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Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m)...

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13 August 2018 Chief Executive Officer Steve Binnie Sappi Limited Q3 FY18 financial results delivering on strategy 2018 Vision 2020 intentional evolution next phase growth 1
Transcript
Page 1: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

13 August 2018

Chief Executive Officer

Steve Binnie

Sappi Limited

Q3 FY18 financial results delivering on

strategy

2018

Vision2020

intentionalevolution

next phase

growth

1

Page 2: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Forward-looking statements and Regulation G

2

Forward-looking statementsCertain statements in this release that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information, are forward-looking statements, including but not limited to statements that are predictions ofor indicate future earnings, savings, synergies, events, trends, plans or objectives. The words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, “plan”, “assume”, “positioned”, “will”, “may”, “should”,“risk” and other similar expressions, which are predictions of or indicate future events and future trends and which do not relate to historical matters, identify forward-looking statements. In addition, thisdocument includes forward-looking statements relating to our potential exposure to various types of market risks, such as interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk and commodity price risk. Youshould not rely on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which are in some cases beyond our control and may cause our actualresults, performance or achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements (and from past results,performance or achievements). Certain factors that may cause such differences include but are not limited to:

The highly cyclical nature of the pulp and paper industry (and the factors that contribute to such cyclicality, such as levels of demand, production capacity, production, input costs including rawmaterial, energy and employee costs, and pricing)

The impact on our business of adverse changes in global economic conditions Unanticipated production disruptions (including as a result of planned or unexpected power outages) Changes in environmental, tax and other laws and regulations Adverse changes in the markets for our products The emergence of new technologies and changes in consumer trends including increased preferences for digital media Consequences of our leverage, including as a result of adverse changes in credit markets that affect our ability to raise capital when needed Adverse changes in the political situation and economy in the countries in which we operate or the effect of governmental efforts to address present or future economic or social problems The impact of restructurings, investments, acquisitions, dispositions and other strategic initiatives (including related financing), any delays, unexpected costs or other problems experienced in

connection with dispositions or with integrating acquisitions or implementing restructurings or other strategic initiatives, and achieving expected savings and synergies, and Currency fluctuations.

We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information or future events or circumstances or otherwise.

Regulation G disclosureCertain non-GAAP financial information is contained in this presentation that management believe may be useful in comparing the company’s operating results from period to period. Reconciliation's ofcertain of the non-GAAP measures to the corresponding GAAP measures can be found in the quarterly results booklet for the relevant period. These booklets are available on our website:https://www.sappi.com/quarterly-reports.

Page 3: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

3

Summary

Page 4: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Highlights

EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m)

Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m)

EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents (Q3 FY17: 11 US cents)

Net debt: US$1,603m (Q3 FY17: US$1,318)

Q3 FY18

4

Page 5: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

From paper to woodfibre

5

Transition from global paper company to global woodfibre business

3 phases since 2010

Balance 2010-2013: reduce balance sheet risk while investing in DWP and speciality packaging

Debt reduction 2014-2016: reduce leverage from 4.6X to below 2X Net debt:EBITDA

Growth : 2017-2020: Strong positions in DWP and packaging give rise to growth opportunities

Global trends shifting in Sappi’s favour Sustainability driving textile and packaging industries

Growth in paper based packaging, rising pulp costs and recycled paper trade flows encourage graphic paper

conversions and closures

Bio-chemicals and biomaterials offer interesting new growth opportunities while supporting existing businesses

Page 6: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

6

Transformation – from paper to woodfibre

* EBITDA excluding special items

22 22

60

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2010 2014 Q3 2018 LTM

US

CEN

TSEPS excluding special items

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010 2014 Q3 2018 LTM

EBITDA* by Segment

Specialised cellulose Specialities and packaging papers Printing and writing papers

3430 30

74

1310

8 9

05

10152025303540

2010 2014 Q3 2018 LTM

%

Segment analysis: EBITDA* margin

Specialised cellulose Specialities and packaging papers

Printing and writing papers

Page 7: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Sappi specialities and packaging papers

7

Global production sites with the ability to switch between graphics and packaging at various sites*

Alfeld Mill (Germany)Containerboard, flex-pack, label,

paperboard, silicone base papers

Carmignano Mill (Italy)Flexible packagingand functional papers

Condino Mill (Italy)Flexible packaging

and functional packaging

Cloquet Mill* (USA)Label papers

Ehingen Mill* (Germany)Containerboard

Maastricht Mill* (The Netherlands)Paperboard

Ngodwana Mill (South Africa)Containerboard

Somerset Mill* (USA)Label paper and flexible packaging paper

Tugela Mill (South Africa)Containerboard

Westbrook Mill (USA)Silicone base papers

Stockstadt Mill* (Germany)Flexible packaging

and functional papers

Page 8: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Specialities and Packaging Papers

8

Trends in our market

o Easy opening

o More functionality and

convenience

o Smaller pack sizes

Demographic ChangeRegulations

o Food safety – Mineral oil

barriers

o Plastic bans and waste

directive

Technology and Innovations

o Traceable packaging

o Customized packaging

o Smart/active packaging

Economic Concerns

o Cost reduction (TCO)o Light weighting and

down gauging

Page 9: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Specialities and Packaging Papers

9

Trends in our market

Regulations

o Food safety – Mineral oil

barriers

o Plastic bans and waste

directive

Page 10: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Dissolving wood pulp market

10

Viscose-grade DWP demand growth

Source: Sappi; Hawkins Wright; RISI.

OtherEurope Americas China

0.2

6.1

0.6

0.6

1.7

3.7

1.9

7.5

Market size 2017 Mtpa

CAGR 2010-17%

Viscose

Cellulose ethers and MCC

Cellulose acetate tow

Nitro-cellulose and other

Products (examples)

7.5 ~6-7Total

Rayon Grade

High-alpha/Speciality

DWP gradeDemand geography

Applications (examples)• Textiles (viscose)• Non-wovens• Cellophane• Sausage skins

• Construction• Food additives• Medicine fillers• Cosmetics

• Cigarette filters• Paints and coatings• Films• Plastics

• Explosives• Inks• Lacquers• Nail polish

Page 11: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Fibre properties and applications

11

Cellulosic fibre properties helping drive that growth

Source: IHS Global, RISI, Hawkins Wright.

Key strength Qualifies Issue

ApparelHome textilesNonwovens/Technical textiles

Overall value proposition

Applications

Function and feel

Appearance

Sustainability

1762

21

6627

7

5220

28

Cellulosic fibres Cotton Polyester

• On a pure property basis, cellulosic fibres are superior to cotton and differentiated on sustainability.

• Polyester is differentiated on strength/durability versus cotton and cellulosic fibres.

• Natural and attractive, ‘greener’ alternative to cotton

• Natural, functional and well established

• Cheap, durable and versatile

Durability

Absorbency Breathability Softness

Drape Dyeability

Brightness/Lustre

Renewable and biodegradeable

Resource efficiency

Page 12: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Q3 FY18

Specialities and Packaging Papers Maastricht:

On time, within budget, legacy products qualified at lower costs

New product trials are testing well, larger volumes across all basis weights in time for September roll-out

Ehingen: On time, within budget Carouseling stage set

Somerset: Delayed and overrun Legacy products qualified at lower costs Currently optimizing new products

12

Update on conversions and debottlenecking

Specialised Cellulose Ngodwana:

After late start up and commissioning, focus is on September evaporator upgrade to get to the planned 250ktpa

Saiccor: Head-box and sheet former issues are

behind us, now operating at full capacity (780ktpa)

Page 13: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

EBITDA and operating profitExcluding special items*

13

* Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 22 in our Q3 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.

160

155

155

97 93

850

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Q3 FY16 Q3 FY17 Q3 FY18

US$

milli

on

EBITDA Operating profit

Key ratios Q3 FY16 Q3 FY17 Q3 FY18

Net debt/LTM EBITDA 2.2 1.7 2.1

Interest cover 7.0 8.4 11.0

EBITDA % 13.1 12.3 10.7

ROCE % 14.0 12.8 9.7

• US$8m impact of Somerset shut overrun• US$3m due to DWP startup issues South Africa

Page 14: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

155

(77)

(28)(4)

2

155

13

94

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

EBITDAQ3 FY17

Sales Volume Price & Mix Variable &Delivery Costs

Fixed Costs Other Exchange Rate EBITDAQ3 FY18

EBITDA* bridgeQ3 FY17 to Q3 FY18

14

* EBITDA = EBITDA excluding special items

Sales revenue

US$

milli

on

Notes:

1. All variances were calculated excluding Sappi Forestry.

2. “Exchange rate” reflects transactional and translation effect on consolidation.

JunExchange rates: 2018 2017Average rate for the quarter: US$1 = ZAR 12.6312 13.1875Average rate for the quarter: €1 = US$ 1.1920 1.1011

Page 15: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Product contribution split – LTM

15

* Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 22 in our Q3 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items. Data above excludes treasury operations and insurance captive.

41%

18%

41%

SpecialisedCellulose

Specialities &PackagingPapersPrinting Papers

54%

17%

29%

EBITDA excluding special items Operating profit excluding special items

Page 16: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Maturity profileFiscal years

16

317

74

129 47 46

548

451

70

221

365

83

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2032

US$

milli

on

Cash Short-term SPH term debt Securitisation SSA

EUR450m bond

EUR350m bond

US$221m bond

Page 17: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Capex development

17

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019E

US$

milli

on

Maintenance Efficiency and expansion

Saiccor expansion capex subject to EIA approval

Page 18: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

18

Divisional overview

Page 19: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Global P&W paper market trends

19

Supply and demand Operating rates remain healthy – CM partially at expense of CWF in EU. Capacity closures and conversions (many to recycled containerboard) in North America and

Europe

Selling prices and input costs Paper prices rising globally, tracking pulp price increases Lag effect between pulp and paper prices

Strategy Capacity conversions into other markets (Somerset/Maastricht/Lanaken/Ehingen) Flexibility post conversion at Somerset and Maastricht to take advantage of market dynamics Investments at key mills/machines to lower costs Procurement and efficiency programs to further reduce costs.

Page 20: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Global speciality & packaging paper market trends

20

Supply and demand Environmental concerns spurring legislation incentivising the use of more paper-based

packaging Negative public perception weighs on plastic packaging Conversions into recycled grades driven by China ban on RCP

Selling prices and input costs Price increases announced in April – lag due to contract term Softwood and hardwood fiber costs continue to rise

Strategy Acquisition of Cham speciality paper business Increase capacity and product offering to a growing customer base Procurement and efficiency programs to further reduce costs Transfer of Rockwell technology to paper based products

Page 21: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Global DWP market trends

21

Supply and demand Continued strong demand from new viscose capacity – depressing VSF prices New market DWP capacity likely in 2019 – limited capacity addition 2018. Cotton tariffs causing uncertainty in textile markets

Selling prices and input costs DWP market prices steady – range-bound between BEK and VSF Weakening RMB places further pressure on US$ input costs of VSF producers

Strategy Long-term global growth opportunities Align growth with leading VSF customers – environmental and social performance key Do not overpay for assets in heated paper pulp market

Page 22: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Strong performance despite cost pressures CM demand good, aided by market dynamics in adjacent grades Cham Paper exceeded expectations Fixed costs higher due to maintenance/headcount increase Lower latex and energy costs partially mitigated the impact of higher pulp prices

22

Sappi Europe

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

0

20

40

60

80

Q3 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3 FY17 Q3 FY18

Eurm

illion

EBITDA* EBITDA Margin*

* EBITDA and EBITDA margin shown exclude special items. Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 22 in our Q3 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

Jan-

17

Apr-1

7

Jul-1

7

Oct

-17

Jan-

18

Apr-1

8

Jul-1

8

BHKP Europe (EUR) CWF-S 100g, Germany

Page 23: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Profitability improved marginally versus last year – US$8m impact from PM1 overrun Average realised coated paper prices were up 12% y-o-y 12% increase in DWP volumes from Cloquet partially offset the rise in paper pulp prices PM1 conversion completed, although was behind schedule and approximately US$35-50m over

budget

23

Sappi North America

* EBITDA and EBITDA margin shown exclude special items. Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 22 in our Q3 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.** Source: RISI

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

0

5

10

15

20

25

Q3 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3 FY17 Q3 FY18

US$

milli

on

EBITDA* EBITDA Margin*

800

820

840

860

880

900

920

940

960

980No 3 Coated freesheet - 60 lb (90g) rolls US$/ton - US East**

Page 24: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Weaker result due to currency and poor re-starts from scheduled shuts/upgrades DWP sales volumes affected and inventories are low – prices stable Results from paper business were strong due to higher volumes and prices Increased variable and fixed costs, exacerbated by the extended downtime

24

Sappi Southern Africa

* EBITDA and EBITDA margin shown exclude special items. Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 22 in our Q3 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.** Source: CCF

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Q3 FY15 Q3 FY16 Q3 FY17 Q3 FY18

ZAR

milli

on

EBITDA* EBITDA Margin*

800

825

850

875

900

925

950

975

1000China market price – Hardwood DWP (US$/ton)**

Page 25: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Maintaina healthybalancesheet

Rationalisedeclining

businesses

Accelerate growth in

higher margin growth

segments

Achievecost

advantages

Improveoperational

and machineefficiencies

Maximiseprocurement

benefits Optimisebusiness

processes

Continuouslybalance

paper supplyand demandin all regions

Wherepossible

convert papermachines tohigher marginbusinesses

Optimiseworkingcapital

Strongcash

generationSmart

financing

Expandpaper

packaginggrades

Enhancespecialised celluloseportfolio

Extractvalue from our

biorefinerystream

Our group strategy

25

At Sappi we do business with integrity and courage; making smart decisions which we execute with speed.Our values are underpinned by an unrelenting focus on and commitment to safety.

Page 26: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Achievecost

advantages

Improveoperational

and machine efficiencies

Maximiseprocurement

benefitsOptimisebusiness

processes

Our group strategy

26

We work to lower fixed and variable costs, increase cost efficiencies and invest for cost advantages. Group efficiency and procurement initiatives

US$60m target for 2018. Ongoing continuous improvement across all mills. Debottleneck pulp capacity in Europe Saiccor expansion will lead to lower variable costs €30m upgrade to Gratkorn PM9

Page 27: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Rationalisedeclining

businesses

Continuouslybalance

paper supplyand demand in all regions

Wherepossible

convert paper machines tohigher margin

businesses

Our group strategy

27

Recognising the decreasing demand for graphic paper, we manage our capacity to strengthen our leadership position in these markets, realising their strategic importance to the group and maximising their significant cash flow generation. Progressive transition of Lanaken Mill out of LWC. Reduced CWF exposure at Maastricht Mill, Ehingen

Mill and Somerset Mill PM1. Conversion of Somerset PM1 and Maastricht Mill

Page 28: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Maintaina healthybalancesheet

Optimiseworkingcapital

Strongcash

generationSmart

financing

Our group strategy

28

Maintain leverage below 2x Net debt:EBITDA Finance costs US$60-70m/annum going

forward. Renewal of RCF Lower spread (165bp), cost and commitment fee Additional flexibility for acquisitions and disposals

Page 29: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Accelerategrowth in

higher margingrowth

segments

Extractvalue from our

biorefinerystream

Enhancespecialisedcelluloseportfolio

Expandpaper

packaginggrades

Our group strategy

29

We will make investments in existing and adjacent areas with strong potential growth. Debottlenecking of Saiccor, Cloquet and Ngodwana

DWP. Investments in Speciality packaging incl. Rockwell and

Cham Paper Additional packaging at Ngodwana and Tugela Mills. Securing additional HW timber supply. Biomaterials, bio-chemicals – lignins, sugars. Xylitol and Furfural demo plant to be built at Ngodwana Expansion of Saiccor by 110kt/annum

Page 30: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Accelerategrowth in

high marginproducts

Extractvalue from our

biorefinerystream

Enhancespecialisedcelluloseportfolio

Expandpaper

packaginggrades

Our group strategy

30

Ngodwana Energy Biomass Facility ZAR1.8bn 25MW boiler approved by DoE Construction begins Q3 FY18, expected completion

Q4 FY20 Sappi share ZAR139m = 30% equity stake ROI~19% Significant BBBEE benefits

Page 31: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Accelerategrowth in

higher margingrowth

segments

Extractvalue from our

biorefinerystream

Enhancespecialisedcelluloseportfolio

Expandpaper

packaginggrades

Speciality and packaging papers expansion plans

31

Europe Maastricht: construction done, 2 year ramp-up

-160k CWF, +150k specialities (FBB) Ehingen: to be completed Q3 FY18, 1.5 year ramp-up

-75k CWF, +60k specialities (WTL) Alfeld: construction to start FY19, done Q4 FY20

+10k specialities (Various) Lanaken: enable CWF on PM8, as market develops

North America Somerset: construction done, 3 year ramp up

-150k CWF, +350k specialities (SBS)

Page 32: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Accelerategrowth in

higher margingrowth

segments

Extractvalue from our

biorefinerystream

Enhancespecialisedcelluloseportfolio

Expandpaper

packaginggrades

DWP expansion plans

32

Debottlenecking Saiccor – 10kt complete April 2018 Ngodwana – 50kt complete September 2018 Cloquet – 30kt complete Q3 2019

additional 70kt swing capacity available

Expansion Saiccor – 110kt ≈Q3 2020 subject to positive EIA

External Paper pulp prices impacting valuations and returns

Page 33: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

33

Outlook

Page 34: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

DWP market is tightly supplied, limited new capacity in medium term

Operating rates in EU and NA remain healthy, average realised prices continue to rise

Good demand growth for specialities and packaging papers. Commercial sales from

conversions expected to start Q4 and ramp up in 2019

Q4 capex expected to be approximately $180m – majority at Saiccor, Ngodwana and Somerset

We expect to reduce net debt further with positive cash generation during the quarter

Given current market conditions and exchange rates, we expect our Q4 operating performance

to be similar to that of last year despite lost production/lower inventories from Q3

34

Outlook

Page 35: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Thank you

35

Page 36: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

36

Supplementary information

Page 37: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Excluding special items*

37

EBITDA and operating profit

* Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 22 in our Q3 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.

175

195

160

209

201 20

8

155

221

172

211

155

112

133

97

145

136 14

5

93

152

105

142

85

0

50

100

150

200

250

US$

milli

on

EBITDA Operating profit ex special items

Page 38: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

38

Net debt/EBITDA development

* EBITDA is excluding special items.** The covenant Net debt/LTM EBITDA calculation has adjustments and therefore differs from that shown above.

2,38

0

2,24

8

2,28

6

1,94

6 2,04

0

1,91

6

1,91

7

1,77

1

1,73

4

1,65

2

1583

1408

1338

1329

1318

1322 1349

1632

1603

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

2,400

2,600

Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18

US$

milli

on

Net debt Net debt/LTM EBITDA**

2.1

4.6

Page 39: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Western Europe

39

Coated paper deliveries and prices

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

1.1

1.2

Q1

08

Q1

09

Q1

10

Q1

11

Q1

12

Q1

13

Q1

14

Q1

15

Q1

16

Q1

17

Q1

18

CWF Demand MCR Demand CWF 100gsm Sheets LWC 60gsm offset reels

Western Europe shipments including export.Source: Cepifine, Cepiprint and RISI indexed to calendar 1Q 2008.

Page 40: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

40

Sappi Europe

* Sales less operating profit excluding special items divided by tons sold.** Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 22 in our Q3 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.

Q3 FY18 Q3 FY17 YTD 18 YTD 17Tons sold (‘000) 833 795 2,502 2,501Sales (EURm) 636 554 1,823 1,737

Price/Ton (EUR) 764 697 729 694Cost/Ton* (EUR) 726 668 689 658

Operating profit excluding special items** (EURm) 31 23 99 91

Page 41: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

United States of America

41

Coated paper prices and shipments

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

1.1

1.2

Q1

08

Q1

09

Q1

10

Q1

11

Q1

12

Q1

13

Q1

14

Q1

15

Q1

16

Q1

17

Q1

18

Domestic CWF shipments Domestic CWF purchases RISI price CFS #3 60lb rollsUS industry purchases defined as industry shipments, plus imports, less exports.Source: AF&PA and RISI indexed to calendar Q1 FY08.

Page 42: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

42

Sappi North America

* Sales less operating profit excluding special items divided by tons sold.** Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 22 in our Q3 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.

Q3 FY18 Q3 FY17 YTD 18 YTD 17Tons sold (‘000) 318 316 1,008 998Sales (USDm) 339 314 1,044 1,003

Price/Ton (USD) 1.066 994 1,036 1,005Cost/Ton* (USD) 1,063 1,000 1,018 985

Operating profit excluding special items** (USDm) 1 (2) 18 20

Page 43: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

43

There is still significant headroom to increase the level of cellulosic fibre blending in most sub-categories

Source: Expert interviews.

POLYESTER

Future Today Gap Today Future Gap Today Future Gap COTTON CELLULOSIC

Apparel

Home textile

Towels 5% 5% 0% 80% 75% -6% 15% 20% +33%

Bedding 45% 55% +22% 45% 40% -11% 1% 2% +100%

Denim 5% 5% 0 95% 95% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Shirts 35% 40% +14% 50% 40% -20% 15% 20% +33%

T-shirts 30% 50% +67% 70% 50% -29% 3% 5% 0%

Dresses 10% 10% 0% 35% 25% -29% 55% 65% +18%

Suits 35% 40% +14% 25% 20% -20% ~1% ~2% +100%

Sportswear 85% 85% 0% 0% 0% 0% 15% 15% 0%

Casual wear 45% 50% +11% 45% 35% -22% 10% 15% +50%

Page 44: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

44

Pulp prices*

* Source: FOEX, CCF group.

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

US$

/ton

NBSK Europe BHKP Europe Commodity DWP Cotton linter pulp

Page 45: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

45

Textile fibre prices*

* Source: CCF group.

800

1,200

1,600

2,000

2,400

2,800

Cotton 328 Cotton "A" Index PSF 1.4 D VSF 1.2 D VSF 1.5 D

US$

/ton

Page 46: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

46

Sappi Southern Africa

* Sales less operating profit excluding special items divided by tons sold.** Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA to reported operating profit and page 22 in our Q3 FY18 financial results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.

Q3 FY18 Q3 FY17 YTD 18 YTD 17Tons sold (‘000) 383 387 1,179 1,159Sales (ZARm) 4,105 4,207 12,509 12,848

Price/Ton (ZAR) 10,718 10,871 10,610 11,085Cost/Ton* (ZAR) 9,274 8,499 8,538 8,149

Operating profit excluding special items** (ZARm) 553 918 2,443 3,404

Excluding Sappi Forests

Page 47: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Cash flow

47

US$m Q3 FY18 Q3 FY17 YTD 18 YTD 17Cash generated from operations 141 139 497 544Movement in working capital 33 (7) (85) (130)

Net finance costs paid (21) (20) (42) (61)

Taxation refund (paid) (6) 4 (50) (62)

Dividend paid - - (81) (59)

Cash generated from operating activities 147 116 239 232Cash utilised in investing activities (188) (86) (519) (165)Capital expenditure (188) (78) (395) (160)

Proceeds on disposal of assets 1 - 11 3

Acquisition of subsidiary - - (132) -

Other movements (1) (8) (3) (8)

Net cash generated (utilised) (41) 30 (280) 67

Page 48: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Excluding special items reconciliation to reported operating profit

48

EBITDA and operating profit

* Refer to page 22 in our Q3 FY18 results booklet (available on www.sappi.com) for a definition of special items.

US$m Q3 FY18 Q3 FY17 YTD 18 YTD 17

EBITDA excluding special items* 155 155 538 564Depreciation and amortisation (70) (62) (206) (190)

Operating profit excluding special items* 85 93 332 374

Special items* - gains (losses) (1) (3) 22 1

Plantation price fair value adjustment 8 2 30 14

Acquisition cost - - (2) -

Net restructuring provisions - (1) 2 (1)

Profit on disposal and written off assets (1) - 8 -

Asset impairment reversal 3 - 3 -

BBBEE charge - - (1) (1)

Fire, flood, storm and other events (11) (4) (18) (11)

Segment operating profit 84 90 354 375

Page 49: Q3 FY18 financial results - Sappi · Highlights EBITDA ex-special items: US$155m (Q3 FY17: US$155m) Profit for the period: US$51m (Q3 FY17: US$58m) EPS ex-special items: 10 US cents

Thank you

49


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