Partnership. Performance. avisonyoung.com
$397Price Per SF
(Ex. Multi-Family)
5.3 %Average Cap Rate
The San Francisco Bay Area investment market continued to stay active during the first three months of 2017 after a very active 2016. The Bay Area recorded nearly $5.6 billion in total sale volume during the quarter. San Francisco witnessed over $1.9 billion from 33 trades during the quarter, the highest sale volume of any region in the Bay Area. Silicon Valley was the most active region, recording 64 trades for over $1.8 billion.
The office market in the Bay Area accounted for over half of the total sale volume during the quarter, over $3.0 billion in trades. The average price per square foot for office buildings during the quarter was $443, up 27% from the Q1 2016 average. A big reason for the dramatic increase was Facebook exercising their pre-agreed purchase option at their Menlo Park headquarters from RREEF during the first quarter of 2016. In 2011, Facebook signed a 10-year lease for their 1msf+ headquarters in Menlo Park with an option to buy the office complex after 5 years for $198/sf, a bargain in today’s market. San Francisco recorded the highest average price per square foot in the Bay Area for the 15th consecutive quarter with an average price per square foot of $675 during the first quarter. Blackstone recorded the largest office sale of the quarter, acquiring 211 Main Street in San Francisco’s North Financial district from CIM Commercial for $293 million or $702/sf. The sale closed a quarter after Charles Schwab renewed on a 10-year term for the entire building.
The first quarter of 2017 was once again dominated by private, domestic-based investors in the Bay Area. Private investors accounted for 46% of all trades that took place during the quarter. Tech companies continued to be active acquiring office buildings during the first quarter. In San Mateo, Rakuten Marketing purchased 700-900 Concar Dr for $180M or $820/sf. Rakuten occupies roughly 60,000 sf in the fully-leased 220,000-sf building complex. Adobe exercised its option to purchase the 285,000-sf Almaden Tower office building in San Jose that they have occupied since 2003.
The Bay Area multi-family market continues to stay red hot, recording over $800M in trades during the first quarter, with an average cap rate of 5.1%. Over 2,700 multi-family units were traded during the quarter, averaging $297,000 per unit. The Bay Area retail market recorded its highest quarterly sales volume on record, totaling $1.5B in trades during the first quarter of the year with an average cap rate of 4.8%. This was largely due to Regency Centers buying Equity One during the first quarter of the year. Bay Area industrial sales were slow during the first quarter, recording just under $300M in trades, down 73% from Q1 2016.
Expect the investment market in the San Francisco Bay Area to stay active throughout the rest of 2017 due to strong demand as investors continue to steer away from the volatile global equity and commodity markets and invest in real estate where more stable returns are available.
Investment Overview
Q1 2017 / Investment Market Report
San Francisco Bay Area
Q1 Investment Facts
184Total Sales
$5.6BTotal Sales Volume
Partnership. Performance. avisonyoung.com
San Francisco Bay Area Q1 2017 / Quarterly Investment Market Report
Investment Snapshot
Investment activity is expected to slow down in 2017 compared to the past couple of years due to a gradual increase in interest rates throughout the year but the Bay Area continues to be very attractive location to investors in the U.S. and around the world.
Historical Total Volume by Product Type Historical Cap Rate by Product Type
Sales Volume (By Investment Sector)
Total Deals
184
Price Per SF (Exc. Multi-Family)
$397
Price Per Unit (Multi-Family)
$297,176
Cap Rate
5.3%
Total Sales Volume
$5,592,949,059
211 Main Street in San Francisco sold for ± $293 Million($702/sf ) during Q1 2017.
Institutional Public Equity Fund
Private Foreign User/Other
13%
26%
17%
37%
7%
Institutional Public Equity Fund
Private Foreign User/Other
13%
26%
17%
37%
7%
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
2014 2015 2016 2017
Billi
ons
Office Industrial Retail Mul�-Family
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017Office Industrial Retail Mul�-Family
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
2014 2015 2016 2017
Billi
ons
Office Industrial Retail Mul�-Family
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017Office Industrial Retail Mul�-Family
Partnership. Performance. avisonyoung.com
Investment Market By The Numbers
Historical Price Per SF/Unit*Sales over $2.5 million
San Francisco Bay Area Q1 2017 / Quarterly Investment Market Report
SALES DOLLAR VOLUME TOTAL SQUARE FEET PRICE/SF CAP RATE
East Bay 14 $258,302,500 1,493,060 $173 7.4%
North Bay 8 $75,474,000 444,578 $170 7.2%
San Francisco 16 $1,305,347,155 1,933,124 $675 4.8%
San Mateo County 3 $219,012,500 351,066 $624 4.2%
Silicon Valley 29 $1,153,154,271 2,575,976 $448 6.1%
Bay Area Office/Flex 70 $3,011,290,426 6,797,804 $443 5.5%East Bay 13 $79,929,000 531,269 $150 6.2%
North Bay 3 $27,219,500 379,770 $72 7.3%
San Francisco 1 $13,648,416 30,766 $444 6.2%
San Mateo County 2 $5,675,000 16,460 $345 6.9%
Silicon Valley 12 $167,777,000 1,096,911 $153 5.4%
Bay Area Industrial 31 $294,248,916 2,055,176 $143 5.9%East Bay 10 $224,022,687 663,171 $338 4.7%
North Bay 2 $145,762,822 729,910 $200 5.8%
San Francisco 7 $540,642,820 511,857 $1,056 3.2%
San Mateo County 7 $500,231,292 1,078,407 $464 6.2%
Silicon Valley 12 $65,756,500 201,086 $327 5.5%
Bay Area Retail 38 $1,476,416,121 3,184,431 $464 4.8%East Bay 37 $562,254,187 2,687,500 $209 6.2%
North Bay 13 $248,456,322 1,554,258 $160 5.8%
San Francisco 24 $1,859,638,391 2,475,747 $751 4.3%
San Mateo County 12 $724,918,792 1,445,933 $501 5.6%
Silicon Valley 53 $1,386,687,771 3,873,973 $358 6.0%
Bay Area Total (Excluding Multi-Family) 139 $4,781,955,463 12,037,411 $397 5.3%
SALES DOLLAR VOLUME TOTAL UNITS PRICE/UNIT CAP RATE
East Bay 16 $136,681,000 721 $189,571 5.6%
North Bay 6 $122,157,500 391 $312,423 4.5%
San Francisco 9 $70,340,734 152 $462,768 4.3%
San Mateo County 3 $33,705,000 78 $432,115 4.5%
Silicon Valley 11 $448,109,363 1,387 $323,078 5.4%
Bay Area Multi-Family 45 $810,993,596 2,729 $297,176 5.1%
Pric
e/SF
Pric
e/U
nit
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Price/SF (Excluding Multi-Family) Price/Unit (Multi-Family)
*Allocated
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© 2017 Avison Young [Avison Young - Northern California, Ltd.]. All rights reserved. E. & O.E.: The information contained herein was obtained from sources which we deem reliable and, while thought to be correct, is not guaranteed by Avison Young.
AY Investment Team
Property Name City Market Sq.Ft. Sale Price Price/SF Buyer
211 Main St San Francisco San Francisco 417,266 $292,881,810 $702 Blackstone
410-430 N Mary Ave Sunnyvale Silicon Valley 350,000 $290,700,000 $831 Tristar Capital
100 Pine St San Francisco San Francisco 402,534 $287,500,000 $714 Rockpoint Group
150 Spear St San Francisco San Francisco 264,492 $185,000,000 $699 Walnut Hill Group
700-900 Concar Dr San Mateo San Mateo County 218,985 $179,500,000 $820 Rakuten Marketing
Property Name City Market Sq.Ft. Sale Price Price/SF Buyer
5215-5225 Hellyer Ave San Jose Silicon Valley 354,000 $36,200,000 $102 Vertical Ventures LLC
39888 Eureka Dr Newark East Bay 142,188 $34,875,000 $245 Moulton Company
44901 Industrial Dr Fremont Silicon Valley 161,200 $28,200,000 $175 LBA Realty
2012 Courage Rd Fairfield North Bay 212,802 $17,500,000 $82 Susan Lowenberg Rev. Trust
7600 Patterson Pass Rd Livermore East Bay 86,700 $15,500,000 $179 Dedeaux Properties
Property Name City Market Sq.Ft. Sale Price Price/SF Buyer
Serramonte Shopping Center* Daly City San Mateo County 850,000 $392,204,963 $461 Regency Centers
Potrero Center* San Francisco San Francisco 226,699 $265,067,820 $1,169 Regency Centers
120 Stockton St San Francisco San Francisco 263,640 $250,000,000 $948 Morgan Stanley
Northgate Mall San Rafael North Bay 721,000 $141,932,822 $197 Merlone Geier Partners
Willows Shopping Center* Concord East Bay 253,000 $83,934,811 $332 Regency Centers
Property Name City Market Units Sale Price Price/Unit Buyer
Santa Palmia Apts* San Jose Silicon Valley 409 $132,454,652 $323,850 Essex Property Trust
Palma Sorrento Apts* San Jose Silicon Valley 274 $88,734,902 $323,850 Essex Property Trust
Verdant at Green Valley Fairfield North Bay 286 $83,500,000 $291,958 Abacus Capital Group
Villa Veneto* San Jose Silicon Valley 226 $73,190,101 $323,850 Essex Property Trust
Village of Marineo* San Jose Silicon Valley 189 $71,620,100 $378,942 Essex Property Trust
Top Office/Flex Sales
Top Industrial Sales
Top Retail Sales
Top Multi-Family Sales
Bay Area Capital Markets Group
Laef Barnes, Vice President 415.349.3391
Mac Carlsen, Financial Analyst 415.349.3390
Nadav Kariv, Senior Associate 415.349.3392
Kevin Klink, Vice President 415.349.3393
Lloyd Bakan, Principal 650.425.6412
Jon Geary, Associate 650.425.6415
Todd Campbell, Vice President, Research 650.425.6412
Robert Yeagle, Market Analyst 415.322.5056
Property Management / Lease Administration
Tom Greenfield, CPM® LEED®, Property Manager 510.534.4700
Bryce McEfee, LEED® AP, Property Manager 916.426.3584
Tom McEfee, CPM®, SVP, Management Services 916.426.3570
Project / Construction Management
David Gonzales, Managing Director / Principal 415.322.5065
Shannon Dupler, Manager, Financial Reporting 415.349.3399
Clare Friel, Project Manager 415.349.3406
Nicole de la Rosa, Assistant Project Manager 510.254.4268
Avison Young - Northern California, Ltd.601 California Street, 5th FloorSan Francisco, CA 94108T 415.322.5050 F 415.322.5055
San Francisco Bay Area Q1 2017 / Quarterly Investment Market Report
Avison Young - Northern California, Ltd.1111 Broadway, Suite 1650Oakland, CA 94607T 510.254.4255 F 510.254.4256
Avison Young - Northern California, Ltd.950 Tower Lane, Suite 120Foster City, CA 94404T 650.425.6413 F 650.425.6413