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QEIC Tech - CGI Group Pitch - Final

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  • 8/9/2019 QEIC Tech - CGI Group Pitch - Final

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    CGI Group Pitch (GIB.A-T)

    Jonathan J. Chang BComm, 2017

    Adita Pat!" BA, #conomic$, 201%

    &ii JinBA, #conomic$, 201'

    ata$ riu*i+i$ BA, #conomic$, 2017

    Januar 1, 201

    This presentation is for informational purposes only, and is not an oer to buy or sell or asolicitation to buy or sell any securities, investment products or other nancial product or

    service, an ocial conrmation of any transaction, or an ocial statement of QueensEconomics Investment Council (QEIC! "ny vie#s or opinions presented are solely those ofthe author and do not necessarily represent those of QEIC!

    TEC$%&'&), *E+I", "%+ TE'EC&**%IC"TI&%-

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    Indu$trBr!ado/n

    Compan!ri!/

    anag!m!ntT!am

    InvestmentThesis .oint /0

    In!$tm!ntTh!$i$ Point

    2

    In!$tm!ntTh!$i$ Point

    In!$tm!ntTh!$i$ Point

    Company1aluation

    Pro3!ct!dCata"$t$

    A$$ociat!d4i$$

    Pric! Targ!tummar

    "ppendi2

    ur Ag!nda

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    140

    145

    150

    155

    160

    165

    170

    !ctor !ri!/

    Sources: Capital IQ

    5P %00 !ctor Indic!$ - In6ormation T!chno"og !ctor

    5P %00 !ctor Indic!$ - T!"!communication !ric!$ !ctor

    550

    570

    590

    610

    630

    650

    670

    690710

    Indu$trPo$iti!Gro/th

    tagnantGro/th

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    34!44

    35!44

    64!44

    65!44

    54!44

    55!44

    In6ormation T!chno"og !ctorBr!ado/n

    Sources: Capital IQ

    5PT8 Compo$it! Ind!9 T!chno"og :ard/ar! 5 #;uipm!nt(Indu$tr Group)

    5PT8 Compo$it! Ind!9 o6t/ar! 5 !ric!$ (Indu$tr Group)

    2,200

    2,400

    2,600

    2,800

    3,000

    3,200

    3,400

    imi"ar a*o! graph) -> Indication of 7etter &pportunities*easured on a 8is9:8eturn 7asis

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    Compan !ri!/

    %Sources: Capital IQ

    CGI Group Bu$in!$$ ?!$cription Pric! @ =o"um! P!r6ormanc!

    inancia" !tric$ (C?, )

    Tota" 4!!nu! 04,6;;!< ar!t Capita"iation 03,=00!6 T#=Tota" 4!!nu! 0!52

    #BIT?A 0,=!4 Tota" #nt!rpri$!=a"u!

    05,

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    Compan !ri!/

    'Sources: Capital IQ

    p!ciDcation$ o6 CGI Compan

    p!ration$

    Eor"d ap

    The company operates in CanadaA the nited -tatesA the %ordics, -outhernEurope, and -outh "mericaA Central and Eastern Europe, includin@ the%etherlands, ermany, and 7el@iumA the nited Bin@domA the "sia .aciccomprisin@ "ustralia, India, the .hilippines and the *iddle EastA and rance,includin@ 'u2embour@ and *orocco

    CI roup Inc! #as founded in 0;

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    #9!cuti! T!am

    7Sources: Capital IQ, C)I Company *e+site

    F ounded CI in0;

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    In!$tm!nt Th!$i$ ut"in!

    Sources: Capital IQ, Tomsonne Analytics

    F CE& sets eyes on doublin@ siLe of CI#ithin 5:< years

    F E2cess cash aims to be directedto#ards - commercial mar9ets

    F $as done solid Job of mana@in@previous acDuisitions

    F e# competitors in this space

    F $as @overnment contracts that resultin ;>M rene#al rate, ma9in@ it hard

    for others to enterF ?ndhi@hest revenue amon@st ICT

    companies in Canada

    FThe company is e2periencin@ positive

    cash No# and has multiple areas tospend on

    F +ecline in inte@ration payments for'o@ica is one of the immediate driversfor C improvement

    F E2pectin@ improvements from current

    cost restructurin@F *ore opportunities available in EuropeF -hiftin@ focus to#ards hi@her mar@in

    in -oft#areKI. revenue

    IH Incr!a$ing C G!n!ration IIH Incr!a$ing #BIT argin$

    IIIH Incr!a$ing Gro/th Through5A

    I=H Brand Po$itioning 5 ar!t?ominanc!

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    Argum!nt IH Incr!a$ing C G!n!ration

    Sources: Capital IQ, .arclays /esearc, !uity /esearc /eports,

    F .redicted @eneration of O0!06?*in )06

    F +rivers includePF *ar@in e2pansionF .rudent #or9in@ capital mana@ementF 8educed 'o@ica (subsidy inte@ration

    paymentsF .erceived @ro#th in 'o@ica

    F 'o@ica is multinational IT andmana@ement consultancy companyheadDuartered in the B #hich is a

    #holly o#ned subsidy of CI roup

    F ?!5 years since acDuisition of 'o@icaand CI is be@innin@ to normaliLe

    F Inte@ration of 'o@ica completedone year ahead of schedule

    F +ecline in inte@ration spendin@F *ana@ement invested O5

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    Argum!nt IIH Incr!a$ing #BIT argin$

    10Sources: Capital IQ, .arclays /esearc, !uity /esearc /eports, /.C Capital

    F Contracts e2pirin@ in EuropeF Continuation of optimiLin@ its

    operations and improvin@ utiliLation insome mar9ets

    F 8ecent restructurin@ in inlandF %e# lo# cost delivery centers

    F -eein@ more opportunities available in

    Europe

    F 'eavin@ unprotable countriesF 'oo9in@ to focus more so on hi@her

    mar@ins in increased mi2 ofsoft#areKI. revenue

    F 'oo9in@ to @lobaliLe e2istin@soft#areKI. (intellectual property

    F CustomiLin@ proJects for multipleclients

    #BIT argin Impro!m!nt$

    4un- o6

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    Argum!nt IIIH Incr!a$ing Gro/th Through5A

    11Sources: Capital IQ, !uity /esearc /eport,

    F F Comm!rcia" ar!tPmana@ement sees CI as bein@

    relatively under:inde2edF F !d!ra" ar!tH mana@ementsees opportunities at attractivevaluations and the company hassi@nicant e2perience

    F Estimated O=bn in acDuisitions overne2t 5 year can add O? to O00 in shareprice

    F *ana@ement sees @ro#th in "ustralia#here there are similarities to Canada04 years a@o in terms of the sta@e inmar9et consolidation

    F CE& *ichael 8oach set on doublin@

    siLe of CI in 5 to < yearsF $alf of @ro#th from acDuisitions, other

    half from acDuisitionsF Increased focus on corporate

    development practicesF %o hostile ta9eovers typically in

    industry H so deals may ta9e years todevelop

    F or e2ample, 'o@ica #as planned since?44< for its ?40? acDuisition

    F *ana@ement rarely pays over 0 2revenue and tar@ets acDuisitions that#ill be accretive in rst year

    F *ana@ement loo9in@ to @ro# I.

    revenues from 0=M today to 34MF .roprietary soft#are is attractive to

    CI because it drives stic9ier revenueF &vers hi@h mar@ins ?4:64M vs! mid:

    teensF %iche soft#are could provide CI #ith

    preferred status for biddin@ forcontracts

    ummar Gro/ing IP 4!!nu!$

    F !d!ra" ar!t andComm!rcia" ar!t$

    Au$tra"ia

    Pa$t Tran$action$

    Acuire#

    O3,660!?0mma 1, 2012

    Acuire#

    O0,4=3!>0mmAug. 1', 2010

    A t I= B d P iti i 5 t

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    Argum!nt I=H Brand Po$itioning 5 ar!t?ominanc!

    12Sources: Capital IQ, ni4com, .ranam

    F *oved from = to ? in ICT ran9in@surpassin@ the 7i@ ThreeR

    F Competitors have little room to @ro#

    into CIs shareF *+" has lo# focus on professional

    servicesF $eld top ICT .rofessional -ervices

    .osition for 04 years

    Top ICT$ in Canada

    Top ICT Pro6!$$iona" !ric!$ *4!!nu!

    Gro/th

    Company %ame ICT [email protected] *ar9et Cap

    7lac9berry 0 : 5!3;7CI roup ? 0 04!>7-ha# Communications < : 00!

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    =a"uation @ Pu*"ic Compan Compara*"!$

    1Sources: Capital IQ

    F CGIH Tra#in% at a relatie #iscount to all multiples

    K! to ot!HF %o dividend yield in comparison to peersF $i@her C *ar@in MF se of international comparables #ith similar mar9et cap

    Comm!ntar

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    Cata"$t$

    1Sources: Capital IQ, !uity /esearc /eports

    F 'ast acDuisition in ?40? of 'o@ica led

    to O644 million in annual realiLedsyner@ies

    F Gith free cash No# and O53= millionin cash, it is li9ely a similar acDuisition#ill be made in ?405

    F 7een e2cellent at identifyin@,purchasin@, and inte@rationacDuisitions!

    F enerated free cash No# of perviousacDuisition in less than ? yearsF 'i9ely to be @oin@ after - commercial

    mar9et

    F European economy rampin@ up andoutloo9 is stren@thenin@

    F Gill lead to increase in revenue )05for 'o@ica, one of CIs earlieracDuisitions that operates in Europe

    F ro#th in economy #ill help increaserecurrin@ revenue, mostly caused bysi@nin@ lon@er term contracts

    Fpcoming Pot!ntia" Ac;ui$ition$

    #conomic 4!co!r

    4!!nu! Br!ado/n

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    4i$$

    1%Sources: !uity /esearc /eports

    F 55:=4M of revenue for -

    operation from -@overnment

    F 06M of total revenue

    F Chan@e in @overnmentspendin@ could impact CIseverely

    F overnment ridloc9

    ?!partur! o6anag!m!nt

    F Go. p!nding

    F .lan to double siLe of CI in

    5:< years

    F *aJority of ro#th from *S"

    F Challen@e ndin@ accretiveacDuisitions

    F CI could fail to meet@ro#th e2pectations

    Fna*"! to DndAc;ui$ition Targ!t

    F Company based on information andinfrastructure

    F E2posed to loss of +ata, unauthoriLedaccess, and destruction of data

    F "ny breach in CI can be detrimental toCIs reputation

    F Impactin@ their ability to obtain orretain clients

    F CI 8eports results in Canadian +ollars

    F *aJority of revenues and costs are in forei@ncurrencies

    F -tron@ Canadian dollar relative to othercurrencies could ne@atively impact nancialperformance

    In6ormation

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    ummar - Pric! Targ!t

    1'Sources: Capital IQ

    Indicati! =a"uation Graph Imp"i!d 4!turn

    E1 K E7IT+" 'T*

    E1 K E7IT+" ?406E

    E1 K E7IT+" ?405E

    . K E ?406E

    . K E ?405E

    E1 K 8evenue ?406E

    E1 K 8evenue ?405E

    O50!=0

    O6;!35

    O6;!

    O63!>0

    O6

    O53!>6

    O53!?=

    O53!4?

    O6;!>3

    O50!Ana"$t Pric! Targ!t$ Capita"iation Ta*"!

    -hare .rice O63!>5+il! -hares &K- 300!4ar!tCapita"iation L1,'7.

    : Cash S EDuivalents O535!< Total +ebt O?,=;4!=

    .ref! EDuity : *inority Interest :M Tota" #= L1%,72.

    Current -hare .rice O66!36

    Targ!t har! Pric! L%0.00EDuity pside 0?!>M+ividend )ield :ugg!$t!d 4!turn 12.N

    +esJardins Capital *ar9ets

    87C Capital *ar9ets

    -alman partners

    Credit -uisse

    8aymond ames

    &ur Tar@et .rice

    O6=!44

    O6

    O65

    O6>!44

    O6;!44

    O54!44


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