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Ras Group Full Year Results 2005
March 13th, 2006
Agenda
• Full year results 2005
• P+C business
• Life business
• PFS business
• Capital Allocation
Group
Full Year Results 2005
4
Group
Growth in consolidated Premiums (+1.6%) driven by Life production in Italy (in particular through Agents and Financial Advisors) and by a 2.3% P+C growth, substantially aligned with the market
Combined Ratio improvement overall (-60 b.p.), mainly due to a 100 b.p. decrease in Italy
Increase in Life New Business Value (+14.9%), also thanks to expansion of recurring-premium products in Italy
Increase in Group Net Income to Euro 905 million (+27.9%), reflecting good operating results and positive impact of investment income
Shareholder value grows to Euro 8.478 (+14.9%) due to an increase of 10,2% in Life and 19,6% in P+C
FY05 Results
5
2005
16,392 +1.6%
97.3 -60bp
905 +27.9%
14.6 +220bp
24.4 +370bp
0.88 +10.0%
Group
2004
16,132
97.9
708
12.4
20.7
0.80
209 +14.9%182
Mln euro - IAS/IFRS
Premiums
P+C combined ratio (%)
Life NBV
Group net income
ROE (%)
RORAC (%)
Dividends (PS)
2005 Highlights
growth
6
Gross premiums writtenMln euro - Direct and Indirect Business
Group
+ 1.1%Life GPW + Inv. Contracts YoY growth
+ 2.3%
Abroad
Italy
2004 2005
7,463
4,039
3,425
+2.2%
+2.4%7,297
3,952
3,345
8,929(1)
7,209
1,720
+3.2%
- 7.0%
2004 2005
8,834
6,984
1,850
P+C GPWYoY growth
(1) Includes euro 4,825 million of Investment Contracts, of which euro 4,719 million in Italy and euro 106 million abroad
7
2004 2005Mln euro - IAS/IFRS
Net Premiums and management fees
YoY
Earnings before taxes & minorities
Claims & Change in Technical Reserves
Taxes and minorities
Group Net Income
Group
Net financial income
Operating expenses
Other Income & Charges
Statutory results IAS/IFRS
- 9,438
10,727 + 2,5%
1,135 + 29.3%
- 427
708 + 27.9%
- 9,824
10,999
1,467
- 562
905
1,969 2,378
- 2,012 - 2,050
-111 -36
+4.1%
+1.9%
+20.8%
8
Total Shareholder Value
2004 2005
1,837(2)
4,084
...
Life and PFS Embedded Value (1)
3,7062,127
In-force Value
EV Nav
2004 2005 2004 2005
….
5,512
8,478
6,351
1.869
2,127
P+C Net Asset Value
Total ShareholderValue
+14.9%
1,957
4,394
3,675
1,869Adj.
Shareholder Equity
7,381
(1) Tillinghast has provided an independent opinion on and review of the EEV
Mln euro - net of minority interests, taxes and cost of capital
Group
(2) Compared to 2004 Euro 143 mln are restated to P+C as “holdings” are all moved to P+C segment
+10.2% +19.6%
P+C Business
10
GroupFY05 Results
Premiums growth of 2.3% through selective underwriting policy; 60 b.p. improvement in combined ratio despite impact of floods in Switzerland and Austria
Growth in Italy led by non-motor lines (+5.4%), which benefited from strong performance in “Personal” and “SME” lines (+6.1%), through significant marketing efforts mainly in Agencies
Combined ratio improvement in Italy (-100 b.p.) through selective growth in Motor business and cost control
Sizeable improvement in net profit (17.3 million euro) at Genialloyd
11
Other countries
Italy
Mln euro - direct + indirect business
2004 2005
P+C GPWYoY growth
+2.3%
Group
Switzerland
Spain
Austria
GPWYoY
growth
Portugal
Focus by country
Total P+C GPW
7,463
4,039
3,425
+2.2%
+2.4%7,297
3,952
3,345
+2.2%
+6.3%
+1.0%
1,281
905
934
- 3.5%304
12
Combined Ratio Group
Group Consolidated
Combined Ratio (1)
Focus by Country - %
Switzerland(2)
Spain
Austria(2)
Italy
(1) Net of reinsurance business, including “other technical items”, calculated on Net Earned premiums
2004 2005
97.9%97.3%
98.3
100.2
98.6
91.5
2004
98.9%97.3
101.2
99.4
91.2
IT-GAAP IAS - IFRS
IT-GAAP IAS - IFRS
99.1
101.4
100.0
92.6
(2) The combined ratio in Switzerland and Austria reflected the negative impact of floods, for 56 million euro and 9 million euro respectively. Net of these effects, the combined ratio was 96.6% and 98.2% respectively.
13
Total P+C GPW
Motor
Non-Motor
Mln euro - direct business
P+C GPWYoY growth
+2.6%
Italy
Combined ratio - % Focus by LoB
Total
Motor
Non Motor
97.398.3
FY04IAS - IFRS4,021
1,551
2,470
+5.4%
+0.9%
2004 2005
3,920
1,472
2,448
FY05IAS - IFRS
99.0
95.7
99.8
97.1
14
Mln euro - Direct Business
Genialloyd Italy
ResultsGPWYoY growth
+7.3%
203
218 Combined ratio 90.7%
2004 2005
Expense ratio 14.7%
Net Income 17.3
2004 2005
96.5%
17.0%
12.0
15
Life Business
16
Group
Growth led by Italy (+3.2%). Performance abroad (-7.0%) influenced by an extraordinary single premium in Spain in 2004 and by a different consolidation perimeter in Austria and Spain
Strong performance by Agents (+29.5%) and Financial Advisors (+32.6%) in Italy, with focus on recurring-premium products (+24.4%). Agency re-organisation produced significant results
Negligible slowdown in the bancassurance channel (-2.4%), due to downturn in single premiums at Allianz Subalpina. Performance steady at Creditras, with good progress in recurring premiums (+10.9%)
Significant increase in New Business Value in Italy (+15.4%); bancassurance channel achieves higher margin target through a different business mix
FY05 Results
17
Mln euro
Switzerland
Spain(2)
Austria(1)
Mln euro
YoY growth (2)
Life GPW + Inv. ContractsYoY growth
+ 1.1 %
Life GPW
Portugal
Group
Abroad
Italy
8.929
7,209
1,720
+3.2%
- 7.0%
2004 2005
8.834
6,984
1,850
(1) With the adoption of IAS-IFRS, Pensionkasse is no longer consolidated; the YoY change on a like-for-like basis was +2.4% for Austria
(2) With the adoption of IAS-IFRS, Amaya is no longer consolidated; the YoY change on a like-for-like basis was -21.6%. Furthermore in 2004 Spain recorded an extraordinary single premium for 163 million euro for outsourcing of the Banco Popular Espanol pension fund
- 0,2%
- 23,1%
- 13,8%
1.057
236
343
- 2,4%83
18
Italy
Mln euro - Individual policies
Ras
669
Growth %
Life new business volumes A
gen
tsFA
sB
an
ks
2004
2005
434
2004
2005
4,263
2004
2005
Mkt (1)
Mkt share %
2005
+29.5 +18 7.2
+32.6 -23 12.9
-2.4 +15 10.5
(1) Source: ANIA new business premium
2004
6.6
7.8
12.4
517
327
4,368
19
Life new business – Agents & FAs
+33.9%
+32.3%
FAsYoY growth +32.6%
327
434
52
70
275
364
844
180
664
1,103
224
879
+32.4%
+24.4%
2004 2005
TotalYoY growth +30.7%
2004 2005
517
669
128
154
389515
+20.5%
+32.4%
AgentsYoY growth +29.5%
Annual Premium
Single Premium
Mln euro - Individual policies
Italy
20
High potential
Agencies Upgrading
Top
Small medium
2005
38%
100%
32%
30%
2004
45%
100%
27%
28% 2005 recruitment
Team Manager
Life Specialist
2004
Total
2005
New entries (net)
156
2,814
33
220
Number
%
+21%
+8%
Ras Agencies 880 827
RAS SpA
21
Results by Agency segment
Life New Business
312 +38%
+18%135
2004 2005
Top
High potential
2004 2005
•Recurrent
•Single
+25%
+25%
+42%
+16%
New Business growth
227
114
RAS SpA
•Recurrent
•Single
Mln euro - Individual policies
22
Bancassurance: new business premiums ItalyMln euro - Individual business – gross of minorities
Life NB PremiumsYoY growth
2004 2005
106
4,262
4.263
118
4,145
4.368
-2.4%Creditras YoY growth +0.2%
2004 2005
106
3,996
4.112
117
3,995
4.102+10.9%
-2.7%
Recurrent Premium
Single Premium
+10.9%
0.0%
23
Abroad
Italy
209
Spain
Austria
Switzerland
2005
8
9
3
18224
2004
Portugal 4
Mln euro - net of minorities, taxes and cost of capital at year-end
8
5
5
3
+14.9%Life New Business ValueYoY growth
2004 2005
+15.4%
+11.3%21
185161
Focus by country
Life New Business Value by country Group
24
FAs
Banks
2004 2005NBV/PVNBP (1)
Agents
+16%
3.7%
1.3%
7.2%
5.6%
+12%
+30%
+9%
Italy Mln euro - net of minorities, taxes and cost of capital at year-end
(1) Present value of new business premiums
155
2004
77
49
29
2005
180
84
32
64
New Business ValueYoY growth
3.5%
1.1%
7.3%(2)
6.0%(2)
New Business Value and margins - Individual
(2) Restated after change in model
25
Life In-force Value Group
2004
1,575
2005
1,753
1,289Italy
Abroad 286
Life In-force ValueYoY growth
+11.3%
Mln euro - net of minority interests, taxes and cost of capital
1,410
343
2004 2005
26
Life Embedded Value roll-forward Group
Variance from
Assumptions
Change in Assumptions
New Business Value
78 209-26
1,575
Opening Embedded
Value 1/1/2005
NAV
VIF
3,336
1,761
UnwindingEnding
Embedded Value
31/12/2005
3,416
182
Capital movements
-172
1,753
1,663
-191
Ending Embedded
Value 31/12/2004
Initial Adj.
3,145
Mln euro
ROEV = 14.1%
Embedded Value EarningsEuro 443 mln
PFS Business
28
Italy
Significant growth in net inflows (+27.1%) with a
strong surge in the last quarter (+97.9%)
Improvement of 69% in gross operating result thanks
to increase in assets under management
Integration of BNLI network achieved; improvement of
the network profile with exits of FAs with marginal
portfolios
FY05 Results
29
RasBank FAs performance
Net Inflows and Life New business (1)
+27.1%Assets under administration +11.0%
Mln euro
Italy
Asset Mgmt
Banking
Life New business
(1) Net Inflows: Assets under Management and banking assets
761
238
523
434
1,195
578
388
190
362(2)
940
2004 2005
(2) Includes corporate business for 35 million euro
18,219
3,026
15,193
4,776
22,995
16,315
2,835
13,480
4.400
20,715
2004 2005
30
RasBank FAs results by LoB(1) ItalyMln euro - Including Life business through FAs
Gross margin
Asset mgmt commission margin
YoY growth
Banking margin
Life technical margin
General expenses
Sales & marketing expenses and others
Gross operating result
Net income(2)
2004 2005
235
134
318
192
45 56
145
61 90
56 70
+35%
-124 -140
-25 -33
+69%
+48%
+13%
+29%
+24%
+24%
+44%
86
YoY growth
(1) Includes Rasbank, Ras Private Bank Suisse, Rasfin Sim, Investitori Sgr, Investitori Holding Sgr, Ras Asset Management, RB Vita, Darta Saving Life Assurance e RB Fiduciaria
(2) Including BNLI, 2004 Net income was Euro 31.4 million
31
FAs exits on marginal portfolios Italy
Change 04-05
2005AUM(1) per FA
> 10 mln
5-10 mln
2-5 mln
0-2 mln
Total -232
+57
-1
-56
-232
2,696
643
512
587
954
2004
2,928
586
513
643
1,186
(1) Under management, under administration, Life
%
100
20
18
22
40
%
100
24
19
22
35
Number of FAs
32
Capital Allocation
33
Group
Increase in capital absorption (+15.5%) in line with
business development and mainly due to higher volatility
of strategic investments in Italy (Unicredito equity
investment)
Strong rise in RORAC at 24.4% (+370 b.p.) well above
the 3 year plan target
FY05 Results
34
Capital Requirement
Mln euro
Group
Italy
Abroad
2004
3,441
2005
Life
P+C
2,390
1,051
Strategicinvestments
PFS
Diversif.
TOTAL
235
864
1,382
1,044
(620)
2,9052005
3,974
2,905
1,069
2004
185
706
1,340
653
(494)
2,390
Risk-Based CapitalYoY growth +15.5%
+21.5%
+1.8%
35
Return on invested capital Group
2005
24.4
RORAC
2004
20.7
2005
14.6
ROE
2004
12.4
IAS/IFRS - %
36
Euro
2000
0,31
0,80
2004
0,88
2005
Dividend policy Group
Dividend Per ShareYoY growth +10%
Euro 0.88 DPS will be distributed on ordinary shares in May 2006, for a pay-out of 592 million euro
Dividend policy
37
Certain of the statements contained herein may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management’s current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, the words “may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, potential, or continue” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions in RAS Holding Spa’s core business and core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, including emerging markets, (iii) the frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates including the Euro - U.S. dollar exchange rate, (viii) changing levels of competition, (ix) changes in law and regulations, including monetary convergence and the European Monetary Union, (x) changing in the policies of central banks and/or global basis.The matters discussed in this release may also involve risks and uncertainties described from time to time in Allianz’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Allianz assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking information contained in this release.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements