While the common assumption is that every home contains an average of two students, in reality this ratio of students per home is actually much lower. Most suburban Districts average about 0.5 to 0.75 students per home overall, but more importantly, some specific neighborhoods have much higher and much lower ratios. It is important for PASA to understand which neighborhoods are more student‐oriented and which neighborhoods house more empty‐nest families so that comparable ratios can be applied to the projected new housing. RatiosofStudentsperHome:Single‐FamilyUnitsThefirstmapandchartinthischaptershowratiosofstudentsforsingle‐familyunitswithinmajorsubdivisions.TheseratiosweregatheredthroughfieldworktoanalyzethenumberofcurrentlyoccupiedhomesoneachstreetforrepresentativesubdivisionsthroughouttheDistrict.Theratiosofstudentsperhomerangedfrom0.00to1.83inspecificsubdivisions.TheweightedaverageofstudentsperhomethroughouttheDistrictis0.62.Othersubdivisionshavehigherratiosatpresent,buttheyhavefewerthan10studentsoccupied,andarenotshownhere,asthesamplesizeistoosmalltobereliedupon.Thehighestratiosofstudentsperoccupiedhomewerefoundinthefollowingsubdivisions:11A AtascocitaVillage 1.83 20 CountrysideVillage4‐ plexes 1.50 3B DeerCreek 1.42 3A El Dorado 1.33 9B Meadowbrook 1.27 11E ClassicPinesEstates 1.19 12D SunsetRidgeWest 1.12 15K BeringerPlace 1.10 50B RiverBend 1.10 PlanningUnit Subdivision Ratio Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 148
Transcript
While the common assumption is that every home contains an average of two students, in reality this ratio of students per home is actually much lower. Most suburban Districts average about 0.5 to 0.75 students per home overall, but more importantly, some specific neighborhoods have much higher and much lower ratios. It is important for PASA to understand which neighborhoods are more student‐oriented and which neighborhoods house more empty‐nest families so that comparable ratios can be applied to the projected new housing.
Ratios of Students per Home: Single‐Family Units The first map and chart in this chapter show ratios of students for single‐family units within major subdivisions. These ratios were gathered through field work to analyze the number of currently occupied homes on each street for representative subdivisions throughout the District.
The ratios of students per home ranged from 0.00 to 1.83 in specific subdivisions. The weighted average of students per home throughout the District is 0.62. Other subdivisions have higher ratios at present, but they have fewer than 10 students occupied, and are not shown here, as the sample size is too small to be relied upon. The highest ratios of students per occupied home were found in the following subdivisions:
11A Atascocita Village 1.83
20 Countryside Village 4‐plexes 1.50
3B Deer Creek 1.42
3A El Dorado 1.33
9B Meadowbrook 1.27
11E Classic Pines Estates 1.19
12D Sunset Ridge West 1.12
15K Beringer Place 1.10
50B River Bend 1.10
Planning
Unit Subdivision Ratio
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 148
The lowest ratios were found in the following subdivisions: Such data are helpful in understanding why students are more dense in specific locations, and which neighborhoods are empty‐nest areas. They also point to neighborhoods that are disproportionately oriented to older students or to young students. The ratios help to estimate the grade‐groups that will live in these neighborhoods over time, and, most importantly, assist in establishing the potential ratio of students per grade‐group for comparable new subdivisions and new apartment complexes. Although these ratios are utilized to obtain projections of added students for all new subdivisions and Planning Units, it is necessary to continue evaluating long‐term trends in the ratios, as they will change as a subdivision or apartment complex ages.
Ratios of Students per Home: Multi‐Family Units
In multi‐family apartment complexes, the ratios of students per unit ranged from 0.09 to 1.13in specific complexes, and the weighted average throughout the District was 0.36 students per apartment unit. There are approximately 10,234 units in the District, with 3,557 students residing in those. PASA could determine occupancy rates for 9,632 units, of which 8,987 were occupied, with 3,240 students residing in those apartments. The highest ratios of students per occupied unit were found in the following complexes:
21 Barrington Court 1.13
11B The Place at Fall Creek 1.01
11C Atascocita Pines 0.88
10A Waterchase 0.79
7B North Lake Manor 0.75
16A Timber Lake 0.67
Ratio
Apartment
Complex
Planning
Unit
24A Barefoot I 0.00
45 Village Falls 0.00
45 Brownstone Square 0.04
6 Northshire 0.04
42b Kings Crossing I 0.05
53A Kings Crossing III 0.05
15K Arbor Heights 0.05
50A Dogwood Acres 0.06
29B Kings Crossing IV 0.06
52A Kings Crossing II 0.06
22 Village at Tour 18 0.09
Planning
Unit Subdivision Ratio
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 149
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Single‐FamilyStudents per Occupied Home
Multi‐Family Students per Occupied Unit
0.33 0.360.340.320.260.270.34
Past Trends in Ratios of Students per Unit
0.620.610.620.670.700.640.62
The lowest ratios were found in the complexes: The current ~60 multi‐family complexes have a high ratio of students per unit. Excluding the as‐yet‐not‐fully‐occupied complexes, the ratio is 0.47 students per unit – almost half a student per occupied unit. In 2015, there were 98 students added in apartments, with 35 elementary students and 63 secondary students. At this time, the new apartments located in, or near, places of retail and office land use tend to be non‐student oriented. As these multi‐family facilities age, then the low ratio of students per unit in these apartments could, over time, become higher ratios. Even in new upper socioeconomic complexes, the ratios now have leapt upward in H.I.S.D. In regard to apartments, if there is an increase in tax‐credit apartments (as per the new June, 2015 Supreme Court ruling), then it is certain that these ratios of students per home in these tax‐credit complexes will be higher than in the market‐oriented complexes in the District. Again, such changes in ratios over time have to be considered and monitored.
Long‐Term Ratio Trends
PASA first began measuring the ratios of students per household in the Fall, 2003, when the average ratio of those subdivisions assessed was 0.62 students per home. The average ratio of students per single‐family home has stayed between 0.61 and 0.70 throughout the last 10+ years. The highest ratio that PASA has seen outside of school districts in the Rio Grande Valley has been 0.83 students per home in Katy I.S.D., so there is certainly still room for the ratios in Humble I.S.D.
41C Lodge at Kingwood 0.09
3C Alexan Eagle Creek 0.13
29A Harbor Cove 0.15
5B Northeast Pines 0.16
15A Lake Forest 0.17
12A Corrington Park Lakes 0.18
Ratio
Apartment
Complex
Planning
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Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 150
to creep upward. It should be noted, however, that several subdivisions are beginning to see declines in ratios of students per home, as the residents in these homes are aging in place.
Far more difficult than projecting future housing is the estimate of how many students, on the average, will live in each existing home and apartment unit. These ratios change each year by subdivision and apartment complex, but they also change significantly as a Districtwide average. Such data are helpful in understanding why students are more dense in specific locations and which neighborhoods are empty‐nest areas. They also point to neighborhoods that are disproportionately oriented to older students or to young students. The ratios help to estimate the grade‐groups that will live in these neighborhoods over time, and, most importantly, assist in establishing the potential ratio of students per grade‐group for comparable new subdivisions and new apartment complexes. Although these ratios are utilized to obtain projections of added students for all new subdivisions and Planning Units, it is necessary to continue evaluating long‐term trends in the ratios, as they will change as a subdivision or apartment complex ages. Additionally, in regard to apartments, if there is an increase in tax‐credit apartments (as per the June, 2015 Supreme Court ruling), then it is certain that these tax‐credit unit ratios will be higher than the new market‐oriented complexes in Humble I.S.D. Again, such changes in ratios over time have to be considered and monitored.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 151
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Ratios of Students per Occupied UnitRatios of Students per Occupied UnitRatios of Students per Occupied UnitRatios of Students per Occupied Unit [0 0.5 10.25
MilesBy Subdivision, Humble I .S .D. - NorthBy Subdivision, Humble I .S .D. - NorthBy Subdivision, Humble I .S .D. - NorthBy Subdivision, Humble I .S .D. - North
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Subdivisions0.00 - 0.30
0.31 - 0.47
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0.59 - 0.70
0.71 - 0.84
0.85 - 3.29
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 152
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Sutters Creek0.85
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ValleyCreek0.85
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LoganRidge0.94 Sierra
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Yukon Forest0.97
CadesCrossing
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MeridianCove1.08
CrescentRidge0.85
HuntersGrove0.98
Sumrwood GreenwoodMeadow Est
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HawthorneRidge0.85
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AtascocitaTimbers
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HumbleRoad Place
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AtascocitaTrace0.78
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Lake ParkVillage
0.71
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TimberlakeEstates
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ArlingtonPark0.76
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Duplex II0.71
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0.55
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RustlingOaks0.53
CottageGrove0.58
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Pinecrest0.53
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0.53
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Shores, The0.53 Preserve, The
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0.39
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PineyPoint0.42 Serrano
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Ratios of Students per Occupied UnitRatios of Students per Occupied UnitRatios of Students per Occupied UnitRatios of Students per Occupied Unit [0 0.5 10.25
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Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 153
Humble I.S.D.Ratios of Students per Single-Family Home by Subdivision
Planning Total # of # ofUnit Ratio Students Homes Ratio Students Ratio Students Ratio Students3B Amber Wood Fall Creek Townhome Existing 0.15 10 68 0.07 5 0.04 3 0.03 2
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 157
HarborCove0.15
Lodgeat Kingwood
0.09
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LakeForest
0.17
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0.18
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0.23
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0.27
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0.27
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0.34
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0.26
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0.33
Ten Pines atSummerwood
0.28
Arium FallCreek0.27
Camden WoodsonPark0.45
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0.54
KingwoodLake0.45
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0.38
Meadowbrook0.46
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Elm Grove0.59
Sunrise atAtascocita
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TimberLake0.67
Pines atHumble Park
0.61Township
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AtascocitaPines0.88
BarringtonCourt1.13
Waterchase0.79
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11A11C
7B
41B41C
26E
50A
41D
41A
33B
33C
16A
15G
55C
12B
14A
14B
28
23
24A
6
37
38
54A
52A
53A
51
53C
52C
54C
53B
55E
15H
15D
15I
55A
15C
13A
13C
50B
27C
27D
12A
55G
55B
55F
15K9B
15J
3B
1B
22
3D
3C
15L
4
3E
12E12D
9D
15E
7A
10A
Ratios of Students per Occupied UnitRatios of Students per Occupied UnitRatios of Students per Occupied UnitRatios of Students per Occupied UnitBy Apartment ComplexBy Apartment ComplexBy Apartment ComplexBy Apartment Complex
Map Layers
District Boundary
Planning Units
Streets
Apartment Ratios0.09 - 0.18
0.19 - 0.24
0.25 - 0.34
0.35 - 0.54
0.55 - 0.67
0.68 - 1.13
[0 1 20.5
Miles
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 158
Humble I.S.D.Ratio of Students per Household:
Multi-Family Units
PU Apartment Street Total Total Occupied % Students perComplex Name Notes Students Units Units Occ. Occ. Unit Students Percentage Students Percentage Students Percentage
PU Name RAddresses RNotesIncluded TotStu Units OccUnits RPrcOcc StuPerOccUnit G1 PRC1 G2 PRC2 G3 PRC3
55C Ten Pines at Summerwood 14700 Woodson Park Dr 61 240 218 91% 0.28 13 21% 22 36% 26 42%
20 110‐118 Hirsch*not included in total, no
information available13 0 12 92% 0 0% 1 7%
20 182 Willow*not included in total, no
information available16 0 10 62% 2 12% 4 25%
23 5th and 6th*not included in total, no
information available3 0 2 66% 0 0% 1 33%
20 604 Wilson*not included in total, no
information available2 0 1 50% 0 0% 1 50%
20 605 Wilson*not included in total, no
information available1 0 0 0% 0 0% 1 100%
20 608 Wilson*not included in total, no
information available7 0 3 42% 0 0% 4 57%
19B 708 Staitti*not included in total, no
information available5 0 2 40% 1 20% 2 40%
3C Alexan Eagle Creek 9702 N. Sam Houston Pkwy E. 51 412 379 92% 0.13 26 50% 12 23% 13 25%
12D Alta Pine Forest 10373 N. Sam Houston Pkwy E. 80 256 243 95% 0.33 32 40% 23 28% 25 31%
1A Arium Fall Creek 7800 N Sam Houston Pkwy E. 69 264 253 96% 0.27 34 49% 15 21% 20 28%
7B North Lake Manor 6910 Old North Belt Dr 91 126 121 96% 0.75 47 51% 25 27% 19 20%
5B Northeast Pines 18839 S. Memorial Dr 22 136 136 100% 0.16 8 36% 5 22% 9 40%
46 Oaks of Kingwood 3415 Havenbrook Dr 21 152 0 7 33% 6 28% 8 38%
5B Park at Deerbrook 19700 Whitaker Dr 5 152 0 3 60% 0 0% 2 40%
PK-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 159
Humble I.S.D.Ratio of Students per Household:
Multi-Family Units
PU Apartment Street Total Total Occupied % Students perComplex Name Notes Students Units Units Occ. Occ. Unit Students Percentage Students Percentage Students Percentage
Green highlighted subdivisions indicate recent increases in the number of students per home. Yellow highlighted subdivisions show areas where student density is declining.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 161
Humble I.S.D.: Trends in Ratios of Students per Household
3B Fall Creek - Estates at Seranno Creek 0.00 0.11 0.16
3B Fall Creek - Forest Glade 0.27 0.56 0.58 0.55 0.68
3C Fall Creek - Future 0.00 0.00
3B Fall Creek - Heather Glen 0.43 0.45 0.58 0.65
3B Fall Creek - Hunters Crossing 0.52 0.50 0.63 0.44 0.47
3C Fall Creek - Lake Point 0.13 0.18 0.35
3B Fall Creek - Laurel Oaks 0.29 0.49 0.61 0.73
3B Fall Creek - Maple Creek 0.26 0.64 0.61 0.82
3B Fall Creek - Oak Hollow 0.11 0.38 0.43 0.56
3B Fall Creek - Pine Grove 0.00 0.04 0.26
3B Fall Creek - Pinecrest 0.36 0.61 0.61 0.53
3B Fall Creek - Piney Point 0.06 0.18 0.23 0.42
3B Fall Creek - Rose Creek 0.00 0.43 0.59 0.76
3B Fall Creek - Rustling Oaks 0.12 0.40 0.24 0.45 0.50 0.53
3B Fall Creek - Serrano Creek 0.54 0.46 0.43 0.31
3B Fall Creek - Shadow Brook 0.40 0.53 0.39 0.45 0.51 0.53
3B Fall Creek - Soaring Pines 0.33 0.48 0.61 0.42 0.47
3B Fall Creek - Stoney Brook 0.47 0.52 0.48 0.57
3B Fall Creek - Tangle Creek 0.00 0.60 0.23
3B Fall Creek - Water Crest 0.03 0.30 0.33 0.28
3C Fall Creek - Water Oak 0.00 0.00
3B Fall Creek - Whispering Pines 0.28 0.20 0.49 0.66 0.79
3B Fall Creek - Woods Edge 0.41 0.30 0.28 0.44 0.53
Green highlighted subdivisions indicate recent increases in the number of students per home. Yellow highlighted subdivisions show areas where student density is declining.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 162
Humble I.S.D.: Trends in Ratios of Students per Household
Planning Unit Subdivision
March 2005 Ratio
Oct 2007 Ratio
May 2009 Ratio
Jan. 2012 Ratio
April. 2014 Ratio
Dec. 2015 Ratio
3B Fall Creek - Wynnwood 0.25 0.33 0.42 0.71
36 Forest Cove I 0.26 0.37 0.30 0.29
38 Forest Cove II 0.37 0.34
38 Forest Cove THs 0.43 0.49
37 Forest Cove Country Club Estates I 0.27 0.30 0.23 0.31
36 Forest Cove Country Club Estates II 0.32 0.26
27B Four Season TH 0.00
37 Hamblen Road Estates 0.40 0.41
21 Houston Ave Duplexes 0.75 1.17
2 Humble Road Place 0.88 0.79 0.86 0.80
50A Idle Glen 0.25 0.30
50A Idle Wild 0.00
20 Intercontinental Village 0.60 0.53 0.67 0.38 0.55
53A Kingwood - Gren Tree Village I 0.67 0.63 0.74 0.52
54B Kingwood - Gren Tree Village II 0.67 0.63 0.48 0.63
54A Kingwood - Gren Tree Village III 0.67 0.63 0.65 0.57
53B Kingwood - Gren Tree Village IV 0.67 0.63 0.57 0.66
52C Kingwood - Gren Tree Village V 0.67 0.63 0.52 0.51
54C Kingwood - Hannover Estates 0.00
43 Kingwood - Hunters Ridge Village I 1.37 0.65 0.63 0.58
42A Kingwood - Hunters Ridge Village II 1.37 0.65 0.62 0.66
42B Kingwood - Hunters Ridge Village III 1.37 0.65 0.67 0.69
42B Kingwood - Kings Crossing I 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.05
52A Kingwood - Kings Crossing II 0.03 0.05 0.09 0.06
53A Kingwood - Kings Crossing III 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.05
29B Kingwood - Kings Crossing IV 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.06
27A Kingwood - Crown Estates 0.60
45 Kingwood - Kings Forest 0.97 0.39 0.37 0.43
45 Kingwood - Kings Forest Estates 0.25 0.50
30A Kingwood - Kings Point Village - Cove 0.98 0.77 0.98 0.79 0.73 0.75
30A Kingwood - Kings Point Village - Landing 1.10 1.14 0.78 0.72 0.73
Green highlighted subdivisions indicate recent increases in the number of students per home. Yellow highlighted subdivisions show areas where student density is declining.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 163
Humble I.S.D.: Trends in Ratios of Students per Household
Planning Unit Subdivision
March 2005 Ratio
Oct 2007 Ratio
May 2009 Ratio
Jan. 2012 Ratio
April. 2014 Ratio
Dec. 2015 Ratio
31 Kingwood - Kings Point Village - Pointe 0.82 0.59 0.69 0.78 0.86 0.89
30B Kingwood - Kings Point Village - Pointe 0.82 0.59 0.69 0.78 0.74 0.73
30A Kingwood - Kings Point Village - Reserve 0.64 0.67 0.74 0.64 0.70 0.70
27B Kingwood - Kings River Estates North 0.79 1.07
27A Kingwood - Kings River Village I 0.69 0.69
27C Kingwood - Kings River Village II 0.89 0.99
33C Kingwood Greens Village 0.35 0.49 0.36 0.34 0.31
32 Kingwood - Kingwood Lakes Village I 0.31 0.27
33A Kingwood - Kingwood Lakes Village II 0.21 0.21
36 Kingwood - Kingwood Place 0.10 0.16
36 Kingwood - Kingwood Place Village 0.49 0.47 0.44 0.43
27A Kingwood - Lakes at King River Estates 1.11 0.62 0.68
47B Kingwood - Mills Branch Village I 0.62 0.68 0.72 0.63
54B Kingwood - Mills Branch Village II 0.62 0.68 0.64 0.62
26B,26D Kingwood Glen Village 0.44 0.73 0.61 0.66 0.63
20 Lakeland 0.49 0.50 0.45 0.54 0.54
55E Lakeshore 0.43 0.64 0.55 0.57 0.59
55B Lakeside Terrace 0.43 0.35
22 Lakes of Tour 18 0.00
37 Lakewood Cove 0.88 0.81 0.75 0.84
55A Lakewood Pines 1.00
9C Laurel Place 1.02 0.45
Green highlighted subdivisions indicate recent increases in the number of students per home. Yellow highlighted subdivisions show areas where student density is declining.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 164
Humble I.S.D.: Trends in Ratios of Students per Household
Planning Unit Subdivision
March 2005 Ratio
Oct 2007 Ratio
May 2009 Ratio
Jan. 2012 Ratio
April. 2014 Ratio
Dec. 2015 Ratio
9C Laurel Ridge 0.73
50A Lazy Creek Estates 0.00
9B Meadowbrook MHP 1.30 1.27
21 Memorial Glen Ph1 0.70 0.53 0.63 0.64 0.68 0.53
24A Mittag Manor MHP 0.51 0.63
2 Morrison MHP 0.89 1.00
11D North Belt Forest MHP 0.94 0.96
8B North Hollow Estates 0.32 0.37 0.45 0.35 0.33 0.30
47A North Kingwood Forest 0.52 0.66 1.17 1.26 0.64 0.86
6 Northshire 0.93 0.42 0.38 0.40
6 Northshire TH 0.02 0.04
22 O Sun Park MHP 0.08 0.33
3A Oak Knolls Estates 2.33 2.11
26B Oaks of Atascocita I 0.58 1.26 0.69 0.57 0.48 0.69
25 Oaks of Atascocita II 0.63 0.46
26E Oaks of Atascocita III 0.44 0.57
13B Park at Atascocita Forest 0.78 0.53 0.48 0.56
26D Parkside at Kingwood Glen 0.76 0.33 0.42 0.40
20 Phillip Duplexes 0.38 0.13
50A Pine Valley Estates 0.00
27B Pinehurst at Atascocita TH 0.34 0.25
27D Pinehurst at Atascocita I 0.37 0.72 1.65 0.44 0.47 0.36
27B Pinehurst at Atascocita II 0.37 0.72 1.65 0.44 0.34 0.40
28 Pinehurst at Atascocita III 0.37 0.72 1.65 0.44 0.61 0.48
26C Pinehurst at Atascocita IV 0.37 0.72 1.65 0.44 0.07 0.56
55G Summerwood - Kingston Village 0.27 1.00 0.60 0.67
55B Summerwood - Lake Forest Village 0.71 0.86 0.69 0.68 0.65
55F Summerwood - Lake Park Village 0.42 1.74 0.57 0.59 0.70 0.71
55G Summerwood - Laurel Crossing 0.15 0.18 0.12
55G Summerwood - Oakwood Glen 0.49 0.70 0.72 0.81
55C Summerwood - Pine Oak Glen 0.69 0.81 1.04 0.72
55G Summerwood - Section 23 0.27 0.49 0.40
55G Summerwood - Section 32 0.29 0.71 0.71
55G Summerwood - Section 33 0.00 0.47
55G Summerwood - Section 34 0.00 0.09 0.45
55G Summerwood - Setion 35 0.00 0.48
55F Summerwood - South Pointe Village 0.33 0.45 0.40 0.39
55F Summerwood - Suncrest Village 0.45 0.55 0.75 0.67
Green highlighted subdivisions indicate recent increases in the number of students per home. Yellow highlighted subdivisions show areas where student density is declining.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 165
Humble I.S.D.: Trends in Ratios of Students per Household
Green highlighted subdivisions indicate recent increases in the number of students per home. Yellow highlighted subdivisions show areas where student density is declining.
Population & Survey Analysts - Demographic Update - February 2016 166
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