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Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights...

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Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015
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Page 1: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Q4 2015 Earnings Call

February 24, 2015

Page 2: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Highlights

Financial Review

Development Projects

Key Takeaways

Q&A

1

AGENDA

Page 3: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Highlights

Page 4: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

AES Gener continues to be the largest energy producer in Chile since 2014. In2015 it provided 27.2% of the total generation in the country

Gross profit increased by 9% to $583m and net income by 44% to $265mbetween 2015 and 2014, despite of significant drop of commodity prices andstrong devaluation of local currencies against US dollar, given the strongcommercial and hedging policies in place

The company has made good progress on its projects

Unit 5 of Guacolda reached COD on December 15, 2015

Angamos Desal completed

Solar Project initiated commissioning tests in February 2016

Cochrane on track and below budget. COD expected in 2016

AES Gener is the only generation company selected in the DJSI Chile integrated by12 companies

Key Highlights

3

Page 5: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Gas supply agreement signed with ENAP securing the operation of Nueva Rencafor 4 months in 2016

Company was awarded with 1.5 million m3/day of regasification capacity of GNLChile

SING-SADI Interconnection fully operational

First commercial energy export to Argentina started on February 12, 2016

Argentina CEPO was partially released, Termoandes distributed US dollars to AESGener in January 2016

Rating agencies confirmed Company’s Investment Grade rating with stable outlook

Successful liability management executed in 2015 totaling ~$1.3 billion

FX forwards compensations received during 2015 for $30m plus $7m in Guacolda

482 Tariff Resolution will apply to TermoAndes for the energy in excess of what issold under Energía Plus program

Key Highlights

4

Page 6: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

-

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

GW

h-y

ear

AES Gener Contract level

Long term contracted position with an average life of 12 years with a high qualityand diversified customer base

No significant maturities until 2024

Efficient portfolio fully aligned with our contracted capacity

Key Highlights

5

Distribution33%

Mining59%

Industrial8%

AES Gener Contracts by Sector

Contractavg. life: 12 years

Page 7: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Financial Review

Page 8: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Key Metrics Q4 2015Var. vs

Q4 2014FY 2015

Var. vsFY 2014

Operating Revenues 500 -6% 2,165 -7%

Gross Profit 191 61% 583 9%

EBITDA 201 27% 691 3%

Net Income 73 74% 265 44%

Consolidated Financial SummaryUS$ Million

7

Page 9: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

SIC

39% 36%

SIN

22%

SING

3%

SADI

US$ Million

EBITDA Variance by Market

8

671

691

2030

1713

2014 SIC SING SIN SADI 2015

Page 10: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Regulated Customers

58% 35%

Unregulated Customers

Spot Sales

7%

Revenues from Nueva Renca lease agreement

Lower spot prices during maintenance

Lower volume sales to regulated customers

Lower sale prices with distribution companiespartially offset by $12 million in FX forwardscompensations

Key Drivers SIC EBITDA

+7%

US$ Million

SIC – EBITDA $273 million

9

Electricity Revenues of $796 million

253273

2014 2015

Page 11: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

SING EBITDA

+25%

US$ Million

SING – EBITDA $153 million

56%96%

Unregulated Customers

Spot Sales

4%

Key Drivers

Higher demand from unregulated customers

Lower marginal cost reducing spot margin

Technical minimum still impacting EBITDA

10

Electricity Revenues of $557 million

123

153

2014 2015

Page 12: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Regulated Customers

43% 57%

Spot Sales and Ancillary

Services

Key Drivers SIN EBITDA

-6%

US$ Million

SIN – EBITDA $246 million

Devaluation of the Colombia Peso, partiallymitigated by $13m in FX forwardscompensations

Extreme dry conditions during Q4 2015

Higher generation to support the country

11

Electricity Revenues of $550 million

263246

2014 2015

Page 13: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Lower sales under Energía Plus contracts

Major Maintenance of the Steam Turbine andone Gas Turbine

Devaluation of the Argentina Peso

Recognition of 482 Tariff Resolution fromFebruary 2015

Key Drivers SADI EBITDA

-39%

56%

Spot Sales

22%78%

Unregulated Customers

US$ Million

SADI – EBITDA $19 million

12

Electricity Revenues of $91 million

32

19

2014 2015

Page 14: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

US$ Million

Net Income (Attributable to Shareholders of Parent)

13

184

265

20

49

41

17

2

2 353

2014 EBITDA FX Impact EquityEarnings

Depreciation Net financingcosts

Income tax Other MinorityInterest

2015

Page 15: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 25-73

69

139

176154

559

162172 173

1,768

136

2025+

97.9% denominated in US$ 88.5% at fixed interest rate

US$ Million

Debt Profile

14

Recourse Debt

49%51%

Non Recourse

Debt

Total Outstanding as of December 31, 2015 US$3,507 Million

Average Cost 5.3%

Average Life 14.5 years

Net Debt/EBITDA 4.5x (2.4x excluding non recourse debt)

Page 16: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

229267

108

796

852 14

December2014

OperatingActivities

FinancingActivities

InvestingActivities

FX Impact December2015

LIQUIDITY: US$ 512 MILLION

Cash and Cash

Equivalents+ Short Term

Time Deposits

Undrawn Committed Facilities58% 42%

US$ Million

Cash Flow and Other Sources of Liquidity

15

Page 17: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Development Projects

Page 18: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

5.0725.224

5.797

152

573

531

Angamos Desal

2015 2016 2018/2019

Projects under construction Projects Status as of December 31, 2015

Guacolda V – 152 MW

Angamos Desalinization

Tunjita – 20 MW

Solar–Andes – 21 MW

Cochrane – 532 MW

Alto Maipo – 531 MW

Second Phase of Expansion – $4B Fully Funded

17

MW

Project Progress

Guacolda 5 Completed

Angamos Desal Completed

Solar Andes Commissioning Tests

Cochrane 96%

Tunjita 98%

Alto Maipo 24%

Page 19: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

Key Takeaways

Page 20: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

COMPANY 2015 EBITDA HIGHER THAN IN 2014 $20 million higher than last year

Better results in Chile partially offset by lower energy margin in Colombia and Argentina

LEADER IN GENERATION IN CHILE Company contributed with 27% of country generation

Operational excellence proven by high availability

DIVERSIFIED AND LONG TERM CONTRACTED ASSET PORTFOLIO Geographical, technological, customers base and fuel sources

Dollarized Long Term PPAs aligned with efficient generation

MOVING FORWARD WITH SECOND EXPANSION PHASE Guacolda V and desalinization plant successfully completed in 2015

Generator with more projects under construction in Chile

Expansion plan fully funded

World class partners: GIP, Mitsubishi, Antofagasta Minerals

STRONG AND ENHANCED CAPITAL STRUCTURE Investment grade rating

Strong liquidity

Extended debt maturity profile

Key Takeaways

19

Page 21: Q4 2015 Earnings Call - AES Gener€¦ · Q4 2015 Earnings Call February 24, 2015. Highlights Financial Review ... Key Metrics Q4 2015 Var. vs Q4 2014 FY 2015 Var. vs FY 2014 Operating

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