Q2 2010
analyst briefing
Henrik Clausen, CEOStefan Carlsson, CFO
20th July 2010
Q2 in brief
2
good revenue momentum, especially for postpaid, mobile internet & mobile broadband
smart devices enabler for mobile internet & entry into new segments
improving opex/revenue trend; delivering on targeted cost savings
solid EBITDA despite increased handset bundles
strong cash-flow generation; upholding shareholder returns
3
3.5% q-o-q revenue growth
43.3% EBITDA margin
flat PAT q-o-q
RM445 mil OpCF
35 sen/share net second interim dividend
Q2 financial highlights
Q210 Q-on-Q vs Q110 Y-o-Y vs Q209
Customer base 8.1 mil +2.5% (7.9 mil) +12.5% (7.2mil)
Revenue RM1,335 mil +3.5% (RM1,290 mil) +10.8% (RM1,205 mil)
EBITDA RM578 mil +0.3% (RM576 mil) +10.7% (RM522 mil)
EBITDA margin 43.3% -1.3pp (44.6%) 0.0pp (43.3%)
PAT RM278 mil +0.0% (RM278 mil) +18.8% (RM234 mil)
Operating cash-flow RM445 mil -9.4% (RM491 mil) +15.6% (RM385 mil)
Q2 key numbers
4
Balancing acquisition & CRM focus
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
+2% total subs +2% prepaid
+4% postpaid
7155 7230 7393 7720 7947 8104
5990 6054 6193 6485 6677 6779
1165 1176 1200 1235 1270 1326
added 157k new customers
maintaining prepaid & improving postpaid momentum aided by handset bundles
strong traction in mobile internet & mobile broadband
postpaid (‘000)prepaid (‘000)
*broadband customers included in prepaid & postpaid subs respectively
5
+12% total subs +12% prepaid
+13% postpaid
Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
mobile broadband subs (‘000)
mobile internet subs (‘000)
77
43
18160
460
2102
2721
5
+30% total internet +58% mobile broadhand
+29% mobile internet
122
5 178 503 2179 2843
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
Prepaid stable amidst increasing competition
price pressure affecting ARPM & ARPU; partially offset by prepaid mobile internet uptake
added 102k new customers; impacted by higher rotational churn
27 64 139 292 192 102 162 158 173 176 178 192 50 49 49 48 48 47
-47% net adds
+22% MOU
+8% MOU
-4% ARPU
-2% ARPU
+59% net adds
29 28 26 25 24 22
prepaid net adds (‘000) prepaid MOU (mins) prepaid ARPU (RM)
ARPM (sen/min)
6
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
Strong postpaid momentum
higher usage & ARPU driven by smart device plans/bundles
added 55k new customers, focus on customer quality
continued reduction in credit losses & churn
66 11 24 35 35 55 476 480 516 508 496 504 84 82 86 83 82 83
+409% net adds
+60% net adds
+5% MOU
+2% MOU
+1% ARPU
+1% ARPU
12 12 11 11 11 12
postpaid net adds (‘000) postpaid MOU (mins) postpaid ARPU (RM)
ARPM (sen/min)
7
Q2 revenue up on postpaid, mobile internet & mobile broadband
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
q-o-q, postpaid revenue grew by 16%; maintaining prepaid revenue from Q1
postpaid revenue growth enhanced by handset bundles & mobile internet/mobile broadband
1218 1205 1239 1248 1290 1335
+11% total revenue
+3% total revenue
total revenue (RM mil)
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
mobile postpaid (RM mil)mobile prepaid (RM mil)
1204 1188 1226 1230 1274 1326
302 303 319 321 328 379
902 885 907 909 946 947
+7% prepaid+25% postpaid
+0% prepaid+16% postpaid
8
74.9% 74.5% 74.0% 73.9% 74.3% 71.4%
% prepaid/revenue
25.1% 25.5% 26.0% 26.1% 25.7% 28.6%
% postpaid/revenue
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
+5% data revenue
data revenue (RM mil)
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
VAS (RM mil)messaging (RM mil)
45 43 41 44 38 35
172 162 166 166 173 168
Robust data revenue growth
more customers on the 3G/HSPA network & increased focus on smart devices/data plans driving growth
~35% 3G/HSPA network population coverage
246 234 241 249 262 274
+17% data revenue
20.4% 19.7% 19.7% 20.3% 20.6% 20.7%
% of mobile revenue
+145% mobile internet & mobile broadband+4% messaging
-19% VAS
+39% mobile internet & mobile broadband-3% messaging
-8% VAS
9
29 29 34 39 51 71
mobile internet & mobile broadband (RM mil)
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
ebitda (RM mil)
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
275 234 244 246 278 278
Solid EBITDA despite increased handset bundles
~2pp impact on EBITDA margin from handset bundles in Q2
PAT in-line with EBITDA development
544 522 528 531 576 578
44.6% 43.3% 42.7% 42.6% 44.6% 43.3%
ebitda margin pat (RM mil) dep & amort (RM mil)
+0% EBITDA
+11% EBITDA
+0% PAT
+19% PAT
10
165 191 188 187 191 193
Opex/revenue trend improving
11
operational efficiency program delivering targeted savings
margin pressure from increased handset bundles & price competition
• increased efficiencies seen especially in O&M, staff and S&M costs
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
COGS (%/rev) mobile internet /mobile broadband costs (%/rev)
31.6% 31.9% 32.2% 30.8% 29.7% 28.5%
22.6% 22.9% 23.1% 24.3% 23.6% 26.2%
1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 2.5%
opex (%/rev)
53
O&M (%rev)
others (% rev)
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
staff (%rev)
S&M (%rev)
9.8% 10.8% 10.5% 10.1% 9.8% 9.4%
7.1% 7.1% 7.5% 5.8% 5.7% 5.8%
6.0% 5.8% 5.7% 5.6% 4.9% 5.0%
10.1% 10.3% 9.9% 9.9% 9.7% 9.7%
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
capex (RM mil)
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
398 385 321 303 491 445
12.0% 11.3% 16.7% 18.3% 6.5% 10.0%
% capex/revenue operating cash-flow (ebitda – capex) (RM mil)
Rapid 3G/HSPA deployment to capture growth
3G/HSPA network population coverage to increase substantially in 2H 2010
selective 2G capacity & quality investments
higher capex in 2H 2010
above expected OpCF margin YTD
146 137 207 228 85 133
12
Capital management update
cumulative net payout ~RM6.4bil
(all figures denote net dividend/share in sen)
13
# annualised ; * OpCF = EBITDA – Capex, # based on RM23.56 share price
* Q210 has not taken into account payment of 2nd interim dividend declared
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009# 2010*
interim finalcapital return special dividend
75 140.5 181 188 178 70
42 73 78 75
38.5 58 53
75 60 50 57 103 70
# 2009 – commence quarterly dividend payment in Q409;
•#2009 dividend = 1st interim 49 sen + 2nd interim 54 sen
•2010 dividend = 1st interim = 35 sen + 2nd interim 35 sen
(RM mil) Q210 Q110 2009 2008
Interest-bearing debts 1,022.5 1,122.2 921.7 397.8
Cash & equivalents 680.4 682.5 430.1 331.3
#ROE 80.3% 80.7% 65.8% 60.1%
#Net debt-to-EBITDA 0.15x 0.19x 0.23x 0.03x
#Net debt-to Equity 0.25x 0.32x 0.32x 0.04x
*#OpCF/share (sen) 228.8 252.7 180.9 164.4
#OpCF yield 9.7% 10.7% 7.7% 7.0%
Capital Structure 20:80 25:75 25:75 3:97
#Dividend yield 5.9% 5.9% 7.6% 8.0%
Payout ratio 98.0% 98.0% 138.3% 128.1%
14
revision of MTR & FTR rates
spectrum re-farming
Regulatory update
execute well on profitable growth initiatives, especially mobile internet & mobile broadband
take operational efficiency to the next level
maintain network investment focus on mobile internet, capacity & quality
enhance cash-flow; ensure attractive shareholders returns
15
Medium term priorities
2010 outlook maintained
16
industry revenue growth ~5%; DiGi aims to be above
stable EBITDA margin; cost savings reducing impact from increased handset bundles
capex around ‘09 level
OpCF above ‘09 level (> 28% OpCFmargin)
Appendices
HY2010 HY2009 Y-o-Y vs 2009
Customer base 8.1 mil 7.2 mil +12.5%
Revenue RM2,625 mil RM2,423 mil +8.3%
EBITDA RM1,155 mil RM1,065 mil +8.4%
EBITDA margin 44.0% 43.9% +0.1pp
PAT RM557 mil RM510 mil +9.2%
Operating cash-flow RM937 mil RM782 mil +19.8%
YTD 2010 key numbers
18
HY2010 HY2009 Y-o-Y vs 2009
Prepaid ARPU RM47 RM50 -6.0%
Postpaid ARPU RM83 RM83 0%
Blended ARPU RM53 RM55 -3.7%
Prepaid Revenue RM1,893 mil RM1,787 mil +5.9%
Postpaid Revenue RM707 mil RM605 mil +16.8%
Data Revenue RM536 mil RM480 mil +11.6%
YTD 2010 key numbers (cont’d)
19
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
212 210 228 228 227 240 56 54 55 54 53 53 23 22 21 20 20 19
+14% MOU
+6% MOU
-2% ARPU
0% ARPU
-14% ARPM
-5% ARPM
blended MOU (mins) blended ARPU (RM) blended ARPM (sen/min)
Blended MOU, ARPU & ARPM
20
(RM mil) Q210 Q110 Q409 Q309 Q209 Q109EBITDA 578.4 575.8 531.2 528.4 521.5 543.5
Depreciation & Amortisation
(192.7) (190.6) (186.8) (188.3) (190.9) (165.1)
EBIT 385.7 385.2 344.4 340.1 330.6 378.4
Net finance (costs)/income– finance costs
– interest income
PBT
Taxation
PAT
EPS (sen)
(7.7)(12.9)
5.2
378.0
(99.6)
278.4
35.8
(6.7)(10.2)
3.5
378.5
(100.2)
278.3
35.8
(7.5)(11.3)
3.8
336.9
(90.5)
246.4
31.7
(6.9)(10.1)
3.2
333.2
(89.1)
244.1
31.4
(6.7)(9.4)
2.7
323.9
(89.4)
234.5
30.2
(5.9)(9.8)
3.9
372.5
(97.0)
275.5
35.4
Reported Profit & Loss
21
(RM mil) Q210 Q110 Q409 Q309 Q209 Q109COGS- cost of materials
363.656.5
314.615.5
313.919.8
294.912.9
283.013.9
279.115.5
- traffic charges 307.1 299.1 294.1 282.0 269.1 263.6
OPEX- sales & marketing
• advertising & promotions
• commissions
398.9125.7
42.7
83.0
401.8126.4
41.0
85.4
403.1125.6
40.5
85.1
416.4130.7
47.8
82.9
402.0121.5
42.2
79.3
402.1119.8
41.6
78.2
- staff costs 66.8 63.2 69.4 70.1 70.5 73.4
- operations & maintenance 77.5 86.9 84.5 92.6 85.0 86.3
- other expenses• USP fund and license fees
• bad & doubtful debts provision
• others
TOTAL
128.974.6
14.3
40.0
762.5
125.372.3
18.0
35.0
716.4
123.669.2
18.4
36.0
717.0
123.065.5
25.5
32.0
711.3
125.066.9
15.6
42.5
685.0
122.664.0
11.0
47.6
681.2
COGS & Opex breakdown
22
(RM mil) Q210 Q110 Q409 Q309 Q209 Q109Cash at start 682.5 430.2 617.7 398.1 593.8 331.3
Cash-flow from operations 529.4 494.3 480.1 453.6 414.0 445.1
Changes in working capital (31.0) 59.1 89.7 51.3 35.5 (314.1)
Cash-flow used in investing activities
- Capex
(128.4)
(133.2)
(81.2)
(84.6)
(223.9)
(227.9)
(204.3)
(207.5)
(133.1)
(136.9)
(142.3)
(146.1)
Cash-flow used in financing activities
(372.1) (219.9) (533.4) (81.0) (512.1) 273.8
Net change in cash (2.1) 252.3 (187.5) 219.6 (195.7) 262.5
Cash at end 680.4 682.5 430.2 617.7 398.1 593.8
Operational cash-flow (EBITDA – Capex)
445.2 491.2 303.3 320.9 384.6 397.4
Cash-flow
23
This presentation and the following discussion may contain forward looking statements by DiGi.Com Berhad (“DiGi”) related to financial trends for future periods.
Some of the statements contained in this presentation or arising from this discussion which are not of historical facts are statements of future expectations with respect to financial conditions, results of operations and businesses, and related plans and objectives. Such forward looking statements are based on DiGi’s current views and assumptions including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions and currently available information. These statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward looking statements. Such statements are not and, should not be construed, as a representation as to future performance or achievements of DiGi. In particular, such statements should not be regarded as a forecast or projection of future performance of DiGi. It should be noted that the actual performance or achievements of DiGi may vary significantly from such statements.
Disclaimer
thank you
see you next quarter