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May 2019 REC GROUP SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT Full - Year 2018 Results
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Page 1: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

May 2019

REC GROUP SOLAR MARKET INSIGHTFull-Year 2018 Results

Page 2: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

Table of contents

1

4

2

3

REC Highlights 2018

Global Performance 2018

Regional Performance 2018

REC & Market Outlook

2

Page 3: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC Highlights

1 2 3 4 5

Full-year 2018

Page 4: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

Expansion of REC’s technology leadership into mono

products

Three new products launched in 2018:

• N-Peak

o The world’s first n-type mono solar

panel with half-cut cells and twin

design

o 60-cell panel with up to 330 Wp

• Two new p-type monocrystalline

PERC products based on REC’s

award winning TwinPeak technology

o 60-cell TwinPeak 2 Mono is rated

up to 320 Wp

o 72-cell TwinPeak 2S Mono 72 up

to 380 Wp

4

Page 5: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC N-Peak with proven energy yield advantages

963975

800

875

825

850

900

925

950

975

1,000

1,025

1,050 1,0361,045

+1.2%

+8.5%

• REC’s N-Peak demonstrates

consistently higher performance in

field testing by SERIS, both in terms of

Performance Ratio (PR) and Energy

Yield (EY) over competitive Tier 1 p-

mono products

• N-Peak outperformed the tested Tier 1

competitor p-mono products by

• +8.5% higher energy yield

• 95% Performance ratio (vs. 88%

by competitor)

Specific Energy Yield

(Wh/Wp, March to December 2018, based on

actual power)

5

Page 6: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

Firm orders for REC N-Peak – first installations live

6

The world’s first REC N-Peak solar panels went to

Australia. The Perth-based Solaire Connect,

completed the 3.2 kW rooftop project in Perth,

Australia, benefiting from the super-strong frame

design as well as the power efficiency of the 320

Wp modules to create a stable and efficient system.

Ben Towers, Managing Director at Solaire Connect,

says “We are very excited and proud to be a part of

the first ever N-Peak installation, and are looking

forward to many more over the years.” © Solaire Connect

© Solbære AS

System size: 10.24 kW

Annual capacity: 7,000 kWh

CO2 saved annually: 4 tons

Number of panels: 32

Installer / EPC company: Solbære AS

Location: Frekhaug, Bergen, Norway

Page 7: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

Technology innovations pushing REC’s cell efficiencies

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

20142010

16.1

17.016.7

22.6

2011 2012 2013

17.417.7

18.0

2015

18.8

2016

19.4

2017

19.7

22.4

2020F2018

24.0

2019F

24.5

REC Cell Efficiency Trend since 2010

Cell Efficiency

(in %)REC Average (weighted)

REC’s Top Cell Efficiency

21.2

7

REC TwinPeak

REC N-Mono,

TwinPeak Mono

REC’s new game-

changing product

to be launched at

Intersolar Europe

Page 8: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

Industry-topping new warranty for high-quality panels

New Product Warranty

• 20 years warranty for all products

• Extra 5-year product warranty for installations

carried out by REC-certified Solar

Professionals

10

20

Old

warranty

+5

New

warranty

100%

REC Product Warranty Duration

(in years)

New Power Output Warranty

• Guarantees REC customers even greater

output over the full 25-year duration

Overview Power Output Warranty

(by REC product)

8

Page 9: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC’s Quality is recognized year after year

• REC has been named a Top Performer by

DNV GL in its PV Module Reliability

Scorecard – for the 3rd year in a row

• REC competes against 9 of global top 10

brands

• Program compares long term module

reliability by vendor quality

o Testing in excess of IEC standards

o Accelerated lifetime tests

• Extended light soaking before testing to

better quantify LID

Reliability Test Duration

Thermal Cycling 600 cycles of -40 to +85°C

Damp Heat 2000 hours at 85°C & 85% RH

Humidity Freeze 30 cycles of 85°C & 85% RH for 20 hours, -40°C for 30 min

Dynamic Mechanical Load 1000 cycles of 1000 Pa then 50 TC cycles + 10 HF

PID 96 hours, 85°C & 85% RH, negative system voltage rating

*DNV GL, the world’s largest independent expert & certification body for renewable energy

Thermal Cycling

Damp Heat

Dynamic Mechanical Load

PID

Top performers

inc. RECTop performers

inc. REC

Top performers

inc. REC

Top performers

inc. REC

9

Page 10: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC Channel program expanded across all regions

2018 in Figures

>10New Partners

globally

~ 450 REC

Solar Professionals

certified

32 Certification

trainings carried out

>1,600 Solar Professionals

(total)

~50REC Partners

globally

High-quality installations with

high-quality panels

10

Page 11: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC follows its vision by bringing clean energy to

remote Himalayan communities

Our Vision: We want every person to benefit

from electricity directly from the sun.

Better light, better education, cleaner air

• REC provided its panels to generate clean energy

to remote villages and schools in the Ladakh and

Zanskar regions of India

• Cooperation with Global Himalayan Expedition

(GHE)

• >1,500 people directly impacted

• 12 kW clean solar energy replaced polluting

sources

• 9,000 liters of kerosene per year

eliminated

• 22.8 tons of CO2 emissions avoided

• 100% of the population now have basic

energy access for lighting

• PV installations power computers and

displays at schools

• 30% increase in learning aptitude

report by schools

11

Page 12: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

Global Performance

1 2 3 4

Full-year 2018

Page 13: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC sold out in 2018 with strongest third quarter ever

• Sold out in 2018, with total shipments at

1,165 MW and strongest 3rd quarter

ever

• Upgrade and expansion of

manufacturing lines

• Three new products launched

o N-Peak

o TwinPeak 2 Mono

oTwinPeak 2S Mono 72

• >2.3 GW of award-winning REC

TwinPeak modules installed globally

• +20% customer base growth from end

2017 to end of 2018

525

640

H1 2018 H2 2018

+22%

REC Module Shipments 2018(in MW)

13

Page 14: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC’s 2018 shipments are driven by the rooftop

segment

Utility

30%

30%

40%

Residential

Commercial

38%

38%

EMEA

APAC

24%

Americas

REC Module Shipments by Region(in %)

REC Module Shipments by Segment(in %)

+4% Y-o-Y shipment

growth despite market

decline1

70% of total REC shipments into

residential and C&I segment

141 SEIA / Wood Mackenzie, U.S. SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT, 2018 year in review, March 2019

Page 15: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC drives sales diversification, serving >40 countries

+18

+84%

+117%

+426%

+383%

+124%+106%

+47% +45% +42%

REC Growth markets 2018 vs. 2017

(based on REC shipments, in %)

15

Page 16: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

Regional PerformanceFull-year 2018

1 2 3 4

Page 17: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC Americas shipment growth outperformed the

total U.S. PV market

REC Performance Highlights

• +45% customer base growth for REC Americas from

end 2017 to end 2018

• +4% REC shipments growth Y-o-Y, outperforming

the total U.S. market which saw a slight decline to

10.6GW in 2018 (down from 10.8GW in 2017)1

• >200MW initial order volume for REC’s TwinPeak

mono within days after starting production in

December 2018

• >1GW of award-winning REC TwinPeak modules

installed in the U.S. since 2015

Key regional trends

• 4% of distributed solar capacity in 2018 were

solar-plus-storage installations; This share is

forecasted to grow to 23% by 20241

• Investment activity for utility-scale project continues

to strengthen to secure 30% Investment Tax Credit

(ITC) ahead of its decline from 2020

• Corporate PPAs will continue to be strong demand

pillar

41%

29%

30%Residential

Utility

Commercial

2018 Module Shipments split by Segment

(in %)

1 SEIA / Wood Mackenzie, U.S. SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT, 2018 year in review, March 2019

Source: Wood Mackenzie; Bloomberg NEF 17

Page 18: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC expanded its customer base and country reach

in the EMEA region

2018 Module Shipments split by Segment

(in %) REC Performance Highlights

• +37% customer base growth for REC in the EMEA region

from end 2017 to end of 2018

• >20 markets are served by REC in the region

• Top 6 markets for REC were Germany, the Netherlands,

France as well as Belgium, Spain and Italy

• Belgium and the Netherlands saw the highest Y-o-Y

shipment growth amongst top markets of REC

• +117% in Belgium

• +42% in the Netherlands

Key regional trends

• European PV market is set to double to 20GW by 2020

compared to its 2017 level

• Thanks to PV’s increasing cost competitiveness, there

is vast potential for Corporate PPAs and unsubsidized

utility scale projects

• PV is given a more prominent role in the future energy

strategies by several large European markets

• France targets 45 GW of PV, Italy 50 GW, Spain

77 GW, all by 2030

21%

43%

36%

Residential

Commercial

Utility

Source: IHS (Dec. 2019); Press 18

Page 19: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

2018 saw several of REC’s top 10 growth markets

being located in the APAC region

2018 Module Shipments split by Segment

(in %)REC Performance Highlights

• Top 5 markets for REC in APAC: India, Japan,

Australia, Singapore and Thailand

• In India, REC Group became the 1st European brand

of solar panels to be certified by BIS

• Upsurge in number of REC-certified installers in

Australia with >70 installers completing the

certification training in 2018, bringing the total number

to 255

• Seven new partners joined in 2018 REC’s Partner

Program across the APAC region

• Increasing footprint in emerging markets such as

Philippines and Indonesia

Key regional trends

• Japan - strong outlook for residential driven by

increasing attractiveness of self-consumption and

government focus for Zero Energy Homes

• India - Strong growth prospects as India steadily

transitions from fossil fuels towards renewable energy;

Solar represented ~51% of all new power capacity in

20181

• Corporate PPAs enjoy a strong interest, the PPA

volume grew by +200% from 2017 to 2018²

1 India added 16.3 GW of new power generation capacity in 2018, renewable energy accounted for 70% of it and solar representing 50.7%; 2 BloombergNEF, Corp. PPA tracker, 2019

Source: Mercom India, (February 2019)

27%

54%

18%Residential

Commercial

Utility

19

Page 20: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC Global Outlook

1 2 3 4

2019 & Onwards

Page 21: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

Number of Solar PV GW-Scale Markets

Source: IHS Markit Q4 2018 (Dec.2018)

15

10

2014 2016 2022202020180

5

20

6 6

13

1718

The number of Gigawatt-scale markets is continuously

growing thanks to strong economics of solar PV

21

Page 22: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

From 2019 to 2022, global demand is forecast to grow

at an annual average rate of 6%

Forecast of global PV installations from 2018 to 2022

(In GW)

60

70

80

90

140

100

110

130

40

0

120

10

20

30

150

50

2020e 2021e2018 2019e 2022e

China

Australia

RoW

Japan

Europe

India

US

+16%

+6%

▪ Globally is expected to grow by

around 6% per year from 2019

to 2022

▪ Challenging 2018 due to

regulatory decisions (i.e.

US, China, India)

▪ 2019 likely impacted by

new Chinese policy driving

towards a subsidy–free PV

market demand

▪ Growth drivers going forward:

▪ Demand diversification,

Rise of emerging markets

▪ Strengthening of

Prosumers

▪ Declining LCOE’s leading

to acceleration of

economics- based

deployment

▪ Solar + storage

▪ Electrification in

transportation

Source: REC, Bloomberg, Wood Mackenzie, IHS Markit 22

Page 23: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

Corporate Solar PPAs are booming, driven by PV cost

competitiveness

PPA volumes for Solar

(in GW, per Year)

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

2016

0.3

20142013 2015 2017 2018

0.4

1.61.2 1.4

5.9

Note: All LCOE calculations are unsubsidized.

Source: Bloomberg NEF, 1H 2019 LCOE Update – Solar, March 2019; Bloomberg NEF1H 2019 Corporate Energy Market Outlook

Solar PV LCOE development

(in $/MWh)

PV achieved a 18% reduction in

LCOE from 1H’18 to 1H’19 – having

now reached $57/MWh

23

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Q3 2

011

H1 2

016

Q3 2

012

H1 2

015

Q1 2

010

H1 2

018

Q3 2

009

Q3 2

010

Q1 2

012

Q1 2

011

Q1 2

013

H1 2

014

H1 2

017

H1 2

019

PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018

Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

members

4

161914

1918

2017-2020 2021-2025

16

2026-2030

Solar (new build)

Solar (existing)

Page 24: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

>50% of module shipments in 2019 expected to be

mono-based

Source: PV InfoLink (December 2018)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2022e2020e2017 2018 2019e 2021e

100%

Multi-PERC

Thin-Film

N-Mono

Mono

Mono PERC

Multi

24

Module shipment forecast by technology 2017-2022e

(In GW)

Launch of

REC N-PeakLaunch of REC‘s

new HJT Product

Page 25: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

REC Group to unveil game-changing solar panel at

Intersolar Europe 2019

The world’s highest power 60-cell solar panel

Leading technology expertise from Europe and Singapore

Unique cell technology and patented panel design

A ‘best choice’ product for growing solar rooftop

markets worldwide

www.recgroup.com/excitement

Something exciting is coming.RECGroup‘s big launch event at Intersolar EuropeonMay15, 2019at4PM.BoothA2.380.

Page 26: REC Group SOLAR MARKET INSIGHT - Tecsol blog · 2019. 5. 26. · PV - c-Si PV - c-Si Tracking Global Solar Corporate PPA, until 2018 Outlook potential solar build by global RE100

The content of this presentation is strictly confidential. REC is the exclusive owner or licensee of the content, material, and information in this presentation. Any reproduction, publication or reprint, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. The information in this presentation may not

be accurate, complete or up to date, and is provided without warranties or representations of any kind, either express or implied. REC, as well as its directors, officers and employees, shall not be responsible for and disclaims any liability for any loss or damages, including without

limitation, direct, indirect, incidental, consequential and special damages, alleged to have been caused by or in connection with using and/or relying on the information contained in this presentation.

For more information, please contact:

Agnieszka Schulze

Head of Global PR, REC Group

E-mail: [email protected]


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