TAURON Group’s
tauron.pl
Q1 2020Financial Results
May 14, 2020
tauron.pl
a
Structure of the presentation
Filip GrzegorczykCEO
Key financial and operating data Highlights Investment projects and CAPEX
Marek WadowskiCFO
Macroeconomic and market situation
Financial data and the results of the individual operating segments
Debt and financing 2020 outlook
2/32
3tauron.pl
a
Key Q1 2020 data
Financial results
[PLN m] Q1 2020 vs Q1 2019
Sales revenue 5 468 3%
EBITDA 957 (22)%
Net profit* 162 (70)%
CAPEX 940 29%
Net debt/EBITDA 3.27x up 0.45x(vs 31.12.2019)
Operating data
Q1 2020 vs Q1 2019
Electricity distribution [TWh] 13.25 (2)%
Electricity production from RES [TWh] 0.57 48%
Electricity production by hard coal-fired units [TWh] 2.64 (23)%
Heat generation [PJ] 4.96 4%
Retail electricity supply[TWh] 8.86 (1)%
Commercial coal production [ton m] 1.18 (6)%
3/32
* Attributable to the shareholders of the parent company
tauron.pl
Highlights Summary
4/32
a
March 16 Signing of the loan agreement worth PLN 500 million with the SMBC bank to finance general
corporate purposes, excluding the financing of the coal assets
March 25 Signing of the syndicated loan agreement worth PLN 500 million to finance general corporate
purposes, excluding the financing of the new coal projects
March 23 Signing of an agreement on the terms of cooperation between TAURON and the Polish Development
Fund with respect to investments in renewable energy sources
April 29 Reaching an agreement with TAURON Wydobycie’s workforce regarding, among others, reducing work time and wages from May to July 2020
May 4Signing of an agreement with the RAFAKO-MOSTOSTAL WARSZAWA consortium regarding the construction of a 910 MW unit in Jaworzno. The estimated new date of the unit’s commissioning: by November 15, 2020.
tauron.pl
a
Macroeconomic and market situation
Source: * GUS ** Bankier.pl ***PSE 5/32
Structure of electricity production in Poland*** [TWh]
3,8%3,3% 3,6%
4,6%
3,1% 3,4%2,7% 2,7%
4,8%4,3%
5,5% 5,1% 5,2%5,3% 5,2% 4,9%4,8% 4,6%3,9%
3,2%
44464850525456
0%1%2%3%4%5%6%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
PMIPKBPoland’s GDP growth rate* and manufacturing
PMI (quarterly average)**
GDP growth rate Manufacturing PMI
5,3%3,9%4,3%
6,0%3,0%
5,8%
2,4%1,5%
7,3%
4,2%6,4%
8,5%5,5%
7,0%5,3%5,5% 6,1%
4,2%3,3%2,4%
1,0%
-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%
10%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Increase of industrial production sold*and electricity consumption (change yoy)***
Sold production growth Change of domestic electricity consumption
Electricity prices under one-year BASE contracts
20,57 19,26
11,019,16
2,823,57
5,536,07
2,78 2,71
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Industrial power plants
Renewable energysourcesGas-fired thermal powerplantsLignite-fired thermalpower plantsCoal-fired thermal powerplants
40,7742,71
48,2%
25,8%
6,6%
13,0%
6,5%
47,2%
22,5%
8,7%
14,9%
6,6%
-6,4%
-16,8%
26,6%
-2,8%9,7%
Average electricity sales prices on the competitive market (acc. toERO):
2014: 163.58 PLN/MWh 2015: 169.99 PLN/MWh 2016: 169.70 PLN/MWh 2017: 163.70 PLN/MWh 2018: 194.30 PLN/MWh 2019: 245.44 PLN/MWh 2020 r.: 256.03 PLN/MWh (estimate)
Average price [PLN/MWh] Volume [GWh]
Y-13 191.60 108 861Y-14 160.40 142 841Y-15 168.11 146 932Y-16 166.47 147 923Y-17 160.27 76 729Y-18 165.98 65 227Y-19 237.44 133 170Y-20 265.42 134 887Y-21* 241.70 71 263Y-22* 245.10 11 195
-4,6%
6tauron.pl
a
Q1 2020 financial dataNet profit attributable to the parent
company’s shareholders [PLN m]
Q1 2020 vs Q1 2019 EBITDA [PLN m]
1 232 1 1811 036
957
127
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
Q1 2019reported
Consumption of theprovision
for onerous contracts
Q1 2019comparable
Q1 2020comparable
Consumption of theprovision
for onerous contracts
Swap of CO2 purchasecontracts
Q1 2020reported
Sales revenue [PLN m]
6/32
3 114 3 134
1 593 1 710
236 23796 5635 73238 258
Electricity Distribution and trading services Heat Coal Gas Other revenue
5 313 5 468
535
162
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
7tauron.pl
a
Individual segments’ Q1 2020 results
[PLN ml] Distribution Generation Supply MiningOther
and exclusions*
Revenue 1 789 199 1 155 4 231 236 (2 143)EBITDA 684 121 69 182 (36) (63)EBIT 400 83 (13) 171 (84) (84)CAPEX 485 1 361 11 55 25
* Items not included in the segments presented
Individual segments’ contribution to EBITDA [%]
7/32
-4% -4%
26%7%
57%
71%
13%
19%
2%
-7%
1 232 957
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Other and exclusions
Supply
Distribution
RES
Generation
Mining
PLN m
8tauron.pl
1 232
957
49 0 0
-0 -0
-0
23,2% 38,2% 60,8% 6,0% 4,3% -15,4% 14,8% 17,5%
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
Q1 2019EBITDA
Distribution RES Generation Supply Mining Other and exclusions Q1 2020EBITDA
EBITDA Segment's increase Segment's decrease EBITDA margin
*
a
Q1 2020 EBITDA
PLN m
*Other operations segment’s EBITDA margin 8/32
PLN (275) m, (22)%
9tauron.pl
Distribution Segment
9/32
a
a
10tauron.pl
a
Distribution Segment – Q1 2020EBITDA change [PLN m]
EBIT Depreciation and impairment charges
Electricity distribution [TWh]
13,54
13,25
* Neighboring DSO and exports
Financial data [PLN m]
Higher distribution service sales revenue √
Decline of electricity distribution sales volume by 293 GWh
Higher costs of the balancing difference
10/32
1 681 1 789
701 684404 400
351 485
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Sales revenue EBITDA EBIT CAPEX
3,51
3,56
4,61
4,72
1,92
2,05
2,79
2,76
0,42
0,45
Q12020
Q12019
0 5 10
Group A Group B Group C2+C1+R+D Group G Other*
---
-
0
200
400
600
800
11tauron.pl
16,9 17,5 18,3
0
5
10
15
20
2018 2019 2020
Regulatory Asset Base [PLN bn]
1,9 9,6 12,0
32,8
2,713,5
17,3
44,8
0
10
20
30
40
50
big cities city counties other cities villages
Interruption duration [min/consumer]
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
a
Distribution Segment – key parameters
11/32
93,50%99,23%
92,58%98,63%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
CRP gr. IV CRP gr. V
New connection installation time [%]
LTM 2019 LTM 2020
0,080,17
0,67 0,66
0,07 0,22
0,38
0,91
0,0
0,3
0,6
0,9
big cities city counties other cities villages
Frequency of interruptions [number of interruptions/consumer]
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
LTM – the period of last 12 months ending on March 31, 2020
INTERRUPTION DURATIONCTP md – big citiesCTP mp – city counties CTP m – citiesCTP w – villages
12tauron.pl
RES Segment
12/32
a
a
13tauron.pl
A
RES Segment – Q1 2020
13/32
72
12125
31
-6 -1
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Q1 2019 Margin on electricity Property rights Fixed costs Other Q1 2020
• Rise of electricity production as a consequence of the purchase of wind farms with the capacity of 180 MW √
112
199
72
121
49
83
1 10
50
100
150
200
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Sales revenue EBITDA EBIT CAPEX
• Favorable wind conditions – increase of electricity production √
• Increase of property rights prices √• Decline of electricity prices -
0,17
0,36
0,12 0,100,0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Wind farms Hydroelectric power plants
EBITDA change [PLN m]
Electricity production [TWh]
Financial data [PLN m]
14tauron.pl
Generation Segment
14/32
a
a
15tauron.pl
a
1EBITDA change [PLN m]
315
69
11
-93 -3
-127 -330
50100150200250300350
Q1 2019 Margin onelectricity
(coal-fired units)
Margin onelectricity
(biomass-firedunits)
Margin on heat Swap of the CO2purchasecontracts
Other Q1 2020
Financial data [PLN m]
• Drop of electricity sales volume -• Decline of clean dark spread -
• Higher revenue from the cold intervention reserve and margin on electricity repurchases (buybacks) √
0,09 0,11
0,53 0,51
0,0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Biomass High eficiency cogeneration
Biomass-fired and high efficiency cogeneration production [TWh]
3,442,64
4,76 4,96
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Electricity Heat
Electricity (coal-fired units) [TWh] and heat [PJ] production
15/32
1 2771 155
315*
69231
-13
235361
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Sales revenue EBITDA EBIT CAPEX
• Higher margin on biomass-fired units √
Generation Segment – Q1 2020
* From January 1, 2020, the Group separated a new RES operating segment, assigning thereto the data of the subsidiaries whose
operations are related to the production of electricity from renewable sources, i.e. wind and hydro. Q1 2019 data has been brought to
comparability. Generation segment’s Q1 2019 EBITDA was PLN 387 million
*
16tauron.pl
Supply Segment
16/32
a
a
17tauron.pl
3 9114 231
165 182155 1710
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Sales revenue EBITDA EBIT
155 171
10 12
139
-79 -21 -22165 182
050
100150200250300350
Q1 2019 Electricityprice and volumen
Property rightsprice
Property rightsobligation
Other Q1 2020
Supply Segment – Q1 2020
1,11
1,30
2,62
2,50
1,46
1,53
2,71
2,69
0,95
0,91
Q1 2020
Q1 2019
0 2 4 6 8
Group A Group B Group C2+C1+R+D Group G Other
EBITDA change [PLN m]
Retail electricity supply [TWh]
8,85
8,92
Financial data [PLN m]
Increase of purchase prices and the obligation to retire PMOZE - Variable costs not fully covered by the ERO tariff -
Higher margin on electricity repurchase (buyback)
17/32
EBIT Depreciation and impairment charges
√
A
tauron.pl
Mining Segment
18/32
a
a
19tauron.pl
a
Mining Segment – Q1 2020EBITDA change [PLN m] Financial data [PLN m]
1,26 1,180,970,71
0,230,18
1,20
0,89
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Commercial coal production volume vs sales per product [Mg m]
Commercial coal production Coal dust sales Other product sales
* Total costs excluding depreciation, impairment charges, costs not directly related to coal production and costs that do not have a permanent impact on the company’s cash flow
Lower volume of coal sold
13 PLN/Mg higher unit mining cash cost* (up from 211PLN/Mg to 224 PLN/Mg) -
-
19/32
292236
-44 -36
-96 -84
119
55
-100
0
100
200
300
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Sales revenue EBITDA EBIT CAPEX
-44 -3619 62
-64-9-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
Q1 2019 Sold coal priceeffect
Sold coal volumeeffect
Direct variablecost effect
Other Q1 2020
√ Substantial increase of coal production as compared to Q3 and Q4 2019
tauron.pl
a
Debt and financing
Debt structureby interest rate
[PLN m]
20/32
TAURON Group’s nominal debt maturity as of March 31, 2020 [PLN m]
187 336
5275
2811111 800
300
2561
270935 850
500 100 100865
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034
Bonds Credits and loans
*
22 36
129
3622 36
242
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021
6 543 45,2%
7 916 54,7%
12 0,1%
TAURON Group’s nominal debt structure as of 31.03.2020
[PLN m]
Bonds Loans Loans from NFOŚiGW / WFOŚiGW
14 471
1 580100%
Amounts of financing available to TAURON Group as of 31.03.2020
[PLN m]
Bank loan
1 580 **
* Taking into account the maximum maturity of funds available as part of the bank loan, i.e. until 2022** The amount includes the availability of the Intesa and China Construction Bank loan after the standard suspending conditions have been met (the date of meeting the conditions is dependent on
the date the funds are used). Beside the above indicated available financings, TAURON Group is also using overdraft facilities with the maximum available limits of PLN 300m and EUR 45m
Interest rate
14 471
Collateralfloating rateDebt amount
Floating: 8 638
Fixed: 5 833 None: 4 698
IRS: 3 940
Weighted average maturity of debt as of March 31,2020 is 81 months (assuming the bank loan continuesto be drawn until 2022)
EUR denominated debt (eurobond, NSV bond and EIBbond issues) represents 27% of the total debt
Net debt/EBITDA as of March 31, 2020 = 3.27x
tauron.pl
a
CAPEX – work progress on the key projects
21/32
Investment project Capacity (MWe)
Capacity (MWt)
Work progress(percentage)
Completion date
Construction of the generating unit in Jaworzno 910 - 98 2020
Construction of the CCGT unit at Stalowa Wola Combined Heat and Power Plant 450 240 89 2020
Implementing heat production at the 460 MW ŁagiszaPower Plant – modernization of the turbine, construction of the heating station, as well as the peaking and back-up (auxiliary) boilers
- 150+144 95 2020
Adaptation of TAURON Wytwarzanie’s generating units to the BAT conclusions - - 39 2021
tauron.pl
a
CAPEX – by segments
Capital expenditures by segments* [PLN m]
22/32
22 39119 55
235 361
351
485
Q1 2019 Q1 2020Distribution Generation Mining Other segments
29% 940
727
* Expenditures do not include equity investments (in accordance with the presentation in the financial statements). Expenditures, excluding financial costs, reached: PLN 690m in Q1 2019 and PLN 881m in Q1 2020.
Key investment projects implemented in Q1 2020:
Distribution:- Grid assets upgrades (refurbishments) and replacements (PLN 231m)- Installing new connections (PLN 226m)
Generation:- Construction of the 910 MW unit in Jaworzno (PLN 219m) - Adaptation of the generating units to BAT (PLN 33m)- Replacement and refurbishment related outlays as well as overhaul
components (PLN 29m)- Implementing heat production at the 460 MW unit at Łagisza Power
Plant (PLN 6m) - Restoration of the demineralized water treatment station (PLN 3m)- New facility connections (PLN 7m)- District heating networks’ maintenance and expansion (PLN 3m)
Mining:- Brzeszcze Coal Mine’s CAPEX program (PLN 7m) - Construction of the Grzegorz shaft at Sobieski Coal Mine (PLN 4m) - Construction of the 800 m level at Janina Coal Mine (PLN 19m)- Production preparation (PLN 21m)
Other segments:- Deployment of the broadband internet as part of the POPC III Program
(PLN 9 million)
tauron.pl
2020 outlook
SegmentEBITDA 2020
outlook versus 2019 Key factors
Distribution decrease Lower volume of electricity delivered year on year – a consequence of reduced consumption of electricity by
the consumers (COVID-19) Increase of RAB from PLN 17.5 billion to PLN 18.3 billion in 2020 Lower WACC year on year (5.5 percent vs 6.0 percent in 2019) resulting in the lower return on capital
RES increase Significantly higher total volume of electricity production from RES – a consequence of the acquisition of wind
farms with the capacity of 180 MW Better wind conditions, worse hydrological conditions Lower electricity sales prices – a consequence of the market situation
Generation decrease Lower volume of electricity production – a consequence of the market situation (high electricity imports,
COVID-19, decline of wholesale electricity prices) and the BAT related upgrades Lack of margin generated on the production of the 910 MW unit in Jaworzno Lower unit margin on electricity sales
Supply increase
Lower volume of electricity supplied – a consequence of reduced consumption of electricity by the consumers (COVID-19 and weather conditions)
Variable costs not fully covered by the ERO tariff Generation of a margin on the repurchasing (buybacks) of electricity contracted for sale on the futures market
in 2020 for the 910 MW unit in Jaworzno Risk of an increase in the write-offs related to overdue accounts receivable
Mining increase Commercial coal production volume dependent on the demand for such commodity Lower demand for coal due to the market situation (COVID-19 and weather conditions) Continuation of measures aimed at improving efficiency
CAPEX and debt
The level of capital expenditures will be adjusted depending the Group’s financial position (in particular, with respect to the value of the net debt to EBITDA ratio) on an ongoing basis
23/32
tauron.pl
a
Contact details
Investor Relations Team
Marcin Lauer [email protected]. + 48 32 774 27 06
Paweł Gaworzyń[email protected]. + 48 32 774 25 34
Mirosław [email protected]. + 48 32 774 25 38
Katarzyna [email protected]. + 48 516 111 038
24/32
tauron.pl
a
Legal disclaimer
This presentation serves for information purposes only and should not be treated as investment-related advice.
This presentation has been prepared by TAURON Polska Energia S.A. (“Company”).Neither the Company nor any of its subsidiaries shall be held accountable for any damage resulting from the use of this presentation or a part thereof, or itscontents or in any other manner in connection with this presentation.
The recipients of this presentation shall bear exclusive responsibility for their own analyses and market assessment as well as evaluation of the Company’smarket position and its potential results in the future based on information contained in herein.
To the extent this presentation contains forward-looking statements related to the future, in particular such terms as ”designed”, ”planned”, ”anticipated”, orother similar expressions (including their negation), they shall be connected with the known and unknown risks, uncertainty and other factors which mightresult in actual results, financial situation, actions and achievements being materially different from any future results, actions or achievements expressed insuch forward-looking statements.
Neither the Company, nor any of its subsidiaries shall be obligated to provide the recipients of this presentation with any additional information or update thispresentation.
25/32
tauron.pl
Thank you for your attention
26/32
a
a
tauron.pl
a
Analysts covering TAURON
27/32
Institution Analyst
Dom Maklerski mBanku* Kamil Kliszcz
Societe Generale Bartłomiej Kubicki
Dom Maklerski Santander Paweł Puchalski
Dom Maklerski PKO BP Andrzej Rembelski
Dom Maklerski Banku Handlowego Piotr Dzięciołowski
Ipopema Robert Maj
Erste Group Tomasz Duda
Institution Analyst
Raiffeisen Centrobank Teresa Schinwald
WOOD & Company Ondrej Slama
Dom Maklerski BOŚ Jakub Viscardi
Exane BNP Paribas Michael Harleaux
Pekao Investment Banking Maksymilian Piotrowski
Beskidzki Dom Maklerski Krystian Brymora
Trigon Dom Maklerski Michał Kozak
* issuing of recommendations has been suspended
tauron.pl
a
Electricity market price trends
Electricity
Platforms: TGE, TFS2019 2020
(prices until May 5, 2020, and estimation) 2020/2019
Price (PLN/MWh) Volume (GWh) Price (PLN/MWh) Volume (GWh) Price % Volume %
Forward BASE (Y+Q+M)
Forward PEAK (Y+Q+M)
Forward (weighted average)
SPOT (TGE)
Weighted average total
Property rights (PLN/MWh)
Certificate type Market prices (Q1 2020 weighted
average)
Substitution fee and obligation for:
2019 2020
OZE (PMOZE_A) 147.76 129.78 (18.5%) 165.24 (19.5%)
RES from biogas plants (PMOZE_BIO) 300.08 300.03 (0.5%) 300.03 (0.5%)
CO2 emission allowances (EUR/t)
CO2 market analysts survey*(updated in March 2020)
2020 average
2021 average
2022 average
2020 average price forecast by TAURON
* Sources: Point Carbon, BNEF, Consus, GDF SUEZ Trading, HSE, Mkonline, Societe Generale, TAURON
28/32
tauron.pl
a
2019 BASE contract prices
Average price
[PLN/MWh]Volume [GWh]
Total 237.44 133 170
includingTGE 238.36 129 674
non-TGE 203.20 3 495
Average electricity price that takes into account 2019 one year BASE and PEAK contracts: 244.92 PLN/MWh, total 2019 BASE and PEAK contracts volume: 143 508 GWh
237,44
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
290
310
330GWhPLN/MWh BASE Y-19
Wolumen obrotu Notowania Średnia
29/32
tauron.pl
a
2020 BASE contract prices
Average price
[PLN/MWh]Volume [GWh]
Total 265.42 134 887
includingTGE 265.44 134 852
non-TGE 208.19 35
Average electricity price that takes into account 2020 one year BASE and PEAK contracts: 271.88 PLN/MWh, total 2020 BASE and PEAK contracts volume: 151 518 GWh
265,42
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
290
310
330GWhPLN/MWh BASE Y-20
Wolumen obrotu Notowania Średnia
30/32
tauron.pl
a
2021 BASE contract prices
Average price
[PLN/MWh]Volume [GWh]
Total 248.27 51 702
includingTGE 248.27 51 702
non-TGE 0 0
Average electricity price that takes into account 2021 one year BASE and PEAK contracts: 253.28 PLN/MWh, total 2021 BASE and PEAK contracts volume: 57 542 GWh
248,27
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
290
310
330GWhPLN/MWh BASE Y-21
Wolumen obrotu Notowania Średnia
31/32
tauron.pl
a
2022 BASE contract prices
Average price
[PLN/MWh]Volume [GWh]
Total 250.75 8 042
includingTGE 250.75 8 042
non-TGE 0 0
Average electricity price that takes into account 2022 one year BASE and PEAK contracts: 255.57 PLN/MWh, total 2022 BASE and PEAK contracts volume: 9 036 GWh
250,75
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
290
310GWhPLN/MWh BASE Y-22
Wolumen obrotu Notowania Średnia
32/32