Redtide Model output VS

A.fundyence Abundance observation03/14/2008Yizhen Li

yli15@ncsu.edu

● Part I Model/Observation comparison(04/05/06/07) Mistfit Histogram

● Part II Modelled cell abundance animation(continuous run/year by year run/08 'prediction')

● Part III Impact of cyst on next year's bloom

● Part IV Where shoud 2008 bloom be occurring?

– Part I Model/Observation comparison(04/05/06/07)

Model vs Observation (2004)

Model vs Observation (2005)-1

Model vs Observation (2005) -2

Model vs Observation (2006) -1

Model vs Observation (2006) -2

Model vs Observation (2006) -3

Model vs Observation (2006) -4

Model vs Observation (2007)

Misfit Histogram

– Part II Modelled cell abundance animation(continuous run/year by year run/08 'prediction')

Modelled A.fundeyense Cell Abundance Evolution(Online java animation)/Year by year simulation

http://omglnx3.meas.ncsu.edu/yli/simulation_new/dino_all.htm

2008 Forecast with 04,05,06,07 forcings

http://omglnx3.meas.ncsu.edu/yli/simulation_new/08forecast/dino_08.htm

2004~2007 simulation with continuous forcings

http://omglnx3.meas.ncsu.edu/yli/simulation_new/04_07continuous/dino_08.htm

– Part III Impact of cyst on next year's bloom

– Part IV Where shoud 2008 bloom be occurring?

Where should the bloom be occurring in 2008?--Contourline=500Cell/L

Where should bloom be occurring in 2008?--Contourline=600Cell/L

Where should bloom be occurring in 2008?--Contourline=700Cell/L

Where should bloom be occurring in 2008?--Contourline=800Cell/L

Where should bloom be occurring in 2008?--Contourline=900Cell/L

Where should bloom be occurring in 2008?--Contourline=1000Cell/L