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Recent Landfalls Hurr… · CAT 1 – 74 mph CAT 3 – 111 mph CAT 4 – 130 mph CAT 5 – 157 +...

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Recent Landfalls

Transcript

Page 1: Recent Landfalls Hurr… · CAT 1 – 74 mph CAT 3 – 111 mph CAT 4 – 130 mph CAT 5 – 157 + Rest of Season Example. CAT 2 – 96 mph. TS Fay Recant Landfalls . Naw Chances for

Recent Landfalls

Page 2: Recent Landfalls Hurr… · CAT 1 – 74 mph CAT 3 – 111 mph CAT 4 – 130 mph CAT 5 – 157 + Rest of Season Example. CAT 2 – 96 mph. TS Fay Recant Landfalls . Naw Chances for

New Changes for 2020

Inclusion of 60-hour forecast

Use of local time for systems in the E Atlantic

Update to the track forecast cone

Storm surge graphic

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Impact based forecasting… DO NOT CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE. GO TO CMC FLOOD MAPPER

Page 3: Recent Landfalls Hurr… · CAT 1 – 74 mph CAT 3 – 111 mph CAT 4 – 130 mph CAT 5 – 157 + Rest of Season Example. CAT 2 – 96 mph. TS Fay Recant Landfalls . Naw Chances for

Points of Origin

Page 4: Recent Landfalls Hurr… · CAT 1 – 74 mph CAT 3 – 111 mph CAT 4 – 130 mph CAT 5 – 157 + Rest of Season Example. CAT 2 – 96 mph. TS Fay Recant Landfalls . Naw Chances for

Forecasting Improvements

Started 5 day in 2001

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Hurricane Error Track

Page 5: Recent Landfalls Hurr… · CAT 1 – 74 mph CAT 3 – 111 mph CAT 4 – 130 mph CAT 5 – 157 + Rest of Season Example. CAT 2 – 96 mph. TS Fay Recant Landfalls . Naw Chances for

Forecasting Improvements

Started 5 day in 2001

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Hurricane Error Track

Page 6: Recent Landfalls Hurr… · CAT 1 – 74 mph CAT 3 – 111 mph CAT 4 – 130 mph CAT 5 – 157 + Rest of Season Example. CAT 2 – 96 mph. TS Fay Recant Landfalls . Naw Chances for

Hurricane Season

8-14

5-9

Page 7: Recent Landfalls Hurr… · CAT 1 – 74 mph CAT 3 – 111 mph CAT 4 – 130 mph CAT 5 – 157 + Rest of Season Example. CAT 2 – 96 mph. TS Fay Recant Landfalls . Naw Chances for

Hurr. Season thru 8/19

CATEGORY I

TROPICAL STORM

Page 8: Recent Landfalls Hurr… · CAT 1 – 74 mph CAT 3 – 111 mph CAT 4 – 130 mph CAT 5 – 157 + Rest of Season Example. CAT 2 – 96 mph. TS Fay Recant Landfalls . Naw Chances for

Remainder of SeasonTo Date

TS

CAT 1 – 74 mph

CAT 3 – 111 mphCAT 4 – 130 mph

CAT 5 – 157 +

Rest of Season Example

CAT 2 – 96 mph

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