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RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

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Description of the Work Package 2
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WP2 : Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction : Objective: develop and implement a system for estimation and forecasting of fine-scale (100m, minutes) rainfall •Rainfall estimation : combining data from radars (X & C-band) and rain gauges •Rainfall forecasting : combining with numerical weather prediction implement and test for pilot sites (Leuven, Paris, Rotterdam, London) applicable for urban areas of North-West Europe: guidelines, demonstrations, training, …
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Page 1: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

WP2 : Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction :

Objective: develop and implement a system for estimation and forecasting of fine-scale (100m, minutes) rainfall•Rainfall estimation: combining data from radars (X & C-band) and rain gauges•Rainfall forecasting: combining with numerical weather prediction

implement and test for pilot sites (Leuven, Paris, Rotterdam, London)applicable for urban areas of North-West Europe: guidelines, demonstrations, training, …

Page 2: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

WP2 : Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction :

Applications (see WP3, WP4):

•Rainfall estimation: enable city water managers to develop reliable urban water strategies, including plans for urban flood prevention and pollution management•Rainfall forecasting: allow local city managers to forecast, warn about and control urban pluvial impacts at street level in real time

Page 3: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

WP2 : Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction :

Actions:

Output: Report on methods for

fine-scale rainfall

estimation

Output: Rainfall

estimates for storms

in pilot sites

Output: Manuals for developed

technology + training

Output: Report on

methods for fine-scale

rainfall forecasting

WP2

A5 Workshop on radar

technology, calibration and

rainfall estimation

A6 Rainfall

estimation in pilot

sites

A8 Implementation

and testing of rainfall

forecasting in pilot sites

A7 Workshop on rainfall forecasting

A9 Writing guidelines,

manuals and training material

Output: Operational system for

rainfall forecasting in

pilot sites

Page 4: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

WP2 : Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction :

Actions:

WP2 A5 & A6: Rainfall estimation•A5: Leuven workshop on radar technology, calibration and rainfall estimation (M3)

Outcome: recommended methods for fine-scale rainfall estimation

•A6: rainfall estimation in pilot sitesOutcomes: fine-scale rainfall estimates for recent storms in pilot sites

+ comparison with traditional rainfall estimates (without radar)

Page 5: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

WP2 : Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction :

Actions:

WP2 A5 & A6: Rainfall estimation

Subtopics addressed:•Radar calibration and adjustment based on rain gauge data•Different calibration/adjustment methods•Comparison & integration of fine-scale (X-band, city scale; super-resolution C-band) with rain gauge and coarser (NWE-scale) C-band radar data•Rainfall estimation error/uncertainty analysis•Interfacing with the applications in WP3 & WP4

Page 6: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

WP2 : Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction :

Actions:

WP2 A7 & A8: Rainfall forecasting•A7: London workshop on rainfall forecasting (M6)

Outcome: recommended methods for fine-scale rainfall forecasting

•A8: implementation for pilot sitesOutcomes: operational system for fine-scale rainfall forecasting in

pilot sites + results for min. 10 extreme storms

Page 7: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

WP2 : Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction :

Actions:

WP2 A7 & A8: Rainfall forecasting (short-term forecasting = nowcasting)

Subtopics addressed:•Combination of (fine and coarse scale) radar data with Numerical Weather Prediction (provided by national meteo services)•Use of lightning detection data•Advective-statistical forecast model•Spatial and temporal downscaling•Error/uncertainty estimation in function of forecast lead time / probabilistic forecasts•Interfacing with the applications in WP3 & WP4

Page 8: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

WP2 : Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction :

Actions:

WP2 A9: GuidelinesOutcome: reference and user’s manuals on developed technologies

for rainfall estimation and forecastingTraining and dissemination during National Observer Meetings

Page 9: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

WP2: Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction:

Timing:

WP2 A5: rainfall estimation workshop Leuven: autumn 2012WP2 A6: autumn 2012 – spring 2014: all pilot sitesWP2 A7: rainfall forecasting workshop London: spring 2014WP2 A8: spring 2014 – spring 2015: all pilot sitesWP2 A9: once a year: National Observer Meetings

Page 10: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

WP2: Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction:

Workshop participants:

workshop Leuven: about 20 radar expertsworkshop London: about 20 radar + NWP experts local workshops pilot sites: about 20 end users: city flood

managers, water managers, consultants and industrial partners

Page 11: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven

Brussels

10 km

Leuven case

Aquafin &K.U.Leuven

X-band radar installed since 2008 City LAWR (DHI) Site selection based

on clutter tests Experience with calibration

Page 12: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Other fine-scale radar projects in Europe

Denmark:

X-band LAWR radar Aalborg Comparison of different calibration procedures (incl. dynamic calibration) Impact on urban drainage

Page 13: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Other fine-scale radar projects in Europe

France – Lyon:

C-band radar located in the close vicinity Rain gauges vs. radar Study of intense rain cells Impact on urban drainage

Page 14: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Other fine-scale radar projects in Europe

France – Southern Alps: (RHyTMME project)

Local X band radar network (4 radars, 2 operational) Installed in mountainous area prone to orographically-induced flooding Gap filling function in ARAMIS (C and S band network)

Page 15: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Other fine-scale radar projects outside Europe

USA:

CASA (Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere) Local X band network (moving from Oklahoma “Tornado

Alley” to Fort Dallas in 2012)

Page 16: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Other fine-scale radar projects in Europe

USA:

Comparison polarimetric X-band vs. S-band Impact on catchment runoff

Page 17: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Other fine-scale radar projects outside Europe

Japan:

X-NET Nationwide X-band Polarimetric Radar Network

(26 radars cover about 80% of the total population)

Page 18: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven
Page 19: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven case BELGIUM

Contributors from Belgium:

• Patrick Willems, K.U.Leuven

• Johan Van Assel, Aquafin

• Maarten Reyniers, Laurent Delobbe,

Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium

Page 20: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven

Brussels

10 km

City of Leuven: urban drainage system of the villages Herent, Wisele & Wijgmaal

Leuven case

Page 21: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven caseCity of Leuven: urban drainage system of the villages Herent, Wisele & Wijgmaal

Area: 9.13 km2

# people: 16,100

9 tipping bucket rain gauges

In-sewer measurements:Water level + velocity in 2 pipes

Water level at 3 overflows

+ water level in river

Page 22: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven caseTipping bucket rain gauges: calibration

Page 23: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven caseTipping bucket rain gauges: correction wind influence:

May05 Sep05 Jan06 May06 Sep06 Jan07 May07 Sep07 Jan080

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

date

cum

. dai

ly p

rec.

(m

m)

RMI

TBR 1

TBR 2TBR 1 corrected

TBR 2 corrected

TBR 2

TBR 1

Page 24: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven caseX-band radar installed since 2008: City LAWR (DHI)

Page 25: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven case

25

ProvinciehuisRWZI Bierbeek Res. RiversideEcowerf

Micro Radar

Clutter tests

Page 26: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven caseBeam cut-off

Page 27: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven caseX-band radar image

Page 28: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven caseX-band radar calibration

Page 29: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven caseX-band radar calibration

G (

mm

/h)

Page 30: RainGain program - Work Package 2 - by Patrick Willems - KU Leuven

Leuven case

• SP C-band radars– Wideumont (RMI)– Zaventem

(Belgocontrol)

• DP C-band radar:– from beginning

2012 in Jabbeke

(Delobbe et al., 2006)


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