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7/30/2019 Rapid Transit and Surrey's Needs Presentation EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Rapid transit and Surreys needsExamining the modal shift in TransLinksSurrey Rapid Transit Study alternatives
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What is:Mode shareModal shift
Mode share descr
number of trips or ptravelers using a partransportation. Oftepercentage of walkipublic transit, and a
Modal shift can dbetween transporta
a shift from driving tbe influenced by sevi.e. cost of driving, nlines, personal choic
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Current modal split+ 2040 targetsSurrey and area
Poor transit optdiscouraging tra
Current transit mSurrey and area
84% of trips ma
2041 modal shifreduces car trip
Source: Surrey Rapid Tran
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Increasing car use is aproblem for SurreyandMetro Vancouver
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Vehicle registrations growth 1999-2013
Surrey + White Rock Vancouver
Burnaby + New West Tri-Cities
Richmond Langley
North + West Van Maple Ridge + Pitt Meadows
Fa20
Sur
49
Lan
38
M.R
37
Reg
24
Tri-
23
Bur
18
Van
15Data source: Metro Vancouver, ICBC
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Increasing car use is aproblem for SurreyandMetro Vancouver
Vehicle reg. growpopulation increa
Population increaamong fastest in
70% of [upcominMetro Vancouverin the South of Fr
Both outpace roaincrease each yea
Impacts to congeeconomy, health,
Modal shift to traand cycling are a
3%
4.30%
0.65%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
Growth rate in %
Surrey growth rates
Avg. annual population increase (2001-11)
Avg. annual vehicle reg. increase (2001-11)
Avg. annual lane-km increase (2007-10)
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Problems ofincreased car useand car ownership
Graphic c
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Surrey RapidTransit StudyFinal 4
Alternatives
7/30/2019 Rapid Transit and Surrey's Needs Presentation EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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Study admits thatno option will meetmodal-shift targets
All alternatives will attract few newtransit trips
Most alternatives will shift bus trips rather than a
This includes SkyTrain to Langley and full LRT ne
Source: Final Analysis PDF page 17
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2040 mode sharepredictions for finalalternativesvs. regional goal
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
BRT
network
LRT to
Langley +BRT
Full LRT
network
RRT to
Langley +BRT
Regional
goal
2041 mode-shares
(AM peak hour)
Transit + walking + cycling % (region)
Transit + walking + cycling % (study area) All alternatithan 20% sh
goal for trancycling
Remaining t(over 70%) i
Metro Vancaverage mohit 50% goa
(Surrey, etc)be lower thVancouver
Source: Final Analysi
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Demand-sidemeasures vs.regional goal
TDM (transpmanagemen28% increasshare compa
Alternatives
despite demor TDM if waequivalent mtransit.
Walking + cyextremely ufor regional
TDM scenargrowth (aborelated costshorten on aincreasing dwalking & cy
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
BRT network LRT to Langley
+ BRT
RRT to Langley
+ BRT
Regional goal
2041 study area mode-shares with TDM
(AM peak hour, to/from/within)
Transit % Transit + walking + cycling %
Source: Final Anal
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ComparisonProposed Surrey bus networkvs. 2006 Vancouver network(bus networks after 20 years ofrapid transit)
All rapid transit alternatives to be complemented with BAU trSource: Final Analysis PDF page 242-245
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ComparisonProposed Surrey bus networkvs. 2006 Vancouver network(bus networks after 20 years ofrapid transit)
Surrey 2041 bus nbe far more estabVancouvers 2006routes to maintaservice within 15Surrey/SOF after transit.
Busy Vancouver bof frequent transi2006 (i.e. 20 yearsincluded: 17, 25, 4
Vancouver bus ronot existbefore 2
Many Vancouver years after rapid tprovide service wpeak hour (26, 27,
Mode share goalsVancouver for intin 2006 are not myears of rapid tranmore established Source: Final Analysis PDF page 242-245,
TransLink 2008 press releaseCPTDB Wiki on CMBC bus routes
Full tables on final analysis PDF page 242-245
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The Reality ofthe currentSurrey rapidtransit proposals
Modal shift rate on all proposed Surrey Rapid Transit optfall short of targets, in spite of transportation demand
Because of this, all Surrey Rapid Transit options do not fstudy objectives despite that TransLink has misleadingobjectives are met with the final 4 options
Study area anticipated mode-share to be lower than reaverage; additional sustainable mode share in South of for modal shift goal to be met across the Metro Vancouv
City of Surrey will require millions of dollars to deal with
+ its implications on community safety, health, etc. as a not enough investment in rapid transit
New options need to be created that make a bigger imcreate more modal shift to transit in order to fully addre
7/30/2019 Rapid Transit and Surrey's Needs Presentation EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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City of Surrey:Rapid Transit Now
City of Surrey is in support of city-wide LRT network (LRT
and opposed to any SkyTrain alternative Basis of supporting LRT is largely based around shaping
growth as opposed to addressing transportation issues
All rail rapid transit types effective at growth-shaping; mby Council and staff ignore growth attraction potential o
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City of SurreyLRT proposalLRT1
Surrey Mayorsee Light Railcorridors fromto Guildford, and Newton.
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Study areamode-sharewith LRT1 alt.
Evident that mogoals will not be
with full LRT net
550.00%
Regional
Transit, walking and
73.09%
15.01%
11.90%
26.91%
2041 study area mode shares
with LRT1
(AM peak hour,
to/from/within)
Auto Transit Walking/Cycling Source: Final Analysis P
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LRT benefits vscosts
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
MILLIONS
LRT1 Benefits-Costs
Benefits Net Costs Final Net Present Value
LRT1 estimatednot exceed cost
Taxpayers to pain costs for $1.1 benefits. Net lo
Sources: Final Analysis PDF pages 349-369
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The Reality ofthe Surrey LRTproposal
City vision for LRT will bring and shape smart growth;completely fails to address transportation issues, incauto use growth rate in Metro Van
City of Surrey must change its rapid transit vision to transportation issues
City of Surrey will require millions of dollars to deal wi
use + its implications on community safety, health, etcoff for not enough investment in rapid transit
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The Solution isbigger than LRT
Much bigger solution is needed for Surrey
SkyTrain expansion is needed on all 3 proposed corrconsistent area-wide modal shift to meet goals
Above: two proposals being worked on by Better Surr
7/30/2019 Rapid Transit and Surrey's Needs Presentation EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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The Solution isbigger than LRT
Much bigger solution is needed for Surrey
SkyTrain expansion will require more infrastructure & affvisual concerns must be put aside in favour of addressin
Above: conceptual image of median SkyTrain station fro
7/30/2019 Rapid Transit and Surrey's Needs Presentation EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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SkyTrain isbetter transit
SkyTrain(grade-separated
Full grade segrebetter reliabilit
Current SkyTrathan 96% on-t
Higher speed (
Higher capacit
potential to debeyond 2041
Better off-peafrequencies du
Light Rail Transit(at-grade rail transit)
At-grade running meansinterfacing with other vehicles,pedestrians; risky environmentmay compromise reliability
All at-grade transit governed byspeed of road (50-60km/h)
Accidents blocking track cause
full disruption (i.e. accident atKGB & 88th will cause an LRTclosure until cleared)
Higher cost may lead to lower off-peak operating frequencies
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SkyTrain attractsmore riders ontotransit
New transit trips with LRT5a(LRT on Fraser Highway + BRT)
Alternative has total dailyridership of178,000 in 2041
4250 passengers peak load onFraser Highway
Just 12,500 new daily transittrips across region
Just 1.4 billion vehicle kmtravelled reduction to 2041
New transit trips w(RRT on Fraser Hig
Alternative has toridership of202,0
6600 passengersFraser Highway
24,500 new dailyacross region
2.4 billion vehicletravelled reducti
SkyTrain attracts 2x as many new tra
Sources: Final Analysis PDF page 171
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SkyTrain attractsmore riders ontotransit
Canada Line SkyTrOpened in August 2009
Original projectiodaily ridership of 1and 141,000 by 20
Summer 2011 ride136,000 daily (weboardings)
Averaged growth68000 riders year
Portland MAX LRT 85kmOpened 1986, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2009
MAX LRT lines have often notgenerated ridership meetingprojections
Total MAX system ridership in2011 was recorded at 132,500daily (weekday boardings)
Averaged growth rate: approx.5100 riders yearly
Sources: TransLink media releases
TriMet ridership data (Portland)
Canada Line has more riders in 3 yeaentire MAX LRT system has in 26 y
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SkyTrain riderscare abouttravel times
2011 Canada Linfound trip speemost liked aspe
Trip speed garnlikes than next-(system cleanlinalmost 3x
Survey found mfrequency ridersvalued frequenc
Survey found ovwas least liked aCanada Line (i.eimportant to rid
Source: Satisfaction with Canada Line and Connecting Buses survey by TransLink & NRG Research Group
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LRT vs SkyTrainridership projections
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
King George Blvd to
Newton
Fraser Highway
2041 forecast peak load(passengers per hour per direction)
Bus Rapid Transit Light Rail Transit SkyTrain
Average ridershSkyTrain over L53% on both co
Indicates commridership estimaused, can be ext
other corridors
Sources: Final Analysis PDF page 171
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LRT vs SkyTrainbenefits
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
BRT network LRT to Langley+ BRT
Full LRTnetwork
SkyTrain toLangley + BRT
Millions
Life-cycle cost returns of alternatives
Travel Time Savings Other Travel Benefits
Auto Operating Cost Savinsg Collission Cost Savings
Fare revenue GHG emissions
Travel time
for SkyTraiBRT exceeother BRT
SkyTrain togenerates the cost reLangley + B
SkyTrain gtravel timeas LRT
Sources: Final Analysis PDF pages 349-369
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SkyTrain canshape growth
More than $8
developmentRichmond witthrough Canad
Strict coordinato control groSkyTrain line
Innovative an
coordinated ldirects develoseveral chara
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Slow transit doesnt make peoplelive slower lives. Instead, it makes
people use their cars because thosebecome the only way to access thecity quickly
Jarrett WalkerPublic Transit Planning Consultant, author of Human Transit
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How to makeSkyTrain amore feasibleoption
Discussing this can help address concerns about cost
Potential ways to address cost issue could include: separate liinfrastructure but shorter (3-car?) trains and stations (Better
side-running (to avoid median utility relocation), alternate aliCentral-Guildford), over-street stations without mezzanines, parking lots (i.e. at Willowbrook), funding participation from d
Potential ways to address visual issue could include: shorter tover-street stations without mezzanines, build stations over pWillowbrook), guideway profile/construction method (i.e. ExpLine), integration tactics as with Canada Line in Richmond
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This is whatSurrey reallyneeds.
SkyTrain (grade-separated rapid transit) presents bet
opportunity for modal shift goals to be met
City of Surrey must change its rapid transit vision to transportation issues. New rapid transit vision will reqincorporation ofgrade-separated rapid transit to me
City-wide SkyTrain expansion introduces potential to more billions of dollars in benefits than city-wide LR
City of Surrey should explore how SkyTrain can be mafeasible option (addressing cost + visual concerns)
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Better SurreyRapid Transit
Daryl Dela Cruz Campaign Director and Exec of StatBenedic Dasalla Exec of Marketing & Communicatio
Neo Caines Exec of Infrastructure Analysis
This presentation was brought to you by advocates foRapid Transit.
Better Surrey Rapid Transit will continue to advocate f
meeting mode-share goals and addressing transportaif the City of Surrey does not correspond with these co
Website: skytrainforsurrey.org
Email us: [email protected]
http://skytrainforsurrey.org/mailto:infoskytrainforsurrey.orgmailto:infoskytrainforsurrey.orghttp://skytrainforsurrey.org/7/30/2019 Rapid Transit and Surrey's Needs Presentation EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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Thank youWe look forward to an improved outlook for Surreysforthcoming transportation issues and thank you for listening.