Coastal GOOS:Coastal GOOS:A System to Identify and Prioritize Global and Regional A System to Identify and Prioritize Global and Regional

System IndicatorsSystem Indicators

Part of the strategic plan has been the development of Part of the strategic plan has been the development of a usera user--driven system to identify and rank critical driven system to identify and rank critical variables.variables.

A graphic user interface has been built to assess the A graphic user interface has been built to assess the approach and to provide a tool to aid the user approach and to provide a tool to aid the user community in the implementation process.community in the implementation process.

A DPSIR framework is recommended as a vehicle to A DPSIR framework is recommended as a vehicle to modify this approach to included sociomodify this approach to included socio--economic economic indicators.indicators.

RE5

RE1

<— S

pace

—> RE2

CommonVariables

Categoriesof Variables

RE4

RE3GRA 1

GRA 2

GRA 3

GOOS Regional Alliances

The Global SystemProvides a Reference Framework

CHOOSING COMMON VARIABLESCHOOSING COMMON VARIABLES

Observations will be used topredictpredict and detectdetect change

in the coastal ocean inresponse to users’ needsusers’ needs

USERS MODELS orPHENOMENA VARIABLES

THE SELECTION PROCESSTHE SELECTION PROCESS

…U1

U2

U3

U4

U23

U24

U25

U26

V1

V2

V3

V4

V24

V23

V25

V26

……

P1

P2

P3

P19

P17

P16

4

7

4

5

13

8

4

8

7

4

7

5

1

2.5

7

2.5

ScoreRankUser Group Phenomenon Variable

ONE OF THE 4 MATRICES: ONE OF THE 4 MATRICES: users and phenomenausers and phenomena

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Variable Score Based on Prediction

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450Variable Score Based on Detection

THE TOP 11 VARIABLESTHE TOP 11 VARIABLES

Water temperatureWater temperature CurrentsCurrents SalinitySalinity Sea levelSea level Surface wavesSurface waves Sediment characteristics Benthic biomass Changes in bathymetry Dissolved oxygen Changes in shoreline position Dissolved inorganic nutrients

Sea levelSea level Changes in bathymetryChanges in bathymetry CurrentsCurrents Extent of submerged vegetationExtent of submerged vegetation SalinitySalinity Water temperatureWater temperature Sediment characteristicsSediment characteristics Changes in shoreline positionChanges in shoreline position eH in sedimenteH in sediment Dissolved oxygenDissolved oxygen Benthic species diversityBenthic species diversity

Prediction Detection

-250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

12 3

4

5

6

7

8 9 10111213 14 1516 17 181920 21 22232425 26272829 30313233

34 3536

37

1Changes in shoreline position 2Sea level 3Surface waves 4Changes in bathymetry 5Currents 6Water temperature 7Sediment grain size, organic content 8Total suspended solids 9Incident solar radiation

10Metallothionein (trace metals) 11Cytochrome p450 (e.g. oil) 12Cholinesterase (pesticides) 13Extent of submerged aquatic vegetation 14Neutral red assay 15Seabird diversity 16Salinity 17Colored dissolved organic matter- CDOM 18Seabird abundance 19pH 20Attenuation of solar radiation 21Fecal indicators 22Zooplankton biomass 23Particulate organic C and N 24Biological oxygen demand 25Total organic C and N 26Zooplankton species diversity 27Primary production 28Phytoplankton species diversity > 20 µm 29eH in sediment 30Nekton biomass 31Nekton species diversity 32Phytoplankton biomass (chlorophyll) 33Dissolved inorganic nutrients (N, P, Si)34Benthic species diversity 35Benthic biomass 36Dissolved oxygen 37Fisheries: Landings and effort

Variable Groupings Based on User Interest

Driver/State Pressure Impact

Population Dynamics

Resident Coastal Population Coastal Land-Use/Land Cover Coastal Zoning Patterns

Economic Conditions

Annual GDP Growth Environmentally Adjusted Net Domestic Product Economic Value/Employment in Coastal Industry

Social Conditions & Cultural Traditions

% Population with Potable Water Cultural Stability/ Integrity

Change in User Conflict

Development Pressure/ Captial Construction

% of Altered Coastal Land % of Impermeable Surface in CZ Coastal Fill Acres/Year

Cost of Coastal Flooding/Hazards& Savings Provided by Coastal Habitat Dredging Costs Driven by Sediment Contamination

Habitat Change/ Ecological Value

Service Value of Coastal Habitat Value of Habitat Driven Manufactured Products

Social Costs of Invasive Species Service Value Changes from Habitat Alteration Changes to Non-Use Values of Coastal Habitat

Contaminant Introduction

% of Population with Wastewater Treatment Fertilizer Use in Coastal Watershed Industrial Inputs of POPs/Metals

% of Coastal Harvesting Areas Under Environmental Restrictions

Resource Extraction Activities

Oil Spills from Extraction/Transportation Commercial Fishery Landings Seafood Consumption Patterns

Seafood Value Changes from Seafood Risk/ Habitat Alteration

Human Uses/ Activities

Coastal Aquaculture Beach Attendance

Marine-Vectored Disease Beach Closing Costs

Table 1

Illustration of Socio-Economic Indicators Within A Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response Framework

SUMMARYSUMMARY

Coastal GOOS is completing its strategic plan and Coastal GOOS is completing its strategic plan and starting the implementation plan.starting the implementation plan.

One of the most difficult issues has been selecting the One of the most difficult issues has been selecting the set of common variables.set of common variables.

We have developed a transparent and robust method We have developed a transparent and robust method that may be of wider use.that may be of wider use.

Modifications straightforward.Modifications straightforward. A graphical user interface has been prototyped and is A graphical user interface has been prototyped and is

available.available. SocioSocio--Economic variables will be included in the Economic variables will be included in the

implementation plan and appropriate modifications to implementation plan and appropriate modifications to “tool box” approach will be made“tool box” approach will be made