+ All Categories
Home > Documents > RCF Where the Jobs Are for TRA Galveston September 2015 FINAL

RCF Where the Jobs Are for TRA Galveston September 2015 FINAL

Date post: 13-Apr-2017
Category:
Upload: richard-froeschle
View: 247 times
Download: 3 times
Share this document with a friend
62
Richard Froeschle [email protected] (512) 585-8231 How They’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!
Transcript

Richard [email protected]

(512) 585-8231

How They’re Changing and Why

Skills Matter!

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Economics:

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Why Should I Care About Labor Market Data?

Labor market data

General Macroeconomic Conditions: U.S. & Foreign

Growing & Declining Industries & Sectors

Industry Staffing and Occupational Demand

Real time Job Postings by Occupation & Geography

Technology Changes and New Business Practices

Education & Training Labor Supply Data: Grads/Earnings

Is there overall economic, job and income growth?

Growing industries most likely to hire, or pay more

Growth industries need skills related to their business

What’s HOT now? Where is the job demand? Wages?

Technology affects hiring requirements & skills needs

Which education programs offer best job & earnings prospects?

Why should I care?

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

1. Texas economic recovery was driven by the oil & gas supply chain

2. What happens in the rest of the world matters (exports)!

3. Demographic shifts are changing the face of Texas; where we live, what we look like, where CLF growth will occur

4. Job opportunities differ by: region, industry, occupation, wage, education, and by skill set. The Triangle vs. Rural Texas

5. Job demand, earnings, wealth all becoming more bifurcated.

6. Pink squirrels: Looking for the perfect employee: Structural demand shifts lead to isolated skill shortages. (Interview to job: 12.6 to

22.9 days between 2010 and 2015)

7. Information technology is not an occupation, industry or major. It is a ubiquitous skill set that permeates all jobs

8. It’s all about Skills: Technical, Soft (Workplace Essentials), Digital

Texas Labor Market Themes of the Day

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Texas Job Growth Supported by 4 Major Economic Tent Poles

Texas post recession job growth has been largely fueled by:

1. Exports & Globalization2. Population Growth3. Oil & Gas Cluster 4. Professional & Business Services

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Monitoring the Growth of China (billions $$$)

2000 2008 2014U.S. $10,285 U.S. $14,719 U.S. $17,419

Japan $4,731 Japan $4,849 China $10,360

Germany $1,947 China $4,558 Japan $4,601UK $1,549 Germany $3,747 Germany $3,853France $1,368 France $2,923 UK $2,942

China $1,205 UK $2,792 France $2,829Italy $1,142 Italy $2,392 Brazil $2,346Canada $739 Brazil $1,695 Italy $2,144Mexico $684 Russian Fed. $1,661 India $2,067Brazil $657 Spain $1,635 Russian Fed. $1,861Spain $595 Canada $1,543 Canada $1,787Korea, Rep. $562 India $1,224 Australia $1,454India $477 Mexico $1,101 Korea, Rep. $1,410Australia $415 Australia $1,055 Spain $1,4047

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

(billions $$$) 2000 2014 ABS CHG PER CHG

China $1,205 $10,360 $9,155 759.6%

United States $10,285 $17,419 $7,134 69.4%

Germany $1,947 $3,853 $1,905 97.9%

Brazil $657 $2,346 $1,689 257.0%

Russian Federation $260 $1,861 $1,601 616.4%

India $477 $2,067 $1,590 333.7%

France $1,368 $2,829 $1,461 106.7%United Kingdom $1,549 $2,942 $1,393 90.0%

Canada $739 $1,787 $1,047 141.6%

Australia $415 $1,454 $1,039 250.3%

Italy $1,142 $2,144 $1,002 87.7%

Korea, Rep. $562 $1,410 $849 151.1%

Spain $595 $1,404 $809 135.9%

Why Do We Care About China?

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

National Job Recovery: At Pre-recession Hiring Levels

New Hires

Separations

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Emerging Uncertainty: Quits vs. Layoffs

Quits

Layoffs

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf

Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val

Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red

River

Karnes

Palo

Pinto

GlasscockShelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San

Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

Trinity

Reeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San

Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

McLennan

Madison

McCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

MitchellNavarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort

Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

Sherman Ochiltree

Comal

99 counties lost population over the

three year period

Texas Population

Change between 2010 and

2013Legend

tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf

Nch1013

-800-0

1-1,000

1,001-20,000

20,001-80,000

80,000-228,000

tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf

Pctch1013

-0.106707 - 0.000000

0.000001 - 0.025000

0.025001 - 0.050000

0.050001 - 0.100000

0.100001 - 0.146341

tl_2010_48_county10_dpsf

POPESTIMATE2013

95-,10,000

10,001-50,000

50,001-100,000

100,000-500,000

500,001-1,000,000

1,000,001-4,400,000

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

County (Big City) Change

1. Harris (Houston) 332,461

2. Dallas (Dallas) 145,278

3. Bexar (San Antonio) 132,831

4. Tarrant (Ft. Worth) 128,576

5. Travis (Austin) 120,702

6. Collin (Plano) 96,673

7. Fort Bend (Sugarland) 94,726

8. Denton (Denton) 86,425

9. Williamson (Round Rock) 62,709

10. Montgomery(Woodlands) 59,526

11. Hidalgo (McAllen) 51,879

Texas Counties Population Absolute Growth 2010-14

County (Big City) Change

12. El Paso (El Paso) 29,860

13. Hays (San Marcos) 26,718

14. Brazoria (Pearland) 23,672

15. Galveston (Galveston) 21,624

16. Midland (Midland) 18,849

17. Ector (Odessa) 16,806

18. Bell (Killeen) 16,266

19. Nueces (Corpus) 15,901

20. Webb (Laredo) 15,365

21. Guadalupe (Seguin) 14,698

22. Lubbock (Lubbock) 13,767

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

County (Big City) Change

1. Andrews (Permian Basin) 17.8%

2. Sterling (Concho Valley) 17.8%

3. Hays (Rural Capital) 16.9%

4. Fort Bend (Gulf Coast) 16.0%

5. Kendall County (Alamo) 15.5%

6. Williamson (Rural Capital) 14.7%

7. Midland (Permian Basin) 13.8%

8. Martin (Permian Basin) 13.3%

9. Comal (Alamo) 13.2%

10. Crane (Permian Basin) 13.1%

11. McMullen (Coastal Bend) 13.1%

County (Big City) Change

12. Denton (North Central) 13.0%

13. Montgomery (Gulf Coast) 13.0%

14. Collin (North Central) 12.3%

15. Ector (Permian Basin) 12.3%

16. Reagan (Concho Valley) 12.1%

17. Travis (Austin) 11.7%

18. Rockwall (No. Central) 11.2%

19. Guadalupe (Alamo) 11.1%

20. Gaines (Permian Basin) 10.5%

21. Dimmit (Middle Rio) 10.5%

22. Winkler (Permian Basin) 10.4%

Texas Counties Population Percent Growth 2010-14

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

MSA 2015 MSA 2015Amarillo 3.1 Texas 4.4Austin-Round Rock 3.2 Tyler 4.5Midland 3.2 Houston-Sugar Land 4.6Lubbock 3.4 Killeen-Temple 4.6College Station-Bryan 3.6 Laredo 4.7San Antonio 3.7 Longview 4.9Abilene 3.8 Texarkana 4.9D/FW-Arlington CSA 3.9 Corpus Christi 5.0San Angelo 4.0 United States 5.2Sherman-Denison 4.1 El Paso 5.2Victoria 4.1 Beaumont-Pt Arthur 6.5Waco 4.1 Brville-Harlingen 6.8Wichita Falls 4.2 McAllen-Edinburg 7.9Odessa 4.3

Low Unemployment: Texas MSA August 2015 Urates (actual)

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Tho

usa

nd

s

Baby Boomers Generation X Millenials

Texas Employment by Generation 2000-2013

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Job Competition: Generational Percentages of Texas Employment 2000-2013

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Baby Boomers Generation X Millenials

30.4% 37.2% 31.5% (2013)42.7% 38.7% 10.0% (2003)

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

How many Millennials does it take to screw in a light bulb?

1. One to the instructions

2. One to post the instructions on the wall of their page

3. One to post the video of their work showing collaboration

One Baby Boomer to tell them what a terrific, wonderful, spectacular job they did with the

light bulb

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

Emp

loym

ent

Texas Private Jobs Quarterly Wage Distribution 2014 Q1

All Jobs Full Quarter Jobs Only

$34,228/$16.45 hour(median full quarter)

$88,776$11,996 $34,228

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Hourly Wages by Quintile (2014 OES)

Base year Employment

ProjectedEmployment

Net Job Growth

PCT of Total

Lowest – Under $11.42 per hour 2,289,230 2,855,480 566,250 23.3%

Low Middle – Between $11.42 and $16.87 per

hour ($35,089 yr)3,608,504 4,286,700 678,160 27.9%

Middle – Between $16.87 and $25.93 per

hour ($53,934 yr)2,504,670 3,028,390 523,720 21.5%

Upper Middle –Between $26.03 and

$36.05 per hour ($74,984)

1,625,350 1,972,810 347,460 14.3%

Elite – At or above $36.05 per hour

($75,000)1,393,170 1,708,580 315,410 13.0%

More than a Low Wage Economy: Texas Projected Job Growth by Wage Group 2012-2022

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

The Real Issue is Slow Growing Income Growing: Median vs. Average

Texas Median Household Income

Texas Per capita Personal income

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Long term trend: Fewer employed adults

E/P Ratio 53.8%: Women

E/P Ratio 65.3%: Men

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

Emp

loym

ent

Ind

exTexas Industry Job Growth Trends 1995-2015

Construction

Manufacturing

Mining

Total Nonagricultural

Prof. & Business Services

Education/Healthcare

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

NAICS Industry Aug 2015ABS CHG July-Aug

ABS CHG Aug-Aug

Y-O-Y PER CHG

Total Nonagricultural 11,809,000 -13,700 217,700 1.9%

Goods-Producing 1,810,800 -7,700 -43,000 -2.3%

Service-Providing 9,998,200 -6,000 260,700 2.7%

Leisure and Hospitality 1,260,800 5,900 69,400 5.8%

Education and Health Services 1,593,100 -1,200 65,500 4.3%

Trade, Transportation, Utilities 2,372,800 -6,200 53,600 2.3%

Professional/Business Services 1,589,600 4,000 36,600 2.4%

Government 1,851,200 -6,200 21,000 1.1%

Construction 666,600 3,200 11,400 1.7%

Other Services 419,100 600 8,700 2.1%

Information 206,600 -700 3,400 1.7%

Financial Activities 705,000 -2,200 2,500 0.4%

Mining and Logging 289,100 -5,300 -22,500 -7.2%

Manufacturing 855,100 -5,600 -31,900 -3.6%

Texas Industry Growth August 2014-15 YOY (SA)

29,775 monthly

average (2014)357,300 jobs

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Quarterly Earnings by Industry 2010Qtr2 2014Qtr2

Mining & Oil and Gas Extraction $6,072 $7,295Utilities (pipelines) $5,384 $7,015Professional, Scientific & Technical Services $4,693 $5,228Wholesale Trade $4,140 $4,469Finance and Insurance $3,788 $4,336Information $3,907 $4,187Manufacturing $4,144 $4,125Construction $3,298 $3,941Transportation and Warehousing $3,172 $3,933Admin Support & Remediation Services $2,315 $2,601Health Care & Social Assistance $2,341 $2,501Arts, Entertainment & Recreation $1,756 $2,210Educational Services $2,008 $2,153Retail Trade $1,735 $1,833

Texas Stable New Hire Monthly Earnings: All Jobs are Not the Same

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

4thQTR 2014 – 1stQTR 2015 Jobs 1stQTR 2014 – 1stQTR 2015 Jobs

Accounting/bookkeeping Services 12,696 Restaurants/Eating Places 35,864

H.Q./Enterprise Management 3,923 Elementary & High Schools 18,506

Individual and family services 3,921 Computer Systems Design 15,587

Electronics/Appliance Stores 3,499 Nonresidential Bldg Construction 12,165

Insurance Agencies 3,279 Building Equipment Contractors 9,166

Data Processing & Hosting 2,870 Individual & Family Services 9,063

Elementary & High Schools 2,623 Mgmt. & Tech Consulting Srvcs 8,670

Restaurants & Eating Places 1,796 H.Q./Enterprise Mgmt. 8,302

Nonresidential Bldg. Construction 1,755 Insurance Agencies/Brokerages 8,008

Building Materials & Supplies 1,695 Offices of physicians 7,006

Computer Systems Design 1,541 Employment Services 6,890

Building Equipment Contractors 1,387 Utility System Construction 6,115

Grocery Wholesalers 1,019 Mortgage/Finance/Credit Cards 6,071

Power generation and Supply 948 General Freight Trucking 6,029

Different Times, Different Growth Industries

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Occupational Staffing Pattern PCT EMP PCT Female 2014 Wage

Elementary School Teachers, Ex. Special Ed 18.9% 81.0% $48,919

Secondary School Teachers, Ex. Special Ed 12.4% 60.0% $50,000

Middle School Teachers, Ex. Special Ed 9.5% 81.0% $49,416Teacher Assistants 8.9% 90.2% $20,171Substitute Teachers 6.2% 58.3% $20,230Janitors & Cleaners 4.5% 37.5% $20,076

Combined Food Prep & Serving Workers 4.0% 60.0% $18,002

Bus Drivers, School or Special Client 2.9% 47.5% $23,240

Education Administrators 2.7% 67.1% $73,418

Secretaries & Admin Assistants 2.7% 95.5% $29,343

Kindergarten Teachers, Ex. Special Ed 1.8% 97.2% $48,121

Guidance & Vocational Counselors 1.6% 74.2% $51,557

Special Ed Teachers, K-Elementary 1.5% 80.8% $49,934

Office Clerks, General 1.5% 82.8% $27,873

High School CTE Teachers 1.2% 58.3% $51,063

Elementary & Secondary Education: Occupational Staffing Needs

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Occupational Staffing Pattern PCT EMP PCT Female 2014 Wage

Roustabouts, Oil & Gas 13.8% 0.8% $32,188

Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, & Mining 13.7% 0.0% $44,066

Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 6.1% 13.1% $35,024

Supervisors, Construction & Extraction 5.3% 3.4% $55,834

Rotary Drill Operators, Oil & Gas 4.5% 0.0% $62,382

Derrick Operators, Oil & Gas 4.5% 0.8% $45,985

Helpers--Extraction Workers 3.4% 1.5% $32,125Construction Laborers 2.6% 2.9% $25,708

Industrial Machinery Mechanics 2.3% 4.0% $46,167General & Operations Managers 2.2% 27.2% $103,909

Office Clerks, General 1.7% 82.8% $27,873Geological & Petroleum Technicians 1.6% 35.5% $54,480

Operating Engineers & Equipment Operators 1.4% 1.6% $35,835

Helpers--Production Workers 1.3% 13.4% $27,887

Laborers & Material Movers, Hand 1.2% 14.8% $28,796

Support Activities for Mining: Occupational Staffing Needs

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Texas Earnings by Sex 2000-2014

62.0%

62.5%

63.0%

63.5%

64.0%

64.5%

65.0%

65.5%

66.0%

66.5%

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

Bill

ion

s $

$$

Male earnings Female earnings Percent All Earnings to Men

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

New

Hir

es

0-50 employees 51-499 employees 500 plus employees

Where are the Jobs by Firm Size: Texas Stable New Hires

23.1% 46.2%30.7%

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

As Oil Prices Fall, Rig Counts Decline

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Texas Weekly Rig Count vs. WTI $$$ Prices

Texas Rig Count WTI Price

6/20/14 $107.23

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Not All Areas Have Equal Exposure to the Oil & Gas Sector

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Oil & Gas Market Opinions Trending Negative/Mixed

1. Brent will fall to $38 in March and climb to $58 in 4thQTR2015. “When history is written on this oil price crash, it will not fit easily alongside any other of the past 45 years if judged by its context or financial market repercussions.” (J.P. Morgan)

2. “The Barnett Shale used to be the place, but that’s simply not the case anymore.” (Tudor, Pickering Holt energy investments)

3. "No segment of the oilfield services and drilling industry will be immune to E&P companies' spending reductions, but the strain will vary by subsector and geography." (Moodys Analyst, SajjadAlam)

4. "We need to see oil prices above $60 and more toward $65 to spur a recovery in the rig count. The longer it stays below $60, the harder it’s going to be for U.S. production to ramp back up.” (Andrew Cosgrove, Global Drilling & Oilfield Analysis, Bloomberg)

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Upstream $$$ Flow – From Whom Do they Buy?

Rights to Intangible Assets (royalties) 14.0% Basic Chemicals 1.2%

Taxes on Production and Imports 8.9% Computer Systems Design 1.2%

Management of Companies (HQ) 7.0% Wholesale Trade 0.9%

Compensation of Direct Employees 6.7% Natural Gas Distribution 0.7%

Maintenance & Repair Construction 6.3% Banks & Credit Intermediation 0.7%

Other Fabricated Metal Products 2.1% Plastics and Rubber Products 0.7%

Oil and Gas Extraction 1.9% Legal Services 0.6%

Mining Support Services 1.5% Motor Vehicle Parts & Trailers 0.6%

Electric Power Generation & Distribution

1.5% Real Estate 0.5%

Architectural & Engineering services 1.2% Petroleum and Coal Products 0.5%

Machinery & Equipment Rental 1.2%Scientific Research and

Development Services0.4%

Follow the Money – Oil & Gas Extraction Supply Chain

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Occupation Aug 2015 Aug 2014 Education

Registered Nurses 89,724 99,336 Bach/Assoc. degree

Retail Salespersons 43,791 50,882 Short term OJT

Supervisor, Retail Sales 30,925 57,493 Related Work EXP

Heavy Truck Drivers 30,205 34,050 Short term/CDL

Customer Service Reps 26,040 23,650 Moderate OJT

Software Developers, Apps 22,447 21,600 Bachelors degree

Computer Systems Analysts 18,320 17,740 Bachelors degree

Supervisor, Office/Admin 18,087 18,453 Related Work EXP

Computer User Support Specialist 16,859 15,934 Associates degree

Network Systems Administrators 16,466 16,442 Bachelors degree

Insurance Sales Agents 16,428 16,933 Postsecondary Voc.

Supervisor, Food Prep/Serving 16,419 13,641 Related Work EXP

Maintenance Repair Workers 16,017 13,898 Moderate OJT

Texas Help Wanted Job Listings: August 2014-15

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Occupation Growth Openings Education 2014 Wage

Diagnostic Medical Sonographers 57.5% 310 Associate's $65,490

Interpreters & Translators 49.0% 280 Bachelor’s $44,290

Skincare Specialists 48.5% 290 Certificate $34,210

Petroleum Engineers 45.3% 1,365 Bachelor's $159,340

Information Security Analysts 45.0% 405 Bachelor's $88,090

Cardiovascular Technicians 44.3% 230 Associate's $52,540

Physician Assistants 44.1% 340 Master's $102,260

Occupational Therapy Assistants 44.1% 190 Associate's $68,340

Welding & Brazing Machine Operators 43.3% 260 HS diploma $35,550

Personal Care Aides 42.5% 9,900 HS diploma $17,390

College Nursing Instructors 41.6% 230 Master's $63,480

Industrial Machinery Mechanics 41.4% 2,145 HS diploma $48,840

Market Research Analysts 41.0% 1,315 Bachelor's $70,000

College Health Specialties Teachers 41.0% 1,045 Doctorate $126,360

Home Health Aides 40.7% 2,900 HS diploma $20,530

Texas Fastest Growing Occupations 2012-2022

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Occupational Title PCT CHGAAO

OpeningsTypical Education

Diagnostic Medical Sonographers 57.5% 310 Associate's degree

Interpreters & Translators 49.0% 280 Bachelor's degree

Petroleum Engineers 45.3% 1,365 Bachelor's degree

Information Security Analysts 45.0% 405 Bachelor's degree

Cardiovascular Technologists 44.3% 230 Associate's degree

Occupational Therapy Assistants 44.1% 190 Associate's degree

Physician Assistants 44.1% 340 Master's degree

Food Scientists & Technologists 43.3% 120 Bachelor's degree

Nursing Instructors, Postsecondary 41.6% 230 Master's degree

Health Specialties Teachers, College 41.0% 1,045 Doctoral

Market Research Analysts 41.0% 1,315 Bachelor's degree

Meeting & Event Planners 40.9% 415 Bachelor's degree

Nurse Practitioners 40.5% 395 Master's degree

Logisticians 39.8% 585 Bachelor's degree

Texas Projected Fastest Growing Jobs through 2022 Requiring Higher Education

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

SOC title Closures PCT TX AAO PCT 2014 $$$

Customer Service Representatives 1,510 6.0% 10,695 2.0% $31,233

Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 1,468 5.8% 5,225 1.0% $24,838

Janitors & Cleaners 1,258 5.0% 7,360 1.4% $21,225

Cashiers* 605 2.4% 13,875 2.7% $19,880

Retail Salespersons* 592 2.3% 19,040 3.6% $25,950

Office Clerks, General 540 2.1% 10,080 1.9% $31,808

Home Health Aides 528 2.1% 2,900 0.6% $20,530

Laborers & Material Movers, Hand 479 1.9% 9,830 1.9% $25,645

Nursing Assistants 455 1.8% 4,105 0.8% $23,961

Heavy Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 423 1.7% 6,290 1.2% $41,636

Dining Room Attendants/Helpers 411 1.6% 2,125 0.4% $18,865

Helpers--Production Workers 385 1.5% 1,310 0.3% $24,413

Security Guards 362 1.4% 3,295 0.6% $26,249

DARS Closures by Occupation vs. TX Job

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Top 4 Work Styles for DARS High Closure Occupations 2013-14 (16)

Customer Service Reps Dependability Cooperation Self Control Integrity

Janitors & Cleaners Cooperation Integrity Attention to Detail Dependability

Cashiers Dependability Integrity Concern for others Cooperation

Retail Salesperson Dependability Self Control Integrity Stress Tolerance

Office ClerkAttention to

Detail Cooperation Integrity Dependability

Home Health Aide Integrity Self Control Dependability Concern for others

Laborer/Material Mover Dependability Stress Tolerance Achievement/Effort Integrity

Nursing Assistants DependabilityConcern for

others Cooperation Stress Tolerance

Heavy Truck Drivers Dependability Self Control Attention to Detail Integrity

Dining Room Attendants Self Control Stress Tolerance Persistence Initiative

Helper, Production Wrkrs Dependability Integrity Attention to Detail Cooperation

Security Guards DependabilityConcern for

others Cooperation Stress Tolerance

Maids & Housekeepers Independence Dependability Attention to Detail Integrity

Personal Care Aides Dependability Stress Tolerance Self Control Integrity

Wh

ere

the

Job

s Are

: Ho

w T

he

y’re

Ch

an

gin

g a

nd

Wh

y S

kills M

atte

r!

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Productivity: Decoupling Output from Job Creation

Output

Jobs

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

“New technologies are encroaching into human skills in a way that is completely unprecedented.” Andrew

McAfee, MIT Center for Digital Business

“Technology should be deployed wherever possible to free humans from drudgery and

repetitive tasks”

“Unfortunately, there are a lot of people who earn honest livings from drudgery and

repetitive tasks.”

Larry Page, Google

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Labor Saving Work Transformations through Technology

FarmersCotton GinsDiesel MechanicsEquipment Maintenance Mechanics

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

3-D Printing Applications

Construction ArchitectureDesignManufacturing

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Drone technology, Instant product delivery, “Dash” buttons

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

The Argument for Skills over Occupational Titles: Job Titles That Didn’t Exist Just 5 Years Ago

Job Title Job Title

1. Videogame Tester 11. Cyber Security Specialist

2. Market Researcher Data Miner 12. Product Blogger

3. Bioinformatics Specialist 13. Social Media Manager

4. Healthcare Applications Analyst 14. Cyborg Anthropologist

5. Big Data Integration Engineer 15. Usability Engineer

6. Chief Listening Officer 16. Chief Sustainability Officer

7. Cloud Computing Operations Manager 17. User Experience Designer

8. E-commerce specialist 18. Mobile App Developer

9. Search Engine Optimization Manager 19. Customer Onboard Specialist

10. Behavioral Analytics Specialist 20. Energy Manager

Human Resources

FinanceAccounting

BuildingMaintenance

ProductionOperations

Research & Development

Sales &Marketing

New Occupation:Energy Manager(Skills needed: electricity, statistics, sensors, math, pumps, contracts, writing, communications, and more)

Traditional Business Unit Silos

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Canadian Digital Information (DI) Processing SkillsCommunicate information Share DI with others

Create information Generate new digital content by adapting, integrating and applying DI

Apply information Use DI in various digital formats to perform tasks

Assess information Judge the quality, relevance and validity of DI

Integrate information Analyze, combine, repurpose and summarize DI

Organize information Decode, restructure and protect DI

Access information Locate, select and retrieve DI

Determine information needs Recognize, define and articulate DI needs

Input information Identify, record and store DI to facilitate use

Digital Technical Skills/Software – Hardware Use

Transversal Skills /Problem Solving Skills

Foundational Skills/Gateway Basic Literacy and Numeracy Skills

Technology Skills Touch All Occupations and Jobs

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Occupation Group H.S./GED Bachelor's Premium

Managerial & Professional (NH White) $84,504 $120,792 $36,288Technical, Sales, & Admin. $64,179 $112,843 $48,664Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers $68,247 $94,875 $26,628Operatives and Laborers $61,211 $77,581 $16,370

Total $64,975 $114,698 $49,723Managerial & Professional (NH Black) $52,186 $84,758 $32,572Technical, Sales, & Admin. $43,933 $75,416 $31,483

Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers $53,192 $82,885 $29,693Operatives and Laborers $46,296 $66,181 $19,885Total $42,465 $78,933 $36,468

Managerial & Professional (Hispanic) $61,992 $88,036 $26,044Technical, Sales, & Admin. $50,127 $81,005 $30,878Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers $51,527 $63,695 $12,168Operatives and Laborers $47,455 $54,282 $6,827Total $47,760 $81,548 $33,788

More Education Matters: Mean Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, Educational Attainment and Occupation

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Bachelor’s degree: What you study matters!

4 digit CIP major (100+ grads) $$$

Petroleum Engineering $89,098Chemical Engineering $74,181

Mechanical Engineering $63,534

Registered Nursing/Administration $62,276

Construction Engineering Techs $61,474 Industrial Production Techs $61,188

Rehab & Therapeutic Professions $22,154 International Relations and National Security Studies $21,606 Neurobiology & Neurosciences $21,590 Religious Education $21,339

Ecology, Evolution & Pop Biology $21,112

Health/Medical Prep Programs $19,577

4 digit CIP major (100+ grads) $$$

Petroleum Engineering $89,579

Chemical Engineering $67,830

Registered Nursing/Administration $58,387

Mechanical Engineering $57,918

Mechanical Engineering Tech $56,427

Construction Engineering Tech $53,593Radio, Television, and Digital Communication $23,423

Religion/Religious Studies $23,085 Dance $23,042

Dramatic/Theatre Arts/Stagecraft $20,798 Anthropology $20,661 Zoology/Animal Biology $20,247

Highest and lowest post exit program majors 2014 (+$69,521)

Highest and lowest post exit program majors 2009 (+$66,156)

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Lowest Earning College Programs 2014 Detail ViewBachelor’s Degree Graduate Major (TX) (100+) Grads Earnings

Health/Medical Preparatory Programs* 154 $19,577Ecology, Evolution & Population Biology 135 $21,112Religious Education 157 $21,339Neurobiology and Neurosciences* 151 $21,590International Relations & National Security 124 $21,606Rehabilitation and Therapeutic Professions* 373 $22,154Visual and Performing Arts, General 117 $22,155Anthropology 581 $22,555Film/Video and Photographic Arts 182 $22,627Religion/Religious Studies* 160 $22,788Biochemistry, Biophysics & Molecular Biology 736 $23,393Communication Disorders Sciences/Services 1,073 $23,433Fine and Studio Arts 1,544 $23,570Philosophy 333 $23,628

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Highest Earning College Programs 2014 Detail ViewBachelor’s Graduates by Major (TX) (100+) Grads Earnings

Petroleum Engineering 460 $89,098Chemical Engineering 505 $74,181 Mechanical Engineering 1,783 $63,534 Registered Nursing/Nursing Administration 9,495 $62,276 Construction Engineering Technologies/Techs 377 $61,474 Industrial Production Technologies/Techs 252 $61,188 Mechanical Engineering Technicians 137 $59,941 Electrical/Electronics & Comm. Engineering 1,136 $59,757 Civil Engineering 801 $58,090 Industrial Engineering 360 $57,118 General Sales/Merchandising/Marketing 331 $55,523 Computer Science 333 $55,073 Electrical Engineering Technologies/Techs 176 $54,542 Computer Engineering 314 $54,413

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Highest Earning Associate’s Degree Programs 2014Associate’s Degree Graduate Major (TX) (50+) Grads Earnings

Fire Protection 197 $68,582Physical Science Technologies/Chemical Process 676 $59,074Quality Control and Safety Technologies/Techs 146 $58,246Electrical and Power Transmission Installers 56 $58,149Electromechanical & Instrumentation Techs 552 $57,317Allied Health Diagnostic & Treatment Professions 135 $51,699Registered/Clinical Nursing, Nurse Administration 6,482 $51,046Mining/Petroleum Technologies/Technicians 96 $50,436Industrial Production Technologies/Technicians 187 $49,009Precision Metal Working 224 $44,585Electrical Engineering Technologies/Technicians 510 $43,266Misc. Health Professions/Clinical Sciences 87 $43,145Dental Support Services & Allied Professions 467 $39,468Drafting/Design Engineering Technologies/Techs 660 $39,317

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Most Popular Bachelor’s Degrees 2014Bachelor’s Degree Graduate Major (TX) (100+) Grads Earnings

Multi-/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other 9,683 $40,634Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration 9,495 $62,276Business Administration, Management 7,533 $47,226Psychology, General 5,953 $24,852Biology, General 5,042 $24,411Health and Physical Education/Fitness 4,566 $27,915Criminal Justice and Corrections 4,205 $30,694Accounting and Related Services 3,593 $38,956Finance and Financial Management Services 2,859 $44,238

Marketing 2,788 $37,449Liberal Arts and Sciences/Humanities 2,632 $34,755Communication and Media Studies 2,211 $29,430

English Language and Literature, General 2,160 $28,676History 1,927 $30,506

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Math = Money

The more accomplished you are at applied mathematics the more money

you can make.

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

1. Good communications skills: Can you…..

Explain what you’re doing (to co-worker or customer)?

Explain what you need (from a co-worker or customer)?

Ability to listen to and follow instructions?

2. Appropriate Technical knowledge (degrees needed for half of all job openings)

3. Can you work with people who are of a different age, race, gender and education level than you?

4. Can-do attitude / pleasant attitude (workers who are “engaged” in their work)

5. Critical thinking skills (if given a sequence of events, can you determine what will probably happen next)

Texas employers say they want…

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Worker Preparation is a Balance of Will & Skill

SkillsStrong academics

High School diplomaPost secondary schooling

Appropriate technical skills

DistillStackable Credentials

On the Job LearningLifelong Learning

Workplace EssentialsConsciousness

Communication skillsGetting along with others

WillWilling to take a job:

At lower level, lesser wage In a different localeShow flexibility & initiative

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

“There’s not one specific thing or skill

people have to have to work for us.

But I can tell you why we fire people:

soft skills. We hire for hard skills. We

fire for soft skills. The ability to

interact and communicate with others

or behave ethically and take

responsibility for things tends to be

where people tend to break down.”

Rick Stephens, senior vice president of HR, The Boeing Corporation

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

1. Demonstrates ability to articulate all of the above,

including examples of concrete skills and abilities.

2. Anticipation of future skill needs. The person seems to

have other skills that might someday be useful to the

company.

3. Experience in the industry; especially in directly

related job titles and work activities.

4. Demeanor indicates good Workplace Essentials;

especially the ability to get along with others,

demonstrated by experience or general attitude.

5. More education is better. Degrees indicate broader

knowledge of the field of study … just smarter.

Confessions of a hiring authority:What we’re really thinking!

Where the Jobs Are: How they’re Changing and Why Skills Matter!

There is much more Texas labor market story to tell, but this version is over!

Thank you!


Recommended