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Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and
Freight TransportationIndicators
Last updated 7.27.11
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 2
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
IntroductionThe following report is a compilation of economic and freight transportation indicators. Our intent is to offer an easy reference tool for the purpose of collaborative conversation on trends in the economy and freight transportation. The report will review figures in the following categories: 1. The General Economy2. Trucking 3. Air4. U.S. Rail Transportation 5. Global Forwarding
The information and positions set forth in this Quarterly Summary Report are gathered from independent third parties and are, to C.H. Robinson’s knowledge, based on accurate transportation industry and economic market indicator information. Readers of this Quarterly Summary Report should understand that many factors can and may quickly and significantly influence and change such transportation industry and/or economic market indicator information. These factors can not be accurately identified and/or forecasted within this Quarterly Summary Report. Quarterly Summary Report readers should consider other sources of information when making decisions regarding the economic and freight transportation indicators.
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 3
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 1 GROSS DOMESTIC
PRODUCT
Percent change from preceding period in real gross domestic product
seasonally adjusted at annual rates
Next release date July 29, 2011
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis June 24, 2011
FIGURE 2 U.S. GDP GROWTH:
Q1 2004 – Q4 2011Source: Rail Time Indicators Report
July 11, 2011
General Economic Indicators
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 4
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 3 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Two years Not seasonally adjusted
Next release date August 18, 2011
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics July 15, 2011
FIGURE 4 RETAIL SALES
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variation and
holiday and trading-day differences, but not for
price changes
Next release date August 12, 2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau July 14, 2011
Journal of Commerce June 20, 2011
General Economic Indicators Continued
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
U.S. Retail Inventory to Sales Ratio
Blue: 2008 All Items Dk Purple: 2008 All Items Without Food and Energy Pink: 2009 All Items Maroon: 2009 All Items Without Food and Energy Yellow: 2010 All Items Teal: 2010 All Items Without Food and Energy Lt Blue: 2011 All Items Lt Purple: 2011 All Items Without Food and Energy
U.S. Census Bureau July 14, 2011
Journal of Commerce June 20, 2011
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 5
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 6 JOC-ECONOMIC CYCLE RESEARCH INSTITUTE
INDUSTRIAL PRICE INDEX
12 month index of a broad assortment of
raw materials used in industrial production
Considered a leading indicator of inflation rates
Source: Journal of Commerce July 8, 2011
General Economic Indicators Continued
FIGURE 5 ECONOMIC ACTIVITY FOR
THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR
Key manufacturing indexes providing
indication of trends and length of trends
Next release date August 1, 2011
Source: Institute for Supply ManagementTM
July 1, 2011
*Number of months moving in current direction
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 6
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
General Economic Indicators Continued
FIGURE 7 U.S. DIESEL PRICES
Source: US Energy Information Administration July 14, 2011
Journal of Commerce July 11, 2011
Journal of Commerce July 11, 2011
US Energy Information Administration July 14, 2011
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 7
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 9 SPOT MARKET
FREIGHT INDEX
Data represents change week over week,
month over month, and year over year.
Source: TransCore Trendlines July 14, 2011
FIGURE 8 TRANSPORTATION
SERVICES INDEX
The Freight TSI measures the month-to-month
changes in freight shipments in ton-miles,
which are then combined into one index.
Next release date August 10, 2011
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
May 2011
Trucking Indicators
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 8
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 10 CASS FREIGHT INDEX
Index of freight spend and shipments
Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. July 1, 2011
Trucking Indicators Continued
ExpendituresShipments
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 9
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 11 STEPHENS TRUCKLOAD
AND LTL INDEXES
TKLD Indexes based on comparison of publicly
available information from a small set of
large truckload carriers. Numbers shown in the
top chart are an index and are not rate per mile.
Produced quarterlySource: Stephens Inc. Q1 2011
Trucking Indicators Continued
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 10
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 13 NEW TRUCK
ORDER ACTIVITYSource: Freight Transportation
Research Associates July 2011
FIGURE 14 TRUCKING
BANKRUPTCIESSource: Freight Transportation
Research Associates July 2011
Trucking Indicators Continued
FIGURE 12 TRUCK DRIVER
PAY INDEX
Index of truck driver pay trend and comparison
Produced quarterlySource: Morgan Stanley Research
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 11
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 15 ACTIVE TRUCK
UTILIZATIONSource: Freight Transportation
Research Associates July 2011
Trucking Indicators Continued
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 12
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 16 INTERNATIONAL
AIR FREIGHTSource: Journal of Commerce
May 2011
Air Indicator
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 13
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 17 U.S. RAIL CARGO
Weekly year over year percent change and week
to week percent change
Three charts—Trailer (TOFC), Carload (Box Car),
Container (COFC)
Source: Journal of Commerce July 2, 2011
U.S. Rail Transportation Indicators
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 14
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
FIGURE 18 U.S. FOREIGN TRADE
U.S. Census Summary of export and import trade in
millions of dollarsSource: Journal of Commerce
June 13, 2011
Global Forwarding Indicators
© 2011 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 15
Quarterly Summary of Key Economic and Freight Transportation Indicators July 2011
Source Summary
Figure Chart Source Release Frequency
FIGURE 1 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BEA Website Monthly
FIGURE 2 U.S. GDP GROWTH: Q1 2004 – Q4 2011 Rail Time Indicators Report Monthly
FIGURE 3 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX BLS Website Monthly
FIGURE 4 RETAIL SALES US Census Bureau WebsiteJune 20, 2011
Monthly
FIGURE 5 ECONOMIC ACTIVITY FOR THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR ISM Website Monthly
FIGURE 6 JOC-ECRI INDUSTRIAL PRICE INDEX JOC 7/8/2011 Weekly
FIGURE 7 U.S. DIESEL PRICES US Energy Information Administration 7/14/2011 JOC 7/11/2011
Weekly
FIGURE 8 TRANSPORTATION SERVICES INDEX BTS Website Monthly
FIGURE 9 SPOT MARKET FREIGHT INDEX www.transcoretrendlines.com Weekly
FIGURE 10 CASS FREIGHT INDEX Cass Website Monthly
FIGURE 11 STEPHENS LOADED TRUCKLOAD RATE/M*ILE INDEX Stephens, Inc., Q1 2011 May 2011 Quarterly
FIGURE 12 TRUCK DRIVER PAY INDEX Morgan Stanley Research Monthly
FIGURE 13 NEW TRUCK ORDER ACTIVITY FTR Associates Monthly
FIGURE 14 TRUCKING BANKRUPTCIES FTR Associates Monthly
FIGURE 15 ACTIVE TRUCK UTILIZATION FTR Associates Monthly
FIGURE 16 INTERNATIONAL AIR JOC May 2011 Weekly
FIGURE 17 U.S. RAIL CARGO JOC 7/2/2011 Weekly
FIGURE 18 U.S. FOREIGN TRADE JOC 7/13/2011 Monthly