Qatar National Development Planning

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Qatar National Development PlanningQatar National Development PlanningStatistics as the Evidence Base Statistics as the Evidence Base

Dr Richard LeeteDirector, Department of Social Development (DSD) and

Ms Badria Ali MohammadSenior Researcher, DSD

Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics

Doha10 December 2013

Qatar National Development Planning

Presentation Themes

Qatar’s National Planning Framework

Results Chain and Monitoring Progress

Human Rights Perspective

Qatar’s New Measures of Well-being

Frontier Statistical Possibilities

Conclusion

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Qatar National Development Planning

Critical importance of quality, timely and disaggregated statistics for every stage of the planning cycle

Qatar’s National Planning FrameworkUnderpinned with solid evidence base

QatarNational

Vision 2030

• Defines national development goals

NationalDevelopment

Strategy2011 – 2016

Mid-term Review 2013• Learns lessons and realigns

sector and national initiatives

Sector Strategies 2011 – 2016• Defines priority

sector initiatives

• Defines priority national initiatives for achieving QNV 2030 goals

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Qatar National Development Planning

Process indicators such as # qualified teachers and curricula changes

Outcome indicators such as examination results and attainment levels

Data Required at All Stages of Results Chain

If – then

If project activities are undertaken as planned then outputs will be produced

If project outputs are produced then NDS outcomes are likely to follow

If NDS outcomes are achieved then they will contribute towards QNV goals

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Inputs

Activities

Project OutputsDeliverables

NDS Outcomes

QNV GOALS

Process Indicators

Under control of implementation agency

Theory of change

Outcome Indicators

Qatar National Development Planning

Monitoring for Development ResultsWhat, why and how

Why do we monitor?

To get regular feedback on implementation progress, detect implementation problems, and improve performance

To ensure we are on track to achieve expected project results at all levels

What are key questions for monitoring?

Are project outputs being produced as planned & are they contributing to desired outcomes & goals?

Have we specified appropriate indicators?

How do we use

monitoring information?

To learn lessons and report on progress

Qatar National Development Planning

Tracking Progress in Achieving Results Illustrative example

Budgets, human resources

• CEDAW and CRC ratified and complied with

• Procure services • Collect and review data• Drafting legislation • Training programme• Create hotline

• Number of reported cases of domestic violence reduced

• Increase in % of women who feel that domestic violence has decreased

• Comprehensive domestic violence prevention, protection and support system established

• An early child neglect and abuse detection mechanism established

• Increased awareness of harmful effects of domestic violence

• New policy and legislation on child abuse implemented

Reduced family violence

Develop a sound social structure with effective public institutions and

active civil society organisations

• Budget allocated and spent for each activity

Results chainResults chainIndicators of progress

(Baselines and targets)Indicators of progress

(Baselines and targets)

QNV Goal

NDS Outcome

Outputs(Deliverables)

Activities(Tasks)

Inputs

What results are we aiming to achieve

What results are we aiming to achieve

Qatar National Development Planning

Illustrative Examples of Tracking ProgressTowards QNV 2030 goals - targets and monitorable indicators

QVN 2030 Development Goals Indicators for Monitoring Progress

Human Development Pillar – An Educated Population

QNV 2030 Goal 5 A world-class educational system that equips citizens to achieve their aspirations and to meet the needs of Qatar’s society

Target 1: Qatar’s students’ school performance in international tests ranked in line with mean of top 10 OECD countries

PISA, TIMSS, PIRLS test scores Net enrolment in K-12 schooling by level and

sex

Social Development Pillar – Social Care and Protection

QNV2030 Goal 13 An effective social protection system for all Qataris that ensures their civil rights, values their contribution in developing their society, and ensures an adequate income to maintain a healthy and dignified life

Target 1: Incidence of relative poverty (half median household equalized income) below 5 percent of Qatari households

Percentage of low income Qatari household Gini coefficient

Qatar National Development Planning

Ensuring Quality DataFor evidence base planning and monitoring

Data users Can only assess data quality indirectly by checking internal

consistency Comparing same variable derived from different data sources Through trend analysis

Data producers Need to check quality and reliability of statistics Systematic validation assessments of data quality through in-

house checks and validation controls

Meta data on concepts and methodologies used should follow international standards

Qatar National Development Planning

Data users Can give greater focus to disadvantaged communities through

focus on relevant indicators that support an inclusive approach to sustainable development

Data producers Can advance agenda on right to development through

adopting human rights principles, such as disaggregating basic indicators according to sex, age, nationality, geographic location

Indicators From a Human Rights PerspectiveQatar’s 4th NHDR on theme – The Right to Development

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Human development and human rights two sides of same coin

Qatar National Development Planning

New Measure of Well-being for QatarFor monitoring progress towards QNV 2030 goals

Emerging Complementary Approach

International policy focus shifting to include indicators of well-being of individuals and nations

– New and innovative methods to monitor well-being and happiness are being devised by international agencies, countries and NGOs

– National well-being measured through many domains of people’s lives, attitudes and aspirations using traditional and non-traditional data sources

Traditionally

Countries measured well-being merely in terms of income growth. But size and growth of GDP reflects aggregate economic performance and is not necessarily a good measure of individual or national well-being ― low income groups may not always benefit ― and increasing GDP growth is unsustainable if depleting natural resource base

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Qatar National Development Planning

Objective and Subjective Well-being MeasuresStatistical agencies need to facilitate collection, validation and dissemination of data

Individual

National

Based on external evaluation using measurable criteria, mainly from household surveys such as

– Personal income– Whether employed– Other personal and

household characteristics

How well country is doing in terms of well-being of its population

– Mainly based on socio-economic indicators

How individuals think and feel about their lives in terms of self reporting on life as a whole, and on domains such as family and work

– Can include the individual’s actual feelings, such as pain, worry, pleasure and respect

Information based on aggregation of self-reports of individuals

– May not be comparable across different cultures, although interesting to compare sub-groups

National well-being measure provide information to policy makers and citizens about social and economic progress

Qualitative Subjective Indicators of Well-being

Quantitative Objective Indicators of Well-beingLevel

Qatar National Development Planning

Major challenges in developing measures of well being include: What indicators or domains to combine when using either objective or subjective data,

and what weights to assign the components Reconciling expert and key stakeholder opinions on what is well-being and how best it

should be measured Collecting the required data on a regular annual basis

High-levels of Life SatisfactionBut Qataris more satisfied than non-Qataris

Qatar National Development Planning

New Data

Citizen report cards – users’ giving feedback on public service performance in terms of quality and access, eg education and health

Social audits – stakeholders assessments of industry’s social and environmental benefits and impacts

Frontier Data PossibilitiesStatistical agencies to explain and set quality standards for planning

Big Data

Disciplining increasing volumes of micro information captured through transactions and digital interactions

Improving efficiency and quality of service delivery in health education and environment sectors by monitoring and tracking individual level data

For example , enhancing individual student performance through individual assessments, including interactions with teachers, through analysis of data trails

Enhancing participation and accountability

Utilising new huge computing capacity for in-depth analysis at individual level in different domains

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Qatar National Development Planning

What we measure and monitor is

what we strive to achieve

Conclusion6