contact me in the first instance and if you 6658  are still unhappy you can contact my supervisor Professor Denning ([email protected]) 6659  or the Research Governance Office at the University of Manchester (research-6660  [email protected]). 6661  

6662  Finally we would like to contact you again to take part in further studies. This is optional and you can 6663  still take part in this study if you do not want to take part in the other studies. 6664   6665  This project was reviewed by the University of Manchester Research Ethics Committee 1. 6666   6667  Version 1- 6.8.13 6668  

6669  

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Appendix  6  –  Consent  form  for  CT  scan  6670  

 6671              ASPERGILLOSIS STUDY 6672    6673     CONSENT  FORM  FOR  CT  SCAN  6674    6675    6676  

If  you  agree   to  undergo  CT  scan  as  part  of   the  aspergillosis   study  please  sign   the  consent  6677  form  below.  In  doing  so  you  agree  to  the  following:-­‐  6678    6679  I  have  read  the  patient  information  sheet,  have  had  the  opportunity  to  consider  its  contents  6680  and  ask  questions  and  had  these  answered  satisfactorily.  6681    6682  I  will  travel  to  Kampala  where  I  will  undergo  a  CT  scan  of  my  chest.  6683    6684  I  understand  I  have  been  selected  for  this  test  because  my  blood  tests  suggest  I  may  have  6685  aspergillosis  and  that  this  test  will  decide  if  I  have  aspergillosis  or  not.  6686    6687  I  am  aware  that  there  is  a  very  small  risk  of  developing  cancer  from  the  CT  scan.  6688    6689  I  understand  that  the  results  of  my  scan  will  be  assessed  to  decide  whether  it  is  possible  to  6690  cure  my  aspergillosis  through  an  operation  or  not.    This  consent  is  limited  to  the  scan  and  6691  does  not  mean  I  have  decided  to  undergo  surgery.  6692    6693  If  surgery  is  possible  I  agree  to  be  contacted  to  discuss  the  option  of  having  surgery.  6694   6695  I consent to the results of my scan being stored as part of the study. 6696   6697  I agree that images from my scan may be included in publications or presentations relating to this 6698  study. 6699   6700  I understand that I may at any time withdraw my approval for information to be stored or 6701  presented without giving any reason. If I do this my tissue samples will be destroyed and my 6702  information will not be used for future research. I realize that it will not be possible to assess my 6703  suitability for surgery if my images are destroyed. 6704   6705   6706  ……………………. …………….. 6707  

………………........................X 6708  Name of participant Date Signature 6709    6710  I  have  explained   the  request   for   research  purposes  and  answered  such  questions  as   the  patient  has  asked.   I  am  6711  satisfied   that   the   donor   signing   this   form   understands   the   content   and   the   purpose   and   nature   of   this   consent  6712  process 6713   6714   6715   6716  …………………….. ………………6717   …………………………………. 6718  Name of person Date Signature 6719  taking consent 6720  

6721  

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Appendix  7  –  MIND-­‐IHOP  study  protocol  6722    6723    6724  Mulago  Inpatient  Noninvasive  Diagnosis  –  International  HIV  Opportunistic  6725  Pneumonia  (MIND-­‐IHOP)  Study      6726    6727  Principal  Investigators:    6728    6729  William  Worodria,  M.B.Ch.B.,  M.Med.  6730  Mulago  National  Referral  Hospital  6731  Kampala,  Uganda  6732  [email protected]  6733  Telephone:  +256-­‐(0)772-­‐424-­‐601  6734    6735  Adithya  Cattamanchi,  M.D.  6736  University  of  California,  San  Francisco  6737  San  Francisco,  California,  U.S.A.  6738  [email protected]  6739  Telephone:  +1-­‐415-­‐206-­‐5489  6740    6741  J.  Lucian  Davis,  M.D.,  M.A.S.  6742  University  of  California,  San  Francisco  6743  San  Francisco,  California,  U.S.A.  6744  [email protected]  6745  Telephone:  +1-­‐415-­‐206-­‐4694  6746    6747  Charles  Everett,  M.D.  6748  University  of  California,  San  Francisco  6749  San  Francisco,  California,  U.S.A.  6750  [email protected]  6751  Telephone  0001-­‐415-­‐206-­‐3779  6752    6753  Irene  Ayakaka,  MBChB,  MIPH  6754  Makerere  University-­‐UCSF  Research  Collab’n  6755  P.O.  Box  7475,  Kampala,  Uganda  6756  [email protected]  6757  Telephone:  +256  (0)  772-­‐868-­‐838  6758    6759  Laurence  Huang,  M.D.,  M.A.S.  6760  University  of  California,  San  Francisco  6761  San  Francisco,  California,  U.S.A.  6762  [email protected]  6763  Telephone:  +1-­‐415-­‐476-­‐4082  ext.  406  6764    6765  Samuel  Yoo,  M.D.,  M.Med.  6766  MU-­‐UCSF  Research  Collaboration  6767  Kampala,  Uganda  6768  [email protected]  6769  Telephone:  +256-­‐(0)772-­‐461-­‐101  6770  

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 6771  Nicholas  Walter,  M.D.,  M.S.  6772  University  of  Colorado,  Denver  6773  Aurora,  Colorado  6774  [email protected]  6775  Telephone  0001-­‐415-­‐794-­‐7527  6776    6777  Christina  Yoon,  MD,  MPH  6778  University  of  California,  San  Francisco  6779  San  Francisco,  California,  U.S.A.  6780  [email protected]  6781  Telephone  0001-­‐415-­‐206-­‐831    6782  Co-­‐Investigators:  6783    6784  Huyen  Cao  6785  California  Department  of  Public  Health    6786  Richmond,  California  6787    6788  Charles  Chiu,  M.D.  6789  University  of  California,  San  Francisco  6790  San  Francisco,  California  6791    6792  Saskia  den  Boon,  MSc,  PhD  6793  World  Health  Organisation,  WHO,    6794  Geneva,  Switzerland  6795    6796  Karen  Dobos,  PhD  6797  Dept  of  Microbiology  6798  Colorado  State  University  6799    6800  Greg  Dolganov,  Ph.D.  6801  Stanford  University  6802  Palo  Alto,  California  6803    6804  Mark  Geraci,  M.D.  6805  University  of  Colorado,  Denver  6806  Aurora,  Colorado  6807    6808  Moses  Joloba,  M.B.Ch.B.,  M.A.,  Ph.D.  6809  Makerere  University  6810  Kampala,  Uganda  6811    6812  Harriet  Kisembo,  MBChB  6813  Makere  Univeristy    6814  Kampala  Uganda  6815    6816  Joseph  Kovacs,  M.D.  6817  National  Institutes  of  Health    6818  Bethesda,  Maryland  6819  

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 6820  Susan  Lynch,  PhD  6821  University  of  California,  San  Francisco  6822  San  Francisco,  California  6823    6824  Henry  Masur,  M.D.  6825  National  Institutes  of  Health    6826  Bethesda,  Maryland  6827    6828  Steve  Meshnick,  M.D.,  Ph.D.  6829  University  of  North  Carolina,  Chapel  Hill  6830  Chapel  Hill,  North  Carolina  6831    6832  Alison  Morris,  M.D.  6833  University  of  Pittsburgh  6834  Pittsburgh,  PA  6835    6836  Payam  Nahid,  MD,  MPH  6837  University  of  California,  San  Francisco  6838  San  Francisco,  California  6839    6840  Gary  Schoolnik,  MD  6841  Stanford  University  6842  Palo  Alto,  CA  6843    6844  Michael  Strong,  Ph.D.  6845  National  Jewish  Medical  Center  6846  Denver,  Colorado  6847    6848  Martin  Voskuil,  PhD  6849  University  of  Colorado,  Denver  6850  Aurora,  Colorado  6851    6852  Alan  Wu,  PhD.  6853  University  of  California,  San  Francisco  6854  San  Francisco,  California  6855    6856  Jeff  Schorey,  PhD  6857  Dept  of  Biological  Sciences  6858  University  of  Notre  Dame  6859      6860  STUDY  DESIGN  6861    6862  Synopsis:  6863    6864  Respiratory   infections  are  a   leading  cause  of  death   in  Africa,  especially  among  Human  6865  Immunodeficiency  Virus  (HIV)-­‐infected  patients,  and  the  lack  of  understanding  of  host  6866  and   pathogen   biology   constitutes   a   major   barrier   to   developing   new   management  6867  approaches  for  improving  outcomes.  Over  the  past  4  years,  rapid,  noninvasive  tests  and  6868  

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strategies   have   been   validated   for   the   diagnosis   of   tuberculosis   (TB),   yet   substantial  6869  improvements   in   mortality   have   yet   to   be   realized.   Understanding   the   fundamental  6870  biological   principles   underlying   human-­‐microbial   interactions   in   patients   with  6871  respiratory   illness   offers   the   possibility   for   reshaping   current   approaches   to   care.  6872  Therefore,   we   propose  minor   modifications   to   our   current   platform   for   study   of   the  6873  diagnosis   and   epidemiology   of   HIV-­‐associated   pulmonary   infections   and   the   human  6874  responses   to   those   infections   that   will   combine   earlier   and   more   frequent   patient  6875  assessment   with   the   latest   technologies   for   studying   the   biology   of   host-­‐pathogen  6876  interaction.  6877    6878  Objectives:  6879    6880  Our  specific  aims  are:  6881  1.   To  determine  the   frequency,  quantity,  and  diversity  of  bacterial,  mycobacterial,  6882  

fungal,   and   viral   organisms   in   respiratory   specimens   using   microbiologic,  6883  serologic,   and   nucleic-­‐acid   amplification   techniques   to   determine   the  6884  relationship  between  presence  of  these  organisms  and  clinical  outcomes;  6885  

2.   To   evaluate   the   performance   and   impact   of   novel   independent   and   integrated  6886  approaches  to  TB  diagnosis  using  both  smear  microscopy  and  automated  nucleic  6887  acid  amplification  testing;  6888  

3.   To  evaluate  the  operational  and  performance  characteristics  of  novel  approaches  6889  to   treatment   monitoring   using   intensified   measures   including   clinical  6890  characteristics,  microbiologic  results,  automated  nucleic  acid  amplification,  and  6891  cytokine  profiling   for   prediction   of   clinical   and  microbiologic   outcomes   among  6892  patients  with  TB  and  other  pneumonias;  6893  

4.   To   describe   mycobacterial   and   host   gene   expression   profiles   and   cytokine  6894  responses   in   blood   and   respiratory   specimens   to   gain   insights   into   the  6895  pathophysiology  of  TB  and  to  more  accurately  classify  TB  disease  states.  6896  

5.   To   describe   the   influence   of   airway   pathogens   on   the   gastrointestinal  6897  microbiome   by   comparing   respiratory   samples,   stool   samples,   and   clinical  6898  outcomes  6899  

 6900  Some  of  our  associated  hypotheses  are:  6901  1.   The   frequency,   quantity,   and   diversity   of   microbial   species   in   oral   and  6902  

respiratory   specimens  will   generate   new   hypotheses   about   the   predictors   and  6903  roles  of  microbial  communities  and  provide  insights  about  clinical  outcomes.  6904  

2.   Novel   approaches   to   microscopy   will   have   equivalent   sensitivity   to   existing  6905  approaches  but  integrated  approaches  to  TB  diagnosis  and  treatment  monitoring  6906  will  optimize  diagnostic  accuracy  and  maximize  clinical  impact.  6907  

3.   Two  independent  hypotheses:  6908  a.   Disease   response   markers   (e.g.   quantitative   nucleic   acid  6909  

amplification   results,   host   or   pathogen   gene   expression,   quantitative  6910  microbiologic   results,   host   cytokine   and   inflammatory   marker   responses)  6911  measured   early   during   the   course   of   anti-­‐tuberculosis   treatment   will   provide  6912  insights  into  the  kinetics  and  biology  of  treatment  response  in  HIV-­‐infected  and  6913  HIV-­‐uninfected  patients;  6914  

b.   Molecular   or  microscopy  markers  measured   during   treatment   of  6915  PCP  will  have  a  high  positive  predictive  value  for  treatment  failure.  6916  

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4.   Description   of   mycobacterial   and   host   gene   expression   profiles   and   host  6917  cytokine  profiles  will  provide  insights  into  pathogenesis  and  correctly  classify  TB  6918  disease  states.  6919  

 6920      6921  Background:  6922    6923  Overview.    6924    6925  Respiratory   infections   are   a   leading   cause   of   death   in   Africa,   especially   among   HIV-­‐6926  seropositive   adults   and   children   (Lopez,   2006;   Ansari,   2003;   Lucas,   1993).   Definitive  6927  diagnosis   of   respiratory   infections   in   Africa   is   difficult   because   resources   are   often  6928  limited   and   because   non-­‐invasive   techniques   for   diagnosing   opportunistic   infections  6929  lack  adequate  sensitivity  and  specificity.    6930    6931  Key  Findings  to  Date.    6932    6933  Since   1998,   members   of   the   study   team   have   been   refining   molecular   methods   in  6934  clinical  studies  of  non-­‐invasive  diagnosis  of  PCP  and  tuberculosis  (Huang,  2000;  Fischer,  6935  2001;   Zelazny,   2004).   We   have   applied   some   of   these   tools   to   study   respiratory  6936  infections   at  Mulago  Hospital   in  Kampala,  Uganda.   Since  March,   2007,  we  have   safely  6937  enrolled  almost  2000  patients  and  have  facilitated  a  thorough  diagnostic  evaluation  for  6938  the  etiology  of  pneumonia  in  each  of  these  patients  including  chest  radiography,  CD4  T-­‐6939  lymphocyte   count   measurement   in   HIV-­‐infected   patients,   sputum   smear   microscopy  6940  and  culture,  and  bronchoscopy  with  BAL  when  requested  by  the  treating  physician.    6941    6942  Through  this  process,  we  have  produced  the  following  key  findings:  6943  •   HIV   seroprevalence   is   over   80%   among   patients   admitted   to   Mulago   Hospital  6944  

with  pneumonia  6945  •   Tuberculosis  is  the  most  common  cause  of  pneumonia,  accounting  for  over  50%  6946  

of  cases.  6947  •   Pneumocystis  pneumonia  is  a  rare  cause  of  respiratory  infections.  6948  •   Clinical   symptoms   and   chest   radiography   have   poor   positive   and   negative  6949  

predictive  values  for  TB  diagnosis.  6950  •   Nucleic   acid   tests   have  moderate   sensitivity   and   substantial   clinical   impact   for  6951  

the  diagnosis  of  smear-­‐negative  TB.    6952  •   T-­‐cell  interferon-­‐gamma  release  assays  perform  poorly  for  diagnosis  of  TB.    6953  •   Same-­‐day   microscopy   has   equivalent   sensitivity   to   conventional   two-­‐day  6954  

microscopy  for  TB  diagnosis.    6955  •   LED  fluorescence  microscopy  increases  the  sensitivity  of  smear-­‐examination  for  6956  

TB.  6957    6958  Aim  1  –  Lung  microbial  diversity.   Increasing  evidence   for  other   lung  diseases   such  as  6959  cystic  fibrosis  suggests  that  alterations  in  host  bacterial  communities  contribute  to  the  6960  pathogenesis  of   lower  respiratory   tract   infections.  No  studies  have  been  conducted   to  6961  determine   the   composition  of   host   communities  present   in   the  HIV-­‐infected   lung.  We  6962  will   evaluate   sputum,   tongue   scrapings,   oro-­‐pharnygeal   washes,   and   BAL   using  6963  bacterial,   mycobacterial,   fungal,   and   viral   nucleic   acid   tests   (including   microarrays),  6964  complemented  by  conventional  microbiologic,   serologic,  and  other  biochemical  assays  6965  

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to   detect   with   the   presence   of   these   organisms,   and   correlate   results   with   clinical  6966  outcomes.  We  will  describe  the  types  and  variation  of  microbial  populations  resident  in  6967  a  variety  of  respiratory  specimens.  6968    6969  Aim   2   –   Diagnosis   of   active   TB.   TB   is   the   leading   cause   of   mortality   in   HIV-­‐infected  6970  patients   in   sub-­‐Saharan   Africa.   Failure   to   promptly   diagnose   TB   has   adverse  6971  consequences   including   disease   progression,   acceleration   of   HIV-­‐related  6972  immunodeficiency   in   dually   infected   persons,   and   increased   TB   transmission   in   the  6973  community   (WHO,   2004;   Steen,   1998).  Despite   these   consequences,   failure   to   rapidly  6974  diagnose  TB  is  common,  in  part  due  to  inadequate  diagnostic  tests.  We  will  evaluate  the  6975  clinical   impact   of   integrated   algorithms   employing   combinations   of   traditional  6976  microbiologic   (sputum   smear  microscopy   and   culture)   and   novel   nucleic   acid   testing  6977  (Xpert  MTB/Rif)  for  TB  diagnosis  on  patient-­‐  and  health-­‐system  important  outcomes.  In  6978  addition,  we  will   collect  biological   specimens   (sputum,  blood,  urine)   for   evaluation  of  6979  novel  diagnostic  biomarkers  for  development  into  new  TB  diagnostic  assays.  6980    6981  Aim   3   –   Surrogate   markers   of   response   to   anti-­‐TB   and   pneumonia   chemotherapy.  6982  Surrogate  markers  of  treatment  response  are  needed  to  decrease  the  cost  and  duration  6983  of   clinical   trials   of   new   anti-­‐tuberculosis   medications.   Documenting   clinical   cure   and  6984  absence   of   relapse   currently   requires   following   patients   for   up   to   two   years   after  6985  treatment   completion.   Some   studies   have   used   two-­‐month   culture   conversion   as   a  6986  surrogate  endpoint,  but  recent  data  suggests   this  approach  has   limited  sensitivity  and  6987  specificity.  Some  studies  have  explored  the  role  that  pathogen  and  host  specific  markers  6988  may   play   in   predicting   treatment   outcomes.   However,   new   measurement   tools   (e.g.  6989  whole  genome  gene  expression  studies,  quantitative  nucleic  acid  amplification  testing,  6990  multiplex  cytokine  assays)  are  now  available  to  improve  the  precision  of  our  measures.  6991  We   will   also   explore   novel   approaches   to   monitoring   with   smear   microscopy,   the  6992  standard  method  for  monitoring  treatment  response  in  TB  patients,  by  measuring  serial  6993  levels  of  inflammatory  markers.  For  other  pneumonias,  we  will  explore  other  surrogate  6994  markers  such  soluble  TREM-­‐1  (bacterial  pneumonia),  and  serum  S-­‐adenosylmethionine  6995  and  co-­‐trimoxazole  drug  levels  (PCP)  (Gibot,  2004;  Skelly  2003).  6996    6997  Aim   4   –   TB   pathophysiology.   There   is   an   urgent   need   to   distinguish   between   people  6998  who  are  not   infected  with  MTB,   infected  but  without  active  disease,  and   infected  with  6999  active   disease.   Novel   techniques   can   provide   insights   into   host   and   pathogen  7000  characteristics   in   different   disease   states,   potentially   leading   to   novel   diagnostic  7001  interventions.   We   will   assess   (1)   Mycobacterial   gene   expression   in   respiratory  7002  specimens  and  (2)  Host  gene  expression  and  cytokine  profiles  in  respiratory  and  blood  7003  specimens.  We  will  correlate   these  results  among  patients  with  different  MTB  disease  7004  states.    7005    7006  Aim  5  –  Gastrointestinal  Microbiome.  We  would  like  to  compare  the  lung  microbiome  to  7007  the   gastrointestinal   microbiome   in   order   to   better   understand   the   influence   of  7008  gastrointestinal  microflora  on  opportunistic  pulmonary  conditions.  We  will  do   this  by  7009  comprehensively  comparing  the  bacterial  populations  in  respiratory  specimens  (tongue  7010  scraping,   oral   wash,   bronchoalveolar   lavage   specimens)   to   those   in   gastrointestinal  7011  specimens  (stool  specimens).  7012    7013    7014  

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Design:  7015    7016  This   is   a   prospective   cohort   study   of   patients   with   pneumonia   admitted   to   Mulago  7017  Hospital.   We   will   enroll   consenting   patients   with   cough,   and   collect   respiratory  7018  specimens  (including  bronchoalveolar  lavage  fluid)  and  blood  as  indicated  to  obtain  as  7019  definitively  as  possible  a  diagnosis   for  the  pulmonary  complaints.  A  subset  of  patients  7020  will  be  followed  for  2  months  as  part  of  a  treatment  monitoring  sub-­‐study.  An  overview  7021  of  the  protocol  follows.  7022    7023  After   identifying  eligible  patients  with   the  assistance  of   the  medical  and  nursing  staff,  7024  the   study  medical   officers  will   screen   and   enroll   patients.   This  will   take   place   on   the  7025  casualty   ward   (emergency   department,   3BE)   on   weekdays.   All   alert,   English-­‐   or  7026  Luganda-­‐speaking  adults  with  respiratory  complaints  (cough)  will  be  invited  to  join  the  7027  study  on   the  day  of  hospital   admission,   through  a   verbal   and/or  written   invitation   in  7028  English   or   Luganda.   Interested   patients  will   subsequently   be   enrolled   at   the   bedside.  7029  The   study   team   (which   includes   physicians,   medical   officers,   nurses,   and   laboratory  7030  technicians)   will   administer   a   brief   questionnaire   to   enrolled   patients,   in   English   or  7031  Luganda,  and  collect  several  biological  samples.    7032    7033  These   will   include   expectorated   or   induced   (if   the   patient   is   unable   to   expectorate  7034  spontaneously)  sputum.  (Please  see  description  below   in  Part  3:  Procedures).  Sputum  7035  will  be  processed,  and  will  undergo  staining,  interpretation,  mycobacterial  culture,  and  7036  other  clinical  tests  as  necessary  for  care  of  the  patient  on  site  at  Mulago  Hospital  and  at  7037  the  National  Tuberculosis  and  Reference  Laboratory  (NTRL).  When  clinically  indicated,  7038  sputum   will   also   undergo   testing   for   M.   tuberculosis   and   rifampicin   drug   resistance  7039  using   the   GeneXpertTM   MTB   automated   nucleic   acid   amplification   assay   as   well   as  7040  smear   microscopy   at   Mulago   Hospital.   The   results   of   sputum   acid-­‐fast   bacilli   (AFB)  7041  smears   and   GeneXpert   testing   will   be   available   to   the   treating   clinicians   within   24  7042  hours.  7043    7044  During   enrollment,   samples   of   blood   (totaling   up   to   42   mL)   will   be   drawn   from   all  7045  subjects  and  an  additional  22mls  will  be  drawn  for  patients  undergoing  bronchoscopy.  7046  This  blood  will  be  used  for  CD4  count  in  the  majority  of  patients  who  are  HIV-­‐infected,  7047  and  research  assays   in  all  patients.  Clinical   testing  will  be  performed  at   the  Makerere  7048  University–Johns   Hopkins   University   (MU-­‐JHU)   Core   Lab,   the   Makerere   University  7049  College   of   Health   Sciences   Clinical   Lab,   or   the   Mulago   Hospital   Clinical   Lab,   unless  7050  services  become  unavailable,   in  which  case  alternative   local   labs  will  be  used.  Unused  7051  blood  will  be  separated   into   its  constituents  (erythrocytes,  mononuclear  cells,  plasma,  7052  serum,   etc)   and   stored   for   research   studies   in   patients   who   specifically   provide  7053  informed  consent.  7054    7055  As  soon  as  testing  is  complete,  sputum  AFB  results  will  be  collected  from  the  laboratory  7056  and  delivered   to   the  ward.  Additional  sputum  will  be  collected  on  Day  2.  A  portion  of  7057  this  sample  will  be  delivered  to  the  NTLP  for  smear  microscopy  and  culture.  These  AFB  7058  results  will  again  be  collected  and  delivered  to  the  ward  on  the  following  working  day.  7059  Patients  with  evidence  of  rifampicin  drug  resistance  on  the  GeneXpert  assay  will  have  7060  drug   susceptibility   testing   performed,   with   the   results   provided   to   patients.   Patients  7061  with  drug-­‐resistant  TB  will  be  registered  for  treatment  with  second  line  TB  drugs  at  the  7062  National  TB  and  Leprosy  Programme  once  a  drug-­‐resistant-­‐TB  treatment  program  has  7063  

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been   introduced.  The  Uganda  NTLP  has  received  approval   from  the  WHO  Green  Light  7064  Committee   to   acquire   second   line   drugs   for   treatment   of   drug-­‐resistant   TB.   The  7065  remainder   of   all   sputum,   as   well   as   BAL   specimens,   and   all   culture   isolates   will   be  7066  stored  for  future  studies.    7067    7068  HIV  results  will  be   received   from  the  hospital-­‐run  HIV-­‐testing  service  as   soon  as   they  7069  are  available  after  admission.  Ward  physicians  will  be  encouraged  to  refer  any  patient  7070  who  is  HIV-­‐infected,  with  persistent  respiratory  symptoms  and  negative-­‐AFB  smears,  to  7071  the   pulmonary   service   for   bronchoscopy   as   soon   as   two   sputum   samples   have   been  7072  examined  for  acid-­‐fast  bacilli.  Bronchoscopy  is  routinely  performed  in  such  patients  in  7073  high-­‐income  countries  and  increases  the  yield  for  diagnosis  of  PCP,  pulmonary  Kaposi’s  7074  sarcoma,   fungal  pneumonias,   and  possibly  TB.  This   study  will  pay  all   costs  associated  7075  with   bronchoscopy   and   testing   of   BAL   fluid   such   that   all   consenting   patients   can  7076  undergo  bronchoscopy  unless  the  clinicians  deem  it  unsafe.  7077    7078  On   the  morning   of   bronchoscopy,   the   bronchoscopist   and   a   bronchoscopy   nurse  will  7079  consent   the  patient   for   the  procedure.  All  patients  will  be  monitored  with  continuous  7080  pulse   oximetry   and   receive   continuous   oxygen   supplementation,   if   required.   An  7081  oropharyngeal  wash  (OPW)  specimen  will  be  collected  at  this  time  by  having  the  patient  7082  gargle  10  mL  of   sterile  normal   saline   for  60   seconds  and  expectorate   it   into  a   cup.   In  7083  addition,   22mL  of   blood  will   be   collected   as  well   as   gentle   tongue   scrapings   ,   an   oral  7084  rinse  specimen,  and  sputum.  Baseline  vital  signs  will  be  recorded.  In  preparation  for  the  7085  procedure,   the   patient   may   receive   intramuscular   midazolam   for   anxiolysis,   at   the  7086  clinician’s   judgment.  The  nurse  will   then  anesthetize   the  upper  airway  with  10  mL  of  7087  2%  lignocaine,  to  be  administered  by  nebulizer.  Additional  aliquots  of  lignocaine,  not  to  7088  exceed  a  total  dose  of  5  mg/kg  of  body  weight,  may  be  delivered  topically  to  diminish  7089  coughing.  Multiple  25  mL  aliquots  of  sterile  normal  saline  will  be   lavaged  through  the  7090  bronchoscope   channel   into   a   bronchus   occluded   by   the   bronchoscope   and   suction  7091  applied   to   return   a   target   of   at   least   50  mL   of   lavage   fluid.   After   the   procedure,   the  7092  patient  will  be  monitored  by  nursing  staff  to  see  that  vital  signs  and  clinical  status  have  7093  stabilized  before  returning  the  patient  to  the  ward.  Bronchoalveolar   lavage  specimens  7094  will  be  delivered   to   the  study’s  microbiology   technician,  who  will   stain   the  specimens  7095  for  PCP,  and  send  them  for  mycobacterial  and   fungal  stains  and  cultures.  A  portion  of  7096  the  BAL  will  be  saved  for  research  studies.  Patients  with  Pneumocystis  pneumonia  will  7097  have   an   additional   5  mL   of   blood   taken   from   them   for   sulfa   steady-­‐state   drug   levels  7098  after  the  5th  dose  of  treatment  with  any  sulfa  antibiotic.    7099    7100  Patients  undergoing  bronchoscopy  for  clinical  indications  will  be  asked  to  participate  in  7101  a  sub-­‐study  in  which  we  will  ask  them  to  provide  a  stool  sample  near  to  or  on  the  day  of  7102  bronchoscopy.   This   sample   will   be   used   to   compare   the   microbiome   of   the  7103  gastrointestinal  tract  to  the  microbiome  of  the  lung.  7104    7105  A   subset   of   approximately   one   hundred   smear-­‐positive   TB   patients   will   be   asked   to  7106  submit  serial  sputum  specimens  and  provide  additional  blood  during  the  initial  days  of  7107  treatment   to   evaluate   treatment   response.   These   patients  will   undergo   serial   sputum  7108  sampling   prior   to   and   following   initiation   of   standard   4-­‐drug   TB   therapy.   Smear,  7109  culture,   and   automated   nucleic   acid   amplification   testing   on   sputum  will   be   done   at  7110  baseline   (pre-­‐treatment)   and   after  2  months   (60  days)   of   therapy;   automated  nucleic  7111  acid  amplification  testing  alone  will  be  done  on  sputum  around  days  2,  4,  7,  14,  and  30  7112  

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of   therapy;   and  up   to  30  mL  of  blood  will   be   collected   to   assess   gene  expression  and  7113  cytokine  responses  at  baseline  and  around  days  7,  14,  30,  and  60  of   therapy.  A   finger  7114  prick  will   also  be  performed   for  point-­‐of-­‐care  C-­‐reactive  protein   (POC  CRP)   testing  at  7115  the  time  of  enrollment  and  at  each  follow-­‐up  visit.  The  data  for  all  100  patients  will  be  7116  analyzed   to   identify   the   1-­‐2   measurement   time   points   during   treatment   (minimum  7117  sampling   frame)   that   most   accurately   represent   the   slope   of   decline   in   quantitative  7118  sputum   MTB   DNA   and   CRP   concentrations   described   by   the   full   set   of   time   points  7119  (maximum  sampling  frame).  QPCR  and  cytokine  assays  will  be  performed  at  additional  7120  time  points   following  treatment   initiation  based  on  the  minimum  sampling   frame.  We  7121  will  also  collect  a  small  amount  of  clinical  data  from  those  enrolled  on  treatments  taken  7122  after  discharge.  7123    7124  Sputum  samples  provided  by  patients  at  5  month  follow-­‐up  for  AFB  treatment  may  be  7125  used   for   GeneXpert   testing   including   staining/culture   for   acid-­‐fast   bacilli   and   other  7126  pathogens  as  clinically  indicated.  7127    7128  All   respiratory   specimens   will   subsequently   be   processed,   de-­‐identified,   divided   into  7129  triplicate  sets,  and  stored  frozen  in  the  MIND  study  freezers  located  in  Mulago  Hospital.  7130  At  least  one  set  of  specimens  will  remain  at  Mulago  Hospital/Makerere  University  and  7131  offered  to  local  investigators  for  research  studies.  One  or  more  sets  (depending  on  the  7132  yield   of   each   specimen   after   processing)   of   non-­‐personally-­‐identifiable   specimens   of  7133  sputum,  blood,  oral  specimens,  BAL  fluid,  and  culture  isolates  will  be  shipped  to  the  U.S.  7134  for   testing   by   laboratory   collaborators   with   different   areas   of   expertise.   The  7135  investigators  will  analyze  them  according  to  previously  validated  protocols  and  return  7136  the  results  to  the  clinical  investigators.  7137    7138  Statistical  Methods  and  Sample  Size  Calculation:  7139  Our  sample-­‐size  generating  hypothesis  relates  to  Aim  2,  in  which  we  expect  to  show  the  7140  equivalent   sensitivity   of   portable   fluorescence   microscopy   to   conventional   LED  7141  fluorescence   microscopy   (FM).   To   calculate   sample   size,   the   following   equation   is  7142  necessary:  7143    7144  Equation  for  proportions:     N  =  C  *  [(P1)  (1-­‐  P1)  +  (P2)  (1-­‐  P2)]  *  [1/d2]  +  [2/d]  +  2  7145    7146  Sample   size   N   for   a   study   whose   endpoint   is   a   difference   in   proportions   can   be  7147  estimated  using  this  equation  where  P1    is  the  expected  proportion  in  group  1  and  P2  is  7148  the   expected   proportion   in   group   2,   and   d   is   the   difference   between   P1     and   P2,  7149  expressed  as  a  positive  quantity,  and  where  C  is  a  constant  that  depends  on  the  values  7150  chosen  for  alpha  and  beta.  (Fleiss,  1981)  7151    7152  We   used   PASS   11.0   (NCSS,   Kaysville,   USA),   a   comprehensive   and   validated   software  7153  program  for  Power  and  Sample  Size  calculations,  to  determine  the  number  of  patients  7154  needed  to  demonstrate  that  portable  LED  FM  is  no  less  sensitive  than  conventional  LED  7155  FM,  as  defined  by  a  non-­‐inferiority  margin  of  10%.  To  demonstrate  non-­‐inferiority  with  7156  80%  power  and  a  5%  significance  level  using  a  one-­‐sided  equivalence  test  of  correlated  7157  proportions   (Liu   JP,   Stat   Med   2002),   370   tuberculosis   patients   will   be   needed.   This  7158  calculation  is  based  on  the  60%  sensitivity  of  conventional  LED  FM  using  culture  as  the  7159  gold   standard   in   our   cohort   to   date   and   assumes   the   actual   difference   in   sensitivity  7160  between  conventional  and  portable  LED  FM  will  be  0%.  Given   the  50%  prevalence  of  7161  

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culture-­‐confirmed  TB  to  date,  we  will  need  to  enroll  at  least  740  patients.  To  account  for  7162  patients  with   incomplete  work-­‐up  and  contaminated  culture  results,  we  plan  to  enroll  7163  800  patients  for  this  aim  of  the  study.  7164    7165  Data  Analysis:  7166    7167  Clinical   data   will   be   reviewed,   interpreted,   cleaned,   and   analyzed   by   the   clinical  7168  investigators.   Chest   radiographs   will   be   interpreted   according   to   standardized  7169  categories  by  a  clinical  investigator  who  will  be  blinded  to  the  diagnoses  of  the  patients.  7170  All  data  will  be  entered  using  study  numbers  for  identification.  Data  will  be  entered  in  7171  duplicate   and   compared   using   SAS   Corporation   Statistical   Software.   Data   will   be  7172  analyzed   using   Microsoft   Access,   Microsoft   Excel,   and   STATA   Corporation   Statistical  7173  Software.  The  data  will  be  managed  by  members  of  the  MIND  team  working  in  the  MU-­‐7174  UCSF  Research  Collaboration  Data  Centre.  The  data  will  be  accessible  through  a  secured,  7175  password   protected   web   server   stored   in   the   MU-­‐UCSF   Data   Centre,   or   on   secured  7176  servers   at   UCSF.   Bivariate   and  multivariate   analyses   of   associations   between   clinical  7177  data  and   the  outcome  of  disease  will  be  performed.  Receiver  operating  curves  will  be  7178  generated   using   measures   of   test   accuracy   at   various   thresholds   of   results.   Other  7179  statistical   comparisons   between   the   data   points   may   be   performed   to   test   other  7180  hypotheses  that  arise.  7181    7182  STUDY  PROCEDURES  7183    7184  Study  Instruments,  Procedures,  and  Location:  7185    7186  •   Questionnaire:   The  medical   officer  will   interview   the   patient   at   the   bedside   to  7187  

gather   demographic   information   and   obtain   a   clinical   history   (Please   see  7188  Appendix).  7189  

 7190  •   Sputum:   Subjects   will   submit   sputum   on   Day   0   to   the   laboratory   technician.  7191  

Sputum   will   be   delivered   to   the   microbiology   lab   for   smear   examination   and  7192  culture.  If  negative,  a  portion  of  the  sputum  samples  will  be  used  for  GeneXpert  7193  testing   including   staining/culture   for   acid-­‐fast   bacilli   and   other   pathogens   as  7194  clinically  indicated,  while  the  remainder  of  the  samples  will  be  used  for  research.  7195  Also,  additional  sputum  will  be  sent  for  culture  on  Day  2  if  the  GeneXpert  test  is  7196  negative  (Please  see  Appendix,  Flow  Diagram).  7197  

 7198  In   addition,   for   the   monitoring   sub-­‐study,   sputum   will   be   collected   daily   during  7199  inpatient  hospitalization  and  up-­‐to-­‐weekly  during  the   follow-­‐up  period.   If  patients  are  7200  unable  to  expectorate  sputum  spontaneously,  sputum  induction  may  be  performed.  7201    7202  •   At  5  month  follow-­‐up,  sputum  will  be  collected  and  used  for  GeneXpert  testing.  7203    7204  •   Oropharyngeal  Wash/Oral  Rinse:  The  subject  will  pour  10  milliliters  of  normal  7205  

saline  into  the  mouth,  and  then  “gargle”  for  sixty  seconds.  The  timing  and  quality  7206  of   the   procedure   will   be   recorded.   These   will   be   collected   at   the   time   of  7207  bronchoscopy.   Patients  will   also   be   asked   to   rinse   the  mouth  without   gargling  7208  and  expectorate.  7209  

 7210  

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•   Tongue   Scraping.   A   sample   of   oral   microbiologic   flora   will   be   obtained   by   a  7211  trained  lab  technician  applying  a  wooden  stick  with  a  smooth  edge  to  the  tongue  7212  immediate  prior  oropharyngeal  wash  collection.  7213  

 7214  •   Urine.  A  urine  sample  will  be  collected   in  a  30  mL  specimen  cup  on   the  day  of  7215  

admission.  7216    7217  •   Finger  prick:  The  laboratory  technician  will  obtain  1-­‐2  drops  of  whole  blood  via  7218  

finger  prick.  The  skin  will  be  prepped  with  an  alcohol  prep  pad  and  dried  with  7219  cotton.  A   lancet  will  be  applied   to  a   fingerpad  and  blood  expressed.  A  capillary  7220  will  draw  up  1-­‐2  drops  of  blood  which  will  then  be  mixed  with  a  reagent  for  POC  7221  CRP  measurement.  POC  CRP  will  be  performed  at  baseline  (Day  0)  and  at  each  7222  follow-­‐up   visit   (Days   2,   4,   7,   14,   28,   and   56).   This  will   allow   evaluation   of   the  7223  accuracy  and  acceptability  of  this  assay.  7224  

 7225  •   Blood:  The  laboratory  technician  will  collect  one  ~1  mL  sample  EDTA-­‐containing  7226  

tube  to  measure  CD4+  T-­‐cell  count,  one  ~10  mL  tube  for  serum/plasma  studies,  7227  and   three   8   mL   tubes   for   measurement   of   T-­‐cell   telomerase   enzymes.   For  7228  patients   undergoing   bronchoscopy,   an   additional   22   mL   of   blood   will   be  7229  collected   for   gene   expression   and   telomerase   assays.   For   patients   with   TB  7230  enrolled  in  the  treatment  monitoring  sub-­‐study,  up  to  30  mL  of  additional  blood  7231  will  be  collected  for  gene-­‐expression  and  cytokine  profiling  studies  in  a  subset  of  7232  patients  at  baseline  and  around  days  7,  14,  30,  &  60.  For  patients  without  TB  in  7233  the  gene  expression  profiling  study,  5  mL  will  be  collected  around  day  60.  5  mL  7234  more  will  be  gathered   in  patients  with  PCP  after   the  5th  dose  of   trimethoprim  7235  sulfamethoxazole.   Clinical   blood   tests   will   be   performed   in   the   MU-­‐JHU   lab,  7236  which  is  certified  by  the  Clinical  Laboratory  Improvements  Amendments  (CLIA)  7237  Advisory  Committee.  7238  

 7239  •   Clinical   data:   The   medical   officer   will   measure   the   patient’s   vital   signs,   lung  7240  

physical  exam  results,  and  clinician  diagnosis  from  the  bedside  chart  at  the  time  7241  of  admission.  7242  

 7243  •   Chest  radiographs:  Chest  radiographs  will  be  taken  routinely  at  enrollment,  and  7244  

for  the  IM  patients,  at  the  8-­‐month  follow-­‐up  visit.  If  a  chest  x-­‐ray  has  not  been  7245  performed  just  prior  to  admission,  one  will  be  obtained.  The  medical  officer  will  7246  photograph  x-­‐rays  with  patient-­‐identifying  text  obscured.  If  additional  x-­‐rays  are  7247  requested  for  clinical  purposes  while  the  patient  is  being  followed  in  the  study,  7248  the  study  will  provide  those  as  well.  Chest  radiographs  will  be  interpreted  using  7249  a  standardized  research  form.  7250  

 7251  Bronchoscopy:  For  HIV-­‐infected  patients  who  are  not  shown  to  have  tuberculosis  after  7252  sputum   analysis,   bronchoscopy   will   be   performed   in   the   bronchoscopy   suite   upon  7253  request  of  the  treating  physician  according  to  the  local  protocol.  Bronchoscopy  will  be  7254  deferred  in  patients  with  unstable  respiratory  status.  7255    7256  •   Stool  Collection:  We  will  ask  bronchoscopy  subjects   for  a  stool  sample.  We  will  7257  

ask  that  patients  place  a  paper  collection  device  onto  the  toileting  area  just  prior  7258  to  having  a  bowel  movement.  After  depositing  the  stool  on  the  device,  it  will  be  7259  

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divided  between  3  plastic  cups  using  a  scoop.  Once  the  stool  has  been  placed  in  7260  the  plastic  cups,  they  will  be  sealed  tightly.  7261  

•   Follow-­‐up:   All   patients  will   have   vital   status   assessed   by   phone   or   by   a   home  7262  visit   if   not   contactable   by   phone   at   2   months   from   the   time   of   enrollment.   A  7263  subset   of   patients  will   receive  more   intensive   follow-­‐up   described   below   after  7264  enrollment   into   the   treatment   monitoring   sub-­‐study.   In   addition,   for   non-­‐TB  7265  patients  only,  30  mL  blood  for  gene-­‐expression  profiling  will  be  collected  at  the  7266  visits  that  occur  around  60  days.  7267  

 7268  Study  procedures  will  take  place  on  the  wards  or  clinics  of  Mulago  Hospital,  Makerere  7269  University,   in   Kampala,   Uganda.   Bronchoscopy   will   be   performed   in   the   designated  7270  bronchoscopy  area.  7271    7272  The  procedures  will  be  administered  by  the  study’s  Ugandan  coordinators.  Estimates  of  7273  patient  time  required  to  participate  in  the  study  are  as  follows:  7274    7275  Inpatient  period  (2  hours  and  45  minutes):  7276  •   Day   1:   30-­‐minute   visit   from   medical   officer   for   informed   consent   and  7277  

  questionnaire.  30-­‐minute  visit  from  laboratory  technician  for  collection  of  7278  sputum,  blood,  urine,  and  stool.  7279  

•   Day   2   (or   next   working   day):   15-­‐minute   visit   from   laboratory   technician   for  7280  collection  of  sputum  sample  and  finger  prick.    7281  

•   Day   3   (or   as   soon   as   can   be   scheduled)   (this   is   only   for   patients   undergoing  7282  bronchoscopy):    7283  o   15-­‐minute   visit   from   laboratory   technician   for   collection   of   oral   wash  7284  sample  and  blood  draw.  7285  o   60-­‐minute  visit  with  attending  pulmonologist  for  bronchoscopy.  7286  o   15-­‐minute   visit   for   collection   of   sputum,   mouthwash,   oral   rinse,   and  7287  tongue   scraping,   and   for   administration   of   a   short   questionnaire   (Please   see  7288  Form  4B)  7289  

 7290  Follow-­‐up  visits  for  all  patients  (10  minutes):    7291  •   Telephone  visit  to  assess  vital  status.  If  not  available  by  phone,  home  visit  from  7292  

individual  designated  to  track  patients  to  home.    7293    7294  Follow-­‐up   visits   for   about   100   smear-­‐positive   TB   patients   enrolled   in   an   intensive  7295  monitoring  sub-­‐study  (7  inpatient  visits  of  no  more  than  30  minutes  each  =  3  hours  30  7296  minutes).   Patients   will   be   asked   to   stay   in   hospital   in   an   area   where  WHO-­‐standard  7297  infection  control  measures  have  been  implemented  during  this  initial  period,  and  then  7298  will  be  followed  up  during  3  30-­‐minute  home  visits  around  Days  14,  30,  and  60:  7299  •   Collection  of  5  mL  sputum  volume,  by  expectoration  or  induction  7300  •   Collection  of  1-­‐2  drops  of  blood  via  finger  prick  7301  •   Collection  of  30  mL  blood  via  venipuncture  7302    7303  Follow-­‐up  for  up  to  50  non-­‐TB  patients  for  collection  of  5  mL  blood  for  gene  expression  7304  profiling.  (60  minutes)  7305    7306  

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Total  patient   time   for  patients   for   the   standard   inpatient  procedures  and   follow-­‐up   is  7307  estimated  as  2  hours,  55  minutes.  Total  additional  patient  time  for  patients  enrolled  in  7308  the  intensive  monitoring  sub-­‐study  is  estimated  as  5  hours.    7309    7310  All   study  procedures  will  be   reviewed  by   the  Makerere  University  School  of  Medicine  7311  Research  Ethics  Committee,   the  University   of   California,   San  Francisco,   Committee  on  7312  Human  Research,  and  the  Mulago  Hospital  Institutional  Review  Board.  They  will  also  be  7313  reviewed  annually  by  the  Uganda  National  Council  for  Sciences  and  Technology.      7314    7315  Specimen  Testing  and  Data  Review:  7316    7317  Specimen   analysis   and   data   review   will   take   place   in   the   laboratories/offices   of   co-­‐7318  investigators,   listed  above,  according  to  well-­‐defined  protocols  that  include  the  testing  7319  of  positive  and  negative  controls  as  indicated.  Any  positive  result  will  be  communicated  7320  to  the  primary  team.  DNA  and  RNA  will  be  processed  and  analyzed  in  laboratories  of  the  7321  investigators   in   accordance   with   the   above   proposed   protocols   and   the   banking  7322  permissions   granted.   All   specimens   will   be   coded   and   de-­‐identified,   and   non-­‐clinical  7323  investigators  will  not  have  access  to  the  key.  7324    7325  One  specimen,  blood  will  be  subjected  to  tests  of  host  gene  expression  at  the  laboratory  7326  of  Mark  Geraci,  M.D.,  and  collaborating  core  lab  facilities  under  the  scientific  direction  of  7327  Dr.  Geraci  and  Dr.  Walter  at  the  University  of  Colorado.  These  specimens  will  be  used  to  7328  study   host   responses   to   pulmonary   infections.   We   will   not   collect   DNA   or   analyze  7329  individual-­‐specific   genetic   characteristics.   Instead   we   will   analyze   patterns   of   RNA  7330  expression   (gene   expression).   This   analysis   therefore   does   not  meet   the   definition   of  7331  genetic   research.  Once   laboratory   testing   is  complete,   the  results  will  be   linked   to   the  7332  clinical   outcome   data   by   the   clinical   investigators,   who   will   perform   the   primary  7333  analysis.  Only  researchers  listed  as  investigators  for  this  protocol  will  have  access  to  the  7334  specimens  and  clinical  data.  7335    7336  Tissue  Banking  Procedures:  7337    7338  De-­‐identified  specimen  material  remaining  after  the  completion  of  study  assays  will  be  7339  stored  in  secured  freezers  at  three  sites:  1)  Mulago  Hospital;  2)  San  Francisco  General  7340  Hospital,  and  3)  the  National  Institutes  of  Health.  At  Mulago  Hospital,  the  specimens  will  7341  be  stored  in  a  locked  freezer  in  the  Department  of  Microbiology  on  the  2nd  floor.  At  San  7342  Francisco  General  Hospital,  the  specimens  will  be  stored  in  a  locked  laboratory  located  7343  in  Building  100,  Room  109,  San  Francisco  General  Hospital,  1001  Potrero  Avenue,  San  7344  Francisco,  CA  94110,  USA.  At  the  National  Institutes  of  Health  (NIH),  the  specimens  will  7345  be   stored   in   the   Lung   HIV   Specimen   Bank   at   the   National   Heart   Lung   and   Blood  7346  Institute.  The  code  and  all  identifiable  clinical  information  will  be  stored  separately  on  7347  password-­‐protected  computer  servers  located  at  the  MU-­‐UCSF  Research  Collaboration,  7348  Mulago   Hospital,   and   at   the   University   of   California,   San   Francisco.   If   outside  7349  investigators  request  use  of   these  specimens   for  research  suited   to   the  scientific  aims  7350  listed   in   the   consent   form   (i.e.   research   to   learn   about,   prevent,   or   treat   other  7351  respiratory  infections  or  diseases  and  diseases  related  to  HIV,  as  we  deem  appropriate),  7352  we  would  release  the  specimens  under  our  control  after  our  scientific  merit  review  of  7353  the  proposed  research  and  after  receipt  of  a  copy  of  the  IRB-­‐approval  letter  for  the  new  7354  

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protocol.   Procedures   for   release   of   de-­‐identified   specimens   from   the   NIH   Specimen  7355  Bank  will  be  subject  to  procedures  overseen  by  the  NIH  Institutional  Review  Board.  7356    7357  If  the  participant  decides  that  he  or  she  does  not  wish  for  his  or  her  oral  wash  specimen  7358  or  clinical  information  to  be  used  for  future  research,  he  or  she  may  tell  us,  and  we  will  7359  destroy  any  remaining  identifiable  sample  and  information,  and  ask  our  collaborators  to  7360  do  so  also.    7361    7362  A  material   transfer   agreement   governing   this   study   has   been   approved   by   legal   and  7363  governing  authorities  at  Makerere  University,  UCSF,  the  University  of  Colorado  and  the  7364  National   Institutes   of   Health.   The   Foundation   for   Innovative  New  Diagnostics,   a   non-­‐7365  governmental  organization   supporting   some  of   this  work  and  carrying  out   laboratory  7366  assays   on   some   of   these   specimens,   is   also   party   to   a   material   transfer   agreement  7367  governing  this  study.  7368    7369    7370  RISKS  AND  BENEFITS  7371    7372  Alternatives  to  Participation:  7373    7374  Patients  who  choose  not   to  enroll   in   the  study  may  receive  whatever  care  they  would  7375  have  ordinarily  received  had  they  not  been  approached  to  participate  in  the  study.  This  7376  might   include   bronchoscopy   with   bronchoalveolar   lavage,   which   we   will   provide   for  7377  HIV-­‐infected   inpatients   who   require   a   procedure   to   diagnose   a   pneumonia   of  7378  undetermined   etiology.   Otherwise,   only   noninvasive   tests   (AFB-­‐sputum-­‐smears)   are  7379  available  for  diagnosing  pneumonia  at  Mulago  Hospital.  7380    7381  Risks  and  Discomforts:  7382    7383  Subjects  performing  oropharyngeal  wash  may  gag,  experience  nausea,  or   feel   short  of  7384  breath  as  a  result  of  gargling.  These  symptoms  are  likely  caused  by  the  act  of  gargling  7385  rather  than  by  the  solution  gargled.  These  side  effects  are  rare  and  usually  self-­‐limited.    7386    7387  Tongue   scraping   with   a   smooth   wooden   spatula   should   be   painless   in   subjects   with  7388  normal  oral  mucosa  and  should  have  no  lasting  consequences.  If  the  mucosa  is  damaged  7389  such  that  the  procedure  could  induce  pain,  the  test  will  be  omitted.  7390    7391  Patients   having   blood   drawn   via   finger   prick   or   venipuncture   may   experience   local  7392  discomfort  at  the  sit  of  the  needle  puncture,  where  the  skin  may  become  dark  or  tender.  7393  Patients  with  anemia  may  be  unable  to  tolerate  having  large  amounts  (>25  mL)  of  blood  7394  drawn.  To  guard  against  this  possibility,  patients  with  evidence  of  conjunctival  pallor  or  7395  other   clinical   signs   of   anemia   will   be   screened   with   a   hemocue   hemoglobin  7396  measurement.  Anyone  with  a  hemoglobin  less  than  7  mg/dL  will  not  have  blood  drawn.  7397    7398  Patients   performing   sputum   induction   may   gag,   experience   nausea,   or   feel   short   of  7399  breath  as  a  result  of  the  nebulization  procedure.  These  symptoms  are  likely  caused  by  7400  the  act  of   saline   inhalation   rather   than  by   the   solution  gargled.  These   side  effects   are  7401  rare   and   usually   self-­‐limited.   Severely   ill   patients   may   develop   oxygen   desaturation  7402  during  the  procedure.  To  guard  against  the  possibility  of  oxygen  desaturation,  patients  7403  

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with   respiratory   rates   greater   than   30   or   requiring   oxygen   supplementation   will   be  7404  excluded   from  sputum   induction   for   research  purposes.  Patients  may  still  be   referred  7405  for   sputum   induction   for   clinical   purposes,   but   only   at   the   request   of   the   primary  7406  clinical   team  caring   for   the  patient.  Such  referrals  will  need  approval  of   the  attending  7407  physician  on  the  4C  Pulmonology  ward.  7408    7409  Bronchoscopy   is   performed   regularly   at  Mulago   for   patients  who   can   afford   it.   Study  7410  participants   undergoing   bronchoscopy   assume   the   same   risks   as   any   patient  7411  undergoing  bronchoscopy  at  Mulago.  These  risks  include  coughing,  gagging,  aspiration,  7412  minor   bleeding,   pneumothorax,   respiratory   failure,   and   death.   The   risks   of  7413  bronchoscopy   will   be   disclosed   in   the   consent   form.   Of   the   risks   described   above,  7414  coughing  and  gagging  are  common  but  self-­‐limited.  To  prevent  them,  all  patients  receive  7415  a  pre-­‐procedure   treatment  with  nebulized   lignocaine,   and   are   treated  with   additional  7416  topical  lignocaine  to  control  coughing  or  discomfort  at  the  clinician’s  discretion  during  7417  the   procedure.   Aspiration   is   rare,   but   to   prevent   its   dangerous   consequences   (acute  7418  pneumonitis   or   pneumonia)   patients   take   nothing   by  mouth   for   8   hours   prior   to   the  7419  procedure.   Any   patients   not   in   compliance   with   this   requirement   will   have  7420  bronchoscopy  postponed  until  they  comply.  Bleeding  and  pneumothorax  are  extremely  7421  uncommon  adverse  effects  of  bronchoscopy,  especially  when  biopsies  are  not  planned.  7422  Respiratory   failure  may   occur   in   patients   undergoing   bronchoscopy   for   evaluation   of  7423  pneumonia  because  of  worsening  of  the  underlying  disease  process  with  lavage  of  the  7424  lung.   To   guard   against   this   possibility,   all   patients   referred   for   bronchoscopy   are  7425  routinely  screened  by  a  Pulmonary  physician  before  the  procedure.  If  bronchoscopy  is  7426  deemed  unsafe,  the  procedure  will  not  be  performed  and  the  patient  will  be  returned  to  7427  the  ward.  Death  from  bronchoscopy  is  extremely  rare.  When  fatal  complications  occur,  7428  they  are  usually  the  result  of  bleeding,  pneumothorax,  or  respiratory  failure.  To  screen  7429  for  early   signs  of   such  adverse  events,   all  patients  will  be  monitored  with   continuous  7430  pulse  oximetry  and  receive  continuous  oxygen  supplementation,  if  required.  7431    7432  Finally,  testing  for  TB  using  sputum  induction  or  bronchoscopy  produces  aerosols  that  7433  may  be  infectious,  and  pose  a  risk  to  individuals  who  are  subsequently  exposed  to  these  7434  aerosols.  To  reduce  this  risk  of  nosocomial  TB  transmission,  sputum  induction  will  be  7435  performed  in  a  well-­‐ventilated  room  on  the  Pulmonology  ward.  After  sputum  induction,  7436  fan   ventilation  out   of   the  open  window  will   be  performed   for   at   least   15  minutes   for  7437  another   patient   enters   the   room.   Similarly,   in   the   bronchoscopy   suite,   fan   ventilation  7438  through  an  open  window  will   be  used   to   remove   infectious   aerosols.  N95   respirators  7439  will  be  supplied  to  all  staff  working  with  patients  in  these  settings.  7440    7441  Stool  should  be  handled  with  gloved  hands  at  all  time.  Direct  contact  between  stool  and  7442  ungloved  broken  skin  may  lead  to  infection.  Some  people,  particularly  those  sensitive  to  7443  odor,  develop  nausea  and  occasionally  vomiting.  7444    7445  Benefits:  7446    7447  All   patients   will   have   sputums   stained   for   AFB   on   the   first   hospital   day.   In   addition,  7448  sputum   samples   will   be   tested   for   TB   using   rapid   nucleic   acid   testing   (PCR),   and  7449  cultured  for  mycobacteria.  Patients  will  be  notified  of  the  results  of  these  tests  as  soon  7450  as  they  are  available.  Both  patients  and  providers  have  described  this  as  a  major  benefit  7451  of  the  study.  In  our  previous  study,  a  large  proportion  of  smear-­‐negative  patients  were  7452  

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confirmed   to   have   TB   through   nucleic   acid   testing   or   mycobacterial   culture   results.  7453  Follow-­‐up  smears  and  cultures  for  clinical  purposes  will  no   longer  be  collected  at  two  7454  months   to   monitor   response   to   therapy,   because   of   poor   uptake   of   these   services  7455  previously.  Instead,  patients  will  be  referred  to  TB  dispensaries  in  their  local  area.    7456    7457  Accurate   diagnosis   in   HIV-­‐infected   patients   with   pneumonia,   as   noted   previously,   is  7458  extremely  difficult  without  an   integrated  approach   that   includes  a   range  of  diagnostic  7459  tests   including   bronchoscopy.   Appropriate   treatment   depends   on   accurate   diagnosis.  7460  Without  appropriate  treatment,   these  patients  face  certain  mortality,  many  in  the  first  7461  few  days  of  hospitalization.  The  benefits  of   this   study  are   thus  enormous,   in   terms  of  7462  providing  for  free  testing  that  otherwise  would  not  occur.  7463    7464  Confidentiality  and  Privacy:  7465    7466  Most  patients  enrolled  in  the  study  will  be  HIV-­‐infected.  If  individuals  outside  the  study  7467  learn   that   an   individual   enrolled   in   our   study   is   HIV-­‐infected,   that   person   may  7468  experience  stigma,  such  as  trouble  obtaining  employment  or  problems  being  accepted  7469  by   family  or  community.  We  have  proposed  many  safeguards   to  prevent  disclosure  of  7470  personal   health   information   during   the   course   of   the   study.   We   will   be   collecting  7471  personal  health  information,  including  the  unique  identifiers  name  and  date  of  birth,  but  7472  we  do  not  plan  to  share  this  information  outside  the  research  team  and  names  will  not  7473  be  recorded  in  our  databases.  7474    7475  Risk/Benefit  Analysis:  7476    7477  The   individual   benefits   of   early   and   definitive   sputum   diagnosis   of   tuberculosis   are  7478  tremendous   in   this   clinical   setting.   Even   more   sensitive   and   specific   bronchoscopic  7479  diagnosis   of   pneumonia   for   HIV-­‐infected   patients   provides   these   patients   with   the  7480  international  standard-­‐of-­‐care  test  for  pneumonia.  The  research  aspects  of  the  protocol  7481  do   not   enhance   the   ordinary   clinical   risks   to   the   patient.   In   addition,   the   potential  7482  benefits   of   better   diagnostic  modalities   for   respiratory   infections   for  many   of   the   33  7483  million   patients   infected   with   HIV   worldwide   are   inestimable.   The   results   of   the  7484  previous   study   have   been   widely   disseminated   to   invested   personnel   at   Mulago  7485  Hospital,  Makerere  University,   and   the  NTLP,   and  we  will   continue   this   in   the   future.  7486  Where   possible   educational   intervention   and   policy   recommendations   will   be  7487  developed  and  introduced  in  cooperation  with  local  stakeholders.  On  balance,  benefits  7488  outweigh  risks.  7489    7490    7491  SUBJECTS  7492    7493  General  Description  of  Study  Subjects:  7494    7495  Our  target  population  consists  of  all  HIV-­‐infected  adults  undergoing  evaluation  on  the  7496  grounds  of  Mulago  Hospital  or  associated  clinics  with  a  clinical  suspicion  of  pneumonia.  7497  We  will  screen  over  10,000  patients,  and  enroll  at  least  3300  patients.  7498    7499  Inclusion  Criteria:  7500    7501  

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Adults  undergoing  evaluation  on   the  grounds  of  Mulago  Hospital  or  associated  clinics  7502  with  cough  may  screened  and  invited  to  enroll.  7503    7504  Exclusion  Criteria:  7505    7506  Patients   who   are   under   the   age   of   18,   unable   to   provide   consent,   or   unable   to  7507  communicate  in  English  or  Luganda  will  be  excluded.  We  will  also  exclude  patients  with  7508  heart  failure.  7509    7510  Inclusion  criteria  for  monitoring  sub-­‐study:  7511  Sputum  AFB   or   GeneXpert   automated   nucleic   acid   test   positive   for   TB   and  willing   to  7512  participate  in  intensive  follow-­‐up  program  7513    7514  Exclusion  criteria  for  monitoring  sub-­‐study:  7515  Patients  residing  >30  km  from  Mulago  Hospital  and  patients  otherwise  unable  to  adhere  7516  to  intensive  follow-­‐up  plans  will  be  excluded.  7517    7518  Screening  Procedures:  7519    7520  The  medical   officer/nurse  will   screen   all   patients   as   they  undergo   clinical   evaluation.  7521  Patients  meeting   inclusion  criteria  will  be   invited   to   join   the  study,   through  a  process  7522  described   in  more   detail   below   in   the   “Recruitment”   section.   Patients   enrolled   in   the  7523  sub-­‐study   will   be   identified   after   TB   diagnosis   according   to   inclusion   and   exclusion  7524  criteria  above.  7525    7526    7527  RECRUITMENT  7528    7529  The  medical  officer  will  approach  patients  identified  as  they  undergo  evaluation  in  the  7530  clinic  or  after  hospital  admission  in  their  beds  on  the  open  ward.  Patients  will  be  asked  7531  if   they   would   like   to   participate   in   a   study   to   evaluate   the   etiology   of   respiratory  7532  infections,   without   any   reference   to   HIV-­‐status.   HIV-­‐status   will   not   be   mentioned   to  7533  protect  study  subjects  from  disclosure  of  HIV  status.  If  an  individual  expresses  interest  7534  in  the  study,  his/her  name  and  bed  number  will  be  recorded,  with  enrollment  deferred  7535  until   after   screening.   If   the   patient   needs   more   time   to   decide   (e.g.   because   he/she  7536  needs  to  consult  his/her  attendant  or  family  member),  the  coordinator  will  attempt  to  7537  return  later.  After  the  screening  described  above,  patients  enrolled  in  the  sub-­‐study  will  7538  be  randomly  enrolled  after  TB  diagnosis.  7539    7540  INFORMED  CONSENT  PROCEDURES  7541    7542  At  the  time  of  enrollment,  a  study  officer  will  introduce  himself  or  herself,  and  explain  7543  the  study  by  reading  the  standardized  consent  form  to  the  subject.  One  of  these  officers,  7544  who   are   all   bilingual,   will   read   the   consent   in   English   or   Luganda,   according   to   the  7545  subject’s   preference.  The   subject  will   be  provided  with   a   copy  of   the   consent   form   to  7546  read,  but  literacy  will  not  be  required  for  consent  (For  patients  unable  to  read,  a  witness  7547  will   be   required   to   co-­‐sign   the   consent   form).   (Please   see   Appendix).   After   the  7548  coordinator  has  read  through  the  document,  which  is  written  in  a  question  and  answer  7549  format,  the  subject  will  be  asked  if  he  or  she  has  any  questions.  Then,  the  subject  will  be  7550  

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asked  whether  he  or  she  wishes  to  grant,  refuse,  or  defer  a  decision  on  participation  in  7551  the  study.  If  the  subject  is  unable  to  decide  before  the  coordinator  leaves  the  ward  for  7552  the  day,  he  or  she  will  not  be  enrolled.  If  the  subject  agrees  to  participate,  he  or  she  will  7553  be  asked  to  sign  the  consent   form.  A  separate  consent   form  will  be  used  for  specimen  7554  banking.  7555    7556  Patients   will   be   asked   to   enroll   in   the   stool   sub-­‐study   if   they   are   going   to   undergo  7557  bronchoscopy.   Patients   enrolling   in   the   intensive   follow-­‐up   for   treatment  monitoring  7558  study  will   be   consented   according   to   a   separate   consent   process   discussing   fully   the  7559  issues  related  to  longitudinal  follow-­‐up.  We  will  draw  on  our  experience  in  previously  7560  approved  SOM-­‐REC  MIND  protocols  which  involved  longitudinal  follow-­‐up.  7561    7562  


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